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DOE OSTI2025

Mic-hackathon 2024: hackathon on machine learning for electron and scanning probe microscopy

Microscopy is one of the primary sources of information on materials structure and functionality at the nanometer and atomic scales. The data generated through microscopy is often contained in well-structured datasets, enriched with extensive metadata and sample histories, although not always with the same level of detail or storage format. The broad incorporation of data management plans by major funding agencies ensures the preservation and accessibility of this data. However, deriving insights from these rich datasets remains challenging due to the lack of established code ecosystems, standardized benchmarks, and integration strategies. Correspondingly, the efficiency of data usage is very low, and time expenditures at the analysis stage are enormous. In addition to post-acquisition data analysis, the emergence of application programming interfaces by major microscope manufacturers now creates opportunities for real-time ML-based data analytics to enable automated decision making, and particularly ML-agent controlled real-time microscope operation. Despite these opportunities, there is a significant gap in integrating the ML community with the broader microscopy community, limiting the value that these methods bring to physics and materials discovery and materials optimization. Hackathons address these challenges by fostering collaboration between ML experts and microscopy professionals, encouraging the development of innovative solutions that leverage ML for microscopy and preparing the workforce of the future both for microscopy-intensive domains areas, instrument manufacturers, and ML scientists interested in real world applications for fundamental research, materials optimization, and manufacturing. The hackathon generated benchmark datasets and digital twins of microscopes that further contribute to the development of the field and establish data analysis ecosystems. All the codes can be found at GitHub(https://github.com/KalininGroup/Mic-hackathon-2024-codes-publication/tree/1.0.0.1) and Zenodo (https://zenodo.org/records/15579940).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2016

A Conceptual Architecture for National Biosurveillance: Moving Beyond Situational Awareness to Enable Digital Detection of Emerging Threats

Despite numerous calls for improvement, the U.S. biosurveillance enterprise remains a patchwork of uncoordinated systems that fail to take advantage of the rapid progress in information processing, communication, and analytics made in the past decade. By synthesizing components from the extensive biosurveillance literature, we propose a conceptual framework for a national biosurveillance architecture and provide suggestions for implementation. The framework differs from the current federal biosurveillance development pathway in that it is not focused on systems useful for “situational awareness,” but is instead focused on the long-term goal of having true warning capabilities. Therefore, a guiding design objective is the ability to digitally detect emerging threats that span jurisdictional boundaries, because attempting to solve the most challenging biosurveillance problem first provides the strongest foundation to meet simpler surveillance objectives. Core components of the vision are: (1) a whole-of-government approach to support currently disparate federal surveillance efforts that have a common data need, including those for food safety, vaccine and medical product safety, and infectious disease surveillance; (2) an information architecture that enables secure, national access to electronic health records, yet does not require that data be sent to a centralized location for surveillance analysis; (3) an inference architecture that leverages advances in ‘big data’ analytics and learning inference engines—a significant departure from the statistical process control paradigm that underpins nearly all current syndromic surveillance systems; and, (4) an organizational architecture with a governance model aimed at establishing national biosurveillance as a critical part of the U.S. national infrastructure. Although it will take many years to implement, and a national campaign of education and debate to acquire public buy-in for such a comprehensive system, the potential benefits warrant increased consideration within the U.S. government.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

DOE OSTI2015

Data Validation Package - June 2015 Groundwater and Surface Water Sampling at the Green River, Utah, Disposal Site

Groundwater samples were collected during the 2015 sampling event from point-of-compliance (POC) wells 0171, 0173, 0176, 0179, 0181, and 0813 to monitor the disposition of contaminants in the middle sandstone unit of the Cedar Mountain Formation. Groundwater samples also were collected from alluvium monitoring wells 0188, 0189, 0192, 0194, and 0707, and basal sandstone monitoring wells 0182, 0184, 0185, and 0588 as a best management practice. Surface locations 0846 and 0847 were sampled to monitor for degradation of water quality in the backwater area of Brown’s Wash and in the Green River immediately downstream of Brown’s Wash. The Green River location 0801 is upstream from the site and is sampled to determine background-threshold values (BTVs). Sampling and analyses were conducted as specified in Sampling and Analysis Plan for U.S. Department of Energy Office of Legacy Management Sites (LMS/PRO/S04351, continually updated, http://energy.gov/lm/downloads/sampling-and- analysis-plan-us-department-energy-office-legacy-management-sites). Water levels were measured at each sampled well. The analytical data and associated qualifiers can be viewed in environmental database reports and are also available for viewing with dynamic mapping via the GEMS (Geospatial Environmental Mapping System) website at http://gems.lm.doe.gov/#. All six POC wells are completed in the middle sandstone unit of the Cedar Mountain Formation and are monitored to measure contaminant concentrations for comparison to proposed alternate concentration limits (ACLs), as provided in Table 1. Contaminant concentrations in the POC wells remain below their respective ACLs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2016

Data Validation Package, April and June 2016 Groundwater and Surface Water Sampling at the Gunnison, Colorado, Processing Site, October 2016

This event included annual sampling of groundwater and surface water locations at the Gunnison, Colorado, Processing Site. Sampling and analyses were conducted as specified in Sampling and Analysis Plan for US Department of Energy Office of Legacy Management Sites (LMS/PRO/S04351, continually updated, http://energy.gov/lm/downloads/sampling-and analysis-plan-us-department-energy-office-legacy-management-sites). Samples were collected from 28 monitoring wells, three domestic wells, and six surface locations in April at the processing site as specified in the draft 2010 Ground Water Compliance Action Plan for the Gunnison, Colorado, Processing Site. Planned monitoring locations are shown in Attachment 1, Sampling and Analysis Work Order. Domestic wells 0476 and 0477 were sampled in June because the homes were unoccupied in April, and the wells were not in use. Duplicate samples were collected from locations 0126, 0477, and 0780. One equipment blank was collected during this sampling event. Water levels were measured at all monitoring wells that were sampled. See Attachment 2, Trip Reports for additional details. The analytical data and associated qualifiers can be viewed in environmental database reports and are also available for viewing with dynamic mapping via the GEMS (Geospatial Environmental Mapping System) website at http://gems.lm.doe.gov/#. No issues were identified during the data validation process that requires additional action or follow-up. An assessment of anomalous data is included in Attachment 3. Interpretation and presentation of results, including an assessment ofthe natural flushing compliance strategy, will be reported in the upcoming 2016 Verification Monitoring Report. U.S.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2015

Exploring Memory Hierarchy to Improve Scientific Data Read Performance, In: 2015 IEEE International Conference on Cluster Computing

Improving read performance is one of the major challenges with speeding up scientific data analytic applications. Utilizing the memory hierarchy is one major line of researches to address the read performance bottleneck. Related methods usually combine solide-state-drives(SSDs) with dynamic random-access memory(DRAM) and/or parallel file system(PFS) to mitigate the speed and space gap between DRAM and PFS. However, these methods are unable to handle key performance issues plaguing SSDs, namely read contention that may cause up to 50% performance reduction. In this paper, we propose a framework that exploits the memory hierarchy resource to address the read contention issues involved with SSDs. The framework employs a general purpose online read algorithm that able to detect and utilize memory hierarchy resource to relieve the problem. To maintain a near optimal operating environment for SSDs, the framework is able to orchastrate data chunks across different memory layers to facilitate the read algorithm. Compared to existing tools, our framework achieves up to 50% read performance improvement when tested on datasets from real-world scientific simulations.

Computer Science↗

DOE OSTI2024

Evaluating Optical Techniques to Characterize Solid State Samples for the Pu-238 Supply Program

This report documents steps that have been taken to establish advanced characterization capabilities for solid-state samples to support the 238 Pu Supply Program. The program has already invested significantly in spectroscopy and online monitoring development for liquid processes. Many of the data, analytical methods, and equipment could also be leveraged for the analysis of Np/Pu oxides and Np pellets to help classify material properties and link them to operations. The techniques described in this work include diffuse reflectance spectroscopy (DRS), Raman spectroscopy, and laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS). Each technique is sensitive to various chemical and/or elemental species and can provide complimentary information to more standard methods such as powder x-ray diffraction and scanning electron microscopy. These options are remotely deployable via fiber-optic cables. DRS and Raman spectroscopy are already approved for glove box and hot cell work, but LIBS requires US Department of Energy approval for incorporation. Raman spectroscopy does require laser shielding, which means that DRS is the easiest method to implement. However, each technique provides complimentary data, and the most robust sample characterization could be achieved when all three, among other methods, are harnessed together. This report documents some of the progress made testing these capabilities, some of the challenges, and next steps to optimize the technology and integration strategies.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

A High Performance Sparse Tensor Algebra Compiler in MLIR

Sparse tensor algebra is widely used in many applications, including scientific computing, machine learning, and data analytics. The performance of sparse tensor algebra kernels strongly depends on the intrinsic characteristics of the input tensors, hence many storage formats are designed for tensors to achieve optimal performance for particular applications/architectures, which makes it challenging to implement and optimize every tensor operation of interest on a given architecture. We propose a tensor algebra domain-specific language (DSL) and compiler framework to automatically generate kernels for mixed sparse-dense tensor algebra operations. The proposed DSL provides high-level programming abstractions that resemble the familiar Einstein notation to represent tensor algebra operations. The compiler introduces a new Sparse Tensor Algebra dialect built on top of LLVM's extensible MLIR compiler infrastructure for efficient code generation while covering a wide range of tensor storage formats. Our compiler also leverages input-dependent code optimization to enhance data locality for better performance. Our results show that the performance of automatically generated kernels outperforms the state-of-the-art sparse tensor algebra compiler, with up to 20.92x, 6.39x, and 13.9x performance improvement over state-of-the-art tensor algebra compilers, for parallel SpMV, SpMM, and TTM, respectively.

Tian, Ruiqin↗

DOE OSTI2021

Analysis Program Annual Progress Report (FY2020)

During fiscal year 2020 (FY 2020), the U.S. Department of Energy Vehicle Technologies Office (VTO) funded analysis projects supportive of VTO’s goals to pursue early stage research in vehicle and mobility system technologies to reduce petroleum dependence, increase energy reliability and security, improve transportation affordability, and promote economic growth. VTO analysis projects result in a foundation of data, analytical models, and applied analyses that provide insights into critical transportation energy problems and assist in research investment prioritization and portfolio planning. This document presents a brief overview of VTO analysis efforts and progress for projects funded in FY 2020. Each of the progress reports includes project objectives, approach, and highlights of the technical results that were accomplished during the fiscal year.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Facilitating better and faster simulations of aerosol-cloud interactions in Earth system models

Focal Area(s): 1. Predictive modeling through the use of AI techniques and AI-derived model components; the use of AI and other tools to design a prediction system comprising a hierarchy of models. 2. Insight gleaned from complex data (both observed and simulated) using AI, big data analytics, and other advanced methods, including explainable AI and physics- or knowledge-guided AI. Science Challenge: One major challenge that Earth system models (ESMs) face in providing credible prediction of the Earth system and its water cycle characteristics (e.g., mean state, variability, and extreme events) is to accurately simulate aerosol-cloud interactions (ACI). The physical, chemical, and dynamical processes affecting ACI are extremely complex and they range from nanoscale to planetary scale. In each model development cycle, scientists spend significant efforts investigating model deficiencies and uncertainties associated with aerosols (e.g., emissions, chemical processes, aerosol microphysics, and transport) and clouds (e.g., macrophysics, microphysics, turbulence, and large-scale circulation) in order to develop improved treatments. However, despite decades of active research, ACI is still a major source of uncertainty in climate projections, even though great progress has been made. Specific scientific challenges include: (i) Parameterizations are developed based on limited data; (ii) The complexity of a parameterization required for accurate predictions is not understood; (iii) Incomplete and unknown physics leads to errors in the fully coupled Earth system; and (iv) Complex physics is computationally too expensive to employ in ESMs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

The good, the bad, and the ugly: Data-driven load profile discord identification in a large building portfolio

Reducing the overall energy consumption and associated greenhouse gas emissions in the building sector is essential for meeting our future sustainability goals. Recently, smart energy metering facilities have been deployed to enable monitoring of energy consumption data with hourly or subhourly temporal resolution. This unprecedented data collection has created various opportunities for advanced data analytics involving load profiles (e.g., building energy benchmarking programs, building-to-grid integration, and calibration of urban-scale energy models). These applications often need preprocessing steps to detect daily load profile discords, such as: 1) outliers due to system malfunctions (the bad) and 2) irregular energy consumption patterns, such as those resulting from holidays (the ugly) compared to normal consumption patterns (the good). However, current preprocessing methods predominantly focus on filtering using statistical threshold values, which fail to capture the contextual discords of daily profiles. In addition, discord detection algorithms in building research are often aimed at finding individual building-level discords, which are not suitable at a large scale. Thus, here, we develop a method for automated load profile discord identification (ALDI) in a large portfolio of buildings (more than 100 buildings). Specifically, ALDI 1) uses the matrix profile (MP) method to quantify the similarities of daily subsequences in time series meter data, 2) compares daily MP values with typical-day MP distributions using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, and 3) identifies daily load profile discords in a large building portfolio. We evaluate ALDI using the metering data of both an academic campus and a residential neighborhood. Our results demonstrate that ALDI efficiently discovers measurement errors by system malfunctions and low energy consumption days in the academic campus portfolio, and it detects unique load shape patterns likely driven by occupant behavior and extreme weather conditions in the residential neighborhood.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2022

Big Data Analysis of Synchrophasor Data: Outcomes of Research Activities Supported by DOE FOA 1861

This report describes the key outcomes of research activities sponsored by the Department of Energy’s Funding Opportunity Announcement (FOA) number 1861 that was aimed at advancing the state-of-the-art in big data analytics applied to transmission-level synchrophasor measurements. The FOA resulted in eight research grants where the awardees developed machine learning and artificial intelligence tools and approaches. The commonalities in tools and approaches used by the awardees are explored, and insights gained from how the project outcomes might be operationalized are discussed. This report does not seek to comprehensively summarize all research supported by the FOA, rather it focuses on enabling the fast dissemination of major findings to the broader power systems community.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

DOE OSTI2021

MULTI-MODAL global surveillance methodology for predictive and on-demand characterization of localized processes using cube satellite platforms and deep learning techniques

This paper presents the work completed towards the development of a multi-modal global surveillance methodology using cube satellite (CubeSat) platforms and novel data analysis techniques. A CubeSat system equipped with adequate sensors and data analytics capabilities can autonomously characterize various phenomena of interest on the Earth’s surface. CubeSats are advantageous over conventional satellites in certain remote monitoring applications because of their reduced construction costs (due to the availability of commercially-off-the-shelf components) and are easier to launch. The CubeSat surveillance system developed in this paper focused on phenomena of interest surrounding the nuclear fuel cycle in support of nuclear non-proliferation and emergency response. To observe the phenomena, a constellation of 3U and 6U CubeSats deployed from the ISS with adequate components was chosen. Four different sensor configurations were identified for remote sensing: panchromatic/multispectral in the visible and near-infrared spectrum, multispectral in infrared spectrum, hyperspectral in infrared spectrum, and multispectral in ultraviolet spectrum. While a panchromatic/multispectral sensor configuration has CubeSat flight heritage at the required spatial resolutions, the other three sensor types need future 3 development to meet signature and system requirements. Once each sensor onboard the CubeSat system collects data on a target of interest, the onboard computers would then apply the deep learning-based characterization methodology developed in this paper to identify phenomena. Four surrogate datasets containing representative simplified “images” were created for each sensor type to train the characterization methodology. A convolutional neural network was applied to each dataset and produced recall rates for the phenomena between 89.7% - 99.3% and precision rates between 92.3% - 99.9%. Each phenomenon’s presence probability from each network is then combined into a final characterization solution for a target area. This paper covers multiple interdisciplinary areas to develop the foundation for a CubeSat surveillance system focused on phenomena surrounding the nuclear fuel cycle.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

DOE OSTI2021

Materials Engineering of Violin Soundboards by Stradivari and Guarneri

Abstract We investigated the material properties of Cremonese soundboards using a wide range of spectroscopic, microscopic, and chemical techniques. We found similar types of spruce in Cremonese soundboards as in modern instruments, but Cremonese spruces exhibit unnatural elemental compositions and oxidation patterns that suggest artificial manipulation. Combining analytical data and historical information, we may deduce the minerals being added and their potential functions—borax and metal sulfates for fungal suppression, table salt for moisture control, alum for molecular crosslinking, and potash or quicklime for alkaline treatment. The overall purpose may have been wood preservation or acoustic tuning. Hemicellulose fragmentation and altered cellulose nanostructures are observed in heavily treated Stradivari specimens, which show diminished second‐harmonic generation signals. Guarneri's practice of crosslinking wood fibers via aluminum coordination may also affect mechanical and acoustic properties. Our data suggest that old masters undertook materials engineering experiments to produce soundboards with unique properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2018

Uncertainty Quantification in Vibro-Acoustics Diagnosis of Alkali-Silica Reaction Degradation in Medium-Sized Concrete Samples

The objectives of this ongoing research project focus on health monitoring and data analytics of concrete slabs containing reactive aggregates and thus subjected to degradation due to alkali-silica reaction (ASR). A controlled concrete slab with four pockets of reactive aggregates (pure silica, wells, placitas, and spratt) was cast at Vanderbilt University and cured in representative conditions to accelerate degradation due to ASR. A set of four concrete samples were also cast and cured at the University of Alabama for ASR testing. Of these four samples, two slabs contained reactive aggregates while the other two had the non-reactive aggregate counterparts mixed throughout the samples. Vibro-acoustic testing was used on these slabs to locate ASR damage within the reactive samples. Vibro-acoustic modulation (VAM) is a vibration-based NDE method that utilizes signatures of nonlinear dynamic interactions on contact surfaces of crack or delamination damage to detect and localize the damage. VAM analysis was conducted on both the Vanderbilt and Alabama samples using multiple variables for damage detection and localization. The results from the data analysis of the vibro-acoustic testing on concrete slabs cured at Vanderbilt University and the University of Alabama are discussed in detail in this report. Results for damage localization are dependent on multiple variables used in the vibro-acoustic modulation experiments. A major focus of this report is to quantify the uncertainty in the diagnosis due to multiple factors and uncertainty sources. The uncertainty quantification methodology presented in this report was applied to VAM-based diagnosis and prognosis. However, the methodology is general, and is capable of being applied to multiple technique that collect spatially distributed data. Future work needs to investigate the incorporation of uncertainty quantification in developing a robust Prognostics and Health Management framework. Digital image correlation is a three-dimensional, full-field, optical NDE technique to measure contour, deformation, vibration, and strain. The application of the digital image correlation technique to study ASR-related degradation on a large concrete specimen at the University of Tennessee is discussed and observations are presented in this report.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2020

Hydrogen Diffusivity Measurements of YH 1.87 Moderator Material with Incoherent Quasielastic Neutron Scattering

Yttrium hydride is an optimal choice of moderator material for thermal neutron spectrum reactors requiring small core volumes. The Transformation Challenge Reactor (TCR) program at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) aims to develop an additively manufactured microreactor core by leveraging recent advances in materials, manufacturing, data analytics, and high-fidelity modeling and simulation. Yttrium hydride was selected as the moderator material for TCR due to its high moderating power, which enables the spatially efficient reactor design and thermal stability that is superior when compared with zirconium hydride. Hydrogen desorption from yttrium hydride is expected at elevated temperatures, posing safety and performance concerns. As a lifetime component in advanced reactors, appropriate strategies to mitigate hydrogen release from yttrium hydride over long-term reactor operation are required. Understanding hydrogen mobility in yttrium hydride provides the scientific basis for developing a hydrogen barrier for hydride moderator and predicting the hydrogen redistribution within the material during various operational conditions. This study investigated the hydrogen motion in YH 1.87 as a function of temperature ranging from 200 to 1,173 K using incoherent quasielastic neutron scattering (IQNS) at the Spallation Neutron Source (SNS). The results are presented and discussed in terms of hydrogen self-diffusion coefficients, activation energy for translational hydrogen motion, and hydrogen jump distances. Based on the IQNS data, YH 1.87 is found to be stable at high temperatures with no translational H motion below 1,023 K within the IQNS detection limits. In the temperature range of 1,073–1,173 K, hydrogen diffusivity in YH 1.87 is $D = 4.57 X 10^{⁻3} [m^2/s] exp (⁻\frac{1.73[eV]}{RT}$). The hydrogen concentration’s dependence on hydrogen diffusivity is also discussed in this report.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2018

Enhancement of Structural Health Monitoring Framework by Optimizing Vibro-Acoustic Modulation Technique to Localize Alkali-Silica Reaction Degradation in Medium-Sized Concrete Samples

Assessment and management of aging concrete structures in nuclear power plants require a more systematic approach than simple reliance on existing code margins of safety. Health monitoring of concrete structures is performed to understand the current condition of a structure based on heterogeneous measurements and then produce high confidence actionable information regarding structural integrity. This information can then be used to support operational and maintenance decisions. The objectives of this ongoing research project focus on health monitoring and data analytics of concrete slabs containing reactive aggregates and thus subjected to degradation due to alkali-silica reaction (ASR). A controlled concrete slab with four pockets of reactive aggregates (pure silica, wells, placitas, and spratt) was cast at Vanderbilt University and cured in representative conditions to accelerate degradation due to ASR. A set of four concrete samples were also cast and cured at the University of Alabama for ASR testing. Of these four samples, two slabs contained reactive aggregates while the other two had the non-reactive aggregate counterparts mixed throughout the samples. Vibro-acoustic methods were used on these slabs to locate large pockets of ASR within the reactive samples and determine the effects of rebar using the non-reactive slabs. Vibro-acoustic modulation (VAM) is a vibration-based NDE method that utilizes signatures of nonlinear dynamic interactions on contact surfaces of crack or delamination damage to detect and localize the damage. VAM analysis was conducted on both Vanderbilt and Alabama’s samples using multiple variables for damage detection and localization. The results from the data analysis of the NDE vibro-acoustic techniques on concrete slabs cured at Vanderbilt University and the University of Alabama are discussed in detail in this report. The major outcome of the analysis suggests that the VAM method can be used to detect damage within the concrete samples by comparing the results found in different sections of the samples. Results for damage localization are dependent on multiple variables used in the vibro-acoustic modulation experiments. Digital image correlation (DIC) is a three-dimensional, full-field, optical NDE technique to measure contour, deformation, vibration, and strain. The application of the digital image correlation technique to study ASR-related degradation on a large concrete sample at the University of Tennessee Knoxville is discussed and observations are presented in this report.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2019

Condition Monitoring of Wind Turbine Planetary Gearboxes Under Different Operating Conditions

Digitally enhanced services for wind power could reduce Operations and Maintenance costs as well as the Levelised Cost Of Energy. Therefore, there is a continuous need for advanced monitoring techniques which can exploit the opportunities of Internet of Things and Big Data Analytics. The heart of wind turbines is an epicyclic gearbox and rolling element bearings are often responsible for machinery stops. The vibration signatures of bearings are rather weak compared to other components. As a result a number of signal processing techniques have been proposed, focusing towards accurate and early fault detection with limited false alarms and missed detections. In Envelope Analysis an envelope of the vibration signal is estimated usually after filtering around a frequency band. Different tools, such as Kurtogram, have been proposed to select the optimum filter parameters. Monitoring techniques have reached a mature level for steady speed and load operating conditions. On the other hand, under chaniging operating conditions, it is still unclear whether the change of the monitoring indicators is due to the change of the machinery's health or due to the change of operating parameters. Recently, the authors have proposed a new tool called IESFOgram, based on Cyclic Spectral Coherence for the automatic selection of the filtering band. In this paper, the performance of the tool is evaluated on the National Renewable Energy Laboratory wind turbine gearbox vibration condition monitoring benchmarking data set which includes various faults with different levels of diagnostic complexity as well as various speed and load operating conditions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Development of Explainable, Knowledge-Guided AI Models to Enhance the E3SM Land Model Development and Uncertainty Quantification

Focal Area(s): (2)Predictive modeling using AI techniques and AI-derived model components; use of AI and other tools to design a prediction system comprising of a hierarchy of models. (3) Insight gleaned from complex data (both observed and simulated) using AI, big data analytics, and other advanced methods, including explainable AI and physics- or knowledge- guided AI. Science Challenge: The Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) is a fully coupled, state-of-the-science Earth system model that uses code optimized for DOE's advanced computers to address the most critical scientific questions facing our nation and society (Golaz et al., 2019). The E3SM Land model (ELM) is designed to understand how the changes in terrestrial land surfaces will interact with other Earth system components and has been used to understand hydrologic cycles, biogeophysics, and ecosystem dynamics. In spite of great successes, the ELM has several known issues that restrain rapid improvements. For example, the ELM uses equilibrium models to simulate dynamic land-climate interactions and it requires long model spin-up time to identify suitable initial conditions for transient simulations. The ELM lacks built-in uncertainty mechanisms that can improve the robustness of model predictions. The ELM is a holistic, deterministic model system with a rigid design, and in many situations, it is hard to modify the ELM system to incorporate new theory/hypothesis and new data across scales to address emerging science problems (such as predicting the impacts of water cycle extremes). In addition, The ELM is technically optimized for traditional CPU-centric computers and it cannot fully utilize the current and incoming leadership computers for model simulations and uncertainty quantification (UQ). The success of artificial intelligence (AI) has inspired scientists to use AI models to discover intrinsic features from simulation data (Chattopadhyay et al., 2020) and observational data (Reichstein et al., 2019) to gain further process understanding of Earth science problems. However, autonomous AI model training through deep learning usually requires a huge amount of annotated data. To overcome the limitations from the data and computing resources, knowledge-guided AI models are necessary where human-knowledge is ingested in model construction (Banino et al., 2018) and training process (Silver et al., 2016) for efficient learning. Herein, we present a new way that leverages the process understanding from the ELM to guide AI model development for the ELM enhancement and UQ. We hope this study can inspire further Earth and environmental system model developments and transformations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗