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At least 649 records · Page 36

A Review on Building Resilient Power Networks: Emphasizing Adjacent Span Dynamics

This research article presents a comprehensive review of resilience in power transmission and distribution systems, focusing on key studies that examine structural integrity, mechanical stress distribution, and system reliability under various conditions. The article synthesizes findings across multiple studies, covering assumptions, system topologies, methodologies, and challenges that affect resilience in these networks. Particular attention is given to identifying studies that address the influence of adjacent spans and tower--line interactions, as these factors play a crucial role in the stress distribution and structural dynamics within poles, towers, and transmission lines. In addition to identifying critical factors contributing to system vulnerability, this review emphasizes the importance of continued research to better understand and mitigate risks from extreme events, such as high winds combined with ice storms. By consolidating knowledge on current challenges and future needs, this work outlines future directions to advance resilience studies and contributes to ongoing efforts to strengthen power transmission and distribution networks, reducing disruptions in electricity supply and improving overall system resilience in an evolving climate landscape.

Ahmad, Tawsif [Pacific Northwest National Laborato↗

Scenario Creation and Power-Conditioning Strategies for Operating Power Grids with Two-Stage Stochastic Economic Dispatch: Preprint

A significant difficultly associated with the use of stochastic programming to solve optimal power flow problems on a 5-minute timescale is the quality of renewable energy scenarios input by the user. This is especially true when considering power systems with high penetrations of renewable energy, e.g. wind power. This paper introduces the use of stochastic programming to solve the DCOPF problem with scenarios drawn directly from high-fidelity data sets. Hence, the proposed method avoids the problem of lost physics by finding high-fidelity analogs that can describe future states of the system. Furthermore, this method can be simply extended to output multi-period scenarios to the stochastic program. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this technique on simulated dispatch operations of the RTS-GMLC over a week.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Scalable Electrolytic Systems for Renewable Hydrogen Production (Cooperative Research and Development Final Report, CRADA Number CRD-18-747)

The project focuses on offshore wind energy which is an emergent renewable energy source in the United States. Onsite hydrogen production for this sector is not available. The overall goal of GTA's work is development of scalable multi-megawatt water electrolysis systems that exclude platinum group metals, are constructed from readily available commodity materials and are mass produced using advanced manufacturing and robotics. They fabricated and successfully tested a scalable TRL 4 laboratory prototype that demonstrated promising results for achieving the goal. They further performed calculations and prepared scale drawings for an envisioned onsite TRL 8 electrolytic hydrogen production system at an offshore 8 MW wind turbine. The work plan of the CRADA proposal between NREL and GTA focuses on validation of the current TRL 4 prototype with potential development and refinement for advancement to a TRL 5 system. GTA, Inc. proposes joining the H2@Scale consortium to leverage DOE funds, benefit from and contribute to the common knowledge-base and work with NREL as a CRADA partner.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Gearbox bearing crack growth prognostics and uncertainty quantification with physics-informed machine learning

This paper introduces the extreme theory of functional connections (X-TFC), a physics-informed machine learning algorithm, and tailors it to estimate the remaining useful life (RUL) of wind turbine gearbox bearings experiencing fatigue crack growth. Unlike purely data-driven methods, X-TFC embeds a physics model, based on Head's theory in this work, into its training objective. The core of X-TFC is a random-projection single-layer neural network trained via an extreme learning machine, which requires only limited damage progression data and solves for output weights with a least-squares optimization algorithm. A composite loss function balances the network's fit to observed degradation data against the residuals of the governing crack growth differential equation, ensuring the learned damage trajectory remains physically plausible. When applied to a vibration-based health-index (HI) dataset measured during the growth of a crack on the inner ring of a high-speed bearing in a wind turbine gearbox (Bechhoefer and Dubé, 2020), X-TFC achieves near-zero prediction bias. Even when trained on only the first 10 %–20 % of the damage progression data, with sufficient physics weighting its predictions remain monotonic and smooth, delivering high prognosability and trendability. To quantify the epistemic uncertainty, we employ a Monte Carlo ensemble of independently initialized X-TFC models trained on noise-perturbed data, which yields confidence intervals around each RUL estimate and captures both model-parameter and epistemic uncertainty. In addition to a vibration-based HI, we demonstrate that the proposed framework can be directly applied to a supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) data-based HI (Eftekhari Milani et al., 2026) measured during similar wind turbine gearbox bearing crack faults, preserving its accuracy and interpretability. This extension shows the versatility of our approach, which is applicable to bearings of multiple gearbox manufacturers, models, and ratings using only SCADA data. By integrating domain knowledge with machine learning, X-TFC offers a rapid, reliable tool for crack prognostics. Its adaptability to other bearing failure modes, such as pitch bearing ring cracks, positions X-TFC as a powerful enabler of data-driven, physics-informed asset management in the wind energy sector and beyond.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

The curled wake model: equivalence of shed vorticity models

In this work, we explore the spanwise velocities in the wake of a yawed wind turbine. In the curled wake model, these motions are induced by a collection of vortices shed from the rotor plane. The direction of the vorticity generated by yaw is aligned with the main flow (streamwise) direction. The streamwise vorticity induces velocities in the spanwise directions. These are the motions responsible for creating the curled wake mechanism. In this work, we explore a more accurate formulation for this mechanism, using a vortex cylinder. Under certain assumptions, the new and original curled wake models yield the same mathematical formulation. Also, both models predict an elliptic distribution of vortex strength, where the main difference is the location of the vortices.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Radar Wind Profiler (RWP) and Radio Acoustic Sounding System (RASS) Instrument Handbook

The radar wind profiler (RWP) is an active remote-sensing instrument that can routinely, and virtually unattended, observe wind and turbulence in the troposphere through scattering from clear-air irregularities of the atmospheric refractive index (Gage and Balsley 1978). The principle of Doppler radars in general is based on sending electromagnetic pulses in the vertical and several tilted directions (vertical and oblique beams) and measuring the signal that is scattered back by atmospheric turbulence at all heights and received at the antenna. The RWPs provides measurements of backscattered signal strength and wind profiles nominally between 0.1 km and 6 km. The RWP operation assumes that the wind field is homogeneous over the spatial separation of the antenna beams, which is a safe assumption under stable atmospheric conditions. However, the wind may be different between the beams due to significant changes in the wind field, resulting in erroneous wind calculations. Therefore, the radial measurements are averaged over a sufficient time period to validate the assumption of homogeneity.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Rotating cooling system for wind turbine generator

A generator, which may be used in a wind turbine, has a first stationary component carrying a first winding configuration and a second rotating component carrying a second winding configuration. The second rotating component includes a body portion and a plurality of teeth spaced around and extending radially from the body portion. The second winding configuration is arranged in slots defined between adjacent teeth. A housing is arranged around and rotates with the body portion. A heat exchange circuit is arranged on the second rotating component and includes a coolant channel defined in the teeth; a pump; and a heat exchanger arranged on the housing so as to rotate with the housing, the heat exchanger transverse to a rotational direction of the housing.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Influence of Numerical Modeling Approaches on Damped Behavior of Flexible Beams: Preprint

Composites structures are widely used in aerospace and wind energy applications for their excellent stiffness and strength-to-weight properties. In these structures, structural damping is critical to predict vibration amplitudes, performance, and reliability. Structural damping is of particular interest for slender wings, rotorcraft blades, and wind turbine blades that can exhibit complex vibration phenomena and are frequently modeled with geometrically exact beam theory (GEBT). Standard approaches of stiffness proportional or modal damping merely assign user defined values and cannot predict damping behavior. This work compares stiffness proportional damping to two more advanced damping approaches: modal strain energy and Prony series. The modal strain energy approach uses a sectional analysis tool to calculate the beam stiffness and postprocess internal stresses from GEBT simulations. The internal stresses are then used to calculate modal damping factors. The Prony series is implemented within GEBT to directly model viscoelastic behavior of the composites. These approaches are compared by modeling the evolution of the damping factors of a realistic flexible wind turbine blade with varying rotational speed. Discrepancies between the approaches suggest areas for future modeling development, but differences in nonlinear damping values are less than current uncertainties about the magnitude of structural damping.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Synthetic Absorption Lines from Simulations of Multiphase Gas in Galactic Winds

Supernova-driven galactic winds are multiphase streams of gas that are often observed flowing at a range of velocities out of star-forming regions in galaxies. In this study, we use high-resolution 3D simulations of multiphase galactic winds modeled with the hydrodynamics code Cholla to investigate the connection between numerical studies and observations. Using a simulated interaction between a hot $T$ ~ 10 4 K supernova-driven wind and a cool $T$ ~ 10 7 K cloud of interstellar material, we create mock observables, including the optical depth ($\tau$) and covering fraction ($C$ $f$ ) of six commonly observed ions (Si II , C II , Si IV , C IV , N V , and O VI ) as a function of gas velocity. We compare our mock observables to surveys of galactic winds in the literature, finding good agreement with velocities and profiles of the low ions. We then compute "empirical" values for the optical depth and covering fraction following observational techniques and compare them to the values calculated directly from the simulation data. We find that the empirically computed values tend to underestimate the "true" value of $\tau$ for ions with high optical depth and overestimate the "true" value of $\tau$ for ions with low optical depth relative to the simulated data. In conclusion, the empirically estimated covering fractions match our direct calculations very well for the low-ionization ions; for the high-ionization ions, the empirical covering fractions underestimate the directly computed values by up to ~40%.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

On the relationship between eastern China aerosols and western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity

How aerosols affect the weather and climate system has received increasing attention. This study finds a significant negative correlation between March–May eastern China aerosol optical depth (AOD) and July–November western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclone (TC) frequency during 2003–2020. This time period spans when several aerosol reanalyses are available and both Terra and Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer AOD retrievals are assimilated therein. Composite analyses and budget analyses of dynamical genesis potential indices indicate the importance of large-scale environmental factors, especially vertical velocity and vertical wind shear, associated with changes in AOD that in turn modulate changes in WNP TC frequency. Increased eastern China AOD may facilitate negative Pacific meridional mode development via modulation of the westerly jet, which then forces an anticyclonic circulation over the WNP basin. Increased AOD can also directly decrease the inter-hemispheric temperature differential and increases the intra-hemispheric temperature differential between the equator and the mid-latitudes, thus weakening ascending motion and enhancing vertical wind shear over the WNP, especially the southeastern portion of the basin. Further, all of these large-scale environment changes induced by increased eastern China AOD tend to suppress WNP TCs. This study highlights the potential influence of eastern China aerosol loadings on WNP TCs, thus improving our understanding of TC climate variability over the WNP.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Isolating the Source Region of Infrasound Travel Time Variability Using Acoustic Sensors on High-Altitude Balloons

High-altitude balloons carrying infrasound sensor payloads can be leveraged toward monitoring efforts to provide some advantages over other sensing modalities. On 10 July 2020, three sets of controlled surface explosions generated infrasound waves detected by a high-altitude floating sensor. One of the signal arrivals, detected when the balloon was in the acoustic shadow zone, could not be predicted via propagation modeling using a model atmosphere. Considering that the balloon’s horizontal motion showed direct evidence of gravity waves, we examined their role in infrasound propagation. Implementation of gravity wave perturbations to the wind field explained the signal detection and aided in correctly predicting infrasound travel times. Our results show that the impact of gravity waves is negligible below 20 km altitude; however, their effect is important above that height. The results presented here demonstrate the utility of balloon-borne acoustic sensing toward constraining the source region of variability, as well as the relevance of complexities surrounding infrasound wave propagation at short ranges for elevated sensing platforms.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Evolving Electricity Supply and Demand to Achieve Net-Zero Emissions: Insights from the EMF-37 Study

This paper explores the role of electricity in achieving economy-wide net-zero CO2 emissions by 2050 in the United States based on results from 17 models as part of the 37th Stanford Energy Modeling Forum (EMF-37). In the study's Net-Zero scenario, the models use diverse pathways to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050, with gross energy-related residual emissions ranging from 17.2 to 66.6 % of 2020 levels. Electricity consistently emerges as central to achieving net-zero, with models projecting rapid electrification of end-uses and rapidly declining CO2 intensity of electricity. However, the extent of electrification and the technology mix to decarbonize the power sector vary considerably across models. In the Net-Zero scenario, electricity is projected to evolve from ~20 % of final energy in 2020 to 17-63 % in 2050 across the models driven by electrification in all sectors-buildings, industry, and transportation-and, to a lesser extent by direct air capture. By 2050, total electricity consumption increases by 24-176 % (relative to 2020), accompanied by significant expansion in renewable electricity production. Together, solar and wind generation grows by 175-834 %, supplying 45-90 % of total electricity in 2050, with wind achieving slightly higher shares than solar. Electricity storage technologies are deployed at scale to support wind and solar generation. The electricity generation mix varies across models: some project almost complete reliance on renewables, while others see a substantial role for natural gas, often with carbon capture and storage. This paper synthesizes the rich diversity of modeling approaches and results, highlighting differing views on how key drivers of electricity demand and supply might evolve.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Relativistic Electron Precipitation Events Driven by Solar Wind Impact on the Earth's Magnetosphere

Certain forms of solar wind transients contain significant enhancements of dynamic pressure and may effectively drive magnetosphere dynamics, including substorms and storms. An integral element of such driving is the generation of a wide range of electromagnetic waves within the inner magnetosphere, either by compressionally heated plasma or by substorm plasma sheet injections. Consequently, solar wind transient impacts are traditionally associated with energetic electron scattering and losses into the atmosphere by electromagnetic waves. In this study, we show the first direct measurements of two such transient-driven precipitation events as measured by the low-altitude Electron Losses and Fields Investigation CubeSats. The first event demonstrates storm-time generated electromagnetic ion cyclotron waves efficiently precipitating sub-relativistic and relativistic electrons from >300 keV to 2 MeV at the duskside. The second event demonstrates whistler-mode waves leading to scattering of electrons from 50 to 700 keV on the dawnside. These observations confirm the importance of solar wind transients in driving energetic electron losses and subsequent dynamics in the ionosphere.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Characterizing model uncertainties in simulated coast-to-offshore wind over the northeast U.S. using multi-platform measurements from the TCAP field campaign

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, such as the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, are widely used to provide estimates of the offshore wind energy resource owing to their large spatial coverage compared to available observations. Nevertheless, spatiotemporal distribution of model biases is highly dependent on factors including model configuration, location, and the interplay of multi-scale physical processes. Here, in this study, we focus on the characterization of model uncertainties in simulated coast-to-offshore winds over the northeast U.S., by varying sea surface temperature (SST) forcings, surface layer (SL) and planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterizations, as well as identifying biases that may be directly passed from initial and boundary conditions. Multiple measurements, including aircraft data collected during the U.S. Department of Energy's Two-Column Aerosol Project (TCAP) experiment, are used to constrain the model results and facilitate quantitative comparisons. Our analysis indicates while SST forcing has notable impacts on simulated air temperature and moisture within PBL, the modeled winds are in general more sensitive to the choices of SL and PBL physics than to SST. The model’s forcing data not only controls the vertical dependence of wind speed errors, but also alters regional variability in wind speed’s spatial correlation. Bias comparisons between ERA5 reanalysis and ensemble simulations revealed significant similarity, particularly in wind speed biases during winter, underscoring their dependency on initial and boundary conditions. Coastal and offshore near-surface wind speed biases tend to exhibit much higher similarity in winter than in summer due to the presence of much stronger and more persistent synoptic wind conditions. This study highlights the importance of accurate atmospheric forcing and parameterization choices in improving wind forecasts and suggests the potential for extrapolating coastal wind biases to offshore locations, aiding wind energy forecasting and informing the Wind Forecast Improvement Project-3 (WFIP3).

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Techno-Economic Wind Blade Manufacturing Model to Identify Opportunities for Cost Improvements Phase II IACMI Project 4.6/4.8

In IACMI Project 4.6 and IACMI Project 4.8, an Excel-based Techno-Economic Model (TEM) of the manufacturing process for composite wind turbine blades and a DELMIA Factory Flow Simulation of a generic wind blade manufacturing facility was developed. Together, these two tools provide a combined economic modeling capability that accounts for the material, labor, overhead and full-lifecycle operating costs associated with wind blade manufacturing as well as the impact of process flow and factory layout on overall manufacturing efficiency. The tools provide a novel means of detailed comparative analysis of the economic feasibility of proposed technologies and process changes for blade manufacturing. The modeling tools were developed with close support from members of industry and visits to multiple blade manufacturing facilities. With industry oversight, a detailed generalized manufacturing process plan and facility layout were developed with manufacturing parameters, material costs and economic factors based on historical data. Dassault Systèmes and the University of Texas at Dallas (UTD) contributed to the development of the Techno-Economic Model by providing macros to enable the generation of Bill of Material (BOM) data from a 3D blade design in either CATIA or NuMAD format, respectively. The TEM was built with the capability to directly import a Bill of Materials for economic analysis, and with the addition of the macros provided by Dassault and UTD, the TEM can directly import blade designs from both CATIA and NuMAD file formats. The modeling tools developed in Project 4.6 were used to investigate four wind blade manufacturing concepts in detail and select one to explore with laboratory-scale experimentation in Project 4.8. The four manufacturing concepts that were investigated were down-selected by the full project team from a larger list of concepts. The selections were made based on a number of criteria ranking viability and level of interest for each concept. The ‘One-Step Close’ manufacturing concept was ultimately selected for investigation in Project 4.8 and the demonstration was performed at the NREL CoMET facility. The TPI advanced manufacturing facility in Warren, RI contributed the production of several prototype components, the designs for which were developed by Janicki Industries. The demonstration project provided clear indication of the viability of the One-Step Close manufacturing concept for blade manufacturing and good validation of the Techno-Economic Model’s prediction of its economic impact.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Enabling thermal efficiency improvement and waste heat recovery using liquid air harnessed from offshore renewable energy sources

A novel approach using decoupled processes to harness offshore renewable energy, from marine hydrokinetics, ocean waves, wind, and solar to produce liquid air, is presented here. Offshore renewables interconnection using submarine medium- and high-voltage direct current technologies are used to produce liquid air that can be transported to end-use locations using repurposed liquefied natural gas tankers. Two important possibilities arise from using the proposed technology. The first possibility allows the integration with conventional thermal cycles to improve efficiency. This approach can be used to leverage efficiencies of thermal systems that have already reached a plateau in the maximum achievable efficiency via design and operation optimization. The second possibility is related to the incorporation of low temperature cycles to recover waste heat from other thermal processes. This is important considering that waste heat accounts for more than 60% of the consumed energy in the United States. A detailed technical description of the complete cycle from cryogen generation to end-use of energy is provided. Estimation of efficiency enhancement for thermal plants using liquid air including waste heat recovery is presented.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Thermodynamics and collisionality in firehose-susceptible high- β plasmas

We study the evolution of collisionless plasmas that, due to their macroscopic evolution, are susceptible to the firehose instability, using both analytic theory and hybrid-kinetic particle-in-cell simulations. We establish that, depending on the relative magnitude of the plasma β, the characteristic time scale of macroscopic evolution and the ion-Larmor frequency, the saturation of the firehose instability in high-β plasmas can result in three qualitatively distinct thermodynamic (and electromagnetic) states. By contrast with the previously identified ‘ultra-high-beta’ and ‘Alfvén-inhibiting’ states, the newly identified ‘Alfvén-enabling’ state, which is realised when the macroscopic evolution time τ exceeds the ion-Larmor frequency by a β-dependent critical parameter, can support linear Alfvén waves and Alfvénic turbulence because the magnetic tension associated with the plasma’s macroscopic magnetic field is never completely negated by anisotropic pressure forces. We characterise these states in detail, including their saturated magnetic-energy spectra. The effective collision operator associated with the firehose fluctuations is also described; we find it to be well approximated in the Alfvén-enabling state by a simple quasi-linear pitch-angle scattering operator. The box-averaged collision frequency is ν eff ∼ β/τ, in agreement with previous results, but certain subpopulations of particles scatter at a much larger (or smaller) rate depending on their velocity in the direction parallel to the magnetic field. Our findings are essential for understanding low-collisionality astrophysical plasmas including the solar wind, the intracluster medium of galaxy clusters and black hole accretion flows. We show that all three of these plasmas are in the Alfvén-enabling regime of firehose saturation and discuss the implications of this result.

astrophysical plasmas↗

Aircraft electric motor

Aircraft electric motors are described. The aircraft electric motors include a motor unit having a rotor and a stator, wherein the stator includes a plurality of windings and cooling channels arranged to provide cooling to the plurality of windings, a drive unit configured to drive operation of the motor unit, and a cooling system having at least one directional feature forming a portion of at least one cooling channel, the at least one directional feature configured to prevent backflow of a cooling fluid that passes through the at least one cooling channel.

Alahyari, Abbas A.↗