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Results for “sensitivity analyses”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 649 records · Page 36
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2020

Simultaneous Retrieval of Surface Roughness Parameters for Bare Soils from Combined Active-Passive Microwave SMAP Observations

An active-passive microwave retrieval algorithm for simultaneous determination of soil surface roughness parameters [vertical root-mean-square (RMS) height (s) and horizontal correlation length (l)] is presented for bare soils. The algorithm is based on active-passive microwave covariation, including the improved Integral Equation Method (I²EM), and is tested with global soil moisture active passive (SMAP) observations. The estimated retrieval results for s and l are overall consistent with values in the literature, indicating the validity of the proposed algorithm. Sensitivity analyses showed that the developed roughness retrieval algorithm is independent of permittivity for εₛ > 10 [-]. Furthermore, the physical model basis of this approach (I²EM) allows the application of different autocorrelation functions (ACF), such as Gaussian and exponential ACFs. Global roughness retrieval results confirm bare areas in deserts such as Sahara or Gobi. However, the type of ACF used within roughness parameter estimation is important. Retrieval results for the Gaussian ACF describe a rougher surface than retrieval results for the exponential ACF. No correlations were found between roughness results and the amount of precipitation or the soil texture, which could be due to the coarse spatial resolution of the SMAP data. The extension of this approach to vegetated soils is planned as an add-on study.

correlation length↗
NASA NTRS2020

Simultaneous Retrieval of Surface Roughness Parameters for Bare Soils From Combined Active–Passive Microwave SMAP Observations

An active–passive microwave retrieval algorithm for simultaneous determination of soil surface roughness parameters [vertical root-mean-square (RMS) height ( s ) and horizontal correlation length ( l )] is presented for bare soils. The algorithm is based on active–passive microwave covariation, including the improved Integral Equation Method (I(exp 2) EM), and is tested with global soil moisture active passive (SMAP) observations. The estimated retrieval results for s and l are overall consistent with values in the literature, indicating the validity of the proposed algorithm. Sensitivity analyses showed that the developed roughness retrieval algorithm is independent of permittivity for E(sub s) > 10 [-]. Furthermore, the physical model basis of this approach (I(exp 2) EM) allows the application of different autocorrelation functions (ACF), such as Gaussian and exponential ACFs. Global roughness retrieval results confirm bare areas in deserts such as Sahara or Gobi. However, the type of ACF used within roughness parameter estimation is important. Retrieval results for the Gaussian ACF describe a rougher surface than retrieval results for the exponential ACF. No correlations were found between roughness results and the amount of precipitation or the soil texture, which could be due to the coarse spatial resolution of the SMAP data. The extension of this approach to vegetated soils is planned as an add-on study.

Correlation length↗
NASA NTRS2022

A High-fidelity Performance and Sensitivity Analysis of X-ray Pulsar Navigation in Near-Earth and Cislunar Orbits

Millisecond X-ray pulsars are rapidly rotating neutron stars that emit broadband electromagnetic radiation, including X-rays. These emissions can appear as pulsations to distant observers with long-term stabilityrivaling laboratory atomic clocks. The concept of using X-ray pulsars for navigation, commonly referred to as XNAV, has a long history in the research literature. Notably, in 2017, NASA’s Station Explorer for X-ray Timing and Navigation (SEXTANT) mission,a technology enhancement to the Neutron Star Interior Composition Explorer, made a successful on-orbit demonstration of XNAV on the International Space Station (ISS) in Low-Earth-Orbit. This paper investigates the performance of XNAV in Earth and lunar regimes using a new high-fidelity XNAV analysis tool that builds on tools developed for SEXTANT and uses recent updates to the Goddard Enhanced Onboard Navigation System flight software. Specifically, we study the use of XNAV in an ISS-like orbit for comparison with SEXTANT results, in a highly-inclined geosynchronous orbit, and in an Earth-Moon L1 libration point Near Rectilinear Halo Orbit similar to that proposed for the planned lunar Gateway space station. This paper provides a high-level description of the XNAV analysis tool, baseline predicted performance results, selected sensitivity analyses, and conclusions.

Luke B Winternitz↗
NASA NTRS2021

Light-Robust Pole-from-Silhouette Algorithm and Visual-Hull Estimation for Autonomous Optical Navigation to an Unknown Small Body

We present an advanced Pole-from-Silhouette (PFS) algorithm, which is robust to illumination conditions and non-zero sun phase. PFS is an important step in the optical navigation pipeline for an autonomous small spacecraft to approach an unknown small body. The algo- rithm estimates the rotation pole and 3D shape (visual hull) of the small body using only the lit pixels within the silhouette of the small body, the body’s rotation rate, the spacecraft attitude, and the spacecraft-target relative distance, which is estimated from orbit determination. We present detailed numerical simulations and multiple sensitivity analyses to demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed PFS algorithm in different scenarios and target bodies.

Nesnas, Issa A.↗
NASA NTRS2022

Advanced Statistical Methods in Spacecraft Flight Software Cost Estimation: Bayesian Regression and Nonlinear Principal Components Analysis to Support System Engineering in the Early Project Lifecycle

This paper provides an overview of the new features and model updates in the upcoming release of the NASA Analogy Software Cost Tool (ASCoT). ASCoT, hosted within the Online NASA Space Estimation Tools (ONSET) on the One NASA Cost Engineering (ONCE) Database, is a web-based tool that provides a suite of estimation tools to support early lifecycle NASA flight software cost analysis. In addition to the traditional parametric flight software costing method COCOMO II, ASCoT contains a Bayesian linear regression to predict total flight software development cost as a function of total spacecraft cost, as well as four analogic methods: k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN) and Clustering models to predict Effort (in work-months) and total source lines of code (SLOC). These methods are designed to work primarily with system-level inputs such as mission type (orbiter, lander, etc.), mission destination (Earth, Inner Planetary, etc.), and the number of instruments and deployables. Nonlinear principal components analysis (NLPCA) is performed to find the principal features of the data composed of both categorical and numerical variables and is necessary prior to defining our analogic methods. Sensitivity analyses and in- and out-of-sample model performance results are presented for the Bayesian CER and the analogic models.

Johnson, James K.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Probabilistic Approach to Assessing CCRS Capture System Performance Margin

In the aerospace industry, there are standard design principles and/or rule-of-thumb targets that define healthy levels of margins required at each developmental milestone for traditional metrics, such as mass, thermal, and power margins. When the technical resource is “non-traditional” in the sense that guiding margin principles are non-existent, systems engineering judgment is required to internally generate performance targets and methodologies to assess the system against the derived targets. This paper presents a probabilistic approach for assessing complex time-critical operations in order to apply global sensitivity analyses to identify input parameters that should (or should not) serve as design drivers.

Performance Margins↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

In-Space Transportation Sensitivity to Roundtrip Mission Duration and Mars Vicinity Stay Time

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s Exploration Systems Development Mission Directorate has been developing architecture concepts for human missions to Mars in alignment with the agency’s Moon-to-Mars Strategy & Objectives. One of the key components of a human Mars mission is the in-space transportation system that delivers crew and cargo to Mars vicinity and returns the crew safely back to Earth. The Mars Architecture Team within ESDMD’s Strategy and Architecture Office has been evaluating multiple in-space transportation options to satisfy this functional need. The first step of this evaluation is to understand key architectural drivers for in-space transportation systems. Lunar and Mars missions have unique challenges, and systems designed for one may not be directly applicable to the other as they have different energy and mission needs. In addition, the time and distance for a Mars mission will be drastically different from the historical and current programs, requiring a new paradigm for mission architects. This paper investigates the impact of mission duration on a variety of different transportation options. As mission duration decreases, the total energy required to perform a roundtrip Mars mission increases exponentially, significantly increasing the required Earth departure mass. Sensitivity analyses of various in-space transportation system concepts were shown in this paper to begin mapping out the in-space transportation trade space. Each of the transportation systems has its own strengths and weaknesses, especially in the context of the continuous mission duration and vicinity stay time trade space. Although mission duration and Mars vicinity stay time may be key architecture drivers from an in-space transportation perspective, the decision of acceptable mission duration cannot be made solely from this perspective. Mission duration also has tangible impacts to crew health and performance, as well as system reliability and other key architecture considerations. The integrated nature of the architecture decision road map will be the primary focus of the Mars Architecture Team in the coming analysis cycle. This in-space transportation analysis will serve as the first guidepost of this critical activity that will guide the Moon-to-Mars Architecture into the humans to Mars segment.

Mars↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

In-Space Transportation Sensitivity to Roundtrip Mission Duration and Mars Vicinity Stay Time

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s Exploration Systems Development Mission Directorate has been developing architecture concepts for human missions to Mars in alignment with the agency’s Moon-to-Mars Strategy & Objectives. One of the key components of a human Mars mission is the in-space transportation system that delivers crew and cargo to Mars vicinity and returns the crew safely back to Earth. The Mars Architecture Team within ESDMD’s Strategy and Architecture Office has been evaluating multiple in-space transportation options to satisfy this functional need. The first step of this evaluation is to understand key architectural drivers for in-space transportation systems. Lunar and Mars missions have unique challenges, and systems designed for one may not be directly applicable to the other as they have different energy and mission needs. In addition, the time and distance for a Mars mission will be drastically different from the historical and current programs, requiring a new paradigm for mission architects. This paper investigates the impact of mission duration on a variety of different transportation options. As mission duration decreases, the total energy required to perform a roundtrip Mars mission increases exponentially, significantly increasing the required Earth departure mass. Sensitivity analyses of various in-space transportation system concepts were shown in this paper to begin mapping out the in-space transportation trade space. Each of the transportation systems has its own strengths and weaknesses, especially in the context of the continuous mission duration and vicinity stay time trade space. Although mission duration and Mars vicinity stay time may be key architecture drivers from an in-space transportation perspective, the decision of acceptable mission duration cannot be made solely from this perspective. Mission duration also has tangible impacts to crew health and performance, as well as system reliability and other key architecture considerations. The integrated nature of the architecture decision road map will be the primary focus of the Mars Architecture Team in the coming analysis cycle. This in-space transportation analysis will serve as the first guidepost of this critical activity that will guide the Moon-to-Mars Architecture into the humans to Mars segment.

Mars↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Probabilistic Approach to Assessing Capture System Performance Margin in Mars Sample Return's Capture, Containment, and Return System

In the aerospace industry, there are standard design principles and/or rule-of-thumb targets that define healthy levels of margins required at each developmental milestone for traditional metrics, such as mass, thermal, and power margins. When the technical resource is “non-traditional,” in the sense that guiding margin principles are non-existent, systems engineering processes are required to internally generate performance targets and methodologies to assess the system against the derived targets. This paper presents a probabilistic approach for assessing complex time-critical operations which applies global sensitivity analyses to identify input parameters that should drive the design. This approach is used to design a critical payload required for the Mars Sample Return campaign aiming at bringing back rock and atmospheric samples from Mars.

Performance Margins↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Scale Resolving Simulations of Contra Rotating Open Rotor Noise Prediction

The development of breakthrough open-rotor propulsion systems that meet performance, fuel efficiency, and noise requirements for commercial viability relies heavily on the availability of reliable and computationally efficient aerodynamic performance and noise prediction tools.This investigation showcases the proficiency of the structured curvilinear overset grid Computational Fluid Dynamics solver implemented in the Launch, Ascent, and Vehicle Aerodynamics framework for predicting the aerodynamic and aeroacoustic characteristics of a Contra-RotatingOpen Rotor propulsion system. Additionally, the study includes comprehensive sensitivity analyses employing a Hybrid Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes/Large Eddy Simulation - based scale-resolving turbulence closure treatment. The computed results are validated through comparison with existing experimental measurements.

ARMD↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Mission Planning and Trajectory Design of Roundtrip Mars Transfers

NASA’s Exploration Systems Development Mission Directorate has been evaluating architecture concepts that can deliver crew and cargo to Mars vicinity and return the crew safely back to Earth. A series of trade studies and sensitivity analyses are performed to explore the trade space in an effort to inform the decision of the transportation architecture for future human missions to Mars. This paper documents the tools and methods used to perform mission scans for systems that use high-thrust propulsion and provides discussion on some interesting challenges for the roundtrip transportation architecture. Results for the reference trajectories from the current analysis cycle are presented.

Mars↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Mission Planning and Trajectory Design of Roundtrip Mars Transfers

NASA’s Exploration Systems Development Mission Directorate has been evaluating architecture concepts that can deliver crew and cargo to Mars vicinity and return the crew safely back to Earth. A series of trade studies and sensitivity analyses are performed to explore the trade space in an effort to inform the decision of the transportation architecture for future human missions to Mars. This paper documents the tools and methods used to perform mission scans for systems that use high-thrust propulsion and provides discussion on some interesting challenges for the roundtrip transportation architecture. Results for the reference trajectories from the current analysis cycle are presented.

Mars↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Considerations for Optimal Sensor Placement for Higher Accuracy Object Localization for Urban Air Mobility

Previous research into object localization has shown that sensor placement and alignment plays an important role in achieving higher accuracy levels of the estimated location of a tracked Urban Air Mobility Vehicle. In general, a near-orthogonal intersection between the ground node observation vectors results in the highest accuracy due to a smaller overlapping uncertainty region between both. This applies to triangulation by means of ground node camera angle observations as well as trilateration by means of ground node distance measurements. However, this simple concept is not easily fulfilled with a network of a limited number of static ground nodes and a moving object to be localized. This case study performs sensitivity analyses and explores practical ways on how to achieve higher estimate accuracy levels in this context.

sensor placement↗
NASA NTRS2025

Considerations for Optimal Sensor Placement for Higher Accuracy Object Localization for Urban Air Mobility

Previous research into object localization has shown that sensor placement and alignment plays an important role in achieving higher accuracy levels of the estimated location of a tracked Urban Air Mobility Vehicle. In general, a near-orthogonal intersection between the ground node observation vectors results in the highest accuracy due to a smaller overlapping uncertainty region between both. This applies to triangulation by means of ground node camera angle observations as well as trilateration by means of ground node distance measurements. However, this simple concept is not easily fulfilled with a network of a limited number of static ground nodes and a moving object to be localized. This case study performs sensitivity analyses and explores practical ways on how to achieve higher estimate accuracy levels in this context.

sensor placement↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Characterization of the Mechanical Trash Compactor Bag Removal Force

Managing trash accumulation is a critical challenge in human space explorations since the trash volume and mass can significantly influence launch cost and operational efficiency. This study aids the development of a Mechanical Trash Compactor (Mpactor) by testing the removal force required to remove a “trash bag” from the Mpactor. To do this, a Pneumatic Pressure Mandrel System was designed to simulate the normal force trash would exerts on the trash bag and subsequently the sidewalls of the Mpactor. For various levels of sidewall normal force, the removal force required to remove the simulated trash bag from the Mpactor compaction chamber was measured. This testing is used to identify optimal bag materials. Additionally, testing was done on both the native stainless steel walls of the compaction chamber as well as the walls after being Teflon lined. Split-plot ANOVA, simple main effects analysis, Holm’s post hoc comparisons for interaction, and sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the influence of trash bag and sidewall materials on the required removal force. It was found that Teflon reduced the force required to remove the trash bag as well as reduced material-dependent variation in removal force. Testing showed that Teflon reduced the required removal force with a Polyvinylidene Fluoride , an unidentified Ethylene acrylate - Low Density Polyethylene copolymer, and a Polyvinyl Chloride all requiring significantly less removal force than the other materials tested.

pressure mandrel↗
DOE OSTI2016

An Optimal Deployment of Wireless Charging Lane for Electric Vehicles on Highway Corridors

We propose an integrated modeling framework to optimally locate wireless charging facilities along a highway corridor to provide sufficient in-motion charging. The integrated model consists of a master, Infrastructure Planning Model that determines best locations with integrated two sub-models that explicitly capture energy consumption and charging and the interactions between electric vehicle and wireless charging technologies, geometrics of highway corridors, speed, and auxiliary system. The model is implemented in an illustrative case study of a highway corridor of Interstate 5 in Oregon. We found that the cost of establishing the charging lane is sensitive and increases with the speed to achieve. Through sensitivity analyses, we gain better understanding on the extent of impacts of geometric characteristics of highways and battery capacity on the charging lane design.

Huang, Yongxi↗
DOE OSTI2016

Modelling Accident Tolerant Fuel Concepts

The catastrophic events that occurred at the Fukushima-Daiichi nuclear power plant in 2011 have led to widespread interest in research of alternative fuels and claddings that are proposed to be accident tolerant. The United States Department of Energy (DOE) through its Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program has funded an Accident Tolerant Fuel (ATF) High Impact Problem (HIP). The ATF HIP is a three-year project to perform research on two accident tolerant concepts. The final outcome of the ATF HIP will be an in-depth report to the DOE Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC) giving a recommendation on whether either of the two concepts should be included in their lead test assembly scheduled for placement into a commercial reactor in 2022. The two ATF concepts under investigation in the HIP are uranium silicide fuel and iron-chromium-aluminum (FeCrAl) alloy cladding. Utilizing the expertise of three national laboratory participants (Idaho National Laboratory, Los Alamos National Laboratory, and Argonne National Laboratory), a comprehensive multiscale approach to modeling is being used that includes atomistic modeling, molecular dynamics, rate theory, phase-field, and fuel performance simulations. Model development and fuel performance analysis are critical since a full suite of experimental studies will not be complete before AFC must prioritize concepts for focused development. In this paper, we present simulations of the two proposed accident tolerance fuel systems: U3Si2 fuel with Zircaloy-4 cladding, and UO2 fuel with FeCrAl cladding. Sensitivity analyses are completed using Sandia National Laboratories’ Dakota software to determine which input parameters (e.g., fuel specific heat) have the greatest influence on the output metrics of interest (e.g., fuel centerline temperature). We also outline the multiscale modelling approach being employed. Considerable additional work is required prior to preparing the recommendation report for the Advanced Fuels Campaign.

Accident Tolerant Fuel↗
DOE OSTI2016

Preliminary Modeling of Accident Tolerant Fuel Concepts under Accident Conditions

The catastrophic events that occurred at the Fukushima-Daiichi nuclear power plant in 2011 have led to widespread interest in research of alternative fuels and claddings that are proposed to be accident tolerant. Thus, the United States Department of Energy through its NEAMS (Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation) program has funded an Accident Tolerant Fuel (ATF) High Impact Problem (HIP). The ATF HIP is funded for a three-year period. The purpose of the HIP is to perform research into two potential accident tolerant concepts and provide an in-depth report to the Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC) describing the behavior of the concepts, both of which are being considered for inclusion in a lead test assembly scheduled for placement into a commercial reactor in 2022. The initial focus of the HIP is on uranium silicide fuel and iron-chromium-aluminum (FeCrAl) alloy cladding. Utilizing the expertise of three national laboratory participants (INL, LANL, and ANL) a comprehensive mulitscale approach to modeling is being used including atomistic modeling, molecular dynamics, rate theory, phase-field, and fuel performance simulations. In this paper, we present simulations of two proposed accident tolerant fuel systems: U3Si2 fuel with Zircaloy-4 cladding, and UO2 fuel with FeCrAl cladding. The simulations investigate the fuel performance response of the proposed ATF systems under Loss of Coolant and Station Blackout conditions using the BISON code. Sensitivity analyses are completed using Sandia National Laboratories’ DAKOTA software to determine which input parameters (e.g., fuel specific heat) have the greatest influence on the output metrics of interest (e.g., fuel centerline temperature). Early results indicate that each concept has significant advantages as well as areas of concern. Further work is required prior to formulating the proposition report for the Advanced Fuels Campaign.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗