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2022 Central California Travel Study

# 2022 Central California Travel Study The 2022 Central California Travel Study collected demographic and travel pattern information to better understand household travel behavior in the state’s San Joaquin Valley region. ## Data Collection Agency The Fresno Council of Governments conducted the household travel study in collaboration with metropolitan planning organizations in Fresno, Kern, Kings, Madera, Merced, San Joaquin, Stanislaus, and Tulare counties in California. ## Survey Methodology The two-part study consisted of a survey and a travel diary. The survey gathered data on household demographic composition and typical travel behaviors. The travel diary gathered individual travel data during a specified travel period for all members of a given household. ## Travel Diary Methods Households with smartphones were encouraged to complete their travel diaries using the rMove smartphone app for up to seven consecutive days. Households without smartphones or those unwilling to participate via smartphone completed their travel diaries online (using the web-version of rMove) or by calling the survey call center. These households reported travel for one day (Tuesday, Wednesday, or Thursday). ## Recruitment Sampling Methods The majority of the recruitment was conducted via address-based sampling, a type of probability sampling, with a focus on reaching county-level targets in collaboration with metropolitan planning organizations in the region. Supplemental sampling methods, primarily non-probability, were employed during all waves of data collection to improve survey representation. The supplemental sample included targeted outreach to hard-to-survey populations via transit rider email lists; local housing authorities; Nichols Research, a California-based market research firm; and the Ipsos™ KnowledgePanel, an online random probability panel. See the documentation for more information about sampling and weighting. ## Survey Records, Data, and Documentation In total, 7,406 households completed 19,084 surveys representing 150,012 trips across 42,567 person-days.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

2022 Central California Travel Study

# 2022 Central California Travel Study The 2022 Central California Travel Study collected demographic and travel pattern information to better understand household travel behavior in the state’s San Joaquin Valley region. ## Data Collection Agency The Fresno Council of Governments conducted the household travel study in collaboration with metropolitan planning organizations in Fresno, Kern, Kings, Madera, Merced, San Joaquin, Stanislaus, and Tulare counties in California. ## Survey Methodology The two-part study consisted of a survey and a travel diary. The survey gathered data on household demographic composition and typical travel behaviors. The travel diary gathered individual travel data during a specified travel period for all members of a given household. ## Travel Diary Methods Households with smartphones were encouraged to complete their travel diaries using the rMove smartphone app for up to seven consecutive days. Households without smartphones or those unwilling to participate via smartphone completed their travel diaries online (using the web-version of rMove) or by calling the survey call center. These households reported travel for one day (Tuesday, Wednesday, or Thursday). ## Recruitment Sampling Methods The majority of the recruitment was conducted via address-based sampling, a type of probability sampling, with a focus on reaching county-level targets in collaboration with metropolitan planning organizations in the region. Supplemental sampling methods, primarily non-probability, were employed during all waves of data collection to improve survey representation. The supplemental sample included targeted outreach to hard-to-survey populations via transit rider email lists; local housing authorities; Nichols Research, a California-based market research firm; and the Ipsos™ KnowledgePanel, an online random probability panel. See the documentation for more information about sampling and weighting. ## Survey Records, Data, and Documentation In total, 7,406 households completed 19,084 surveys representing 150,012 trips across 42,567 person-days.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Calculating Free Energies Using Scaled-Force Molecular Dynamics Algorithm

One common objective of molecular simulations in chemistry and biology is to calculate the free energy difference between different states of the system of interest. Examples of problems that have such an objective are calculations of receptor-ligand or protein-drug interactions, associations of molecules in response to hydrophobic, and electrostatic interactions or partition of molecules between immiscible liquids. Another common objective is to describe evolution of the system towards a low energy (possibly the global minimum energy), 'native' state. Perhaps the best example of such a problem is folding of proteins or short RNA molecules. Both types of problems share the same difficulty. Often, different states of the system are separated by high energy barriers, which implies that transitions between these states are rare events. This, in turn, can greatly impede exploration of phase space. In some instances this can lead to 'quasi non-ergodicity', whereby a part of phase space is inaccessible on timescales of the simulation. A host of strategies has been developed to improve efficiency of sampling the phase space. For example, some Monte Carlo techniques involve large steps which move the system between low-energy regions in phase space without the need for sampling the configurations corresponding to energy barriers (J-walking). Most strategies, however, rely on modifying probabilities of sampling low and high-energy regions in phase space such that transitions between states of interest are encouraged. Perhaps the simplest implementation of this strategy is to increase the temperature of the system. This approach was successfully used to identify denaturation pathways in several proteins, but it is clearly not applicable to protein folding. It is also not a successful method for determining free energy differences. Finally, the approach is likely to fail for systems with co-existing phases, such as water-membrane systems, because it may lead to spontaneous mixing. A similar difficulty may be encountered in any method relying on global modifications of phase space.

Darve, Eric↗

Shocked carbon monoxide in G333.6-0.2

Rotationally excited carbon monoxide has been detected in the Galactic H II region/molecular cloud complex G333.6-0.2 in the 163-micron J = 16 to 15 and 186-micron J = 14 to 13 transitions. These detections, together with an upper limit to the J = 21 to 20 transition at 124 microns indicate that the excited CO emission comes from gas of kinetic temperature 200 to 800 K and pressure of about 5 x 10 to the 7th/cu cm. A high-resolution spectrum of the J = 14 to 13 transition shows CO emission over more than 80 km/s, possibly with a double peaked profile centered near the systemic velocity of G333.6-0.2. The far-infrared CO emission probably comes from shocked gas in the mass outflow from newly formed, massive stars. The detection of the J = 14 to 13 transition is the first to be made of this line in any source, and is the longest wavelength line yet detected in interstellar space by nonheterodyne techniques.

Storey, J. W. V.↗

On the polarization of resonantly scattered emission lines - 1. Emission and absorption coefficients in an anisotropic radiation field

Source functions and absorptions coefficients for polarized radiation in a given ansiotropic radiation field are calculated for a variety of permitted electric dipole transitions in the L-S coupling limit. Collisional, radiative and magnetic mixing of the ground sublevels are all considered. The polarization of the self-consistent, emergent radiation field is computed, using an anisotropic escape probability formalism to treat the radiative transfer. It is found that the radiative mixing can enhance the polarization for transitions with large angular momentum, and degrees of polarization less than or approximately 10 per cent are obtained for transitions with small angular momentum.

Lee, H. -W.↗

Analysis of the emission line spectra of a solar flare observed from Skylab

Skylab observations in the EUV spectra made with the NRL split spectrograph during the Sept. 5, 1973 flare have revealed that chromospheric and transition zone lines were enhanced, especially the allowed lines. Greatest enhancement was noted in the Ni II and P II lines (by a factor of 800). The chromospheric lines maintain their sharp and Gaussian profiles and are not appreciably broadened. The transition zone lines, however, show a red shifted component during the initial phase of the flare. Turbulent downward mass motions are observed, probably due to the imbalance between hot flare plasma (13 x 10 to the 6th K) and cooler plasma (10 to the 5th K). High density is recorded in the transition zone, whose thickness, therefore, is deduced to be small.

Cheng, C.-C.↗

Universal relation between doping content and normal-state resistance in gate voltage tuned ultrathin Bi 2 Sr 2 CaCu 2 O 8 + x flakes

We report gate voltage tunable ultra-thin high-T c cuprates supply a unique platform to investigate the electronic phase diagram and superconductor-insulator transition. One of the challenges in this field is the precise determination of the doping content in the underdoped non-superconducting region. Here we report the discovery of a universal relation between the doping content p and the normal-state resistance at a fixed temperature R(T f ), p = α + β ln[1/R(T f )], in the ultra-thin Bi 2 Sr 2 CaCu 2 O 8+x flakes. The in-depth analysis shows that the evolution of carrier scattering probability with doping content and the change of effective mass caused by superconductor-insulator transition are two key factors leading to this logarithmic relation. Based on our finding, the more precise electronic phase diagram can be established. In addition, the superconductor-insulator transition is verified to be a quantum phase transition using a finite size scaling analysis. The scaling exponent z v is found to have a close correlation with the disorder levels. The present result provides an important foundation to investigate the fascinating electronic states in the ultra-thin cuprates.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Benchmark of few-level quantum theory vs ab initio numerical solutions for the strong-field Autler–Townes effect in photoionization of hydrogen

Abstract The temporal and spectral consequences of an intermediate resonance en route to photoionization are investigated theoretically in two ways: by solving few-level model equations and by ab initio numerical solution of the time-dependent Schrödinger equation, in both cases for hydrogen in three dimensions. The model consists of atomic states resonantly field-dressed in a three-level reduction of the hydrogen atom that consists of the 2 p –3 d (Balmer) transition and one energetically-distant continuum state. The model’s level occupation probabilities are derived from three Schrödinger amplitude equations and are benchmarked against an ab initio numerical solution for the hydrogen electron’s wavefunction under the same field. We examine contrasts between the results of the two approaches with a particular focus on Autler–Townes doublets that appear in the photoelectron spectrum.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Free-Flight Skin Temperature and Pressure Measurements on a Slightly Blunted 25 Deg Cone-Cylinder-Flare Configuration to a Mach Number of 9.89

Skin temperatures and surface pressures have been measured on a slightly blunted cone-cylinder-flare configuration to a maximum Mach number of 9.89 with a rocket-propelled model. The cone had a t o t a l angle of 25 deg and the flare had a 10 deg half-angle. Temperature data were obtained at eight cone locations, four cylinder locations, and seven flare locations; pressures were measured at one cone location, one cylinder location, and three flare locations. Four stages of propulsion were utilized and a reentry type of trajectory was employed in which the high-speed portion of flight was obtained by firing the last two stages during the descent of the model from a peak altitude of 99,400 feet. The Reynolds number at peak Mach number was 1.2 x 10(exp 6) per foot of model length. The model length was 6.68 feet. During the higher speed portions of flight, temperature measurements along one element of the nose cone indicated that the boundary layer was probably laminar, whereas on the opposite side of the nose the measurements indicated transitional or turbulent flow. Temperature distributions along one meridian of the model showed the flare to have the highest temperatures and the cylinder generally to have the lowest. A maximum temperature of 970 F was measured on the cone element showing the transitional or turbulent flow; along the opposite side of the model, the maximum temperatures of the cone, cylinder, and flare were 545 F, 340 F, and 680 F, respectively, at the corresponding time.

Bond, Aleck C.↗

Leaf optical system modeled as a stochastic process

A stochastic leaf radiation model based upon physical and physiological properties of dicot leaves has been developed. The model accurately predicts the absorbed, reflected, and transmitted radiation of normal incidence as a function of wavelength resulting from the leaf-irradiance interaction over the spectral interval of 0.40-2.50 micron. The leaf optical system has been represented as Markov process with a unique transition matrix at each 0.01-micron increment between 0.40 micron and 2.50 micron. Probabilities are calculated at every wavelength interval from leaf thickness, structure, pigment composition, and water content. Simulation results indicate that this approach gives accurate estimations of actual measured values for dicot leaf absorption, reflection, and transmission as a function of wavelength.

Tucker, C. J.↗

On the dispersion in brightness of far-ultraviolet emission lines of cool giant stars

Low-resolution spectra have been obtained with the short-wavelength camera of IUE for late-type giant stars of spectral type F5 III-G8 III. These stars are believed to be in their first crossing of the H-R diagram, as inferred from their location along the blue edge of the Hertzsprung gap or their high abundance of lithium. From the earliest spectral type observed along the blue edge of the gap, the normalized C IV flux, which is indicative of 100,000 K plasma, increases to a maximum at G0 and then falls with advancing spectral type. The total range in emission measure of 100,000 K gas is an order of magnitude or more among stars making their first appearance as yellow giants and averages about 25 times higher in these stars than in other G8-K0 yellow giants, the majority of which are probably He-burning post-red giants. The observations tentatively show that transition region emission, and by inference coronal emission, increases in intensity with the growth of convection zones in late-type giants and then declines at lower surface temperatures, perhaps because of rotational spin-down and a weakening of dynamo action.

Simon, T.↗

Ionic charge state measurements during He(+)-rich solar particle events

Ionic charge state measurements of carbon, oxygen, and iron in He(+)-rich energetic particle events are presented. The data have been obtained with the Max-Planck-Institut/University of Maryland sensor system on the ISEE 3 spacecraft. The ionic charge states cannot be explained in terms of a model in which the coronal temperature determines a charge equilibrium which is subsequently frozen-in nor in terms of charge exchange during transition through coronal matter after acceleration. It is concluded that the acceleration and probably also the injection process is biased against particles with high mass-to-charge ratios. The plasma injected into the acceleration process must consist of material of cold (not greater than 8.5 x 10 to the 4th K) as well as hot (2.5 x 10 to the 6th K) origin. The cold material must be more abundant than the hot material.

Hovestadt, D.↗

The 157 Micron (C II) Luminosity of the Galaxy

The diffuse far infrared (C II) emission of several regions of the Galactic plane were sampled. Mechanisms for the excitation of carbon ions are discussed in reference to the role of carbon ion transitions in cooling diffuse atomic hydrogen. Observations indicate that the C II emission probably arises at the edges of giant molecular clouds and appears to have localized knot-like features. The total C II luminosity of the Galaxy is approximately 6 to 10 to the 7th power L(solar).

Stacey, G. J.↗

The role of boron and fluids in high temperature, shallow level metamorphism of the Chugach Metamorphic Complex, Alaska

The possible role of boron (B) involvement in granite equilibria and generation of melts during crustal metamorphism has been a focus of speculation in recent literature. Most of the evidence for such involvement derives from experimental data which implies that the addition of B will lower the temperature of the granite solidus. Also the presence of tourmaline has a minor effect on the temperature of the solidus. Further indirect evidence that B may be involved in partial melting processes is the observation that granulites are commonly depleted in B, whereas the B content of low grade metapelites can be high (up to 2000 ppm). Researchers' measurements of the whole-rock B contents of granulites from the Madras region, India are low, ranging from 0.4 to 2.6 ppm. Ahmad and Wilson suggest that B was mobilized in the fluid phase during granulite facies metamorphism of the Broken Hill Complex, Australia. Thus, it appears that during the amphibolite to granulite transition, B is systematically lost from metasediments. The B that is released will probably partition into the vapor phase and/or melt phase. Preliminary measurements imply that the boron content of rocks in the Chugach Metamorphic Complex is not sufficient to influence the processes of partial melting at low pressures.

Sisson, V. B.↗

Mars Surface Ionizing Radiation Environment: Need for Validation

Protection against the hazards from exposure to ionizing radiation remains an unresolved issue in the Human Exploration and Development of Space (HEDS) enterprise [1]. The major uncertainty is the lack of data on biological response to galactic cosmic ray (GCR) exposures but even a full understanding of the physical interaction of GCR with shielding and body tissues is not yet available and has a potentially large impact on mission costs. "The general opinion is that the initial flights should be short-stay missions performed as fast as possible (so-called 'Sprint' missions) to minimize crew exposure to the zero-g and space radiation environment, to ease requirements on system reliability, and to enhance the probability of mission success." The short-stay missions tend to have long transit times and may not be the best option due to the relatively long exposure to zero-g and ionizing radiation. On the other hand the short-transit missions tend to have long stays on the surface requiring an adequate knowledge of the surface radiation environment to estimate risks and to design shield configurations. Our knowledge of the surface environment is theoretically based and suffers from an incomplete understanding of the physical interactions of GCR with the Martian atmosphere, Martian surface, and intervening shield materials. An important component of Mars surface robotic exploration is the opportunity to test our understanding of the Mars surface environment. The Mars surface environment is generated by the interaction of Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCR) and Solar Particle Events (SPEs) with the Mars atmosphere and Mars surface materials. In these interactions, multiple charged ions are reduced in size and secondary particles are generated, including neutrons. Upon impact with the Martian surface, the character of the interactions changes as a result of the differing nuclear constituents of the surface materials. Among the surface environment are many neutrons diffusing from the Martian surface and especially prominent are energetic neutrons with energies up to a few hundred MeV. Testing of these computational results is first supported by ongoing experiments at the Brookhaven National Laboratory but equally important is the validation to the extent possible by measurements on the Martian surface. Such measurements are limited by power and weight requirements of the specific mission and simplified instrumentation by necessity lacks the full discernment of particle type and spectra as is possible with laboratory experimental equipment. Yet, the surface measurements are precise and a necessary requisite to validate our understanding of the surface environment. At the very minimum the surface measurements need to provide some spectral information on the neutron environment. Of absolute necessity is the precise knowledge of the detector response functions for absolute comparisons between the computational model of the surface environment and the detector measurements on the surface.

Wilson, J. W.↗

Adding GPU Support to the Markov Chain Monte Carlo Code Catmip

In geophysics, we are confronted with many under-determined inverse problems. For example, all of our observations of earthquakes are made at the Earth’s surface. So, when we try to infer how slip during an earthquake evolves in space and time, we find that there are many potential slip histories that are consistent with our limited observations and our understanding of earthquake physics. One way to approach these problems is with Bayesian analysis which allows us to infer the ensemble of all potential slip models that satisfy the observations and our prior knowledge of earthquake physics. In Bayesian analysis, our prior knowledge is known as the prior probability density function or prior PDF, the fit to the data is known as the data likelihood, and the target PDF that satisfies both the prior PDF and data likelihood is known as the posterior PDF. However, simulating the posterior PDF typically requires using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to draw tens of billions of random realizations of earthquake slip models, which may not be computationally feasible. To make this and similar geophysical inversions computationally tractable, we developed the Cascading Adaptive Transitional Metropolis In Parallel (CATMIP) algorithm. CATMIP is an efficient parallel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler that is used for model fitting and uncertainty quantification in geophysics. Example use cases are earthquake rupture modeling, determining mineral composition on Mars, reconstructing the history of ocean salinity, and historical earthquake relocation. CATMIP employs many parallel instances of the Metropolis algorithm for sampling in a transitioning framework. Transitioning is a process in which a set of random samples at equilibrium with a known probability density function (PDF) are used as seeds for the Markov chains to sample successive target PDFs that incrementally move the distribution from the starting seeds to the final desired PDF that describes the relative plausibility of potential values for the model parameters. The algorithm is implemented as a Master-Worker model employing MPI for communication. The worker processes are loosely coupled with global parameters periodically optimized by the master process. This provides a very high amount of parallelism with little communication between updates. During the presentation we will discuss the history of the algorithm and elaborate the earthquake rupture modeling use case for the CATMIP package. Our first step toward GPU optimization was to optimize the code for the CPU. CPU profiling revealed that most of the compute time is spent in calls to level 2 BLAS routines and calls to GSL random number generators. We revised the algorithm to employ level 3 BLAS routines instead. In our presentation we will describe how this was accomplished. Adding GPU support to CATMIP consisted mostly of replacing the calls to GSL with calls to GPU vendor-provided library routines. A small number of loops were directly implemented in CUDA. In the presentation will provide implementation details. Finally, we will discuss methods for profiling and opportunities for further optimizing GPU execution. By creating a code with the flexibility to run on either a CPU or GPU architecture, CATMIP can be used on systems ranging from large CPU-based HPC environments to single servers with GPU acceleration and everything in between.

HECC↗

State-of-the-art γ-ray assay of 86 Y for medical imaging

An emerging direction in nuclear medicine is the coupling of a therapeutic isotope with an imaging isotope to form a so-called theranostic pair, which allows one to quantitatively track and image the delivery of the therapeutic isotope. 90 Y is used in several therapy applications and a convenient candidate imaging partner is the positron emitter 86 Y. A 27.6 MBq source of 86 Y was produced at the University of Wisconsin and assayed with the Gammasphere array at Argonne National Laboratory. Over 200 γ-ray transitions were identified, more than double that which was previously known. In conclusion, the positron emission probability inferred from the present level scheme leads to 27.9(12)%, an important (≈14%) reduction with respect to the previously recommended value.

59 ≤ A ≤ 89↗

Data-Driven Transition Path Analysis Yields a Statistical Understanding of Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events in an Idealized Model

Abstract Atmospheric regime transitions are highly impactful as drivers of extreme weather events, but pose two formidable modeling challenges: predicting the next event (weather forecasting) and characterizing the statistics of events of a given severity (the risk climatology). Each event has a different duration and spatial structure, making it hard to define an objective “average event.” We argue here that transition path theory (TPT), a stochastic process framework, is an appropriate tool for the task. We demonstrate TPT’s capacities on a wave–mean flow model of sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) developed by Holton and Mass, which is idealized enough for transparent TPT analysis but complex enough to demonstrate computational scalability. Whereas a recent article (Finkel et al. 2021) studied near-term SSW predictability, the present article uses TPT to link predictability to long-term SSW frequency. This requires not only forecasting forward in time from an initial condition, but also backward in time to assess the probability of the initial conditions themselves. TPT enables one to condition the dynamics on the regime transition occurring, and thus visualize its physical drivers with a vector field called the reactive current . The reactive current shows that before an SSW, dissipation and stochastic forcing drive a slow decay of vortex strength at lower altitudes. The response of upper-level winds is late and sudden, occurring only after the transition is almost complete from a probabilistic point of view. This case study demonstrates that TPT quantities, visualized in a space of physically meaningful variables, can help one understand the dynamics of regime transitions.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗