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NA-22 Quarterly Report: April-June, 2020

At LLNL we contribute to two projects in NNSA-IAEC Science and Technology Working Group Area V: Basic Science of Waste Management & Subsurface Science. The motivation behind Topic Area V is to evaluate the scientific and safety case for an intermediate borehole to house Israel’s nuclear waste. WM1 (SNL lead) is Thermomechanical Damage (initially called Damage Accumulation and Wellbore Stability). This work focuses on evaluating the damage to the host rock induced by excavation and heat released from a possible radioactive waste repository/borehole. WM2 (LLNL lead) is Radionuclide Facilitated Transport in Carbonate Rock (initially called Colloidal Transport of Radionuclides). This work focuses on better understanding the transport of radionuclides and colloids from a nuclear waste repository/borehole in a vadose zone environment through experimentation and modeling. In the second quarter (this report) our work has been delayed in part due to COVID-19. LLNL went into shelter in place (SIP), minimum safe operations mid-March. Operations at LLNL have been slowly ramping up with 50% of the workforce back onsite in limited capacity and telecommuting widely used. The good news is that our labs opened up the last week in June and experiments are expected to start up again for WM2 Radionuclide Facilitated Transport in July. LLNL’s contribution to WM1 Thermochemical Damage modeling efforts also started back up in late June. We expect to be able to catch up on much of our work by the end of next quarter. The three national laboratories communication on a bi-monthly basis to make sure Area V projects remain on track and we have a monthly conference call with our Israeli counterparts to make sure we are communicating priorities and coordinating project details.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Nuclear Data to Reduce Uncertainties in Reactor Antineutrino Measurements

The large quantities of antineutrinos produced through the decay of fission fragments in nuclear reactors provide an opportunity to study the properties of these particles and investigate their use in reactor monitoring. The reactor antineutrino spectra are measured using specialized, large area detectors that detect antineutrinos through inverse beta decay, electron elastic scattering, or coherent elastic neutrino nucleus scattering; although, inverse beta decay is the only demonstrated method so far. Reactor monitoring takes advantage of the differences in the antineutrino yield and spectra resulting from uranium and plutonium fission providing an opportunity to estimate the fissile material composition in the reactor. Recent experiments reveal a deviation between the measured and calculated antineutrino flux and spectra (the reactor anomaly) indicating either the existence of yet undiscovered neutrino physics, uncertainties in the reactor source term calculation, incorrect nuclear data, or a combination of all three. To address the nuclear data that impact the antineutrino spectrum calculations and measurements, an international group of over 180 experts in antineutrino physics, reactor analysis, detector development, and nuclear data came together during the Workshop on Nuclear Data for Reactor Antineutrino Measurements (WoNDRAM) to discuss nuclear data needs and achieve concordance on a set of recommended priorities for nuclear data improvements. Three topical sessions focused on the reactor source term, the antineutrino spectrum, and the detector response, provided a forum to gain consensus amongst the participants on the most important data improvements to address two goals: 1) understand the reactor anomaly and 2) improve the ability to monitor reactors using antineutrinos. This report summarizes the outcomes of the workshop discussions and the recommendations for nuclear data efforts that reduce reactor antineutrino measurement uncertainties.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Connecting Nitrogen Transformations Mediated by the Rhizosphere Microbiome to Perennial Cropping System Productivity in Marginal Lands

The demand for energy from biofuel production is increasing, prompting concerns about the environmental impact and long-term sustainability of bioenergy cropping systems. These cropping systems will make up much of our future landscapes, and threaten to take the place of food cropping systems. Many life cycle analyses of bioenergy sustainability focus on carbon accrual and budgets, since they want to maximize carbon accrual while producing alternative fuel. Less attention has been given to nitrogen (N) dynamics in these systems. N is the most commonly limiting nutrient for plants, but applying nitrogen fertilizer- as we do for most cropping systems – is harmful to the environment, energetically costly, and produces greenhouse gases. In other words, adding nitrogen by fertilizer bioenergy systems could add to the very problems (climate change) it is trying to address. This is especially true for the areas that are proposed for bioenergy systems: marginal lands. These more degraded lands do not complete with food crops, but do have limited nitrogen. If we are to use these marginal lands for bioenergy, we need to understand the mechanisms regulating nutrient acquisition, and identify ways that bioenergy crops can get nitrogen in sustainable ways. Nutrient acquisition in the soil is performed by microbes in the root zone, or rhizosphere. Microbes can either mineralize nitrogen in the soil (from organic forms) or fix nitrogen from the air, in a process called nitrogen fixation. The goal of our project was thus to understand how the rhizosphere microbiome provides nutrients to bioenergy crops on marginal lands. We focus especially on the process of nitrogen fixation, since it has potential to get “fertilizer for free” that has much less environmental harm. We investigated this goal using sites from the DOE Great Lakes Bioenergy Research Center (GLBRC) in the upper Midwest, and associated lab and ‘omics methods. We group our findings into three major areas. First, we showed that nitrogen fixation, the conversion of N2 gas from the air to ammonium that is usable by plants, is performed in bioenergy soils, and benefits switchgrass crops. While more well-studied in leguminous plants, free-living nitrogen fixation can occur in some systems, and represents a potential opportunity to gain ‘free’ sustainable nitrogen source. We identified the nitrogen fixing bacteria that were most active in providing switchgrass with N, and showed that the drivers of nitrogen fixation occurred at a microscale; it is not well-predicted by bulk variables like soil moisture or plant phenology. Second, we showed that nitrogen fixation is not suppressed by long-term fertilizer. We expected that plentiful nitrogen would reduce the symbiotic relationship between nitrogen fixers and plants, and ‘downregulate’ fixation. We did not find evidence for this, either after long-term fertilizer in the field, or short-term fertilizer in the greenhouse. Finally, we identified the root exudates, carbon compounds that are emitted from the root, that best stimulate nitrogen fixation. We found that carbohydrates were better at stimulating fixation than organic acids. We expected these exudates to be emitted from the plant in periods of high N demand, but we found they are emitted when N is plentiful. This suggests that the stimulation of N fixation by plants is a passive process. Overall, we show that nitrogen fixation has potential to support bioenergy cropping system, and future management could develop ways to maximize it. However, this may not be best achieved via the plant – we found very little evidence of a ‘transactional’ system by which plants are controlling when and where nitrogen fixation is stimulated. It will be better to understand how management practices like planting and fertilizer application affect the microscale soil dynamics, which will determine nitrogen fixation rates.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

U.S. DOE/NETL LCA of LNG: Overview & Key (LCA) Challenges

Mr. Timothy Skone provided the opening session presentation at the LNGnet Special Working Group 2: "Managing methane emissions across the LNG value chain" meeting held on virtually on July 1, 2021. The presentation provides a brief overview of NETL life cycle analysis (LCA) modeling of U.S. natural gas production and liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to European and Asian markets. The talk focuses on challenges in conducting LCAs of LNG shipments.

Source record↗

Near-Term Reliability and Resilience (NTRR) (Final Report)

The Near-Term Reliability and Resiliency (NTRR) was awarded in December 2020 as an inter-lab project to examine the reliability and resilience of the electricity grid and natural gas transportation availability. The project builds on studies conducted by The North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC), the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), and other non-governmental research and operational focused on reliability and resilience analyses challenges. The research was conceived to address near-term scenarios (within 10 years), when many local and regional policy transitions could begin to impact grid reliability, resilience, and supporting infrastructure availability. To integrate the natural gas interdependency, the team began with the generating capacity and demand projections from the 2020 NERC Long-Term Reliability Assessment and the Bulk Electric System (BES) transmission topologies defined in the Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) Anchor Data Set, Eastern Interconnection Reliability Assessment Group Multi-Regional Modeling Working Group (ERAG/MMWG) Data Set, the team calculated baseline regional power sector gas demands from present electricity delivery year through the end of delivery year 2030/31 by applying security constrained economic dispatch. This demand was compiled along with demand projections for regional residential, commercial, and industrial natural gas demands from the most recent Energy Information Administration (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook Reference Case into Deloitte’s MarketBuilder® North American Gas Model. Through the application of these demands, MarketBuilder® was projected the topology of natural gas flows in the natural gas pipeline network across the interconnected North American system along with regional natural gas prices that may be seen by market participants in future years Additionally, contingencies and sensitivities focused on the built models of the Eastern Interconnection (EI) and Western Interconnection (WI). They address challenges from the following with the outcomes being an identification of performance under the extreme conditions and an identification of potential grid weaknesses that should be addressed to mitigate the reduced performance and improve the resilience and reliability of the specific regions as well as the National Grid: • Weather events including extreme heat, extreme cold, high wind, no wind, wind and solar forecasting errors, and wildfires. • Gas availability, factoring in supply disruption (contractual and physical), seasonal availability constraints, and infrastructure limitations; and • Transmission availability and congestion.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Accelerating the fusion workforce in the USA

The fusion energy research and development landscape has seen significant advances in recent years, with important scientific and technological breakthroughs and a rapid rise of investment in the private sector. The workforce needs of the nascent fusion industry are growing at a rate that academic workforce development programs are not currently able to match. This paper presents the findings of the Workforce Accelerator for Fusion Energy Development Conference held in Hampton, Virginia, United States of America (USA), on 29–30 May 2024, which was funded by the National Science Foundation of the USA. A major goal of the conference was to focus on bringing public and private stakeholders together to identify opportunities for partnership in fusion research and education with the goal of meeting the needs for a talented and diverse workforce. Representatives from industry, academia, and national laboratories participated in the conference through the preparation of white papers, presentations, and group discussions, and the production of recommendations to address the challenges facing the fusion workforce in the USA.

diversity↗

Stacking-engineered ferroelectricity in bilayer boron nitride

Stacking a ferroelectric Properties of layered van der Waals structures can depend sensitively on the stacking arrangement of constituent layers. This phenomenon has been exploited to engineer superconducting, correlated insulator, and magnetic states. Two groups now show that ferroelectricity can also be engineered through stacking: Parallel-stacked bilayers of hexagonal boron nitride exhibit ferroelectric switching even though the bulk material is not ferroelectric (see the Perspective by Tsymbal). To explore these phenomena, Yasuda et al. used transport measurements, whereas Vizner Stern et al. focused on atomic force microscopy. Science , abd3230 and abe8177, this issue p. 1458 and p. 1462 ; see also abi7296, p. 1389

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

A Dose Assessment Model for Radioactive Waste Exposed by Gully Erosion at West Valley - 20513

The Western New York Nuclear Service Center (WNYNSC), located approximately 48 km south of Buffalo, New York, is the site of a former nuclear fuel reprocessing and radioactive waste disposal facility. Spent nuclear fuel was processed there from 1966 to 1972, leaving behind radioactive and chemical wastes in two disposal areas and a waste tank farm. Site operations also resulted in releases of radioactivity to site soils, groundwater, and to surface waters draining the site. The New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA) and the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) are collaborating in a process of decision making for decommissioning those facilities remaining at the WNYNSC following the completion of Phase 1 decommissioning. Neptune and Company, Inc. (Neptune) was contracted to develop a probabilistic performance assessment (PPA) computer model to assist the agencies in this process. The PPA Model includes a contaminant transport component focusing on the movement of contaminants within and among environmental media including groundwater and surface water transport, contaminant translocation by plants and animals, diffusion, and erosion. The model also includes evaluation of potential exposure and health effects for a Resident Farmer exposure scenario, where the Resident Farmer represents a critical group, described as that group of individuals reasonably expected to receive the greatest exposure to residual radioactivity for any applicable set of circumstances. The West Valley Site is located in the glaciated Allegheny Plateau region of western New York State. The waste reprocessing and disposal areas were constructed on a relatively fat area of plateau dissected by drainages of Buttermilk Creek, including Erdman Brook, Franks Creek, and Quarry Creek. An important aspect of the contaminant transport component of the PPA model is consideration of erosive processes such as slumping of the stream slopes and the advance of gullies from these streams. These erosion processes remove material from the plateau, growing the size of the creek valleys and making them wider and deeper. Of particular interest for the impact of erosion is radioactive waste contained in the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC)-Licensed Disposal Area (NDA), the New York State-Licensed Disposal Area (SDA), and residual radiological inventory in the underground storage tanks at the Waste Tank Farm (WTF). The PPA Model is organized around geographically-defined facilities which were constructed upon the plateau, including the NDA, SDA, and WTF. Ongoing stream erosion processes will potentially transfer radioactive waste and residual inventory from these facilities to the ground surface on adjacent hillslope areas where erosion has breached the facility. Hence, it is important to evaluate the consequences of potential exposures to a Resident Farmer on the hillslopes below a breached facility. Two interrelated aspects of the dose assessment model related to hillslope exposure are discussed: 1) representation of the physical processes related to transport of radionuclides from facilities onto the hillslopes, and from the hillslopes into adjoining creeks where contaminated material migrates downstream with surface water and sediment, and; 2) adaptation of the activities associated with the Resident Farmer scenario to assess potential exposures to contamination in the hillslope areas. This discussion will cover the conceptual basis of the hillslope exposure and transport models, and also implementation in the PPA computer model. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Size and Stoichiometry Effects on the Reactivity of MoCy Nanoparticles Towards Ethylene

Molybdenum carbides are promising catalysts alternative to Pt-group metals for the hydrogenation of unsaturated hydrocarbons. Nanostructuring has been shown to be an efficient way to boost the catalytic activity of these materials with MoCy nanoparticles (NPs) exhibiting a good performance when encapsulated inside zeolites or dispersed on inert supports such as carbon or gold. In this work, we focus on a systematic DFT study of the interaction of MoCy NPs with ethylene (C 2 H 4 ), as a general and simple approach for examining binding and activation of C≡C bonds. Models for 14 NPs, with a Mo/C ratio in the 0.67 to 2.00 range, have been built following a cascade procedure. Several chemical descriptors, including the adsorption energy, structural NPs distortion, C≡C deformation, and C 2 H 4 attachment energy have been analyzed along with a meticulous geometric and electronic characterization of bare NPs and C2H4 binding. The present results show that 1:1 stoichiometric Mo 6 C 6 , Mo 12 C 12 , and Mo 24 C 24 , and the non-stochiometric Mo 4 C 6 , Mo 8 C 12 (MetCar), and Mo 14 C 13 (Nanocube) are excellent systems for the binding and activation of ethylene, exhibiting a much bigger reactivity than a bulk δ-MoC(001) surface with a similar Mo:C ratio. In addition, C 2 H 4 binding on the NPs with a Mo/C < 1.08 is advantageous since, apart from a rather large adsorption energy, implies low energy values for NPs deformation (from 0.00 to 0.31 eV), C≡C distortion (from 0.30 to 0.52 eV), and C 2 H 4 attachment (from -2.12 to -2.58 eV). These theoretical results point to the ideal MoCy size and composition for C 2 H 4 binding, providing a background for further experimental studies aimed at the preparation of MoCy NPs as hydrogenation catalysts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Enabling Efficient Water Splitting with Advanced Materials Designed for High pH Membrane Interface

This research focuses on durable, high-performance materials and interfaces for advanced water splitting, enabling a clear pathway for achieving <$2/KgH2 (on scale) via anion exchange membrane (AEM)-based electrolysis. We aim to advance this goal via an improved fundamental understanding of both hydrogen and oxygen evolution reactions (HER/OER) leading to platinum group metal (PGM)-free catalyst materials. Here, we use NiFeCo and NiMo as OER and HER catalysts, respectively, in a full alkaline electrolysis cell. A thermally stable, multi-cation AEM is used to operate the cell at elevated temperatures thereby lowering the operating potential by increasing the kinetics of the respective catalytic reactions. The transition metal catalysts, paired with this novel AEM, have been used to achieve an operating potential of 1.79 V at 1 A/cm2. This potential is 300 mV lower than similar electrolysis cells equipped with PGM-based catalysts. We have also demonstrated the efficacy of the less caustic potassium carbonate solution as a replacement for potassium hydroxide as an electrolyte. By using a carbonate-based electrolyte, the hydroxide ion required for the anodic reaction is continuously replenished by re-establishing an equilibrium with water. This consideration, coupled with the reduced alkalinity of the carbonate solution, yields an electrolysis cell capable of sustained operation with minimal increase in operating potential.

Kendrick, Ian↗

Instrumentation for the In-Core Real-Time Mechanical Testing of Structural Materials (INCREASE) Project

Idaho National Laboratory (INL), in collaboration with the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), the French Atomic and Alternative Energies Commission (CEA), the Joint Research Center (JRC), the Nuclear Research and Consultancy Group (NRG), and the Research Center Rez (CVR), started a Joint Experimental Program (JEEP) project that operates within the Nuclear Energy Agency’s Framework for Irradiation Experiments (FIDES II) program in order to develop capabilities for the in-core real-time mechanical testing of structural materials. This effort will focus on designing a shared capsule capable of housing a variety of in-core mechanical testing instrumentation allowing enhanced experiments for the material science community. The outcome of the project would be high-priority, stress relaxation data for stainless-steel-based materials provided by EPRI and CEA. Stress relaxation is a major phenomenon that contributes to material degradation in nuclear reactor components. Currently, nuclear material stress relaxation is assessed both before and after irradiation, using complex and costly post-irradiation examination (PIE) activities. In-situ data would support the development of precision modeling and simulation of this degradation phenomena and would provide validation and benchmarking for existing models using the PIE data. As part of the U.S. Department of Energy Advanced Sensor and Instrumentation (ASI) program, INL has fabricated and tested out-of-core mechanical test instrumentation. This instrumentation was designed for easy adaptation to the irradiation capsule proposed under this JEEP, and can be deployed to measure real-time stress relaxation under pressurized-water reactor (PWR) conditions. This initial effort will partially serve to replace the testing capabilities lost because of shutting down the Halden Boiling Water Reactor (HBWR). The project would provide these capabilities to the international community via a shared capsule design that is easily adaptable to additional material test reactors. The design features will incorporate expansion to PWR and non-light-water reactor (LWR) environments that will be developed in future work. The capsule and instrumentation will be demonstrated in the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Reactor (MITR) for phase I and the Petten High Flux Reactor (HFR) for phase II irradiations to deliver real-time stress relaxation data on high priority stainless steel structural materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Toward controlled functional sequencing and hierarchical structuring in imidazolium ionenes

This focused mini-review highlights recent advances related to the design and applications of imidazolium ionenes and forward-looking perspectives. Creative strategies which employ established synthetic approaches and utilize the modularity of the imidazole moiety unlock great potential for tailoring both functional and structural features arising from precise spacing of ionic groups within the polymer backbone. Here, as imidazolium ionenes draw more interest, increased sophistication of chemical modifications and material processing is occurring, with a corresponding shift toward more demanding applications. Synthetic routes for placement and sequencing of ionic content are discussed, in addition to recent approaches to control structure and self-assembly or tune behaviors of imidazolium ionenes and composites.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Atomic-scale modeling of C/N kinetic stability descriptors for PGM-free electrocatalysts at finite temperatures

The durability of platinum group metal-free (PGM-free) electrocatalysts is a major barrier to their usage in polymer electrolyte fuel cell cathodes. C and N removal from active sites may play an important role in the catalyst’s ability to maintain high activity. While C degradation mechanisms are kinetically controlled, previous studies have focused on thermodynamic descriptors. In this work, we develop a temperature-dependent kinetic descriptor of C and N stability using an electron beam-damage model. Our approach considers the electron beam energy threshold (EBET) describing the knock-on displacement of C and N atoms as a stability descriptor for atomic structures. The stability of different sites is calculated to be different showing this approach can discriminate between similar sites with varied configurations. Additionally, we provide important insight regarding TEM beam damage of proposed active sites. We calculate 60 keV electrons can damage some proposed active site structures even at room temperature.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

High-dimensional multivariate autoregressive model estimation of human electrophysiological data using fMRI priors

Multivariate autoregressive (MVAR) model estimation enables assessment of causal interactions in brain networks. However, accurately estimating MVAR models for high-dimensional electrophysiological recordings is challenging due to the extensive data requirements. Hence, the applicability of MVAR models for study of brain behavior over hundreds of recording sites has been very limited. Prior work has focused on different strategies for selecting a subset of important MVAR coefficients in the model to reduce the data requirements of conventional least-squares estimation algorithms. Here we propose incorporating prior information, such as resting state functional connectivity derived from functional magnetic resonance imaging, into MVAR model estimation using a weighted group least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regularization strategy. The proposed approach is shown to reduce data requirements by a factor of two relative to the recently proposed group LASSO method of Endemann et al (Neuroimage 254:119057, 2022) while resulting in models that are both more parsimonious and more accurate. The effectiveness of the method is demonstrated using simulation studies of physiologically realistic MVAR models derived from intracranial electroencephalography (iEEG) data. The robustness of the approach to deviations between the conditions under which the prior information and iEEG data is obtained is illustrated using models from data collected in different sleep stages. This approach allows accurate effective connectivity analyses over short time scales, facilitating investigations of causal interactions in the brain underlying perception and cognition during rapid transitions in behavioral state.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Multilayer Network Clarifies Prevailing Water Consumption Telecouplings in the United States

Virtual water flows are used to map the indirect water consumption connections implied by the supply chain of a city, region, or country. This information can be used to manage supply chains to achieve environmental policy objectives and mitigate environmental risks to critical supply chains. A limitation of prior work is that these flows are typically analyzed using monolayer networks, which ignores crucial intersectoral or interlayer couplings. Here, in this study, we use a multilayer network to account for such couplings when analyzing blue virtual water flows in the United States. Our multilayer network consists of 115 different regions (nodes), covering the entire conterminous United States; 41 coupled economic sectors (layers); and ∼2 × 10 7 possible links. To analyze the multilayer network, we focus on three fundamental network properties: topological connectivity, mesoscale structure, and node centrality. The network has a high connectivity, with each node being on average connected to roughly 2/3 of the network's nodes. Interlayer flows are a major driver of connectivity, representing ∼54% of all the network's connections. Five different groups of tightly connected nodes (communities) characterize the network. Each community represents a preferred spatial mode of long-range virtual water interaction within the United States. We find that large (populous) cities have a stronger influence than small ones on network functioning because they attract and recirculate more virtual water through their supply chains. Our results also highlight differences between the multilayer and monolayer virtual water network, which overall show that the former provides a more realistic representation of virtual water flows.

Garcia Gonzalez, Susana↗

Signatures of self-interacting dark matter on cluster density profile and subhalo distributions

Non-gravitational interactions between dark matter particles with strong scattering, but relatively small annihilation and dissipation, has been proposed to match various observables on cluster and group scales. In this paper, we present the results from large cosmological simulations which include the effects of different self-interaction scenarios. In particular we explore a model with the differential cross section that can depend on both the relative velocity of the interacting particles and the angle of scattering. We focus on how quantities, such as the stacked density profiles, subhalo counts and the splashback radius change as a function of different forms of self-interaction. We find that self-interactions not only affect the central region of the cluster, the effect well known from previous studies, but also significantly alter the distribution of subhalos and the density of particles out to the splashback radius. Therefore, our results suggest that current weak lensing data can already put constraints on the self-interaction cross-section that are only slightly weaker than the Bullet Cluster constraints (σ/m ≲ 2 cm 2 /g), and future lensing surveys should be able to tighten them even further making halo profiles on cluster scales a competitive probe for DM physics.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Facilitating Reforestation Through the Plant Microbiome: Perspectives from the Phyllosphere

Tree planting and natural regeneration contribute to the ongoing effort to restore Earth's forests. Our review addresses how the plant microbiome can enhance the survival of planted and naturally regenerating seedlings and serve in long-term forest carbon capture and the conservation of biodiversity. We focus on fungal leaf endophytes, ubiquitous defensive symbionts that protect against pathogens. We first show that fungal and oomycetous pathogen richness varies greatly for tree species native to the United States ( n = 0–876 known pathogens per US tree species), with nearly half of tree species either without pathogens in these major groups or with unknown pathogens. Endophytes are insurance against the poorly known and changing threat of tree pathogens. Next, we review studies of plant phyllosphere feedback, but knowledge gaps prevent us from evaluating whether adding conspecific leaf litter to planted seedlings promotes defensive symbiosis, analogous to adding soil to promote positive feedback. Finally, we discuss research priorities for integrating the plant microbiome into efforts to expand Earth's forests.

Plant Sciences↗

Accelerated Selectrion of Optimal Perovskite Alloys for Solar PV using a Combined Quantum and Machine Learning Hierachiral Approach

The project aims to: (i) accelerate the discovery of “Missing HP alloys” by combining quantum mechanics and artificial intelligence machine learning approaches, and (ii) analyze the stabilities of candidate alloys, including those that do not pass selection filters (and are thus expected to degrade over time) to decipher the nature of the instabilities to guide the development of durable solar cell materials. Successful candidates will be subjected to validation experiments at NREL's state-of-the-art facilities. The discoveries this effort will provide will be directly testable and implementable and will greatly impact U.S. progress in HP PV as they will provide clear direction and motivation for experimental studies including specific material synthetic targets, device optimization, and device stability protocols. A key advantage of this effort is the feedback and guidance provided by the Industry Collaborative Work Group that we established to coordinate academic and national lab research with industry needs. The proposed work will provide a basis for and direct the development of robust and reliable HP PV. It will also provide a timely, valuable and extensive roadmap to the experimental HP PV community to enable it to focus its efforts on improving and fine-tuning promising HP compositions that this effort predicts will likely be the best performers rather than wandering in the vast chemical space for decades spending enormous resources mostly evaluating unpromising candidate materials.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗