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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 613 records · Page 34
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Multi-catalytic active site biochar-based catalysts for glucose isomerized to fructose: Experiments and density functional theory study

In this study, this work provides an innovative method for preparing different isomerization catalysts by impregnating different proportions of MgCl 2 and AlCl 3 and combining different K compounds on cellulose-derived biochar, followed by pyrolysis. Results show MgO and Al(OH) 3 existing in 4 Mg- 1 Al-C catalyst can obtain better catalytic effect on glucose isomerization than the singe of Al presenting in 0 Mg- 1 Al-C catalyst. Moreover, the synergism effects of the multi-catalytic active sites such as β-, γ -Al(OH) 3 , KCl, MgO, and K 4 H 2 (CO 3 ) 3 in Mg-Al-KHCO 3 -C catalyst can further lead to an increase in glucose isomerization, compared to the 4 Mg- 1 Al-C catalyst. The X-ray diffraction results present that the value of O/Al in Mg-Al-KHCO 3 -C catalyst is as high as 13.38, which provides many unsaturated acidic catalysis sites and benefits the glucose isomerization. Simultaneously, the TPD results reveal that the main active sites (MgO, Al(OH) 3 , and K 4 H 2 (CO 3 ) 3 ) in Mg-Al-KHCO 3 -C catalyst can provide weakly acidic and basic sites and avoid strongly acidic and basic sites to excessively attack the glucose. Based on the DFT analysis, the results indicate that the MgO has a great effect on the ring-opening reaction to form acyclic glucose, while Al(OH) 3+ has a great effect on promoting acyclic glucose hydrogen transfer isomerized to form fructose. Compared to other carbon-based metal catalysts, the prepared Mg-Al-KHCO 3 -C has excellent catalytic performance, which gives a higher fructose yield (38.7%) and selectivity (87.72%) and glucose conversion (44.12%) at 100 °C in 30 min. In this study, we develop a highly efficient Mg-Al-K-biochar catalyst for glucose isomerization and provide an efficient method for cellulose valorization.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Energy-efficient building technologies

Buildings consume one-third of the total final energy produced on the globe and are responsible for almost 40 percent of total carbon dioxide generation annually. The latest carbon dioxide burden of buildings approached 10 Gigatons in the year 2019. Energy-efficient building technologies are necessary to address the climate change induced by greenhouse gases and fulfill the growth in demand and continuously depleting energy reserves. To meet the net-zero carbon footprint goals, sustainable, renewable energy resources, efficient building technologies, and demand management strategies are needed. Achieving zero emissions will require buildings to be equipped with energy-efficient technologies while completely avoiding on-site fossil fuel consumption and being only powered by renewable energy. In this context, this chapter provides an overview of various building technologies, including envelopes, materials, equipment, appliances, and integration concepts, which will play a significant role in lowering the overall energy consumption in both existing building stock and new buildings. Specifically, the following areas are discussed in detail: emerging building envelope designs, thermal comfort and refrigeration equipment, bridging technologies for improved energy efficiency in the ongoing energy transition, hybrid renewable (photovoltaic) configurations, energy storage technologies, miscellaneous appliances, refrigerants, and renewable fuels. The influence of key design and operating characteristics on annual carbon footprint is presented.

Cheekatamarla, Praveen↗
DOE OSTI2024

Liquid metal walls

Here, the plasma performance of fusion devices depends strongly on the chosen wall materials. Solid plasma-facing components (PFCs) are predominantly used in present devices, and are the most investigated candidates for fusion designs. High-Z materials such as tungsten (W) are the leading solid PFC material candidates. To date, a material choice that scales to steady-state reactor conditions has not been identified. Moreover, if plasma transient events such as edge-localized modes and disruptions cannot be altogether avoided or sufficiently mitigated, the projected peak heat and particle loads far exceed the power exhaust capabilities of solids. Liquid metal (LM) PFCs represent an intrinsic self-healing boundary that are both resilient to surface damage from transients, and that could handle high steady-state heat and particle fluxes. Flowing LM PFCs can be designed to remove “slag,” the buildup of material erosion due to plasma-material interactions, including charge exchange sputtering in the main chamber. Further, LM offer the prospect to manage hydrogenic species otherwise retained in the PFCs, which is important from a safety and inventory standpoint. The two most promising LMs are lithium (Li) and tin (Sn), although Sn–Li eutectics may be considered. While Sn offers a higher temperature window with low vapor pressure and low hydrogen retention, Li offers the prospect of enhanced energy confinement and higher acceptable core contamination limits, and this section focuses on Li PFCs. An LM PFC development research program developed LM PFC concepts for a nuclear fusion device via engineering design calculations, single-effect experiments, and staged prototypical experiments. A self-consistent design window was identified with liquid Li flow speeds ~5–10 m/s; plasma contamination was negligible for predicted Li evolution rates. While these preconceptual designs hold promise, there is substantial R&D needed to advance the technical readiness levels of LM PFCs for application to fusion power plants.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Critical cooling rates for amorphous-to-ordered complexion transitions in Cu-rich nanocrystalline alloys

Amorphous complexions in nanocrystalline metals have the potential to improve mechanical properties and radiation tolerance, as well as resistance to grain growth. In this study, the stability of amorphous complexions in binary and ternary Cu-based alloys is investigated by observing the effect of cooling rate from high temperature on the occurrence of amorphous-to-ordered complexion transitions. Bulk Cu-Zr and Cu-Zr-Hf alloy samples were annealed to induce boundary premelting and then quenched through a procedure that induces a gradient of local cooling rate through the sample height. Amorphous complexion thickness distributions were found to be invariant to local cooling rate in the Cu-Zr-Hf alloy, demonstrating enhanced stability of the amorphous complexion structure compared to the Cu-Zr alloy, which had thinner amorphous complexions in the regions that were slowly cooled. The experimental results are used to construct time-temperature-transformation diagrams for the amorphous-to-ordered complexion transition in both the binary and ternary alloys, enabling a deeper understanding of the influence of cooling rate and grain boundary chemistry on complexion transitions. In conclusion, the critical cooling rate necessary to avoid complexion transitions in the ternary alloy is found to be at least three orders of magnitude slower than that for the binary alloy.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Evading strength and ductility trade-off in an inverse nacre structured magnesium matrix nanocomposite

Mimicking nacre structure is an often-used strategy for developing materials which combine high strength and high toughness. Here, a novel strategy, named inverse nacre structure, is proposed where elongated and curled soft constituents are embedded in a matrix of hard constituent to form an ordered brick-and-mortar arrangement. This strategy is demonstrated in a particle reinforced metal matrix composite, using pure Mg as the soft phase and SiC nanoparticle reinforced Mg as the hard phase. In this work, the resulting nanocomposite yields high strength, and especially high tensile elongation which is five times that of the homogeneous counterpart. The superior comprehensive strengthening-toughening effect originates from the tailored inverse nacre structure which enables a stable microcrack-multiplication process by sufficiently promoting strain hardening so as to avoid any significant decrease in post-ultimate tensile strength. This strategy, while demonstrated here for the specific case of particle reinforced Mg, is not restricted to any particular material system but constitutes a generic pathway for the development of high-performance materials for engineering applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Transition in helium bubble strengthening of copper from quasi-static to dynamic deformation

Damage from low-temperature irradiation and the subsequent degradation of materials performance pose significant challenges for the storage of radioactive materials and for peripheral components in some nuclear reactor designs. Fully understanding the mechanical behavior of such materials requires test data for strain rates in both the quasi-static (< 10/s) and dynamic (>> 10/s) regimes. While dynamic testing has generally been avoided in the past for neutron irradiated (contamination concerns) and ion irradiated (insufficient volume) materials, surface-sensitive Richtmyer-Meshkov instability (RMI) tests were used in the present work to overcome these limitations. Here, nanopillar compression, nanoindentation, and RMI testing data from a helium implanted surface layer (~10 µm thick) were compiled to explore the effects of helium bubbles on the materials strength of high-purity copper at strain rates of 0.001/s – 10 8 /s. While nano-mechanical testing revealed increases in yield strength and hardness with increasing helium dose from 1000 to 4000 appm He, RMI indicated no significant changes in strength as compared to unimplanted copper. Here, this discrepancy in behavior was rationalized through a combination of recent literature and follow-on molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, leading to the conclusion that the nanoscale helium bubbles acting as dispersed barriers to dislocation motion at quasi-static strain rates collapse under shock loading and cease to be effective barriers at high strain rates.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Assessment of metadynamic recrystallization in single copper particle impacts by focused ion beam tomography

We study single Cu-on-Cu impacts relevant to cold spray deposition and quantitatively analyze the metadynamic recrystallization (mDRX) that takes place after the impact by virtue of lingering impact adiabatic heat. Unlike prior studies, the current full 3D tomographic analysis of the mDRX volume shows that mDRX is extremely common in such impacts, although it is often missed when examining 2D sections. We also report an unexpected trend: there is a “sour spot” for mDRX at velocities about 20–40 % above the velocity for particle adhesion. This non-monotonic trend is contrary to the expectations based on increasing adiabatic heating with velocity. With a schematic model, we show that the trend can be explained on the basis of heat transfer: cooling of the heat-affected region is limited by transport through the bonded regions at the particle-substrate interface. Thus, bonding has a prominent role in the heat dissipation process and the best bonded particles most rapidly bulk quench, avoiding mDRX. Here, the developed semi-empirical model aligns with the experimental findings and may help inform microstructural evolution during cold spray and post-spray processing.

FIB-SEM tomography↗
DOE OSTI2025

Active and passive cooling approaches for a Southern California residential community

This study assesses cooling strategies in a low-income community in Southern California that lacks air conditioning and struggles with heat and air pollution. We used an urban building energy model and an electric distribution system model to evaluate active and passive cooling measures. The most effective space cooling measures were high-performance air-source heat pumps, cool coatings, window films, and harnessing the space cooling effect from heat pump water heaters. The results show that combining heat pump water heaters with window films and cool coatings reduces heat index hazard hours within buildings by 95 % to 99 % but increases total energy costs (equipment costs plus changes in utility bills) by 20 % to 60 % where the higher end includes building electrical upgrades. These measures also led to increased space heater use during colder months to avoid overcooling. Replacing conventional heaters with air source heat pumps eliminated unsafe indoor temperatures and reduced total energy use, but increased cost by 125 % to 150 %. In total, using heat pumps for space and water heating could reduce primary energy use by up to 57 %. The higher cost of active and passive cooling measures can be mitigated by existing and emerging incentive programs, especially those that support heat pumps. Electric distribution upgrades to support community electrification are estimated to increase utility costs by $\$$25 to $\$$40 per ratepayer per year. The results underscore the potential and challenges of adapting building infrastructure in communities at risk from climate and environmental stressors.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2021

Process-Structure-Property Relations for As-Deposited Solid-State Additively Manufactured High-Strength Aluminum Alloy

Solid-state additive manufacturing methods provide innovative solutions to circumvent problems associated with materials susceptible to hot cracking by avoiding liquid solid phase transformations. In this work, the process parameter influence on microstructural evolution and mechanical response of a fully dense aluminum alloy 7050 (AA7050) component manufactured via a rapid, solid-state additive manufacturing process known as Additive Friction Stir Deposition (AFS-D) was quantified for the first time. Three sections (starting dwell, transient, crossover of roads) of the deposition that exhibit differing thermomechanical processing histories were evaluated for the resulting microstructure and mechanical response. The microstructural characterization was performed on the as-deposited AA7050 via Electron Backscatter Diffraction (EBSD), TEM, optical microscopy, and Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM). The microstructural characterization revealed refined constituent particles and grains throughout the as-deposited AA7050 microstructure. Furthermore, quasi-static tensile experiments were conducted in both the build and transverse directions, in order to quantify the orientation influence on tensile properties of the as-deposited AA7050 build. Spatially dependent tensile properties were observed in the material due to heat input variation coarsening of secondary phases towards the initial layers of the AFS-D build. Post-mortem analysis revealed that voids nucleated and coalesced from the overgrowth of the strengthening precipitates present in the material, resulting in fracture.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Modelling the complex evaporated gas flow and its impact on particle spattering during laser powder bed fusion

The additive manufacturing (AM) of metals is becoming an increasingly important production process with the potential to replace traditional techniques such as casting. Laser Powder Bed Fusion (LPBF) is used in many applications to print metal parts from powder. The metal powder is heated locally with sufficient laser radiation that the liquid melt easily reaches its boiling temperature, which leads to a metallic vapour jet that can entrain both powder bed particles and molten droplets. The small size of laser-matter interaction site makes a detailed experimental analysis of the process challenging. Synchrotron X-ray imaging experiments are one of the few methods which can capture the dynamic melting and solidification processes. Comparing such experiments with computer simulations of the process is an important approach in order to better understand the manufacturing process and to analyse the influence of process parameters on the evaporated gas jet and the subsequent impact on particle ejection, leading to potentially reduced AM component quality. The melting and solidification of the metal powder is simulated using an Eulerian multiphase approach based on a control volume discretization of powder bed and substrate and a volume of liquid separation from melt and gas phase. The gas phase modelled as an ideal gas reaches velocities up to 100 m/s. Lagrangian particle tracking in the simulation demonstrates that the velocity fields calculated by the Eulerian multi-phase approach in combination with a standard drag-force model lead to particle accelerations in good agreement with those measured experimentally. In order to avoid numerical laborious Lagrangian calculations, a direct method to compare an Eulerian multiphase simulation with synchrotron X-ray experiments was introduced and validated. This approach is used to analyse the influence of process parameters including laser power and laser speed on the maximal acceleration of particles from the melt pool area. While the particle acceleration increases linearly with line energy in the conduction mode, a linear decrease of the acceleration with increasing line energy can be found in the transition mode before the accel-eration increases again with line energy in the keyhole mode.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Integrating helicoid channels for passive control of fiber alignment in direct-write 3D printing

3D printing of fiber-reinforced composites has been receiving increasing attention as an efficient additive approach enabling lightweight, functional, and high-performance components required for industrial applications. The properties of fiber composites significantly depend on internal microstructures, including fiber orientation, distribution, and degree of alignment. Although multiple strategies have been introduced for controlling the fiber composites microstructures, these strategies are mostly active approaches relying on additional control of mechatronics parts, external forces, or intentionally introduced unstable flows inside narrow nozzles. These methods suffer from higher risk of nozzle clogging and requiring extra parts in 3D printing. Here, we introduce helicoid channels into extrusion system as a passive approach to control the fiber alignment without any additional moving parts in direct-write 3D printing. The helicoid channels automatically guide the composite inks and align fibers before flowing into narrow nozzle space, avoiding clogging and improving printability. The analyses indicate that both helicoid surface to volume ratio and helix angle affect the pre-alignment of fibers, leading to tunable mechanical properties of printed fiber-reinforced composites with increased stiffness and strength up to 77.6% and 47.8%, respectively.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Operando visualization of porous metal additive manufacturing with foaming agents through high-speed x-ray imaging

Porous metals find extensive applications in soundproofing, filtration, catalysis, and energy-absorbing structures, thanks to their unique internal pore structure and high specific strength. In recent years, there has been an increasing interest in fabricating porous metals using additive manufacturing (AM), leveraging its unique advantages, including improved design freedom, spatial material control, and cost-effective small-batch production. In this study, we conducted pioneering operando visualization of AM porous metal using a laser powder bed fusion (L-PBF) setup combined with a high-speed synchrotron x-ray imaging system. Single track printing experiments using Ti6Al4V (Ti64) combined with titanium hydride (TiH 2 ) and sodium carbonate (Na 2 CO 3 ) as foaming agents, with varying mixing ratios were performed under different processing conditions. Here. the results elucidate the dynamic development of porosity formation. The average pore size is significantly influenced by the particle size of foaming agents when pore coalescence is absent. For all foaming agent content tested in the current study, the number of pores is found to be more sensitive to changes in laser power than in laser scanning speed. Increasing linear energy density (increasing laser power or reducing laser scanning speed) promotes the foaming agent activation thereby porosity formation. However, high linear energy density skews pore distribution towards the surface despite forming deeper melt pools. In addition, the impact of additional factors including foaming agent's laser absorptivity and decomposition kinetics with respect to AM time scales should be carefully considered to avoid ineffective activation of foaming agents during the AM of porous metals.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

A meshing framework for digital twins for extrusion based additive manufacturing

Additive manufacturing (AM) allows for manufacturing of complex three-dimensional geometries not typically realizable with standard manufacturing practices. The internal microstructure of AM components has a significant impact on mechanical, vibrational, and shock properties and permits richer design space when this is controllable. Due to complex interactions of internal geometry of an extrusion-based AM component, it is common practice to assume homogeneous behavior or to perform characterization testing on specific toolpath configurations. To avoid testing or material waste, it is necessary to develop a consistently accurate numerical simulation framework with relevant boundary value problems that can handle the complicated geometry of internal material microstructure present in AM components. Herein, a framework is proposed to directly create computational meshes suitable for finite element analysis (FEA) of the fine-scale features generated from extrusion-based AM tool paths to maintain a strong process–structure–property-performance linkage. This mesh can be manually or automatically analyzed using standard FEA simulations such as quasi-static preloading or modal analysis. The framework allows an in-silico assessment of a target AM geometry where fine-scale features greatly impact quantities of design interest such as in soft elastomeric lattices where toolpath infill can greatly influence the self-contact of a structure in compression, which we use as a motivating exemplar. This approach greatly reduces both time and resource waste present in traditional build and test design cycles for non-intuitive design spaces, and acts as a tool for use in the production of a key component of a digital twin, a mesh suitable for finite element analysis. In conclusion, it also further allows for the exploration of toolpath infill to optimize component properties beyond simple linear properties such as density and stiffness.

Additive manufacturing↗
DOE OSTI2023

Application of unsupervised deep learning to image segmentation and in-situ contact angle measurements in a CO 2 -water-rock system

Rock surface wettability is a critical property that regulates multiphase flows in porous media, which can be quantified using the surface contact angle (CA). X-ray micro-computed tomography (μCT) provides an effective approach to in-situ measurements of surface CAs. However, the CA measurement accuracy depends significantly on the quality of CT image segmentation, which is the clustering of CT pixels into separate phases. Inspired by this, we developed a deep learning (DL)-based CA measurement workflow. Motivated by the recent tremendous progress in unsupervised learning techniques and aiming to avoid expensive manual data annotations, an unsupervised DL pipeline for CT image segmentation was proposed and implemented, which includes unsupervised model training and post-processing. The unsupervised model training was driven by a novel loss function constrained with feature similarity and spatial continuity and implemented by iterative forward and backward paths; the former clustered the pixel-wise feature vectors extracted by convolution neural networks, whereas the latter updated the parameters using gradient descent. An over-segmentation strategy was adopted for model training. The post-processing steps based on agglomerative hierarchical clustering (AHC) were implemented to further merge the over-segmented model output to the desired cluster number, which is intended to improve the efficiency of image segmentation. The developed unsupervised DL pipeline was compared with other commonly-used image segmentation methods using pixel-wise and physics-based evaluation metrics on a synthetic raw-image dataset, which had a known ground truth. The unsupervised DL pipeline showed the best performance. Next, the segmented images were input to an automatic CA measurement tool, and the results were validated by comparisons with manual measurements. The CA values from the manual and automatic measurements showed similar distributions and statistical properties. The automatic measurement demonstrated a wider spectrum because of the much larger number of measurement data points. The primary novelty of the unsupervised DL pipeline developed in this study lies in the novel loss function and the over-segmentation strategy associated with AHC post-processing. Finally, the workflow has been proven an efficient tool for pore-scale wettability characterization, which has a wide range of applications in fundamental studies of multiphase flows in natural porous media, which have critical implications to geological carbon sequestration, hydrocarbon energy recovery, and contaminant transport in groundwater.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Topographic hydro-conditioning to resolve surface depression storage and ponding in a fully distributed hydrologic model

Land surface depressions play a central role in the transformation of rainfall to ponding, infiltration and runoff, yet digital elevation models (DEMs) used by spatially distributed hydrologic models that resolve land surface processes rarely capture land surface depressions at spatial scales relevant to this transformation. Methods to generate DEMs through processing of remote sensing data, such as optical and light detection and ranging (LiDAR) have favored surfaces without depressions to avoid adverse slopes that are problematic for many hydrologic routing methods. Here, in this study, we present a new topographic conditioning workflow, Depression-Preserved DEM Processing (D2P) algorithm, which is designed to preserve physically meaningful surface depressions for depression-integrated and efficient hydrologic modeling. D2P includes several features: (1) an adaptive screening interval for delineation of depressions, (2) the ability to filter out anthropogenic land surface features (e.g., bridges), (3) the ability to blend river smoothing (e.g., a general downslope profile) and depression resolving functionality. From a case study in the Goodwin Creek Experimental Watershed, D2P successfully resolved 86% of the ponds at a DEM resolution of 10 m. Topographic conditioning was achieved with minimum impact as D2P reduced the number of modified cells from the original DEM by 51% compared to a conventional algorithm. Furthermore, hydrologic simulation using a D2P processed DEM resulted in a more robust characterization on surface water dynamics based on higher surface water storage as well as an attenuated and delayed peak streamflow.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

SIF-based GPP modeling for evergreen forests considering the seasonal variation in maximum photochemical efficiency

Solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) has shown great potential in estimating gross primary production (GPP). However, their quantitative relationship is not invariant, which undermines the reliability of empirical SIF-based GPP estimation at fine spatiotemporal scales, especially under extreme conditions. In this study, we developed a parsimonious mechanistic model for SIF-based GPP estimation in evergreen needle forests (ENF) by employing the Mechanistic Light Response framework and Eco-Evolutionary theory to describe the light and dark reactions during photosynthesis, respectively. Specifically, we found that considering the seasonal variation in a key parameter of the MLR framework, the maximum photochemical efficiency of photosystem II (Φ PSIImax ), can avoid the GPP overestimation in winter and early spring due to the relatively low environmental sensitivity of SIF. Compared to the estimates from other benchmark models, our GPP estimates were closer to the 1: 1 line and had higher accuracy (average R 2 = 0.86, RMSE=1.99 μmol m -2 s -1 ) across sites. Furthermore, the changes in the relationship between SIF and J (refers to the electron transport rate) contribute a lot to the dynamic SIF–GPP relationship in this study, while the J–GPP relationship is less variant when the temperature drops. Further, the seasonal variation in the SIF–J relationship, especially the reduction in its slope at low temperatures, is found largely explained by the Φ PSIImax . These results indicate the importance of the uncertainty caused by the variation in the SIF–J relationship for SIF-based GPP estimation, and the consideration of changes in Φ PSIImax under extreme conditions (such as severe winter in this study) is crucial for the improvement of GPP estimation via SIF.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Better practices for inferring ecosystem water use strategy from eddy covariance data

Eddy covariance data are critical for inferring ecosystem water use strategies. Yet, such inferences are sensitive to a range of assumptions applied across studies, hindering our understanding of water use strategies within and across eddy covariance sites. A recent analysis across 151 FLUXNET2015 and AmeriFlux-FLUXNET datasets found that poor model performance was the key driver of non-robust inferences of ecosystem water use strategies. Here, we leverage this previous analysis to (i) identify the specific assumptions that improve inference model performance across most sites, (ii) explain the mechanisms behind the performance improvements, and (iii) check whether better performance improves water use inference. We find that the common practice of fitting a model to canopy conductance (G c ) derived from the evapotranspiration (ET) observations, rather than to observed ET itself, artificially amplifies data errors and degrades the model performance. Next, accounting for vegetation dynamics by applying a growing season filter or incorporating satellite LAI data improves performance, but the former practice may remove soil water stress periods. Lastly, using the leaf-to-air vapor pressure deficit (VPD l ) derived from ET observations as a model input may artificially inflate performance. Based on these results, we recommend selecting observed ET (rather than derived G c ) as the response variable, carefully accounting for vegetation dynamics, and avoiding derived VPD l as a model input; these best practices improve model performance by c. 20% and robustness by c. 80% across all eddy covariance sites. Nevertheless, the performance improvements do not always correspond to more robust inference of water use strategies, as model parameter selection and surface energy budget closure corrections still strongly influence the ecosystem water use parameter estimation in a site-specific manner.

AmeriFlux↗
DOE OSTI2025

Explainable machine learning to quantify the value of proximal remote sensing in latent energy flux estimation

Proximal remote sensing has the potential to provide critical information on vegetation biophysical factors that can predict land-atmosphere exchange of water and energy. Latent energy (LE) flux is traditionally estimated using process-based models which rely on vegetation parameters that change during the growing season. Data-driven models have the potential to address these issues by offering flexible predictor selection and more efficient utilization of the information in predictor sets. These models require careful choice of predictors to avoid redundancy and allow robust cross-validation. In this study we present a systematic and comprehensive evaluation of machine learning (ML) models to assess the capability of meteorological and proximal sensing data for predicting LE at a half-hourly temporal resolution across multiple growing seasons for an agricultural system. The results presented here demonstrate that a model using four environmental predictors in combination with two proximal sensing variables can capture 88 % of the variability in LE. ML models using only three predictors (one meteorological and two proximal remote sensing) captured 81 % of LE variability, offering the best trade-off between performance and complexity. An ML model utilizing only two predictors, one proximal remote sensing variable and downwelling radiation, captured 77 % of LE variability. These results demonstrate the power of proximal remote sensing and meteorological observations to estimate land-atmosphere water vapor exchange, providing a solution where more direct methods such as eddy covariance are not available and for evaluations of agronomic management and genotypic variations.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗