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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 631 records · Page 35

At Risk Population Estimates for Belarus, Poland and Slovakia with Machine Learning

High-resolution gridded population modeling is crucial for various applications, including disaster response planning, infectious disease spread modeling, climate change impact estimation, policy development, and more. Multiple gridded population datasets have been developed, each tailored to meet specific objectives. Among them, LandScan Global dataset is designed to represent ambient and unwarned population distributions. However, this dataset relies on a statistical approach that requires manual adjustments, making it time consuming and labour intensive. Existing machine learning (ML) methods often train and test at different spatial resolutions, potentially leading to inflated results, and they rely on Census population totals for disaggregation. To address these limitations, in this study we developed population estimates using ML models trained and tested at a consistent 30 arc-second resolution (≈1 square kilometer), specifically using Random Forest (RF) and XGBoost. These models were trained on 2020 datum to predict for 2021 for three countries: Belarus, Poland, and Slovakia. Our findings show that both RF (MAE varies from 5.75 to 13.25) and XGBoost (MAE varies from 8.15 to 23.44) model performance is close to LandScan Global estimates. Furthermore, neither of the models performed the best across all grid cells: the RF model was more effective in areas with lower populations, while XGBoost excelled in more densely populated regions. The proposed approach can be used for countries where the Census data is not available.

Lebakula, Viswadeep [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000152935914↗

Recent Advancements in Reconfigurable mmWave Devices Based on Phase-Change and Metal Insulator Transition Materials

Chalcogenide Phase Change Materials (PCM) and metal insulator transition (MIT) materials are a group of materials that are capable of switching between low resistance and high resistance states. These emerging materials have been widely used in optical storage media and memory devices. Over the past recent years, there have been interests in exploiting the PCM and MIT materials, especially germanium antimony telluride (GST) alloys and vanadium dioxide (VO 2 ), for radio frequency (RF) applications. The PCM and MIT-based RF devices are expected to bridge the gap between semiconductor switches and microelectromechanical system (MEMS) switches as they combine the low insertion loss performance of MEMS technology and the small size and reliability performance of semiconductor technology. This article presents an overview of the PCM and MIT materials for RF circuits and discusses the recent advancements in reconfigurable millimeter-wave (mmWave) devices based on PCM and MIT materials in depth.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Optimizing Non-Terrestrial Hybrid RF/FSO Links With Reinforcement Learning: Navigating Through Clouds

In the pursuit of ubiquitous broadband connectivity, there has been a significant shift towards the vertical expansion of communication networks into space, particularly through the exploitation of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite constellations, which are favored for their relatively low latency. However, this approach faces many challenges that need to be addressed, including atmospheric turbulence, high path loss, and dynamic cloud formations. High-altitude pseudo-satellites (HAPS) have emerged as promising relaying layers between LEO satellites and ground stations, enhancing coverage, latency, and direct terrestrial user connectivity. While radio frequency (RF) bands suffer from congestion and limited bandwidth, free space optical (FSO) communications offer higher data rates, but are susceptible to misalignment and weather-induced signal degradation. To address these challenges, a hybrid RF/FSO approach has been proposed to take advantage of both technologies by dynamic switching between RF and FSO based on propagation channel conditions. This paper introduces a reinforcement learning-based algorithm designed to optimize the trajectory of HAPS, maneuver around cloudy areas, and seamlessly switch between the RF and FSO communication modes to maximize the achievable capacity. The proposed approach aims to maximize system performance by intelligently adapting to environmental conditions and offering a promising solution for next-generation space communication networks.

actor-critic algorithm↗

Generalized Theory and Realization of Continuously Loss-Programmable Bandpass Filtering Attenuators

With the increased demand for modern wireless systems in various applications, the need for adjustable radio frequency (RF) systems has dramatically increased. These modern systems rely on operating in the microwave frequency spectrum (1 GHz to 1 THz) without interference from other devices while also retaining the ability to detect very low and very high power signals simultaneously. There is also an ever-increasing demand for reducing the cost, size, weight, and power (C-SWaP) of these modern RF systems, driving the demand for more agile filters in the microwave frequency spectrum. In this paper, a generalized theory of bandpass filtering attenuators (filtenuators) is proposed. A filtenuator is a device that combines the frequency- selective characteristics of a filter and the loss-programmable characteristics of an attenuator into a single component. The loss- programmable aspect of the filtenuator is based on the tuning of a π-network of resistances, which are implemented using PIN diodes to control the individual resistance values electronically. A loss-programmable, third-order Chebyshev bandpass filtenuator is designed, fabricated, and measured to verify the generalized theory. The filtenuator is designed to operate at 1 GHz and have a tunable attenuation range of 2-10 dB. This proposed filtenuator demonstrates the feasibility of a tunable, low C-SWaP solution to increase RF system dynamic range and a design process that allows for future development of filtenuators.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Machine Learning Initializer for Newton-Raphson AC Power Flow Convergence

Power flow computations are fundamental to many power system studies. Obtaining a converged power flow case is not a trivial task especially in large power grids due to the non-linear nature of the power flow equations. One key challenge is that the widely used Newton based power flow methods are sensitive to the initial voltage magnitude and angle estimates, and a bad initial estimate would lead to non-convergence. This paper addresses this challenge by developing a random-forest (RF) machine learning model to provide better initial voltage magnitude and angle estimates towards achieving power flow convergence. This method was implemented on a real ERCOT 6102 bus system under various operating conditions. By providing better Newton-Raphson initialization, the RF model precipitated the solution of 2,106 cases out of 3,899 non-converging dispatches. These cases could not be solved from flat start or by initialization with the voltage solution of a reference case. Finally, results obtained from the RF initializer performed better when compared with DC power flow initialization, Linear regression, and Decision Trees.

random forest↗

Identifying Entangled Physics Relationships Through Sparse Matrix Decomposition to Inform Plasma Fusion Design

We report a sustainable burn platform through inertial confinement fusion (ICF) has been an ongoing challenge for over 50 years. Mitigating engineering limitations and improving the current design involves an understanding of the complex coupling of physical processes. While sophisticated simulation codes are used to model ICF implosions, these tools contain necessary numerical approximation but miss physical processes that limit predictive capability. Identification of relationships between controllable design inputs to ICF experiments and measurable outcomes (e.g., neutron yield, neutron velocity, areal density) from performed experiments can help guide the future design of experiments and development of simulation codes, to potentially improve the accuracy of the computational models used to simulate ICF experiments. We use sparse matrix decomposition methods to identify clusters of a few related design variables. Sparse principal component analysis (SPCA) identifies groupings that are related to the physical origin of the variables (laser, hohlraum, and capsule). A variable importance analysis finds that in addition to variables highly correlated with neutron yield, such as picket power and laser energy, variables that represent a dramatic change of the ICF design, such as number of pulse steps, are also very important. The obtained sparse components are then used to train a random forest (RF) regression surrogate for predicting total yield. The RF performance on the training and testing data compares with the performance of the RF trained using all the design variables considered. This work is intended to inform design changes in future ICF experiments by augmenting the expert intuition and simulation results.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Automating the interpretation of PM 2.5 time–resolved measurements using a data–driven approach

The rapid development of automated measurement equipment enables researchers to collect greater quantities of time-resolved data from indoor and outdoor environments. While significant, the interpretation of the resulting data can be a time-consuming effort. This paper introduces an automated process of interpreting PM 2.5 time-resolved data and differentiating PM 2.5 emissions resulting from indoor and outdoor sources. Here, we use Random Forest (RF), a machine learning approach, to study a dataset of 836 indoor emission events that occurred over a 2-week period in 18 apartments in California. In this paper, we show model development and evaluate its performance as the sample size and source vary. We discuss the characteristics of the dataset that tended to help the source identification and why. For example, we show that data from many events and from different apartments are essential for the model to be suitable for analyzing a new separate dataset. We also show that longitudinal data appear to be more helpful than the time frequency of measurements within a given apartment. We use the resulting RF model to analyze PM 2.5 data of an entirely separate dataset collected from 65 new homes in California. The RF model identifies 442 indoor emission events, with only a few misidentifications.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Heating of Cs2Te photocathode via field emission and radiofrequency pulsed heating: Implication toward breakdown

The occurrence of radiofrequency (RF) breakdown limits operational electromagnetic gradients in accelerator structures. Experimental evidence often suggests that breakdown events are associated with temperature and dark current spikes on the surface of RF devices. In the past decade, there has been increased interest in unveiling the mechanism behind breakdown initiation in metal copper and copper alloys; however, efforts regarding a breakdown phenomenon in photocathode-relevant semiconductors have been more limited. In this work, we explore field-emission-assisted heating via Nottingham and Joule processes, as a possible candidate for breakdown initiation. For this, field emission from an intrinsic Cs2Te ultrathin film coated on a copper substrate was modeled within the Stratton–Baskin–Lvov–Fursey formalism, describing the processes and effects in the bulk and on the surface of a photocathode exposed to high RF electromagnetic fields. It is shown that a field-emission characteristic deviates significantly from the classical Fowler–Nordheim (FN) theory, whereby predicting that dark current is orders of magnitude lower than the one expected by FN law. Conventional pulsed heating was also found to impose negligible heating to the photocathode. Both conclusions suggest that a Cs2Te photocathode coated on a metal substrate would be insensitive to catastrophic thermal-material runaway breakdown, unlike what is observed for metal surfaces. Finally, a few unconventional breakdown candidate scenarios are identified and discussed, including thermoelastic deformation and avalanche breakdown.

Shinohara, Ryo (ORCID:0000000276995732)↗

Stand validation of lidar forest inventory modeling for a managed southern pine forest

We evaluated area-based approaches (ABAs) to light detection and ranging (lidar) predictions of plot- and stand-level forest attributes (tree count, height, basal area, volume, aboveground biomass, broadleaf/conifer, and diameter at breast height — “diameter”). ABA methods included post-stratification (PS), ordinary least squares (OLSs) regression, k nearest neighbors ( kNN), and random forest (RF). This study was conducted on the Savannah River Site in South Carolina, USA. Plot- and stand-level predictions were validated against fixed-radius 0.04 ha (0.1 acre) plots in 49 ≈2.0 ha (5 acre) stands. Our findings demonstrate that lidar can be incorporated operationally into forest inventory systems to provide stand-level inferences for a wide range of forest attributes. Volume predictions for specific diameter classes, however, often fared poorly (root mean squared error (RMSE) > 100%) for the methods we explored, especially for larger (less common) diameter trees. Stand-level results were consistently better than pixel-level results (10–200+ percentage points). kNN and RF performed similarly and better than OLS and PS, but RF was the most robust to model configurations, while kNN has practical advantages such as simultaneous predictions of many attributes.

Forestry↗

Spurious regulatory connections dictate the expression-fitness landscape of translation factors

During steady-state cell growth, individual enzymatic fluxes can be directly inferred from growth rate by mass conservation, but the inverse problem remains unsolved. Perturbing the flux and expression of a single enzyme could have pleiotropic effects that may or may not dominate the impact on cell fitness. Here, we quantitatively dissect the molecular and global responses to varied expression of translation termination factors (peptide release factors, RFs) in the bacterium Bacillus subtilis. While endogenous RF expression maximizes proliferation, deviations in expression lead to unexpected distal regulatory responses that dictate fitness reduction. Molecularly, RF depletion causes expression imbalance at specific operons, which activates master regulators and detrimentally overrides the transcriptome. Through these spurious connections, RF abundances are thus entrenched by focal points within the regulatory network, in one case located at a single stop codon. Such regulatory entrenchment suggests that predictive bottom-up models of expression-fitness landscapes will require near-exhaustive characterization of parts.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Data, scripts, and figures associated with a manuscript studying impact of climate and topography on post-fire vegetation recovery.

This data package is associated with the publication “Impact of Topography and Climate on Post-fire Vegetation Recovery Across Different Burn Severity and Land Cover Types through Machine Learning” submitted to Remote Sensing of Environment (Zahura et al. 2023). In this research, a machine learning algorithm, random forest (RF), was utilized to examine the impact of climate and topography on post-fire vegetation recovery. We used enhanced vegetation index (EVI) to examine varying burn severity and land cover types. The data package includes the input files for RF model training, outputs from model predictions and analysis, and python scripts to run the model, analyze the results to understand model performance and interpretability, and plot manuscript figures. This data package contains three folders (Data, Scripts, and Figures), a file-level metadata (FLMD) csv, and a data dictionary (dd) csv. Please see Postfire_recovery_flmd.csv for a list of all files contained in this data package and descriptions for each. The data dictionary (Postfire_recovery_dd.csv) describes the csv column headers. The “Data” folder provides all the inputs and outputs to train the RF model, evaluate performance, and interpret predictions. The “Scripts” folder contains python scripts and jupyter notebooks for model training and result analysis. The “Figures” folder includes the figures used in the manuscript in “.png” and “.jpg” format.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Automatic Waveform Quality Control for Surface Waves Using Machine Learning

Surface-wave seismograms are widely used by researchers to study Earth’s interior and earthquakes. To extract information reliably and robustly from a suite of surface waveforms, the signals require quality control screening to reduce artifacts from signal complexity and noise. This process has usually been completed by human experts labeling each waveform visually, which is time consuming and tedious for large data sets. We explore automated approaches to improve the efficiency of waveform quality control processing by investigating logistic regression, support vector machines, K-nearest neighbors, random forests (RF), and artificial neural networks (ANN) algorithms. To speed up signal quality assessment, we trained these five machine learning (ML) methods using nearly 400,000 human-labeled waveforms. The ANN and RF models outperformed other algorithms and achieved a test accuracy of 92%. We evaluated these two best-performing models using seismic events from geographic regions not used for training. The results show that the two trained models agree with labels from human analysts but required only 0.4% of the time. Although the original (human) quality assignments assessed general waveform signal-to-noise, the ANN or RF labels can help facilitate detailed waveform analysis. Our investigations demonstrate the capability of the automated processing using these two ML models to reduce outliers in surface-wave-related measurements without human quality control screening.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Beam Profile Measurements Utilizing an Amplitude Modulated Pulsed Fiber Laser at PIP2IT

Fermilab is undertaking the development of a new 800 MeV superconducting RF linac to replace its present normal conducting 400 MeV linac. The PIP-II linac consists of a warm front-end generating 2 mA of 2.1 MeV H⁻ followed immediately by a series of superconducting RF cryomodules to 800 MeV. To limit the potential damage to the superconducting RF cavities, PIP-II will utilize laser-based monitors to obtain beam profiles via photoionization. This paper will present the results of transverse and longitudinal beam profile measurements using a prototype profile monitor that was tested with 2.1 MeV H⁻ beam at the PIP-II Injector Test (PIP2IT) accelerator. This prototype profile monitor utilizes a high repetition rate fiber laser and fiber optic transport into the PIP2IT enclosure. In addition, results will be shown of narrow-band electron detection from amplitude modulated laser pulses.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Design of a non-invasive laser-based beam profile monitor system for the new Fermilab PIP-II superconducting H- linac

As part of the new Proton Improvement Plan (PIP-II), Fermilab is undertaking the development of a new 800 MeV, 2 mA H- superconducting RF linac to replace its present normal conducting 400 MeV linac. The PIP-II linac consists of a series of superconducting RF cryomodules from 2.1 MeV to 800 MeV. To limit the potential damage to the superconducting RF cavities, PIP-II will utilize non-invasive laser-based monitors (laserwires) to obtain beam profiles via photoionization. This paper will present the design of this PIP-II laserwire system including the picosecond pulsed laser, optical transport line, 13 individual laserwire stations, laser feedback and timing controls. The paper also describes the signal detection system and operation of the profile measurements.

Scarpine, Victor [Fermilab]↗

Observation of Long-Range Wakefield Effects Generated in an Off-Resonance Tesla-Type Cavity

The interest in controlling emittance dilution effects due to off-axis beam transport in accelerator cavities and the resulting dipolar modes is especially important for the facilities with lower emittance beams. The Fermilab Accelerator Science and Technology (FAST) facility has a unique configuration of two single cavities after the photocathode rf gun followed by a cryomodule. The second capture cavity (CC2) was run 15 kHz off resonance and without rf power while a 25-MeV beam was injected into it. The beam centroid effects were tracked by 10 rf button BPMs with bunch-by-bunch position readout capability downstream in a 12-m drift. Possible LRW effects seemed to dominate our previously observed near-resonant HOM effects at mode 14 in this cavity. This mode also shifted in frequency compared to that of the tuned case based on direct measurements. Submacropulse vertical position slewing of 1400 microns at 11 m downstream was observed with a 125 pC/bunch, 50 bunches per macropulse, and 25-MeV beam. The y-position slew amplitudes as a function of z were also measured. Horizontal positions also showed a slew effect. Both are emittance-dilution effects which one wants to mitigate.

Lumpkin, Alex H.↗

An X-Band Ultra-High Gradient Photoinjector

High brightness beams appealing for XFELs and UEM essentially imply a high current and a low emittance. To obtain such beams we propose to raise the accelerating voltage in the gun mitigating repealing Coulomb forces. An ultra-high gradient is achieved utilizing a short-pulse technology. We have designed a room temperature X-band 1,5 cell gun that is able to inject 4 MeV, 100 pC bunches with as low as 0.15 mcm normalized transverse emittance. The gun is operated with as high gradients as 400 MV/m and fed by 200 MW, 10 ns RF pulses generated with Argonne Wakefield Accelerator (AWA) power extractor. We report results of low RF power tests, laser alignment test results, and successful gun conditioning results carried out at nominal RF power.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Analysis of Low RRR SRF Cavities

Recent findings in the superconducting radio-frequency (SRF) community have shown that introducing certain impurities into high-purity niobium can improve quality factors and accelerating gradients. Success has been found in nitrogen-doping, diffusion of the native oxide into the niobium surface, and thin films of alternate superconductors atop a niobium bulk cavity. We question why some impurities improve RF performance while others hinder it. The purpose of this study is to characterize the impurity profile of niobium with a low residual resistance ratio (RRR) and correlate these impurities with the RF performance of low RRR cavities so that the mechanism of recent impurity-based improvements can be better understood and improved upon. Additionally, we perform a low temperature bake on the low RRR cavity to evaluate how the intentional addition of oxygen to the RF layer affects performance. We have found that low RRR cavities experience low temperature-dependent BCS resistance behavior more prominently than their high RRR counterparts. The results of this study have the potential to unlock a new understanding on SRF materials.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗