Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Model initialization”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 685 records · Page 38
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Systematic Validation of Ensemble Cloud-Process Simulations using Polarimetric Radar Observations and Simulator over the NASA Wallops Flight Facility

The BiLateral Operational Storm-Scale Observation and Modeling (BLOSSOM) project was initiated to establish a long-term supersite to improve understanding of cloud physical states and processes as well as to support satellite and climate model programs over the WFF site via a bilateral approach of storm-scale observations and process modeling. This study highlights a noble systematic validation framework of the BLOSSOM ensemble cloud-process simulations through mixed-phase, light-rain, and deep-convective precipitation cases. The framework consists of creating a domain-shifted ensemble of large-scale forcing datasets, and configuring and performing cloud-process simulations with three different bulk microphysics schemes. Validation uses NASA S-band dual-POLarimetric radar (NPOL) observations in the form of statistical composites and skill scores via a polarimetric radar simulator and newly developed CfRad Data tool (CfRAD). While the simulations capture the overall structures of the reflectivity composites, polarimetric signals are still poorly simulated, mainly due to a lack of representation of ice microphysics diversity in shapes, orientation distributions, and their complex mixtures. Despite the limitation, this new ensemble-based validation framework demonstrates that 1) no particular forcing or microphysics scheme outperforms the rest and 2) the skill scores of coarse- and fine-resolution ensemble simulations with different domain-shifted forcing and microphysics schemes are highly correlated with each other with no clear improvement. On the other hand, this suggests that coarse-resolution ensemble simulations are relevant for selecting the best meteorological forcing and microphysics scheme before conducting computationally demanding large eddy simulations (LESs) in support of aircraft and satellite instrument development as well as cloud-precipitation-convection parameterizations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Yet Another Hauser-Feshbach Code

Code framework to perform simulations of nuclear reactions with incident particles including gammas, protons, neutrons, deuterons, tritons, helium-3, and alphas to develop nuclear data libraries and study nuclear reaction phenomona. The code can model nuclear reactions or initial populations specified by the user. The decays principally follow the compound-nucleus hypothesis and the statistical decay of Hauser and Feshbach. The code models nuclear decays with a Monte Carlo process that tracks the decay of each state. Data libraries are produced that can be translated into GNDS (generalized Nuclear Data Structure). YAHFC can also be used as an event generator, with individual decays written to disk for offline analysis. Both serial and MPI versions are provided. YAHFC does NOT perform transport of nuclear reactions through materials, only the primary reaction with a target material.

Ormand, WilliamE.↗
DOE OSTI2019

Towards predicting removal rate and surface roughness during grinding of optical materials

A series of controlled grinding experiments, utilizing loose or fixed abrasives of either alumina or diamond at various particle sizes, were performed on a wide range of optical workpiece materials [single crystals of Al 2 O 3 (sapphire), SiC, Y 3 Al 5 O 12 (YAG), CaF 2 , and LiB 3 O 5 (LBO); a SiO 2 -Al 2 O 3 -P 2 O 5 -Li 2 O glass ceramic (Zerodur); and glasses of SiO 2 :TiO 2 (ULE), SiO 2 (fused silica), and P 2 O 5 -Al 2 O 3 -K 2 O-BaO (Phosphate)]. The material removal rate, surface roughness, and the morphology of surface fractures were measured. Separately, Vickers indentation was performed on the workpieces, and the depths of various crack types as a function of applied load was measured. Single pass grinding experiments showed distinct differences in the spatial pattern of surface fracturing between the loose alumina abrasive (isolated indent-type lateral cracking) and the loose or fixed diamond abrasive (scratch-type elongated lateral cracking). Each of the grinding methods had a removal rate and roughness that scaled with the lateral crack slope, sℓ (i.e. the rate of increase in lateral crack depth with the applied load) of the workpiece material. A grinding model (based on the volumetric removal of lateral cracks accounting for neighboring lateral crack removal efficiency and the fraction of abrasive particles leading to fracture initiation) and a roughness model (based on the depth of lateral cracks or the interface gap between the workpiece and lap) are shown to quantitatively describe the material removal rate and roughness as a function of workpiece material, abrasive size, applied pressure and relative velocity. This broad, multi-process variable grinding model can serve as a predictive tool for estimating grinding rates and surface roughness for various grinding processes on different workpiece materials

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Mesoscale modeling of restructuring in high burnup UO 2 fuel

Here, this work aims to simulate the restructuring behavior observed in different regions of high burnup fuel, providing a first-of-its-kind restructuring model for the dark zone and rim region of high-burnup UO 2 fuel. We employed a grand-potential-based phase-field model to concurrently evaluate subgrain formation and the growth of fission gas bubbles within the fuel. An energy-based subgrain formation criterion was introduced to simulate the restructuring process. The effects of different initial conditions and different modeling parameters were systematically studied to capture how each of these parameters influences the characteristics of the restructured fuel. Subgrain formation was observed to begin around existing fission gas bubbles and proceed toward triple junctions, grain boundaries, and grain interiors. Restructuring was demonstrated to be influenced by a combination of initial dislocation densities, burnup rate, subgrain formation rate, and temperature. Under a given subgrain formation rate, the rate of restructuring increases with rising fuel temperature. A restructuring bias was observed within the microstructure, due to the variation in defect accumulation when comparing different grains. Microstructures corresponding to the dark zone and rim region can be obtained by parameterizing the model with the appropriate defect production rate, as determined based on the burnup rate and temperature. Furthermore, bubble size and distribution do not significantly affect the rate of restructuring. The predicted microstructures are consistent with experimental observations of the restructured regions. Finally, we present a correlation demonstrating the evolution of the restructuring volume fraction as a function of local burnup.

UO2↗
DOE OSTI2024

Models implemented in the methodological approach to design the initial STEP first wall contour

The official Spherical Tokamak for Energy Production mission aims to demonstrate the ability to generate net electricity from fusion with the STEP Prototype Power plant. One of the key technological and engineering challenges in fusion power plants is managing the loads on the first wall within acceptable limits. Therefore, the conceptual design development of the STEP Prototype Power plant needs to be based on load estimates derived using legitimate plasma physics assumptions through dynamic and flexible tools. The current design foresees the STEP main chamber first wall to withstand steady-state heat loads of up to ~1 MW/m 2 , excluding critical regions expected to receive higher heat loads such as the baffle regions approaching the divertors. These critical areas will require ad hoc assessments and will be designed with the presence of limiters. This article focuses on the models and methodology adopted for designing the 2-D poloidal contour of the STEP first wall, based on the anticipated charged particle and radiation heat loads during normal operation. Firstly, the models adopted for calculating the charged particle and radiation heat loads are introduced. The first model is validated through benchmarking against the particle tracing code SMARDDA, while the second model is verified by comparing it with data from the MAST-U experiment. Secondly, the model used to design the 2-D first wall contour according to the heat loads is explained. We acknowledge that this preliminary design stage assumes certain simplifications, notably an axisymmetric geometry, for computational efficiency and clarity in presentation. It is understood that subsequent design phases will address the complexities of real-world engineering, including non-axisymmetric effects, transient plasma scenarios, and the impact of disruptions on the first wall design. Finally, an automatic procedure based on these models is presented for defining the 2-D poloidal contour of the STEP first wall to minimize heat loads, taking into account the need to radiate most of the alpha-particle and auxiliary heating power. Here, by providing an overview of the models, methodology, and an automatic procedure, this paper contributes to the design process of the STEP first wall, addressing the engineering challenges associated with fusion power plant development.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Phase-field modeling for restructuring in the dark zone of high burnup UO 2

This report summarizes the mesoscale modeling work performed in fiscal year 2024 under the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program to capture the microstructural evolution and restructuring observed in the dark regions of high burnup UO 2 nuclear fuel. This is the first attempt to realistically simulate the restructuring behavior observed in different region of a high burnup fuel. We employ a grand-potential based phase-field model to concurrently evaluate the formation of subgrains and growth of fission bubbles within the fuel. A energy-based subgrain formation criteria is introduced to simulate the restructuring process. Effect of different initial conditions and different modeling parameters are studies systematically to capture how each of these parameters influence the characteristics of the restructured fuel. It is observed that the subgrain formation begins around existing fission gas bubbles and then proceeds towards triple junctions, grain boundaries and grain interiors. It is demonstrated that restructuring is influenced by a combination of initial dislocation densities, subgrain formation rate, and temperature. Rate of restructuring increases with increase in fuel temperature. A restructuring bias is observed within the microstructure due to variation in defect accumulation among different grains. Furthermore, bubble sizes and distribution does not have a significant effect on rate of restructuring. The predicted microstructures resembles the characteristics of the restructured regions as observed in experiments. Finally, a correlation is presented that demonstrates the evolution of the restructuring volume fraction as a function of local effective burnup. This work provides a first of its kind restructuring model for darkzone that can be used by BISON for performance prediction of high burnup UO 2 fuel.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2019

The effects of ultra-fine-grained structure and cryogenic temperature on adiabatic shear localization in titanium

The deformation at low temperatures (173 K and 77 K) in ultrafine-grained (100 and 500 nm) titanium is investigated and its effect on adiabatic shear localization is established. In comparison with coarse grained titanium, the strength of ultrafine-grained titanium is higher due to the classic Hall-Petch effect while the strain hardening approaches zero. Our results show that shear localization in dynamic deformation is also altered. The width of the shear band of coarse-grained titanium decreases from 30 to 18 mm (by 40%) with decreasing the initial deformation temperature to 77 K. In contrast, for 100 nm titanium, the width of shear band decreases more significantly, from 4 mmat room temperature to 1 mm (a 75% decrease) at 77 K. This difference is attributed to the combined effects of the decrease in the thermal conductivity and specific heat capacity, and the increase in thermal softening rate. These changes in the width are consistent with the predictions of the Grady and Bai-Dodd theories. Ultrafine- and nanorecrystallized grains are observed inside the bands which are dependent on initial grain size and initial deformation temperature. Here, the dislocation evolution is evaluated for the different conditions using a Kocks-Mecking formulation; the rotational dynamic recrystallization mechanism responsible for forming the ultrafine/nanosized grains (40-250 nm) is successfully modeled incorporating the differences in initial temperature and grain size. Our results and analysis are important in enhancing the understanding of the structural evolution processes under high strain-rates and cryogenic temperatures.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

The Seasonal-to-Multiyear Large Ensemble (SMYLE) prediction system using the Community Earth System Model version 2

Abstract. The potential for multiyear prediction of impactful Earth system change remains relatively underexplored compared to shorter (subseasonal to seasonal) and longer (decadal) timescales. In this study, we introduce a new initialized prediction system using the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) that is specifically designed to probe potential and actual prediction skill at lead times ranging from 1 month out to 2 years. The Seasonal-to-Multiyear Large Ensemble (SMYLE) consists of a collection of 2-year-long hindcast simulations, with four initializations per year from 1970 to 2019 and an ensemble size of 20. A full suite of output is available for exploring near-term predictability of all Earth system components represented in CESM2. We show that SMYLE skill for El Niño–Southern Oscillation is competitive with other prominent seasonal prediction systems, with correlations exceeding 0.5 beyond a lead time of 12 months. A broad overview of prediction skill reveals varying degrees of potential for useful multiyear predictions of seasonal anomalies in the atmosphere, ocean, land, and sea ice. The SMYLE dataset, experimental design, model, initial conditions, and associated analysis tools are all publicly available, providing a foundation for research on multiyear prediction of environmental change by the wider community.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Models for Resilience Design Patterns

Resilience plays an important role in supercomputers by providing correct and efficient operation in case of faults, errors, and failures. Resilience design patterns offer blueprints for effectively applying resilience technologies. Prior work focused on developing initial efficiency and performance models for resilience design patterns. This paper extends it by (1) describing performance, reliability, and availability models for all structural resilience design patterns, (2) providing more detailed models that include flowcharts and state diagrams, and (3) introducing the Resilience Design Pattern Modeling (RDPM) tool that calculates and plots the performance, reliability, and availability metrics of individual patterns and pattern combinations.

Kumar, Mohit↗
DOE OSTI2020

Bi-fidelity Gradient-Based Approach for Nonlinear Well Logging Inverse Problems

Solving a non-linear inverse problem is challenging in computational science and engineering. Sampling based methods require a large number of model valuations; gradientbased methods require fewer model evaluations but only find the local minima. Multifidelity optimization combines the low fidelity model and the high-fidelity model to achieve both high accuracy and high efficiency. In this paper, we present a bi-fidelity approach to solve non-linear inverse problems. In the bi-fidelity inversion method, the low-fidelity model is used to acquire a good initial guess, and the high-fidelity model is used to locate the global minimum. Combined with a multi-start optimization scheme, the proposed approach significantly increases the possibility of finding the global minimum for nonlinear inverse problems with many local minima. The method is tested with two toy problems and then applied to an electromagnetic well logging inverse problem, which is difficult to solve using traditional gradient-based methods. The bi-fidelity method provides promising inversion results and can be easily applied to traditional gradient-based methods.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

D2U: Data Driven User Emulation for the Enhancement of Cyber Testing, Training, and Data Set Generation

Whether testing intrusion detection systems, conducting training exercises, or creating data sets to be used by the broader cybersecurity community, realistic user behavior is a critical component of a cyber range. Existing methods either rely on network level data or replay recorded user actions to approximate real users in a network. Our work is the first to produce generative models trained on actual user data (sequences of application usage) collected on endpoints. Once trained to the user's behavioral data, these models can generate novel sequences of actions %that appear to come from the same distribution as the training data. These sequences of actions are then fed to our custom software via configuration files, which replicate those behaviors on end devices. Notably, our models are platform agnostic and could generate behavior data for any emulation software package. In this paper we present our model generation process, software architecture, and an initial evaluation of the fidelity of our models. Our software is currently deployed in a cyber range to help evaluate the efficacy of defensive cyber technologies. We suggest additional ways that the cyber community as a whole can benefit from more realistic user behavior emulation. The data used to train our model, as well as sample configuration files produced by the model, are available at [redacted].

Oesch, T↗
DOE OSTI2023

Feasibility Study for Disposal Control Rod Assemblies Using UNF-ST&DARDS As-Loaded Zion Dual Purpose Cask Models

This report documents an initial evaluation to support future use of disposal control rod assemblies (DCRAs) for post-closure criticality control in dual purpose canisters (DPCs). The work described herein is an extension of previous efforts performed by Walker using inputs generated by the Used Nuclear Fuel-Storage, Transportation & Disposal Analysis Resource and Data System (UNFST&DARDS) for the Zion site DPCs with as-loaded isotopic compositions. The results of this analysis demonstrate that there are multiple pathways to using DCRA for post-closure criticality control. Various configurations of DCRA material, diameter, number of rods per DCRA, and number and location of DCRAs within a DPC were shown to be effective in varying degrees for the set of DPCs analyzed by Walker. Because of the variations in DPC as-loaded isotopic compositions considered in an array of DCRA parametric sweeps, it can be concluded that a DPC-specific methodology is feasible (i.e., a one-size-fits-all approach may not be needed). Instead, the utility program created for this work can be expanded to develop capabilities to provide DPC-specific DCRA arrangements to limit cost and weight and to allow for operational considerations.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Reduced Order Models Generation for HTGRs Pebble Shuffling Procedure Optimization Studies

This report provides an initial study for producing reduced-order models (ROMs) of pebble-bed high temperature gas reactor (HTGR) models for the purposes of design optimization. As an initial study, this work is meant to be exploratory---identifying useful workflows and methods for ROM generation---and not meant to be a catch-all analysis of HTGR ROM generation and usage for optimization. This report summarizes three tasks performed in Fiscal Year 2022: 1) the creation of HTGR model, 2) the sensitivity analysis of model design parameters, and 3) an introduction to ROM generation techniques. The representative HTGR model created in this work is a multiphysics equilibrium-core using the BlueCRAB (comprehensive reactor analysis bundle) reactor analysis application, coupling four physical phenomena: neutronics, streamline depletion, porous flow thermal hydraulics, and pebble heat conduction. Part of the model creation was identifying some design parameters and quantities of interest that are relevant in an optimization analysis and adjustable in the model. The sensitivity analysis utilized a polynomial chaos expansion methodology to compute global sensitivity metrics. This analysis showed that thermal hydraulics parameters and quantities of interest had a relatively small impact on simulation results. Finally, the ROM generation work involved exploring three different ROM methodologies: polynomial regression, a Gaussian process, and artificial neural networks. Using a cross-validation technique to characterize ROM performance, the Gaussian process and single-layer artificial neural networks showed the most promising results. Overall, this study was insightful and the lessons learned will be invaluable for the eventual development of an HTGR design optimization workflow.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Potassium carbonate decomposition modeling within rotating detonation engines for direct power extraction applications

We report that recently, there has been a significant interest in detonation-based combustion systems, such as rotating detonation engines (RDE), due to potential performance advantages in propulsion and energy applications. This includes improvements in thermodynamic efficiency, inherently high gas velocities, and the possibility of achieving an increase in total pressure (i.e. pressure gain) through the combustion process. Due to approximating a constant volume combustion process, these devices also tend to exhibit extremely high local gas temperatures relative to a comparable constant pressure combustor. These advantages overlap well with desirable performance characteristics of direct power extraction (DPE) technologies, such as a magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) generator. Typically, in DPE systems hot combustion products are seeded with an easily ionizable material such as potassium carbonate (K 2 CO 3 ) in order to boost the electrical conductivity. However, due to the short gas residence times within an RDE, it was unclear whether forming an electrically conductive combustion plasma would be feasible for integration with a downstream MHD generator. A model is presented which describes the heating, decomposition, and ionization of solid K 2 CO 3 particles and aqueous solutions of K 2 CO 3 in water, for a given initial particle diameter. This model was combined with available computational fluid dynamics (CFD) data for an oxygen-methane RDE in a one-way coupled Eulerian-Lagrangian framework to predict particle trajectories and the corresponding heating, decomposition, and ionization histories. Electrical conductivities were computed using a previously developed model, and a method was proposed to determine an equivalent average electrical conductivity. Results show that particle sizes below ~30 µm are able to fully decompose before reaching the exit of the RDE. While the one-way coupled nature of the simulations precluded rigorous evaluation of the effects of seed material on detonability, a substantial temperature reduction is expected at the detonation wave front due to heating and decomposition. A preliminary comparison is presented between the RDE and an equivalent constant pressure adiabatic combustor, showing a potential performance advantage for the RDE.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Selective atomic sieving across metal/oxide interface for super-oxidation resistance

Abstract Surface passivation, a desirable natural consequence during initial oxidation of alloys, is the foundation for functioning of corrosion and oxidation resistant alloys ranging from industrial stainless steel to kitchen utensils. This initial oxidation has been long perceived to vary with crystal facet, however, the underlying mechanism remains elusive. Here, using in situ environmental transmission electron microscopy, we gain atomic details on crystal facet dependent initial oxidation behavior in a model Ni-5Cr alloy. We find the (001) surface shows higher initial oxidation resistance as compared to the (111) surface. We reveal the crystal facet dependent oxidation is related to an interfacial atomic sieving effect, wherein the oxide/metal interface selectively promotes diffusion of certain atomic species. Density functional theory calculations rationalize the oxygen diffusion across Ni(111)/NiO(111) interface, as contrasted with Ni(001)/NiO(111), is enhanced. We unveil that crystal facet with initial fast oxidation rate could conversely switch to a slow steady state oxidation.

(S)TEM, oxidizing metals↗
DOE OSTI2023

Reconstructing cosmological initial conditions from late-time structure with convolutional neural networks

ABSTRACT We present a method to reconstruct the initial linear-regime matter density field from the late-time non-linearly evolved density field in which we channel the output of standard first-order reconstruction to a convolutional neural network (CNN). Our method shows dramatic improvement over the reconstruction of either component alone. We show why CNNs are not well-suited for reconstructing the initial density directly from the late-time density: CNNs are local models, but the relationship between initial and late-time density is not local. Our method leverages standard reconstruction as a preprocessing step, which inverts bulk gravitational flows sourced over very large scales, transforming the residual reconstruction problem from long-range to local and making it ideally suited for a CNN. We develop additional techniques to account for redshift distortions, which warp the density fields measured by galaxy surveys. Our method improves the range of scales of high-fidelity reconstruction by a factor of 2 in wavenumber above standard reconstruction, corresponding to a factor of 8 increase in the number of well-reconstructed modes. In addition, our method almost completely eliminates the anisotropy caused by redshift distortions. As galaxy surveys continue to map the Universe in increasingly greater detail, our results demonstrate the opportunity offered by CNNs to untangle the non-linear clustering at intermediate scales more accurately than ever before.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗
DOE OSTI2022

Advanced Hydropower and PSH Capacity Expansion Modeling (Final Report on HydroWIRES D1 Improvements to Capacity Expansion Modeling)

Hydropower and pumped-storage hydropower (PSH) have played a key role in providing flexible, low-carbon electricity to the U.S. electricity system for over a century. As variable generation (VG) deployment increases the demand for flexible, dispatchable generation, it is important to use all available methods for understanding how hydropower and PSH interfaces with VG in a future low-carbon grid. Capacity expansion models (CEMs) of electricity systems are often used to study future electricity scenarios, but these tools often have difficulty representing site- and technology-details of hydropower and PSH due to limited spatial, temporal, or process resolution. This report demonstrates a set of model advancements to improve hydropower and PSH representations in CEMs and other models that consider hydropower and PSH's role in electricity systems. Model advancements include new data integration to define closed-loop PSH resource availability and cost, along with site-level parameterizations of existing PSH capacity and energy storage specifications. Shifting energy across seasons for both hydropower and PSH is explored to demonstrate the potential value of long-duration storage. New representations of hydropower upgrades offer opportunities to increase dispatchability, add pumps, or independently add capacity or energy depending on what is most valuable. New model structures and data are demonstrated individually and in combination to observe their impact on model results and provide initial insights into what is most important for analysts, electricity system planners, and hydropower decision-makers to consider when assessing future roles of hydropower. Improving flexibility of existing hydropower assets has the potential to reduce CO 2 emissions through complementing VG technologies and/or improve electricity system economics by reducing the need to deploy higher-cost systems. Large-scale energy storage is also shown to provide opportunities for balancing seasonal differences in VG, particularly solar photovoltaics (PV). Initial analysis with a new closed-loop PSH resource and cost dataset also demonstrate the potential for new PSH deployment to offer new grid flexibility opportunities. Future analysis and modeling of hydropower's role in the U.S. and other electricity systems could include methodological improvements based on those discussed here along with sensitivity analysis to better represent current and future potential hydropower and PSH flexibility. Improvements to geospatial and site-level data can further improve the understanding of how hydropower and PSH can be upgraded and operated in response to future electricity system needs. This work lays the groundwork to use advanced planning models to explore the range of roles hydropower and PSH can play in the grid of the future.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Demography, dynamics and data: building confidence for simulating changes in the world's forests

Vegetation demographic models (VDMs) are advanced tools for simulating forest responses to climate and land-use changes, and are essential for projecting carbon cycling and large-scale forest management strategies. Despite their increasing incorporation into Earth System Models, VDMs differ in their demographic assumptions, with no prior quantitative comparison of their performance. We benchmarked nine VDMs against observational data from boreal, temperate and tropical sites, assessing their accuracy in predicting tree growth, carbon turnover, biomass stocks and size distributions. Models were simulated under consistent climate conditions with postdisturbance recovery monitored for at least 420 yr. Postdisturbance carbon recovery trajectories showed significant variability while remaining within observational ranges. Initial regrowth rates varied substantially (0.03-0.60, 0.18-0.70 and 0.35-1.10 kgCm-2 yr-1 for boreal, temperate and tropical sites, respectively), influenced by each model's initial forest state. Models captured mature forest carbon content but showed compensating effects between overestimated growth and underestimated mortality rates. This first multi-model benchmarking identifies growth and mortality rates as critical calibration targets and highlights the need to refine postdisturbance establishment conditions for model development. We outline specific benchmarking variables needed to improve predictions of forest responses to environmental change.

demographic vegetation model benchmarking↗