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At least 613 records · Page 34

The Value of Forecasters‐in‐the‐Loop in Real‐Time Flood Forecasting in the Age of Machine Learning

Machine learning (ML) applications in hydrological forecasting are increasingly prevalent and show great potential. However, many previous studies have only evaluated performance through reanalysis or retrospective simulations compared to simplified baselines. This study provides the first assessment of ML performance against actual operational forecasting systems operated by the California Nevada River Forecast Center (CNRFC), which combines the Community Hydrologic Prediction System (CHPS) with forecasters-in-the-loop. Results demonstrate that forecasters-in-the-loop systems consistently outperform ML models in both general forecasts and flood alerting across lead times up to 96 hr, even when ML models use observed forcings, while CNRFC operational process relies on biased weather forecasts. Our analysis reveals that forecaster expertise maintains forecast reliability despite inaccurate precipitation inputs, with human-guided systems showing superior performance degradation characteristics at extended lead times. These findings highlight the irreplaceable value of human expertise in operational forecasting and caution against overstating current ML capabilities in real-world applications.

Tran, Vinh Ngoc [Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI ↗

Hidden orders and phase transitions for the fully packed quantum loop model on the triangular lattice

Abstract Quantum loop and dimer models are prototypical correlated systems with local constraints, which are not only intimately connected to lattice gauge theories and topological orders but are also widely applicable to the broad research areas of quantum materials and quantum simulation. Employing our sweeping cluster quantum Monte Carlo algorithm, we reveal the complete phase diagram of the triangular-lattice fully packed quantum loop model. Apart from the known lattice nematic (LN) solid and the even$${{\mathbb{Z}}}_{2}$$ Z 2 quantum spin liquid (QSL) phases, we discover a hidden vison plaquette (VP) phase, which had been overlooked and misinterpreted as a QSL for more than a decade. Moreover, the VP-to-QSL continuous transition belongs to the (2 + 1)D cubic * universality class, which offers a lattice realization of the (fractionalized) cubic fixed point that had long been considered as irrelevant towards the O(3) symmetry until corrected recently by conformal bootstrap calculations. Our results are therefore of relevance to recent developments in both experiments and theory, and facilitate further investigations of hidden phases and transitions.

Physics↗

VHH antibody loop guides design of a synthetic macrocyclic peptide that potently blocks influenza virus membrane fusion

Abstract Miniaturizing biologically complex structural motifs to produce synthetic functional mimetics holds significant promise for development of new therapeutic modalities. Here, we demonstrate a unique approach using the key binding loop of the single variable domain of a heavy chain (V H H) llama antibody as a starting point for peptide design. V H H antibodies of camelids and sharks generally have longer, but more ligand-efficient complementarity determining region 3 (CDR3) loops and are relatively stable structures. We harnessed these attributes as templates for design of a series of synthetic macrocyclic peptides. The designed peptides exhibit nanomolar binding to influenza hemagglutinin (HA) and heterosubtypic in vitro neutralization breadth against influenza A viruses by inhibiting the low pH mediated HA conformational changes that lead to membrane fusion. X-ray structures of peptide-HA complexes reveal high structural mimicry with the parent V H H antibody. One such macrocycle peptide candidate is promising for further development of broad protection against influenza A group 1 viruses.

Kadam, Rameshwar U.↗

Structural basis for human NKCC1 inhibition by loop diuretic drugs

Abstract Na + –K + –Cl − cotransporters functions as an anion importers, regulating trans-epithelial chloride secretion, cell volume, and renal salt reabsorption. Loop diuretics, including furosemide, bumetanide, and torsemide, antagonize both NKCC1 and NKCC2, and are first-line medicines for the treatment of edema and hypertension. NKCC1 activation by the molecular crowding sensing WNK kinases is critical if cells are to combat shrinkage during hypertonic stress; however, how phosphorylation accelerates NKCC1 ion transport remains unclear. Here, we present co-structures of phospho-activated NKCC1 bound with furosemide, bumetanide, or torsemide showing that furosemide and bumetanide utilize a carboxyl group to coordinate and co-occlude a K + , whereas torsemide encroaches and expels the K + from the site. We also found that an amino-terminal segment of NKCC1, once phosphorylated, interacts with the carboxyl-terminal domain, and together, they engage with intracellular ion exit and appear to be poised to facilitate rapid ion translocation. Together, these findings enhance our understanding of NKCC-mediated epithelial ion transport and the molecular mechanisms of its inhibition by loop diuretics.

Biochemistry & Molecular Biology↗

Fiber loop quantum buffer for photonic qubits

Abstract We report a fiber loop quantum buffer based on a low-loss 2 × 2 switch and a unit delay made of a fiber delay line. We characterize the device by using a two-photon polarization entangled state in which one photon of the entangled photon pair is stored and retrieved at a repetition rate up to 78 kHz. The device, which enables integer multiples of a unit delay, can store the qubit state in a unit of fiber delay line up to 5.4 km and the number of loop round-trips up to 3. Furthermore, we configure the device with other active elements to realize integer multiplier and divider of a unit delay of a qubit. The quantum state tomography is performed on the retrieved photon and its entangled photon. We obtain a state fidelity > 94 % with a maximum storage time of 52 s with an insertion loss of 5.56 dB. To further characterize the storing and retrieving processes of the device, we perform entanglement-assisted quantum process tomography on the buffered qubit state. The process fidelity of the device is > 0.98. Our result implies that the device preserves the superposition and entanglement of a qubit state from a two-photon polarization-entangled state. This is a significant step towards facilitating applications in optical asynchronous transfer mode based quantum networks.

Fook Lee, Kim (ORCID:0000000290901640)↗

Mutation-driven RRE stem-loop II conformational change induces HIV-1 nuclear export dysfunction

Abstract The Rev response element (RRE) forms an oligomeric complex with the viral protein Rev to facilitate the nuclear export of intron-retaining viral RNAs during the late phase of HIV-1 (human immunodeficiency virus type 1) infection. However, the structures and mechanisms underlying this process remain largely unknown. Here, we determined the crystal structure of the HIV-1 RRE stem-loop II (SLII), revealing a unique three-way junction architecture in which the base stem (IIa) bifurcates into the stem-loops (IIb and IIc) to compose Rev binding sites. The crystal structures of various SLII mutants demonstrated that while some mutants retain the same “compact” fold as the wild type, other single-nucleotide mutants induce drastic conformational changes, forming an “extended” SLII structure. Through in vitro Rev binding assays and Rev activity measurements in HIV-1-infected cells using structure-guided SLII mutants designed to favor specific conformers, we showed that while the compact fold represents a functional SLII, the alternative extended conformation inhibits Rev binding and oligomerization and consequently stimulates HIV-1 RNA nuclear export dysfunction. The propensity of SLII to adopt multiple conformations as captured in crystal structures and their influence on Rev oligomerization illuminate emerging perspectives on RRE structural plasticity-based regulation of HIV-1 nuclear export and provide opportunities for developing anti-HIV drugs targeting specific RRE conformations.

Biochemistry & Molecular Biology↗

Lattice-QCD Computable Quark Correlation Functions at Three-Loop Order and Extraction of Splitting Functions

We present the first complete next-to-next-to-next-to-leading-order calculation of the matching coefficients that link unpolarized flavor nonsinglet parton distribution functions with lattice QCD computable correlation functions. By using this high-order result, we notice a reduction in theoretical uncertainties compared to relying solely on previously known lower-order matching coefficients. Furthermore, based on this result we have extracted the three-loop unpolarized flavor nonsinglet splitting function, which is in agreement with the state-of-the-art result. Because of the simplicity of our method, it has the potential to advance the calculation of splitting functions to the desired four-loop order.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Bottomonium suppression from the three-loop QCD potential

We compute the suppression of bottomonium in the quark-gluon plasma using the three-loop QCD static potential. The potential describes the spin-averaged bottomonium spectrum below threshold with a less than 1% error. Within potential nonrelativistic quantum chromodynamics and an open quantum systems framework, we compute the evolution of the bottomonium density matrix. The values of the quarkonium transport coefficients are obtained from lattice QCD measurements of the bottomonium in-medium width and thermal mass shift; we additionally include for the first time a vacuum contribution to the dispersive coefficient γ . Using the three-loop potential and the values of the heavy quarkonium transport coefficients, we find that the resulting bottomonium nuclear modification factor is consistent with experimental observations, while at the same time reproducing the lattice measurements of the in-medium width. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Energy-momentum tensor in Φ 4 theory at one loop

The energy-momentum tensor form factors are studied in Φ 4 theory to one-loop order with particular focus on the 𝐷-term, a particle property which has attracted a lot of attention in the recent literature. It is shown that the free Klein-Gordon theory value of the 𝐷-term 𝐷 free =−1 is reduced to 𝐷 one-loop =− $\frac{1}{3}$ even if the Φ 4 interaction is infinitesimally small. A companion work in Φ 3 theory confirms this result which may indicate that it is independent of the type of interaction as long as the scalar theory is renormalizable. Dispersion relations are studied. Various definitions of mean square radii including the mechanical radius are investigated. The findings contribute to a better understanding of the energy momentum tensor properties of particles and their interpretation.

form factors↗

Loop series expansions for tensor networks

Belief propagation (BP) can be a useful tool to approximately contract a tensor network, provided that the contributions from any closed loops in the network are sufficiently weak. In this article, we describe how a loop series expansion can be applied to systematically improve the accuracy of a BP approximation to a tensor network contraction, in principle converging arbitrarily close to the exact result. More generally, our result provides a framework for expanding a tensor network as a sum of component networks in a hierarchy of increasing complexity. We benchmark this proposal for the contraction of infinite projected entangled pair states, either representing the ground state of an Affleck-Kennedy-Lieb-Tasaki (AKLT) model or with randomly defined tensors, where it is shown to improve in accuracy over standard BP by several orders of magnitude while incurring only a minor increase in computational cost. These results indicate that the proposed series expansions could be a useful tool to accurately evaluate tensor networks in cases that otherwise exceed the limits of established contraction routines.

Evenbly, Glen [AWS Center for Quantum Computing, P↗

Symmetry-violation-driven hysteresis loops as measurands for noise-resilient sensors

Sublinear resonant deviations from an exceptional point degeneracy (EPD) has been recently promoted as a sensing scheme. However, there is still an ongoing debate whether the sensitivity advantage is negated by an increase in fundamental noise – especially when active elements induce self-oscillations. In this case, nonlinearities are crucial in stabilizing amplifying modes and mitigating noise effects. A drawback is the formation of hysteresis loops that signal a transition to unstable modes. This can only be alleviated by precise cavity symmetry management. Here, utilizing two coupled nonlinear (RLC) tanks with balanced amplification and attenuation, we demonstrate that an explicit symmetry violation, induced by sweeping the resonant detuning of the (RLC) tanks, reveals a hysteresis loop near the EPD whose width scales sublinearly with the inter-tank coupling. Furthermore, our proposal re-envisions this disadvantageous feature as a sensing protocol with diverging sensitivity, enhanced signal-to-noise ratio, and self-calibration without requiring delicate symmetry control. As such, it opens new avenues in metrology as well as for optical/RF switching and triggering.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Hardware-in-the-Loop Testing of Wide-Area Damping Controller for Field Implementation in Large-scale Power Grid

In our previous work, an adaptive measurement-driven wide-area damping controller (WADC) for suppressing inter-area oscillations has been proposed and a hardware prototype was developed and validated through hardware-in-the-loop tests. As a continuation of the work, this paper introduces a WADC software prototype to handle the realistic challenges for field implementation in the control room of the power grid. The WADC software is developed and operated as an openPDC adapter with a graphical user interface (GUI) to monitor the WADC inputs and output, the communication delays and other variables. The software prototype has been fully tested through an enhanced hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) test setup. Its performance is verified under various realistic communication uncertainties, such as random time delays and data losses, with different communication protocols. The experiment results have proven the WADC software can deliver sufficient damping to suppress the targeted oscillation mode in handling various communication uncertainties for future field deployment.

Jia, Xinlan↗

Ni( II )-binding affinity of Cc NikZ-II and its homologs: the role of the HH -prong and variable loop revealed by structural and mutational studies

Extracytoplasmic Ni(II)-binding proteins (NiBPs) are molecular shuttles involved in cellular nickel uptake. Here, we determined the crystal structure of apo CcNikZ-II at 2.38 Å, which revealed a Ni(II)-binding site comprised of the double His (HH-)prong (His511, His512) and a short variable (v-)loop nearby (Thr59-Thr64, TEDKYT). Mutagenesis of the site identified Glu60 and His511 as critical for high affinity Ni(II)-binding. Phylogenetic analysis showed 15 protein clusters with two groups containing the HH-prong. Metal-binding assays with 11 purified NiBPs containing this feature yielded higher Ni(II)-binding affinities. Replacement of the wild type v-loop with those from other NiBPs improved the affinity by up to an order of magnitude. This work provides molecular insights into the determinants for Ni(II) affinity and paves way for NiBP engineering.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

PBE-HIL (Powering the Blue Economy Hardware-in-the-Loop models) [SWR-25-37]

Powering the Blue Economy Hardware-in-the-Loop models (PBE-HIL) is a repository of Power Hardware-in-the-loop models developed for typical Powering the Blue Economy market loads and power requirements. The HIL models were developed to be as generic and functional as possible, meaning that the user can easily configure these models to represent their unique PBE design. These PBE load and power requirement HIL models can then be used to inform marine energy converter (MEC) and power electronics design, as well as be used in laboratory testing using HIL equipment, leading to improved understanding of MEC performance and lower risk prior to open-water MEC deployment.

Labuschagne, Hannes [National Renewable Energy Lab↗

Sandbox for Outer Loop Analysis (SOLA)

SAND2026-18834O Sandbox for Outer Loop Analysis (SOLA) is an object-oriented Matlab library that prototypes outer loop analysis algorithms. It serves as a platform for rapid idea exploration, algorithm testing, and enhancing pedagogy. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy's National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

van Bloemen Waanders, Bart [Sandia National Lab. (↗

Microreactor Automated Control System Test Bed Digital Architecture for Real-Time, Hardware-in-the-Loop Simulation

This work describes progress made towards the development of a real-time hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) test bed for non-nuclear testing of microreactor control schemes and failure modes. Non-nuclear testing is a crucial step in developing robust control algorithms for managing microreactor dynamics. The creation of an HIL simulation harnesses the realistic dynamics of physical analogue systems while additionally considering the challenges of variable communication delay. This collaborative effort between Oak Ridge National Laboratory and Idaho National Laboratory has resulted in a LabVIEW-based gRPC communication protocol which couples a TRANSFORM Modelica simulation of nuclear components to the ViBRANT physical hardware for realistic feedback and visual representation of control action in real time. A modular python client structure is developed to manage FMU-based Modelica simulation and real-time gRPC communication. HIL testing suggests that the modeled reactor with natural convection molten salt loop coolant configuration responds well to PID control of drum positioning for modulation of reactor core power, however, future efforts will be made to explore the added thermal inertial delay of system level control and downstream demand changes. Development of this platform with a generalized methodology provides a foundation for exploring a variety of reactor configurations and failure modes in rapid order to provide insight into the most effective avenues of study for further research and development.

McConnell, Jono [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000238984741)↗

Regge limit of one-loop string amplitudes

We study the high-energy limit of 2 → 2 one-loop string amplitudes at fixed momentum transfer. For the closed string, the high-energy behavior of the amplitudes can be determined from Regge theory just like in field theory, as was first discussed by Amati, Ciafaloni and Veneziano. However, field theory intuition partially breaks down for the open-string amplitude, where amplitudes can exhibit surprising asymptotics in the high-energy limit depending on the topology of the diagram. We call this phenomenon Regge attenuation. We extract Regge limits by a combination of unitarity cuts and saddle-point analysis. We show that the leading contribution of the planar open-string amplitude is sufficiently simple that we can extract it at any loop order. This allows us to resum the genus expansion in a certain limit and demonstrate that the leading Regge trajectory remains linear in that limit.

Banerjee, Pinaki [ICTP South American Institute fo↗

Third Harmonic Generator Optics Loop Transportation and Handling

The National Ignition Facility (NIF) uses crystal optics made from Potassium Di-Hydrogen Phosphate (KDP) for frequency conversion, changing the fundamental wavelength of 1053 nm to the third harmonic at 351 nm. The crystal optics are manufactured at a vendor and shipped to Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) where they are measured, mitigated, cleaned, coated, and placed into line replaceable units (LRUs) in the Optics Processing Facility (OPF) clean room and transported to the NIF where they are stored under Nitrogen purge until they are installed in the beamline. The KDP crystal optics are sensitive to humidity and temperature, so they are stored under Nitrogen purge providing a clean and dry environment. The sensitivity to the environment and the brittle nature of the crystals makes transportation and handling (T&H) challenging. Coupled with challenges in holding the crystal optics in the LRU to not distort the optic, there is a balance between T&H and fixturing the optic in the laser system. The purpose of the LRU is to make the optics interchangeable allowing for a relatively quick interchange. Kinematic mounts and ceramic frames aid in making this possible. Optics in the NIF that are frequently changed out have an established recycle loop. The loop for an optic can be complex depending on the amount of processing and rework necessary. Some optics can’t be reconditioned so they are replaced with new optics.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗