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At least 595 records · Page 33

Semiglobal Safety-Filtered Extremum Seeking With Unknown CBFs

We introduce a safe extremum-seeking (Safe ES) algorithm which achieves the minimization of an unknown objective function while ensuring that an unknown, yet measured, control barrier function (CBF) remains above an arbitrarily small negative value for all time. In other words, “practical safety” is maintained during the entire period of convergence to the constrained extremum. Our design is based on quadratic program (QP) CBF style filters for safety, which is applied in an average and estimated sense. Using nonsmooth analysis tools, we guarantee semiglobal practical asymptotic (SPA) stability of the global constrained optimum, practical convergence to the safe set if starting in a condition violating the CBF, and practical safety for all time—semiglobally—if starting in safe set. The safety result of the paper is analogous with modern notions of SPA stability, guaranteeing that, for any small violation of safety, there exist design coefficients which guarantee that such a small violation is not exceeded. The paper outlines a set of sufficient conditions on the barrier and objective functions, and by way of a Lyapunov argument, we demonstrate that nonconvex constrained optimization problems can be solved. We present these results in the setting of a static map and a dynamical system. A simulation example illustrates the results.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Current and candidate additives for environmentally acceptable lubricants—A review

The world consumes approximately 40 million tons of lubricants annually, and nearly half of them end up in the environment because of leaks, discharges, and evaporation, causing significant environmental and economic impacts. The need for moving toward environmentally acceptable lubricants (EALs) is increasingly being recognized. Synthetic ester, polyalkylene glycol, vegetable oil, and water are among the base fluids approved by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency for EALs. However, neat base fluids cannot fully meet the lubrication requirements without incorporating functional additives such as anti-wear, antioxidant, corrosion inhibitor, and viscosity modifiers. Both the performance and environmental compatibility of lubricant additives are critical. In this article, current and candidate EAL additives, both in liquid and solid forms, are reviewed, with a focus on their functionalities in friction and wear reduction, toxicity, and biodegradability. Finally, a perspective for future research on EAL additives is discussed.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Toward machine-learning-assisted PW-class high-repetition-rate experiments with solid targets

We present progress in utilizing a machine learning (ML) assisted optimization framework to study the trends in a parameter space defined by spectrally shaped, high-intensity, petawatt-class (8 J, 45 fs) laser pulses interacting with solid targets and give the first simulation-based overview of predicted trends. A neural network (NN) incorporating uncertainty quantification is trained to predict the number of hot electrons generated by the laser–target interaction as a function of pulse shaping parameters. The predictions of this NN serve as the basis function for a Bayesian optimization framework to navigate this space. For post-experimental evaluation, we compare two separate neural network (NN) models. One is based solely on data from experiments, and the other is trained only on ensemble particle-in-cell simulations. Reviewing the predicted and observed trends across the experiment-capable laser parameter search space, we find that both ML models predict a maximal increase in hot electron generation at a level of approximately 12%–18%; however, no statistically significant enhancement was observed in experiments. On direct comparison of the NN models, the average discrepancy is 8.5%, with a maximum of 30%. Since shot-to-shot fluctuations in experiments affect the observations, we evaluate the behavior of our optimization framework by performing virtual experiments that vary the number of repeated observations and the noise levels. Here, we discuss the implications of such a framework for future autonomous exploration platforms in high-repetition-rate experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Universal rapidity scaling of entanglement entropy inside hadrons from conformal invariance

When a hadron is probed at high energy, a nontrivial quantum entanglement entropy inside the hadron emerges due to the lack of complete information about the hadron wave function extracted from this measurement. In the high-energy limit, the hadron becomes a maximally entangled state, with a linear dependence of entanglement entropy on rapidity, as has been found in a recent analysis based on parton description. In this paper, we use an effective conformal field theoretic description of hadrons on the light cone to show that the linear dependence of the entanglement entropy on rapidity found in parton description is a general consequence of approximate conformal invariance and does not depend on the assumption of weak coupling. Our result also provides further evidence for a duality between the parton and string descriptions of hadrons. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Investigation of Thermal Radiation under Pressurized Oxy-combustion Conditions

Thermal radiation of the gaseous and particle phases in a pilot-scale pressurized oxy-combustor is computationally studied. In particular, the radiation characteristics of gases and particles are estimated by employing the statistical narrow-band model and the large-particle model. It is found that thermal radiation of the particle cloud dominates in the combustor under a furnace temperature of 1500 K and when there is no substantial loss of particles to the walls. Another important observation is that radiation from the gas and particles can be approximately treated as a graybody under these conditions. More specifically, the results on the spectral radiation intensity of a gas comprising 40% (vol) H 2 O and 60% CO 2 show that when the pressure is increased to 15 bar, and the radiation pathlength is 100 cm, the spectral radiation profile of the gas phase approaches that of a blackbody at the respective temperature. In addition, the emissivity of the particulate cloud has been evaluated as a function of the particle concentration and diameter by employing the large-particle model. It is shown that the emissivity grows with the particle concentration but decreases with the particle size for the same mass of the particles. Finally, this outcome of the present study is expected to be used to validate the assumption of the gray-gas model adopted in the numerical simulations of pressurized oxy-combustion.

large-particle model↗

Multiple Slater Determinants and Strong Spin-Fluctuations as Key Ingredients of the Electronic Structure of Electron- and Hole-Doped Pb 10− x Cu x (PO 4 ) 6 O

LK-99, with chemical formula Pb 10−x Cu x (PO 4 ) 6 O, was recently reported to be a room-temperature superconductor. While this claim has met with little support in a flurry of ensuing work, a variety of calculations (mostly based on density-functional theory) have demonstrated that the system possesses some unusual characteristics in the electronic structure, in particular flat bands. We have established previously that within DFT, the system is insulating with many characteristics resembling the classic cuprates, provided the structure is not constrained to the P3(143) symmetry nominally assigned to it. Here we describe the basic electronic structure of LK-99 within self-consistent many-body perturbative approach, quasiparticle self-consistent GW (QSGW) approximation and their diagrammatic extensions. QSGW predicts that pristine LK-99 is indeed a Mott/charge transfer insulator, with a bandgap gap in excess of 3 eV, whether or not constrained to the P3(143) symmetry. When Pb 9 Cu(PO 4 ) 6 O is hole-doped, the valence bands modify only slightly, and a hole pocket appears. However, two solutions emerge: a high-moment solution with the Cu local moment aligned parallel to neighbors, and a low-moment solution with Cu aligned antiparallel to its environment. In the electron-doped case the conduction band structure changes significantly: states of mostly Pb character merge with the formerly dispersionless Cu d state, and high-spin and low spin solutions once again appear. Thus we conclude that with suitable doping, the ground state of the system is not adequately described by a band picture, and that strong correlations are likely. Irrespective of whether this system class hosts superconductivity or not, the transition of Pb 10 (PO 4 ) 6 O from being a band insulator to Pb 9 Cu(PO 4 ) 6 O, a Mott insulator, and multi-determinantal nature of doped Mott physics make this an extremely interesting case-study for strongly correlated many-body physics.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Apollo Next Generation Sample Analysis (ANGSA): an Apollo Participating Scientist Program to Prepare the Lunar Sample Community for Artemis

As a first step in preparing for the return of samples from the Moon by the Artemis Program, NASA initiated the Apollo Next Generation Sample Analysis Program (ANGSA). ANGSA was designed to function as a low-cost sample return mission and involved the curation and analysis of samples previously returned by the Apollo 17 mission that remained unopened or stored under unique conditions for 50 years. These samples include the lower portion of a double drive tube previously sealed on the lunar surface, the upper portion of that drive tube that had remained unopened, and a variety of Apollo 17 samples that had remained stored at -27 °C for approximately 50 years. ANGSA constitutes the first preliminary examination phase of a lunar “sample return mission” in over 50 years. It also mimics that same phase of an Artemis surface exploration mission, its design included placing samples within the context of local and regional geology through new orbital observations collected since Apollo and additional new “boots-on-the-ground” observations, data synthesis, and interpretations provided by Apollo 17 astronaut Harrison Schmitt. ANGSA used new curation techniques to prepare, document, and allocate these new lunar samples, developed new tools to open and extract gases from their containers, and applied new analytical instrumentation previously unavailable during the Apollo Program to reveal new information about these samples. Most of the 90 scientists, engineers, and curators involved in this mission were not alive during the Apollo Program, and it had been 30 years since the last Apollo core sample was processed in the Apollo curation facility at NASA JSC. There are many firsts associated with ANGSA that have direct relevance to Artemis. ANGSA is the first to open a core sample previously sealed on the surface of the Moon, the first to extract and analyze lunar gases collected in situ, the first to examine a core that penetrated a lunar landslide deposit, and the first to process pristine Apollo samples in a glovebox at -20 °C. All the ANGSA activities have helped to prepare the Artemis generation for what is to come. The timing of this program, the composition of the team, and the preservation of unopened Apollo samples facilitated this generational handoff from Apollo to Artemis that sets up Artemis and the lunar sample science community for additional successes.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

An Attractive Way to Correct for Missing Singles Excitations in Unitary Coupled Cluster Doubles Theory

Coupled cluster methods based exclusively on double excitations are comparatively “cheap” and interesting model chemistries, as they are typically able to capture the bulk of the dynamic electron correlation effects. The trade-off in such approximations is that the effect of neglected excitations, particularly single excitations, can be considerable. Using standard and electron-pair-restricted T 2 operators to define two flavors of unitary coupled cluster doubles (UCCD) methods, we investigate the extent to which missing single excitations can be recovered from low-order corrections in many-body perturbation theory (MBPT) within the unitary coupled cluster (UCC) formalism. Here, our analysis includes the derivations of finite-order UCC energy functionals, which are used as a basis to define perturbative estimates of missed single excitations. This leads to the novel UCCD[4S] and UCCD[6S] methods, which consider energy corrections for missing single excitations through fourth- and sixth-order in MBPT, respectively. We also apply the same methodology to the electron-pair-restricted ansatz, but the improvements are only marginal. Our findings show that augmenting UCCD with these post hoc perturbative corrections can lead to UCCSD-quality results.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Path integrals, complex probabilities and the discrete Weyl representation

Abstract A discrete formulation of the real-time path integral as the expectation value of a functional of paths with respect to a complex probability on a sample space of discrete valued paths is explored. The formulation in terms of complex probabilities is motivated by a recent reinterpretation of the real-time path integral as the expectation value of a potential functional with respect to a complex probability distribution on cylinder sets of paths. The discrete formulation in this work is based on a discrete version of the Weyl algebra that can be applied to any observable with a finite number of outcomes. The origin of the complex probability in this work is the completeness relation. In the discrete formulation the complex probability exactly factors into products of conditional probabilities and exact unitarity is maintained at each level of approximation. The approximation of infinite dimensional quantum systems by discrete systems is discussed. The method is illustrated by applying it to scattering theory and quantum field theory. The implications of these applications for quantum computing is discussed.

Physics↗

Liquid Phase Modeling in Porous Media: Adsorption of Methanol and Ethanol in H-MFI in Condensed Water

Zeolites are used in the chemical and separation industries for their exceptional selectivity, adsorption capacity, regenerability, and stability in gas and liquid phase processing. Here, we developed an explicit solvation method for predicting solvent/condensed phase effects on adsorption free energies in microporous media such as zeolites based on the hybrid quantum mechanical/molecular mechanical free energy perturbation (QM/MM-FEP) technique. Our explicit solvation method for zeolite systems, called eSZS, aims to capture site-specific interactions during the adsorption process at the Brønsted acid sites of H-MFI zeolite while still considering the diverse configuration space of the solvent molecules. This strategy is ideal for chemical reactions or adsorbates that interact with the microporous medium in few distinct adsorbate/transition state configurations, i.e., the harmonic or similar approximations are acceptable for the adsorbate/transition state while such approximations break down for the solvent molecules that require extensive configuration space sampling. In this way, our approach effectively overcomes the limitations of implicit solvation models and classical force field methods for describing solvation effects on chemical reactions within porous materials such as zeolites. Specifically, in this study, we investigated various aspects of our hybrid QM/MM approach, including QM cluster size dependencies in a periodic electrostatically embedded cluster model (PEECM), rules for link atoms at the QM/MM boundary, and functional and basis set considerations for converged and reasonably accurate gas and aqueous phase methanol and ethanol adsorption free energy predictions in H-MFI. For gas phase adsorption of methanol and ethanol in H-MFI at a Brønsted acid site in T12 position, we compute adsorption free energies at 298 K of −0.61 and −0.75 eV, respectively, using a PEECM containing 50 Si and 1 Al atom with ωB97x-D/def2-TZVP level of theory. For solvent effect calculations, we sample the aqueous phase using grand canonical Monte Carlo (GCMC) simulations to (1) obtain a mean field of electrostatic interactions in the reaction system and (2) perform a rigorous free energy perturbation calculation. Similar to the experimentally and computationally observed endergonic solvation effects observed for hydrocarbon adsorption on metal surfaces, we also observe that a condensed aqueous environment destabilizes methanol and ethanol at these acid sites in H-MFI at 298 K. Specifically, the computed solvation free energies of adsorption (ΔΔG solv ) for methanol and ethanol are +0.44 and +0.54 eV, respectively. From this study, it is evident that adsorbates (methanol and ethanol) are competing with water for adsorption space inside the H-MFI zeolite, leading to an endergonic solvation effect. Here, we expect that the endergonic, aqueous solvent effect during adsorption in microporous zeolites is highly tunable by changing the pore size and hydrophobicity of the microporous material as this will affect the water density inside the pore structure.

Adsorption↗

Three-dimensional analysis of microbunched electron cooling

Microbunched electron cooling (MBEC, Ratner, ), a special category of coherent electron cooling, has been under consideration as a candidate method for the strong hadron cooling component of the Electron Ion Collider (EIC) at BNL. Most of the theoretical treatments of this scheme so far have been based on simplified models for the key space charge effect in which electrons and/or hadrons are approximated by charged disks. Although such disk-based models provide a flexible tool that captures a good part of the underlying physics, they lack the fidelity and robustness of a rigorous analysis that explicitly treats the hadron and cooler electron beams as collections of point charges. In this paper, we present such a rigorous, three-dimensional (3D) model, both from a theory-based and a simulation perspective. Specifically, we calculate the generalized wakefield (or Green’s function) of the cooling system—a crucial quantity that determines the overall performance—paying special attention to the dependence of the wake on the hadron transverse positions. Additionally, our treatment takes into account previously neglected 3D effects that can cause damping of the plasma oscillations in the amplification section of the cooler, such as focusing and the angular spread of the electron beam. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Influences of δB contribution and parallel inertial term of energetic particles on MHD-kinetic hybrid simulations: a case study of the 1/1 internal kink mode

The magnetohydrodynamic-kinetic (MHD-kinetic) hybrid model (Park et al 1992 Phys. Fluids B 4 2033–7) has been widely applied in studying energetic particles (EPs) problems in fusion plasmas for past decades. The pressure-coupling scheme or the current-coupling scheme is adopted in this model. However, two noteworthy issues arise in the model application: firstly, the coupled term introduced in the pressure-coupling scheme, (∇•P h ) ⟂ , is often simplified by ∇•P h , which is equivalent to neglecting the parallel inertial term of EPs; secondly, besides the $δf$ contribution caused by changing in the EP distribution function, the magnetic field perturbation (the $δB$ contribution) generated during development of the instabilities should also be considered, but it is often ignored in existing hybrid simulations. In this paper, we derive the analytical formulations under these two coupling schemes and then numerically study the representative case of the linear stability of the $m/n$ = $1/1$ internal kink mode (IKM) (Fu et al 2006 Phys. Plasmas 13 052517) by using the CLT-K code. Further, it is found that the approximated models can still yield reasonable results when EPs are isotopically distributed. But it fails completely in cases with anisotropic EP distributions. In addition, we further investigate the influence of EP's orbit width on the stability of IKM and verify the equivalence between pressure-coupling scheme and the current-coupling scheme.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Cryogenic thermal modeling of microwave high density signaling

Superconducting quantum computers require microwave control lines running from room temperature to the mixing chamber of a dilution refrigerator. Adding more lines without preliminary thermal modeling to make predictions risks overwhelming the cooling power at each thermal stage. In this paper, we investigate the thermal load of SC-086/50-SCN-CN semi-rigid coaxial cable, which is commonly used for the control and readout lines of a superconducting quantum computer, as we increase the number of lines to a quantum processor. We investigate the makeup of the coaxial cables, verify the materials and dimensions, and experimentally measure the total thermal conductivity of a single cable as a function of the temperature from cryogenic to room temperature values. We also measure the cryogenic DC electrical resistance of the inner conductor as a function of temperature, allowing for the calculation of active thermal loads due to Ohmic heating. Fitting this data produces a numerical thermal conductivity function used to calculate the static heat loads due to thermal transfer within the wires resulting from a temperature gradient. The resistivity data is used to calculate active heat loads, and we use these fits in a cryogenic model of a superconducting quantum processor in a typical Bluefors XLD1000-SL dilution refrigerator, investigating how the thermal load increases with processor sizes ranging from 100 to 225 qubits. We conclude that the theoretical upper limit of the described architecture is approximately 200 qubits. However, including an engineering margin in the cooling power and the available space for microwave readout circuitry at the mixing chamber, the practical limit is approximately 140 qubits.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Understanding Inlet Concentration Effects on the Electrocatalytic Conversion of CO 2 to Formic Acid in Gas-Fed Electrolyzers

The electrochemical CO 2 reduction reaction (CO2RR) to produce value-added products remains a developing technology for utilizing waste CO 2 streams. Most device-level CO2RR studies use pure CO 2 gas feeds; however, the effect of dilute CO 2 on the electrolyzer performance is an important consideration for large-scale electrolyzer operation, single-pass conversion, and real-world CO 2 source utilization. This work investigates the effect that the CO 2 concentration has on the performance of formic acid (HCOOH) producing tin oxide (SnO 2 ) and bismuth oxide (Bi 2 O 3 ) catalysts in an electrolyzer device setting. Surprisingly, SnO2 demonstrated an approximately 20% increase in HCOOH selectivity (Faradaic efficiency) when the CO 2 concentration decreased from 100 to 20%. In contrast, Bi 2 O 3 consistently demonstrated high selectivity toward HCOOH across the same CO 2 concentration range. The effects of the CO 2 concentration on selectivity were further investigated with half-cell experiments and in situ Raman spectroscopy, which revealed dynamic changes in the cathodic overpotential and chemical state of the catalyst that depended on the CO 2 concentration. Density functional theory calculations showed how changes in the surface oxidation state of Sn, varying from fully oxidized SnO 2 to metallic Sn(0), affect the thermodynamic barriers of the three main observed products: HCOOH, CO, and H 2 . Our results indicate that dilute CO 2 concentrations required larger cathodic overpotentials to sustain a fixed current density, which, in turn, pushed the Sn-based catalyst toward a more reduced surface that was favorable to HCOOH formation. On the other hand, the Bi-based catalyst remained in a metallic state at CO2RR-relevant potentials and demonstrated a consistent product selectivity regardless of CO 2 concentration. These findings highlight how varying the CO 2 inlet gas concentrations affects the chemical state of catalysts and the resulting performance metrics.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Complete quasilinear model for the acceleration-driven lower hybrid drift instability and a computational assessment of its validity

A complete quasilinear model is derived for the electrostatic acceleration-driven lower hybrid drift instability in a uniform two-species low-beta plasma in which current is perpendicular to the background magnetic field. The model consists of coupled nonlinear velocity space diffusion equations for the volume-averaged ion and electron distribution functions. Each species' diffusion coefficient depends on a time-evolving spectral density of the electric-field energy per unit volume and a time-evolving dispersion relation. The dispersion relation is expressed analytically in integral form without the use of asymptotic limits and applies to arbitrary distribution functions, so long as they can be expressed as a function of one velocity coordinate, e.g., f⁡(vy) or f⁡(v⊥). The quasilinear model conserves energy and is complete in that it fully describes the evolution of the distribution functions, including resonant and nonresonant particle-wave interactions, while accounting for distribution-function-dependent mixed-complex frequencies. Further, the quasilinear diffusion model is solved numerically and self-consistently using a Crank-Nicolson temporal discretization and a second-order finite-volume velocity-space discretization. Numerical solutions are compared to nonlinear fourth-order accurate continuum kinetic Vlasov-Poisson simulations. Evolution of electric-field energy, growth rates, distribution functions, and diffusion coefficients are shown to be in agreement with Vlasov simulations. The quasilinear model is shown to predict anomalous transport terms, like resistivity and heating, to within a factor of order unity. Discrepancies between the quasilinear model and Vlasov simulations are assessed and attributed primarily to lack of damping in the quasilinear description and to the use of unperturbed-orbit susceptibilities in the linear theory dispersion relation. The results illuminate the predictive accuracy of the quasilinear model, place approximate bounds on its validity, and provide much needed vetting of quasilinear theory's ability to predict the nonlinear state of a microturbulent plasma.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Interface PINNs (I-PINNs): A physics-informed neural networks framework for interface problems

Here, we present a novel physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) framework for modeling interface problems, termed Interface PINNs (I-PINNs). I-PINNs uses different neural networks for any two subdomains separated by a sharp interface such that the neural networks differ only through their activation functions while the other parameters remain identical. The performance of I-PINNs, conventional PINNs, and other existing domain-decomposition PINNs methods such as extended PINNs (XPINNs) and multi-domain PINN (M-PINN) is compared through several one-dimensional, two-dimensional, and three-dimensional benchmark elliptic interface problems. The results demonstrate that I-PINNs provides a root-mean-square-error accuracy, at least two orders of magnitude better than conventional PINNs and XPINNs at approximately one-tenth of the computational cost of conventional PINNs and half the cost of XPINNs. Additionally, while I-PINNs and M-PINN provide comparable accuracies, M-PINN is found to be approximately 50% more expensive.

42 ENGINEERING↗

The Factors Governing Metal Dependence of an Emergent Superfamily of Bimetallic Oxygenases

Metalloenzyme superfamilies are typically defined by their protein scaffolds and active sites. Owing to the high tunability of protein structures, members of a single superfamily can catalyze diverse reactions with the same metallocofactor. Some superfamilies, such as amidohydrolase-related dinuclear oxygenases (AROs), display further versatility by utilizing multiple metallocofactors. We have shown that certain AROs catalyze monooxygenation reactions with diiron, dimanganese, and/or mixed manganese−iron cofactors, but the molecular factors governing the selection of a particular cofactor remain unknown, and the extent of this superfamily in biology is unclear. Here, we report bioinformatic analyses that expand the ARO superfamily to approximately 17,000 unique UniProt sequences, far exceeding the number of previously characterized enzymes. Through the integration of structural, spectroscopic, and thermodynamic analyses of representative proteins with a bioinformatic pipeline that identifies key secondary- and tertiary-sphere residues, we can predict in silico the metal preference for the majority of reported ARO sequences. These annotations were validated via the characterization of multiple new AROs, including ones implicated in key oxidative steps of natural product biosyntheses. This study establishes the key structure−function relationships governing metal preferences in AROs and highlights their vastly underappreciated role in myriad biological processes.

Liu, Chang [University of California, Berkeley, CA↗

2025 Status Report - Fiberboard Properties and Degradation Rates for Storage of 9975 Shipping Package in KAC

Fiberboard assemblies in the 9975 package were identified as susceptible to aging and degradation under long-term storage conditions. Thermal, mechanical, and physical properties have been measured on fiberboard samples aging for up to 20 years at accelerated conditions. The aging environments include elevated temperature up to 250 ºF (the maximum allowed service temperature for fiberboard in 9975 packages) and elevated humidity. Accelerated aging results have been analyzed and used to build aging models. Correlations relating several properties (thermal conductivity, energy absorption, weight, dimensions, and density) to their rate of change in potential storage environments have been developed. Combined with an estimate of the actual conditions the fiberboard experiences in K-Area Complex (KAC), these models allow development of service life predictions. KAC completed calculations that supported extending the service life of 9975 packages with 3013 containers in storage from 20 years to 40 years. These calculations addressed the potential for degraded fiberboard properties following 40 years in storage using degradation models. The 40 year storage evaluations assumed the degradation rates from initial values for density, dimensional, and thermal properties were 0.5% per year (i.e., after 40 years, the density, dimensional, and thermal properties of fiberboard were 80% of its initial values). The updated degradation models developed in this report were compared to the assumptions in those calculations, and the current results for fiberboard dimensions, density, axial and radial thermal conductivities, and energy absorption remain consistent with those calculations. Additional data will continue to be collected to permit future refinements to the models and assumptions. Some of the predicted degradation rates presented in this report are purposely high to accelerate aging. These rates relate to environments that do not exist within KAC or are postulated to only occur as upset conditions that are unlikely to persist for an extended period. For a typical package stored in KAC with approximately 10-12 watts internal heat load or less, and ambient temperatures below 90 ºF, the fiberboard assemblies experience storage conditions less severe than any of the aging environments (i.e., under 125 °F) used in this study. Fiberboard in conforming packages with lower internal heat loads should experience little or no degradation and is expected to provide a service life beyond the currently approved 40 year storage period. Packages with higher internal heat loads may not continue to perform their required safety functions beyond 40 years. Ultimately, service life will be determined by the cumulative effect of degradation from all the conditions these packages might encounter. The results and model predictions presented in this report are applicable to 9975 packages with cane or softwood fiberboard overpack assemblies. These degradation models do not address the effects of nonconforming conditions such as the presence of excess moisture and mold or beetle infestations.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗