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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 595 records · Page 33

Data-Driven Approach for Controlled Icosahedral Boron- Rich Compound Growth

This final technical report summarizes the research accomplishments and research highlights at the end of the funding period. This project aimed to leverage existing and new computational data produced from first-principles and molecular dynamics simulations to understand the thermodynamic, mechanical, and electronic properties of icosahedral boron compounds. The goal is to achieve targeted material properties by controlling the synthesis routes of these boron-rich compounds.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Bayesian operator inference for data-driven reduced-order modeling

This work proposes a Bayesian inference method for the reduced-order modeling of time-dependent systems. Informed by the structure of the governing equations, the task of learning a reduced-order model from data is posed as a Bayesian inverse problem with Gaussian prior and likelihood. The resulting posterior distribution characterizes the operators defining the reduced-order model, hence the predictions subsequently issued by the reduced-order model are endowed with uncertainty. The statistical moments of these predictions are estimated via a Monte Carlo sampling of the posterior distribution. Since the reduced models are fast to solve, this sampling is computationally efficient. Furthermore, the proposed Bayesian framework provides a statistical interpretation of the regularization term that is present in the deterministic operator inference problem, and the empirical Bayes approach of maximum marginal likelihood suggests a selection algorithm for the regularization hyperparameters. The proposed method is demonstrated on two examples: the compressible Euler equations with noise-corrupted observations, and a single-injector combustion process.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Microparticle cloud imaging and tracking for data-driven plasma science

Oceans of image and particle track data encountered in plasma interactions with microparticle clouds motivate development and applications of machine-learning (ML) algorithms. A local-constant-velocity tracker, a Kohonen neural network or self-organizing map, the feature tracking kit, and U-Net are described and compared with each other for microparticle cloud datasets generated from exploding wires, dusty plasmas, and atmospheric plasmas. Particle density and the signal-to-noise ratio have been identified as two important factors that affect the tracking accuracy. Fast Fourier transform is used to reveal how U-Net, a deep convolutional neural network developed for non-plasma applications, achieves the improvements for noisy scenes. Viscous effects are revealed in the ballistic motions of the particles from the exploding wires and atmospheric plasmas. Subdiffusion of microparticles satisfying Δr 2 ∝t k (k=0.84±0.02) is obtained from the dusty plasma datasets. Microparticle cloud imaging and tracking, when enhanced with data and ML models, present new possibilities for plasma physics.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Scidac-Data: Enabling Data Driven Modeling of Exascale Computing

Here, the SciDAC-Data project is a DOE-funded initiative to analyze and exploit two decades of information and analytics that have been collected by the Fermilab data center on the organization, movement, and consumption of high energy physics (HEP) data. The project analyzes the analysis patterns and data organization that have been used by NOvA, MicroBooNE, MINERvA, CDF, D0, and other experiments to develop realistic models of HEP analysis workflows and data processing. The SciDAC-Data project aims to provide both realistic input vectors and corresponding output data that can be used to optimize and validate simulations of HEP analysis. These simulations are designed to address questions of data handling, cache optimization, and workflow structures that are the prerequisites for modern HEP analysis chains to be mapped and optimized to run on the next generation of leadership-class exascale computing facilities. We present the use of a subset of the SciDAC-Data distributions, acquired from analysis of approximately 71,000 HEP workflows run on the Fermilab data center and corresponding to over 9 million individual analysis jobs, as the input to detailed queuing simulations that model the expected data consumption and caching behaviors of the work running in high performance computing (HPC) and high throughput computing (HTC) environments. In particular we describe how the Sequential Access via Metadata (SAM) data-handling system in combination with the dCache/Enstore-based data archive facilities has been used to develop radically different models for analyzing the HEP data. We also show how the simulations may be used to assess the impact of design choices in archive facilities.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Aggregation and data driven identification of building thermal dynamic model and unmeasured disturbance

An aggregate model is a single-zone equivalent of a multi-zone building, and is useful for many purposes, including model based control of large heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) equipment. This paper deals with the problem of simultaneously identifying an aggregate thermal dynamic model and unknown disturbances from input–output data of multi-zone buildings. The unknown disturbance is a key challenge since it is not measurable but non-negligible. In this paper, we first present a principled method to aggregate a multi-zone building model into a single zone model, and show the aggregation is not as trivial as it has been assumed in the prior art. We then provide a method to identify the parameters of the model and the unknown disturbance for this aggregate (single-zone) model. Finally, we test our proposed identification algorithm to data collected from a multi-zone building testbed in Oak Ridge National Laboratory. A key insight provided by the aggregation method allows us to recognize under what conditions the estimation of the disturbance signal will be necessarily poor and uncertain, even in the case of a specially designed test in which the disturbances affecting each zone are known (as the case of our experimental testbed). This insight is used to provide a heuristic that can be used to assess when the identification results are likely to have high or low accuracy.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Data-driven occupant-behavior analytics for residential buildings

Many advances have been made in building technology to help save energy, but influencing the behavior of the occupants is still necessary to achieve low-energy use targets. One of the most practical ways to influence and change occupant behaviors is through incentives. Developing incentives for energy-saving and quantifying the impact of occupant behaviors are both active areas of research. Here, we propose a data analytics framework for detecting changes in occupant behaviors, which will help build an analytics feedback loop from behavior impact to incentive design. The framework has two major parts. The first forecasts energy consumption for each occupant, while the second determines a probability distribution for changes in energy consumption. The parts are interchangeable with other existing machine learning and statistical methods. A specific instantiation of the framework, using kernel ridge-regression for forecasting and k-means to find an empirical behavior distribution, is described in detail. An HVAC use-case with 5 different incentivized behaviors is used as an example to show that the framework can detect behavior changes induced by incentives. Furthermore, we show that some simpler behavior-change detection methods do not work, further justifying the use of advanced analytics.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

A Cost-Benefit Analysis of Automated Physiological Data Acquisition Systems Using Data-Driven Modeling

Precision medicine and the continuous analysis of “Big data” promises to improve patient outcomes dramatically in the near future. Very recently, healthcare facilities have started to explore automatic collection of patient-specific physiological data with the aim of reducing nursing workload and decreasing manual data entry errors. In addition to those purposes, continuous physiological data can be used for the early detection and prevention of common, and possibly fatal, diseases. For instance, poor patient outcomes from sepsis, a leading cause of mortality in healthcare facilities and a major driver of hospital costs in the USA, can be mitigated when detected early using screening tools that monitor the changing dynamics of physiological data. However, the potential cost of collecting continuous physiological data remains a barrier to the widespread adoption of automated high-frequency data collection systems. In this paper, we perform cost-benefit analysis (CBA) of machine learning applied to various types of acquisition systems (with different collection intervals) to determine if the benefits of such systems will outweigh their implementation costs. Although such systems can be used in the detection of various complications, in order to showcase the immediate benefits, we focus on the early detection of sepsis, one of the major challenges of hospital systems. We present a general approach to conduct such analysis for a wide range of hospitals and highlight its applicability using a case study for a small hospital with 150 beds and 3000 annual patients where the acquisition system would collect data at 1-min intervals. Finally, we discuss how the analysis may help guide incentives/policies with regard to adopting automated data acquisition systems.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗