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DOE OSTI2026

Active learning using hybrid surrogate tool life modeling for machining process optimization

Here, this paper describes an active learning approach for part-to-part iterative machining process optimization using a hybrid surrogate tool life model. A probabilistic interpolating tool life model is developed by combining the empirical Taylor-type tool life equation and the model fit error. The probabilistic tool life model is then used to calculate the machining cost per part distribution. The optimal machining parameters are selected using an expected improvement in machining cost per part criterion. The method is validated numerically using experimental results; the results show a median convergence error of 2.2% after three tests over 400 simulations. The method is validated experimentally on two industrial applications for Ti-6Al-4V roughing resulting in a cost per part reduction greater than 23% after two tests. The described method is a robust solution for rapid convergence to optimal machining parameters in an industrial production environment.

Active learning↗

DOE OSTI2024

Disorder-induced heating in molecular atmospheric pressure plasmas

Abstract Recent work has shown that ions are strongly coupled in atmospheric pressure plasmas when the ionization fraction is sufficiently large, leading to a temperature increase from disorder-induced heating (DIH) that is not accounted for in standard modelling techniques. Here, we extend this study to molecular plasmas. A main finding is that the energy gained by ions in DIH gets spread over both translational and rotational degrees of freedom on a nanosecond timescale, causing the final ion and neutral gas temperatures to be lower in the molecular case than in the atomic case. A model is developed for the equilibrium temperature that agrees well with molecular dynamics simulations. The model and simulations are also applied to pressures up to ten atmospheres. We conclude that DIH is a significant and predictable phenomena in molecular atmospheric pressure plasmas.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Dataset for Blueprinting Electrified Transit System Implementation

This dataset contains the figures and tabulated results generated from a system-level optimization study of transit fleet electrification planning. The dataset does not include executable modeling code required to reproduce the optimization. The dataset includes results for optimized charging infrastructure deployment by location and power level and service block assignments by fuel type, battery capacity selections, and distributed energy resource sizing. It also contains aggregated financial results, capital expenditures, operating cost summaries, net present cost comparisons across scenarios, and quantified air quality impacts. Results are structured to reflect multiple planning scenarios, including heuristic electrification plans, system-optimized configurations, and sensitivity cases with alternative objective weightings. The modeling was developed using publicly available General Transit Feed Specification data from Omnitrans and standardized modeling assumptions.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2026

Dataset for Blueprinting Electrified Transit System Implementation

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2024

Virtual Synchronous Machine Grid-Forming Inverter Model Specification (REGFM_B1)

This report describes a generic virtual synchronous machine (VSM) grid-forming inverter (GFM) model - REGFM_B1. The initial model specification was proposed by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), General Electric (GE), and Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy (SGRE) also provided inputs to the specification. The model specification has been revised multiple times based on the discussions between all the contributors listed in this report. This work was funded by the Universal Interoperability for Grid-Forming Inverters (UNIFI) Consortium. This generic model is developed to help the utility industry understand the concept of VSM GFMs. The model could be used to represent equipment for long-term planning studies where vendor-specific models are not available. As equipment mature and improve, generic models will be updated to capture the new functionalities of GFMs. It is not intended that these models will always remain representative of all future GFM technologies.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Probabilistic Resilience-Oriented Assessment Approach for Transmission Networks Under Wildfires

The rising threat of wildfires poses significant challenges to power transmission networks, particularly in areas prone to such disasters. Traditional approaches for wildfire risk assessment neglect some potential wildfire scenarios. Here, this paper introduces a probabilistic resilience-oriented assessment approach for power transmission networks to address this gap. Initially, a probabilistic wildfire model is developed to capture uncertainties in ignition, intensity, and fire spread. Next, a spatiotemporal fragility model is constructed to assess the impact of wildfires on transmission corridors, incorporating Thermal Aging (TA) and Dynamic Thermal Rate (DTR) change. Finally, a comprehensive resilience metric is defined to evaluate system performance, leveraging the fragility model to determine component and system-level resilience. The approach employs a combinatorial enumeration method to generate potential wildfire scenarios, enhanced by an impact-increment-based state enumeration (IISE) method for computational efficiency. The proposed method provides critical insights for identifying system vulnerabilities and developing robust strategies to protect transmission networks from wildfires. The efficacy of this approach is validated through extensive scenarios of the RTS-GMLC system across Southern California, Nevada and Arizona.

Vahedi, Soroush [Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT ↗

DOE OSTI2026

Spherical tokamak physics research in preparation for the operation of NSTX-U

The National Spherical Torus Experiment Upgrade (NSTX-U) is preparing to resume operation, representing a crucial step toward realizing compact, cost-effective fusion pilot plants. In advance of this, extensive modeling and data analysis have been conducted to advance the physics basis for low-aspect-ratio, high-performance plasma regimes, focusing on three core objectives: confinement and stability, power and particle handling, and steady-state operation. Significant progress has been made in understanding the electron temperature flattening in high-β plasmas, which is shown to be driven by a complex interplay of magnetohydrodynamic instabilities (e.g. non-resonant infernal modes), fast-ion-driven Alfvén eigenmodes, and electron and ion-scale micro-instabilities, particularly Kinetic Ballooning Modes (KBMs), whose destabilization is strongly dependent on parallel magnetic field fluctuations (δB ∥ ). Furthermore, a new gyrokinetic critical pedestal model was developed, accurately predicting pedestal structure by identifying KBMs as the primary stability limit, offering a critical constraint for future high-confinement scenarios. To address the challenge of high heat flux, novel liquid lithium plasma-facing components were modeled. The analysis confirmed that lithium vapor shielding is a self-regulating mechanism for heat mitigation, while also emphasizing that strong main ion parallel flow is essential to minimize core lithium contamination. Finally, progress toward steady-state operation was anchored by developing the required physics basis and control tools. This includes predictive modeling for reversed magnetic shear sustainment, demonstrating that magnetic island-induced bootstrap current reduction is negligible in STs, and advancing real-time control and disruption avoidance capabilities. The development of high-speed surrogate models (e.g. MMMNet) provides computationally efficient tools vital for non-inductive scenario optimization and integrated, low-disruptivity operations planned for NSTX-U.

NSTX-U↗

DOE OSTI2025

Advanced Computational Modeling of High-Level Waste Vitrification at the Hanford Site

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) has selected vitrification for stabilizing legacy tank waste at the Hanford site, where radioactive waste from plutonium production was historically stored in underground tanks. This waste will be separated into low-activity waste (LAW) and high-level waste (HLW) fractions and processed at the Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP). At WTP, glass melters are used for the vitrification of radioactive tank waste, transforming it into a stable borosilicate glass form for safe long-term storage. The melter vessel is constructed from highly durable and heat-resistant materials, where the vitrification process occurs. The main regions that are modeled are the melt pool, plenum, cold cap, riser/discharge chamber, and surrounding structure with insulation layers. Forced convection induced by air bubblers at the base of the melter ensure uniform temperature distribution and provide heat to the cold cap layer. The cold cap is a region of reacting batch feed that floats on top of the molten glass and is where the batch-to-glass reactions occur. Joule heating provided by electrodes mounted along the vertical walls of the melter and immersed directly in the glass, generates the necessary heat for the net endothermic conversion processes that occur in the cold cap. The high temperatures, radioactivity, and opaque nature of the glass prevent direct observation inside the melters. Therefore, computational models are essential for providing insight into factors that affect melter throughput. Thermocouples in the plenum provide operators with plenum temperature measurements. Operational adjustments include bubbling rate, voltage supplied to the electrodes, feed adjustments, and glass removal rate. Different computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models have been developed, each serving a specific purpose. There are CFD models of different scale melters, as well as models that capture the two-phase flow interfaces of rising bubbles in the molten glass or models with a simplified molten glass region so that the surrounding structure and plenum can be feasibly incorporated. Pilot-scale melter models have been developed to serve as validation of the methods employed in the simulation of the full-scale WTP melters. Models incorporating resolved bubbling are used to develop momentum source terms to implement into a single phase, multi-region, steady-state flow model that is being validated by measured process parameters such as glass production rate, voltage, input power, plenum temperatures, etc. The resolved bubbling model uses the multiphase volume of fluid approach to model the system with a high-resolution interface capturing scheme to maintain sharp interfaces between the molten glass and the air phase. The suite of CFD models is continually being improved to incorporate more realistic physics and achieve faster turnaround time. For example, an incremental controller is implemented to automatically adjust electrode voltage within the simulation to a molten glass set point temperature of 1150°C. Newer models feature improved meshes to ensure conformal meshes between regions and eliminate unnecessary mesh refinement in areas that are not of interest (such as boundary layers in offgas ports). Instead of explicitly modeling the structural, refractory, and insulation layers of the melter, a thermal resistance approach is used with published correlations used for boundary conditions. The development of robust and efficient CFD models will be instrumental in enabling the WTP to successfully fulfill its mission of safely stabilizing legacy nuclear waste.

12 - MGMT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE WASTE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Integrating adaptive learning with post hoc model explanation and symbolic regression to build interpretable surrogate models

Abstract We develop a materials informatics workflow to build an interpretable surrogate model for micromagnetic simulations. Our goal is to predict the energy barrier of a moving isolated skyrmion in rare-earth-free $$\hbox {Mn}_4$$ Mn 4 N. Our approach integrates adaptive learning with post hoc model explanation and symbolic regression methods. We discuss an unexplored acquisition function (information condensing active learning) within the adaptive learning loop and compare it with the known standard deviation function for efficient navigation of the search space. Model-agnostic post hoc explanation techniques then uncover trends learned by the trained model, which we then leverage to constrain the expressions used for symbolic regression. Graphical abstract

Biswas, Ankita↗

DOE OSTI2025

Solar Decarbonization of Paraffin Dehydrogenation Through Particle Heat Carriers (Final Technical Report)

This project focuses on solutions to decarbonize high-temperature catalytic processes using solar thermal heat. The primary project goal is to show the validity of a moving packed bed reactor for propane dehydrogenation using catalyst particles as the heat carrier for the reaction, which can be heated by concentrated solar energy in a particle receiver. This concept, if further developed, may provide a cost-effective pathway for converting lower value gases to important chemical precursors for industrial materials using only renewable energy. The project was divided into six tasks. In Task 1, DFT calculations were performed to understand the role of Pt and Sn in the catalytic dehydrogenation reaction. In Task 2 chemical kinetics measurements were made for several catalyst formulations at high temperatures. In Task 3, the solar absorptance of catalyst particles was compared to the absorptance of commonly used materials in particle receivers. In Task 4, numerical models were developed which could predict performance of the complete system and predict specific temperatures in the system. In Task 5, a prototype system was designed, fabricated, and tested to show the validity of the concept. Task 6 concerned project management activities. Experiments with the prototype showed repeatable thermal performance at temperatures targeted for the reaction. A limited set of tests were done with active catalyst and propane dehydrogenation, showing conversion of propane to propylene with a range of conversions and selectivities. The results are promising, and the prototype designed was reliable during testing, and the team expects that further development of the prototype would yield improved results. A numerical model framework based on coupled fluid and particle mechanics was developed with high computational efficiency using GPU calculations. The model may prove highly useful for evaluating other high-temperature particle systems. However, it was determined that simpler porous media models were good fits for the needs of the current moving packed bed concept. Data showing strong solar absorption of the particles validates the plan of using existing solar particle receivers with only a change in the particle type. Catalyst investigation showed that Pt 1 Sn 3 is the most viable candidate for developing PtSn catalysts for high temperature propane dehydrogenation, considering the balance of activity, selectivity, and deactivation. This project completed an initial study of various factors needed to incorporate a moving bed catalytic reactor for propane dehydrogenation into a concentrated solar thermal particle system. Future developments may allow this technology to be scaled up and help to use solar thermal energy to decarbonize not only the propane dehydrogenation reaction, but other gas-solid catalytic reactions at similar temperatures.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Machine learning-enabled multiscale modeling of mechanical deformation of aluminum and Al-SiC nanocomposites

A machine learning-enabled multiscale framework is developed for modeling the mechanical response of both pure metal and nanoparticle-reinforced metal matrix nanocomposites (MMNCs). Using aluminum–silicon carbide (Al-SiC) as an example MMNC, atomistic simulations reveal three distinct deformation mechanisms (i.e., defect-free, dislocation-based, and interface separation) governed by the interfaces between the Al matrix and SiC nanoparticles. As compared with single crystal Al, the lattice undergoes a more abrupt failure once the dislocation network becomes extensive and void nucleation initiates, whereas in Al-SiC, nanoparticle interfaces enable a more gradual progression of damage. These mechanisms are captured through a combined classification-regression neural network surrogate model that bridges atomic-scale insights with continuum-scale finite element analysis. Machine learning-enabled multiscale modeling of pure Al accurately predicted strain localization and confirmed by in-situ scanning electron microscopic tensile testing on perforated Al specimens. This study underscores the promise of integrating physics-informed machine learning with hierarchical modeling to capture the interface dominated phenomena and guide the design of advanced MMNCs.

Al-SiC↗

DOE OSTI2025

Multiscale Modeling of the Mechanical Response of Silicon Carbide Composite Within the Accelerated Fuel Qualification Framework

The accelerated fuel qualification (AFQ) framework has been used for the initial development of multiscale modeling of silicon carbide (SiC) fiber reinforced composite (SiC-SiC). The AFQ framework provides a methodology to leverage physics-informed multiscale modeling along with a reduced set of empirical test data to reduce the time and cost of licensing and qualification of new nuclear fuel systems while maintaining the overall nuclear power plant safety case. SiC-SiC is being proposed for in-core applications, most notably fuel cladding, for current and next-generation nuclear reactors because of its high temperature stability, irradiation tolerance, and ability to withstand many accident conditions. As these composites exhibit multiscale architectures and complex microstructure-based fracture mechanics, it is an appealing use case for the AFQ methodology. While the end goal of this work is a single multiscale model that can be used for predictive in-core performance, current focus is on the individual various length scale models. Four individual models have been initially developed from microscale to engineering system level to capture key physics-based effects across different length scales. These models include a microscale homogenized tow model, a mesoscale fast Fourier transform–based weave model that integrates the homogenized tow model, a mesoscale finite element–based weave model, and a system-level BISON fuel performance model. Results of these models have undergone an initial comparison with separate-effects test data showing a good match to experimental results. By using the AFQ framework during model development, several near-term benefits have been secured including a reduction in development time for the SiC-SiC cladding, more targeted irradiation testing, and a better understanding of uncertainty.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

NEML2: A High Performance Library for Constitutive Modeling

NEML2, the New Engineering Material model Library, version 2, is an offshoot of NEML, an earlier material modeling code developed at Argonne National Laboratory. NEML2 extends the key philosophy of its predecessor, i.e., material models are flexible, modular, and can be built from smaller blocks. It also provides modern features that do not exist in the framework of its predecessor such as material model vectorization, automatic differentiation, device-portable just-in-time compilation, operator fusion, lazy tensor evaluation, etc. Moreover, NEML2 can seamlessly integrate with the popular machine learning package PyTorch to take advantage of modern and fast-growing machine learning techniques. In this fiscal year, the development of core library features and capabilities are complete. The purpose of this report is not to serve as a verbatim copy of the software API reference (which is available online at https://reverendbedford.github.io/neml2/). Instead, this report documents the motivation, implementation, design choices, and usage of each core capability as well as their applications in solving practical engineering problems. This report is compiled based on the NEML2 major release 2.0.0.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Multitarget control models for building thermal comfort and indoor air quality - A critical review

The control techniques in buildings contribute significantly to thermal comfort and indoor air quality (IAQ). However, the gaps are existing for multitarget controls considering both thermal comfort and IAQ. They are: (1) both experimental and modeling control studies were conducted for thermal comfort, focusing on temperature and humidity. (2) All three (physical, grey-box, black-box) modeling approaches were investigated for temperature control. (3) Physical and grey-box modeling approach were adopted for humidity control. (4) physical models were developed for VOCs and CO2 control. (5) grey-box and black-box models were lacking for VOCs and CO2. (6) Multi-target controls were lacking for temperature, humidity and CO2s. (7) Limited studies are available for multi-target controls for temperature, humidity, and VOCs. (8) Multi-target controls are not available yet for temperature, humidity, VOCs, and CO2.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Analysis of pumped thermal energy storage using particle media integrated with concentrating solar power

Pumped Thermal Energy Storage (PTES) is an electricity storage system that converts electricity into thermal energy which is stored and later transformed back into electricity. Previous work has illustrated that particles have low capital costs and can be operated over a wide range of temperatures. PTES with particle storage achieves higher round-trip efficiency and specific power output than when molten salt thermal energy storage is used. This article explores hybrid systems that combine PTES with Concentrating Solar Power (CSP). Hybrid systems share the majority of components thereby reducing costs compared to two stand-alone devices. In addition, hybrid systems can provide multiple services (such as renewable power generation and electricity storage services). Using particle thermal storage in these hybrid concepts provides freedom in choosing the design conditions, since a wide range of operating temperatures is allowable, therefore making it possible to identify hybrid system designs that have good performance. In this article, two concepts for hybrid PTES-CSP are introduced. Thermodynamic models are developed and these are used to evaluate the performance of two hybrid systems. These models account for turbomachinery efficiency, and approach temperature and pressure loss in heat exchangers, as well as other sources of inefficiency, such as motor-generator losses, and air fan power. The “Solar Top-Up” Concept uses CSP to increase the temperature delivered by the charging heat pump. The discharging system uses a topping gas cycle and a bottoming steam cycle to fully exploit the available energy. Using solar heat to increase the maximum temperature from 750 K to 1100 K increases the round-trip efficiency from 41 % to 62 % and the specific work output from 88 kJ/kg to 301 kJ/kg. The second concept is a “Dual-Mode” device which provides both electricity storage and solar electricity generation with the same set of components. The PTES-mode and CSP-mode performance are optimized at different design values but careful parameter selection leads to good performance of both modes: one design produces PTES round-trip efficiency > 60 %, CSP heat engine efficiency > 40 %, and specific work outputs > 150 kJ/kg (for both cycles), when the particle receiver temperature is > 1200 K and maximum heat pump temperature is 1100 K.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Effect of hollow fiber membrane packing on the performance of modules formed with fiber tows

Membrane processes are the preferred option for many gas separations. Hollow fiber membranes are commonly used in these processes. Commercial hollow fiber membrane modules are often fabricated from small groups of fibers (i.e., a tow) that are arranged into a larger cylindrical bundle. The existence of fiber tows can lead to packing non-uniformity. This nonuniformity can result in nonideal fluid distribution in the shell and be detrimental to module performance. In this work, full three-dimensional models of flow and mass transfer within fiber bundles formed from tows have been developed. These models account for the detailed fiber arrangement within modules and are solved to evaluate module separation performance in terms of stage cut and required membrane area as a function product gas purity for carbon capture applications. Results are presented illustrating the effects of varying fiber packing arrangements within a tow and varying tow packing arrangements. Further, the results suggest smaller tows are preferred over larger tows, at fixed overall fiber packing and lower intra- and inter-tow packings are preferred. To reduce the computational cost of simulating large fiber bundles, the use of an equivalent planar bundle is proposed (EPB). A simple procedure for determining the geometry of the EPB is described and validated through comparisons of calculated performance metrics with results obtained from full three-dimensional simulations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Modeling Plutonium Decorporation in a Female Nuclear Worker Treated with Ca-DTPA after Inhalation Intake

The present work models plutonium (Pu) biokinetics in a female former nuclear worker. Her bioassay measurements are available at the US Transuranium and Uranium Registries. The worker was internally exposed to a plutonium-americium mixture via acute inhalation at a nuclear weapons facility. She was medically treated with injections of 1 g Ca-DTPA on days 0, 5, and 14 after the intake. Between days 0 and 20, fecal and urine samples were collected and analyzed for 239 Pu and 241 Am. Subsequently, she was followed up for bioassay monitoring over 14 y, with additional post-treatment urine samples collected and analyzed for 239 Pu. The uniqueness of this dataset is due to the availability of: (1) both early and long-term bioassay data from a female with plutonium intake; (2) data on chelation therapy for a female; and (3) fecal measurement results. Chelation therapy with Ca- and/or Zn-salts of DTPA is known to aid in reducing the internal radiation dose by enhancing the excretion of plutonium and americium from the body. Such enhancement affects plutonium biokinetics in the human body, posing a challenge to the internal dose assessment. The current radiation dose assessment practice is to exclude the data affected by Ca-DTPA from the analysis. The present analysis is the first to explicitly model the chelation-affected bioassay data in a female by using a newly developed chelation model. Thus, the bioassay data collected during and after the Ca-DTPA administrations were used for biokinetic modeling and dose assessment. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo method was used to investigate model parameter uncertainty, based on the bioassay data and assumed prior probability distributions. A χ 2 /nData (number of data points) ≈ 1 was observed in this study, which indicates self-consistency of the data with the model. Results of this study show that the worker’s 239 Pu intake was 12 Bq, with a committed effective dose to the whole-body of 1.2 mSv and a committed equivalent dose to the bone surfaces, liver, and lungs of 37.8, 9.1, and 0.8 mSv, respectively. This study also discusses the worker’s dose reduction due to chelation treatment.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Towards engineering the growth morphology of anisotropic bicrystals

Eutectic alloys, such as Pb-free Bi-Sn-Ag or Sn-Ag-Cu, are essential for their low melting points in solder joints but suffer from brittle intermetallic phases, reducing reliability. Traditional solder design relies on equilibrium phase diagrams, often neglecting the kinetic influence of crystalline anisotropy during solidification. This study hypothesizes that the energetics at the solid-solid-liquid trijunction dictate crystalline facet selection. Using the Al-Al 3 Ni alloy as a model, this project combines atomistic simulations and experimental methods to understand interfacial energies and develop predictive models. This approach aims to mitigate the negative effects of intermetallics, enhancing component reliability in electronic applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗