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DOE OSTI2017

Groundwater recharge estimation in arid hardrock-alluvium aquifers using combined water-table fluctuation and groundwater balance approaches

This article proposes an approach to estimate groundwater recharge using an optimization-based water-table fluctuation method combined with a groundwater balance model in an arid hardrock-alluvium region, located at the Oman–United Arab Emirates border. Here, we introduce an “effective hardrock thickness” term to identify the percentage of the considered hardrock thickness in which effective groundwater flow takes place. The proposed method is based upon a Thiessen polygon zoning approach. The method includes subpolygons to represent specific geologic units and to enhance the confidence of the estimated groundwater recharge. Two linear and 1 nonlinear submodels were developed to evaluate the model components for the calibration (October 1996 to September 2008) and validation (October 2008 to September 2013) periods. Long-term annual groundwater recharge from rainfall and return flow over the model domain are estimated as 24.62 and 5.71 Mm 3 , respectively, while the effective groundwater flow circulation is found to occur in the upper 7% of the known hardrock thickness (42 m), confirming conclusions of previous field studies. Considering a total difference in groundwater levels between eastern and western points of the study area of the order of 220 m and a 12-year monthly calibration period, a weighted root mean squared error in predicted groundwater elevation of 2.75 m is considered quite reasonable for the study area characterized by remarkable geological and hydrogeological diversity. The proposed approach provides an efficient and robust method to estimate groundwater recharge in regions with a complex geological setting in which interaction between fractured and porous media cannot be easily assessed.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

A fully ro-vibrationally resolved corona model for the molecular hydrogen Fulcher-𝛼 system

A ro-vibrationally resolved corona model for the molecular hydrogen Fulcher-𝛼 transition based on the Yacora solver is introduced. The model couples 1365 ro-vibrational levels of the 𝑋 1 ⁢𝛴$^+_𝑔$, 𝑑 3⁢ 𝛱 𝑢 and 𝑎 3 ⁢𝛴$^+_𝑔$ states via electron impact excitation from the ground state into the 𝑑 3⁢ 𝛱 𝑢 state and subsequent spontaneous emission into the 𝑎 3 ⁢𝛴$+_𝑔$ state. For the process of electron impact excitation a set of 45260 fully ro-vibrationally resolved cross sections calculated with the molecular convergent close-coupling (MCCC) method in the adiabatic-nuclei formulation is applied. The MCCC cross sections are compared with results of a scaling method used in other works, demonstrating the need for dedicated ro-vibrationally resolved cross sections. By post-processing the model output, entire Fulcher spectra can be simulated. These spectra are benchmarked with measurements from an inductively coupled plasma discharge at a pressure between 1.1–10 Pa and a RF power of 700 W. The model results agree very well with the experiment both in relative shape and in absolute value. A non-ro-vibrationally resolved, purely electronically resolved collisional radiative model for molecular hydrogen (including further states and reaction channels) is applied to investigate the validity of the corona approximation for the benchmark plasmas and the relevance of possible process extensions of the corona model. Furthermore, the influence of collisional quenching, autoionization and predissociation is discussed.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Real-time coupled-cluster approach for the cumulant Green's function

Green’s function methods within many-body perturbation theory provide a general framework for treating electronic correlations in excited states. Here we investigate the cumulant form of the one-electron Green’s function based on the coupled-cluster equation of motion approach in an extension of our previous study. The approach yields a non-perturbative expression for the cumulant in terms of the solution to a set of coupled first order, non-linear differential equations. The method thereby adds non-linear corrections to traditional cumulant methods linear in the self energy. The approach is applied to the core-hole Green’s function and illustrated for a number of small molecular systems. For these systems we find that the non-linear contributions lead to significant improvements both for quasiparticle properties such as core-level binding energies, as well as the satellites corresponding to inelastic losses observed in photoemission spectra.

Vila, Fernando D.↗

DOE OSTI2024

IsoForma: An R Package for Quantifying and Visualizing Positional Isomers in Top-Down LC-MS/MS Data

Proteoforms, the different forms of a protein with sequence variations including post-translational modifications (PTMs), execute vital functions in biological systems such as cell signaling and epigenetic regulation. Precisely defining the stoichiometry of PTMs has been challenging because, in the widely used bottom-up proteomics methods, the detection occurs at the peptide level and thus the link between peptides and their specific modification site is lost, resulting in proteoform ambiguity. Advances in top-down mass spectrometry (MS) technology have permitted the direct characterization of intact proteoforms and their exact number of modification sites, allowing for the relative quantification of positional isomers (PI). Proteins with positional isomers refers to proteoforms with identical total mass and set of modifications but varying PTM site combinations. The relative abundance of PI can be estimated by matching proteoform-specific fragment ions to top-down tandem MS (MS2) data to localize and quantify modifications. However, current approaches heavily rely on manual annotation. Here, we present IsoForma, an open-source R package for relative quantification of PI within a single tool. We benchmarked IsoForma’s performance against two existing workflows and highlight the similarity of the results and improvements in speed. Overall, IsoForma provides a streamlined process, reduces the time of conducting isoform-based analyses, and offers an essential framework for developing customized proteoform analysis workflows. Finally, the software is open source and available at https://github.com/EMSL-Computing/isoforma-lib.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Model Residuals as Shields: A Two-Level Formulation to Defend Smart Grids From Poisoning Attacks

The advancement of smart grids presents both vast opportunities and heightened cybersecurity risks. Data-driven defense mechanisms, though designed as a shield against these threats, can fall prey to poisoning attacks. We delve into regression settings, underscoring the imperative to fortify defenses against a spectrum of poison ratios, notably those above 0.5—an issue scarcely addressed in prior studies. Recognizing the susceptibilities of smart grids and their manipulable sensors, we exploit the very intent of poisoning attacks, compromising model accuracy, as our defense mechanism. Our proposed two-level optimization framework discerns between poisoned and authentic data based on model residuals, outperforming or matching existing methods in 72% to 77% of precision and 75% to 80% of recalls across various poisoning attacks, poison ratios, and datasets. Once the authentic data are identified, the trained model is adaptable for a variety of applications. Comprehensive evaluations on different smart grid datasets, pitted against myriad poisoning schemes, validate our methodology’s edge over existing methods. Here, we also shed light on the implications of model misspecification originating from temporal auto-correlation, a common feature in Internet of Things and smart grid data.

Adversarial machine learning (ML)↗

DOE OSTI2018

A Solar Time-based Analog Ensemble Method for Regional Solar Power Forecasting

This paper presents a new analog ensemble method for day-ahead regional photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting with hourly resolution. By utilizing open weather forecast and power measurement data, this prediction method is processed within a set of historical data with similar meteorological data (temperature and irradiance), and astronomical date (solar time and earth declination angle). Further, clustering and blending strategies are applied to improve its accuracy in regional PV forecasting. The robustness of the proposed method is demonstrated with three different numerical weather prediction models, the North American Mesoscale Forecast System, the Global Forecast System, and the Short-Range Ensemble Forecast, for both region level and single site level PV forecasts. Using real measured data, the new forecasting approach is applied to the load zone in Southeastern Massachusetts as a case study. In conclusion, the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) has been reduced by 13.80%-61.21% when compared with three tested baselines.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2018

Breeding progress and preparedness for mass‐scale deployment of perennial lignocellulosic biomass crops switchgrass, miscanthus, willow and poplar

Abstract Genetic improvement through breeding is one of the key approaches to increasing biomass supply. This paper documents the breeding progress to date for four perennial biomass crops (PBCs) that have high output–input energy ratios: namely Panicum virgatum (switchgrass), species of the genera Miscanthus (miscanthus), Salix (willow) and Populus (poplar). For each crop, we report on the size of germplasm collections, the efforts to date to phenotype and genotype, the diversity available for breeding and on the scale of breeding work as indicated by number of attempted crosses. We also report on the development of faster and more precise breeding using molecular breeding techniques. Poplar is the model tree for genetic studies and is furthest ahead in terms of biological knowledge and genetic resources. Linkage maps, transgenesis and genome editing methods are now being used in commercially focused poplar breeding. These are in development in switchgrass, miscanthus and willow generating large genetic and phenotypic data sets requiring concomitant efforts in informatics to create summaries that can be accessed and used by practical breeders. Cultivars of switchgrass and miscanthus can be seed‐based synthetic populations, semihybrids or clones. Willow and poplar cultivars are commercially deployed as clones. At local and regional level, the most advanced cultivars in each crop are at technology readiness levels which could be scaled to planting rates of thousands of hectares per year in about 5 years with existing commercial developers. Investment in further development of better cultivars is subject to current market failure and the long breeding cycles. We conclude that sustained public investment in breeding plays a key role in delivering future mass‐scale deployment of PBCs.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2021

White Box Access to Quantum Testbeds for Co-Design

At Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), we operate and maintain the Quantum Device and Integration Testbed (QuDIT) facility, a small quantum testbed that supports about 10 active research teams (including our own) and over 50 internal and external collaborators. This testbed is designed to give remote white box access to users for research, training, and outreach. A guiding principle behind the development of our testbed infrastructure, software and user interfaces is to empower users to perform experiments at the cutting edge of quantum information science at any level of abstraction, from materials studies, device physics and control and characterization techniques to algorithm development and quantum operating system design. Our testbed targets a multilevel quantum system (qudit) to expand the accessible Hilbert space of a simple-to-manufacture quantum device and focuses on quantum simulation, typically implemented through custom gates designed with quantum optimal control methods, rather than on a universal computing framework with a fixed gate set. We leverage the Lab’s high-performance computing (HPC) program and related expertise to simulate quantum systems, develop hybrid algorithms, and generate gates optimized for given simulations. Additionally, we have adopted a co-design philosophy from the HPC community in designing new hardware, so that the systems we develop are optimized for the specific physics simulations we plan to use them for.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2018

A Two-Fold Structural Classification Method for Determining the Accurate Ensemble of Protein Structures

Atomic-level structural characterization of flexible proteins, such as intrinsically disordered proteins and multi-domain proteins connected by flexible linkers, is challenging as they possess distinct conformations in physiological conditions. Significant efforts have been made to develop integrated approaches by combining small angle neutron/X-ray scattering experiments with molecular simulations to reveal the distinct atomic structures and the corresponding populations for these flexible proteins. One widely used method, the basis-set supported ensemble method, classifies the simulation-generated protein conformations into a set of structural basis and then derives the corresponding populations by fitting to the experimental data. This method makes an implicit assumption that protein conformations of similar structures have similar small angle scattering profiles.The present work demonstrates that, for various protein systems ranging from compact globular proteins and flexible multidomain proteins through to intrinsically disordered proteins, this method provides inaccurate assessment of the structural ensemble of the protein molecules due to the breakdown of the assumption made. To alleviate this problem, a two-fold-clustering method is developed to cluster the simulation-generated protein structures using information on both 3D structure and scattering profiles. As benchmarked by both simulation and experimental results, this new method yields much more accurate populations of structural basis of protein molecules.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2017

Prediction of Mass Spectral Response Factors from Predicted Chemometric Data for Druglike Molecules

A method is developed for the prediction of mass spectral ion counts of drug-like molecules using in silico calculated chemometric data. Various chemometric data, including polar and molecular surface areas, aqueous solvation free energies, and gas-phase and aqueous proton affinities were computed, and a statistically significant relationship between measured mass spectral ion counts and the combination of aqueous proton affinity and total molecular surface area was identified. In particular, through multilinear regression of ion counts on predicted chemometric data, we find that log{sub 10}(MS ion counts) = –4.824 + c{sub 1}•PA + c{sub 2}•SA, where PA is the aqueous proton affinity of the molecule computed at the SMD(aq)/M06-L/MIDI!//M06-L/MIDI! level of electronic structure theory, SA is the total surface area of the molecule in its conjugate base form, and c{sub 1} and c{sub 2} have values of –3.912 × 10{sup –2} mol kcal{sup –1} and 3.682 × 10{sup –3} Å{sup –2}. On a 66-molecule training set, this regression exhibits a multiple R value of 0.791 with p values for the intercept, c{sub 1}, and c{sub 2} of 1.4 × 10{sup –3}, 4.3 × 10{sup –10}, and 2.5 × 10{sup –6}, respectively. Application of this regression to an 11-molecule test set provides a good correlation of prediction with experiment (R = 0.905) albeit with a systematic underestimation of about 0.2 log units. This method may prove useful for semiquantitative analysis of drug metabolites for which MS response factors or authentic standards are not readily available. .

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2024

Direct pulse-level compilation of arbitrary quantum logic gates on superconducting qutrits

Advanced simulations and calculations on quantum computers require high-fidelity implementations of quantum operations. The universal gateset approach builds complex unitaries from a small set of primitive gates, often resulting in a long gate sequence, which is typically a leading factor in the total accumulated error. Compiling a complex unitary for processors with higher-dimensional logical elements, such as qutrits, exacerbates the accumulated error per unitary, since an even longer gate sequence is required. Optimal control methods promise time- and resource-efficient compact gate sequences and, therefore, higher fidelity. These methods generate pulses that can directly implement any complex unitary on a quantum device. In this work, we demonstrate that any arbitrary qubit and qutrit gate can be realized with high fidelity, which can significantly reduce the length of a gate sequence. We generate and test pulses for a large set of randomly selected arbitrary unitaries on several quantum processing units (QPUs): the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Quantum Device and Integration Testbed’s (QuDIT’s) standard QPU and three of Rigetti’s QPUs: Ankaa-2, Ankaa-9Q-1, and Aspen-M-3. On the QuDIT platform’s standard QPU, the average fidelity of random qutrit gates is 97.9 ± 0.5% measured with conventional QPT and 98.8 ± 0.6% from QPT with gate folding. Rigetti’s Ankaa-2 achieves random qubit gates with an average fidelity of 98.4 ± 0.5% (conventional QPT) and 99.7 ± 0.1% (QPT with gate folding). On Ankaa-9Q-1 and Aspen-M-3, the average fidelities with conventional qubit QPT measurements were higher than 99% (see Appendix). Here we show that optimal control gates are robust to drift for at least 3 h and that the same calibration parameters can be used for all implemented gates. Our work promises that the calibration overheads for optimal control gates can be made small enough to enable efficient quantum circuits based on this technique.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2023

High-Accuracy Heats of Formation for Alkane Oxidation: From Small to Large via the Automated CBH-ANL Method

It is generally challenging to obtain high-accuracy predictions for the heat of formation for species with more than a handful of heavy atoms, such as those of importance in standard combustion mechanisms. To this end, we construct the CBH-ANL approach and illustrate that, for a set of 194 alkane oxidation species, it can be used to produce ΔH f (o K) values with 2σ uncertainties of 0.2-0.5 kcal mol -1 . This set includes the alkanes, hydroperoxides, and alkyl, peroxy, and hydroperoxyalkyl radicals for 17 representative hydrocarbon fuels containing up to 10 heavy atoms with various degrees of branching in the alkane backbone. The CBH-ANL approach, automated in the QTC and AutoMech software suites, builds balanced chemical equations for the calculation of ΔH f (o K), in which the reference species may be up to five heavy atoms. The high-level ANLo and ANL1 reference ΔH f (o K) values are further refined for even the largest of these reference species with a novel laddering approach. We perform a comprehensive quantification of the uncertainties for both the individual reference species (the largest of which is 0.15 kcal mol -1 ) and the propagation of those uncertainties when used in the calculation of ΔH f (o K) for the 194 target species. Here we examine the sensitivity of the predicted ΔH f (o K) values to (i) electronic energies from various methods, including ωB97X-D/cc-pVTZ, B2PLYP-D3/cc-pVTZ, CCSD(T)-F12b/cc-pVDZ-F12//B2PLYP-D3/cc-pVTZ, and CCSD(T)-F12b/cc-pVTZ-F12//B2PLYP-D3/cc-pVTZ; (ii) the zero-point vibrational energies (ZPVEs), where we consider harmonic ZPVEs as well as two scaling-based estimates of the anharmonic ZPVEs, all implemented for both ωB97X-D/cc-pVTZ and B2PLYP-D3/cc-pVTZ calculations; (iii) the particular CBH-ANL scheme employed; and (iv) the procedure for choosing the reference conformer for the analyses. The discussion concludes with a summary of the estimated overall uncertainty in the predictions and a validation of the predictions for the alkane subset.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2018

Comparison between simulated and observed LHC beam backgrounds in the ATLAS experiment at E beam =4 TeV

Results of dedicated Monte Carlo simulations of beam-induced background (BIB) in the ATLAS experiment at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) are presented and compared with data recorded in 2012. During normal physics operation this background arises mainly from scattering of the 4 TeV protons on residual gas in the beam pipe. Methods of reconstructing the BIB signals in the ATLAS detector, developed and implemented in the simulation chain based on the \textsc{Fluka} Monte Carlo simulation package, are described. The interaction rates are determined from the residual gas pressure distribution in the LHC ring in order to set an absolute scale on the predicted rates of BIB so that they can be compared quantitatively with data. Through these comparisons the origins of the BIB leading to different observables in the ATLAS detectors are analysed. The level of agreement between simulation results and BIB measurements by ATLAS in 2012 demonstrates that a good understanding of the origin of BIB has been reached.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2018

Evidence for associated production of a Higgs boson with a top quark pair in final states with electrons, muons, and hadronically decaying τ leptons at $ \sqrt{s}=13 $ TeV

Results of a search for the standard model Higgs boson produced in association with a top quark pair ($\mathrm{t\overline{t}}$H) in final states with electrons, muons, and hadronically decaying $\tau$ leptons are presented. The analyzed data set corresponds to an integrated luminosity of 35.9 fb$^{-1}$ recorded in proton-proton collisions at $\sqrt{s} =$ 13 TeV by the CMS experiment in 2016. The sensitivity of the search is improved by using matrix element and machine learning methods to separate the signal from backgrounds. The measured signal rate amounts to 1.23$^{+0.45}_{-0.43}$ times the production rate expected in the standard model, with an observed (expected) significance of 3.2$\sigma$ (2.8$\sigma$), which represents evidence for $\mathrm{t\overline{t}}$H production in those final states. In conclusion, an upper limit on the signal rate of 2.1 times the standard model production rate is set at 95% confidence level.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Insights into Methodologies and Operational Details of Resource Adequacy Assessment: A Case Study with Application to a Broader Flexibility Framework

Assessing and maintaining resource adequacy (RA) is a core pillar of power systems. However, recent changes in the physical makeup of these systems and the conditions under which these systems must operate have yielded a renewed interest in the methods, metrics, and assumptions that underpin RA assessments. In this paper, we systematically explore a wide range of RA modeling dimensions, including: the objective function and level of operational detail in the underlying model formulation; the quantity (look-ahead) and quality (accuracy) of data that is available for making operational decisions within those models; and the physical configuration of solar photovoltaics (PV) with battery storage hybrid resources. We apply a set of probabilistic RA tools and production cost modeling tools to a realistic test system based loosely on a future Electric Reliability Council of Texas power system dominated by solar PV resources. Under the assumptions of our system and models, we find that multi-stage probabilistic assessments may provide a more robust evaluation of RA by capturing a wider range of operational and system interactions, but this comes at a computational cost of 1-2 orders of magnitude longer run time depending on the specific configuration. In addition, the information on thermal generator availability impacts RA performance by an order of magnitude more than solar resource forecasts, which is driven by the comparatively larger magnitude of thermal outages than solar forecast errors within our test system. Lastly, the flexibility provided by hybrid and other resources can help reduce system load-shedding event frequencies and enable the system to be more robust to inaccurate forecast information, and alternative hybrid inverter sizes can impact RA levels by 1-2 orders of magnitude. Our results point to the importance of a broader flexibility framework to describe the interaction between (1) flexibility "supply" from both physical resource capabilities and operational constraints considered in the modeling, and (2) flexibility "demand" from forecast errors, thermal generator outages, and other sources of uncertainty, as well as their RA impacts. Results are likely sensitive to the system buildout explored; future work could consider additional system configurations and conditions.

ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY,POWER TRANSMI↗

DOE OSTI2025

The latent variable proximal point algorithm for variational problems with inequality constraints

The latent variable proximal point (LVPP) algorithm is a framework for solving infinite-dimensional variational problems with pointwise inequality constraints. The algorithm is a saddle point reformulation of the Bregman proximal point algorithm. At the continuous level, the two formulations are equivalent, but the saddle point formulation is more amenable to discretization because it introduces a structure-preserving transformation between a latent function space and the feasible set. Working in this latent space is much more convenient for enforcing inequality constraints than the feasible set, as discretizations can employ general linear combinations of suitable basis functions, and nonlinear solvers can involve general additive updates. LVPP yields numerical methods with observed mesh-independence for obstacle problems, contact, fracture, plasticity, and others besides; in many cases, for the first time. The framework also extends to more complex constraints, providing means to enforce convexity in the Monge–Ampère equation and handling quasi-variational inequalities, where the underlying constraint depends implicitly on the unknown solution. Here, in this paper, we describe the LVPP algorithm in a general form and apply it to ten problems from across mathematics.

Inequality constraints↗

DOE OSTI2023

Single-Point Extrapolation to the Complete Basis Set Limit through Deep Learning

Machine learning (ML) offers an attractive method for making predictions about molecular systems while circumventing the need to run expensive electronic structure calculations. Once trained on ab initio data, the promise of ML is to deliver accurate predictions of molecular properties that were previously computationally infeasible. In this work, we develop and train a graph neural network model to correct the basis set incompleteness error (BSIE) between a small and large basis set at the RHF and B3LYP levels of theory. Our results show that, when compared to fitting to the total potential, an ML model fitted to correct the BSIE is better at generalizing to systems not seen during training. We test this ability by training on single molecules while evaluating on molecular complexes. We also show that ensemble models yield better behaved potentials in situations where the training data is insufficient. However, even when only fitting to the BSIE, acceptable performance is only achieved when the training data sufficiently resemble the systems one wants to make predictions on. As a result, the test error of the final model trained to predict the difference between the cc-pVDZ and cc-pV5Z potential is 0.184 kcal/mol for the B3LYP density functional, and the ensemble model accurately reproduces the large basis set interaction energy curves on the S66x8 dataset.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2018

Health intelligence: how artificial intelligence transforms population and personalized health

Advances in computational and data sciences for data management, integration, mining, classification, filtering, visualization along with engineering innovations in medical devices have prompted demands for more comprehensive and coherent strategies to address the most fundamental questions in health care and medicine. Theory, methods, and models from artificial intelligence (AI) are changing the health care landscape in clinical and community settings and have already shown promising results in multiple applications in healthcare including, integrated health information systems, patient education, geocoding health data, social media analytics, epidemic and syndromic surveillance, predictive modeling and decision support, mobile health, and medical imaging (e.g. radiology and retinal image analyses). Health intelligence uses tools and methods from artificial intelligence and data science to provide better insights, reduce waste and wait time, and increase speed, service efficiencies, level of accuracy, and productivity in health care and medicine.

Shaban-Nejad, Arash↗