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2020 LLNL Nuclear Science and Security Summer Internship Program

The Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) Nuclear Science and Security Summer Internship Program (NS 3 IP) is designed to give graduate students an opportunity to come to LLNL for 8–10 weeks of hands-on research. Students conduct research under the supervision of a staff scientist, attend a weekly lecture series, interact with other students, and present their work in poster format at the end of the program. Students also have the opportunity to meet staff scientists one-on-one, participate in LLNL facility tours (e.g., the National Ignition Facility and Center for Accelerator Mass Spectrometry), and gain a better understanding of the various science programs at LLNL. Due to the travel and access restrictions imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic, the 2020 NS 3 IP was organized as an “all-virtual” internship program. With LLNL’s extensive institutional support, students accessed the laboratory’s cyberinfrastructure through a secure virtual desktop environment and all seminars, mentor interactions, summer presentations, and laboratory tours were performed remotely. While this virtual internship format did not allow for hands-on laboratory research projects, both the interns and their mentors constructed creative research projects that maximized student exposure to nuclear science research that is relevant to DTRA and LLNL interests in nuclear security.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A trait-based framework for linking microbial communities with carbon transformations under precipitation change

Droughts are common throughout the world. As the climate changes, droughts may become more frequent and intense. Still, scientists are uncertain about how drought will affect the natural world, particularly the bacteria, fungi, and other microbes that live in soils. These tiny life forms are crucial because they control the Earth’s flows of carbon and essential nutrients. Researchers at the University of California, Irvine, and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory teamed up to study how the microbiome, or collection of bacteria and fungi in the soil, deals with drought. Since 2007, the researchers have used shelters with retractable roofs to prevent nearly half of normal rainfall from reaching grass and shrub ecosystems, and their soil microbiomes, in Southern California. The study team discovered that microbes have some clever tricks up their sleeve for surviving drought. When growing on dead grass as a food source, microbes ramp up production of specialized chemicals called osmolytes that keep their cells from drying out. But microbes growing on dead shrubs face another problem. Unlike grass, shrub leaves are a lousy food source. To digest and consume shrub leaves, microbes have to exude more enzymes, which act like biochemical chef knives that chop complex leaf molecules into bite-sized pieces. Carbon is the coin of the microbial realm, earned via enzyme action or slurping up dead plant juices. Microbes growing under normal conditions on tasty dead grass have it easy: they can spend most of their carbon currency on growth. With drought, life gets harder as microbes need to pay up for osmolytes and ramp down their growth. It gets worse with shrub leaves because microbes have to multi-task among growth, enzyme secretion, and osmolyte production. When drought hits, microbes on shrub leaves forgo the osmolytes, probably because losing the carbon revenue from enzyme investment would be a deal-breaker for survival. The next question tackled by the researchers asked how the genes controlling microbial lifestyles sort out across the tree of life. Most microbiologists thought these lifestyles would correspond to rather large branches on the tree. But the study team found that in fact, very closely related microbes differ in important and interesting ways. For example, bacteria that have nearly identical housekeeping genes respond distinctively to warming, rainfall, and plant chemistry. As a result, soil microbiomes are much richer in diversity than originally thought. And studying microbial diversity in much greater detail could open up many more possibilities for how microbial life deals with changing environmental conditions. Trying to understand microbial life without the fine details of genetic diversity is like trying to stream Netflix on a dial-up connection. By looking across the landscape, the researchers revealed that microbial diversity is absolutely critical for maintaining the planet’s flows of carbon and nutrients. The study team designed a new technology—microbial cages—for transplanting intact microbiomes. With the cages, the researchers could move microbiomes to novel environments and compare their ability to cycle carbon and nutrients. In some cases, performance tailed off when microbiomes found themselves in a new environment, but in other cases, performance rivaled or even exceeded that of the resident microbiome. And even the low performers eventually caught up to the native microbiomes if given sufficient time. These findings mean that microbiomes—at least in Southern California—may be resilient to climate shifts due to a high diversity of microbial lifestyles. Coping with heat and drought may literally be in their DNA. The last piece of the research puzzle, and a “Holy Grail” for microbial ecologists, is to forecast the behavior of diverse microbiomes. To meet this challenge, the study team developed new theory and computer models. For the first time, these models account for hundreds of different microbes and how their intricate lifestyles cope with drought. The models are starting to connect the tiniest microbes with the global cycles that sustain Earth’s farms, fields, and forests. With that connection, it will be easier for society to plan for a world with more droughts and other climate disruptions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Proper use of HHDRIFT in surveillance and production conditions

With higher quality optics, newer benchtop DRIFT (diffuse reflectance infrared Fourier transform) spectroscopy systems with modern electronic circuitries should be the preferred choice if detection sensitivity, intensity, and reliability are top priorities. However, when space consideration or other restrictions require the use of a HHDRIFT (handheld DRIFT), it is possible to convert the measurements of the HHDRIFT to those obtained from any benchtop DRIFT and vice versa. In this report, the conversion of the measurements between a HHDRIFT and a benchtop DRIFT at LLNL (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory) are shown to be linear in both production and surveillance conditions. A similar methodology can be used to obtain the measurement correlations between any HHDRIFT and any benchtop DRIFT at other sites.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Advanced High-Performance Computational Modeling of the Seismic Response of High-Hazard and/or Nuclear Facilities and Critical Infrastructure at the NNSS

New methods for predicting the amplitude and variability of ground shaking from earthquakes (and explosions) are needed for seismic hazard analysis for buildings, nuclear power plants, and critical infrastructure at the NNSS. We are comparing existing 1-D and new 3-D geophysical methods for estimating the shear-wave velocity structure in the upper 30 meters of the ground surface (Vs30), which plays a major role in ground motion amplification and seismic response of buildings. We evaluate the performance of these methodologies at the U1a Complex at the NNSS and develop simple 1-D and high-resolution 3-D Vs30 models. We then emplace these high-resolution models into a background seismic velocity model. We will collaborate with Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) to conduct numerical modeling of the ground shaking at the NNSS using their high-performance computing technology and state-of-the-art ground motion simulation methodology. The primary work that was completed in FY 2019 was to acquire the seismic systems and familiarize staff at the NNSS with their use. We also worked on developing a collection plan with the Device Assembly Facility (DAF) at the NNSS, but due to time constraints and other ongoing projects at the DAF, we had to use U1a as a backup. We were able to coordinate the seismic survey, and we will complete the collection of seismic data in FY 2020. Additionally, during FY 2019, we completed the geologic framework model (GFM) for the U1a Complex and modeled the Yucca fault. LLNL worked with us through FY 2019 to prepare the data files for their modeling software and tested the software for reliability. In FY 2020 we will develop the end-to-end capability so that any facility could easily be modeled and the expected shaking from a local earthquake understood. The work in FY 2020 will include building fault models from the GFM and finalizing the velocity model analysis. The final simulations will be run for multiple rupture models, and final assessments will demonstrate the seismic hazard at the U1a Complex.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Discovering Blind Geothermal Systems in the Great Basin Region: An Integrated Geologic and Geophysical Approach for Establishing Geothermal Play Fairways: All Phases

Most geothermal resources in the Great Basin region of the western USA are blind, and thus the discovery of new commercial-grade systems requires synthesis of favorable characteristics for geothermal activity. The geothermal play fairway concept involves integration of multiple parameters indicative of geothermal activity to identify promising areas for new development. This project integrated multiple datasets to apply the play fairway concept and assess geothermal potential in a large region of the Great Basin in Nevada. It is therefore referred to as the Nevada play fairway project. This project was a strong collaborative effort between several organizations, led by the Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology at the University of Nevada, Reno, but with key support from the U.S. Geological Survey, ATLAS Geosciences, Inc,, Hi-Q Geophysical, Inc., Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Utah Geological Survey, and Innovative Geothermal Ltd. In Budget Period 1 of this project, available data for nine geologic, geochemical, and geophysical parameters were initially synthesized to produce a new detailed geothermal potential map of 96,000 km2 from west-central to eastern Nevada. These parameters were grouped into subsets and individually weighted to delineate rankings for local permeability, intermediate permeability, regional permeability, and thermal potential, which collectively defined geothermal play fairways (i.e., most likely locations for significant geothermal fluid flow). This initial work was aimed at reducing the risks in regional exploration and therefore facilitating discovery of new commercial-grade systems in blind settings, as well as in areas with surface expressions of geothermal activity. Budget Period 2 of the project involved detailed analysis of some of the most promising areas identified in Phase 1. Twenty-four highly prospective areas, including both known undeveloped systems and previously undiscovered potential blind systems, were identified for further analysis. After reconnaissance of these areas, five of the most promising sites were selected for detailed studies. Multiple techniques were employed in the detailed studies, including geologic mapping, shallow temperature surveys, gravity surveys, Lidar, geochemical studies, seismic reflection analysis, and 3D modeling. The goal of the detailed studies was to identify specific areas with the highest likelihood for high permeability and thermal fluids, such that drill sites could be targeted. Three main sets of predictive maps were generated for each detailed study area: 1) play fairway maps, 2) play fairway error maps, and 3) direct evidence maps. Local- and intermediate-scale permeability models were revised to reflect results of the detailed geologic, geophysical, and geochemical analyses. Budget Period 3 of the project involved more detailed geophysical analyses and temperature-gradient (TG) drilling in southeastern Gabbs Valley and northern Granite Springs Valley, deemed the two most promising sites, with the goal of providing preliminary validation of the play fairway methodology. In southeastern Gabbs Valley, the collocation of a favorable structural setting (displacement transfer zone and fault intersections), Quaternary faults, intersecting and terminating gravity gradients, magnetic low, shallow (2 m) temperature anomaly, low resistivity anomaly, and promising geothermometry from nearby water wells provided evidence for a blind system. Drilling of six TG holes defines an apparent geothermal system at this locality with temperatures as high as 124°C at 152 m. This system is blind, with no surface hot springs, fumaroles, or paleo-geothermal deposits. For northern Granite Springs Valley, a favorable structural setting (termination of a major Quaternary normal fault), terminating gravity gradient, magnetic gradient, newly discovered sinter deposits, nearby warm water wells, previously drilled TG holes in the vicinity, and promising geothermometry suggest a hidden system. Drilling of six new TG holes yields temperatures of ~96°C at ~250 m, suggesting the presence of a geothermal system. Major lessons learned in the course of this project include: 1) initially identified sites commonly include multiple favorable structural settings at a finer scale; 2) promising sites in Cenozoic basins cannot be recognized without detailed geophysical surveys; and 3) play fairway analysis should be refined as the exploration program vectors into the most promising sites and finer-scale data are acquired. In addition to producing copious amounts of data, this project resulted in 16 published papers, 10 abstracts, more than 40 presentations across the U.S. and abroad (including several keynote addresses), 2 Masters theses, and 7 media reports.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

The Multiphysics on Advanced Platforms Project

In 2015, the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory started development of next-generation multiphysics simulation capabilities for the National Nuclear Security Administration under the Advanced Technologies Development and Mitigation (ATDM) element of the Advanced Simulation and Computing program in collaboration with the Exascale Computing Project (ECP). A key driver for this effort across the NNSA tri-lab was the emergence of advanced high performance computing (HPC) architectures based on heterogeneous compute capabilities, including GPU based systems, as part of the national drive toward exascale computing platforms at multiple Department of Energy (DOE) facilities. Developing a multiphysics code capable of meeting the various simulation needs of the NNSA as defined by the current generation of integrated codes (or ICs), initially developed as part of the Accelerated Strategic Computing Initiative (ASCI) program beginning in 1996, and able to scale to the current 100 petaflop class pre-exascale systems, as well the forthcoming exaflop class computers, is a daunting challenge. To accomplish this ambitious goal, LLNL has embraced two key themes: use of high-order numerical methods and a modular approach to code development. The LLNL next generation effort is organized under the Multi-Physics on Advanced Platforms Project (MAPP). A foundational component of MAPP is the Axom computer science (CS) toolkit which provides infrastructure for the development of modular, performance portable, multi-physics application codes. MARBL is a next-generation application code built on the Axom base to address the modeling needs of the high energy density physics (HEDP) community for simulating high-explosive, magnetic or laser driven experiments such as inertial confinement fusion (ICF), pulsed-power magneto-hydrodynamics (MHD), equation of state (EOS) and material strength studies as part of the NNSA’s stockpile stewardship program (SSP).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Multichannel Deconvolution of Vibrational Shock Signals: An Inverse Filtering Approach

When transporting critical systems of national security interest, out-of-the ordinary, impulsive events that can potentially be undetected and affect overall system performance are of great concern. Impulsive events that can occur are essentially pulse-like, transient signals of short duration that evolve from various phenomena. Here the event can be created by either the dropping of a test object, the system, subjecting it to a compact high-energy blow or being struck unintentionally during transit resulting in potential damage. The intensity and location of the strike can cause an inoperability condition that is unacceptable in a national security environment. Therefore, it is essential to detect, classify and localize damage of any test object subjected to an impulsive-event. This effort was targeted to evaluate the vibrational response of test objects that are subjected to “transport” shocks and roadway vibrations during shipping and handling. Any potential damage that could be inflicted during transportation must not only be detected, but also be evaluated to determine the operational readiness of a test object before and after transport. This event is a critical task that must be addressed as part of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) national security mission. The estimation of excitation signals from noisy data is termed the deconvolution problem in the signal processing literature. The deconvolution problem is based on recovering the input excitation signal from a system characterized by its impulse response sequence. Using this model of the system, an “inverse” representation or filter is developed to remove the system from the measured data and recover the input. Deconvolution techniques have existed for a long-time; however, transient deconvolution presents a few uncommon problems, since the signal has a finite-length time duration resulting in a limited amount of data containing information about the excitation process. The transient is wideband in the frequency domain relative to any measurement sensor implying that the smaller bandwidth sensor system “filters” the excitation eliminating some of its essential information for recovery. This fact, coupled with the filtering effect of the test object itself makes this excitation recovery (deconvolution) problem a challenge for signal processing.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Thermo-Mechanical Shock, X-Ray Transport and Radiation Response Analysis Experiments on NIF

The study of x-ray induced rapid heating and the resulting material responses - (thermomechanical shock (TMS) and thermo-structural response (TSR)) - is important to our understanding of material behavior in extreme environments. A series of high conversion efficiency (XRCE) x-ray sources have been developed for the NIF laser facility ranging in fluence and spectral content. In conjunction with source development, we have developed a new XTRRA (X-ray Transport and Radiation Response Analysis) test cassette to hold a set of samples, each at equal distance from target chamber center (TCC) where the x-ray source is placed. Design and performance details of the x-ray sources is discussed elsewhere. Here, we describe the development and use of this TMS XTRRA test cassette. The XTRRA test cassette is a snout mounted on a NIF Diagnostic Instrument Manipulator (DIM) designed to position six samples equidistant from the x-ray source to assure uniform irradiation of all samples. Photon Displacement interferometry (PDI) is used to measure the displacement of the rear surface of each sample resulting from x-ray exposure on the front of the sample. This will help determine the x-ray generated impulse on the sample. The samples are retrieved from the snout after the shot for inspection and post-shot analysis including the measurement of sample ablated mass and engineering tests examining changes in the material structure. The data from experiments are compared to predictions from LLNL’s ASC codes and used to inform models implemented in these codes. Thus, XRCE x-ray sources with the XTRRA snout at the National Ignition Facility (NIF) laser at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory provide the ability to expose a broad range of material samples directly to high x-ray fluence, measure shock transits, and recover the sample for further analysis post-shot.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

ARM Data-Oriented Metrics and Diagnostics Package for Climate Model Evaluation

A Python-based metrics and diagnostics package is currently being developed by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility Infrastructure Team at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory to facilitate the use of long-term, high-frequency measurements from ARM in evaluating the regional climate simulation of clouds, radiation, and precipitation. This metrics and diagnostics package computes climatological means of targeted climate model simulation and generates tables and plots for comparing the model simulation with ARM observational data.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Density Tailored Capillary Discharge (Final Technical Report)

This final report describes efforts to validate a novel way to drive capillary discharges in order to achieve true matched guiding of a focused laser beam traveling along the capillary. Achieving such matched guiding is important for laser plasma accelerators, such as ones based upon laser wakefield acceleration. During this Phase II program, a computer model, which was specifically designed to predict the time-dependent behavior of the capillary discharge, was exercised to determine whether unconventional ways to drive the discharge may yield matched guiding. A custom power supply was built to drive the capillary discharge in the unconventional manner specified by the model. Experiments performed at STI Optronics seemed to support the predictions of this model; however, subsequent more accurate measurements performed at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory did not agree with the model predictions.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Site Environmental Report for 2019

This report, prepared by Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) for the U.S. Department of Energy, Bay Area Site Office (DOE!BASO), provides a comprehensive summary of the environmental program activities at LBNL for calendar year 2019. SERs are prepared annually for all DOE sites with significant environmental activities, and distributed to relevant external regulatory agencies and other interested organizations or individuals.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Defending the Homeland: Growing Foreign Challenges to the U.S. Missile Defense Posture

The Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) for Policy requested that Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory conduct a Congressionally directed study on homeland missile defense, pursuant to Section 1692 of the fiscal year 2020 National Defense Authorization Act. In accordance with the statutory language, this study considers whether the security benefits obtained by deployment of homeland missile defenses of the United States are undermined or counterbalanced by adverse reactions of potential adversaries, and considers the effectiveness of homeland missile defense efforts of the United States to deter the development of ballistic missiles. Almost a half-century has elapsed since the United States and the Soviet Union signed the Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty, and almost two decades since the former withdrew. Since withdrawing, the United States has sought to develop and deploy a layered missile defense system to defend against regional threats to U.S. and allied interests abroad and to counter limited threats to the U.S. homeland. As such, missile defense supports key national defense policy objectives. Protecting the U.S. homeland, forces abroad, allies, and partners. Deterring attacks against the United States, its allies, and partners. Assuring allies an strengthening U.S. diplomatic activities in peacetime and crisis. We offer five key findings: 1. The primary benefit of the Ground-based Midcourse Defense (GMD) system is the protection it provides the U.S. homeland against a limited but evolving rogue-state missile threat. While this system has never been tested in combat, it appears thus far to have effectively paced North Korea’s development and deployment of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs). In the absence of such a defensive capability, the United States would likely have been more heavily exposed to North Korean actions, would have operated at a much higher-risk posture, and would have had less negotiating room with which to navigate coercive tactics and crises. Its allies would have been more concerned about U.S. willingness in time of crisis and war to run the risks of protecting them. The GMD system also serves as a hedge against Iranian breakout. 2. Potential adversaries continue to develop long-range ballistic missiles despite deployment of a U.S. homeland missile defense system. This includes both rogue states and major power rivals whose long-range missile programs predated the deployment of U.S. missile defenses. While North Korea has continued its long-range missile developments and achieved an intercontinental capability, Iran has not yet reached this threshold. The broader proliferation of long-range missiles anticipated in the late 1990s has not materialized. 3. While Russia has used the existence of a U.S. homeland missile defense system as a justification for its substantial and continuing weapon modernization program, neither Russian force modernization nor the limited U.S. homeland missile defense system has altered the strategic balance. Russia has long considered U.S. missile defenses—both theater and homeland—as directed against its strategic forces and as a capability that could rapidly advance, thereby eroding Russian confidence in its nuclear deterrent. Russia’s political and military actions appear excessive and negatively impact areas such as arms control, but they do not undermine the primary benefit of the U.S. system cited in Key Finding 1. 4. China’s expansion and diversification of nuclear and missile forces has been influenced by its concerns about U.S. homeland missile defense, but those concerns are only one of many factors in China’s force planning. Although China’s actions to preserve and expand its assured retaliation prospects have not fundamentally altered the strategic balance, its buildup and lack of transparency about its force modernization goals are troubling. Taken together, the aggregate pattern of China’s modernization activities over the past two decades strongly suggests a concerted effort to develop a modern military force commensurate with its intended geopolitical status. Whatever China’s legacy concerns over the survivability of its strategic nuclear forces, its ability to overwhelm the GMD system appears intact today and will be further strengthened in the years ahead as it continues its long-term modernization program. China’s political and military actions negatively affect U.S. security interests but do not undermine the primary benefit of the U.S. system cited in Key Finding 1. 5. The basic finding that benefits have not so far been undermined by adverse reactions is a function of circumstances that are increasingly in flux. The existing GMD-centered system is under increasing pressure from the pace and scope of North Korean missile deployments. The proposed “layered” system seeks to mitigate this impending capability gap in the near term and to complement future capabilities, such as the Next Generation Interceptor, when they come online. Given the pace of U.S. missile defense developments since 2000, it is possible that adversary advances in capability will outpace the U.S. system’s ability to adapt. Additionally, because this layered system is in principle more readily scaled, it will almost certainly be viewed skeptically by China and Russia. In a context of growing great-power security competition, the Department of Defense (DoD) should consider undertaking a broader net assessment of the U.S., Russian, and Chinese force balance.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Rethinking U.S. Biosecurity Strategy for the Decade Ahead (Workshop Summary)

The Center for Global Security Research (CGSR) at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) hosted a workshop titled, “Rethinking U.S. Biosecurity Strategy for the Decade Ahead” on October 27-29, 2020. The workshop included participants from the policy, military, and technical communities in the United States as well as from U.S. allies. The workshop, convened virtually due to the ongoing global COVID-19 pandemic, was a close collaboration between CGSR and the Physical Life Sciences (PLS) Directorate at LLNL. While the scope of conference extended beyond current circumstances to include precedents and predictions for both public health and bioweapons, contemporary events weighed heavily on the discussion participants.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Hydrodynamic instabilities and heat transfer characteristics in the duct flow of a fluid in the supercritical thermodynamic regime

The behavior of fluids at supercritical thermodynamic conditions is inherently complex due to large variations in thermodynamic and transport properties. Recent numerical and experimental investigations illustrate ongoing interest for these fluids, especially supercritical CO 2 and supercritical water, for a variety of applications. For example, supercritical water reactors (SCWR) operate in this extreme condition of high-pressure and temperature, resulting in highly dynamic flow fields and unexpected heat transfer regimes. The potential heat transfer benefits in this regime are directly associated with the extreme variations in thermodynamic and transport properties, which occur at, and above, the critical point. This work characterizes the hydrodynamic instabilities that arise for fluids at supercritical thermodynamic conditions when buoyancy forces are significant. Two specific configurations are considered, a natural convection cavity flow, and a mixed convection, heated, horizontal channel flow. Natural convection flow in a cavity is a classical configuration with expected behavior below the critical point. This configuration aids in characterizing the effect of the variable properties in the supercritical thermodynamic regime. Further, limited studies in the existing literature have been conducted for low-Reynolds and intermediate-Rayleigh numbers, mixed-convection channel flows for supercritical water, which is the focus of the channel flow configuration. To investigate the thermally driven hydrodynamic instabilities in this regime, a high-order fully-implicit numerical method is used. Such strong variations in thermophysical properties (in particular, density) are difficult to simulate and an altogether compressible framework is needed. Therefore, the compressible Navier-Stokes equations are solved without any additional assumptions. The fully implicit, high-order in space and time, reconstructed discontinuous Galerkin method as implemented within the multi-physics code called ALE3D (Arbitrary Lagrangian and Eulerian in 2D and 3D), developed at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), is used. This fully implicit, L-stable method accurately captures the compressible nature of the ow in the limit of very low Mach number. It has been widely accepted that above the critical point, only one phase is observed. However, recent research has indicated the existence of the distinct gas-like and liquid-like regions separated by the Widom line, the locus of the maxima of the specific heat. Along the Widom line, density decreases 6-fold, viscosity drops by a factor of 2, while specific heat spikes by an order of magnitude. These variations, specifically in density and viscosity, produce a thick pseudo-interface and flow dynamics behavior akin to film boiling. A pseudo-film at the heated wall of the cavity and the horizontal channel is observed where buoyancy forces induce mixing through the specific configurations. Further the local Rayleigh and Richardson numbers provide maps of the flow field and the buoyancy forces driving the microscopic mixing. In the first chapter, I describe a background of supercritical fluid and the various applications. The second chapter focuses on the mathematical model and numerical method used for simulations, where a description of the equation of state for supercritical water is described. The third chapter focuses on the natural convection cavity with a heated bottom wall. In this cavity a gas-like and a liquid-like flow within the supercritical thermodynamic regime are observed. The fourth chapter focuses on a forced convection, horizontal channel, distinguishing between the gas-like, liquid-like, and mixed flow regimes. Mixed convection flow, with the addition of gravitational forces in the horizontal channel show the influence of variable properties on the hydrodynamic development, heat transfer, and rising instabilities. The last chapter of this research focuses on characterizing the unstable hydrodynamics through time-averaging processes and analysis of the movement of energy through the developing plumes.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Interdisciplinary Workshop on the Impacts of Land Use and Land Management on Earth System Evolution, Biogeochemical Cycles, Extremes, and Inter-Sectoral Dynamics (Final Report)

The Aspen Global Change Institute (AGCI) convened a week-long interdisciplinary science workshop from September 15-20, 2019 entitled, “Impacts of Land Use and Land Management on Earth System Evolution, Biogeochemical Cycles, Extremes, and Inter-Sectoral Dynamics.” The purpose of the workshop was to advance research on the impacts of land use and land management on climate, carbon emissions, and extremes, as well as the impact of land-use change on important societal issues such as food, water, and energy security. The workshop was co-chaired by Kate Calvin (PNNL), George Hurtt (University of Maryland), and Dave Lawrence (National Center for Atmospheric Research). Co-funders of the workshop included NASA, NOAA, and travel support for European colleagues through CRESCENDO. This workshop brought together 31 professionals with expertise across biogeochemistry, climate impacts, mitigation, land use datasets, and societal impacts to coordinate on upcoming research and publications on the role of biogeochemical and biophysical properties of the Earth surface and their implications for climate, as conducted through the Land Use model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP), which is part of Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). A primary outcome of the meeting was the definition and planning of a series of LUMIP papers that will rely on the LUMIP and CMIP6 simulations. By the end of the meeting more than twenty papers and paper lead authors had been identified and scoped out. Around ten of these papers were submitted by the December 31, 2019 IPCC deadline.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Energy Cost and its Impact on Commercial Mortgage Default Rates

This document summarizes a study by Lawrence Berkeley National Lab and the University of California's Haas School of Business about energy cost and its impact on commercial mortgage default rates, with information about the impact of energy risk on mortgage pricing and the development of an energy risk metric.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Acid and heat stable enzymes for economical fuel production from biomass

CinderBio’s vision is to harness three billion years of biology to transform many industrial practices into sustainable processes with superior performance. Environments such as volcanic hot springs have evolved extremophilic microbes and enzymes that are naturally heat and acid stable. CinderBio was founded based on technologies developed at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Our core technologies are the molecular tools and know how to efficiently express extremophilic genes in an extremophilic host such that they retain their natural heat and acid stability. During this project, we tested our enzymes at the Advanced Biofuels and Bioproducts Process Development Unit (ABPDU), automated our fermentation and downstream processing, and built a comprehensive technoeconomic assessment (TEA) model for our manufacturing costs.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Mixed-Mechanism Stimulation Enabled Enhanced Geothermal Systems (CRADA FP00007509 Final Report)

In this project, we aimed to develop a robust, novel EGS design that would enable broad deployment of geothermal energy at costs competitive with other sources of renewable energy. The technical objectives included developing reservoir models for synthetic geothermal systems that meet target reservoir performance characteristics, performing a quantitative assessment of selection criteria for candidate geothermal sites, perform proppant studies under relevant geothermal conditions, and complete an induced seismicity risk analysis for potential geothermal development sites. The project team made significant progress towards these objectives. Specifically, we developed a prioritization to rank candidate sites for suitability of our technology based on 10 separate technical, operational, logistic, regulatory, and commercial criteria. The team performed laboratory testing at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory to characterize the functionality of several different types of proppant materials at temperatures of up to 200 C for durations of up to 9 weeks. We also created an Induced Seismicity Mitigation Plan for the top two sites selected for our future field demonstrations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗