Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “crop model”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 613 records · Page 34

A guayule C-repeat binding factor is highly activated in guayule under freezing temperature and enhances freezing tolerance when expressed in Arabidopsis thaliana

Natural Rubber (NR)-producing guayule (Parthenium argentatum Gray) has been developed as a new crop to diversify NR production. Guayule NR is mainly synthesized in its stem and is upregulated by cold temperatures. A guayule C-repeat binding factor 4 (PaCBF4) was highly expressed in cold-treated stem tissue, coinciding with active rubber biosynthesis and accumulation. Sequence alignments of PaCBF4 with other CBFs indicated that PaCBF4 contains DNA-binding domains responsible for regulating cold-regulated (COR) gene expression. Spatial gene expression profiling of PaCBF4 revealed that stems had the highest expression level among different organs examined. We further confirmed the function of PaCBF4 as regulator of cold-signaling processes by expressing it in the model plant Arabidopsis under a constitutive ubiquitin promoter from potato. Further, the resulting transgenic Arabidopsis lines expressing PaCBF4 turned on expression of a set of Arabidopsis COR genes under both room (24ºC) and cold (4ºC) temperatures, in contrast to the wild-type Arabidopsis that expressed these COR genes solely upon cold treatment. Furthermore, the transgenic plants displayed enhanced freezing tolerance at -5ºC, exhibiting a survival rate of 88–98% compared with 0% survival rate of wild-type plants. Our results suggest that PaCBF4 is a functional member of the guayule CBF gene family and plays a significant role in cold and freeze tolerance. Interestingly, overexpressing PaCBF4 in Arabidopsis did not affect the normal phenotype of the plant during vegetative and inflorescence growth, but the gene led to more undeveloped siliques after flowering.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

SAGA1 and MITH1 produce matrix-traversing membranes in the CO2-fixing pyrenoid

Abstract Approximately one-third of global CO 2 assimilation is performed by the pyrenoid, a liquid-like organelle found in most algae and some plants. Specialized pyrenoid-traversing membranes are hypothesized to drive CO 2 assimilation in the pyrenoid by delivering concentrated CO 2 , but how these membranes are made to traverse the pyrenoid matrix remains unknown. Here we show that proteins SAGA1 and MITH1 cause membranes to traverse the pyrenoid matrix in the model alga Chlamydomonas reinhardtii . Mutants deficient in SAGA1 or MITH1 lack matrix-traversing membranes and exhibit growth defects under CO 2 -limiting conditions. Expression of SAGA1 and MITH1 together in a heterologous system, the model plant Arabidopsis thaliana , produces matrix-traversing membranes. Both proteins localize to matrix-traversing membranes. SAGA1 binds to the major matrix component, Rubisco, and is necessary to initiate matrix-traversing membranes. MITH1 binds to SAGA1 and is necessary for extension of membranes through the matrix. Our data suggest that SAGA1 and MITH1 cause membranes to traverse the matrix by creating an adhesive interaction between the membrane and matrix. Our study identifies and characterizes key factors in the biogenesis of pyrenoid matrix-traversing membranes, demonstrates the importance of these membranes to pyrenoid function and marks a key milestone toward pyrenoid engineering into crops for improving yields.

Hennacy, Jessica H.↗

Perspectives on improving photosynthesis to increase crop yield

Abstract Improving photosynthesis, the fundamental process by which plants convert light energy into chemical energy, is a key area of research with great potential for enhancing sustainable agricultural productivity and addressing global food security challenges. This perspective delves into the latest advancements and approaches aimed at optimizing photosynthetic efficiency. Our discussion encompasses the entire process, beginning with light harvesting and its regulation and progressing through the bottleneck of electron transfer. We then delve into the carbon reactions of photosynthesis, focusing on strategies targeting the enzymes of the Calvin–Benson–Bassham (CBB) cycle. Additionally, we explore methods to increase carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration near the Rubisco, the enzyme responsible for the first step of CBB cycle, drawing inspiration from various photosynthetic organisms, and conclude this section by examining ways to enhance CO2 delivery into leaves. Moving beyond individual processes, we discuss two approaches to identifying key targets for photosynthesis improvement: systems modeling and the study of natural variation. Finally, we revisit some of the strategies mentioned above to provide a holistic view of the improvements, analyzing their impact on nitrogen use efficiency and on canopy photosynthesis.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Ribavirin targets sugar transporter 6 to suppress acquisition and transmission of rice stripe tenuivirus by its vector Laodelphax striatellus

Abstract BACKGROUND Rice stripe tenuivirus (RSV) is one of the most destructive pathogens of rice and other cereal crops. The virus is transmitted by the small brown planthopper (SBPH, Laodelphax striatellus ) in a circulative‐propagative manner. Thus, blocking transmission by the insect vector would provide an effective strategy to prevent epidemic outbreaks of the disease. RESULTS In this study, we explored the effect of ribavirin on acquisition and transmission of the virus by specifically inhibiting the expression of sugar transporter 6 (LsSt‐6), which was recently reported as a key vector component for RSV transmission. Ribavirin at the highest concentration tested (250 μmol L ‐1 ) significantly reduced RSV acquisition and transmission efficiency by SBPHs through inhibiting LsSt‐6 messenger RNA (mRNA) level. Survival of the model insect Spodoptera frugiperda cell line (Sf9) was 95.0 ± 2.2 and 85.6 ± 2.1% after exposure to 250 μmol L ‐1 ribavirin or 8‐azaguanine, respectively. Further study confirmed that 250 μmol L ‐1 ribavirin also significantly reduced LsSt‐6 mRNA and protein levels in Sf9 cells. However, 8‐azaguanine did not significantly inhibit viral infectivity and LsSt‐6 mRNA levels in SBPH or the Sf9 cell line. CONCLUSION This result provides evidence that ribavirin has the potential to disrupt LsSt‐6 expression but not others like viral RNAs to prevent acquiring RSV, which leads to less viral accumulation in SBPH tissues and thereby lower transmission efficiency. © 2020 Society of Chemical Industry

Hajano, Jamal‐U‐Ddin↗

Temporal covariance structure of multi-spectral phenotypes and their predictive ability for end-of-season traits in maize

Vegetation indices (VIs) derived from multi-spectral imaging (MSI) platforms can be used to study properties of crop canopy, providing non-destructive phenotypes that could be used to better understand growth curves throughout the growing season. To investigate the amount of variation present in several VIs and their relationship with important end-of-season traits, genetic and residual (co)variances for VIs, grain yield and moisture were estimated using data collected from maize hybrid trials. The VIs considered were Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Green NDVI, Red Edge NDVI, Soil-Adjusted Vegetation Index, Enhanced Vegetation Index and simple Ratio of Near Infrared to Red (Red) reflectance. Genetic correlations of VIs with grain yield and moisture were used to fit multi-trait models for prediction of end-of-season traits and evaluated using within site/year cross-validation. To explore alternatives to fitting multiple phenotypes from MSI, random regression models with linear splines were fit using data collected in 2016 and 2017. Heritability estimates ranging from (0.10 to 0.82) were observed, indicating that there exists considerable amount of genetic variation in these VIs. Furthermore, strong genetic and residual correlations of the VIs, NDVI and NDRE, with grain yield and moisture were found. Considerable increases in prediction accuracy were observed from the multi-trait model when using NDVI and NDRE as a secondary trait. Finally, random regression with a linear spline function shows potential to be used as an alternative to mixed models to fit VIs from multiple time points.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Data for Approximately 15% of Miscanthus Yield is Lost at Current Commercial Cutting Heights in Iowa

Various works have quantitatively characterized the effects of environmental and management factors on Miscanthus x giganteus Greef et Deu ( mxg ) yield and, therefore, anticipated land requirement per unit production. However, little work has addressed the effects of cutting height, which may significantly contribute to the difference between the standing aboveground biomass at harvest (i.e., biological yield) and harvested yield. This study quantitatively characterized the effect of cutting height using a replicated nitrogen trial of a 5-year-old mxg stand in southeast Iowa and related this information to observations of cutting height in nearby commercial fields. Nitrogen fertilizer did not significantly change the relationship of the stem segment mass to length, and overall, a 1-cm stem segment contributes 0.5% of the total stem biomass within the bottom 44 cm of the stem. This results in an average harvest loss of 15% of the aboveground standing biomass when cutting at 30 cm, typically seen in commercial mxg fields in eastern Iowa. Cutting height should be considered when accurately predicting commercial mxg harvest yields and changes in soil organic carbon in a commercial mxg agroecosystem.

Biomass Analytics↗

Quantifying agricultural productive use of energy load in Sub-Saharan Africa and its impact on microgrid configurations and costs

The use of advanced energy technologies for agricultural purposes—such as irrigation, refrigeration, crop processing, and egg incubation—has the potential to increase crop yield, reduce vulnerability to changing precipitation patterns, increase shelf life, strengthen income and employment opportunities in rural areas, and reduce emissions by displacing fossil fuel-based technologies. These productive uses of energy (PUE) in remote areas could potentially be powered by microgrids that additionally serve otherwise unelectrified communities, most of which are located in rural Sub-Saharan Africa. Here, in this paper, we use high-resolution geospatial data to estimate the end-use electricity demand for a range of agricultural PUE across Sub-Saharan Africa, and we share these data in an open-access mapping tool. Next, we use REopt®, a techno-economic optimization model of energy systems, to determine the cost and system sizing implications of incorporating agricultural PUE into microgrid designs in Kenya and Zambia. We estimate the upper bound of agricultural PUE demand for irrigation, milling, shelling, refrigeration, and egg incubation across Sub-Saharan to be 16.8 TWh/yr. We find that incorporating local agricultural PUE into microgrid system designs increases the required system sizing while having minimal impact on the levelized cost of energy of these systems. Our analysis is the first to demonstrate the PUE potential in the agricultural sector at a 10x10-kilometer resolution across Sub-Saharan Africa and to show, at scale, how site-specific PUE can impact the cost and sizing of microgrids that are otherwise deployed to serve local household and community load.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Introgressions of novel diseases resistance genes from Miscanthus into energycane

Sugarcane (Saccharum) is among the world’s leading bioenergy crops. However, modern sugarcane cultivars are derived from a relatively small set of founder genotypes, which has contributed to cultivar susceptibility to diseases. Miscanthus is a close relative of sugarcane that is genetically diverse and a potential source of genes for improving sugarcane. We found that Miscanthus is a source of resistance to four major diseases of sugarcane and we crossed these disease-resistance genes into a predominantly sugarcane genetic background (BC1 generation). Additionally, we found that Miscanthus could also confer genes for chilling-tolerant photosynthesis to sugarcane, which would be highly advantageous for production of energycane in subtropical environments, like the southern coastal plain of the US. Using advanced modeling techniques, we found that standard marker-assisted selection could be effective for breeding resistance conferred by a small number of genes each with large effect (i.e. vertical resistance), but to breed for many genes each of small effect (i.e. horizontal resistance), genomic selection would be the better strategy. Lastly, we learned that Miscanthus can be induced to flower sooner by giving the plants short days (long nights) but that the ideal day length for a given accession depends on its adaptation to its latitude of origin, with tropical accessions requiring shorter days to flower than accessions from high latitudes. This information will facilitate plant breeders’ ability to make crosses between Miscanthus and sugarcane, and enable greater use of Miscanthus as a genetic resource to improve sugarcane.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Predicting Short-Term Deformation in the Central Valley Using Machine Learning

Land subsidence caused by excessive groundwater pumping in Central Valley, California, is a major issue that has several negative impacts such as reduced aquifer storage and damaged infrastructures which, in turn, produce an economic loss due to the high reliance on crop production. This is why it is of utmost importance to routinely monitor and assess the surface deformation occurring. Two main goals that this paper attempts to accomplish are deformation characterization and deformation prediction. The first goal is realized through the use of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) applied to a series of Interferomtric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) images that produces eigenimages displaying the key characteristics of the subsidence. Water storage changes are also directly analyzed by the use of data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) twin satellites and the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS). The second goal is accomplished by building a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model to predict short-term deformation after developing an InSAR time series using LiCSBAS, an open-source InSAR time series package. The model is applied to the city of Madera and produces better results than a baseline averaging model and a one dimensional convolutional neural network (CNN) based on a mean squared error metric showing the effectiveness of machine learning in deformation prediction as well as the potential for incorporation in hazard mitigation models. The model results can directly aid policy makers in determining the appropriate rate of groundwater withdrawal while maintaining the safety and well-being of the population as well as the aquifers’ integrity.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Estimating induced land use change emissions for sustainable aviation biofuel pathways

Sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) are expected to play an essential role in achieving the aviation industries’ goal of carbon-neutral growth. However, producing biomass-based SAFs may induce changes in global land use and the associated carbon stock. The induced land use change (ILUC) emissions, as a part of the full life-cycle emissions for SAF pathways, will affect whether and to what extent SAFs reduce emissions compared with petroleum-based jet fuels. Here, we estimate the ILUC emission intensity for seventeen SAF pathways considered by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), covering five ASTM-certified technologies, nine biomass-based feedstocks, and four geographical regions. We introduce the SAF pathways into a well-established computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, GTAP-BIO, and its coupled emission accounting model, AEZ-EF, to study economy-wide implications of SAF production and estimate ILUC emissions intensity for each pathway. The estimated SAF ILUC emission intensities, using a 25-year amortization period, range from -58.5 g CO 2 e MJ -1 for the USA miscanthus alcohol (isobutanol)-to-jet (ATJ) pathway to 34.6 g CO 2 e MJ -1 for the Malaysia & Indonesia palm oil Hydrotreated Esters of Fatty Acids (HEFA) pathway. Notably, the vegetable oil pathways tend to have higher ILUC emission intensities due to their linkage to palm expansion and peatland oxidation in Southeast Asia. The cellulosic pathways studied provide negative ILUC emissions, mainly driven by the high carbon sequestrations in crop biomass and soil. Using the core life-cycle emissions established by ICAO, we show that fifteen of the assessed pathways have a lower full life-cycle emission intensity than petroleum-based jet fuels (89 g CO 2 e MJ -1 ), offering promising options to reduce aviation emissions.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

High light and temperature reduce photosynthetic efficiency through different mechanisms in the C 4 model Setaria viridis

C 4 plants frequently experience high light and high temperature conditions in the field, which reduce growth and yield. However, the mechanisms underlying these stress responses in C 4 plants have been under-explored, especially the coordination between mesophyll (M) and bundle sheath (BS) cells. We investigated how the C4 model plant Setaria viridis responded to a four-hour high light or high temperature treatment at photosynthetic, transcriptomic, and ultrastructural levels. Although we observed a comparable reduction of photosynthetic efficiency in high light or high temperature treated leaves, detailed analysis of multi-level responses revealed important differences in key pathways and M/BS specificity responding to high light and high temperature. We provide a systematic analysis of high light and high temperature responses in S. viridis, reveal different acclimation strategies to these two stresses in C 4 plants, discover unique light/temperature responses in C 4 plants in comparison to C 3 plants, and identify potential targets to improve abiotic stress tolerance in C 4 crops.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Soil Origin and Plant Genotype Modulate Switchgrass Aboveground Productivity and Root Microbiome Assembly

Switchgrass (Panicum virgatum) is a model perennial grass for bioenergy production that can be productive in agricultural lands that are not suitable for food production. There is growing interest in whether its associated microbiome may be adaptive in low- or no-input cultivation systems. However, the relative impact of plant genotype and soil factors on plant microbiome and biomass are a challenge to decouple. To address this, a common garden greenhouse experiment was carried out using six common switchgrass genotypes, which were each grown in four different marginal soils collected from long-term bioenergy research sites in Michigan and Wisconsin. We characterized the fungal and bacterial root communities with high-throughput amplicon sequencing of the ITS and 16S rDNA markers, and collected phenological plant traits during plant growth, as well as soil chemical traits. At harvest, we measured the total plant aerial dry biomass. Significant differences in richness and Shannon diversity across soils but not between plant genotypes were found. Generalized linear models showed an interaction between soil and genotype for fungal richness but not for bacterial richness. Community structure was also strongly shaped by soil origin and soil origin × plant genotype interactions. Overall, plant genotype effects were significant but low. Random Forest models indicate that important factors impacting switchgrass biomass included NO 3 – , Ca 2+ , PO 4 3– , and microbial biodiversity. We identified 54 fungal and 52 bacterial predictors of plant aerial biomass, which included several operational taxonomic units belonging to Glomeraceae and Rhizobiaceae, fungal and bacterial lineages that are involved in provisioning nutrients to plants.

plant biomass↗

Elucidating Photoinduced Processes of Photosystem I Via Multidimensional Electronic and Vibrational Spectroscopies

This project was motivated by an overarching goal to elucidate the mechanism of energy and electron transfer that governs the efficient charge separation in photosystem I (PSI) complexes. PSI is a natural light harvesting complex that drives oxygenic photosynthesis in plants, algae, and cyanobacteria. It uses ~300 tightly packed chlorophylls (Chls) to absorb photons, transfer the excitation energy to the reaction center (RC), and generate a charge separated state with near unity quantum efficiency (QE). A better understanding of the mechanism of energy transfer and charge separation in PSI is required for understanding the high QE of natural light harvesting complexes, and it could lead to the further development of artificial photosynthetic systems for solar energy conversion and modification of light harvesting complexes to improve crop yields. We applied two-dimensional optical spectroscopies to different cyanobacterial photosystem I complexes, including PSI complexes that contain Chl f molecules, to map energy transfer pathways and gain insight into the efficient light harvesting of PSI. We used two-dimensional electronic spectroscopies (2DES) to map energy transfer in Chl a and Chl f containing PSI complexes. To investigate the Chl f PSI complexes, we modified our spectrometer to probe the lower energy states associated with Chl f molecules. We interpreted the 2DES spectra through global analysis procedures to generate maps of energy transfer. We also constructed a two-dimensional electronic vibrational (2DEV) spectrometer that will be used to investigate charge transfer transitions and dynamics within PSI complexes. Measurements were performed on model systems to establish general data analysis procedures for interpreting 2D spectra and gain insight into protein cofactor interactions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Greater aperture counteracts effects of reduced stomatal density on WUE: a case study on sugarcane and meta-analysis

Stomata regulate CO 2 and water vapor exchange between leaves and the atmosphere. Stomata are a target for engineering to improve crop intrinsic water use efficiency (iWUE). One example is by expressing genes that lower stomatal density (SD) and reduce stomatal conductance (g sw ). However, the quantitative relationship between reduced SD, g sw , and the mechanisms underlying it is poorly understood. We addressed this knowledge gap using low-SD sugarcane (Saccharum spp. hybrid) as a case study alongside a meta-analysis of data from 10 species. Transgenic expression of EPIDERMAL PATTERNING FACTOR 2 from Sorghum bicolor (SbEFP2) in sugarcane reduced SD by 26-38% but did not affect gsw compared to wildtype. Further, no changes occurred in stomatal complex size or proxies for photosynthetic capacity. Measurements of gas exchange at low CO 2 concentrations that promote complete stomatal opening to normalize aperture size between genotypes were combined with modeling of maximum gsw from anatomical data. These data suggest that increased stomatal aperture is the only possible explanation for maintaining gsw when SD is reduced. Meta-analysis across C 3 dicots, C 3 monocots, and C 4 monocots revealed engineered reductions in SD are strongly correlated with lower gsw (r 2 =0.60-0.98), but this response is damped relative to the change in anatomy.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Variations in cell wall traits impact saccharification potential of Salix famelica and Salix eriocephala

Increasing global populations, finite arable land, and the anthropogenic release of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere are driving the search for bio-based alternatives to the petroleum-derived fuels and chemicals that underpin the global economy. With rapid growth rates, a propensity for coppicing, and a wide geographic range across Canada, native shrub willows (Salix spp.) are an attractive source of low-input, high-volume biomass. To date, most willow research has focused on increasing yields and improving cropping systems, while comparatively little work has been done to assess the intrinsic diversity in cell wall traits and bioenergy potential. In this study, we characterized the cell wall composition and wood ultrastructure of 338 xylem samples from two Canadian willow species, Salix famelica and Salix eriocephala, harvested from a common garden experimental plot. Lignin content ranged from 17.5–25.1% in S. famelica and 18.6–24.3% in S. eriocephala. Following alkali pretreatment with 62.5 mM NaOH at 90 °C for 3 h and a 70-h enzymatic digestion with Accellerase 1000, glucose release ranged from 23.0–38.9 wt% in S. famelica and from 20.5–37.7 wt% in S. eriocephala, while xylose release ranged from 9.4–14.9% in S. famelica and from 9.5–15.2% in S. eriocephala. Here, partial least squares regression modelling showed that lignin content and composition were important negative regulators of glucose release. Overall, this work highlights the innate variability in cell wall traits of native willows and identifies potential genotypes that should be considered in future breeding and deployment strategies for Canadian bioenergy production.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Biological nitrogen fixation across major biomes in Latin America: Patterns and global change effects

We report biological nitrogen fixation (BNF) supports terrestrial primary productivity and plays key roles in mediating human-induced changes in global nitrogen (N) and carbon cycling. However, there are still critical uncertainties in our understanding of the amount of BNF occurring across terrestrial ecosystems, and of how terrestrial BNF will respond to global change. We synthesized BNF data from Latin America, a region reported to sustain some of the highest BNF rates on Earth, but that is underrepresented in previous data syntheses. We used meta-analysis and modeling approaches to estimate BNF rates across Latin America's major biomes and to evaluate the potential effects of increased N deposition and land-use change on these rates. Unmanaged tropical and subtropical moist forests sustained observed and predicted total BNF rates of 10 ± 1 and 14 ± 1 kg N ha -1 y -1 , respectively, supporting the hypothesis that these forests sustain lower BNF rates than previously thought. Free-living BNF accounted for two-thirds of the total BNF in these forests. Despite an average 30% reduction of free-living BNF in response to experimental N-addition, our results suggest free-living BNF rate responses to current and projected N deposition across tropical and subtropical moist forests are small. In contrast, the conversion of unmanaged ecosystems to crop and pasture lands increased BNF rates across all terrestrial biomes, mostly in savannas, grasslands, and dry forests, increasing BNF rates 2-fold. The information obtained here provides a more comprehensive understanding of BNF patterns for Latin America.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Vadose zone flushing of fertilizer tracked by isotopes of water and nitrate

Abstract A substantial fraction of nitrogen (N) fertilizer applied in agricultural systems is not incorporated into crops and moves below the rooting zone as nitrate (NO 3 − ). Understanding mechanisms for soil N retention below the rooting zone and leaching to groundwater is essential for our ability to track the fate of added N. We used dual stable isotopes of nitrate (δ 15 N–NO 3 − and δ 18 O–NO 3 − ) and water (δ 18 O–H 2 O and δ 2 H–H 2 O) to understand the mechanisms driving nitrate leaching at three depths (0.8, 1.5, and 3.0 m) of an irrigated corn field sampled every 2 weeks from 2016 to 2020 in the southern Willamette Valley, Oregon, USA. Distinct periods of high nitrate concentrations with lower δ 15 N–NO 3 − values indicated that a portion of that nitrate was from recent fertilizer applications. We used a mixing model to quantify nitrate fluxes associated with recently added fertilizer N versus older, legacy soil N during these “fertilizer signal periods.” Nitrate leached below 3.0 m in these periods made up a larger proportion of the total N leached at that depth (∼52%) versus the two shallower depths (∼13%–16%), indicating preferential movement of recently applied fertilizer N through the deep soil into groundwater. Further, N associated with recent fertilizer additions leached more easily when compared to remobilized legacy N. A high volume of fall and winter precipitation may push residual fertilizer N to depth, potentially posing a larger threat to groundwater than legacy N. Optimizing fertilizer N additions could minimize fertilizer losses and reduce nitrate leaching to groundwater.

Agriculture↗

Harmonization of global land use change and management for the period 850–2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6

Abstract. Human land use activities have resulted in large changes to the biogeochemical and biophysical properties of the Earth's surface, with consequences for climate and other ecosystem services. In the future, land use activities are likely to expand and/or intensify further to meet growing demands for food, fiber, and energy. As part of the World Climate Research Program Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), the international community has developed the next generation of advanced Earth system models (ESMs) to estimate the combined effects of human activities (e.g., land use and fossil fuel emissions) on the carbon–climate system. A new set of historical data based on the History of the Global Environment database (HYDE), and multiple alternative scenarios of the future (2015–2100) from Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) teams, is required as input for these models. With most ESM simulations for CMIP6 now completed, it is important to document the land use patterns used by those simulations. Here we present results from the Land-Use Harmonization 2 (LUH2) project, which smoothly connects updated historical reconstructions of land use with eight new future projections in the format required for ESMs. The harmonization strategy estimates the fractional land use patterns, underlying land use transitions, key agricultural management information, and resulting secondary lands annually, while minimizing the differences between the end of the historical reconstruction and IAM initial conditions and preserving changes depicted by the IAMs in the future. The new approach builds on a similar effort from CMIP5 and is now provided at higher resolution (0.25∘×0.25∘) over a longer time domain (850–2100, with extensions to 2300) with more detail (including multiple crop and pasture types and associated management practices) using more input datasets (including Landsat remote sensing data) and updated algorithms (wood harvest and shifting cultivation); it is assessed via a new diagnostic package. The new LUH2 products contain > 50 times the information content of the datasets used in CMIP5 and are designed to enable new and improved estimates of the combined effects of land use on the global carbon–climate system.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗