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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 595 records · Page 33
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

TEAMER: Results of Investigating Structural Design Concepts and Alternative Materials for a Wave Power System

Included here are materials from a study on the design of a three-body Wave Energy Converter (WEC) utilizing a heave plate, dual Power Take Offs (PTOs), and single point mooring. A material trade study has been conducted to evaluate the effects of introducing various metallic and fiber-reinforced polymer (FRP) elements to the design. The baseline design is C-Power's patented k2 Wave Power System (WPS). This Testing Expertise and Access for Marine Energy Research (TEAMER) Request for Technical Support (RFTS) 9 effort resulted in alternative designs of the WPS center member, the nacelle. The analysis resulting from this study will inform the design of a lightweight structure with lower manufacturing and operating costs that increases energy conversion and power-to-weight ratio of the device. The dataset contains several components: finite element analysis (FEA) data, hand calculations, and CAD models. FEA files includes those used for and generated by finite element simulations. Calculations include hand calculations performed using Microsoft Excel, which assess core laminate properties, buckling, and other structural aspects in accordance with risk management DNV-RP-C201 standards. CAD materials include Solidworks files for parts, assemblies, and drawings of the evaluated models.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2026

Sampling Microbial Dynamics in the Salish Sea Estuary: Evaluating Methods to Capture Cyanobacteria and Cyanophage

Introduction: Picocyanobacteria from the genera Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus thrive across the globe in aquatic environments, have relatively small genomes, and have growth dynamics regulated by both viral interactions and abiotic conditions, making them excellent model organisms for exploring host-pathogencoevolution. Methods: We developed and refined methods to sample and sequence cyanobacteria, cyanophages, and measured features of their abiotic environment. Results: The protocol described herein can successfully discriminate large-cell eukaryotic organisms, but size fractionation of picocyanobacteria appears to be affected by the presence of free DNA, multicellular structures, and abundant tycheposons. Our preferred final protocol from this exploratory effort included a combination of in-line and single vacuum flask filtrations, which reduced filtration processing time by over threefold in some cases compared to other tested methods, such as a fully in-line sequence or in-site filtrations. We successfully extracted an average of approximately 400–1200 ng for all filter fractions, with some variations between kits. Discussion: The protocol described herein can successfully discriminate large-cell eukaryotic organisms, but size fractionation of picocyanobacteria appears to be affected by the presence of free DNA, multicellular structures, and abundant tycheposons.

Salish Sea↗
DOE OSTI2025

Operando X-ray absorption spectroscopic investigation of electrocatalysts state in anion exchange membrane fuel cells

Capturing the active state of (electro)catalysts under operating conditions, namely operando, is the ultimate objective of (electro)catalyst characterization, enabling the unraveling of reaction mechanisms and advancing (electro)catalyst development. Operando insights advance our understanding of the correlations between electrochemical tests and device-level performances. However, operando characterization of electrocatalysts is challenging due to the complexity of electrochemical devices and instrumental limitations. As a result, the majority of electrocatalyst characterizations have been limited to half-cell in situ studies. Here, we present an operando X-ray absorption spectroscopic study of Mn spinel oxide electrocatalysts in an operating fuel cell employing a custom-designed cell. Our results reveal that in anion exchange membrane fuel cells, the Mn valence state, within spinel Mn 3 O 4 /C, increases to above 3+, adopting an octahedral coordination devoid of Jahn-Teller distortions. This structural change results in an AEMFC performance equivalent to that of Co 1.5 Mn 1.5 O 4 /C, a composition that outperforms Mn 3 O 4 /C in rotating disk electrode tests. Our results underscore the importance of operando characterizations in elucidating the active state of electrocatalysts and understanding the correlation(s) between electrochemical tests and device performance.

Electrocatalysis↗
DOE OSTI2025

Multilayer Architecture Barriers for High Temperature Nuclear Applications

Innovative thin film multilayer metal/ceramic barrier coatings have been developed by Argonne National Laboratory to protect fuel cladding against different phenomena that can be encountered under the harsh operating conditions of advanced nuclear reactors. One phenomenon is Fuel-Cladding Chemical Interaction (FCCI), which can represent a challenge to the performance of steel-clad metallic fuels in sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs), especially when operating to high burnups at elevated cladding temperatures, and long fuel residence time. Another phenomenon is the corrosion of zirconium-based cladding under prototypic boiling water reactor (BWR) conditions and associated cladding during off normal conditions, including loss of coolant accidents (LOCA). This work provides details of the development and testing of a thin film (few microns) multilayer metal/ceramic (CrY/Y 2 O 3 ) coatings on steel cladding and its performance against FCCI. The coating architecture evolved through systematic mechanical testing, radiation tolerance assessments, and high-temperature diffusion studies from a preliminary multilayer concept to an optimized high-performance design. The optimized structure leverages stoichiometric Y 2 O 3 for its exceptional radiation stability, chemical inertness, and ultra-low fission product diffusivity (e.g., Ce diffusivity ~10 -20 m 2 /s in irradiated Y 2 O 3 at 650 °C). This is paired with ductile chromium-rich interlayers (Cr 95 Y 5 ), which significantly enhance fracture toughness and mechanical resilience. Design refinements, including increased ceramic layer thickness and optimized Cr–Y interlayer composition, eliminated fracture propagation and preserved coating integrity under extreme mechanical stress (>10× typical reactor conditions) and prolonged radiation exposure (~300 dpa). Those conditions are well beyond expected conditions during normal operations in SFR, and cover some of the transient conditions as well. In addition, the coating deposition was demonstrated to be applied uniformly to the inner surface of steel tubes representing prototypic SFR cladding. Another phenomenon under consideration in this work is the corrosion of zirconium-based cladding under prototypic boiling water reactor (BWR) conditions and associated off normal conditions including loss of coolant accident (LOCA). Another multilayer thin film coating is considered for mitigation of this phenomenon, where a coating of yttrium aluminum and yttrium aluminum ceramic/metal thin film coating. Preliminary results on the coating performance during high temperature thermal cycling (up to 1000 C) have shown promising performance of the coating. On-going optimization of the coating will continue in FY26.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Efficiently improving the performance of noisy quantum computers

Using near-term quantum computers to achieve a quantum advantage requires efficient strategies to improve the performance of the noisy quantum devices presently available. We develop and experimentally validate two efficient error mitigation protocols named "Noiseless Output Extrapolation" and "Pauli Error Cancellation" that can drastically enhance the performance of quantum circuits composed of noisy cycles of gates. By combining popular mitigation strategies such as probabilistic error cancellation and noise amplification with efficient noise reconstruction methods, our protocols can mitigate a wide range of noise processes that do not satisfy the assumptions underlying existing mitigation protocols, including non-local and gate-dependent processes. We test our protocols on a four-qubit superconducting processor at the Advanced Quantum Testbed. We observe significant improvements in the performance of both structured and random circuits, with up to 86 % improvement in variation distance over the unmitigated outputs. Our experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our protocols, as well as their practicality for current hardware platforms.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Effect of Fatigue on the Capacity and Performance of Structural Concrete

The goal of this project was to enhance the understanding of the fatigue behavior of concrete structures for the purpose of improving the design and assessment of towers and foundations that support wind turbines, which must endure repeated loadings from wind, waves, operations, and other dynamic effects that cause material degradation. This was achieved through physical experiments, a review of the technical literature, and collaboration with experts in key subject areas. The project produced a comprehensive database of publicly available fatigue data, several technical papers presenting the research findings, and two Technotes to be published by the American Concrete Institute that advance best practices in fatigue testing and enable the development of concrete-specific fatigue (S-N) (stress-life) curves. These contributions are expected to enhance the durability and cost-effectiveness of wind turbine support structures.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Survey of Deep Learning and Physics-Based Approaches in Computational Wave Imaging

Computational wave imaging (CWI) extracts hidden structure and physical properties of a volume of material by analyzing wave signals that traverse that volume. Applications include seismic exploration of the Earth’s subsurface, acoustic imaging and nondestructive testing (NDT) in material science, and ultrasound computed tomography (USCT) in medicine. Current approaches for solving CWI problems can be divided into two categories: those rooted in traditional physics and those based on deep learning. Physics-based methods stand out for their ability to provide high-resolution and quantitatively accurate estimates of acoustic properties within the medium. However, they can be computationally intensive and are susceptible to ill-posedness and nonconvexity typical of CWI problems. Machine learning (ML)-based computational methods have recently emerged, offering a different perspective to address these challenges. Diverse scientific communities have independently pursued the integration of deep learning in CWI. This review discusses how contemporary scientific ML techniques, and deep neural networks in particular, have been developed to enhance and integrate with traditional physics-based methods for solving CWI problems. We present a structured framework that consolidates existing research spanning multiple domains, including computational imaging, wave physics, and data science. This study concludes with important lessons learned from existing ML-based methods and identifies technical hurdles and emerging trends through a systematic analysis of the extensive literature on this topic.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Small scale tensile testing technique for measuring grain boundary strength of neutron-irradiated materials in focused ion beam systems

Irradiation induced defects on grain boundaries (GBs) can lead to GB strength degradation and cause intergranular cracking in structural materials, affecting the safe operation and service life of nuclear reactors. Establishing the quantitative relationship between the strength and character/microchemistry for individual GB in an effort of integrating experimental measurements and multiscale simulations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Quantifying Trapped Powder in Electron Beam Powder Bed Fusion

Abstract Electron beam powder bed fusion (PBF-EB) shows great potential for manufacturing complex parts including those with internal cavities for heat exchanger, manifold systems, or energy absorption purposes. PBF-EB allows for the manufacture of channel geometries without the need for support structures. Due to the nature of the powder spreading process, powder feedstock is often trapped in intentionally manufactured cavities. This trapped powder can often be difficult to remove and can disturb the intended flow of fluid through the cavity or damage downstream components in its use case. These trapped powder particles present a risk of contamination and component failure if not completely evacuated. Ti6Al4V is a choice material for aerospace applications due to its high strength to weight ratio and its composition as a nonferrous metal; however, in weight sensitive applications excess entrapped powders or powders loosely attached to the surface could cause undesirable weight increases. The inherent spreading process of PBF-EB is different than laser powder bed fusion (PBF-LB) in its operational temperature, sintering. In addition, PBF-EB is less commonly studied in literature compared to its PBF-LB counterpart, and as a result the complexity of the semi-sintered powder and its spreading behavior are not well understood. Prior work has investigated the difficulty in removing trapped powder from PBF-EB, but these studies do not address how to quantify the amount of trapped powder in the cavity. Thus, an accurate method to measure the amount of trapped powder in the cavity must be investigated. In this work, Ti6Al4V coupons were manufactured with horizontal and vertical cavities of three different sizes. Archimedes testing allows for the determination of density differences caused by porosity and trapped powders by measuring mass and volumetric dispersion. Computed tomography (CT) is well suited for segmenting the internal structure and features of a part and has been studied for applications including voids, porosity, and dross. Thus, CT was explored as a method for evaluating trapped powder content in this work. The volumetric representation of the segmentation of the reconstructed CT volume can vary greatly depending on the input filter and thresholding methods. In this study, four different types of segmentation approaches were evaluated to determine the best approach for segmenting the volume as compared to an operator labeled ground truth. The percentage density results from the Archimedes testing were compared to the volumetric percent density from the computed tomography approach. Differences in packing density between two different internal channel features were investigated. Overall, this work sought to validate the use of computed tomography for the detection of trapped powders and present a framework for volumetric segmentation.

Johnstone, Brian↗
DOE OSTI2025

ReaxFF Parameter Set for Boron Clusters and Icosahedral Boron Crystals: Comparison with Density Functional Theory and Machine-Learning Potentials

Icosahedral boron materials, which include regular icosahedra of 12 boron atoms have gained increasing attention due to their potential applications as superhard materials, semiconductors, and energy storage media. However, the synthesis of high quality crystals of these materials has been a major barrier to the development of these applications. To enable computational prediction of synthesis conditions yielding high-quality icosahedral boron crystals, herein we tested and refined a set of ReaxFF parameters for the nucleation and growth of such crystals. We focused on matching the relative energies of small boron clusters obtained by density functional theory since such small clusters and similar motifs are likely present in crystal nuclei and at the interface of growing crystals. Using a training set of B 80 clusters, including a low-energy core–shell structure containing a B 12 icosahedron core and a high-energy single-shell structure produced in preliminary ReaxFF simulations, the ReaxFF parameter set was refined to better reproduce energies calculated by density functional theory (DFT). Among existing ReaxFF parameter sets and the machine-learning interatomic potentials MACE-MP-0, MACE-MP-0b3, MACE-MPA-0, PFP v7.0.0, and SevenNet-MF-ompa, only our new parameter set and PFP v7.0.0 correctly ranked these B 80 clusters. This refinement led to improved agreement with DFT for a test set of 58 clusters consisting of 8–103 boron atoms. Furthermore, our refined parameter set yielded greater local icosahedral structure than the previously existing ReaxFF parameter set for larger scale simulations of crystallization from supercooled liquid boron. Additionally, simulations of solid boron in contact with molten nickel using our refined ReaxFF parameters yielded a boron solubility value that agrees moderately well with experimental expectations, while the previous boron parameters gave a value that was much too low.

boron↗
DOE OSTI2026

Effect of spacer grids on high-burnup fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal

Increasing the fuel burnup limit in light-water reactors to improve fuel cycle economics requires a strong technical foundation. Experimental observations from the Halden and Studsvik programs have revealed severe fuel fragmentation during loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA) conditions, highlighting the need for additional technical evaluation. Consequently, further LOCA test data are needed to complement existing findings and improve the understanding of fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD) behavior. Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s Severe Accident Test Station has played a significant role in advancing the understanding of high-burnup fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal phenomena. One remaining gap in the available experimental database is the effect of fuel assembly structural features on cladding deformation behavior during a LOCA, and more specifically, their impact on the fuel’s ability to fragment, relocate, and disperse. Recent analyses using the BISON fuel performance code suggest that cladding deformation near grid spacers will remain below the 3% threshold that has been reported in the NRC Research Information Letter, indicating that the cladding could remain mechanically constrained during the LOCA event. This paper builds upon the BISON analyses to design and conduct a series of out-of-cell tests aimed at further evaluating cladding deformation in and around grid spacers. In addition, these tests were used to assess local cladding temperature conditions and compare them against analytical predictions in order to better replicate expected in-reactor behavior. Finally, an in-cell high-burnup LOCA test was designed and performed to evaluate the effects of a grid spacer, or cladding restraint, on fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal susceptibility. The high-burnup test results differed from those of historical LOCA experiments, with a recorded rupture temperature of 861°C. Two ballooned regions and corresponding rupture openings were observed, with rupture widths of approximately 0.64 mm for both ruptures and rupture lengths of 4.8 mm and 5.6 mm, respectively.

Capps, Nathan [ORNL]↗
DOE OSTI2025

Development of Hydrogen Burner for FT4000® Aeroderivative Engine - Final Report

This report details an effort to develop a retrofittable fuel/air injector for the FT4000® aeroderivative gas turbine that enables use of hydrogen as a carbon-free fuel for efficient power generation. The FT4000 engine’s low-NOx combustor was developed by Pratt & Whitney and RTX Technology Research Center with core technology from the Pratt & Whitney PW4000 turbofan aircraft engine. The current FT4000 production engine operates on either natural gas or No. 2 fuel oil with water injection to achieve high thermal efficiency and low emissions. This engine is fielded by Mitsubishi Power Aero and delivers 70 MW of power with a simple-cycle efficiency of over 41% when operating with wet compression. The work reported here advances the technology readiness level of the FT4000 combustor for operation with hydrogen, starting with an experimental assessment of the current production hardware with increasing hydrogen content mixed with natural gas and ending with improved nozzle concepts for fully robust operation with 100% hydrogen. High-pressure single-sector combustor rig tests have been completed, demonstrating the ability for the dual fuel nozzle to operate an FT4000 combustor on 100% hydrogen with low nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions. Metal temperature measurements and video images of the flame structure from zero to 100% hydrogen highlight opportunities to improve the fuel nozzle robustness for high hydrogen conditions. The design of new fuel/air mixer concepts to improve durability and operability with high hydrogen levels was also completed. A total of eleven new concepts were developed and analyzed, ranging from modifications to the bill-of-materials nozzle to fully clean sheet designs. The concepts were evaluated with non-reacting and reacting flow evaluations to assess the performance of the new hardware designs. Non-reacting tests included Phase Doppler Particle Analysis (PDPA) for droplet size and velocity, mechanical patternation for liquid water flux, and planar laser induced fluorescence (PLIF) with acetone-seeding for gaseous fuel/air mixing characterization. Five scaled candidate fuel nozzle designs, in addition to a scaled bill-of-materials nozzle, were then successfully evaluated in an atmospheric pressure burner rig. The nozzles were evaluated for performance with natural gas, hydrogen/natural gas blends, and pure hydrogen. For 100% hydrogen, the nozzles were evaluated with and without water injection. Optical and infrared imaging of the flame and fuel nozzle was captured. NOx emissions were sampled from fixed emissions probes. The results show measurable differences between the various designs, and the data was used to down-select the two most promising designs to advance to future full pressure rig testing. Results from this study have cleared the current production FT4000 engines with dual fuel nozzles to operate at baseload power on blends of hydrogen mixed with natural gas and water. Two promising nozzle designs have been developed to enable fully robust operation with up to 100% hydrogen. These nozzles require validation at full baseload operating conditions before they can be introduced to the field.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Development and Experimental Validation of a Heat Transfer Model for Spilled Molten Salt Pools

A spill of radionuclide-bearing molten salt is one of the major postulated events that needs to be analyzed for liquid fluorine salt-cooled high-temperature reactor (FHR) or molten salt reactor licensing purposes. In this postulated event, radioactive source term materials (RSTMs) in the molten salt are discharged from the reactor vessel to the reactor building. The release of RSTMs from the spilled salt pool to the gas space in the reactor building is expected to be controlled by the cooling behavior of the spilled salt, including the growth and shrinkage of the solid crust on the surface of the spilled salt pool. This paper presents a simulation model for spilled salt pool heat transfer and validation efforts. The validation data come from two molten salt spill tests that were performed recently: the PELE2 test by the Rapid Experimental Laboratory of Kairos Power LLC (KP) and the Argonne salt cooling test conducted by Argonne National Laboratory. The former was a large-scale test involving kilograms of molten spilled FLiNaK salt, and the latter was a relatively smaller-scale test targeting various processes associated with a salt spill event. Both tests generated valuable data sets that can be used to assess salt cooling and validate evaluation models. This paper provides a new one-dimensional model that can simulate the cooling process of a spilled salt pool as well as the thermal responses of heat structures, such as the stainless steel liner and the concrete below the salt. The model has been implemented as part of KP-SAM code, which is a branch of the systems code SAM specific to KP FHR. In conclusion, the simulation results of the model are compared with the data of the PELE2 and Argonne tests, and reasonable agreements are observed between the model and test data.

heat transfer model↗
DOE OSTI2026

Sputter coating of Nb₃Sn into SRF cavity using stoichiometric target

Nb₃Sn has emerged as a leading alternative material due to its higher superconducting critical temperature (Tc) and superheating field (Hsh), promising a viable solution to the intrinsic performance limit currently faced by Nb superconducting radiofrequency (SRF) cavities. We sputter-coated Nb₃Sn inside Nb SRF cavity using a stoichiometric Nb₃Sn tube target in a DC cylindrical magnetron sputter coater. The target was fabricated by growing an estimated >20 μm thick Nb₃Sn layer on a Nb tube via Sn vapor diffusion using Jefferson Lab’s coating system. Approximately 150 nm thick Nb-Sn films were sputter-deposited onto flat Nb samples at positions representing the beam tubes and equator of a 2.6 GHz Nb cavity. Post-deposition annealing at 950 °C for 3 h resulted in the formation of Nb₃Sn. Microstructural analysis of the annealed films was carried out to investigate the morphology and structure of the Nb₃Sn films. Later, a 2.6 GHz Nb SRF cavity was coated with a ~1.2 μm thick sputtered Nb-Sn film using a stoichiometric Nb₃Sn target, followed by annealing. Cryogenic RF testing of the annealed cavity demonstrated a Tc of 17.8 K, indicating the formation of Nb₃Sn. After a light Sn recoating treatment, the cavity achieved a quality factor (Q0) of 6.7E+08 at lower field at 2.0 K.

Accelerator Physics↗
DOE OSTI2024

Gigaton commercial-scale carbon storage and mineralization potential in stacked Columbia River basalt reservoirs

This work presents a detailed supercritical CO 2 storage resource estimation for the stacked basalt reservoirs in the Grande Ronde Basalt of the Columbia River Basalt Group in eastern Washington and Oregon. The assessment aims to derisk the commercialization potential of geologic carbon storage in basalt by leveraging both structural and mineralization trapping of CO 2 in basalt. The structural closures formed by anticlinal ridges and synclinal valleys in Yakima Fold Belt are excellent physical traps to accommodate injected supercritical CO 2 . Rigorous hydraulic testing, well logs and simulation results from the Wallula Basalt Pilot #1 well showed the occurrence of 17 suitable permeable injection zones (up to 2,496 mD) intercalated with dense seals (~2.6E-10 mD) in the Grand Ronde Basalt. In addition, geochemical studies showed fast reactions between supercritical CO 2 and dissolved basalt minerals to form stable carbonates. In conclusion, our calculation indicates up to 40 gigatons (P90) of mineralization storage resources exist in the Grande Ronde Basalt reservoirs.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Environmental Contributions to Proton Sharing in Protein Low-Barrier Hydrogen Bonds

Hydrogen bonds (H-bonds) are central to biomolecular structure and dynamics. Although H-bonds are typically characterized by well-defined proton positions, proton delocalization has been proposed to play a role in facilitating enzyme catalysis and allostery in some systems. Experimentally locating protons is difficult, hampering the study of proton mobility in H-bonds. We used neutron crystallography, atomic resolution X-ray bond length analysis, and large quantum mechanics/molecular mechanics-Born–Oppenheimer molecular dynamics (QM/MM-BOMD) simulations to comprehensively characterize the shared proton/deuteron in a Glu–Asp low-barrier hydrogen bond (LBHB) in the bacterial protein YajL that is a conventional H-bond in the homologous disease-associated human protein DJ-1. X-ray bond length analysis of protiated and perdeuterated DJ-1 and YajL shows no significant effect of deuteron substitution on these carboxylic acid-carboxylate H-bonds but does reveal an effect at the active site glutamic acid near a cysteine thiolate. Residues in an H-bonded network that might favor LBHB formation in YajL were interrogated by the mutation of homologous residues in DJ-1. A distal DJ-1 substitution increases proton delocalization in the Glu–Asp H-bond, demonstrating that mutations within extended H-bond networks can modulate proton transfer barriers in carboxylic acid-carboxylate H-bonds. In addition, proton mobility in the H-bond is correlated with dimer-spanning motions in the QM/MM-BOMD simulations of YajL and DJ-1. Our results show that proton delocalization can be tuned using combined bioinformatic, structural, and computational information, opening the possibility of using engineered proton delocalization as a probe of H-bonding environments and as a tool to test hypotheses about LBHB function.

Lin, Jiusheng [University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Extending evolutionary forecasts across bacterial species

Improving evolutionary forecasting requires progressing from studying repeated evolution of a single genotype under identical conditions to formulating broad principles. These principles should enable predictions of how similar species will adapt to similar selective pressures. Evolve-and-resequence experiments with multiple species allow testing forecasts on different biological levels and elucidating the causes for failed predictions. Here, we show that forecasts for adaptation to static culture conditions can be extended to multiple species by testing previous predictions for Pseudomonas syringae and Pseudomonas savastanoi. In addition to sequence divergence, these species differ in their repertoire of biofilm regulatory genes and structural components. Consistent with predictions, both species repeatedly produced biofilm mutants with a wrinkly spreader phenotype. Predominantly, mutations occurred in the wsp operon, with less frequent promoter mutations near uncharacterized diguanylate cyclases. However, mutational patterns differed on the gene level, which was explained by a lack of conservation in relative fitness of mutants between more divergent species. The same mutation was the most frequent for both species suggesting that conserved mutation hotspots can increase parallel evolution. This study shows that evolutionary forecasts can be extended across species, but that differences in the genotype–phenotype–fitness map and mutational biases limit predictability on a detailed molecular level.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗