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DOE OSTI2024

Techno-Economic Simulation Results Using dGeo for EGS-Based District Heating in the Northeastern United States

This dataset presents the results of techno-economic simulations performed using the Distributed Geothermal Market Demand Model (dGeo) to evaluate the feasibility of Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS)-based district heating in the Northeastern United States. Developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), dGeo is a geospatially resolved, bottom-up modeling framework designed to explore the deployment potential of geothermal distributed energy resources. The dataset, created as part of the Cornell EGS Ground-Truthing Project, provides census tract-level data that includes inputs and outputs such as thermal demand, road length, energy prices, geothermal system sizing, annual energy contributions from geothermal and natural gas peaking boilers, system capital costs (CAPEX), operation and maintenance costs (OPEX), and the levelized cost of heat (LCOH). Key simulation parameters include geothermal gradients, measured well depths, production temperatures, and district heating piping lengths based on S1400 neighborhood road lengths. The simulations assume a target bottom hole temperature of 80C and the development of new district heating networks in each census tract.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Data driven methods to recognize patterns in EIC weak-strong simulation

Beam-Beam simulations are currently being studied in preparation for future EIC experiments to study beam-beam effects and, in turn, maximize luminosity. Weak-strong methods are studied for single-particle dynamics during collision. 1 million macro-particles for 1 million turns are typically tracked, corresponding to only 10 seconds in the EIC. The goal of this study is to predict beam properties over the scale of hours. A potential solution focuses on using data-driven methods such as machine learning methods to analyze and extend the insights of the beam properties such as long-term nonlinear effects. This would aid in long-term predictions where results would be more efficiently acquired than a typical tracking simulation. Some limitations such as inaccurate predictions and spatial complexity are also discussed. These methods can then be applied to strong-strong simulations in the future studies.

Accelerator Physics↗

DOE OSTI2024

GEOS: A performance portable multi-physics simulation framework for subsurface applications

GEOS is a simulation framework focused on solving tightly coupled multi-physics problems with an initial emphasis on subsurface reservoir applications. Currently, GEOS supports capabilities for studying carbon sequestration, geothermal energy, hydrogen storage, and related subsurface applications. The unique aspect of GEOS that differentiates it from existing reservoir simulators is the ability to simulate tightly coupled compositional flow, poromechanics, fault slip, fracture propagation, and thermal effects, etc. Extensive documentation is available on the GEOS documentation pages (GEOS Documentation, 2024). Note that GEOS, as presented here, is a complete rewrite of the previous incarnation of the GEOS referred to in (Settgast et al., 2017).

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Failure Analysis–Informed Risk Assessment Framework for Geological Carbon Storage Using Numerical Simulation and Machine Learning

Geological carbon storage (GCS) is recognized as a critical technology for achieving large-scale reductions in anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions. Ensuring long-term containment and safety requires robust risk assessment frameworks that account for geological uncertainty and identify potential failure scenarios. Among various indicators, the area of review (AoR) serves as a key metric for evaluating storage performance, regulatory compliance, and monitoring design, as it delineates the spatial extent impacted by pressure buildup and plume migration. However, conventional AoR-based risk assessments typically perturb parameters within narrow uncertainty bounds, potentially overlooking rare but high-impact events arising from extreme geological conditions. In this study, we present a failure analysis–informed risk assessment framework for large-scale GCS projects to improve site prescreening and monitoring design. A suite of 300 numerical simulations was generated using stochastic geological models that vary five key parameters: net-to-gross ratio, anisotropy azimuth, porosity multiplier, permeability multiplier, and vertical-to-horizontal permeability ratio. Among these, 200 realizations represent normal geological uncertainty, while 100 additional cases explore extreme yet plausible conditions for failure-case analysis. The AoR was simulated and computed from pressure and CO 2 saturation fields, where the baseline AoR boundary, representing the extent predicted under typical geological uncertainty, was defined as the union of 200 normal-range simulations, and failure was identified when extreme-range cases exceeded this baseline. Results show that incorporating broader parameter uncertainty produces significantly larger AoR extents, underscoring the potential underestimation of risk under conventional uncertainty ranges. Furthermore, spatial probability maps derived from failure-induced AoR exceedance identify regions requiring enhanced monitoring attention. Various machine learning (ML)–based classifiers were developed to predict failure occurrence from geological parameters, with the random forest model achieving the highest performance (F1-score of 0.986). Consistent findings from correlation coefficient, feature importance, and Sobol sensitivity analyses reveal that low net-to-gross ratios and permeability multipliers are the dominant risk drivers, reflecting reduced reservoir connectivity and limited pressure dissipation. Altogether, these results provide a novel framework for risk-informed site prescreening and monitoring design that explicitly considers rare but high-impact geological scenarios in GCS projects.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Evaluating High-Halide Waste Form Options for Salt-Based Nuclear Waste Simulants

In this study, waste forms were being explored for an electrochemical salt simulant, , referred to as ERV3, which is a high-LiCl/KCl salt containing simulated fission products (i.e., Sr, Cs, Nd) and Na to represent bond sodium from Experimental Breeder Reactor-II metallic fast reactor fuel. The goal was to find glassy systems that could be used to immobilize the salt in a single-step process. The envisionment of this process would be find a frit glass that could be added to the salt waste, heat treated, poured into waste canisters, and then stored for disposal. To perform this study, a literature review was conducted, the most promising seven systems were fabricated without the salt, and then mixed with salt simulant and heat treated under different processes. The criteria that were used to screen potential compositions included demonstrated alkali incorporation, could be melted at reasonably low temperature ( T ≤ 1000°C), and if the compositions had some demonstrated data for waste-form-related properties, that was a benefit. High marks were given for compositions that showed amorphous nature after slow cooling of samples containing ERV3.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2025

Hardware-in-the-Loop Using Electromagnetic Transient Simulation

Digital real time simulators have the capability to run electromagnetic transient simulations in real time. This capability allows users to leverage the hardware-software combination to evaluate controller performance, protection device performance, and power device performance. This has helped many field deployment projects to be successful and be cost-effective. In this talk, we will present current state-of-art, and future of real time electromagnetic transient simulation and its impacts on field deployment.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2025

Geographically Distributed Co-Simulation for the Interplay of Integrated Energy Systems and Power Grid

The increased penetration of renewable generation induces unbalanced demand-supply on a power grid, while integrated energy systems (IES) can provide high part-load efficiency and high flexibility to support grid resilience. To study the transients and improve dynamic operability, it’s important to investigate the interplay between IES and power grid concurrently using real-time co-simulation approaches. In this presentation, we showed the previous co-simulation test between NETL and INL and discussed how this co-simulation can be beneficial for both IES and power grid research. In addition, we gave an overview about the SuperLab2.0 project, which was a federated national platform to address future power grid challenges. (Virtual presentation to the MILLENNIUM CLEAN and SUSTAINABLE POWER workshop 2025).

Co-simulation↗

DOE OSTI2026

Use of Digital Real-Time Simulation and Optimization to Identify Maximum Real Power Injection on Banshee Distribution Network

This study investigates the hosting capacity of the Banshee Distribution Network by optimizing the real power injection at carefully selected Distributed Energy Resource (DER) locations. The analysis is conducted within the framework of power system operational constraints, including bus voltage ranges, thermal line ratings, and transformer loading limits. A Python-based Genetic Algorithm (GA), implemented using the PyGAD library, is employed to iteratively identify the optimal power injection configuration that maximizes network utilization while preserving system reliability. The methodology integrates a real-time simulation environment using the Real-Time Digital Simulator (RTDS), allowing high-fidelity evaluation of power flow and voltage behavior under each proposed injection scenario. By coupling the optimization algorithm with real-time simulation feedback, this approach ensures that both static and dynamic constraints are enforced during the evaluation process. The GA leverages evolutionary operators such as selection, crossover, and mutation to navigate the nonlinear search space efficiently. The results of the study delineate the feasible hosting capacity at three targeted buses, reflecting maximum real power levels that can be injected without causing voltage violations, transformer overloading, or line congestion. These findings provide a decision- support tool for distribution planners and utilities aiming to integrate higher penetrations of DERs in existing infrastructure. Additionally, the work lays the foundation for extending such optimization techniques to multi-objective formulations, including economic dispatch and reactive power coordination, in future studies.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2026

Scalable foundation models for numerical simulations on HPC platforms

In recent years, foundation models (FMs) have begun to reshape numerical simulations on high-performance computing (HPC) platforms. These large, pre-trained AI models enable rapid predictions across a broad range of physical domains, including Earth system modeling, fluid dynamics, materials science, as well as complex multi-modal simulations in aerospace engineering and fusion research. By training on diverse datasets, FMs learn intricate relationships and underlying physical behavior while also enabling the quantification of uncertainty in their predictions. This capability allows simulations that once required days of numerical calculation to be completed in minutes (FM inference), supporting real-time design optimization, uncertainty-aware decision making, and more comprehensive exploration of complex scenarios.

AI↗

DOE OSTI2024

Global particle buildup simulations with gas puff scan: application to WEST discharge

This paper deals with the distribution of sources, transport, and exhaust of particles in a tokamak. Knowledge and understanding of all the physical phenomena involved in the global particle buildup are necessary to study and predict density regimes and subsequently to develop optimized scenarios for tokamak operation in order to control heat and particle exhaust. Neutral particles and their interactions with plasma are central in this perspective. This paper discusses the impact of varying the intensity of particle fueling in 2D transport simulations of a WEST discharge. Simulations are performed with an updated version of SOLEDGE-HDG that allows a more realistic transport of neutrals using a self-consistent diffusive model based on charge exchange and ionization processes. New code capabilities allow the entire WEST poloidal cross section to be simulated in a realistic configuration for both geometry and the range of control parameters. A gas puff scan illustrates the main features of the sheath-limited, high-recycling, and detached regimes, such as the buildup of the temperature gradient and the pressure drop in the scrape-off layer (SOL), the target temperature falling to 1 eV, and the ionization source moving away from the targets, as well as the particle flux rollover. A crude estimate of wall erosion is also provided, showing the respective role of each plasma wall component in each of these regimes.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Enhanced Monte Carlo Simulations for Electron Energy Loss Mitigation in Real-Space Nanoimaging of Thick Biological Samples and Microchips

High-resolution imaging using Transmission Electron Microscopy (TEM) is essential for applications such as grain boundary analysis, microchip defect characterization, and biological imaging. However, TEM images are often compromised by electron energy spread and other factors. In TEM mode, where the objective and projector lenses are positioned downstream of the sample, electron–sample interactions cause energy loss, which adversely impacts image quality and resolution. This study introduces a simulation tool to estimate the electron energy loss spectrum (EELS) as a function of sample thickness, covering electron beam energies from 300 keV to 3 MeV. Leveraging recent advances in MeV-TEM/STEM technology, which includes a state-of-the-art electron source with 2-picometer emittance, an energy spread of 3 × 10 -5 , and optimized beam characteristics, we aim to minimize energy spread. By integrating EELS capabilities into the BNL Monte Carlo (MC) simulation code for thicker samples, we evaluate electron beam parameters to mitigate energy spread resulting from electron–sample interactions. Based on our simulations, we propose an experimental procedure for quantitively distinguishing between elastic and inelastic scattering. The findings will guide the selection of optimal beam settings, thereby enhancing resolution for nanoimaging of thick biological samples and microchips.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Primordial Black Hole Dark Matter Simulations Using PopSyCLE

Abstract Primordial black holes (PBHs), theorized to have originated in the early Universe, are speculated to be a viable form of dark matter. If they exist, they should be detectable through photometric and astrometric signals resulting from gravitational microlensing of stars in the Milky Way. Population Synthesis for Compact-object Lensing Events, or PopSyCLE , is a simulation code that enables users to simulate microlensing surveys, and is the first of its kind to include both photometric and astrometric microlensing effects, which are important for potential PBH detection and characterization. To estimate the number of observable PBH microlensing events, we modify PopSyCLE to include a dark matter halo consisting of PBHs. We detail our PBH population model, and demonstrate our PopSyCLE + PBH results through simulations of the Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment-IV (OGLE-IV) and Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope (Roman) microlensing surveys. We provide a proof-of-concept analysis for adding PBHs into PopSyCLE , and thus include many simplifying assumptions, such as f DM , the fraction of dark matter composed of PBHs, and m ¯ PBH , mean PBH mass. Assuming m ¯ PBH = 30 M ⊙ , we find ∼3.6 f DM times as many PBH microlensing events than stellar evolved black hole events, a PBH average peak Einstein crossing time of ∼91.5 days, estimate on order of 10 2 f DM PBH events within the 8 yr OGLE-IV results, and estimate Roman to detect ∼1000 f DM PBH microlensing events throughout its planned microlensing survey.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Simulation of Binary-single Interactions in AGN Disk. I. Gas-enhanced Binary Orbital Hardening

Stellar-mass binary black hole (BBH) mergers within the accretion disks of active galactic nuclei may contribute to gravitational wave (GW) events detected by ground-based GW detectors. In particular, the interaction between a BBH and a single stellar-mass black hole (sBH), known as the binary-single interaction (BSI) process, can potentially lead to GW events with detectable nonzero eccentricity. Previous studies of the BSI process, which neglected the effects of gas, showed that BSIs contribute non-negligibly to GW events in a coplanar disk environment. In this work, we conduct a series of two-dimensional hydrodynamical and N-body simulations to explore the BSI in a gas environment by coupling REBOUND with Athena++. We perform 360 simulation runs, spanning parameters in disk surface density Σ 0 and impact parameter b. We find that the gas-induced energy dissipation within the three-body system becomes significant if the encounter velocity between the sBHs is sufficiently large (≫c s ). Our simulation results indicate that approximately half of the end states of the BSI are changed by gas. Furthermore, at higher gas density, the number of close encounters during the BSI process will increase, and the end-state BBHs tend to be more compact. Consequently, the presence of gas may shorten the GW merger timescale for end-state BBHs and increase the three-body merger rate.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Understanding the causes of satellite–model discrepancies in aerosol–cloud interactions using near-LES simulations of marine boundary layer clouds

Aerosol–cloud interactions (ACI) remain the largest source of uncertainty in model estimates of anthropogenic radiative forcing, primarily because of deficiencies in representing aerosol–cloud microphysical processes that lead to inconsistent cloud liquid water path (LWP) responses to aerosol perturbations between observations and models. To investigate this discrepancy, we conducted a series of large-eddy-scale simulations driven by realistic meteorology over the eastern North Atlantic, and evaluated LWP susceptibility, precipitation processes, and boundary layer thermodynamics using satellite and ground-based observations. Simulated LWP responses show a strong dependence on cloud state. Non-precipitating thin clouds exhibit a modest LWP decrease with increasing cloud droplet number concentration (N d ), consistent in sign but weaker in magnitude than satellite estimates, reflecting enhanced turbulent mixing and evaporation. The largest model-observation discrepancy occurs in non-precipitating thick clouds, where simulated LWP susceptibilities are strongly positive (+0.32) while observations indicate large negative values (−0.69). This discrepancy stems from excessive precipitation driven by underestimated entrainment, overly active accretion, and overly broad drop-size distributions in polluted conditions. While our high-resolution setup mitigates the excessive drizzling common in coarser models and captures key regime transitions, these biases persist – highlighting that improved parameterizations of cloud-top processes, precipitation, and aerosol effects are needed beyond simply increasing model resolution. Additionally, misrepresented moisture inversions in reanalysis introduce a moist bias in cloud-top relative humidity, further amplifying positive LWP susceptibility. Our results also suggest that large negative N d –LWP relationships in observations may reflect internal cloud processes rather than true ACI effects.

Aerosol-cloud interaction↗

DOE OSTI2024

High-Fidelity and High-Performance Computational Simulations for Rapid Design Optimization of Sulfur Thermal Energy Storage

Industrial process heating (IPH) accounts for approximately 70% of US manufacturing energy use and is primarily produced by fossil fuel combustion. Approximately 1500 TWht (approximately 60%) of IPH demand is in the temperature range of 100-300. Industrial applications in this temperature range include drying, hydrothermal processing, thermal enhanced oil recovery, food and beverage, bioethanol production, etc. Cost-effective thermal energy storage (TES) that increases the utilization of waste and renewable heat (solar, geothermal, etc.) could provide significant energy savings and reliable heat sources, decrease emissions, and increase US manufacturing competitiveness through reductions in fuel consumption. TES development has historically been dominated by technologies suitable for deployment with concentrating solar power (CSP). State-of-the-art thermal storage deployed commercially with power tower CSP plants uses a 60%/40% NaNO3/KNO3 molten salt and operates between temperatures of approximately 280 degrees Celsius and 570 degrees Celsius using a two-tank configuration. However, these nitrate salts are unsuitable for operation outside of this temperature range due to a high freezing point of approximately 220 degrees Celsius, and limits on high-temperature salt stability and corrosion resistance of containment alloys. Other materials being investigated for TES include those based on: (1) sensible energy storage (various molten salt compositions, inert solid particles, rocks or pebble beds, sulfur, water, concrete, graphite, etc.), (2) latent energy storage in materials that undergo solid-liquid phase change at relevant temperatures (organic materials for low-temperature applications, inorganic salts and/or metals for high-temperature applications), or (3) thermochemical energy storage (hydrides, hydroxides, carbonates, metal oxides, etc.). The application temperature and challenges pertaining to storage material and/or containment cost, energy density, long-term thermal and cyclic stability, and charge/discharge heat transfer effectiveness drive material selection for a given IPH or electricity generation application. Sulfur is a cheap commodity at $80/ton compared to $1100 - 1300/ton for conventional salts. When using a metric of storage cost per kWh, sulfur costs around 2-3 $/kWh. Previous sulfur TES development focused on high temperature (>600 degrees) concentrated solar power applications with sulfur encapsulated in pipes and flow of gaseous HTF (air) in the shell side. However, for lower-temperature IPH applications in the range of approximately 100-300 degrees Celsius Element 16 adopted a compact and scalable TES design with molten sulfur in the shell and HTF pipes submerged in the molten sulfur bath. The low-cost molten sulfur TES for dispatchable IPH has deployment potential for broad applications. The spatial and temporal evolution of the HTF and sulfur temperature is critical to the TES system performance, and thus detailed modeling can improve understanding of the performance and facilitate design improvements. Using high performance computing and computational fluid dynamics (CFD) a low-cost molten sulfur thermal energy storage (TES) system for industrial process heating (IPH) applications was developed. The unique challenges in CFD modeling of sulfur TES are the sharp property changes of sulfur relevant to the working temperatures. Above 159, liquid sulfur undergoes polymerization, and the viscosity of sulfur rapidly increases by several orders of magnitude between 159 degrees Celsius and 188 degrees Celsius, followed by a decrease in viscosity beyond 188 degrees Celsius due to thermal bound dissociation. In addition, various concentrations of H2S impurities can also modify sulfur viscosity. This numerical challenge is especially relevant to transient simulation of the sulfur TES charging and discharging processes as the extreme property variations limit the applicability of traditional heat transfer correlations. Transient CFD simulations including the temperature-dependent sulfur properties and geometric complexity of the TES design were used to predict the effect of natural convection during charging and discharging on the heat transfer process, sulfur temperature uniformity, charge/discharge rates, and performance of the storage devices. The CFD model was validated with experimental results for a full charge and discharge cycle. The work will show 3D and 2D simulation comparisons aimed to facilitate rapid design iterations and a machine learning based design optimization approach.

CFD↗

DOE OSTI2026

Use of Digital Real-Time Simulation and Optimization to Identify Maximum Real Power Injection on the Banshee Distribution Network: Preprint

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

LOTO Training Flow Simulator Design

The LOTO Training Flow Simulator Design poster discusses the intended purpose of the simulator along with the steps taken in the design process. It highlights the two main systems designed in the primary flow loop and the bubbler system, along with a brief description of the flow calculations made to ensure the functionality of the system.

42 - ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Quantum‐Classical Simulation of Quantum Field Theory by Quantum Circuit Learning

Abstract Quantum circuit learning is employed to simulate quantum field theories (QFTs). Typically, when simulating QFTs with quantum computers, significant challenges are encountered due to the technical limitations of quantum devices when implementing the Hamiltonian using Pauli spin matrices. To address this challenge, quantum circuit learning is leveraged, employing a compact configuration of qubits and low‐depth quantum circuits to predict real‐time dynamics in quantum field theories. The key advantage of this approach is that a single‐qubit measurement can accurately forecast various physical parameters, including fully‐connected operators. To demonstrate the effectiveness of this method, it is used to predict quench dynamics, chiral dynamics and jet production in a 1+1‐dimensional model of quantum electrodynamics. It is found that our predictions closely align with the results of rigorous classical calculations, exhibiting a high degree of accuracy. This hybrid quantum‐classical approach illustrates the feasibility of efficiently simulating large‐scale QFTs on cutting‐edge quantum devices.

Ikeda, Kazuki [Department of Physics University of↗