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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 667 records · Page 37
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Neutral Mode Dominates the Forced Global and Regional Surface Temperature Response in the Past and Future

Abstract Using a large suite of Green's function perturbation experiments, we construct the emergent dynamical operator for surface temperature and extract the most excitable mode. The leading mode turns out to be the most dominant mode excited by the climate forcing of doubling CO 2 , alone capturing 56% of the total spatial variances of the surface temperature response. The pattern of the leading mode is partly organized by the atmospheric annular modes in both hemispheres, and further modulated by the feedbacks from ocean circulations. Though derived from a single model, the leading mode can capture the spatio‐temporal variabilities of the global mean surface temperature over the past century in both the CMIP6 model simulations and observations. Moreover, the leading mode is most efficiently excited by radiative forcings from the midlatitude bands centered around 45°N and 25°S, where most human activities take place, suggesting the potency of human influence on the climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Contribution of Atmospheric Rivers to Antarctic Precipitation

Abstract Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are efficient mechanisms for transporting atmospheric moisture from low latitudes to the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS). While AR events occur infrequently, they can lead to extreme precipitation and surface melt events on the AIS. Here we estimate the contribution of ARs to total Antarctic precipitation, by combining precipitation from atmospheric reanalyses and a polar‐specific AR detection algorithm. We show that ARs contribute substantially to Antarctic precipitation, especially in East Antarctica at elevations below 3,000 m. ARs contribute substantially to year‐to‐year variability in Antarctic precipitation. Our results highlight that ARs are an important component for understanding present and future Antarctic mass balance trends and variability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Downward Convective Moisture Transport Dominated by a Few Overshooting Clouds in Marine and Continental Shallow Convection

Abstract In a previous study (Xiao et al., 2023, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022ms003526 ), we found that ignoring the moist convective downdrafts associated with overshooting clouds in parameterizations can lead to significant biases in the simulated depth and liquid water content of a shallow cloud layer. In this study, we seek to better quantify the properties of the clouds responsible for these moist downdrafts to help improve shallow convection parameterizations. We apply a 3‐D cloud‐tracking algorithm to large‐eddy simulations (LESs) of marine and continental shallow convection. We find that top 1% and 2% of the tracked cloud population ranked by lifetime‐mean cloud‐base mass flux can explain 90%–95% of the total downward moisture transport in the upper cloud layer whereas top 10%–20% is required to explain 90%–95% of the total upward moisture transport near mean cloud base. The vertical structure of the clouds in the top 1% and 2% (the overshooting “deep mode”) is also distinctively different from that of the rest of the cloud population (the “shallow mode”). Shallow convection parameterizations need to capture accurately the properties and convective transports of the clouds in both the deep and shallow modes. To do that, our results suggest that mass‐flux parameterizations need to (a) accurately predict the size and number of the deep‐mode clouds and (b) explicitly represent overshooting cloud updrafts and associated moist downdrafts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2015

Oxide driven strength evolution of silicon surfaces

Previous experiments have shown a link between oxidation and strength changes in single crystal silicon nanostructures but provided no clues as to the mechanisms leading to this relationship. Using atomic force microscope-based fracture strength experiments, molecular dynamics modeling, and measurement of oxide development with angle resolved x-ray spectroscopy we study the evolution of strength of silicon (111) surfaces as they oxidize and with fully developed oxide layers. We find that strength drops with partial oxidation but recovers when a fully developed oxide is formed and that surfaces intentionally oxidized from the start maintain their high initial strengths. MD simulations show that strength decreases with the height of atomic layer steps on the surface. These results are corroborated by a completely separate line of testing using micro-scale, polysilicon devices, and the slack chain method in which strength recovers over a long period of exposure to the atmosphere. Combining our results with insights from prior experiments we conclude that previously described strength decrease is a result of oxidation induced roughening of an initially flat silicon (1 1 1) surface and that this effect is transient, a result consistent with the observation that surfaces flatten upon full oxidation.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2024

Coincident learning for unsupervised anomaly detection of scientific instruments

Abstract Anomaly detection is an important task for complex scientific experiments and other complex systems (e.g. industrial facilities, manufacturing), where failures in a sub-system can lead to lost data, poor performance, or even damage to components. While scientific facilities generate a wealth of data, labeled anomalies may be rare (or even nonexistent), and expensive to acquire. Unsupervised approaches are therefore common and typically search for anomalies either by distance or density of examples in the input feature space (or some associated low-dimensional representation). This paper presents a novel approach called coincident learning for anomaly detection (CoAD), which is specifically designed for multi-modal tasks and identifies anomalies based on coincident behavior across two different slices of the feature space. We define an unsupervised metric, F ^ β , out of analogy to the supervised classification F β statistic. CoAD uses F ^ β to train an anomaly detection algorithm on unlabeled data , based on the expectation that anomalous behavior in one feature slice is coincident with anomalous behavior in the other. The method is illustrated using a synthetic outlier data set and a MNIST-based image data set, and is compared to prior state-of-the-art on two real-world tasks: a metal milling data set and our motivating task of identifying RF station anomalies in a particle accelerator.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Simulator for Hydrologic Unstructured Domains (SHUD v1.0): numerical modeling of watershed hydrology with the finite volume method

Abstract. Hydrologic modeling is an essential strategy for understanding and predicting natural flows, particularly where observations are lacking in either space or time or where complex terrain leads to a disconnect in the characteristic time and space scales of overland and groundwater flow. However, significant difficulties remain for the development of efficient and extensible modeling systems that operate robustly across complex regions. This paper introduces the Simulator for Hydrologic Unstructured Domains (SHUD), an integrated, multiprocess, multiscale, flexible-time-step model, in which hydrologic processes are fully coupled using the finite volume method. SHUD integrates overland flow, snow accumulation/melt, evapotranspiration, subsurface flow, groundwater flow, and river routing, thus allowing physical processes in general watersheds to be realistically captured. SHUD incorporates one-dimensional unsaturated flow, two-dimensional groundwater flow, and a fully connected river channel network with hillslopes supporting overland flow and baseflow. The paper introduces the design of SHUD, from the conceptual and mathematical description of hydrologic processes in a watershed to the model's computational structures. To demonstrate and validate the model performance, we employ three hydrologic experiments: the V-catchment experiment, Vauclin's experiment, and a model study of the Cache Creek Watershed in northern California. Ongoing applications of the SHUD model include hydrologic analyses of hillslope to regional scales (1 m2 to 106 km2), water resource and stormwater management, and interdisciplinary research for questions in limnology, agriculture, geochemistry, geomorphology, water quality, ecology, climate and land-use change. The strength of SHUD is its flexibility as a scientific and resource evaluation tool where modeling and simulation are required.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Flow Forecasting on New England’s Great River Hydro (Abstract)

Great River Hydro (GRH) operates 13 generating stations and 3 storage-only reservoirs along the Upper Connecticut River, draining 6,266 square miles. Managing the reservoirs requires coordination over a couple days. So far seasonal flow-forecast and medium range probabilistic flow forecast during high flow conditions are leading to satisfactory management. Great River Hydro is seeking technical assistance to evaluate potential improvements in inflow forecasting and scheduling accuracy, particularly during short- to medium- duration periods (1-10 days). Improved accuracy is anticipated to enhance the efficiency with which GRH utilizes water, improving GRH’s ability to hit the best priced hours throughout the system and enhancing revenues as a result.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2016

Synthesis Strategies for Ultrastable Zeolite GIS Polymorphs as Sorbents for Selective Separations

Abstract Designing zeolites with tunable physicochemical properties can substantially impact their performance in commercial applications, such as adsorption, separations, catalysis, and drug delivery. Zeolite synthesis typically requires an organic structure‐directing agent to produce crystals with specific pore topology. Attempts to remove organics from syntheses to achieve commercially viable methods of preparing zeolites often lead to the formation of impurities. Herein, we present organic‐free syntheses of two polymorphs of the small‐pore zeolite P (GIS), P1 and P2. Using a combination of adsorption measurements and density functional theory calculations, we show that GIS polymorphs are selective adsorbents for H 2 O relative to other light gases (e.g., H 2 , N 2 , CO 2 ). Our findings refute prior theoretical studies postulating that GIS‐type zeolites are excellent materials for CO 2 separation/sequestration. We also show that P2 is significantly more thermally stable than P1, which broadens the operating conditions for GIS‐type zeolites in commercial applications and opens new avenues for exploring their potential use in processes such as catalysis.

Oleksiak, Matthew D.↗
DOE OSTI2023

The past, present, and future of nuclear fuel

Abstract New reactor concepts have motivated study of a variety of nuclear fuel types. Most nuclear fuels have their origins dating back to the very beginnings of nuclear materials. We survey the most prevalent types of nuclear fuels and their properties and give some historical context as to their development. We end with our perspective on what the next 50 years of nuclear fuel research might lead to. In our opinion, while optimized microstructures and chemistries are certainly on the horizon, the biggest developments will be the continued integration of modeling and simulation with experiments to extract the greatest amount of energy possible from existing fuel candidates in a safe and economical way. Graphical abstract

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Elucidating the Onset of Plasticity in Sliding Contacts Using Differential Computational Orientation Tomography

Abstract Depending on the mechanical and thermal energy introduced to a dry sliding interface, the near-surface regions of the mated bodies may undergo plastic deformation. In this work, we use large-scale molecular dynamics simulations to generate “differential computational orientation tomographs” (dCOT) and thus highlight changes to the microstructure near tribological FCC alloy surfaces, allowing us to detect subtle differences in lattice orientation and small distances in grain boundary migration. The analysis approach compares computationally generated orientation tomographs with their undeformed counterparts via a simple image analysis filter. We use our visualization method to discuss the acting microstructural mechanisms in a load- and time-resolved fashion, focusing on sliding conditions that lead to twinning, partial lattice rotation, and grain boundary-dominated processes. Extracting and laterally averaging the color saturation value of the generated tomographs allows us to produce quantitative time- and depth-resolved maps that give a good overview of the progress and severity of near-surface deformation. Corresponding maps of the lateral standard deviation in the color saturation show evidence of homogenization processes occurring in the tribologically loaded microstructure, frequently leading to the formation of a well-defined separation between deformed and undeformed regions. When integrated into a computational materials engineering framework, our approach could help optimize material design for tribological and other deformation problems. Graphic Abstract .

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2019

Intrinsic Conductance of Domain Walls in BiFeO 3

Abstract Ferroelectric domain walls exhibit a number of new functionalities that are not present in their host material. One of these functional characteristics is electrical conductivity that may lead to future device applications. Although progress has been made, the intrinsic conductivity of BiFeO 3 domain walls is still elusive. Here, the intrinsic conductivity of 71° and 109° domain walls is reported by probing the local conductance over a cross section of the BiFeO 3 /TbScO 3 (001) heterostructure. Through a combination of conductive atomic force microscopy, high‐resolution electron energy loss spectroscopy, and phase‐field simulations, it is found that the 71° domain wall has an inherently charged nature, while the 109° domain wall is close to neutral. Hence, the intrinsic conductivity of the 71° domain walls is an order of magnitude larger than that of the 109° domain walls associated with bound‐charge‐induced bandgap lowering. Furthermore, the interaction of adjacent 71° domain walls and domain wall curvature leads to a variation of the charge distribution inside the walls, and causes a discontinuity of potential in the [110] p direction, which results in an alternative conductivity of the neighboring 71° domain walls, and a low conductivity of the 71° domain walls when measurement is taken from the film top surface.

Zhang, Yi↗
DOE OSTI2025

Could the chemical industry mitigate rapid global cooling from a catastrophic volcanic eruption?

Abstract Estimates based on historical data place the probability of a catastrophic volcanic eruption in the next 100 years at around one in six. Large volcanic eruptions can lead to significant global cooling for 2–4 years, with potentially devastating impacts on global agriculture. In principle, the negative impacts of volcano‐induced cooling could be reduced by deliberate emission of short‐lived chemicals with high greenhouse gas intensity into the atmosphere. This article examines the physical feasibility of this concept for a wide range of short‐lived climate pollutants, using the global chemical industry for context. Deliberate emission of any known chemical species would require gigatons of material, which would have to be produced and stored far in advance of the volcanic event. The cost of this undertaking would be immense. In addition to these daunting logistical challenges, a range of other uncertainties and complications associated with this concept are discussed.

Sholl, David S. [University of Tennessee‐Oak Ridge↗
DOE OSTI2017

Modeling the impacts of wood pellet demand on forest dynamics in southeastern United States

Abstract The export of wood pellets from the southeastern United States (USA) has grown significantly in recent years, following rising demand from Europe. Increased wood pellet demand could lead to spatially variable changes in timberland management and area in the USA. This study presents an assessment of the impacts of increasing wood pellet demand (an additional 11.6 Mt by 2030) on land‐use dynamics, taking into account developments in other wood product markets as well as expected changes in other land uses. An economic model for the forest sector of the southeastern USA (SRTS) was linked to a land‐use change model (PLUC) to identify potential locations of land‐use change following scenarios of demand for pellets and other wood products. Projections show that in the absence of additional demand for wood pellets, natural timberland area is projected to decline by 450–15 000 km 2 by 2030, mainly through urbanization and pine plantation establishment. Under the high wood pellet demand scenario, more (2000–7500 km 2 ) natural timberland area is retained and more (8000–20 000 km 2 ) pine plantation is established. Shifts from natural timberland to pine plantation occur predominantly in the Atlantic coastal region. Future work will assess the impact of projected transitions in natural timberland and pine plantations on biodiversity and carbon storage. This modeling framework can be applied for multiple scenarios and land‐use projections to identify locations of timberland area changes for the whole southeastern USA, thereby informing the debate about potential impacts of wood pellet demand on land‐use dynamics and environmental services. © 2017 The Authors. Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining published by Society of Chemical Industry and John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Analytic analysis of load alignment for coning extreme‐scale rotors

Abstract Extreme‐scale wind turbines (rated powers greater than 10 MW) with large rotor diameters and conventional upwind designs must resist extreme downwind and gravity loads. This can lead to significant structural design challenges and high blade masses that can impede the reduction of levelized cost of wind energy. Herein, the theoretical basis for downwind load alignment is developed. This alignment can be addressed with active downwind coning to reduce/eliminate flapwise bending loads by balancing the transverse components of thrust, centrifugal, and gravitational force. Equations are developed herein that estimates the optimal coning angle that reduces flapwise loads by a specified amount. This analysis is then applied to a 13.2‐MW scale with 100‐m‐level wind turbine blades, where it is found that a load alignment coning schedule can substantially reduce the root flapwise bending moments. This moment reduction in this example can allow the rotor mass to be decreased significantly when compared with a conventional upwind three‐bladed rotor while maintaining structural performance and annual energy output.

Noyes, Carlos↗
DOE OSTI2019

A unique but flexible space–time could challenge multiverse theories

Highlights: The growing law of a billiard multiverse is independent of the discretization scale E. The time for any final state to be accessible from any initial one is around 3E shocks. The paths of billiard balls can change without changing initial or final states. Space-time flexibility can be achieved through paths commutations and entanglement. -- Abstract: In a previous paper (Guillemant et al., 2018), we have shown using a 2D billiard toy model that the propagation of uncertainties resulting from space–time discretization leads to a classical multiverse. In this one we estimate the growing law of the number of its branches, thanks to an original shock indexation method that permits a very fast comparison of trajectories. For different involved parameters we use random sets of infinitesimally perturbed initial conditions. From each set, we compute a collection up to hundred millions of different billiard histories. Our main result is the calculation of a Brownian saturation time when the number of branches begins to exceed the total number of billiard states. We discuss the possibility suggested by this result to change locally the paths of objects without changing their past and future histories and then subverting their global system. We conclude that a unique but flexible space–time could compete with the current many-worlds interpretation claiming that each branch is a different universe.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2018

Absence of Nanostructuring in NaPb m SbTe m+2 : Solid Solutions with High Thermoelectric Performance in the Intermediate Temperature Regime

Thermoelectric devices directly convert heat into electrical energy and are highly desired for emerging applications in waste heat recovery. Currently, PbTe based compounds are the leading thermoelectric materials in the intermediate temperature regime (~800 K); however, integration into commercial devices has been limited. This is largely because the performance of PbTe, which is maximized ~900 K, is too low over the temperatures of interest for most potential commercial applications (generally under 600 K). Improving the low temperature performance of PbTe based materials is therefore critical to achieve usage outside of existing niche applications. Here, we provide an in-depth study of the cubic NaPb m SbTe m+2 system of compounds (m = 1-20) and report that it is an excellent class of low- to medium-temperature thermoelectrics when m = 10-20. Here, we show that the as-cast polycrystalline ingots exhibit degenerate p-type conduction and high maximum ZTs of 1.2-1.4 at 650 K when m = 6-20. Because the ingots are found to be extremely brittle, we utilize spark plasma sintering (SPS) to prepare more mechanically robust samples, and surprisingly, find that SPS results in an undesired change in charge transport toward n-type behavior. We show this unanticipated transition from p-type behavior as ingots to n-type after SPS is due to dissolution of secondary phases that are present in the ingots into the primary matrix during the SPS process, resulting in a transformation from an inhomogeneous state to a solid solution without any observable evidence of nanoscale precipitation. This is in sharp contrast to the seemingly similar AgPb m SbTe m+2 (LAST) system, which is heavily nanostructured. The SPSed NaPb m SbTe m+2 is doped p-type by tuning the cation stoichiometry, i.e., Na 1+x Pb m-x Sb 1-y Te m+2 . The optimized compounds have very low lattice thermal conductivities of 1.1-0.55 W·m -1 ·K -1 over 300-650 K, which enhances the low intermediate temperature performance and gives rise to maximum ZT values up to 1.6 at 673 K as well as an excellent ZT avg of 1.1 over 323-673 K for m = 10, 20, making Na 1+x Pb m-x Sb 1-y Te m+2 among the highest performing PbTe-based thermoelectrics under 650 K.

Electrical conductivity↗
DOE OSTI2025

Earth's Energy Imbalance More Than Doubled in Recent Decades

Abstract Global warming results from anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions which upset the delicate balance between the incoming sunlight, and the reflected and emitted radiation from Earth. The imbalance leads to energy accumulation in the atmosphere, oceans and land, and melting of the cryosphere, resulting in increasing temperatures, rising sea levels, and more extreme weather around the globe. Despite the fundamental role of the energy imbalance in regulating the climate system, as known to humanity for more than two centuries, our capacity to observe it is rapidly deteriorating as satellites are being decommissioned.

Mauritsen, Thorsten [Department of Meteorology and↗