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At least 703 records · Page 39

Realizing the Power of Near-Term Quantum Technologies

This the final report of the LDRD project entitled "Realizing the Power of Near-Term Quantum Technologies", which was tasked with laying a theoretical foundation and computational framework for quantum simulation on quantum devices, to support both future Sandia efforts and the broader academic research effort in this area. The unifying theme of the project has been the desire to delineate more clearly the interface between existent classical computing resources that are vast and reliable with emerging quantum computing resources that will be scarce and unreliable for the foreseeable future. We seek to utilize classical computing resources to judge the efficacy of quantum devices for quantum simulation tasks and determine when they exceed the performance of classical devices, thereby achieving "quantum supremacy". This task was initially pursued by adapting the general concept of "parameter space compression" to quantum simulation. An inability to scale this analysis efficiently to large-scale simulations precipitated a shift in focus to assessing quantum supremacy of a specific quantum device, a 1D Bose gas trapped in an optical lattice, that was more amenable to large-scale analysis. We also seek to reconstruct unobserved information from limited observations of a quantum device to enhance their utility. This task was initially pursued as an application of maximum entropy reconstruction. Initial attempts to improve entropy approximations for direct reconstruction by free energy minimization proved to be more difficult than expected, and the focus shifted to the development of a quantum thermostat to facilitate indirect reconstruction by evolving a quantum Markov process. An efficient quantum thermostat is broadly useful for quantum state preparation in almost any quantum simulation task. In the middle of the project, a small opportunistic investment was made in a high-risk experiment to build an analog quantum simulator out of hole quantum dots in Ge/SiGe heterostructures. While a useful simulator was not produced, hole quantum dots at a Ge/SiGe interface have been successfully observed for the first time.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Data analysis using scale-space filtering and Bayesian probabilistic reasoning

This paper describes a program for analysis of output curves from Differential Thermal Analyzer (DTA). The program first extracts probabilistic qualitative features from a DTA curve of a soil sample, and then uses Bayesian probabilistic reasoning to infer the mineral in the soil. The qualifier module employs a simple and efficient extension of scale-space filtering suitable for handling DTA data. We have observed that points can vanish from contours in the scale-space image when filtering operations are not highly accurate. To handle the problem of vanishing points, perceptual organizations heuristics are used to group the points into lines. Next, these lines are grouped into contours by using additional heuristics. Probabilities are associated with these contours using domain-specific correlations. A Bayes tree classifier processes probabilistic features to infer the presence of different minerals in the soil. Experiments show that the algorithm that uses domain-specific correlation to infer qualitative features outperforms a domain-independent algorithm that does not.

Kulkarni, Deepak↗

Discovery of a Blind Geothermal System in Southern Gabbs Valley, Western Nevada, through Application of the Play Fairway Analysis at Multiple Scales

The Great Basin region is capable of generating much greater amounts of geothermal energy than currently produced. Most geothermal resources in this region are blind, and thus favorable characteristics for geothermal activity must be synthesized and methodologies developed to discover new commercial-grade systems. The geothermal play fairway concept involves integration of multiple parameters indicative of geothermal activity to identify promising areas for new development. In the Nevada play fairway project, geologic, geochemical, and geophysical parameters were initially synthesized to produce a new geothermal potential map of 96,000 km2. Southern Gabbs Valley in western Nevada is a particularly promising site selected for detailed study. It contains favorable structural settings, including Quaternary fault intersections and a displacement transfer zone. Geologic, geophysical, and geochemical techniques were employed to define the most likely sites for high permeability and select targets for temperature-gradient holes. Permeability models were revised to reflect results of detailed analyses and generate new detailed play fairway maps. The most promising site lies in an area of multiple fault intersections in a broader displacement transfer zone directly north of the Petrified Springs dextral fault, as revealed by gravity, magnetic, and MT data. A 2-m temperature anomaly and warm temperature gradient wells (~120oC at ~150 m depth) confirm the presence of a geothermal system and provide initial validation of the play fairway methodology. The system is blind, with no surface hot springs, fumaroles, or paleo-geothermal deposits. Lessons learned in the detailed studies include: 1) initially identified sites commonly include multiple favorable settings at a finer scale; 2) promising sites in Cenozoic basins cannot be recognized without detailed geophysical surveys; and 3) play fairway analysis is critical at multiple scales.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

- Analysis of a scaled wind turbine on a floating semisubmersible in an ocean basin

The Offshore Code Comparison, Collaboration, Continued, with Correlation (OC5) is an international research project run under the International Energy Agency (IEA) Wind Task 30. The project is focused on validating the tools used design offshore wind systems. OC5 consists of four phases. • Phase 2: Analysis of a scaled wind turbine on a floating semisubmersible in an ocean basin This website provides the data used for validation in these four phases, as well as simulation results from multiple participants.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Small scale wind perturbation analysis for vertically rising launch vehicles

This paper discusses the determination of small-scale vertical wind spectra used with space flight and ballistic technology. In particular, Jimsphere, a precision balloon wind sensor with high radar reflectivity is considered. Gross wind velocity data is analyzed to subtract the steady-state wind and wind change-shear effects. A residue of small wind perturbations is left in the horizontal (scalar) along the vertical direction. An analysis leading to formulation of the covariance function with altitude is presented. The function is decoupled to yield an almost periodic representation of the vertical wind perturbations. Forcing functions are determined when the representation is coupled with the vehicle velocity characteristics.

Chenoweth, H. B.↗

Vectoring into Potential Blind Geothermal Systems in the Granite Springs Valley Area, Western Nevada: Application of the Play Fairway Analysis at Multiple Scales

The Great Basin region of the western USA is capable of generating much greater amounts of geothermal energy than currently produced. Most geothermal resources in this region are blind, and thus the favorable characteristics for geothermal activity must be synthesized and methodologies developed to discover new commercial-grade systems. The geothermal play fairway concept involves integration of multiple parameters indicative of geothermal activity as a means of identifying promising areas for new development. In the Nevada play fairway project, nine geologic, geochemical, and geophysical parameters were initially synthesized to produce a new geothermal potential map of 96,000 km2. Granite Springs Valley in western Nevada is a particularly promising site selected for detailed study. It contains several favorable structural settings, including terminations of major Quaternary normal faults and fault intersections. Geologic, geophysical, and geochemical techniques were employed to define the most likely sites for high permeability and select drilling targets for temperature-gradient holes. Local and intermediate permeability models were revised to reflect results of detailed analyses and generate new detailed play fairway maps of the area. The most promising site lies in the northeastern part of the basin directly east of Adobe Flat, where the horse-tailing termination of a major normal fault (as revealed by new gravity data), opaline sinter deposits, warm shallow wells, and a low-resistivity anomaly are collocated. Geothermometry suggests a blind system with temperatures as high as ~130°C in this area. Four new temperature-gradient holes document temperatures of ~80°C at ~150 m depth. Lessons learned in the detailed studies of this project include: 1) initially identified sites commonly include multiple favorable settings at a finer scale; 2) promising sites in Cenozoic basins cannot be well defined without detailed geophysical surveys; and 3) play fairway analysis is critical at multiple scales, providing a means to select regional prospects as well as vectoring into drilling targets at individual sites.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Applications of Data Assimilation to Analysis of the Ocean on Large Scales

It is commonplace to begin talks on this topic by noting that oceanographic data are too scarce and sparse to provide complete initial and boundary conditions for large-scale ocean models. Even considering the availability of remotely-sensed data such as radar altimetry from the TOPEX and ERS-1 satellites, a glance at a map of available subsurface data should convince most observers that this is still the case. Data are still too sparse for comprehensive treatment of interannual to interdecadal climate change through the use of models, since the new data sets have not been around for very long. In view of the dearth of data, we must note that the overall picture is changing rapidly. Recently, there have been a number of large scale ocean analysis and prediction efforts, some of which now run on an operational or at least quasi-operational basis, most notably the model based analyses of the tropical oceans. These programs are modeled on numerical weather prediction. Aside from the success of the global tide models, assimilation of data in the tropics, in support of prediction and analysis of seasonal to interannual climate change, is probably the area of large scale ocean modeling and data assimilation in which the most progress has been made. Climate change is a problem which is particularly suited to advanced data assimilation methods. Linear models are useful, and the linear theory can be exploited. For the most part, the data are sufficiently sparse that implementation of advanced methods is worthwhile. As an example of a large scale data assimilation experiment with a recent extensive data set, we present results of a tropical ocean experiment in which the Kalman filter was used to assimilate three years of altimetric data from Geosat into a coarsely resolved linearized long wave shallow water model. Since nonlinear processes dominate the local dynamic signal outside the tropics, subsurface dynamical quantities cannot be reliably inferred from surface height anomalies. Because of its potential for large scale synoptic coverage of the deep ocean, acoustic travel time data should be a natural complement to satellite altimetry. Satellite data give us vertical integrals associated with thermodynamic and dynamic processes.

Miller, Robert N.↗

Multi-scaled normal mode analysis method for dynamics simulation of protein-membrane complexes: A case study of potassium channel gating motion correlations

Membrane proteins play critically important roles in many cellular activities such as ions and small molecule transportation, signal recognition, and transduction. In order to fulfill their functions, these proteins must be placed in different membrane environments and a variety of protein-lipid interactions may affect the behavior of these proteins. One of the key effects of protein-lipid interactions is their ability to change the dynamics status of membrane proteins, thus adjusting their functions. Here, we present a multi-scaled normal mode analysis (mNMA) method to study the dynamics perturbation to the membrane proteins imposed by lipid bi-layer membrane fluctuations. In mNMA, channel proteins are simulated at all-atom level while the membrane is described with a coarse-grained model. mNMA calculations clearly show that channel gating motion can tightly couple with a variety of membrane deformations, including bending and twisting. We then examined bi-channel systems where two channels were separated with different distances. From mNMA calculations, we observed both positive and negative gating correlations between two neighboring channels, and the correlation has a maximum as the channel center-to-center distance is close to 2.5 times of their diameter. This distance is larger than recently found maximum attraction distance between two proteins embedded in membrane which is 1.5 times of the protein size, indicating that membrane fluctuation might impose collective motions among proteins within a larger area. The hybrid resolution feature in mNMA provides atomic dynamics information for key components in the system without costing much computer resource. We expect it to be a conventional simulation tool for ordinary laboratories to study the dynamics of very complicated biological assemblies. The source code is available upon request to the authors.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The topology of large-scale structure. III - Analysis of observations

A recently developed algorithm for quantitatively measuring the topology of large-scale structures in the universe was applied to a number of important observational data sets. The data sets included an Abell (1958) cluster sample out to Vmax = 22,600 km/sec, the Giovanelli and Haynes (1985) sample out to Vmax = 11,800 km/sec, the CfA sample out to Vmax = 5000 km/sec, the Thuan and Schneider (1988) dwarf sample out to Vmax = 3000 km/sec, and the Tully (1987) sample out to Vmax = 3000 km/sec. It was found that, when the topology is studied on smoothing scales significantly larger than the correlation length (i.e., smoothing length, lambda, not below 1200 km/sec), the topology is spongelike and is consistent with the standard model in which the structure seen today has grown from small fluctuations caused by random noise in the early universe. When the topology is studied on the scale of lambda of about 600 km/sec, a small shift is observed in the genus curve in the direction of a 'meatball' topology.

Gott, J. Richard, III↗

Examination of Validation Outlier Cases Using the Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis Tools of SCALE 6.1

In the course of criticality code validation, outlier cases are frequently encountered. Historically, the causes of these unexpected results could be diagnosed only through comparison with other similar cases or through the known presence of a unique component of the critical experiment. The sensitivity and uncertainty (S/U) analysis tools available in the SCALE 6.1 code system provide a much broader range of options to examine underlying causes of outlier cases. This paper presents some case studies performed as a part of the recent validation of the KENO codes in SCALE 6.1 using S/U tools to examine potential causes of biases.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Multi-scale Quantitative Risk Analysis of Seabed Minerals: Principles and Application to Seafloor Massive Sulfide Prospects

The potential for mining hydrothermal mineral deposits on the seafloor, such as seafloor massive sulfides, has become technically possible, and some companies (currently not many) are considering their exploration and development. Yet, no present methodology has been designed to quantify the ore potential and assess the risks relative to prospectivity at prospect and regional scales. Multi-scale exploration techniques, similar to those of the play analysis that are used in the oil and gas industry, can help to fulfill this task by identifying the characteristics of geologic environments indicative of ore-forming processes. Such characteristics can represent a combination of, e.g., heat source, pathway, trap and reservoir that all dictate how and where ore components are mobilized from source to deposition. In this study, the understanding of these key elements is developed as a mineral system, which serves as a guide for mapping the risk of the presence or absence of ore-forming processes within the region of interest (the permissive tract). The risk analysis is carried out using geoscience data, and it is paired with quantitative resource estimation analysis to estimate the in-place mineral potential. Resource estimates are simulated stochastically with the help of available data (bathymetric features in this study), conventional grade–tonnage models and Monte Carlo simulation techniques. In this paper, the workflow for a multi-scale quantitative risk analysis, from the definition to the evaluation of a permissive tract and related prospect(s), is described with the help of multi-beam data of a known hydrothermal vent site.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Development of SCALE Tools for Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis Methodology Implementation (TSUNAMI) from SCALE 5 through SCALE 6.2

This review paper provides an abbreviated historical review of the development of the TSUNAMI capabilities in SCALE, beginning with the first initiatives, to provide new insights into validation, uncertainty quantification, and safety assessment. The tools of TSUNAMI have evolved substantially over two decades to meet the growing application analysis and experiment design needs. Even more advancements are emerging as the next generation of innovators continue to use and develop these tools.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Performance Analysis, Design Considerations, and Applications of Extreme-Scale In Situ Infrastructures

A key trend facing extreme-scale computational science is the widening gap between computational and I/O rates, and the challenge that follows is how to best gain insight from simulation data when it is increasingly impractical to save it to persistent storage for subsequent visual exploration and analysis. One approach to this challenge is centered around the idea of in situ processing, where visualization and analysis processing is performed while data is still resident in memory. This paper examines several key design and performance issues related to the idea of in situ processing at extreme scale on modern platforms: Scalability, overhead, performance measurement and analysis, comparison and contrast with a traditional post hoc approach, and interfacing with simulation codes. We illustrate these principles in practice with studies, conducted on large-scale HPC platforms, that include a miniapplication and multiple science application codes, one of which demonstrates in situ methods in use at greater than 1M-way concurrency.

Ayachit, Utkarsh↗

Automatic generation and simulation of urban building energy models based on city datasets for city-scale building retrofit analysis

Buildings in cities consume 30–70% of total primary energy, and improving building energy efficiency is one of the key strategies towards sustainable urbanization. Urban building energy models (UBEM) can support city managers to evaluate and prioritize energy conservation measures (ECMs) for investment and the design of incentive and rebate programs. This paper presents the retrofit analysis feature of City Building Energy Saver (CityBES) to automatically generate and simulate UBEM using EnergyPlus based on cities’ building datasets and user-selected ECMs. CityBES is a new open web-based tool to support city-scale building energy efficiency strategic plans and programs. The technical details of using CityBES for UBEM generation and simulation are introduced, including the workflow, key assumptions, and major databases. Also presented is a case study that analyzes the potential retrofit energy use and energy cost savings of five individual ECMs and two measure packages for 940 office and retail buildings in six city districts in northeast San Francisco, United States. The results show that: (1) all five measures together can save 23–38% of site energy per building; (2) replacing lighting with light-emitting diode lamps and adding air economizers to existing heating, ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems are most cost-effective with an average payback of 2.0 and 4.3 years, respectively; and (3) it is not economical to upgrade HVAC systems or replace windows in San Francisco due to the city's mild climate and minimal cooling and heating loads. Furthermore, the CityBES retrofit analysis feature does not require users to have deep knowledge of building systems or technologies for the generation and simulation of building energy models, which helps overcome major technical barriers for city managers and their consultants to adopt UBEM.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Preliminary Design of Engineering-Scale Salt Accident Analysis Facility to Support Molten Salt Reactor Licensing

Systems-level nuclear accident analysis codes for reactor licensing must be validated using experimental data that represent behaviors expected during actual full-scale accidents. Some behaviors may arise from coupled processes and only manifest at large scales. This report presents the preliminary design of the Salt Accident Analysis Facility (SAAF, pronounced “safe”), which is an experimental test facility to be constructed at Argonne that can be used to conduct integrated salt accident tests at an engineering scale. The measurement capabilities of the SAAF are based on previously developed methods and will provide the representative datasets that are needed to support molten salt reactor (MSR) licensing. Details of the design, the processes to be quantified, the measurement techniques for quantifying the processes, the variables that can be adjusted to simulate different accident scenarios, and operational considerations are presented herein. This report provides stakeholders the opportunity to give feedback on the test facility capabilities and planned analyses before it is constructed.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Optimal Execution of Co-analysis for Large-scale Molecular Dynamics Simulations

The analysis of scientific simulation data enables scientists to derive insights from their simulations. This analysis of the simulation output can be performed at the same execution site as the simulation using the same resources or can be done at a different site. The optimal output frequency is challenging to decide and is often chosen empirically. We propose a mathematical formulation for choosing the optimal frequency of data transfer for analysis and the feasibility of performing the analysis, under the given resource constraints such as network bandwidth, disk space, available memory, and computation time. We propose formulations for two cases of co-analysis -- local and remote. We consider various analyses features such as computation time, input data and memory requirement, importance of the analysis and minimum frequency required for performing the analysis. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach using molecular dynamics applications on the Mira and Edison supercomputers.

analysis↗

Mobility analysis, simulation, and scale model testing for the design of wheeled planetary rovers

The use of computer based techniques to model and simulate wheeled rovers on rough natural terrains is considered. Physical models of a prototype vehicle can be used to test the correlation of the simulations in scaled testing. The computer approaches include a quasi-static planar or two dimensional analysis and design tool based on the traction necessary for the vehicle to have imminent mobility. The computer program modeled a six by six wheel drive vehicle of original kinematic configuration, called the Rocker Bogie. The Rocker Bogie was optimized using the quasi-static software with respect to its articulation parameters prior to fabrication of a prototype. In another approach used, the dynamics of the Rocker Bogie vehicle in 3-D space was modeled on an engineering workstation using commercial software. The model included the complex and nonlinear interaction of the tire and terrain. The results of the investigation yielded numerical and graphical results of the rover traversing rough terrain on the earth, moon, and Mars. In addition, animations of the rover excursions were also generated. A prototype vehicle was then used in a series of testbed and field experiments. Correspondence was then established between the computer models and the physical model. The results indicated the utility of the quasi-static tool for configurational design, as well as the predictive ability of the 3-D simulation to model the dynamic behavior of the vehicle over short traverses.

Lindemann, Randel A.↗

Floods and Heavy Precipitation at the Global Scale: 100‐Year Analysis and 180‐Year Reconstruction

Floods and heavy precipitation have disruptive impacts worldwide, but their historical variability remains only partially understood at the global scale. This article aims at reducing this knowledge gap by jointly analyzing seasonal maxima of streamflow and precipitation at more than 3,000 stations over a 100‐year period. The analysis is based on Hidden Climate Indices (HCIs). Like standard climate indices (e.g., Nino 3.4, NAO), HCIs are used as covariates explaining the temporal variability of data, but unlike them, HCIs are estimated from the data. In this work, a distinction is made between common HCIs, that affect both heavy precipitation and floods, and specific HCIs, that exclusively affect one or the other. Overall, HCIs do not show noticeable autocorrelation, but some are affected by noticeable trends. In particular, strong and wide‐ranging trends are identified in precipitation‐specific HCIs, while trends affecting flood‐specific HCIs are weaker and have more localized effects. A probabilistic model is then derived to link HCIs and large‐scale atmospheric variables (pressure, wind, temperature) and to reconstruct HCIs since 1836 using the 20CRv3 reanalysis. In turn this allows estimating the probability of occurrence of floods and heavy precipitation at the global scale. This 180‐year reconstruction highlights flood hot‐spots and hot‐moments in the distant past, well before the establishment of perennial monitoring networks. Finally, the approach presented in this study is generic and paves the way for an improved characterization of historical variability by making a better use of long but highly irregular station data sets.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗