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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 631 records · Page 35

POLARIS: Agent-based modeling framework development and implementation for integrated travel demand and network and operations simulations

Here, we discuss the development of an agent-based modelling software development kit, and the implementation and validation of a model using it that integrates dynamic simulation of travel demand, network supply and network operations. A description is given of the core utilities in the kit: a parallel discrete event engine, interprocess exchange engine, and memory allocator, as well as a number of ancillary utilities: visualization library, database IO library, and scenario manager. The overall framework emphasizes the design goals of: generality, code agility, and high performance. This framework allows the modeling of several aspects of transportation system that are typically done with separate stand-alone software applications, in a high-performance and extensible manner. The issue of integrating such models as dynamic traffic assignment and disaggregate demand models has been a long standing issue for transportation modelers. The integrated approach shows a possible way to resolve this difficulty. The simulation model built from the POLARIS framework is a single, shared-memory process for handling all aspects of the integrated urban simulation. The resulting gains in computational efficiency and performance allow planning models to be extended to include previously separate aspects of the urban system, enhancing the utility of such models from the planning perspective. Lastly, initial tests with case studies involving traffic management center impacts on various network events such as accidents, congestion and weather events, show the potential of the system.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Oxygen demand for the stabilization of the organic fraction of municipal solid waste in passively aerated bioreactors

Highlights: • The use of an passively aerated reactor enables effective stabilization of OFMSW. • Convective air flow does not inhibit the aerobic stabilization of waste. • The use of an passively aerated reactor reduces the heat loss due to convection. • The volume of supplied air exceeds 1.7–2.88 times the microorganisms demand. - Abstract: Conventional aerobic waste treatment technologies require the use of aeration devices that actively transport air through the stabilized waste mass, which greatly increases operating costs. In addition, improperly operated active aeration systems, may have the adverse effect of cooling the stabilized biomass. Because active aeration can be a limiting factor for the stabilization process, passive aeration can be equally effective and less expensive. Unfortunately, there are few reports documenting the use of passive aeration systems in municipal waste stabilization. There have been doubts raised as to whether a passive aeration system provides enough oxygen to the organic matter mineralization processes. In this paper, the effectiveness of aeration during aerobic stabilization of four different organic fractions of municipal waste in a reactor with an integrated passive ventilation system and leachate recirculation was analyzed. For the study, four fractions separated by a rotary screen were chosen. Despite the high temperatures in the reactor, the air flow rate was below 0.016 m{sup 3}/h. Using Darcy’s equation, theoretical values of the air flow rate were estimated, depending on the intensity of microbial metabolism and the amount of oxygen required for the oxidation of organic compounds. Calculations showed that the volume of supplied air exceeded the microorganisms demand for oxidation and endogenous activity by 1.7–2.88-fold.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Estimating Cost and Energy Demand in Producing Lithium Hexafluorophosphate for Li-Ion Battery Electrolyte

In this work, the production of Lithium hexafluorophosphate (LiPF 6 ) for Lithium-ion battery application is studied. Spreadsheet-based process models are developed to simulate three different production processes. These process models are then used to estimate and analyze the factors affecting cost of manufacturing, energy demand, and environmental impact due to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Moreover, the results indicate that in a facility with a capacity of making 10,000 metric tons per year of LiPF 6 the cost of production is around $20 per kg of LiPF 6 , energy consumption is around 30 GWh per year, and the emission of greenhouse gases in CO 2- equivalent gases is around 80 metric tons per day. The impact of change in process and economic parameters on the cost of production, energy demand, and emissions is studied. In addition, a few insights on reducing the cost of production are presented. Lastly, the impact of varying LiPF 6 costs on the overall cost of a Li-ion battery ($ kWh -1 ) is presented.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Electric vehicle batteries alone could satisfy short-term grid storage demand by as early as 2030

The energy transition will require a rapid deployment of renewable energy (RE) and electric vehicles (EVs) where other transit modes are unavailable. EV batteries could complement RE generation by providing short-term grid services. However, estimating the market opportunity requires an understanding of many socio-technical parameters and constraints. We quantify the global EV battery capacity available for grid storage using an integrated model incorporating future EV battery deployment, battery degradation, and market participation. We include both in-use and end-of-vehicle-life use phases and find a technical capacity of 32–62 terawatt-hours by 2050. Low participation rates of 12%–43% are needed to provide short-term grid storage demand globally. Participation rates fall below 10% if half of EV batteries at end-of-vehicle-life are used as stationary storage. Short-term grid storage demand could be met as early as 2030 across most regions. Our estimates are generally conservative and offer a lower bound of future opportunities.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

On-demand generation of aqueous two-phase microdroplets with reversible phase transitions

Aqueous two-phase systems contained entirely within microdroplets enable a bottom-up approach to mimicking the dynamic microcompartmentation of biomaterial that naturally occurs within the cytoplasm of cells. Here, we demonstrate the on-demand generation of femtolitre aqueous two-phase droplets within a microfluidic oil channel. Gated pressure pulses were used to generate individual, stationary two-phase microdroplets with a well-defined time zero for carrying out controlled and sequential phase transformations over time. Reversible phase transitions between single-phase, two-phase, and core-shell microgel states were obtained via evaporation-induced dehydration and on-demand water rehydration. In contrast to other microfluidic aqueous two-phase droplets, which require continuous flows and high-frequency droplet formation, our system enables the controlled isolation and reversible transformation of a single microdroplet and is expected to be useful for future studies in dynamic microcompartmentation and affinity partitioning.

Boreyko, Jonathan B↗

Experimentally probing the extremes of droplet-on-demand printability via liquid metals

The liquid metal jetting droplet-on-demand technology provides many potential benefits to metal additive manufacturing. However, much is left to understand the operational margins to reliably create stable, satellite-free droplets. We elucidate these margins by experimentally probing the unexplored extremities of a recently proposed printability window based on the jet Weber (Wejet) and Ohnesorge (Z = 1/Oh) numbers. We generated stable droplets for 2 ≲ Wejet ≲ 4 for all tested Z = 339 to 2526—well beyond the bounds of any previously published printability window—suggesting that additional physics may be needed to understand droplet-on-demand in the high Z regime.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

An interpretable machine learning framework to understand bikeshare demand before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in New York City

In recent years, bikesharing systems have become increasingly popular as affordable and sustainable micromobility solutions. Advanced mathematical models such as machine learning are required to generate good forecasts for bikeshare demand. Here, this study proposes a machine learning modeling framework to estimate hourly demand in a large-scale bikesharing system. Two Extreme Gradient Boosting models were developed: one using data from before the COVID-19 pandemic (March 2019 to February 2020) and the other using data from during the pandemic (March 2020 to February 2021). Furthermore, a model interpretation framework based on SHapley Additive exPlanations was implemented. Based on the relative importance of the explanatory variables considered in this study, share of female users and hour of day were the two most important explanatory variables in both models. However, the month variable had higher importance in the pandemic model than in the pre-pandemic model.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Future PM 2.5 emissions from metal production to meet renewable energy demand

A shift from fossil fuel to renewable energy is crucial in limiting global temperature increase to 2 °C above preindustrial levels. However, renewable energy technologies, solar photovoltaics, wind turbines, and electric vehicles are metal-intensive, and the mining and smelting processes to obtain the needed metals are emission-intensive. We estimate the future PM 2.5 emissions from mining and smelting to meet the metal demand of renewable energy technologies in two climate pathways to be 0.3–0.6 Tg yr -1 in the 2020–2050 period, which are projected to contribute 10%–30% of total anthropogenic primary PM 2.5 combustion emissions in many countries. The concentration of mineral reserves in a few regions means the impacts are also regionally concentrated. Rapid decarbonization could lead to a faster reduction of overall anthropogenic PM 2.5 emissions but also could create more unevenness in the distributions of emissions relative to where demand occurs. Options to reduce metal-related PM 2.5 emissions by over 90% exist and are well understood; introducing policy requiring their installation could avoid emission hotspots.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Assessing the performance of global thermostat adjustment in commercial buildings for load shifting demand response

Abstract Efficiently leveraging new sources of flexibility is critical to mitigating load balancing challenges posed by variable renewable resources. The thermal inertia of commercial buildings allows us to shift their power consumption on minute to hourly timescales to provide demand response to the grid while maintaining occupant comfort. Global thermostat adjustment (GTA) provides a readily available and scalable approach for implementing load shifting demand response using commercial heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, since it leverages the inherent sophistication of modern building automation systems. However, there is an incomplete understanding of GTA’s performance for this purpose and its impact on building systems and occupant comfort. In this paper, we explore the performance of GTA by analyzing results from nearly nine hundred experiments on eight university campus buildings in Michigan and North Carolina. Using GTA, we manipulate each building’s thermostat setpoints causing the building to shift its power consumption with respect to its baseline. We quantify the magnitude of HVAC power response, energy use of HVAC subsystems, and impact on occupant comfort. Finally, we connect our experimental results with power system operation using an optimization model that coordinates GTA actions across a large collection of grid-interactive efficient buildings (GEBs) to reduce high ramp rates on the grid and mitigate renewable energy curtailment. Overall, our work finds that the impacts on HVAC subsystems are often complex, and may result in additional energy being consumed by fans and terminal reheat. These effects must be considered when using GTA for load shifting. Additionally, we demonstrate that occupant comfort, as assessed by indoor temperature and humidity, can be maintained during GTA events. From a societal perspective, our modeling work finds that the additional renewable energy that can be integrated through the use of GTA strategies eclipses any additional energy consumed by buildings.

Keskar, Aditya (ORCID:0000000244617980)↗

An ILP based Algorithm for Optimal Customer Selection for Demand Response in SmartGrids

Demand Response (DR) events are initiated by utilities during peak demand periods to curtail consumption. They ensure system reliability and minimize the utility’s expenditure. Selection of the right customers and strategies is critical for a DR event. An effective DR scheduling algorithm minimizes the curtailment error which is the absolute difference between the achieved curtailment value and the target. State-of-the-art heuristics exist for customer selection, however their curtailment errors are unbounded and can be as high as 70%. In this work, we develop an Integer Linear Programming (ILP) formulation for optimally selecting customers and curtailment strategies that minimize the curtailment error during DR events in SmartGrids. We perform experiments on real world data obtained from the University of Southern California’s SmartGrid and show that our algorithm achieves near exact curtailment values with errors in the range of 10 -7 to 10 -5 , which are within the range of numerical errors. We compare our results against the state-of-the-art heuristic being deployed in practice in the USC SmartGrid. We show that for the same set of available customer strategy pairs our algorithm performs 103 to 107 times better in terms of the curtailment errors incurred.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A Distributed Energy Management Approach for Residential Demand Response

The implementation of large-scale optimization and control of residential appliances to support demand response (DR) programs comes with the challenges of coordinated communication, privacy, and consideration of customer preferences. Solving this complexity is best suited through a distributed optimization and control approach at the residential level by leveraging the availability and intelligence of a home energy management systems (HEMS). In this paper, a hierarchical control scheme to coordinate large-scale residential demand response through coordination of HEMs is proposed. This scheme is based on the exchange of a reward price and aggregated load information between utility system and HEMS. Numerical results on a one hundred-house model demonstrate the computational efficiency of the proposed approach.

Kou, Xiao↗

Future Industrial Demand: Large, Elastic, and Concentrated [Guest Editorial]

Here, the future industrial demand on the grid is expected to be large, price sensitive, and concentrated. Grid industrial demand increasingly encompasses a new customer type defined as a large flexible load (LFL). This LFL type defines customers with consumption that responds quickly to price or other incentives without interrupting their core business process, such cryptocurrency mining. This customer type can often ramp up and down quickly, which across an entire industry can mean gigawatts of power within a few minutes. In addition to these price-sensitive loads, significant growth is also anticipated in sectors like manufacturing, data centers, and electrification of transportation and buildings.

Mukherjee, Srijib [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (↗

Effects of Demand Response on Retail and Wholesale Power Markets

Demand response has grown to be a part of the repertoire of resources used by utilities to manage the balance between generation and load. In recent years, advances in communications and control technology have enabled utilities to consider continuously controlling demand response to meet generation, rather than the other way around. This paper discusses the economic applications of a general method for load resource analysis that parallels the approach used to analyze generation resources and uses the method to examine the results of the US Department of Energy’s Olympic Peninsula Demonstration Testbed. A market-based closed-loop system of controllable assets is discussed with necessary and sufficient conditions on system controllability, observability and stability derived.

Chassin, David P.↗

Robust Solution Approach for Bilevel Demand Response Game at Distribution Level

In this paper, a bilevel electricity pricing and demand response game between a distribution system operator (DSO) and load aggregators (LAs) is considered, and a robust decision model is proposed for the DSO to deal with the uncertainties from the wholesale market prices and demand consumptions of LAs. With the max-min objective at the upper level, the robust bilevel model is converted into a single level model by the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) conditions and prime-dual transformation. Several groups of experiments have been conducted based on different preferences on uncertainty gaps and peak load reductions to show its effectiveness. After-the-fact scenario analysis has indicated that the robust solution is more beneficial in reducing the risk of inaccurate predictions as compared to the risk neutral strategy.

Chen, Yang↗

Wide-area Demand-side Control for Inter-area Oscillation Mitigation in Power Systems

Inter-area oscillations have severely limited maximum power transfer among different areas in large-scale interconnected power grid. If not quickly damped as soon as possible, they may cause system breakup and even lead to large cascading blackouts. To increase the damping of inter-area oscillations, both power system stabilizer~(PSS) and flexible AC transmission system~(FACTS) controller have been widely considered, which affect the real power flow indirectly. However, the effectiveness of these controllers is restricted to the neighborhood of a prescribed set of operating conditions. In this paper, wide-area demand-side control is developed to directly modulate the real power of end-user loads for oscillation mitigation. The proposed control strategy is implemented in a hierarchical manner. At the device layer, individual end-user loads independently turn ON or OFF in response to the broadcasted signals from the coordinator during the real time. At the supervisory layer, autonomous responses of end-user loads are coordinated to ensure the desired power modulation. The effectiveness of the proposed wide-area demand-side control in improving small-signal stability is illustrated by simulations on a large-scale test system.

Lian, Jianming↗

Deliverable Flexible Ramping Products Considering Spatiotemporal Correlation of Wind Generation and Demand Uncertainties

Flexible ramping products (FRPs) have been implemented by several independent system operators (ISOs) to procure adequate flexible resources. Currently, system operators estimate the system level ramping requirements ignoring the spatiotemporal correlations among various uncertainty sources. This leads to overestimates/underestimates of ramping requirements. In addition, the explicit FRPs model considers only the generation ramping limitation. Other security constraints, such as the transmission limits, are not considered, which leads to deliverability issues of FRPs. To deal with these shortcomings of current FRPs models, this paper proposes a deliverable FRPs based on a distributionally-robust chance constrained multi-interval optimal power flow (DRCC-MIOPF) considering the spatiotemporal correlation of wind power and demand uncertainties endogenously. Furthermore, an asymmetrical affine policy (AAP) is proposed to leverage generation flexibility and mitigate the uncertainty in different directions. The pricing mechanism of the FRPs is proposed using a novel uncertainty-contained locational marginal price (U_LMP) which is derived from the proposed AAP-DRCC-MIOPF model. New components representing the price of FRPs are added into the traditional LMP formulation. Finally, the PJM 5-bus, IEEE 39-bus and IEEE 118-bus systems case studies validate the proposed FRPs approach. The payment of uncertain demand and wind power on FRPs are analyzed.

electricity market↗

The Impact of Uncertain Physical Parameters on HVAC Demand Response

HVAC units are currently one of the major resources providing demand response (DR) in residential buildings. Models of HVAC with DR function can improve understanding of its impact on power system operations and facilitate the deployment of DR technologies. This paper investigates the importance of various physical parameters and their distributions to the HVAC response to DR signals, which is a key step to the construction of HVAC models for a population of units with insufficient data. These parameters include the size of floors, insulation efficiency, the amount of solid mass in the house, and efficiency of the HVAC units. These parameters are usually assumed to follow Gaussian or Uniform distributions. We study the effect of uncertainty in the chosen parameter distributions on the aggregate HVAC response to DR signals, during transient phase and in steady state. We use a quasi-Monte Carlo sampling method with linear regression and Prony analysis to evaluate sensitivity of DR output to the uncertainty in the distribution parameters. The significance ranking on the uncertainty sources is given for future guidance in the modeling of HVAC demand response.

Sun, Yannan↗

Potential Demand Reduction from Buildings in a Simulated Utility

The availability of large-area sensing, scalable algorithms, and high-performance computing has enabled the possibility of urban-scale building energy modeling using new methods not limited to the scalability of manual building energy model creation or retrieval of county-by-county tax assessor’s data. Automatic Building detection and Energy Model creation (AutoBEM) has created 178,368 building energy models for the Electric Power Board (EPB) of Chattanooga, TN, and compared simulation performance to 15-minute data from each building. These models leverage several data sources (e.g. imagery, GIS, utility), software tools to extract building properties (e.g. footprint, height, façade type, window-to-wall ratio, occupancy, building type), simulate at scale on two of the world’s #1 fastest supercomputers, and provide web-based visual analytics.Grid-interactive efficient buildings offer the potential to reduce utility and rate-payer energy costs during each calendar month’s hour of critical generation – when the least efficient, most costly, and often dirtiest generation assets must be brought online. In this paper, EnergyPlus is used to simulate over 150,000 buildings to assess the technical potential of utility-controlled smart thermostats. This is analyzed under a couple scenarios leveraging buildings as thermal batteries via pre-conditioning to coast through peak hours. Results are provided in box and whisker plots assessing the distribution of peak demand reduction at the utility-scale along with breakouts of energy and demand savings by building type and vintage.

Bass, Brett↗