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At least 631 records · Page 35

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DOE OSTI2023

Seasonal forecasting skill for the High Mountain Asia region in the Goddard Earth Observing System

Seasonal variability of the global hydrologic cycle directly impacts human activities, including hazard assessment and mitigation, agricultural decisions, and water resources management. This is particularly true across the High Mountain Asia (HMA) region, where availability of water resources can change depending on local seasonality of the hydrologic cycle. Forecasting the atmospheric states and surface conditions, including hydrometeorologically relevant variables, at subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) lead times of weeks to months is an area of active research and development. NASA's Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) S2S prediction system has been developed with this research goal in mind. Here, we benchmark the forecast skill of GEOS-S2S (version 2) hydrometeorological forecasts at 1–3-month lead times in the HMA region, including a portion of the Indian subcontinent, during the retrospective forecast period, 1981–2016. To assess forecast skill, we evaluate 2 m air temperature, total precipitation, fractional snow cover, snow water equivalent, surface soil moisture, and terrestrial water storage forecasts against the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) and independent reanalysis data, satellite observations, and data fusion products. Anomaly correlation is highest when the forecasts are evaluated against MERRA-2 and particularly in variables with long memory in the climate system, likely due to the similar initial conditions and model architecture used in GEOS-S2S and MERRA-2. When compared to MERRA-2, results for the 1-month forecast skill range from an anomaly correlation of R anom =0.18 for precipitation to R anom =0.62 for soil moisture. Anomaly correlations are consistently lower when forecasts are evaluated against independent observations; results for the 1-month forecast skill range from R anom =0.13 for snow water equivalent to R anom =0.24 for fractional snow cover. We find that, generally, hydrometeorological forecast skill is dependent on the forecast lead time, the memory of the variable within the physical system, and the validation dataset used. Overall, these results benchmark the GEOS-S2S system's ability to forecast HMA hydrometeorology.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2018

Time and Magnetic Field Variations of Magnetic Structure in the Triangular Lattice Magnet Ca 3 Co 2 O 6

In a previous study, the long-time variation of the magnetic structure was investigated in the triangular lattice compound Ca 3 Co 2 O 6 in zero magnetic field. In this study, the magnetic field and time variations of the magnetic structure have been studied by magnetization and neutron scattering measurements. The magnetization curve shows a multistep increase, which suggests the presence of successive transitions to different magnetic structures. However, magnetic Bragg peaks corresponding to the long-period antiferromagnetic structure persist up to a high magnetic field close to saturation magnetization. After the magnetic field is removed, a diffuse magnetic scattering signal due to short-range correlations grows with time instead of the Bragg peaks owing to the antiferromagnetic structure in the initial state. A model to account for the magnetic field and time variations of the magnetic structure is presented.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2019

System and method for operator control of heterogeneous unmanned system teams

A control architecture and associated control methods are under development to allow a single user to control a team of multiple heterogeneous UMS as they conduct multi-faceted (i.e. multi-objective) missions in real time is disclosed. The control architecture is hierarchical, modular and layered and enables operator interaction at each layer, ensuring the human operator is in close control of the unmanned team at all times. The architecture and key data structures are introduced. Two approaches to distributed collaborative control of heterogeneous unmanned systems are described, including an extension of homogeneous swarm control and a novel application of distributed model predictive control. Initial results are presented, demonstrating heterogeneous UMS teams conducting collaborative missions.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2019

3-D Modeling of the CFR Engine for the Investigation of Knock on Natural Gas

Engine knock and misfire are barriers to pathways leading to higher efficiency natural gas (NG) engines, where the general tendency to knock is highly dependent on engine operating conditions and the fuel reactivity. The problem is further complicated by low emissions limits and the wide range of chemical reactivity in pipeline quality NG, making the understanding of fuel-engine interactions essential to achieving high efficiencies in spark-ignited NG engines. The present work highlights a three-dimensional computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model of the Cooperative Fuel Research (CFR) engine to investigate knock behavior when running on NG. Using a Converge CFD model of the CFR engine fuel-engine interactions that lead to knock with NG, including effects of fuel reactivity, engine operating parameters, and exhaust gas recirculation, are being investigated. A GT-Power model is used to estimate appropriate initial conditions in the Converge CFD model, including cylinder wall, piston, valves, and port surface temperatures as well as residual gas fraction. In order to validate the model, in-cylinder pressure data taken with a CFR engine is compared to model predictions while varying compression ratio, CA50, and BMEP.

Bestel, Diego↗

DOE OSTI2019

3-D Modeling of the CFR Engine for the Investigation of Knock on Natural Gas

Abstract: Engine knock and misfire are barriers to pathways leading to higher efficiency natural gas (NG) engines, where the general tendency to knock is highly dependent on engine operating conditions and the fuel reactivity. The problem is further complicated by low emissions limits and the wide range of chemical reactivity in pipeline quality NG, making the understanding of fuel- engine interactions essential to achieving high efficiencies in spark-ignited NG engines. The present work highlights a three-dimensional computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model of the Cooperative Fuel Research (CFR) engine to investigate knock behavior when running on NG. Using a Converge CFD model of the CFR engine fuel-engine interactions that lead to knock with NG, including effects of fuel reactivity, engine operating parameters, and exhaust gas recirculation, are being investigated. A GT-Power model is used to estimate appropriate initial conditions in the Converge CFD model, including cylinder wall, piston, valves, and port surface temperatures as well as residual gas fraction. In order to validate the model, in-cylinder pressure data taken with a CFR engine is compared to model predictions while varying compression ratio, CA50, and BMEP.

CFR Engine, Converge CFD, knock, Natural Gas↗

DOE OSTI2022

Effects of Hydrogen Bonding on Nuclear Data Development of Liquid Anhydrous HF

Anhydrous Hydrogen Fluoride (HF) at high temperatures and pressures is used to process and manufacture nuclear fuel. As HF is often used directly with uranium, correct neutron thermal scattering cross sections are crucial to criticality safety applications. Classical molecular dynamics (CMD) simulation of the flexible HF system was used to create the thermal scattering law (TSL) and cross sections. The initial 2-site model is used in LAMMPS, and it can not capture the H-bond. To correctly represent the H-bond effects, a second, 3-site model was constructed in GROMACS. The 3-site model handled H-bonds by connecting a massless charge to the molecule. Key model parameters were compared to experimental data to verify the approach and models. To get the normalized VACF, the model was compared using hydrogen and fluorine bond length, density, potential energy, and diffusion coefficient. The phonon DOSs for both models were derived from the normalized VACF. DOSs were used to estimate the TSL ( S ( α, β )) and neutron thermal scattering cross sections for hydrogen in HF. The TSLs were evaluated using the FLASSH code with the Schofield diffusion model. It was observed that the representation of the hydrogen bonding changes the TSL's diffusional contributions. This is represented in the low energy scattering cross section, where intermolecular binding effects shift the cross section.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Methods and systems for obtaining reconstructed low-frequency seismic data for determining a subsurface feature

A computer-implemented method for obtaining reconstructed seismic data for determining a subsurface feature, includes: determining an initial training velocity model, training a machine learning model based on first training seismic data and second training seismic data generated from the training velocity model, the first training seismic data corresponding to one or more first frequencies, the second training seismic data corresponding to one or more second frequencies lower than the one or more first frequencies, obtaining, based on measured seismic data and the machine learning model, reconstructed seismic data corresponding to the one or more second frequencies, generating a velocity model based on the measured seismic data, the reconstructed seismic data, and a full waveform inversion (FWI), and when the generated velocity model does not satisfy a preset condition, updating the training velocity model based on the generated velocity model, to obtain updated reconstructed seismic data for determining a subsurface feature.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Model/Measurement Comparison of the Transverse Phase Space Distribution of an RFQ-Generated Bunch at the SNS BTF

The research program at the SNS Beam Test Facility is focused on resolving observed model/measurement discrepancies that preclude accurate loss prediction in high-power linacs. The current program of study is focused on deploying direct 6D measurements to reconstruct a realistic model of the initial beam distribution at the RFQ output. This detailed characterization also provides an opportunity for benchmark of RFQ simulations. Here we compare PARMTEQ predictions against 5D-resolved (x, x’, y, y’, dE) phase space measurements of the BTF H⁻ bunch, focusing on the transverse distribution. This work is an extension of [1], which focused on the longitudinal phase space.

Ruisard, Kiersten↗

DOE OSTI2024

Correlations between azimuthal anisotropy and mean transverse momentum in pp, pPb, and peripheral PbPb collisions

Correlations between azimuthal anisotropy and mean transverse momentum of charged particles in proton-proton (pp), proton-lead (pPb), and peripheral lead-lead (PbPb) collisions are presented as a function of charged particle multiplicity. The pp, pPb and PbPb collision data were collected using the CMS detector at the LHC with a center-of-mass energy per nucleon pair of 13, 8.16 and 5.02 TeV, respectively. The two- and four-particle cumulants for the second- and third-order Fourier anisotropy harmonics are correlated with the mean transverse momentum of charged particles on an event-by-event basis. In pp and pPb systems, the observed correlation coefficients based on two-particle cumulants are found to change from negative to positive values as the charged particle multiplicity decreases. The sign changes disappear when the correlated particles are required to be further apart in pseudorapidity. Additionally, no sign changes in correlation coefficients are observed when employing four-particle cumulants. Models incorporating initial-state gluon saturation and final-state hydrodynamic evolutions are compared to pPb data and the predicted sign changes are not observed.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Validation and Verification for INL Modelica-based TEDS models Via Experimental Results

This report provides an overview on the verification and validation (V&V) of the Thermal Energy Distribution System (TEDS) model developed in the Modelica process modeling ecosystem using experimental data. Model development has led to the creation of a dynamic process model of the experimental TEDS facility housed within the Energy Systems Laboratory (ESL) at Idaho National Laboratory (INL). The model was then used during the preconstruction phase of the experimental effort to inform experimental design (e.g., insulation requirements, bypass line placement, expected performance of components) and to test innovative control schemes prior to the initial operation. The TEDS model developed in Modelica includes the primary components of the TEDS experimental unit: a 200kW Chromalox heater; a single-tank packed-bed thermal energy storage system filled with 0.125-inch alumina (Al2O3) beads; an ethylene-glycol-to-Therminol-66 heat exchanger; system piping; five control valves; and all associated temperature, pressure, and volumetric flow sensors. Using the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) V&V methodologies, considered the gold standard in the engineering field, the model was verified using a combination of static analysis, spatial convergence, and regression tests. Then using dynamic time warping (DTW) initial runs to validate and tune the TEDS model versus the experiment were conducted. This tuning method was accomplished using the INL Risk Analysis Virtual ENvironment (RAVEN) software package. Tuning is required to account for physical phenomena that are less understood within the empirical heat transfer correlations. Through the commencement of this work, a systems-level model of TEDS with associated control systems, sensors, piping diameters, and component capabilities has been created. This model was utilized in the pre-experimental phase to inform system design, insulation thicknesses, and potential control schemes to operate the system effectively and safely. Then, initial experimental startup and operational data were used to demonstrate the validation and tuning methodology. This process demonstrates the classical two-step approach of a model informing experimental design followed by the experiment validation and tuning the model.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2026

System-size dependence of charged-particle suppression in ultrarelativistic nucleus-nucleus collisions

High-energy partons lose energy while propagating through the hot, strongly interacting medium produced in ultrarelativistic nucleus-nucleus collisions, leading to a suppression of particle production at high transverse momentum (p T ). The dependence of this energy loss on the size of the colliding nuclear system has yet to be firmly established experimentally. This Letter presents a systematic study of charged-particle suppression across four different nucleus-nucleus collision systems using nuclear modification factors (R AA ) measured by the CMS Collaboration at the CERN LHC. Previous CMS measurements of R AA in oxygen-oxygen, xenon-xenon, and lead-lead collisions are recast with identical p T intervals and are complemented by the first measurement of the charged-particle R AA in neon-neon collisions at $\sqrt{S_{NN}}$ = 5.36 Te V . The neon-neon data correspond to an integrated luminosity of 0.76 nb −1 . The R AA in all collision systems examined show similar qualitative trends as a function of p T , but have a magnitude which is ordered with the nucleon number A. The R AA feature a downward slope at low p T , a local minimum at around 5–7 Ge V , and an upward slope with increasing p T . The R AA are also compared in terms of A 1/3 , which is proportional to the nuclear radius. Models including only initial-state nuclear effects fail to reproduce the observed trends, whereas energy loss models reproduce the trends in the region p T > 9.6 Ge V .

CMS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Synthesis of Correct Digital Controller Models from Specifications by Model Transformation (21-0320)

The design of high consequence controllers (in weapons systems, autonomy, etc.) that do what they are supposed to do is a significant challenge. Testing simply does not come close to meeting the requirements for assurance. Today circuit designers at Sandia (and elsewhere) typically capture the core behavior of their components using state models in tools such as STATEFLOW. They then check that their models meet certain requirements (e.g. “The system bus must not deadlock” or “both traffic lights at an intersection must not be green at the same time”) using tools called model checkers. If the model checker returns “yes” then the property is guaranteed to be satisfied by the model. However, there are several drawbacks to this industry practice: (1) there is a lot of detail to get right, this is particularly challenging when there are multiple components requiring complex coordination (2) any errors returned by the model checker have to be traced back through the design and fixed, necessitating rework, (3) there are severe scalability problems with this approach, particularly when dealing with concurrency. All this places high demands on the designers who now face not only an accelerated schedule but also controllers of increasing complexity. This report describes a new and fundamentally different approach to the construction of safety-critical digital controllers. Instead of directly constructing a complete model and then trying to verify it, the designer can start with an initial abstract (think “sketch”) model plus the requirements, from which a correct concrete model is automatically synthesized. There is no need for post-hoc verification of required functional properties. Having tool to carry this out will significantly impact the nation’s ability to ensure the safety of high-consequence digital systems. The approach has been implemented in a prototype tool, along with a suite of examples, including ones that reflect actual problems faced by designers. Our approach operates on a variant of Statecharts developed at Sandia called Qspecs. Statecharts are a widely used formalism for developing concurrent reactive systems, supporting scalability through allowing state models containing composite states, which are the serial or parallel composition of substates which can themselves contain statecharts. Statecharts enable an incremental style of development, in which states are progressively refined to incorporate greater detail in an incremental model of software development. Our approach formulates a set of constraints from the structure of the models and the requirements and propagates these constraints to a fixpoint. The solution to the constraints is an inductive invariant along with guards on the transitions. We also show how our approach extends to implementation refinement, decomposition, composition, and elaboration. We currently handle safety requirements written in LTL (Linear Temporal Logic)

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Surrogate model for third-integer resonance extraction at the Fermilab Delivery Ring

We present an ongoing work in which a surrogate model is being developed to reproduce the response dynamics of the third-integer resonant extraction process in the Delivery Ring (DR) at Fermilab. This is in pursuit of smoothly extracting circulating beam to the Mu2e Experiment’s production target, whereby the goal is to extract a uniform slice of the circulating 1e12 protons in the DR over 25,000 turns (43 ms). The DR contains 3 harmonic sextupoles that excite a third-integer resonance and three fast, tune-ramping quadrupole magnets that drive the horizontal tune towards the 29/3 resonance. In our initial work, the surrogate model trains on a semi-analytical simulation provided in the same format as live data. Using Reinforcement Learning (and other potential ML methods), the trained surrogate acts as the “environment” in which a simple ML control agent could learn to dynamically adjust the quadrupole ramp at 430 break points within the 43 microsecond spill window. The controller will be hosted on a dedicated Arria 10 FPGA. In this work, we report the accuracy and fidelity of the surrogate model in comparison to the response dynamics of the physics simulator.

Narayanan, Aakaash [Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2019

DEPRECATED CSG-public (Connected and Automated Vehicles Scenario Generation Model) [SWR-13-31]

DEPRECATED This repository was archived by the owner on Jun 30, 2026. It is now read-only. The Connected and Automated Vehicles Scenario Generation (CSG) model is a system dynamics model. It was built by NREL and funded by the U.S. Department of Energy under the Systems and Modeling for Accelerated Research in Transportation (SMART) Mobility initiative. The purpose of the model is to simulate the "transitions from predominantly individual ownership of non-CAVs to various future scenarios of high connectivity/automation"(Bush, Vimmerstedt, and Gonder 2019).

Bush, Brian↗

DOE OSTI2024

Local models of two-temperature accretion disc coronae – II. Ion thermal conduction and the absence of disc evaporation

We use local stratified shearing-box simulations with magnetic field-aligned thermal conduction to study an idealized model of the coupling between a cold, radiatively efficient accretion disc, and an overlying, hot, two-temperature corona. Evaporation of a cold disc by conduction from the hot corona has been proposed as a means of mediating the soft-to-hard state transitions observed in X-ray binary systems. We model the coronal plasma in our local disc patch as an MHD fluid subject to both free-streaming ion conduction and a parametrized cooling function that captures the collisional transfer of energy from hot ions to colder, rapidly cooling leptons. In all of our models, independent of the initial net vertical magnetic flux (NF) threading the disc, we find no evidence of disc evaporation. The ion heat flux into the disc is radiated away before conduction can heat the disc’s surface layers. When an initial NF is present, steady-state temperature, density, and outflow velocities in our model coronae are unaffected by conduction. Instead of facilitating disc evaporation, thermal conduction is more likely to feed the disc with plasma condensing out of the corona, particularly in flows without NF. Our work indicates that uncertainties in the amount of NF threading the disc hold far greater influence over whether or not the disc will evaporate into a radiatively inefficient accretion flow compared to thermal conduction. We speculate that a change in net flux mediates disc truncation/evaporation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2018

Scaling of the detonation product state with reactant kinetic energy

Chemical explosives provide one of the most high-power and energy-dense storage materials available. During detonation, transfer of this energy to adjacent materials is governed by the detonation product equation of state. No accurate methodology exists for prediction of this thermodynamic relationship and equation-of-state data continues to be experimentally characterized for each new formulation or charge density. Here we present a universal detonation product equation of state derived from several newly discovered empirical correlations in prior condensed-phase detonation product measurements. This model depends only on initial charge density and detonation velocity as inputs, dramatically simplifying the calibration process relative to existing models, which require measurement of up to seven formulation-specific parameters. This new result implies the product energy density scales with reactant kinetic energy density, which is the product of the explosive initial density and detonation velocity squared, for all condensed-phase energetic materials and that explosive microstructural or chemical details only influence the product energy density though these two parameters.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2021

Thermal-Hydrological-Mechanical Modelling of Stockton University Reservoir Cooling System, Large Scale Grid

Mesh, properties, initial conditions, injection/withdrawal rates for modeling thermal, hydrological, and mechanical effects of fluid injection to and withdrawal from ground for Stockton University reservoir cooling system (aquifer storage cooling system), Galloway, New Jersey, on large scale grid, with some results. First simulation of J.T. Smith, E. Sonnenthal, P. Dobson, P. Nico, and M. Worthington, 2021. Thermal-hydrological-mechanical modeling of Stockton University reservoir cooling system, Proceedings of the 46th Workshop on Geothermal Reservoir Engineering, Stanford University, SGP-TR-218, from which Figures 1-5 pertain.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2019

Reconstructing large-scale structure with neutral hydrogen surveys

Upcoming 21-cm intensity surveys will use the hyperfine transition in emission to map out neutral hydrogen in large volumes of the universe. Unfortunately, large spatial scales are completely contaminated with spectrally smooth astrophysical foregrounds which are orders of magnitude brighter than the signal. This contamination also leaks into smaller radial and angular modes to form a foreground wedge, further limiting the usefulness of 21-cm observations for different science cases, especially cross-correlations with tracers that have wide kernels in the radial direction. Here in this paper, we investigate reconstructing these modes within a forward modeling framework. Starting with an initial density field, a suitable bias parameterization and non-linear dynamics to model the observed 21-cm field, our reconstruction proceeds by {combining} the likelihood of a forward simulation to match the observations (under given modeling error and a data noise model) {with the Gaussian prior on initial conditions and maximizing the obtained posterior}. For redshifts z=2 and 4, we are able to reconstruct 21cm field with cross correlation, r c > 0.8 on all scales for both our optimistic and pessimistic assumptions about foreground contamination and for different levels of thermal noise. The performance deteriorates slightly at z=6. The large-scale line-of-sight modes are reconstructed almost perfectly. We demonstrate how our method also provides a technique for density field reconstruction for baryon acoustic oscillations, outperforming standard methods on all scales. We also describe how our reconstructed field can provide superb clustering redshift estimation at high redshifts, where it is otherwise extremely difficult to obtain dense spectroscopic samples, as well as open up a wealth of cross-correlation opportunities with projected fields (e.g. lensing) which are restricted to modes transverse to the line of sight.

21 cm↗