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NASA NTRS1986

US long distance fiber optic networks: Technology, evolution and advanced concepts. Volume 1: Executive summary

Over the past two decades, fiber optics has emerged as a highly practical and cost-efficient communications technology. Its competitiveness vis-a-vis other transmission media, especially satellite, has become a critical question. This report studies the likely evolution and application of fiber optic networks in the United States to the end of the century. The outlook for the technology of fiber systems is assessed and forecast, scenarios of the evolution of fiber optic network development are constructed, and costs to provide service are determined and examined parametrically as a function of network size and traffic carried. Volume 1 consists of the Executive Summary. Volume 2 focuses on fiber optic technology and long distance fiber optic networks. Volume 3 develops a traffic and financial model of a nationwide long distance transmission network. Among the study's most important conclusions are: revenue requirements per circuit for LATA-to-LATA fiber optic links are less than one cent per call minute; multiplex equipment, which is likely to be required in any competing system, is the largest contributor to circuit costs; the potential capacity of fiber optic cable is very large and as yet undefined; and fiber optic transmission combined with other network optimization schemes can lead to even lower costs than those identified in this study.

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NASA NTRS1986

US long distance fiber optic networks: Technology, evolution and advanced concepts. Volume 2: Fiber optic technology and long distance networks

The study projects until 2000 the evolution of long distance fiber optic networks in the U.S. Volume 1 is the Executive Summary. Volume 2 focuses on fiber optic components and systems that are directly related to the operation of long-haul networks. Optimistic, pessimistic and most likely scenarios of technology development are presented. The activities of national and regional companies implementing fiber long haul networks are also highlighted, along with an analysis of the market and regulatory forces affecting network evolution. Volume 3 presents advanced fiber optic network concept definitions. Inter-LATA traffic is quantified and forms the basis for the construction of 11-, 15-, 17-, and 23-node networks. Using the technology projections from Volume 2, a financial model identifies cost drivers and determines circuit mile costs between any two LATAs. A comparison of fiber optics with alternative transmission concludes the report.

Source record↗

NASA NTRS1986

US long distance fiber optic networks: Technology, evolution and advanced concepts. Volume 3: Advanced networks and economics

This study projects until 2000 the evolution of long distance fiber optic networks in the U.S. Volume 1 is the executive Summary. Volume 2 focuses on fiber optic components and systems that are directly related to the operation of long-haul networks. Optimistic, pessimistic and most likely scenarios of technology development are presented. The activities of national and regional companies implementing fiber long haul networks are also highlighted, along with an analysis of the market and regulatory forces affecting network evolution. Volume 3 presents advanced fiber optic network concept definitions. Inter-LATA traffic is quantified and forms the basis for the construction of 11-, 15-, 17-, and 23-node networks. Using the technology projections from Volume 2, a financial model identifies cost drivers and determines circuit mile costs between any two LATAs. A comparison of fiber optics with alternative transmission concludes the report.

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NASA NTRS1987

The dynamics and evolution of clusters of galaxies

Research was undertaken to produce a coherent picture of the formation and evolution of large-scale structures in the universe. The program is divided into projects which examine four areas: the relationship between individual galaxies and their environment; the structure and evolution of individual rich clusters of galaxies; the nature of superclusters; and the large-scale distribution of individual galaxies. A brief review of results in each area is provided.

Geller, Margaret↗

NASA NTRS1987

Analysis of planetary evolution with emphasis on differentiation and dynamics

In order to address the early stages of nebula evolution, a three-dimensional collapse code which includes not only hydrodynamics and radiative transfer, but also the effects of ionization and, possibly, magnetic fields is being addressed. As part of the examination of solar system evolution, an N-body code was developed which describes the latter stages of planet formation from the accretion of planetesimals. To test the code for accuracy and run-time efficiency, and to develop a stronger theoretical foundation, problems were studied in orbital dynamics. A regional analysis of the correlation in the gravity and topography fields of Venus was performed in order to determine the small and intermediate scale subsurface structure.

Kaula, William M.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Evolution of planetesimal velocities

A self-consistent set of equations for the velocity evolution of a general planetesimal population is presented. The equations are given in a form convenient for calculations of the early stages of planetary accumulation when it is necessary to model the planetesimal swarm by methods of gas dynamics, rather than follow the orbital evolution of individual bodies. Steady state velocities of a simple planetesimal population consisting of two different sizes of bodies are calculated. Dynamical friction is found to be an important mechanism for transferring kinetic energy from the larger planetesimals to the smaller ones. When the small planetesimals are relatively abundant, gas drag and inelastic collisions among the smaller bodies are of comparable importance for dissipating energy from the population.

Stewart, Glen R.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Implications of Viking color data for evolution of the Amenthes Region, Mars

In the Eastern Hemisphere of Mars, where the hemispheric dichotomy is not overlain by relatively recent flows from the Tharsis volcanoes, the Mars cratered terrain boundary (CTB) now exists as highly fractured terrain juxtaposed with the smooth plains of the Northern Hemisphere. Based on Mariner 9 photography, the southern cratered terrain in the Amenthes region (0 to 30 deg N, 225 to 270 deg W) is approximately 3 to 4 km above the northern plains, and the transition zone is marked by both broad plateaus and knobby terrain. In the Amenthes Southest quadrangle, in particular, the continuum between large detached plateaus, smaller smooth topped plateaus and knobby hills can be seen. To define the previous position and evolution of the boundary, the distribution of cratered terrain, characteristic landforms (knobby terrain and detached plateaus) have been mapped, as well as structural features across the boundary. Structural mapping indicates that geological formations parallel the boundary in the Eastern Hemisphere with the conclusion that CTB evolution involved normal faulting through extension perpendicular to the boundary.

Maxwell, Ted A.↗

NASA NTRS1986

A unified N-body and statistical treatment of stellar dynamics. III - Early postcollapse evolution of globular clusters

The period immediately following the core collapse phase in the evolution of a globular cluster is studied using a hybrid N-body/Fokker-Planck stellar dynamical code. Several core oscillations of the type predicted in earlier work are seen. The oscillations are driven by the formation, hardening, and ejection of binaries by three-body processes, and appear to decay on a timescale of about 10 to the 7th yr, for the choice of 'typical' cluster parameters made here. There is no evidence that they are gravothermal in nature. The mechanisms responsible for the decay are discussed in some detail. The distribution of hard binaries produced by the oscillations is compared with theoretical expectations and the longer term evolution of the system is considered.

Mcmillan, S. L. W.↗

NASA NTRS1986

The evolution of nonlinear Alfven waves subject to growth and damping

The effects of wave amplification (by streaming particle distributions) and damping (by ion-cyclotron resonance absorption) on the nonlinear evolution of Alfven waves are investigated theoretically. The results of numerical simulations based on the derivative-Schroedinger-equation model of Spangler and Sheerin (1983 and 1985) are presented graphically and characterized in detail, with an emphasis on astrophysical applications. Three phases of wave-packet evolution (linear, nonlinear-saturation, and postsaturation quasi-steady) are identified, and nonlinearity is found to transfer wave energy from growing or amplified wavenumbers to wavenumbers affected by damping. It is pointed out that although there are similarities between the solitonlike pulses predicted by the simulations and short-wavelength shocklet structures observed in the earth bow shock, the model does not explain why low-frequency waves stop growing in the vicinity of the bow shock.

Spangler, S. R.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Spectral evolution in young active galactic nuclei

The spectral evolution of AGNs is discussed within the context of a scenario where the cosmic X-ray background (CXB) is dominated by these sources. Attention is draqwn to the fact that the individually observed AGN X-ray spectra are significantly steeper than that of the CXB. The remarkably flat spectrum thereby required for the 'as-yet' unresolved sources of the residual CXB is interpreted as an observational constraint on an earlier stage of AGN evolution. Assuming black hole disk accretion, a picture emerges where young AGNs are compact Eddington limited thermal X-ray sources and where canonical AGNs represent later stages in which they have become appreciably less compact, exhibiting the importance of nonthermal disk-dynamo processes.

Boldt, E.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Quasar evolution and luminosity function - An X-ray perspective

X-ray properties of optically selected QSOs are reviewed, and their implications for the QSO evolution and luminosity function are summarized. Analyses of the explicit dependence of the X-ray to optical luminosity ratio parameter alpha (a,x) on redshift z and optical luminosity Lo are described, and results from a recent analysis of complete, magnitude-limited samples of optically selected QSOs are presented. It is shown that probably all optically-selected QSOs are X-ray loud and that comparisons of the optical evolution and luminosity function, combined with the alpha(o,x)(z,Lo) dependence, with X-ray-selected samples are numerically sensitive to the details of the input.

Avni, Y.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Carbon combustion supernovae - Numerical studies of the final evolution of degenerate carbon-oxygen cores

The evolution of polytropic 1.46-solar-mass 3-Gg/cu cm (4 x 10 to the 8th)-K pure C cores is investigated theoretically by means of model computations starting from the runaway stage. The temperature in central zones is raised to the runaway temperature, and the evolution is followed in a spherical coordinate system. In models of burning without detonation, it is found that the initially spherical burning front is Rayleigh-Taylor unstable, without bipolar jets or equatorial rings; that some C is not burned to Ni; and that the Ni in the 0.8-1.0 solar mass of burned fuel produced can account for observed properties of type I supernovae.

Mueller, E.↗

NASA NTRS1986

The X-ray background and the evolution of quasars

The contribution of QSOs and active galaxies to the 2-10-keV X-ray background is calculated theoretically, assuming that the X-ray luminosity of each GSO has a power-law time evolution (dL/dt = AL exp alpha) and applying the continuity equation to derive the X-ray luminosity function at arbitrary redshift. The observed X-ray background is shown to require alpha greater than 1.2, ruling out pure luminosity evolution (alpha = 1).

Tucker, W. H.↗

NASA NTRS1986

The global evolution of the primordial solar nebula

Complete radial, time-dependent calculations of the structure and evolution of the primordial solar nebula during the viscous diffusion stage are presented. The viscous stress is derived from analytic one-zone models of the vertical nebular structure based on detailed grain opacities. Comparisons with full numerical integrations indicate that the effective viscous alpha parameter is about 0.01. The evolution time of a minimum mass nebula is one-million yr or less. The flow pattern of fluid elements in the disk is examined and the implications the results have on the theory of the formation of the solar system are discussed.

Ruden, S. P.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Bolometric luminosity evolution

The observations made by IRAS are capable of detecting evolution in the OB star formation rates of galaxies at cosmologically interesting redshifts if that evolution takes the form of star formation rates ten or more times higher than seen in nearby galaxies. Spectroscopic follow-up observations of IRAS-selected galaxies, and IRAS source counts, indicate that there may indeed exist a rare population of galaxies with such high star formation rates. The most luminous found so far approach quasars in luminosity.

Lonsdale, Carol J.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Evolution and infrared spectra of brown dwarfs

Self-consistent models are constructed for the structure, evolution, and observable properties of degenerately cooling objects, or 'brown dwarfs'. Model atmospheres composed of a range of likely gaseous and particulate opacity sources are calculated in order to provide a boundary condition for interior temperature-pressure profiles and to determine the emergent spectra for such objects. The radius derived from the interior models is combined with the emergent fluxes calculated from the atmosphere model to fit the data of McCarthy, Probst, and Low (1985) and to derive the luminosity and mass of VB 8B. The latter is found to be most probably an 0.05 solar mass object with effective temperature in the 1200-1500 K range and an atmosphere which very likely contains particulate absorbers. Key changes in chemical oxidation state and condensation of major constituents during the evolution of brown dwarfs are presented.

Lunine, Jonathan I.↗

NASA NTRS1986

The evolution of very low mass stars

The results of numerical evolutionary calculations for stars with masses in the range of 0.01-0.10 solar mass are presented. The stellar models by which these stars are followed from the early stages of contraction through deuterium burning to the very late stages of degenerate cooling at ages comparable to that of the Galaxy are described, and the methodology used to investigate the major uncertainties in the input physics are discussed. It is found that, for brown dwarfs with masses substantially below the end of the hydrogen-burning main sequence, the evolution of the effective temperature and bolometric luminosity are fairly well determined, despite the residual uncertainties in the input physics. In particular, the evolution is remarkably insensitive to the choice of the atmospheric opacity law at low temperatures and to the amount of mismatch in specific entropy across the stellar envelope. The minimum mass for a star to attain main-sequence status is moderately sensitive to the assumed input physics, particularly the surface boundary conditions.

Nelson, L. A.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Thermal evolution of a differentiated Ganymede and implications for surface features

Thermodynamic models are developed for the processes which controlled the evolution of the surface Ganymede, an icy Jovian satellite assumed to have a rock-rich core surrounded by a water-ice mantle. Account is taken of a heat pulse which would have arisen from a Rayleigh-Taylor instability at a deep-seated liquid-solid water interface, rapid fracturing from global stresses imposed by warm ice diapiric upwelling, impacts by large meteorites, and resurfacing by ice flows (rather than core formation). Comparisons are made with existing models for the evolution of Callisto, and the difficulties in defining a mechanism which produced the groove terrain of Ganymede are discussed.

Kirk, R. L.↗