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At least 649 records · Page 36

Pre-Tropical Cyclone Squall Lines and the Connection to the Diurnal Cycle during Hurricane Laura (2020)

Previous studies on the tropical cyclone (TC) diurnal cycle have shown in observations and modeling the presence of outward propagating squall lines. These squall lines were observed in several TCs during the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. Of these squall lines, one observed in Hurricane Laura made landfall over 14 hours prior to the hurricane’s eye. This squall was responsible for numerous tornado warnings, which disrupted preparations and evacuations ahead of the storm’s landfall. This study seeks to characterize these squall lines and their environmental and thermodynamic characteristics, determine whether they behave more like midlatitude squall lines or tropical cyclone rain bands, and assess the performance of the convection-allowing High Resolution Rapid Refresh model in forecasting them over the ocean and over land. By using a combination of operational radar data, a network of surface weather observations from land and sea, satellite data, and HRRR model output, this case will undergo an extensive evaluation based on criteria from past literature in order to better understand these features as a whole and in relation to the diurnal cycle.

Vivian L Brasfield↗

Pre-Tropical Cyclone Squall Lines and the Connection to the Diurnal Cycle in Hurricane Laura (2020)

Previous studies on the tropical cyclone (TC) diurnal cycle have shown in observations and modeling the presence of outward propagating squall lines. These squall lines were observed in several TCs during the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. Of these squall lines, one observed in Hurricane Laura made landfall over 13 hours prior to the hurricane’s eye. This squall was responsible for numerous tornado warnings, which disrupted preparations and evacuations ahead of the storm’s landfall. This study seeks to characterize these squall lines and their environmental and thermodynamic characteristics, determine whether they behave more like midlatitude squall lines or tropical cyclone rain bands, and assess the performance of the convection-allowing High Resolution Rapid Refresh model in forecasting them over the ocean and over land. By using a combination of operational radar data, a network of surface weather observations from land and sea, satellite data, and HRRR model output, this case will undergo an extensive evaluation based on criteria from past literature in order to better understand these features as a whole and in relation to the diurnal cycle.

Vivian L Brasfield↗

Observational Analysis of Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Squall Lines and Relationship to the Diurnal Cycle

Previous studies on the tropical cyclone (TC) diurnal cycle have shown in observations and modeling the presence of outward propagating squall lines. These squall lines were observed in several TCs during recent Atlantic hurricane seasons. Of these squall lines, one observed in Hurricane Laura made landfall over 14 hours prior to the hurricane’s eye. This squall was responsible for 40 tornado warnings, which disrupted preparations and evacuations ahead of the storm’s landfall. This study seeks to characterize these squall lines and their environmental and thermodynamic characteristics, determine whether they behave more like midlatitude squall lines or tropical cyclone rain bands, and assess the performance of the convection-allowing High Resolution Rapid Refresh model in forecasting them over the ocean and over land. By using a combination of operational radar data, a network of surface weather observations from land and sea, satellite data, and HRRR model output, this case will undergo an extensive evaluation based on criteria from past literature in order to better understand these features as a whole and in relation to the diurnal cycle.

Vivian Brasfield↗

Mars Climate Orbiter's Investigation of the Atmosphere and Polar Caps

The Mars Climate Orbiter (MCO) is now on its way to Mars. It carries an atmospheric sounder whose observations will provide a continuous, global data set on weather and climate for a full Martian year. This paper describes the observation strategy and anticipated results from the Pressure Modulator Infrared Radiometer (PMIRR). PMIRR will measure vertical profiles of atmospheric infrared radiance in the 7 to 50 micron wavelength region extending from the surface of Mars to 80-km altitude. The observations have a vertical resolution of 5 km, or one-half the atmospheric scale height. From these radiance profiles we will retrieve profiles of atmospheric temperature, pressure, and the amounts of dust, condensates and water vapor. In addition, PMIRR will measure the radiative balance of the polar regions of Mars in an effort to better understand the short-term climate variability of the planet. The information obtained with PMIRR on MCO will be complementary to data obtained by the Thermal Emission Spectrometer (TES) and Radio Science (RS) experiments on the Mars Global Surveyor. A major emphasis of our research will be the assimilation of PMIRR data into numerical models of the Martian atmosphere. Assimilation schemes, of which several are currently in development, will permit the extension of measurements to spatial and temporal scales and to phenomena (e.g. winds) not observed directly by PMIRR.

McCleese, D. J.↗

DATA COLLECTION BY SATELLITES

Discussion of future meteorological satellite data collection system consisting of automatic land, sea and balloon relay weather stations

SATELLITE OBSERVATION↗

Landslides in West Coast Metropolitan Areas: The Role of Extreme Weather Events

Rainfall-induced landslides represent a pervasive issue in areas where extreme rainfall intersects complex terrain. A farsighted management of landslide risk requires assessing how landslide hazard will change in coming decades and thus requires, inter alia, that we understand what rainfall events are most likely to trigger landslides and how global warming will affect the frequency of such weather events. We take advantage of 9 years of landslide occurrence data compiled by collating Google news reports and of a high-resolution satellite-based daily rainfall data to investigate what weather triggers landslide along the West Coast US. We show that, while this landslide compilation cannot provide consistent and widespread monitoring everywhere, it captures enough of the events in the major urban areas that it can be used to identify the relevant relationships between landslides and rainfall events in Puget Sound, the Bay Area, and greater Los Angeles. In all these regions, days that recorded landslides have rainfall distributions that are skewed away from dry and low-rainfall accumulations and towards heavy intensities. However, large daily accumulation is the main driver of enhanced hazard of landslides only in Puget Sound. There, landslide are often clustered in space and time and major events are primarily driven by synoptic scale variability, namely "atmospheric rivers" of high humidity air hitting anywhere along the West Coast, and the interaction of frontal system with the coastal orography. The relationship between landslide occurrences and daily rainfall is less robust in California, where antecedent precipitation (in the case of the Bay area) and the peak intensity of localized downpours at sub-daily time scales (in the case of Los Angeles) are key factors not captured by the same-day accumulations. Accordingly, we suggest that the assessment of future changes in landslide hazard for the entire the West Coast requires consideration of future changes in the occurrence and intensity of atmospheric rivers, in their duration and clustering, and in the occurrence of short-duration (sub-daily) extreme rainfall as well. Major regional landslide events, in which multiple occurrences are recorded in the catalog for the same day, are too rare to allow a statistical characterization of their triggering events, but a case study analysis indicates that a variety of synoptic-scale events can be involved, including not only atmospheric rivers but also broader cold- and warm-front precipitation. That a news-based catalog of landslides is accurate enough to allow the identification of different landslide/ rainfall relationships in the major urban areas along the US West Coast suggests that this technology can potentially be used for other English-language cities and could become an even more powerful tool if expanded to other languages and non-traditional news sources, such as social media.

landslides↗

A Comparative Analysis of Micrometeorological Determinants of Evapotranspiration Rates Within a Heterogeneous Urban Environment

Variability in micrometeorological conditions and their influence on estimated reference evapotranspiration (RET) rates were evaluated across a heterogeneous urban environment. Micrometeorological data sets (incoming solar radiation, air temperature, relative humidity and wind speed) were collected over a one-year period at six weather stations in New York City, NY (USA). Weather stations are located at four new urban green space monitoring sites and two airports. Reference evapotranspiration (RET) rates were estimated from the micrometeorological data sets for a short reference surface at a daily time-step using the ASCE Standardized Reference Evapotranspiration Equation, a Penman-Monteith based combination equation. Nonparametric comparative statistical analyses (Kruskal-Wallis) revealed statistically significant differences (at significance level α = 0.05) in micrometeorological conditions and estimated RET rates between the six sites. On a cumulative annual basis, estimated RET varied by up to 40 percent between the sites. A new technique for adjusting weather data collected at one location (e.g. regional airports) for use at another location (e.g. interior engineered urban green spaces) was evaluated. The study highlights the importance, for accurate estimation of ET, of onsite micrometeorological data sets, but concludes that additional research is needed to more thoroughly characterize micrometeorological variability across heterogeneous urban environments, and also to evaluate the influence of non-meteorological determinants, e.g. vegetation type, soil/media type, media moisture conditions and anthropogenic heat fluxes, on urban ET.

Urban environment↗

Star-Exoplanet Interactions: A Growing Interdisciplinary Field in Heliophysics

Traditionally, heliophysics is characterized as the study of the near-Earth space environment, where plasmas and neutral gases originating from the Earth, the Sun, and other solar system bodies interact in ways that are detectable only through in-situ or close-range (usually within ∼10 AU) remote sensing. As a result, heliophysics has data from the space environment around a handful of solar system objects, in particular the Sun and Earth. Comparatively, astrophysics has data from an extensive array of objects, but is more limited in temporal, spatial, and wavelength information from any individual object. Thus, our understanding of planetary space environments as a complex, multi-dimensional network of specific interacting systems may in the past have seemed to have little to do with the highly diverse space environments detected through astrophysical methods. Recent technological advances have begun to bridge this divide. Exoplanetary studies are opening up avenues to study planetary environments beyond our solar system, with missions like Kepler, TESS, and JWST, along with increasing capabilities of ground-based observations. At the same time, heliophysics studies are pushing beyond the boundaries of our heliosphere with Voyager, IBEX, and the future IMAP mission. The interdisciplinary field of star-exoplanet interactions is a critical, growing area of study that enriches heliophysics. A multidisciplinary approach to heliophysics enables us to better understand universal processes that operate in diverse environments, as well as the evolution of our solar system and extreme space weather. The expertise, data, theory, and modeling tools developed by heliophysicists are crucial in understanding the space environments of exoplanets, their host stars, and their potential habitability. The mutual benefit that heliophysics and exoplanetary studies offer each other depends on strong, continuing solar system-focused and Earth-focused heliophysics studies. The heliophysics discipline requires new targeted funding to support inter-divisional opportunities, including small multi-disciplinary research projects, large collaborative research teams, and observations targeting the heliophysics of planetary and exoplanet systems. Here we discuss areas of heliophysics-relevant exoplanetary research, observational opportunities and challenges, and ways to promote the inclusion of heliophysics within the wider exoplanetary community.

heliophysics↗

National Airspace System Delay Estimation Using Weather Weighted Traffic Counts

Assessment of National Airspace System performance, which is usually measured in terms of delays resulting from the application of traffic flow management initiatives in response to weather conditions, volume, equipment outages and runway conditions, is needed both for guiding flow control decisions during the day of operations and for post operations analysis. Comparison of the actual delay, resulting from the traffic flow management initiatives, with the expected delay, based on traffic demand and other conditions, provides the assessment of the National Airspace System performance. This paper provides a method for estimating delay using the expected traffic demand and weather. In order to identify the cause of delays, 517 days of National Airspace System delay data reported by the Federal Aviation Administration s Operations Network were analyzed. This analysis shows that weather is the most important causal factor for delays followed by equipment and runway delays. Guided by these results, the concept of weather weighted traffic counts as a measure of system delay is described. Examples are given to show the variation of these counts as a function of time of the day. The various datasets, consisting of aircraft position data, enroute severe weather data, surface wind speed and visibility data, reported delay data and number of aircraft handled by the Centers data, and their sources are described. The procedure for selecting reference days on which traffic was minimally impacted by weather is described. Different traffic demand on each reference day of the week, determined by analysis of 42 days of traffic and delay data, was used as the expected traffic demand for each day of the week. Next, the method for computing the weather weighted traffic counts using the expected traffic demand, derived from reference days, and the expanded regions around severe weather cells is discussed. It is shown via a numerical example that this approach improves the dynamic range of the weather weighted traffic counts considerably. Time histories of these new weather weighted traffic counts are used for synthesizing two statistical features, six histogram features and six time domain features. In addition to these enroute weather features, two surface weather features of number of major airports in the United States with high mean winds and low mean visibility are also described. A least squares procedure for establishing a functional relation between the features, using combinations of these features, and system delays is explored using 36 days of data. Best correlations between the estimated delays using the functional relation and the actual delays provided by the Operations Network are obtained with two different combinations of features: 1) six time domain features of weather weighted traffic counts plus two surface weather features, and 2) six histogram features and mean of weather weighted traffic counts along with the two surface weather features. Correlation coefficient values of 0.73 and 0.83 were found in these two instances.

Chatterji, Gano B.↗

NASA’s WB-57F High Altitude Research Aircraft is Looking Up: A Flexible and Capable Heliophysics Platform for Coronal Observations During Total Solar Eclipses

NASA's WB-57F "Canberra" high altitude research aircraft is a unique airborne platform that serves a critical need in airborne science. Although the aircraft has been conventionally used for earth observation/remote sensing and in situ atmospheric sampling, research teams have begun to recognize the aircraft’s emerging role in heliophysics research. With the ability to operate at altitudes in excess of 60,000 feet and with a range of over 2,500 miles, the particular capabilities of the WB-57 are unparalleled by other aircraft in the government or commercial spaces. The Canberra has capacity to carry nearly 9,000 pounds of instrumentation across the aircraft, including modular payload areas in the belly, the nose, wing pods, and wing hatches. The WB-57 features a dedicated "person in the loop" sensor equipment operator, real-time high bandwidth data link between air and ground, and an on-board data network allowing interoperability between multiple systems and operator interfaces. The aircraft has a truly global reach, and has operated out of airfields all over the world with a minimal personnel footprint. The Program maintains a highly qualified engineering team that will work closely with customer requirements to optimize efficiency of payload installation and operation on the aircraft. NASA maintains its own airworthiness authority, allowing a bespoke "in house" approach to aircraft modifications and instrument integration. This often saves months of coordination and cost when compared with commercial options. On 8 April 2024, the WB-57 program executed a one-of-a-kind observation the corona over North America and provided a first-flight opportunity for several instruments that were historically strictly terrestrial. By integrating imagers, spectrometers, and ionosondes on the aircraft, research team partnerships with Southwest Research Institute, University of Hawai’i Institute for Astronomy, and Virginia Tech have demonstrated new and exciting applications for this venerable platform, were able to effectively eliminate the risk of adverse weather spoiling the data collection during totality, and reduce the amount of atmospheric interference in the collected spectral data.

Airborne Science↗

Convective scale weather analysis and forecasting

How satellite data can be used to improve insight into the mesoscale behavior of the atmosphere is demonstrated with emphasis on the GOES-VAS sounding and image data. This geostationary satellite has the unique ability to observe frequently the atmosphere (sounders) and its cloud cover (visible and infrared) from the synoptic scale down to the cloud scale. These uniformly calibrated data sets can be combined with conventional data to reveal many of the features important in mesoscale weather development and evolution.

Purdom, J. F. W.↗

Integrating Wind Profiling Radars and Radiosonde Observations with Model Point Data to Develop a Decision Support Tool to Assess Upper-Level Winds for Space Launch

On the day-of-launch, the 45th Weather Squadron (45 WS) Launch Weather Officers (LWOs) monitor the upper-level winds for their launch customers to include NASA's Launch Services Program and NASA's Ground Systems Development and Operations Program. They currently do not have the capability to display and overlay profiles of upper-level observations and numerical weather prediction model forecasts. The LWOs requested the Applied Meteorology Unit (AMU) develop a tool in the form of a graphical user interface (GUI) that will allow them to plot upper-level wind speed and direction observations from the Kennedy Space Center (KSC) 50 MHz tropospheric wind profiling radar, KSC Shuttle Landing Facility 915 MHz boundary layer wind profiling radar and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (CCAFS) Automated Meteorological Processing System (AMPS) radiosondes, and then overlay forecast wind profiles from the model point data including the North American Mesoscale (NAM) model, Rapid Refresh (RAP) model and Global Forecast System (GFS) model to assess the performance of these models. The AMU developed an Excel-based tool that provides an objective method for the LWOs to compare the model-forecast upper-level winds to the KSC wind profiling radars and CCAFS AMPS observations to assess the model potential to accurately forecast changes in the upperlevel profile through the launch count. The AMU wrote Excel Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) scripts to automatically retrieve model point data for CCAFS (XMR) from the Iowa State University Archive Data Server (http://mtarchive.qeol.iastate.edu) and the 50 MHz, 915 MHz and AMPS observations from the NASA/KSC Spaceport Weather Data Archive web site (http://trmm.ksc.nasa.gov). The AMU then developed code in Excel VBA to automatically ingest and format the observations and model point data in Excel to ready the data for generating Excel charts for the LWO's. The resulting charts allow the LWOs to independently initialize the three models 0-hour forecasts against the observations to determine which is the best performing model and then overlay the model forecasts on time-matched observations during the launch countdown to further assess the model performance and forecasts. This paper will demonstrate integration of observed and predicted atmospheric conditions into a decision support tool and demonstrate how the GUI is implemented in operations.

Bauman, William H., III↗

Characteristics of ageostrophic flow in the vicinity of a severe weather outbreak - AVE-SESAME I

GOES satellite data was used to examine the ageostrophic flow in the vicinity of severe weather outbreaks along the Red River between Texas and Oklahoma in April 1979. The observations were part of the NASA AVE-SESAME I data on atmospheric states close to severe weather conditions. The Barnes Objective Analysis Technique was employed to analyze the data on a 100 km grid. The ageostrophic wind was defined on a regional scale from satellite data on different levels of cloud wind vectors, with a height change signalling a short-wave system in a long-wave trough. The percentage of deviation of the subgeostrophic winds from the geostrophic wind was calculated, and maximum departure corresponded with the region of greatest storm development. Time cross sections of additions to the ageostrophic flow were made as a function of pressure at 100 mb intervals from 900-100 mb. The ageostrophic acceleration was consistently twice the geostrophic acceleration.

Arnold, J. E.↗

Strategies to Maximize Science Data Availability for the GOES-R Series of Satellites

The Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-R Series (GOES-R) is the next generation of Untied States geostationary weather satellites. The GOES-R series significantly improves the detection and observation of environmental phenomena that directly affect public safety, protection of property and the economic health and prosperity of the United States and all countries within the western hemisphere. Given the real-time or ''now-casting'' nature of the GOES science gathering mission, any data outage or interruption can reduce warning times or scientific fidelity for critical weather data. GOES-R mission level requirements limit key performance product outages to a total of six hours per year to maximize science data availability. Lower level requirement only allow for 120 minutes of disruption between the spacecraft bus interface to the instruments. This requirement is met using both design features of the satellite and ground system, in addition to operational strategies.

Dudley, Renee↗

Atmospheric sciences for the space age

Space-age research programs to increase knowledge about global atmospheric circulation and to obtain data on changing weather patterns

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION↗

The formation of goethite and hydrated clay minerals on Mars

Laboratory studies reported by Huguenin (1973) on the kinetics and mechanism of the photostimulated oxidation of magnetic and preliminary laboratory data on the weathering of silicates, reported herein, are applied to Mars. Basalts in the Martian dark areas are predicted to alter to hydrated Fe(2 plus or minus) depleted clay minerals, minor goethite, and minor to trace amounts of transition metal oxides such as TiO2, MnO2, and Cr2O3 at a rate of 10 to the minus 1.5 plus or minus 1.5 micron/yr. Some Ca-Mg carbonates are also expected to be formed. The clay minerals are predicted to be more silica-rich than the silicate source material, SiO2 contents of 60% or higher being expected, and strongly depleted in Fe(2+). The oxygen, OH, and H2O contents of the bulk weathering product are predicted to be significantly greater than those of the dark-area source materials, whereas the relative bulk metal abundances should be the same.

Huguenin, R. L.↗