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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 685 records · Page 38

High-Resolution Meteorology with Climate Change Impacts from Global Climate Model Data Using Generative Machine Learning

As renewable energy generation increases, the impacts of weather and climate on energy generation and demand become critical to the reliability of the energy system. However, these impacts are often overlooked. Global climate models (GCMs) can be used to understand possible changes to our climate, but their coarse resolution makes them difficult to use in energy system modelling. Here we present open-source generative machine learning methods that produce meteorological data at a nominal spatial resolution of 4 km at an hourly frequency based on inputs from 100 km daily-average GCM data. These methods run 40 times faster than traditional downscaling methods and produce data that have high-resolution spatial and temporal attributes similar to historical datasets. We demonstrate that these methods can be used to downscale projected changes in wind, solar and temperature variables across multiple GCMs including projections for more frequent low-wind and high-temperature events in the Eastern United States.

climate change↗

Analyzing the Impact of Solar Power on Multi-Hourly Thermal Generator Ramping

Solar power generation, unlike conventional forms of electricity generation, has higher variability and uncertainty in its output because solar plant output is strongly impacted by weather. As the penetration rate of solar capacity increases, grid operators are increasingly concerned about accommodating the increased variability and uncertainty that solar power provides. This paper illustrates the impacts of increasing solar power penetration on the ramping of conventional electricity generators by simulating the operation of the Independent System Operator -- New England power system. A production cost model was used to simulate the power system under five different scenarios, one without solar power and four with increasing solar power penetrations up to 18%, in terms of annual energy. The impact of solar power is analyzed on six different temporal intervals, including hourly and multi-hourly (2- to 6-hour) ramping. The results show how the integration of solar power increases the 1- to 6-hour ramping events of the net load (electric load minus solar power). The study also analyzes the impact of solar power on the distribution of multi-hourly ramping events of fossil-fueled generators and shows increasing 1- to 6-hour ramping events for all different generators. Generators with higher ramp rates such as gas and oil turbine and internal combustion engine generators increased their ramping events by 200% to 280%. For other generator types--including gas combined-cycle generators, coal steam turbine generators, and gas and oil steam turbine generators--more and higher ramping events occurred as well for higher solar power penetration levels.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

On the operational characteristics and economic value of pumped thermal energy storage

Pumped thermal energy storage (PTES) systems use an electrically-driven heat pump to store electricity in the form of thermal energy, and subsequently dispatch the stored thermal energy to generate electricity using a thermodynamic heat engine. Optimal day-ahead operational scheduling and annual value of a PTES system based on Joule-Brayton thermodynamic cycles and two-tank molten salt hot thermal storage is evaluated in this work. Production cost models, which simultaneously optimize commitment and dispatch schedules for an entire set of generators to minimize the cost of satisfying electricity demand, are employed to determine system-optimal operation and day-ahead energy value of the PTES system within each of six hypothetical near-future grid scenarios intended to approximately represent the U.S. Western Interconnection or the Texas Interconnection. Sensitivity to grid scenario (including the contribution of variable renewable energy sources), thermal storage capacity, relative heat pump and heat engine capacities, and startup/shutdown cycling costs are evaluated. PTES energy value and heat engine annual capacity factor increase strongly as the contribution of variable renewable resources increases, heat pump capacity increases relative to heat engine capacity, or PTES cycling costs decrease. Grid scenarios in which the contribution of variable renewable energy is dominated by solar photovoltaics (PV) vs. wind produce inherently different PTES operational patterns. Annual PTES energy value within PV-dominated scenarios increased with storage capacity only up to approximately seven hours of full-load discharge capacity, whereas that within wind-dominated scenarios exhibited a continual increase with storage duration up to at least 16 hours.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

GRAF-Plan for Vietnam

Evaluates the reserve requirements for power system balancing areas based on variability and uncertainty of load as well as wind and solar generation scenarios. The tool uses minute‐by‐minute site‐specific generation and load information, as well as information from generation and load forecasting algorithms used in the balancing areas. The Balancing‐Plan Tool can be used directly by utility planners and operators to aid in the integration of intermittent renewable resources. The tool provides reserve requirements of various kinds, such as day‐ahead, load following and regulation, as well as estimates the capacity of the generation fleet to provide the require reserves.

Campbell, Allison↗

Grid-Scale Ternary-Pumped Thermal Electricity Storage for Flexible Operation of Nuclear Power Generation under High Penetration of Renewable Energy Sources

In this work, the integration of a grid-scale ternary-Pumped Thermal Electricity Storage (t-PTES) with a nuclear power generation to enhance operation flexibility is assessed using physics-based models and digital real time simulation. A part of the electricity from the nuclear power generation is delivered to the grid, and the balance is used to power a heat pump that can be augmented by an auxiliary resistive load element to increase the charging rate of the thermal storage. This increases the thermal potential between hot and cold thermal stores (usually solid materials or molten salts inside large storage tanks). The thermal energy is transformed back into electricity by reversing the heat pump cycle. Different transient scenarios including startup, shutdown, and power change for grid-connected operation are simulated to determine the behavior of the hybrid nuclear-t-PTES system operating under variable loads that constitute a departure from conventional, baseload nuclear plant operation schemes. Ternary refers to the three modes operation: (i) heat pump (including heating coil), (ii) heat engine, and (iii) simultaneous operation of heat pump (including heating coil) and heat engine during changeover from pumping to generation or vice-versa. The controllability of t-PTES in the short timescales as a dynamic load is used to demonstrate operational flexibility of hybrid nuclear plants for flexible operation through advanced load management. The integration of t-PTES into nuclear power systems enhances the system flexibility and is an enabler for high penetration of renewable energy resources.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Providing Ancillary Services with Photovoltaic Generation in Multi-Timescale Grid Operation: Preprint

With photovoltaic (PV) generation substantially increases, electric power systems need more flexible resources that can provide ancillary services to mitigate the variability and uncertainty of the PV generation. On the one hand, the increase of PV generation necessitates the needs of more flexible resources. On the other hand, PV generation, because of its low operation cost, has been replacing the conventional generation in the system which is the main flexible resources in the current system. Consequently, there is a trend to require the renewable generation including PV to provide flexible ancillary services to further accommodate more PV integration. This paper proposes a multi-timescale grid operation model considering the various control strategies of PV providing different ancillary services. Numerical case studies demonstrate that with PV providing both regulation reserve and primary frequency reserve, the system operating costs and PV curtailment will be reduced significantly. It shows that not only the system reliability but also PV's profitability can be improved with PV providing more ancillary services.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

NREL Renewable Energy Resource Data

This data is derived from the Wind Integration National Dataset (WIND) Toolkit and the Solar Integration National Dataset (SIND). The WIND Toolkit provides meteorological conditions and turbine power for more than 126,000 land-based and offshore wind sites across the continental United States, and the SIND Toolkit provides subhourly solar power data designed to assist researchers and utilities in solar generation integration studies This data set includes meteorological variables, including wind speed, direction, temperature, pressure, air density, irradiance, and surface temperature. Parameters such as wind profiles, atmospheric stability, and solar radiation data are also included.

NREL Renewable Energy Resource Data

This data is derived from the Wind Integration National Dataset (WIND) Toolkit and the Solar Integration National Dataset (SIND). The WIND Toolkit provides meteorological conditions and turbine power for more than 126,000 land-based and offshore wind sites across the continental United States, and the SIND Toolkit provides subhourly solar power data designed to assist researchers and utilities in solar generation integration studies This data set includes meteorological variables, including wind speed, direction, temperature, pressure, air density, irradiance, and surface temperature. Parameters such as wind profiles, atmospheric stability, and solar radiation data are also included.

Rossol, Michael↗

An assessment of existing barriers to market adoption of thermal energy storage in buildings based on interviews with stakeholders

The United States administration recently established a goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions by half below 2005 levels by 2030 and becoming a carbon-neutral economy by 2050. The transition to renewable energy sources may be significantly aided by energy storage. Energy storage could smooth the delivery of variable or intermittent renewable energy sources such as wind, hydro, and sun by storing excess renewable energy when it’s available and delivering it back when renewable energy production is low. Thermal energy storage (TES) is a way that stores thermal energy by heating or cooling a storage medium, which is then used for space heating and cooling, industrial processes, or power generation purposes later. This TES operation could lessen the demand for electricity in both the winter's and the summer's peak hours of electricity. While there are various studies that focus on the advancements and successes of TES technology, less attention is placed on its market adoption. Therefore, the current study undertakes survey-based interview research to understand the existing market barriers hindering TES application in buildings. A series of interviews were performed in this study with individuals from various backgrounds, ranging from homeowners to market specialists who work for TES manufacturers and utility companies. According to the responses obtained during the interviews, they strongly believe that TES has a high potential to contribute to the nation's grid stability and decarbonization goals, however, there are several barriers that prevent homeowners and heat pump manufacturers from investing in TES applications. The current study divided the responses from various background groups into categories to better understand the current challenges for TES applications in buildings. These responses range from payback concerns from homeowners to the need to develop a new metric to represent the benefits of TES from the heat pump and TES manufacturers. The findings from this study can be used by policymakers, utility companies, and manufacturers to better understand present obstacles and develop strategies to overcome them.

Prem Anand Jayaprabha, Jyothis Anand↗

The Potential Role of Concentrating Solar Power within the Context of DOE's 2030 Solar Cost Targets

To continue the momentum for cost reduction in solar technologies, DOE recently established 2030 cost targets for that would make solar one of the lowest-cost sources of new electricity in the United States. The potential impacts of achieving the 2030 cost targets for solar photovoltaics (PV) were recently explored in a related publication, which found significant potential for solar PV deployment and generation, particularly when coupled with low-cost storage. Building on this previous report, the present analysis evaluates the potential impacts of simultaneously achieving the 2030 cost targets for both PV and concentrating solar power with thermal energy storage (CSP-TES) systems in the contiguous United States, with a detailed evaluation of the role that CSP-TES plays in realizing those impacts. The evolution of the contiguous U.S. electricity system is evaluated with NREL's Renewable Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) model, which has been specifically designed to represent the time and locational value of renewable generation technologies in the U.S. power system. This analysis suggests achievement of the SunShot cost targets for CSP-TES might lead to dramatic growth in CSP-TES capacity, with accelerated deployment after the 2030 target is achieved. Based on our representation of the 2030 cost targets in ReEDS, economically-competitive CSP-TES could primarily be deployed in a dispatch able, high-capacity factor configuration, which allows it to provide valuable services to the power sector and results in a generation profile for CSP-TES that is complementary to that of variable PV. Aggressive cost reductions for CSP-TES could also make such a configuration economically competitive across the contiguous United States, which is a a result that warrants additional analysis in terms of potential siting, permitting, regulatory, and construction challenges in these new regions and markets. The modeled capacity expansion of both CSP-TES and PV in our scenarios that achieve the 2030 cost targets requires most growth in transmission capacity at a pace that is consistent with historical buildout rates, and could result in reduced electricity prices and power system costs, water usage, and air emissions. Finally, sensitivity analysis suggests that the cumulative capacity and geographic extent of CSP-TES deployment in our low-cost solar scenarios is highly sensitive to the post-2030 cost reductions for CSP-TES and future price of natural gas, and that significant competition exists among renewable energy and energy storage technologies, assuming aggressive cost reductions for each. For example, significant competition between CSP-TES and PV with battery storage indicates the similar role that these systems play in capacity planning and grid operations, as well as the fact that low-cost battery storage would help improve the capacity value of low-cost PV into the future.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The implications of uncertain renewable resource potentials for global wind and solar electricity projections

Studies exploring long-term energy system transitions rely on resource cost-supply curves derived from estimates of renewable energy (RE) potentials to generate wind and solar power projections. However, estimates of RE potentials are characterized by large uncertainties stemming from methodological assumptions that vary across studies, including factors such as the suitability of land and the performance and configuration of technology. Based on a synthesis of modeling approaches and parameter values used in prior studies, we explore the implications of these uncertain assumptions for onshore wind and solar photovoltaic electricity generation projections globally using the Global Change Analysis Model. We show that variability in parametric assumptions related to land use (e.g. land suitability) are responsible for the most substantial uncertainty in both wind and solar generation projections. Additionally, assumptions about the average turbine installation density and turbine technology are responsible for substantial uncertainty in wind generation projections. Under scenarios that account for climate impacts on wind and solar energy, we find that these parametric uncertainties are far more significant than those emerging from differences in climate models and scenarios in a global assessment, but uncertainty surrounding climate impacts (across models and scenarios) have significant effects regionally, especially for wind. Our analysis suggests the need for studies focusing on long-term energy system transitions to account for this uncertainty.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Geographical variability of summer- and winter-dominant onshore wind

For each geographical region, one of the biggest challenges in reaching a zero-carbon grid is identifying sources of electricity that match the seasonal profile of the load. Summer-dominant solar electricity generation can often be balanced by winter-dominant wind electricity generation. Together with long-duration storage, balanced solar and wind generation are well positioned to provide reliable renewable electricity. However, in some locations the wind may not complement solar energy so well. For example, currently California's wind turbines produce more electricity during summer than winter, raising the question of whether all future wind plants in California will exhibit the same seasonality. As a response to this question, in this paper, we analyzed the generation from existing California wind plants and simulated potential onshore wind resource for the whole state using a metric that reflects the relative wind resource in winter. Our results indicate that the seasonality of the wind can vary for very small spatial difference with more than half of California showing stronger wind resource in the winter compared with the summer despite the current observation of the opposite trend. This study differentiates the seasonality of potential wind resources to inform the creation of a reliable, 100%-renewable-driven grid.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Integrating Nuclear and Renewable Electricity in a Low-Carbon World: MIT-Japan Future of Nuclear Power Studies

Affordable reliable energy made possible a large middle class in the industrial world. Concerns about climate change require a transition to nuclear, wind, and solar—but these energy sources in current forms do not have the capability to meet the requirements for variable affordable energy. Researchers from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, the University of Tokyo, the Tokyo Institute of Technology and the Institute for Energy Economics are undertaking a series of studies to address how to make this transition to a low carbon world. Three areas are being investigated. The first area is the development of electricity grid models to understand the impacts of different choices of technologies and different limits on greenhouse gas emissions. The second area is the development of technologies to enable variable electricity to the grid while capital-intensive nuclear, wind and solar generating plants operate at full capacity to minimize costs. Technologies to enable meeting variable electricity demand while operating plants at high-capacity factors include use of heat and hydrogen storage. The third area is the development of electricity market rules to enable transition to a low-carbon grid.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

MAFRIT (Multi-Area Frequency Response Integration Tool)

The Multi-Area Frequency Response Integration Tool (MAFRIT) is the only software tool of its kind that integrates primary frequency response (turbine governor control) with secondary frequency response (automatic generation control). It simulates the power system dynamic response in full time spectrum with variable time steps from millisecond to minutes to hours and days. Capable of simulating both normal and event conditions, this tool can represent real power system operations and thus evaluate the primary and secondary reserves adequacy. This unique interaction of a turbine governor model and a novel automatic generation control model places special emphasis on electric power systems with high penetrations of renewable generation.

Himanshu, Jain↗

Generation High-Charge of Flat Beams at the Argonne Wakefield Accelerator

Beams with large transverse emittance ratios (flat beams) have received renewed interest for their possible applications in future linear colliders and advanced accelerators. A flat beam can be produced by generating a magnetized beam and then repartitioning its emittance using three skew quadrupoles. In this paper, we report on the experimental generation of ~1nC flat beams at the Argonne WakefieldAccelerator (AWA). The emittance ratio of the flat beam is demonstrated to be continuously variable by adjusting the magnetic field on the cathode.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Techno-Economic Analysis of Compressed Air Energy Storage and Hydrogen Production from Variable Renewable Energy

This study presents the techno-economic analysis (TEA) results of integrating electrolysis hydrogen (H 2 ) production, compressed air energy storage (CAES), and H 2 -fired combustion turbines in a high variable renewable energy (VRE) market environment. The inconsistent nature of VRE creates challenges for power producers in maintaining a stable electrical grid as it is increasingly utilized. The mission of the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) is driving innovation and delivering energy solutions, and a multiangle approach involving H 2 production, energy storage, and next-level H 2 -fired combustion turbine generator (CTG) technologies could provide one solution for the nation’s growing electrical grid issues with increasing VRE sources. The H 2 production and CAES concept were investigated due to its ability to provide utility-scale H 2 -fueled power generation with large-scale energy storage capabilities. Two facilities with CAES and natural gas-fired CTGs (in McIntosh, Alabama, and Huntorf, Germany) have been operating for decades. In contrast, this study investigates the potential to replace the natural gas fuel with H 2 fuel. This concept has been publicly presented by both Siemens Energy and Bechtel Global Engineering, Construction & Project Management (Bechtel) at two different power generating levels. The CAES and air expansion/combustion turbine power generation in this study are primarily based on the Siemens Energy system (Bailie, Aug. 10-11, 2021) (Scheller, Feb. 21, 2023). The inclusion of a H 2 turboexpander generator is from Bechtel (Gülen, Sep. 6, 2022). A block flow diagram of the proposed process is illustrated in Exhibit ES-1.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Comparing Resource Adequacy Metrics: Preprint

As the penetration of variable generation (wind and solar) increases around the world, there is an accompanying growing interest and importance in accurately assessing the contribution that these resources can make toward planning reserve. This contribution, also known as the capacity credit or capacity value of the resource, is best quantified by using a probabilistic measure of overall resource adequacy. In recognizing the variable nature of these renewable resources, there has been interest in exploring the use of reliability metrics other than loss of load expectation. In this paper, we undertake some comparisons using data from the Western Electricity Coordinating Council in the western United States.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗