Learning Uncertainties the Frequentist Way: Calibration and Correlation in High Energy Physics
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72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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A Deep Learning Pipeline for Optimizing Large-scale Phase Field Simulations
Phase field (PF) simulations are computationally expensive but remain a key analysis tool to understand the complex mechanisms of additive manufacturing (AM) processes. Each PF simulation-aided analysis requires thousands of node hours on leadership-class supercomputers. One of the main goals of these analyses is the study of microstructure evolution during the build process which begins with the onset of nucleation. Nucleation occurs under certain thermomechanical conditions which are not known a priori and many PF simulations are required to identify ranges of input thermo-mechanical parameters that can result in the onset of nucleation. Since many of the simulations do not result in nucleation, an analysis campaign often ends up wasting tremendous amounts of precious computing resources executing nucleation-absent simulations. The goal of this work is to design and train deep learning models to inform a PF simulation about the likelihood of the occurrence of nucleation in a future simulation time-step based on the state summary over a finite number of past time-steps of a running simulation. If the prediction determines that the running simulation is unlikely to reach nucleation in the allotted time, then its execution is stopped immediately ultimately resulting in vast reduction in wasted computations when accrued over all the PF simulations typically performed in a single or multiple analysis campaign(s). The paper presents the performance of a machine learning pipeline that uses a convolutional neural network (CNN) model to learn an embedding which is then used with a self-attention network to build a multi-task deep learning model to predict the likelihood of nucleation. The model also predicts the input parameters used in a simulation. Performance is compared with a baseline pipeline that uses an off-the-shelf LeNet-5 model to learn the initial embedding. Despite their smaller size, performance results indicate significant improvement in accuracy of the proposed models compared to the larger baseline models.
Kannan, Ramakrishnan {ramki}↗
LossLens: Diagnostics for Machine Learning Through Loss Landscape Visual Analytics
Modern machine learning often relies on optimizing a neural network's parameters using a loss function to learn complex features. Beyond training, examining the loss function with respect to a network's parameters (i.e., as a loss landscape) can reveal insights into the architecture and learning process. While the local structure of the loss landscape surrounding an individual solution can be characterized using a variety of approaches, the global structure of a loss landscape, which includes potentially many local minima corresponding to different solutions, remains far more difficult to conceptualize and visualize. To address this difficulty, we introduce LossLens, a visual analytics framework that explores loss landscapes at multiple scales. LossLens integrates metrics from global and local scales into a comprehensive visual representation, enhancing model diagnostics. Here we demonstrate LossLens through two case studies: visualizing how residual connections influence a ResNet-20, and visualizing how physical parameters influence a physics-informed neural network (PINN) solving a simple convection problem.
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
Solving classical inference problems on modern machine-learning platforms [Slides]
The outline for this presentation includes: Classical inference (i.e., learning) problems in dynamical systems (through examples), Adjoint state methods, Machine learning for time series data, and Examples characterizing three classes of inference/learning problems.
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
Uncertainty Quantification of Classifying Mechanical Breach in the Crash and Burn Problem
The prediction of mechanical breach in the Crash and Burn problem is important for designing the full system to minimize the probability of loss of containment. Due to uncertainties in the impact angle, material properties, and material models, it is not possible to define an exact critical impact speed at which the system breaches. Furthermore, the cost of running a large scale sampling study to determine the empirical probability of breach is prohibitive. In this work, surrogate models from machine learning, namely logistic regression and artificial neural networks, are introduced to predict binary classification of pass versus breach from a limited set of samples. The structure and calibration of these classifiers is discussed, and a set of metrics for describing the performance of the classifiers is introduced. The classifiers are used on the UUR version of the Crash model to attempt prediction of failure probability and perform variable sensitivity analysis. Where a single sample of the computational model can take hundreds of CPU-hours, training and evaluating a classifier can take seconds or less, thus giving high predictive power in a relatively short time.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Cyber Resilient Fossil Fuel Power Plants and Control Systems of the Future. Final Report Highlighting Recommendations
The following report proposes how GE Research, NETL and energy utility partners could advance these efforts and improve the current state of the art of cybersecurity for U.S. fossil generation and systems to provide a more holistic approach to identify, protect, detect, respond, recover and endure from existing and future cyber threats.
20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗
Understanding the Physics Representation of Deep Learning Models in Environmental Applications
Deep learning (DL) models have been popular in earth and environmental modeling and analysis, which exhibit huge potential in capturing and reconstructing the non-linearity of relevant environmental processes. They are extensively used as analytical tools or emulators for multiple domains (atmosphere, land surface, ocean, and biogeochemistry). Despite their success, their internal working mechanism remains largely unknown. Such a lack of knowledge hinders the identification of physically consistent models that are fully adaptive to non-stationary climate, as well as the development of physics-informed machine learning such as physics-informed neural network (PINN). To establish preliminary knowledge and framework of such physics representation evaluation, this project focuses on an improved understanding of DL models in the environmental applications. DL models are increasingly applied to environmental modeling and prediction. However, they have been evaluated mostly from a performance perspective, and there is a gap in understanding how they represent the known physics internally. Such knowledge is especially critical when applying DL models under climate change conditions, where new inputs are likely outside the ranges of the training datasets. In this project, we reveal how the known physical processes are represented within DL models from both statistical and mechanistic perspectives. Leveraging the traditional model evaluations that focus more on the accuracies of predictions, we establish a framework that examines both the accuracy and physics representation of DL models. This analysis framework can identify DL models that make the correct predictions based on correct physics, thus enhancing the existing explainable artificial intelligence (explainable-AI) portfolio. It lays a foundation for developing novel metrics to evaluate the emerging DL models in environmental applications. This knowledge also informs the development of physics-informed DL models by revealing the direct connections between the known physical processes and specific model components or structures.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Optimizing Deep Learning Models for Climate-Related Natural Disaster Detection from UAV Images and Remote Sensing Data
This research study utilized artificial intelligence (AI) to detect natural disasters from aerial images. Flooding and desertification were two natural disasters taken into consideration. The Climate Change Dataset was created by compiling various open-access data sources. This dataset contains 6334 aerial images from UAV (unmanned aerial vehicles) images and satellite images. The Climate Change Dataset was then used to train Deep Learning (DL) models to identify natural disasters. Four different Machine Learning (ML) models were used: convolutional neural network (CNN), DenseNet201, VGG16, and ResNet50. These ML models were trained on our Climate Change Dataset so that their performance could be compared. DenseNet201 was chosen for optimization. All four ML models performed well. DenseNet201 and ResNet50 achieved the highest testing accuracies of 99.37% and 99.21%, respectively. This research project demonstrates the potential of AI to address environmental challenges, such as climate change-related natural disasters. This study’s approach is novel by creating a new dataset, optimizing an ML model, cross-validating, and presenting desertification as one of our natural disasters for DL detection. Three categories were used (Flooded, Desert, Neither). Our study relates to AI for Climate Change and Environmental Sustainability. Drone emergency response would be a practical application for our research project.
AI↗
Uncovering Structure–Conductivity Relationships in Anion Exchange Membranes (AEMs) Using Interpretable Machine Learning
Anion exchange membranes (AEMs) play a vital role in the performance of water electrolyzers and fuel cells, yet their discovery and optimization remain challenging due to the complexity of structure–property relationships. In this study, we introduce a machine learning framework that leverages conditional graph neural networks (cGNNs) and descriptor-based models and a hybrid graph neural network (HGARE) to predict and interpret ionic conductivity. The descriptor-based pipeline employs principal component analysis (PCA), ablation, and SHAP analysis to identify factors governing anion conductivity, revealing electronic, topological, and compositional descriptors as key contributors. Beyond prediction, dimensionality reduction and clustering are performed by employing t-SNE and KMeans as well as SOM, which reveal distinct membranes clusters, some of which were enriched with high anion conductivity. Among graph-based approaches, the graph convolutional (GCN) achieved strong predictive performance, while the Hybrid Graph Autoencoder-Regressor Ensemble (HGARE) achieved the highest accuracy. Additionally, atom-level saliency maps from GCN provide spatial explanations for conductive behavior, revealing the importance of polarizable and flexible regions. This work contributes to the accelerated and data-driven design of high-performance AEMs.
Naghshnejad, Pegah [Department of Chemical Enginee↗
Accelerated Machine Learning for High Energy Physics
Explore the source record for details and available documents.
72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
MLMOD: Machine Learning Methods for Data-Driven Modeling in LAMMPS
MLMOD is a software package for incorporating machine learning approaches and models into simulations of microscale mechanics and molecular dynamics in LAMMPS. Recent machine learning approaches provide promising data-driven approaches for learning representations for system behaviors from experimental data and high fidelity simulations. The package facilitates learning and using data-driven models for (i) dynamics of the system at larger spatial-temporal scales (ii) interactions between system components, (iii) features yielding coarser degrees of freedom, and (iv) features for new quantities of interest characterizing system behaviors. MLMOD provides hooks in LAMMPS for (i) modeling dynamics and time-step integration, (ii) modeling interactions, and (iii) computing quantities of interest characterizing system states. The package allows for use of machine learning methods with general model classes including Neural Networks, Gaussian Process Regression, Kernel Models, and other approaches. Here we discuss our prototype C++/Python package, aims, and example usage. For related papers, examples, updates, and additional information see https://github.com/atzberg/mlmod and http://atzberger.org/.
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
Modeling the 4D discharge of lithium-ion batteries with a multiscale time-dependent deep learning framework
The lithium-ion battery (LIB) field is moving towards the direction of investigating spatially resolved physical phenomena in the 3D porous microstructure of electrodes. These pore-scale simulations give new insights into the local dynamics of lithiation/de-lithiation and charge transport, Nevertheless, the computational time of these simulations limits the integration of these models in optimization workflows of cycling conditions or electrode manufacturing processes. Machine learning models present a way of assessing in real-time the performance of materials. While several successful techniques for replicating simulations with machine learning have been proposed, this case study presents a more demanding problem, due to the necessity of understanding the behavior of heterogeneous 3D local data, as it evolves in time: this poses both a scientific and a technical challenge. To this end, we propose an autoregressive multiscale convolutional neural network model to predict relevant quantities at the pore-scale in the solid phase: the lithium concentration (in the active material) and potential (in the active material and carbon binder). Here, these are ultimately used to reconstruct the battery discharge curve. 3D images of the electrode microstructures are the input to the network, trained with a dataset of finite element method simulations to predict the discharge behavior of the cathode side in lithium ion batteries. We propose this machine learning model as a proof-of-concept of the applicability of multiscale networks for time-dependent physics problems. The trained model exhibits very high accuracy (with errors lower than 2 %) in forecasting the discharge behavior of new unseen cathodes.
25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
Exploring the Value of Nodes with Multicommunity Membership for Classification with Graph Convolutional Neural Networks
Sampling is an important step in the machine learning process because it prioritizes samples that help the model best summarize the important concepts required for the task at hand. The process of determining the best sampling method has been rarely studied in the context of graph neural networks. In this paper, we evaluate multiple sampling methods (i.e., ascending and descending) that sample based off different definitions of centrality (i.e., Voterank, Pagerank, degree) to observe its relation with network topology. We find that no sampling method is superior across all network topologies. Additionally, we find situations where ascending sampling provides better classification scores, showing the strength of weak ties. Two strategies are then created to predict the best sampling method, one that observes the homogeneous connectivity of the nodes, and one that observes the network topology. In both methods, we are able to evaluate the best sampling direction consistently.
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
Methods in PES-Learn: Direct-Fit Machine Learning of Born–Oppenheimer Potential Energy Surfaces
The release of PES-L EARN version 1.0 as an open-source software package for the automatic construction of machine learning models of semi-global molecular potential energy surfaces (PESs) is presented. Improvements to PES-L EARN ’s interoperability are stressed with new Python API that simplifies workflows for PES construction via interaction with QCSchema input and output infrastructure. In addition, a new machine learning method is introduced to PES-L EARN : kernel ridge regression (KRR). The capabilities of KRR are emphasized with examination of select semi-global PESs. All machine learning methods available in PES-L EARN are benchmarked with benzene and ethanol datasets from the rMD17 database to illustrate PES-L EARN ’s performance ability. Fitting performance and timings are assessed for both systems. Finally, the ability to predict gradients with neural network models is presented and benchmarked with ethanol and benzene. PES-L EARN is an active project and welcomes community suggestions and contributions.
kernel ridge regression↗
Artificial Intelligence Applications in Renewable Energy
Addressing new methodologies in deep learning (DL), machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI), the webinar speakers will provide an overview of the literature spanning these three overlapping fields as applied to energy systems research. The audience will learn how developments in these areas have added new capabilities for pattern recognition and predictive modeling that are complementary to more traditional modeling approaches used in energy systems research. The speakers will illustrate several use cases of these new approaches in the energy space, such as physics-guided neural networks to improve ML regressions for solar data and how AI agents can be used to explore power plant operations.
40 EE - Geothermal Technologies Office (EE-4G)↗
Modeling of Peptides with Classical and Novel Machine Learning Force Fields: A Comparison
The replacement of classical force fields (FFs) with novel neural-network-based frameworks is an emergent topic in molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. In contrast to classical FFs, which have proven their capability to provide insights into complex soft matter systems at an atomistic resolution, the machine learning (ML) potentials have yet to demonstrate their applicability for soft materials. However, the underlying philosophy, which is learning the energy of an atom in its surrounding chemical environment, makes this approach a promising tool. In particular for the exploration of novel chemical compounds, which have not been considered in the original parametrization of classical FFs. In this article, we study the performance of the ANI-2x ML model and compare the results with those of two classical FFs, namely, CHARMM27 and the GROMOS96 43a1 FF. We explore the performance of these FFs for bulk water and two model peptides, trialanine and a 9-mer of the α-aminoisobutyric acid, in vacuum and water. The results for water describe a highly ordered water structure, with a structure similar to those using ab initio molecular dynamics simulations. The energy landscape of the peptides described by Ramachandran maps show secondary structure basins similar to those of the classical FFs but differ in the position and relative stability of the basins. Details of the sampled structures show a divergent performance of the different models, which can be related either to the short-ranged nature of the ML potentials or to shortcomings of the underlying data set used for training. These findings highlight the current state of the applicability of ANI-2x ML potential for MD simulations of soft matter systems. Simultaneously, they provide insights for future improvements of current ML potentials.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Extracting the gamma-ray source-count distribution below the Fermi-LAT detection limit with deep learning
We reconstruct the extra-galactic gamma-ray source-count distribution, or dN/dS, of resolved and unresolved sources by adopting machine learning techniques. Specifically, we train a convolutional neural network on synthetic 2-dimensional sky-maps, which are built by varying parameters of underlying source-counts models and incorporate the Fermi-LAT instrumental response functions. The trained neural network is then applied to the Fermi-LAT data, from which we estimate the source count distribution down to flux levels a factor of 50 below the Fermi-LAT threshold. We perform our analysis using 14 years of data collected in the (1,10) GeV energy range. The results we obtain show a source count distribution which, in the resolved regime, is in excellent agreement with the one derived from cataloged sources, and then extends as dN/dS ~ S -2 in the unresolved regime, down to fluxes of 5 · 10 -12 cm -2 s -1 . The neural network architecture and the devised methodology have the flexibility to enable future analyses to study the energy dependence of the source-count distribution.
79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
Photon Reconstruction in the Belle II Calorimeter Using Graph Neural Networks
We present the study of a fuzzy clustering algorithm for the Belle II electromagnetic calorimeter using Graph Neural Networks. We use a realistic detector simulation including simulated beam backgrounds and focus on the reconstruction of both isolated and overlapping photons. We find significant improvements of the energy resolution compared to the currently used reconstruction algorithm for both isolated and overlapping photons of more than 30% for photons with energies E γ < 0.5 GeV and high levels of beam backgrounds. Overall, the GNN reconstruction improves the resolution and reduces the tails of the reconstructed energy distribution and therefore is a promising option for the upcoming high luminosity running of Belle II.
Calorimeter↗