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DOE OSTI2025

Robust Multi-fidelity Bayesian Optimization with Deep Kernel and Partition

Multi-fidelity Bayesian optimization (MFBO) is a powerful approach that utilizes lowfidelity, cost-effective sources to expedite the exploration and exploitation of a high-fidelity objective function. Existing MFBO methods with theoretical foundations either lack justification for performance improvements over single-fidelity optimization or rely on strong assumptions about the relationships between fidelity sources to construct surrogate models and direct queries to low-fidelity sources. To mitigate the dependency on cross-fidelity assumptions while maintaining the advantages of low-fidelity queries, we introduce a random sampling and partition-based MFBO framework with deep kernel learning. This framework is robust to cross-fidelity model misspecification and explicitly illustrates the benefits of low-fidelity queries. Our results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm effectively manages complex cross-fidelity relationships and efficiently optimizes the target fidelity function.

Zhang, Fengxue [University of Chicago, Illinois, U↗

DOE OSTI2026

Rapid Evaluation of Amine-Functionalized Solvents for Biomass Deconstruction Using High-Throughput Screening and One-Pot Enzymatic Saccharification

Efficient and sustainable pretreatment of lignocellulosic biomass is critical for biofuel and biochemical production, yet its optimization is often hindered by slow, labor-intensive experimental methods. Here, we report the first demonstration of a custom-built, miniaturized, high-throughput screening platform integrated with one-pot enzymatic saccharification, enabling parallel evaluation of solvent type, feedstock, and temperature with minimal material use and high reproducibility. As a proof-of-concept, the HTX platform was used to screen five amine-functionalized solvents, including isopropanolamine, butylamine, N-methylbutylamine, ethanolamine, and ethanolamine acetate across three bioenergy crops (sorghum, poplar, and switchgrass) and pretreatment temperatures ranging from 80 to 140 °C. Vacuum drying successfully removed more than 99% of the solvents from the pretreated biomass, eliminating the need for water washing prior to saccharification. Isopropanolamine and N-methylbutylamine yielded the highest glucose (70–80%) and xylose (58–67%) release, with trends reflecting feedstock recalcitrance. The produced hydrolysates supported robust growth of an engineered strain of the yeast Rhodosporidium toruloides, confirming biocompatibility. This high-throughput platform provides a scalable, feedstock-agnostic framework for rapid pretreatment screening, accelerating solvent–feedstock pairing and process optimization. Its ability to integrate pretreatment, solvent removal, saccharification, and microbial conversion in a miniaturized format offers significant advantages for cost-competitive biorefinery development.

Biomass↗

DOE OSTI2024

HDBind: encoding of molecular structure with hyperdimensional binary representations

Traditional methods for identifying “hit” molecules from a large collection of potential drug-like candidates rely on biophysical theory to compute approximations to the Gibbs free energy of the binding interaction between the drug and its protein target. These approaches have a significant limitation in that they require exceptional computing capabilities for even relatively small collections of molecules. Increasingly large and complex state-of-the-art deep learning approaches have gained popularity with the promise to improve the productivity of drug design, notorious for its numerous failures. However, as deep learning models increase in their size and complexity, their acceleration at the hardware level becomes more challenging. Hyperdimensional Computing (HDC) has recently gained attention in the computer hardware community due to its algorithmic simplicity relative to deep learning approaches. The HDC learning paradigm, which represents data with high-dimension binary vectors, allows the use of low-precision binary vector arithmetic to create models of the data that can be learned without the need for the gradient-based optimization required in many conventional machine learning and deep learning methods. This algorithmic simplicity allows for acceleration in hardware that has been previously demonstrated in a range of application areas (computer vision, bioinformatics, mass spectrometery, remote sensing, edge devices, etc.). To the best of our knowledge, our work is the first to consider HDC for the task of fast and efficient screening of modern drug-like compound libraries. We also propose the first HDC graph-based encoding methods for molecular data, demonstrating consistent and substantial improvement over previous work. We compare our approaches to alternative approaches on the well-studied MoleculeNet dataset and the recently proposed LIT-PCBA dataset derived from high quality PubChem assays. We demonstrate our methods on multiple target hardware platforms, including Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) and Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs), showing at least an order of magnitude improvement in energy efficiency versus even our smallest neural network baseline model with a single hidden layer. Our work thus motivates further investigation into molecular representation learning to develop ultra-efficient pre-screening tools. We make our code publicly available at https://github.com/LLNL/hdbind.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Imaging and spatially resolved mass spectrometry applications in nephrology

The application of spatially resolved mass spectrometry (MS) and MS imaging approaches for studying biomolecular processes in the kidney is rapidly growing. These powerful methods, which enable label-free and multiplexed detection of many molecular classes across omics domains (including metabolites, drugs, proteins and protein post-translational modifications), are beginning to reveal new molecular insights related to kidney health and disease. Further, the complexity of the kidney often necessitates multiple scales of analysis for interrogating biofluids, whole organs, functional tissue units, single cells and subcellular compartments. Various MS methods can generate omics data across these spatial domains and facilitate both basic science and pathological assessment of the kidney. Optimal processes related to sample preparation and handling for different MS applications are rapidly evolving. Emerging technology and methods, improvement of spatial resolution, broader molecular characterization, multimodal and multiomics approaches and the use of machine learning and artificial intelligence approaches promise to make these applications even more valuable in the field of nephology. Overall, spatially resolved MS and MS imaging methods have the potential to fill much of the omics gap in systems biology analysis of the kidney and provide functional outputs that cannot be obtained using genomics and transcriptomic methods.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Grad–Shafranov equilibria via data-free physics informed neural networks

A large number of magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) equilibrium calculations are often required for uncertainty quantification, optimization, and real-time diagnostic information, making MHD equilibrium codes vital to the field of plasma physics. In this paper, we explore a method for solving the Grad–Shafranov equation by using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs). For PINNs, we optimize neural networks by directly minimizing the residual of the partial differential equation as a loss function. We show that PINNs can accurately and effectively solve the Grad–Shafranov equation with several different boundary conditions, making it more flexible than traditional solvers. This method is flexible as it does not require any mesh and basis choice, thereby streamlining the computational process. We also explore the parameter space by varying the size of the model, the learning rate, and boundary conditions to map various tradeoffs such as between reconstruction error and computational speed. Additionally, we introduce a parameterized PINN framework, expanding the input space to include variables such as pressure, aspect ratio, elongation, and triangularity in order to handle a broader range of plasma scenarios within a single network. Parameterized PINNs could be used in future work to solve inverse problems such as shape optimization.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Active space selection with self-healing diffusion Monte Carlo algorithms for periodic solids

Multideterminant Diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) displays improved accuracy over single determinant DMC. Self-Healing Diffusion Monte Carlo (SHDMC) is a DMC based method that iteratively improves a multideterminant trial wavefunction. Although configuration interaction or complete active space (CAS) methods are very accurate and computationally feasible for many systems, they are not optimal for application to solids. SHDMC is accurate and designed for application to solids, so developing SHDMC based active space selection algorithms is a worthy endeavor. Here, we present and compare active space selection algorithms that are designed for use in conjunction with SHDMC, without relying on external approaches. For benchmarking, we calculated the ground state energy of a small unit cell of graphene and compared the results with a complete basis set extrapolated selected CI and a reference SHDMC trajectory. We found that systematically expanding the active space using an “auto-branching” algorithm optimally balances accuracy with computational practicality. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that demonstrates completely self-contained DMC-based active space selection algorithms that do not depend on external methods for determinant selection.

Spanedda, Nicole [ORNL]↗

DOE OSTI2024

A simple method for obtaining heat capacity coefficients of minerals

Abstract Heat capacity data are unavailable or incomplete for many minerals at geologically relevant temperatures. Despite the availability of entropy and enthalpy values in numerous thermodynamic tables (even sometimes at elevated temperatures), there remains need for extrapolation beyond, or interpolation between, temperatures. This approach inevitably results in estimates for entropy and enthalpy values because the heat capacity coefficients required for optimal thermodynamic treatment are less frequently available. Here we propose a simple method for obtaining heat capacity coefficients of minerals. This method requires only the empirically measured temperature-specific heat capacity for calculation via a matrix algorithm. The system of equations solver is written in the Python computing language and has been made accessible in an online repository. Thermodynamically, the solution to a system of equations represents the heat capacity coefficients that satisfy the mineral-specific polynomial. Direct coefficient calculation will result in more robust thermodynamic data, which are not subject to fitting uncertainties. Using hematite as an example, this method provides results that are comparable to conventional means and is applicable to any solid material. Coefficients vary within the traditional large 950 K temperature interval, indicating that best results should instead utilize a smaller 400 K temperature interval. Examples of large-scale implications include the refinement of geothermal gradient estimation in rapidly subsiding sedimentary basins or metamorphic and hydrothermal evolution.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

DOE OSTI2025

Nonlinear Optimal Control of Electron Dynamics Within Hartree-Fock Theory

Consider the problem of determining the optimal applied electric field to drive a molecule from an initial state to a desired target state. For even moderately sized molecules, solving this problem directly using the exact equations of motion—the time-dependent Schrödinger equation (TDSE)—is numerically intractable. Here, we present a solution of this problem within time-dependent Hartree-Fock (TDHF) theory, a mean field approximation of the TDSE. Optimality is defined in terms of minimizing the total control effort while maximizing the overlap between desired and achieved target states. We frame this problem as an optimization problem constrained by the nonlinear TDHF equations; we solve it using trust region optimization with gradients computed via a custom-built adjoint state method. For three molecular systems, we show that with very small neural network parametrizations of the control, our method yields solutions that achieve desired targets within acceptable constraints and tolerances.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Modern deep neural networks for Direct Normal Irradiance forecasting: A classification approach

The escalating energy demand and the adverse environmental impacts of fossil-fuel use necessitate a shift towards cleaner and renewable alternatives. Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) technology emerges as a promising solution, offering a carbon-free alternative for power generation. The efficiency and profitability of CSP depend on the Direct Normal Irradiance (DNI) component of solar radiation; hence, accurate DNI forecasting can help optimize CSP plants’ operations and performance. The unpredictable nature of weather phenomena, particularly cloud cover, introduces uncertainty into DNI projections. Existing DNI forecasting models use meteorological factors, which are both challenging to estimate numerically over short prediction windows and expensive to model through data at a sufficiently high spatial and temporal resolution. This research addresses the challenge by presenting a novel approach that formulates DNI prediction as a multi-class classification problem, departing from conventional regression-based methods. The primary objective of this classification framework is to identify optimal periods aligning with specific operational thresholds for CSP plants, contributing to enhanced dispatch optimization strategies. We model the DNI classification problem using four advanced deep neural networks – rectified linear unit (ReLU) networks, 1D residual networks (ResNets), bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) networks, and transformers – achieving accuracies up to 93.5% without requiring meteorological parameters.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Identifying Green Solvent Mixtures for Bioproduct Separation Using Bayesian Experimental Design

Liquid–liquid extraction (LLE) is a widely used technique for the separation and purification of liquid-phase products with applications in various industries, including pharmaceuticals, petrochemicals, and renewable chemistry. A critical step in the design of an LLE process is the selection of appropriate solvents. This study presents a new methodology for identifying solvent mixtures for bioproduct separation using Bayesian experimental design (BED). Motivated by the need for environmentally friendly and effective separation methods, we address the challenge of selecting solvent systems that balance separation efficiency, selectivity, and environmental impact while also tackling the difficulty of separating multiple bioproducts using complex solvent systems. Our approach specifically seeks to predict product partition coefficients (log10 Kp values) as thermodynamic parameters underlying solvent selection. The iterative approach integrates Bayesian optimization with experimental measurements to guide solvent selection and leverages COSMO-RS simulations to enhance high-throughput experimentation. Using the design of solvent systems for the separation of lignin-derived aromatic products via centrifugal partition chromatography (CPC) as a case study, we show that within seven iterations/cycles of the methodology, we can identify new mixtures of green solvents that align with CPC design principles. Furthermore, these results demonstrate the efficacy of the BED framework in optimizing green solvent systems for complex separations, highlighting the potential of this method to advance the field of green chemistry and contribute to the development of sustainable industrial processes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Optimal sizing of battery energy storage systems for peak shaving and demand response using a degradation-aware Bayesian Optimization-Mixed-Integer Linear Programming framework

The increasing integration of renewable energy and rising electricity demand highlight the importance of battery energy storage systems for peak shaving and demand response. Unlike prior approaches that overlook operational impacts on degradation, this study proposes a Bayesian Optimization–Mixed Integer Linear Programming framework for optimal battery energy storage system sizing. In this framework, Mixed Integer Linear Programming determines short-term scheduling while a calibrated electrochemical model iteratively evaluates degradation. The central hypothesis is that the framework can efficiently identify optimal sizes that yield realistic and economically robust outcomes. The method is tested across three scenarios: peak shaving, peak shaving with energy-reduction demand response, and peak shaving with power-reduction demand response. Results show that the framework converge to the optimum within 20 iterations out of 150 possible sizes. Under baseline conditions, the framework consistently selects the smallest feasible system, minimizing unnecessary degradation costs from oversized storage. Sensitivity analyses reveal that larger systems are favored as demand rates or incentives increase. Comparisons of demand response programs indicate that power-reduction demand response offers greater economic benefits than energy-reduction demand response, although demand savings from peak shaving remain the dominant contributor to overall performance. This study demonstrates that the proposed framework balances computational tractability with degradation fidelity, identifies critical economic thresholds for investment, and offers a practical, flexible tool to guide industrial stakeholders in cost-effective battery energy storage system deployment.

Batteries↗

DOE OSTI2024

Bayes_Opt-SWMM: A Gaussian process-based Bayesian optimization tool for real-time flood modeling with SWMM

Real-time flood model plays a pivotal role in averting urban flood damage, particularly when there is minimal lead time for preparatory measures. However, urban flood modeling in real-time often contends with inherent uncertainties arising from input data uncertainty and parameter ambiguities. Here this study introduces a real-time calibration (RTC) tool called Bayes_Opt-SWMM, specifically tailored for real-time urban flood modeling and uncertainty optimization. This tool leverages the Gaussian process-based Bayesian optimization algorithm and interfaces seamlessly with the Stormwater Management Model (SWMM). It integrates real-time model forcing data and flood monitoring collected through sensors and gauges which are strategically placed within critical locations of urban drainage systems. Our approach hinges on the Surrogate Model based Uncertainty Optimization (SMUO) concept, providing an avenue for enhancing real-time flood modeling. Bayes_Opt-SWMM runs the optimization process using a surrogate model called Gaussian Process emulator with two inference methods: (1) the Gaussian Process (GP) model and (2) Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm in GP model (GP_MCMC). Furthermore, three acquisition functions, namely Expected Improvement (EI), Maximum Probability of Improvement (MPI), and Lower Confidence Bound (LCB), facilitate optimal parameter fitting within the surrogate models. The efficiency of GP-based surrogate models in learning SWMM model parameters, leads to an improved uncertainty quantification and accelerated real-time flood modeling in urban areas. Overall, Bayes_Opt-SWMM emerges as a cost-effective and valuable tool for real-time flood modeling and monitoring, with significant potential for managing intelligent storm water systems in urban environments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Quantum-enhanced detection of viral cDNA via luminescence resonance energy transfer using upconversion and gold nanoparticles

Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic has profoundly impacted global economies and healthcare systems, revealing critical vulnerabilities in both. In response, our study introduces a sensitive and highly specific detection method for cDNA, leveraging Luminescence Resonance Energy Transfer (LRET) between upconversion nanoparticles (UCNPs) and gold nanoparticles (AuNPs), and achieves a detection limit of 242 fM for SARS-CoV-2 cDNA. This innovative sensing platform utilizes UCNPs conjugated with one primer and AuNPs with another, targeting the 5′ and 3′ ends of the SARS-CoV-2 cDNA, respectively, enabling precise differentiation of mismatched cDNA sequences and significantly improving detection specificity. Through rigorous experimental analysis, we established a quenching efficiency range from 10.4 % to 73.6 %, with an optimal midpoint of 42 %, thereby demonstrating the superior sensitivity of our method. Our work uses SARS-CoV-2 cDNA as a model system to demonstrate the potential of our LRET-based detection method. This proof-of-concept study highlights the adaptability of our platform for future diagnostic applications. Instrumental validation confirms the synthesis and formation of AuNPs, addressing the need for experimental verification of the preparation of nanomaterial. Our comparative analysis with existing SARS-CoV-2 detection methods revealed that our approach provides a low detection limit and high specificity for target cDNA sequences, underscoring its potential for targeted COVID-19 diagnostics. This study demonstrates the superior sensitivity and adaptability of using UCNPs and AuNPs for cDNA detection, offering significant advances in rapid, accessible diagnostic technologies. Our method, characterized by its low detection limit and high precision, represents a critical step forward in developing next-generation biosensors for managing current and future viral outbreaks. By adjusting primer sequences, this platform can be tailored to detect other pathogens, contributing to the enhancement of global healthcare responsiveness and infectious disease control.

Esmaeili, Shahriar [Institute for Quantum Science ↗

DOE OSTI2025

SymProp: Scaling Sparse Symmetric Tucker Decomposition via Symmetry Propagation

Sparse symmetric tensors are an important class of tensors, and their decompositions serve as powerful tools for revealing low-rank structures. This paper introduces SymProp, a novel approach for scaling sparse symmetric Tucker decomposition by propagating symmetry through intermediate computations. SymProp optimizes two key computational kernels: Sparse Symmetric Tensor Times Same Matrix chain (S3 TTMc) for Higher-Order Orthogonal Iteration (HOOI) and Sparse Symmetric Tensor Times Same Matrix chain Times Core (S3 TTMcTC) for Higher-Order QR Iteration (HOQRI). Our method employs a metaprogramming-based index iteration approach to efficiently handle the upper triangular parts of intermediate dense symmetric tensors. SymProp achieves up to 50.9× speedup over SPLATT and up to 360.8× over Compressed Sparse Symmetric (CSS) format on the S3 TTMc operation. Moreover, our S3 TTMc and S3 TTMcTC implementations support tensor orders four levels higher than state-of-the-art methods. Our HOQRI demonstrates superior scalability and up to a 33.6× speedup over optimized HOOI. By enabling more scalable Tucker decompositions for higher orders, decomposition ranks, and dimension sizes, SymProp opens new possibilities for analyzing complex hypergraph structures in fields such as network science, data mining, and machine learning.

Li, Zecheng [North Carolina State University]↗

DOE OSTI2025

Bridging the Gap Between Pure and Mixed-Gas Performance of Thin-Film Composite Membranes

This study examines the influence of cell design on mixed-gas testing with PolyActive™ TFC membranes, featuring pure-gas CO₂ permeance of 1700–3100 GPU, representative of state-of-the-art CO₂/N₂ separation membranes. By designing and 3D-printing a counter-current permeation cell with optimized flow efficiency, we achieved a 33–41% increase in mixed-gas CO₂ permeance compared to traditional cells. Additionally, a comparison of sweep-gas and vacuum permeation methods revealed that vacuum operation mitigates downstream polarization, enhancing mixed-gas CO₂ permeance by 41%. These results underscore the critical role of permeation cell design and testing methods in accurately evaluating membrane performance, with significant implications for scaling up TFC membranes and optimizing industrial processes.

3D printing↗

DOE OSTI2024

Optimization strategies for produced water networks with integrated desalination facilities

Optimal management and desalination of produced water is a major challenge for U.S. oil and gas development. Integrating rigorous desalination models into multi-period produced water network optimization problems presents several hurdles, which need to be tackled using advanced optimization strategies. Here, in this work, a novel multi-period produced water network formulation with separate solid and liquid flows is introduced to avoid singularities at zero flows. Rigorous steady state desalination models based on mechanical vapor recompression are embedded at the desalination sites in the network model. An integrated optimization formulation is developed to co-optimize the design of desalination units along with the operation of the network. Furthermore, a more robust approach based on the trust region filter method is developed to efficiently integrate complex desalination models into the multi-period planning problem. Both optimization approaches are demonstrated on a produced water network from the PARETO library (Drouven et al., 2022) using thermal desalination units. Our results show that while the TRF and integrated approaches have comparable solve times, the TRF approach has better performance reliability in terms of solver convergence. Furthermore, the optimal solution obtained by embedding rigorous models into the network is significantly different than when desalination costs are approximated using simple cost models, which motivates further research in this field.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2024

Optimizing Batch Crystallization with Model-based Design of Experiments

Adaptive and self-optimizing intelligent systems such as digital twins are increasingly important in science and engineering. Digital twins utilize mathematical models to provide added precision to decision-making. However, physics-informed models are challenging to build, calibrate, and validate with existing data science methods. Model-based design of experiments (MBDoE) is a popular framework for optimizing data collection to maximize parameter precision in mathematical models and digital twins. In this work, we apply MBDoE, facilitated by the open-source package Pyomo.DoE, to train and validate mathematical models for batch crystallization. We quantitatively examined the estimability of the model parameters for experiments with different cooling rates. This analysis provides a quantitative explanation for the heuristic of using multiple experiments at different cooling rates.

Lynch, Hailey↗

DOE OSTI2024

Evaluation and development of flow condensation correlations using the data from low GWP refrigerants in an axial micro-fin aluminum tube

To mitigate global warming, the world is transitioning to refrigerants with low global warming potential (GWP). Supporting this shift requires a model that can accurately predict the heat transfer and pressure drop of new refrigerants, crucial for designing efficient heat exchangers. Existing models, however, are largely based on currently deployed refrigerants and primarily developed for unexpanded micro-fin tubes with spiral angles of 6° to 30°. Their applicability to new refrigerants, especially in expanded micro-fin tubes, is uncertain. This study assesses the performance of four well-known condensation models for six emerging refrigerants—R-32, R-454B, R-454C, R-455A, R-1234yf, and R-1234ze(E)—against experimental data. Initially, the Han and Lee (2005) model shows the best prediction accuracy with a mean absolute deviation (MAD) of 22.1 %. To enhance the accuracy of heat transfer models for new refrigerants and geometries with large temperature glides, two approaches are proposed. Here, the first approach applies a simple correction factor, reducing the MAD of the Cavallini et al. (2009) model from 68.2 % to 15.4 %. The second approach uses the variable metric method for minimization, fitting new constants to the data. This optimization results in the Kedzierski and Goncalves (1997) model achieving the highest accuracy, with a MAD of 13.1 %. For pressure drop models, the Cavallini et al. (1997) model is the most accurate with a MAD of 6.4 %, followed by the Haraguchi et al. (1993) model with a MAD of 9.4 %. Due to its simplicity, the Haraguchi et al. (1993) model is a practical option for predicting frictional pressure drop.

Axial micro-fin tubes↗