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At least 613 records · Page 34

The future of computing beyond Moore’s Law

Moore’s Law is a techno-economic model that has enabled the information technology industry to double the performance and functionality of digital electronics roughly every 2 years within a fixed cost, power and area. Advances in silicon lithography have enabled this exponential miniaturization of electronics, but, as transistors reach atomic scale and fabrication costs continue to rise, the classical technological driver that has underpinned Moore’s Law for 50 years is failing and is anticipated to flatten by 2025. Here, this article provides an updated view of what a post-exascale system will look like and the challenges ahead, based on our most recent understanding of technology roadmaps. It also discusses the tapering of historical improvements, and how it affects options available to continue scaling of successors to the first exascale machine. Lastly, this article covers the many different opportunities and strategies available to continue computing performance improvements in the absence of historical technology drivers. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue ‘Numerical algorithms for high-performance computational science’.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Two-color pyrometry based flame to fuel surface radiative heat flux diagnostic using flamelets

In this study, a non-intrusive two-color pyrometry based radiative heat flux diagnostic is presented that accounts for the self-absorption effects. This diagnostic relies on looking up the flame temperature and soot volume fraction using the ratio of color intensities obtained from digital cameras and numerical solutions of 1D steady-state diffusion flames. Virtual two color pyrometry of computed flame show a unique one-to-one mapping of strained flames with intensity ratio; thereby allowing flames to be indexed and creation of a two-color flamelet manifold (TCFM). The TCFM is a function of two variables; the ratio of red to green intensities (flame index) and physical distance to the stoichiometric surface defined using a level-set function. The developed diagnostic is used in upward flame spread experiments where an approximate flame hull reconstruction method is applied to provide the 3D level-set function and intensity ratio for use of TCFM to provide radiative absorption properties for 3D ray tracing. Accounting for self- absorption effects provide improved soot volume fraction estimates. In conclusion, the radiative heat flux estimates are found to be in very good agreement with literature and improved results are obtained near the flame base.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Particle clustering effects on damage mechanisms in elastomeric syntactic foams

To elucidate the damage mechanisms in syntactic foams with hollow glass microballoon (GMB) reinforcement and elastomer matrices, in situ X-ray computed tomography mechanical testing was performed on syntactic foams with increasing GMB volume fraction. Image processing and digital volume correlation techniques identified very different damage mechanisms compared to syntactic foams with brittle matrices. Specifically, the prevailing mechanism transitioned from dispersed GMB collapse at low volume fraction to clustered GMB collapse at high volume fraction. Moreover, damage initiated and propagated earlier in closely-packed GMBs for all specimens. Both of these trends were attributed to increased interaction between closely-packed GMBs. This was validated by statistical analysis of GMB damage, which identified a consistent, inverse relationship among the probability of survival and the local coordination number (N neighbor ) across all specimens.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Damage evolution and ductile fracture of commercially-pure titanium sheets subjected to simple tension and cyclic bending under tension

This paper describes a study into the evolution of damage in commercial-purity titanium (CP–Ti) sheets subjected to cyclic bending under tension (CBT) and uniaxial tension (simple tension, ST). Sections were taken from sheets that were strained to various levels under both methods and were imaged using X-ray computed tomography (XCT) to reveal insights into the size, density, and distribution of microvoids in the sheets. Digital image correlation (DIC) was also used to observe the surface strain of CBT and ST sheets during testing. These results showed that elongation to failure (ETF) for CBT deformation is about 2.5× higher than for ST, local longitudinal strains in the bulk of the CBT sample are around 1.3× higher than the peak strain in the ST necked region, and 1.7× higher in the localized region of CBT failure. It was found that the volume-density of voids in both sheets followed a similar exponential increase with strain, reaching nearly 45× higher in the CBT than the ST sheets before the onset of failure, mainly due to the higher strain levels achieved. A higher volume density of voids developed in the center of sheets at high levels of strain, for both processes, with the density in the sheet center becoming approximately double that found near the edges. Scanning electron microscopy (SEM) was used to examine the fracture surface of CBT and ST sheets after failure. The observations are presented and discussed highlighting the CBT process as effective to delay ductile fracture of the CP-Ti sheets.

Commercially pure titanium↗

Dynamic-range studies and improvements for multiplexed photonic Doppler velocimetry

This paper presents studies of the dynamic range achievable with multiplexed photonic Doppler velocimetry (MPDV) measurements, and demonstrates techniques to extend the dynamic range. Improved dynamic range for MPDV measurements is needed in order to track the velocity of the free surface behind a cloud of ejecta. Therefore, the authors have undertaken theoretical and experimental studies of factors affecting dynamic range, particularly in cases where the large number of MPDV probe points precludes high illumination power on each channel. To quantify the potential dynamic range of a given MPDV configuration, they introduce a metric called the frequency-domain number of bits, FNOB, which is less stringent than the formally defined equivalent number of bits (ENOB). This new metric is simple to compute in the lab, and it is well suited to conventional PDV analysis, which does not require digitizer phase coherence beyond tens of nanoseconds.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Cyber Norms for Civilian Nuclear Power Plants

The international community agrees that the safe operation of civilian nuclear infrastructure is in every population’s best interest. One challenge each government must address is defining and agreeing to a set of acceptable norms of behavior in cyberspace as they relate to these facilities. The introduction of digital systems and networking technologies into these environments has led to the possibility that control and supporting computer systems are now accessible and exploitable, especially where interconnections to global information and communications technology (ICT) networks exist. The need for norms of behavior in cyberspace includes what is expected of system architects and cyber defenders as well as adversaries who should abide by rules of engagement even while conducting acts that violate national and international laws. The goal of this paper is to offer three behavioral cyber norms to improve the overall security of the ICT and Operational Technology (OT) networks and systems that underlie the operations of nuclear facilities. These norms of behavior will be specifically defined with the goals of reducing the threats associated to the theft of nuclear materials, accidental release of radiation and sabotage of nuclear processes. These norms would also include instances where an unwitting attacker or intelligence collection entity inadvertently makes their way into a nuclear facility network or system and can recognize they are in a protected zone and an approach to ensuring that these zones are not exploitable by bad actors to place their sensitive cyber effect delivery systems.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Real-Time Simulation of Modular Multilevel Converters

Modular multilevel converters (MMCs) are one of the most popular configurations of voltage-source converters (VSCs) used in applications like high-voltage direct current (HVdc) transmission systems and flexible alternate current transmission systems (FACTS). They have a large number of modules with thousands of capacitors and semiconductor devices, which make it hard to simulate in real-time. In this paper, a low-cost high-performance computing (HPC) configuration to simulate MMCs in real-time is proposed. The configuration uses a HPC digital signal processor (DSP) with 8 cores. An advanced MMC simulation algorithm is implemented using HPC techniques to optimize the real-time performance in the DSP. A comparison is performed with existing solutions to show the superiority of the proposed configuration and algorithms.

Debnath, Suman↗

Lamellar: A Rust-based Asynchronous Tasking and PGAS Runtime for High Performance Computing

Cybersecurity is one of the largest concerns in modern computing, impacting and dictating how governments, private corporations, and individuals interact with and live in an increasingly digital world. The NSA has recently released a memo [ 1] on “Software Memory Safety” where they highlight that both Microsoft and Google have stated around 70% of software vulnerabilities were due to memory safety issues. Although languages such as C and C++ provide freedom and flexibility with memory management, guaran- teeing safety falls mostly on the developer. The NSA recommends using “memory safe” languages whenever possible. In this paper we introduce Lamellar, an asynchronous tasking and PGAS HPC runtime written in Rust, one such "memory safe" language. We describe the entire Lamellar stack, from network interfaces to high- level abstractions such as distributed LamellarArrays and Active Messages. We conclude by showing comparable performance to legacy PGAS runtimes (e.g. OpenSHMEM) on a subset of the BALE kernel suite while maintaining strong memory safety principles.

HPC Software Systems, Rust Programming Language, P↗

Simulating Aftershocks for an On Site Inspection (OSI) Exercise

The experience of IFE14 emphasizes the need for a better way to simulate aftershocks during an OSI exercise. The obvious approach is to develop a digital model of aftershocks that can be used either for a real field exercise or for a computer simulation that can be done in an office, for training for example. However, this approach involves consideration of several aspects, such as how and when to introduce waveforms in a way that maximizes the realism of the data and that will be convincing to a savvy, experienced seismic analyst. The purpose of this report is to outline a plan for how this approach can be implemented.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Permeability Prediction Using Vision Transformers

Accurate permeability predictions remain pivotal for understanding fluid flow in porous media, influencing crucial operations across petroleum engineering, hydrogeology, and related fields. Traditional approaches, while robust, often grapple with the inherent heterogeneity of reservoir rocks. With the advent of deep learning, convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have emerged as potent tools in image-based permeability estimation, capitalizing on micro-CT scans and digital rock imagery. This paper introduces a novel paradigm, employing vision transformers (ViTs)—a recent advancement in computer vision—for this crucial task. ViTs, which segment images into fixed-sized patches and process them through transformer architectures, present a promising alternative to CNNs. We present a methodology for implementing ViTs for permeability prediction, its results on diverse rock samples, and a comparison against conventional CNNs. The prediction results suggest that, with adequate training data, ViTs can match or surpass the predictive accuracy of CNNs, especially in rocks exhibiting significant heterogeneity. This study underscores the potential of ViTs as an innovative tool in permeability prediction, paving the way for further research and integration into mainstream reservoir characterization workflows.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The evolution of far-infrared co emission from protostars

We investigate the evolution of far-IR CO emission from protostars observed with Herschel/PACS for 50 sources from the combined sample of HOPS and DIGIT Herschel key programs. From the uniformly sampled spectral energy distributions, whose peaks are well sampled, we computed the L{sub bol}, T{sub bol}, and L{sub bol}/L{sub smm} for these sources to search for correlations between far-IR CO emission and protostellar properties. We find a strong and tight correlation between far-IR CO luminosity (L{sub CO}{sup fir}) and the bolometric luminosity (L{sub bol}) of the protostars with L{sub CO}{sup fir} ∝L{sub bol}{sup 0.7}. We, however, do not find a strong correlation between L{sub CO}{sup fir} and protostellar evolutionary indicators, T{sub bol} and L{sub bol}/L{sub smm}. FIR CO emission from protostars traces the currently shocked gas by jets/outflows, and far-IR CO luminosity, L{sub CO}{sup fir}, is proportional to the instantaneous mass-loss rate, M-dot {sub out}. The correlation between L{sub CO}{sup fir} and L{sub bol}, then, is indicative of instantaneous M-dot {sub out} tracking instantaneous M-dot {sub acc}. The lack of a correlation between L{sub CO}{sup fir} and evolutionary indicators T{sub bol} and L{sub bol}/L{sub smm} suggests that M-dot {sub out} and, therefore, M-dot {sub acc} do not show any clear evolutionary trend. These results are consistent with mass accretion/ejection in protostars being episodic. Taken together with the previous finding that the time-averaged mass-ejection/accretion rate declines during the protostellar phase, our results suggest that the instantaneous accretion/ejection rate of protostars is highly time variable and episodic, but the amplitude and/or frequency of this variability decreases with time such that the time-averaged accretion/ejection rate declines with system age.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A DATA EFFICIENT SPARSE MODELING FRAMEWORK FOR POWER ESTIMATION IN WATER TREATMENT SENSING OPERATIONS

With increasing freshwater scarcity, advanced process design mechanisms such as Closed-Circuit Reverse Osmosis (CCRO) and Digital/Physical Twin systems are gaining traction in water treatment and reuse operations. While digital and physical twin models enable improved system insight and control, their development is often expensive and computationally intensive, requiring large volumes of synthetic or experimental data to characterize underlying process dynamics. This work introduces a sparse surrogate modeling framework to estimate power consumption from measured flow and pressure variables, along with their nonlinear polynomial and interaction expansions. To ensure model reliability and reduce overfitting, a two-stage pipeline is proposed. First, a dynamic data filtering algorithm is employed to remove uninformative observations and transient operational states. Second, a sparse penalized regression technique is applied to select a minimal set of parsimonious features. The proposed model achieves high sparsity, retaining only 7 out of 34 candidate features (≈79.41% sparsity) while delivering a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.072 on the test dataset.

Mukherjee, Subrata [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000309930338)↗

Machine Learning Digital Twin for Lithium Ion Battery State of Health Predictions

A digital twin system has been established to model the long term degradation of the state of health of lithium ion batteries. Two data streams result from the computational model of the system and from the physical experiment measurements. A machine learning pipeline has been developed at the nexus of these data streams. Leveraging the unique data sources in multiple transfer learning approaches has lead to the development of multiple cell specific machine learning digital twins. Our discussion on this first of its kind technology will cover challenges in data ingestion, scalability, architecture and orchestration, and research findings.

25 - ENERGY STORAGE↗

rabpro: global watershed boundaries, river elevation profiles, and catchment statistics

River and Basin Profiler (rabpro) is a Python package to delineate watersheds, extract river flowlines and elevation profiles, and compute watershed statistics for any location on the Earth’s surface. As fundamental hydrologically-relevant units of surface area, watersheds are areas of land that drain via aboveground pathways to the same location, or outlet. Delineations of watershed boundaries are typically performed on digital elevation models (DEMs) that represent surface elevations as gridded rasters. Depending on the resolution of the DEM and the size of the watershed, delineation may be very computationally expensive. With this in mind, we designed rabpro to provide user-friendly workflows to manage the complexity and computational expense of watershed calculations given an arbitrary coordinate pair. In addition to basic watershed delineation, rabpro will extract the elevation profile for a watershed’s mainchannel flowline. This enables the computation of river slope, which is a critical parameter in many hydrologic and geomorphologic models. Finally, rabpro provides a user-friendly wrapper around Google Earth Engine’s (GEE) Python API to enable cloud-computing of zonal watershed statistics and/or time-varying forcing data from hundreds of available datasets. Altogether, rabpro provides the ability to automate or semi-automate complex watershed analysis workflows across broad spatial extents.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Auto Procedure Parsing: A Natural Language Processing Approach

Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) operating procedure is “a set of rules that describes how actions on the plant should be made if a certain system goal should be accomplished. U.S. NPPs use paper-based procedures (PBPs). PBPs are difficult to use. Common errors with PBPs are: following the wrong procedure, omit a step etc. Computer based procedures (CPBs) offer great improvement in ensuring plant safety. Some studies rely on experienced operators to understand the procedure content and then reorganize the procedure with digitally executable capabilities. Other studies utilize the procedure format to design rules to extract information from the operating procedures. Existing studies in procedure parsing are manual, laborious and extract limited information. This study aims to automatically extract critical information from operating procedures for generating computer interpretable representation of procedures. Such representation can further be used for automatic dynamic human reliability analysis and CPB design etc.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

In situ laser profilometry for material segmentation and digital reconstruction of a multicomponent additively manufactured part

In addition to its ability to produce geometrically complex parts, additive manufacturing offers a unique opportunity to collect data about a component while it is being fabricated. However, there has only been limited effort to characterize parts morphologically and compositionally in situ. In this article, we present a layer-by-layer, laser profilometry-based in situ characterization technique as a method to digitally reconstruct a multi-material part. Data collected by the laser profilometer yields height maps and grayscale images which are voxelized using purpose-built software to volumetrically reconstruct the part. Additionally, the same part was also analyzed using X-ray computed tomography (CT) which was not able to resolve the different compositional regions within the part, but captured the filament morphology. The part was then bisected to compare the digital reconstruction to the actual part morphology and composition. Overall, the digital reconstruction was in good agreement with both the CT and bisected images. Deviations between the digital reconstruction and the CT/bisected images are likely the result of image segmentation settings or material shifts after data was collected. The in situ characterization method demonstrated here sets the stage for real time process monitoring and paves the way for additively manufactured parts that are “born qualified.”

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Micromechanical aspects of deformation and failure of advanced Iron-Chromium-Aluminum alloys

Here this work investigates the micromechanical deformation and failure mechanisms of advanced FeCrAl alloys developed for use in nuclear reactors as cladding material. Three different FeCrAl alloys (82-X)Fe-13Cr-5Al-X (X=Nb, TiC, 0 for base alloy) were investigated both in their as-received and welded states. In-situ neutron diffraction with simultaneous digital image correlation was used to determine micromechanical deformation mechanisms not only as a function of elemental composition but also as a condition of state (as-received vs. welded). Ex-situ X-ray computed tomography was used on as-deformed samples to help determine the failure mechanisms and void initiation strains.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Architecture and Methods for Substation SCADA Cybersecurity: Best Practices

There are over 3000 electricity providers in the United States, encompassing investor and publicly owned utilities as well as electric cooperatives. There has been ongoing trends to increasingly automate and provide remote control and monitoring of electric energy delivery systems. The deployment of computer network technologies has increased the efficiency and reliability of electric power infrastructure. However, the increased use of digital communications has also increased the vulnerability to malicious cyber attacks [1]. In 2004 the National Research Councils (National Academies) formed a committee of specialists to address these vulnerabilities and propose possible solutions with an objective to prioritize the R&D needs for developing countermeasures. The committee addressed many potential concerns in the electric power delivery system and classified them based upon different criteria and presented recommendations to minimize the gap between the academic research directions and the needs of the electric utility industry. The complexity and diversity of the electric power delivery system in the U.S. has opened many ports for attackers and intruders [1]. This complexity and diversity is attributed to the fact that power delivery system is a network of substations, transmission and distribution lines, sub-networks of controlling, sensing and monitoring units, and human operator involvement for running the system [1]. Accordingly, any incident such as the occurrence of a fault or disturbance in this complex network cannot be deferred and should be resolved within an order of milliseconds, otherwise there is risk of large-scale outages similar to the occurrences in India and the U.S. in 2003 [2]. There are three main vulnerabilities in supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems commonly identified—physical vulnerability, cyber vulnerability and personal vulnerability [1]. In terms of cyber threats, SCADA systems are the most critical elements in the electric power grid in the U.S. Unauthorized access to a SCADA system could enable/disable unexpected equipment (such as disable the protection system or a circuit breaker) which could cause large scale disruptions of electric power delivery. This paper provides an overview of power system SCADA technologies in transmission substations (Section 2) and summarizes the best practices for implementing a cyber security program. After introducing SCADA system operations in Section 2, a description of the security challenges for SCADA systems is presented in Section 3. In Section 4, NECRC Critical Infrastructure Protection standards CIP-002 through CIP-009 are summarized. An overview of industry best practices is presented in Section 5.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗