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At least 703 records · Page 39

Comparison of Surrogate Models with Physical Models for Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Analysis Using the RAVEN Code

Dynamic probabilistic risk analysis (DPRA) has emerged in the nuclear industry as an effective tool to identify points of weakness in nuclear reactors and create a comprehensive approach to quantifying risk. While DPRA allows for detailed analysis, it usually requires thousands of runs due to the necessity of exploring low probability, high consequence events, which can be computationally prohibitively difficult to assess. Risk Analysis Virtual Environment (RAVEN) is a software package being developed under the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation program at the Idaho National Laboratory. It is able to manage complex control logic to drive a RELAP-7 simulation and to handle sampling strategies including Monte Carlo, Latin Hypercube, Grid and Adaptive samplers. By performing a thorough investigation of the possibility space of an accident scenario with RELAP-7, RAVEN is able to identify consequences of accident scenarios that have not been encountered. The most computational resource intensive step of a RAVEN analysis is running the RELAP-7 code modeling the physical system behavior. Using surrogate models to represent the outcomes of more complex simulations rather than the full model can greatly reduce the computation effort required. In situations where the uncertainty distributions of a model are unknown, or when there are multiple sets of uncertainty distributions, DPRA generally requires rerunning the physical model for each set of uncertainty distributions used. By taking an unbiased sample of the physical model and creating a surrogate model from the results, the surrogate model can be sampled under a different set of uncertainty distributions to provide equivalent results. This paper presents an example of this approach. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

The Grism Lens-amplified Survey from Space (Glass). IX. The Dual Origin of Low-mass Cluster Galaxies as Revealed by New Structural Analyses

Using deep Hubble Frontier Fields imaging and slitless spectroscopy from the Grism Survey from Space, we study 2200 cluster and 1748 field galaxies at 0.2⩽z⩽0.7 to determine the impact of environment on galaxy size and structure at stellar masses logM{sub ∗}/M{sub ⊙}>7.8, an unprecedented limit at these redshifts. Based on simple assumptions—r{sub e}=f(M{sub ∗})—we find no significant differences in half-light radii (r{sub e}) between equal-mass cluster or field systems. More complex analyses—r{sub e}=f(M{sub ∗},U−V,n,z,Σ)—reveal local density (Σ) to induce only a 7% ± 3% (95% confidence) reduction in r{sub e} beyond what can be accounted for by U − V color, Sérsic index (n), and redshift (z) effects. Almost any size difference between galaxies in high- and low-density regions is thus attributable to their different distributions in properties other than environment. Indeed, we find a clear color–r{sub e} correlation in low-mass passive cluster galaxies (logM{sub ∗}/M{sub ⊙}<9.8) such that bluer systems have larger radii, with the bluest having sizes consistent with equal-mass star-forming galaxies. We take this as evidence that large-r{sub e} low-mass passive cluster galaxies are recently acquired systems that have been environmentally quenched without significant structural transformation (e.g., by ram pressure stripping or starvation). Conversely, ∼20% of small-r{sub e} low-mass passive cluster galaxies appear to have been in place since z≳3. Given the consistency of the small-r{sub e} galaxies’ stellar surface densities (and even colors) with those of systems more than ten times as massive, our findings suggest that clusters mark places where galaxy evolution is accelerated for an ancient base population spanning most masses, with late-time additions quenched by environment-specific mechanisms mainly restricted to the lowest masses.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A Comparison of the Most Massive Quiescent Galaxies from z ∼ 3 to the Present: Slow Evolution in Size, and spheroid-dominated

We use Hubble Space Telescope imaging to study the structural properties of 10 of the most massive (M⩾10{sup 11.25} M{sub ⊙}) quiescent galaxies (QGs) in the UKIDSS UDS at 2.5<z<3.0. The low spatial density of these galaxies required targeted WFC3 H {sub 160} imaging, as such systems are rare in existing surveys like CANDELS. We fit Sérsic models to the 2D light profiles and find that the median half-light radius is R{sub e}∼3 kpc, a factor of ∼3 smaller than QGs with similar masses at z∼0. Complementing our sample with similarly massive QGs at lower redshifts, we find that the median size evolves as R{sub e}∝H(z){sup −0.85±0.12} (or alternatively, R{sub e}∝(1+z){sup −0.90±0.12}). This rate of evolution is slower than that for lower mass QGs. When compared to low-redshift QGs, the axis ratio distribution for our high-redshift massive QG sample is most consistent with those in which spheroids are dominant. These observations point to earlier size growth among massive QGs that also resulted in spheroidal systems. Finally, we measured residual-corrected surface brightness profiles for our sample. These show that the Sérsic parameterization is generally representative out to several effective radii and does not miss excess low surface brightness light. The sizes inferred from the light profiles therefore confirm the compactness of these most massive high-redshift QGs.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Subtask 1.1 – Advanced Characterization of Unconventional Oil and Gas Reservoirs to Enhance CO2 Storage Resource Estimates

The Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) developed methods and approaches for advanced characterization of unconventional oil and gas reservoirs to enhance CO2 storage resource estimates using samples collected from organic-rich shales of the Bakken Formation. The project was funded under U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Cooperative Agreement No. DE-FE0024233, with nonfederal cost share provided by Hitachi High Technologies America. The project participants included the EERC, Hitachi High Technologies America, the team at the National Energy Technology Laboratory’s (NETL’s) computed tomography (CT) scanning laboratory in Morgantown, West Virginia, and several NETL staff who have worked on CO2 storage resource estimation. Investigations on the use of subsurface geologic formations for CO2 storage have been ongoing for many years. In the last decade, improvements in directional drilling technology and hydraulic fracturing of organic-rich shale and other tight rock formations have opened new opportunities for CO2 storage, with the potential cobenefit of enhancing gas and oil recovery. Gas-bearing, organic-rich shales have been of particular interest as a carbon storage target because their ability to store large volumes of CO2 is implied by their ability to store methane; however, estimating the CO2 storage resource of organic-rich shales and other unconventional reservoirs is challenging because of the lack of detailed geologic and petrophysical data that are needed to develop improved volumetric equations. According to NETL’s method for estimating regional-scale CO2 storage resources, the key factors that control CO2 storage in geologic formations include void space within induced fractures, natural fractures and matrix pores, as well as the occurrence and distribution of organic matter (OM) and clay minerals. A key goal of this effort was to use field emission scanning electron microscopy (FESEM) analysis of fine-grain unconventional reservoir rocks coupled with advanced image analysis and machine learning techniques to quantify the occurrence and distribution of porosity, OM, and clay minerals. By better understanding the potential migration pathways of CO2 within tight rocks and quantifying the occurrence of sorptive components (OM and clays) along potential flow pathways, methods to estimate the CO2 storage resource of such rocks can be refined. The Bakken petroleum system (Bakken) was used as the source of rock samples for this effort because it includes organic-rich shales with contrasting degrees of thermal maturity as well as tight, nonshale clastic rocks with varying clay mineral content. To better understand the key components of interest in tight rock samples, the EERC worked closely with Hitachi to optimize the FESEM settings necessary to resolve the sample mineralogy, porosity and OM content at micro- to nanoscale resolution. The EERC also worked closely with Hitachi to apply and improve its advanced mineral identification and characterization system (AMICS) software so that it is better suited for mineral identification at the high resolution necessary to resolve features of interest in fine-grained rocks such as organic-rich shales. The EERC also applied advanced image analysis software packages, including Ilastik, to classify and quantify the key components of interest within the samples using FESEM imagery. These advanced techniques allowed for quantification and differentiation of the void space within fractures, pores and OM, as well as a technique to determine and quantify the key mineral and OM components surrounding pore spaces. Being able to better quantify the void space and the potential accessibility of CO2 to sorptive minerals or OM within tight rocks allows for improved estimation of the CO2 storage resource potential of organic-rich shales and other unconventional formations. The information derived from the image analysis techniques was used to refine NETL’s method for estimating regional-scale CO2 storage resources in collaboration with staff from NETL. An additional goal of this work was to better understand rates of CO2 permeation, flow pathways, and sorption in organic-rich shales and nonshale reservoir rocks and to evaluate potential changes in CO2 flow over time. The EERC conducted long-duration (several weeks) CO2 flow-through testing at reservoir conditions using Bakken shale and nonshale samples to assess CO2 permeation rates and retention/sorption within core plugs to represent bulk matrix behavior. Conventional isothermal adsorption testing over a range of pressure conditions was also performed on pulverized Bakken samples to better assess potential maximum sorptive capacity of the samples. The results of this testing illustrated the higher sorptive capacity of the Bakken shales when compared to the sorptive capacity of the nonshale reservoir rock, which contains very little OM when compared to the Bakken shales. The results also illustrate the differences in permeation behavior as a function of fracture flow versus matrix flow. In an attempt to visualize CO2 permeation and flow behavior in Bakken shale samples over time, the EERC collaborated with NETL’s CT Lab in Morgantown, West Virginia. A variety of tests were performed at the NETL lab on unfractured and fractured samples of the Bakken shale. The unfractured Bakken shale samples did not result in CO2 migration within the samples over the testing duration; thus imagery of CO2 migration pathways within the matrix of Bakken samples was not obtained. The results of the flow-through testing within fractured samples illustrate changes in CO2 permeation rates over time, with a trend of decreasing CO2 flow over time. The results of this effort suggest that FESEM analysis coupled with advanced image analysis and machine learning techniques are effective in characterizing and quantifying the mineralogy, porosity, fractures, and OM content of 2-D imagery at the high resolution needed to identify features of interest in tight rocks. In addition, the image analysis techniques allow for identification and quantification of different porosity types as well as the key mineral components and/or OM that CO2 would contact in the reservoir as it migrates through pores and fracture networks. This is key information needed to better estimate the CO2 storage resource potential of organic-rich shales and other tight reservoirs. Additional work is needed to determine the sorptive capacity of the individual sample components (OM and clay minerals) at reservoir conditions so that this approach and the refined CO2 storage resource equation can be applied to other shale and unconventional reservoirs. In addition, subsequent work should be performed to better understand the number of images needed to use stereological approaches to estimate the volume of sample components using 2-D imagery, to explore machine learning techniques to differentiate between induced vs. natural fractures, and to estimate the connectivity of pores and fracture networks using 2-D imagery. Being able to derive this information at the microscale would facilitate scaling up of the sample characterization data used for reservoir modeling and simulation to estimate the CO2 storage resource potential of tight formations.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

A computer vision algorithm for interpreting lacustrine carbonate textures at Searles Valley, USA

Investigations of the paleohydrologies of pluvial lake systems have often employed lake carbonate deposits called “tufa” that grow subaqueously and can be preserved long after the drying of the lake. For this reason, tufa have been used as a proxy for minimum lake level. However, they exhibit a variety of textures that hold the potential to reveal richer paleoclimatological information. With the goal of determining if tufa texture can be used as a proxy for lake environment, this study investigates the textures of tufa at Mono Lake, California in comparison to the fossil tufa in Searles Valley, California. While observations in the last century suggest that the tufa in the Mono basin grew in waters similar to the modern, the tufa at Searles formed during the last glacial period, when the Great Basin contained a system of pluvial lakes on the scale of the modern Great Lakes. The tufa at both basins have been observed to have a range of classifiable textures, and new methods of inspecting visual data could be informative about what factors control these textures. To this end, a t-Distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE) algorithm is used to project images of the tufa at Searles and Mono into a coordinate space, allowing for simple, quantitative comparisons of the visual similarity of textures. In this work, the textures of tufa at Searles are compared to each other, as well as to the tufa at Mono. This study performs a robust assessment of the feasibility of Mono Lake as a modern analogue for Searles Valley. It finds that there is a justifiable basis for the comparison of certain fossil facies at Searles to the tufa at Mono, significant progress towards the goal of using texture as a metric for the environment in which tufa formed.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Neutrino point source searches for dark matter spikes

Any dark matter spikes surrounding black holes in our Galaxy are sites of significant dark matter annihilation, leading to a potentially detectable neutrino signal. In this paper we examine 10-10 5 M ⊙ black holes associated with dark matter spikes that formed in early minihalos and still exist in our Milky Way Galaxy today, in light of neutrino data from the ANTARES and IceCube detectors. In various regions of the sky, we determine the minimum distance away from the solar system that a dark matter spike must be in order to have not been detected as a neutrino point source for a variety of representative dark matter annihilation channels. Given these constraints on the distribution of dark matter spikes in the Galaxy, we place significant limits on the formation of the first generation of stars in early minihalos — stronger than previous limits from gamma-ray searches in Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope data. The larger black holes considered in this paper may arise as the remnants of Dark Stars after the dark matter fuel is exhausted; thus neutrino observations may be used to constrain the properties of Dark Stars. The limits are particularly strong for heavier WIMPs. For WIMP masses ~ 5TeV, we show that ≲ 10 % of minihalos can host first stars that collapse into BHs larger than 10 3 M ⊙ .

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Novel covariance-based neutrality test of time-series data reveals asymmetries in ecological and economic systems

Systems as diverse as the interacting species in a community, alleles at a genetic locus, and companies in a market are characterized by competition (over resources, space, capital, etc) and adaptation. Neutral theory, built around the hypothesis that individual performance is independent of group membership, has found utility across the disciplines of ecology, population genetics, and economics, both because of the success of the neutral hypothesis in predicting system properties and because deviations from these predictions provide information about the underlying dynamics. However, most tests of neutrality are weak, based on static system properties such as species-abundance distributions or the number of singletons in a sample. Time-series data provide a window onto a system’s dynamics, and should furnish tests of the neutral hypothesis that are more powerful to detect deviations from neutrality and more informative about to the type of competitive asymmetry that drives the deviation. Here, we present a neutrality test for time-series data. We apply this test to several microbial time-series and financial time-series and find that most of these systems are not neutral. Our test isolates the covariance structure of neutral competition, thus facilitating further exploration of the nature of asymmetry in the covariance structure of competitive systems. Much like neutrality tests from population genetics that use relative abundance distributions have enabled researchers to scan entire genomes for genes under selection, we anticipate our time-series test will be useful for quick significance tests of neutrality across a range of ecological, economic, and sociological systems for which time-series data are available. Here, future work can use our test to categorize and compare the dynamic fingerprints of particular competitive asymmetries (frequency dependence, volatility smiles, etc) to improve forecasting and management of complex adaptive systems.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

The Old Host-galaxy Environment of SSS17a, the First Electromagnetic Counterpart to a Gravitational-wave Source

We present an analysis of the host-galaxy environment of Swope Supernova Survey 2017a (SSS17a), the discovery of an electromagnetic counterpart to a gravitational-wave source, GW170817. SSS17a occurred 1.9 kpc (in projection; 10 farcs 2) from the nucleus of NGC 4993, an S0 galaxy at a distance of 40 Mpc. We present a Hubble Space Telescope (HST) pre-trigger image of NGC 4993, Magellan optical spectroscopy of the nucleus of NGC 4993 and the location of SSS17a, and broadband UV-through-IR photometry of NGC 4993. The spectrum and broadband spectral-energy distribution indicate that NGC 4993 has a stellar mass of $\mathrm{log}(M/{M}_{\odot })={10.49}_{-0.20}^{+0.08}$ and star formation rate of 0.003 ${M}_{\odot }$ yr -1 , and the progenitor system of SSS17a likely had an age of >2.8 Gyr. There is no counterpart at the position of SSS17a in the HST pre-trigger image, indicating that the progenitor system had an absolute magnitude ${M}_{V}\gt -5.8$ mag. We detect dust lanes extending out to almost the position of SSS17a and >100 likely globular clusters associated with NGC 4993. The offset of SSS17a is similar to many short gamma-ray-burst offsets, and its progenitor system was likely bound to NGC 4993. The environment of SSS17a is consistent with an old progenitor system such as a binary neutron star system.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Uniform Subspace Correction Preconditioners for Discontinuous Galerkin Methods with hp-Refinement

In this paper, we develop subspace correction preconditioners for discontinuous Galerkin (DG) discretizations of elliptic problems with hp-refinement. These preconditioners are based on the decomposition of the DG finite element space into a conforming subspace, and a set of small nonconforming edge spaces. The conforming subspace is preconditioned using a matrix-free low-order refined technique, which in this work, we extend to the hp-refinement context using a variational restriction approach. The condition number of the resulting linear system is independent of the granularity of the mesh h, and the degree of the polynomial approximation p. The method is amenable to use with meshes of any degree of irregularity and arbitrary distribution of polynomial degrees. Furthermore, numerical examples are shown on several test cases involving adaptively and randomly refined meshes, using both the symmetric interior penalty method and the second method of Bassi and Rebay (BR2).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

End loss analyzer system for measurements of plasma flux at the C-2U divertor electrode

An end loss analyzer system consisting of electrostatic, gridded retarding-potential analyzers and pyroelectric crystal bolometers was developed to characterize the plasma loss along open field lines to the divertors of C-2U. The system measures the current and energy distribution of escaping ions as well as the total power flux to enable calculation of the energy lost per escaping electron/ion pair. Special care was taken in the construction of the analyzer elements so that they can be directly mounted to the divertor electrode. An attenuation plate at the entrance to the gridded retarding-potential analyzer reduces plasma density by a factor of 60 to prevent space charge limitations inside the device, without sacrificing its angular acceptance of ions. In addition, all of the electronics for the measurement are isolated from ground so that they can float to the bias potential of the electrode, 2 kV below ground.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

EVOLUTION OF TRANSIENT LOW-MASS X-RAY BINARIES TO REDBACK MILLISECOND PULSARS

Redback millisecond pulsars (MSPs; hereafter redbacks) are a subpopulation of eclipsing MSPs in close binaries. The formation processes of these systems are not clear. The three pulsars showing transitions between rotation- and accretion-powered states belong to both redbacks and transient low-mass X-ray binaries (LMXBs), suggesting a possible evolutionary link between them. Through binary evolution calculations, we show that the accretion disks in almost all LMXBs are subject to the thermal-viscous instability during certain evolutionary stages, and the parameter space for the disk instability covers the distribution of known redbacks in the orbital period—companion mass plane. We accordingly suggest that the abrupt reduction of the mass accretion rate during quiescence of transient LMXBs provides a plausible way to switch on the pulsar activity, leading to the formation of redbacks, if the neutron star has been spun up to be an energetic MSP. We investigate the evolution of redbacks, taking into account the evaporation feedback, and discuss its possible influence on the formation of black widow MSPs.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A panoramic view of the Local Group dwarf galaxy NGC 6822

ABSTRACT We present a panoramic survey of the isolated Local Group dwarf irregular galaxy NGC 6822. Our photometry reaches ∼2–3 mag deeper than most previous studies and spans the widest area around the dwarf compared to any prior work. We observe no stellar overdensities in the outskirts of NGC 6822 to V ∼ 30 mag arcsec−2 and a projected radius of 16.5 kpc. This indicates that NGC 6822 has not experienced any recent interaction with a companion galaxy, despite previous suggestions to the contrary. Similarly, we find no evidence for any dwarf satellites of NGC 6822 to a limiting luminosity MV ≈ −5. NGC 6822 contains a disc of H i gas and young stars, oriented at ∼60○ to an extended spheroid composed of old stellar populations. We observe no correlation between the distribution of young stars and spheroid members. Our imaging allows us to trace the spheroid to nearly 11 kpc along its major axis, commensurate with the extent of the NGC 6822 globular cluster system. We find that the spheroid becomes increasingly flattened at larger radii, and its position angle twists by up to 40○. We use Gaia EDR3 astrometry to measure a proper motion for NGC 6822, and then sample its orbital parameter space. While this galaxy has spent the majority of its life in isolation, we find that it likely passed within the virial radius of the Milky Way ∼3–4 Gyr ago. This may explain the apparent flattening and twisting observed in the outskirts of its spheroid.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

On the Verification of Deep Reinforcement Learning Solution for Intelligent Operation of Distribution Grids

Capabilities of deep reinforcement learning (DRL) in obtaining fast decision policies in high dimensional and stochastic environments have led to its extensive use in operational research, including the operation of distribution grids with high penetration of distributed energy resources (DER). However, the feasibility and robustness of DRL solutions are not guaranteed for the system operator, and hence, those solutions may be of limited practical value. This paper proposes an analytical method to find feasibility ellipsoids that represent the range of multi-dimensional system states in which the DRL solution is guaranteed to be feasible. Empirical studies and stochastic sampling determine the ratio of the discovered to the actual feasible space as a function of the sample size. In addition, the performance of logarithmic, linear, and exponential penalization of infeasibility during the DRL training are studied and compared in order to reduce the number of infeasible solutions

Hosseini, Mohammad Mehdi↗

Poking the Beehive from Space: K2 Rotation Periods for Praesepe

We analyze K2 light curves for 794 low-mass (1 ≳M{sub ∗} ≳0.1 M{sub ⊙}) members of the ≈650 Myr old open cluster Praesepe and measure rotation periods (P {sub rot}) for 677 of these stars. We find that half of the rapidly rotating ≳0.3 M{sub ⊙} stars are confirmed or candidate binary systems. The remaining ≳0.3 M{sub ⊙} fast rotators have not been searched for companions, and are therefore not confirmed single stars. We previously found that nearly all rapidly rotating ≳0.3 M{sub ⊙} stars in the Hyades are binaries, but we require deeper binary searches in Praesepe to confirm whether binaries in these two co-eval clusters have different P {sub rot} distributions. We also compare the observed P {sub rot} distribution in Praesepe to that predicted by models of angular-momentum evolution. We do not observe the clear bimodal P {sub rot} distribution predicted by Brown for >0.5 M{sub ⊙} stars at the age of Praesepe, but 0.25−0.5 M{sub ⊙} stars do show stronger bimodality. In addition, we find that >60% of early M dwarfs in Praesepe rotate more slowly than predicted at 650 Myr by Matt et al., which suggests an increase in braking efficiency for these stars relative to solar-type stars and fully convective stars. The incompleteness of surveys for binaries in open clusters likely impacts our comparison with these models since the models only attempt to describe the evolution of isolated single stars.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

SU-E-T-33: A Feasibility-Seeking Algorithm Applied to Planning of Intensity Modulated Proton Therapy: A Proof of Principle Study

Purpose: To investigate the applicability of feasibility-seeking cyclic orthogonal projections to the field of intensity modulated proton therapy (IMPT) inverse planning. Feasibility of constraints only, as opposed to optimization of a merit function, is less demanding algorithmically and holds a promise of parallel computations capability with non-cyclic orthogonal projections algorithms such as string-averaging or block-iterative strategies. Methods: A virtual 2D geometry was designed containing a C-shaped planning target volume (PTV) surrounding an organ at risk (OAR). The geometry was pixelized into 1 mm pixels. Four beams containing a subset of proton pencil beams were simulated in Geant4 to provide the system matrix A whose elements a-ij correspond to the dose delivered to pixel i by a unit intensity pencil beam j. A cyclic orthogonal projections algorithm was applied with the goal of finding a pencil beam intensity distribution that would meet the following dose requirements: D-OAR < 54 Gy and 57 Gy < D-PTV < 64.2 Gy. The cyclic algorithm was based on the concept of orthogonal projections onto half-spaces according to the Agmon-Motzkin-Schoenberg algorithm, also known as ‘ART for inequalities’. Results: The cyclic orthogonal projections algorithm resulted in less than 5% of the PTV pixels and less than 1% of OAR pixels violating their dose constraints, respectively. Because of the abutting OAR-PTV geometry and the realistic modelling of the pencil beam penumbra, complete satisfaction of the dose objectives was not achieved, although this would be a clinically acceptable plan for a meningioma abutting the brainstem, for example. Conclusion: The cyclic orthogonal projections algorithm was demonstrated to be an effective tool for inverse IMPT planning in the 2D test geometry described. We plan to further develop this linear algorithm to be capable of incorporating dose-volume constraints into the feasibility-seeking algorithm.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Enumeration reduction algorithm for the characterization of multi-primary LED systems

Multi-primary tunable LED lighting systems can generate a vast number of spectral outputs, with the exact number depending on the resolution of the control signal and number of LED primaries. Computing all combinations to identify optimal spectral power distributions (SPDs) with a specified chromaticity would require a tremendous amount of time and computational power. Here, an enumeration reduction (ER) algorithm is described to reduce the computation time by defining a bounding pyramid in the three-dimensional tristimulus space that maps to the circumscribed square of the target region in the chromaticity diagram. This method enables computing only the necessary amount of tristimulus values (and resulting chromaticity coordinates) for SPDs that fall into a user-defined target chromaticity area, reducing computation time by avoiding the need to generate each combination and calculate its chromaticity coordinates. The results show that the proposed ER algorithm can greatly reduce the time – up to 922 times in a series of tests – to determine a set of metamers compared to a full enumeration computation.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

2012 DREAM-HANE-RBR Summary Report

report documents the results of a study to determine the efficacy of radiation belt remediation systems based on chemical releases in space. The major focus areas of this study were to: 1. improve the DREAM HANE model in order to better quantify the dose that a satellite would receive under a variety of burst scenarios 2. determine the whistler wave interaction with HANE electrons needed to effectively remediate the HANE dose 3. use numerical computer simulations to understand the production of whistler waves starting from an unstable ion ring distribution 4. conduct laboratory experiments to validate the numerical simulations and further quantify the production of whistler waves starting from an unstable ion ring distribution

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

On Finding Black Holes in Photometric Microlensing Surveys

There are expected to be millions of isolated black holes in the galaxy resulting from the deaths of massive stars. Measuring the abundance and properties of this remnant population would shed light on the end stages of stellar evolution and the evolution paths of black hole systems. Detecting isolated black holes is currently only possible via gravitational microlensing, which has so far yielded one definitive detection. The difficulty in finding microlensing black holes lies in having to choose a small subset of events, based on characteristics of their light curves, to allocate expensive and scarce follow-up resources to confirm the identity of the lens. Current methods either rely on simple cuts in parameter space without using the full distribution information or are only effective on small subsets of events. In this paper, we present a new lens classification method. The classifier takes in posterior constraints on light-curve parameters and combines them with a Galactic simulation to estimate the lens class probability. This method is flexible and can be used with any set of microlensing light-curve parameters, making it applicable to large samples of events. We make this classification framework available via the popclass Python package. We apply the classifier to ~10,000 microlensing events from the Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment survey and find 23 high-probability black hole candidates. Our classifier also suggests that the only known isolated black hole is an observational outlier, according to current Galactic models, and the allocation of astrometric follow-up on this event was a high-risk strategy.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗