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Predicting the Dissolution Rate of Borosilicate Glasses using QSPR analysis based on molecular dynamics simulations
Quantitative Structure Property Relationship (QSPR) analysis based on molecular dynamics (MD) simulations is a promising approach for establishing the composition-property relationships of glass and other materials with complex structures. A series of 20 borosilicate and boroaluminosilicate glasses have been modeled by using MD simulations with recently developed effective potentials. Short- and medium-range structures of these glasses were analyzed and, based on these structural information, QSPR analysis of the initial dissolution rate (r0) was made and compared with measured r0 at 90°C and pH 9 using various structural descriptors such as percentage of bridging oxygen species, network connectivity and average ring size. The structural descriptors, Fnet, containing energetic information such as single bond strength and other structural information were also used. It was found that overall network connectivity, average ring size and Fnet give reasonable predictions of the r0 of studied glasses, given the conditions that the glasses are homogeneous and dissolve congruently. Modifying glass compositions to account preferential release of modifiers gives a better prediction for incongruently dissolving glasses. The results were compared with our recent work of predicting glass dissolution behavior from compositions using the topological-constraints-based models.
Temporal Analysis Of Products Statistical Analysis Processing
Temporal analysis of products statistical analysis package (tapsap) is a package for reading, cleaning, analyzing and making inference of temporal analysis of products (TAP) information. This package is designed with the intent for collaboration within the TAP community for advancing TAP analysis.
A novel post-processing method for progressive failure analysis of brittle composite compression
Finite element analysis of brittle materials in axial compression typically uses element deletion to allow continued global deformation post-element-failure. However, element deletion produces cyclic load-displacement curves that underestimate energy absorption and are not representative of a continuum system. Two key observations support the conclusion that results from an appropriately discretized model can be an adequate representation of a continuum system. Specifically, the frequency of the oscillations in the load-displacement curve is directly dependent upon element length in the loading direction, and the peak amplitudes of oscillations are mesh size independent. A method of post-processing the analysis results, by connecting the peak amplitudes of oscillations, is proposed and applied to a series of continuous carbon fiber composite crush tubes. The load-displacement curve, stable crushing load, and specific energy absorption of the post-processed results compare well to an experimental study of crush tubes with similar layups.
Rapid depletion analysis of flowing-pebble reactor systems at equilibrium using SCALE
Several high-temperature gas-cooled reactor concepts (and more recently, salt-cooled designs such as the fluoride salt-cooled high-temperature reactor) feature core designs employing continuously circulating fuel pebbles. These reactor designs permit both continuous online refueling of fuel elements as well as higher overall achievable discharge burnups. However, rapid calculation of time-dependent fuel isotopic inventories proves challenging for this class of dynamic systems with current analysis tools. While iterative approaches employing coupled neutron transport have been developed to solve this issue, rapid depletion analysis techniques are needed to calculate time-dependent inventories for individual pebbles and batches (and thus the construction of full- core inventory at equilibrium). We propose a depletion analysis strategy for this type of system for cores at equilibrium. Drawing upon previous neutronic analysis of the PBMR-400 equilibrium core, we demonstrate the viability of developing collapsed one-group cross section libraries suitable for performing rapid depletion analyses with SCALE. (authors)
Evaluation of COTS Electronics by Power Spectrum Analysis and Multivariate Data Analysis
Power spectrum analysis (PSA) is a fast, non-destructive, sensitive method for examining commercial off-the-shelf ( COTS ) electronic components. These features make PSA attractive for both component screening and surveillance in support of component reliability efforts. Current analysis methods limit the utility of PSA due to the need to manually examine the results of analysis to identify anomalous parts. This study demonstrates the development and application of a workflow to automate the screening of COTS electronic components. Further, this study demonstrates the use of multivariate algorithms to assess aging of Zener diodes. These workflows can be readily extended to other components, combining the benefits of PSA and multivariate analysis to screen and evaluate COTS electronic components.
The Net Zero World Initiative’s Preliminary Analysis of Decarbonization Pathways for Five Countries
Under the Net Zero World Initiative, the United States is mobilizing the capabilities of nine U.S. government agencies, led by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), to partner with philanthropies and multiple countries to cocreate and implement tailored technical and investment pathways to accelerate the decarbonization of global energy systems. In addition, 10 of the DOE national laboratories have built a consortium housed in the Net Zero World Action Center to implement this vision by providing the deep analysis and modeling required to carry out the vision. As a whole-of-government program, the Net Zero World Initiative partners with countries committed to raising their climate ambitions by creating and implementing highly tailored, actionable technical and investment strategies that put a net-zero world within reach. The initiative enables country partners to harness the convening power and technical expertise of U.S. agencies and laboratories, international industry, and technical institutions while providing the United States an opportunity to learn from and deepen U.S. technical cooperation with key countries. This report is the first of a series, with future Phase II work being informed by ongoing consultations with the partner countries to address country pathway analysis priorities. This future work will likely include evaluating detailed technological, policy, and investment options for key sectors and for energy systems holistically. This analysis may examine in greater detail the economic and social benefits of net-zero energy transitions, including quality jobs and health outcomes, the impacts of price and supply volatility on energy investments and decisions, the risk of stranded assets, and related issues.
Neutronics Analysis of Heating and DPA of the Proton Beam Window and Core Vessel Nozzle Neutronics Heating Analysis for the Second Target Station
This reports details the analysis of the heating rates, dpa values and He production in the Proton Beam Window (PBW) assembly and the Core Vessel (CV) nozzle for the preliminary design for the Second Target Station (STS). This analysis focuses on the heating rates in the cooled beltline component of the CV. Neutronics calculations use a detailed unstructured mesh (UM) converted from a CAD model in SpaceClaim of the PBW and CV design of February 2024. The rest of the geometry is taken from the STS master model in constructive solid geometry (CSG). Heating is evaluated for four beam profiles, which are chosen as the most likely to produce the highest heating in the beltline component. The maximum energy deposition values in the beltline are 0.02-0.08 J/cc/pulse, depending on the beam profile. Detailed point cloud data of the full UM geometry is made available for mechanical analysis. The maximum dpa rate in the beltline steel is approximately 0.02 dpa/year, which corresponds to a lifetime of 3,000 years. These results are in good agreement with previous results for the CV. For the PBW itself, maximal heating, dpa, and He production rates are very similar to the previous analysis.
The Elastic Analysis Facility's (EAF's) Contribution to the Future of Analysis at Multi-Experiment Institutions and Future Colliders
The Elastic Analysis Facility (EAF) hosted at Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory (Fermilab) is a platform being developed with the goal of providing a fast and efficient facility for physics analysis. As high-energy physics moves towards collecting larger datasets, such as those from the High-Luminosity LHC, the EAF strives to provide a powerful and adaptable framework for future colliders and multi-experiment institutions. Currently, the EAF supports several experiments including CMS, NOvA, and DUNE as well as serving accelerator physicists and beam line operations through integrated software and secure connections to Fermilab's computing resources. In addition, the EAF was designed with a user-friendly interface, intended to be more intuitive for emerging generations of physicists, that is still accessible for established styles of analysis. The EAF can also achieve better analysis efficiency due to the modernization of software and tools that can better utilize Fermilab's computing power. Furthermore, its design incorporates industry standards whenever possible, enhancing its sustainability and making it a possible template for other national or international laboratories and research facilities. Overall, the EAF is a forward-looking solution that will meet the evolving needs of particle physics, ensuring readiness for future colliders and multi-experiment research institutions.
Importance of Sample Handling and Preparation for Surface Analysis: A Summary of ISO Standard 20579 Part 1, Documenting and Reporting the Handling of Specimens Prior to Analysis
Reliable and reproducible analysis of surfaces is critically dependent on how samples have been collected, handled, and prepared before analysis. Although there are important, well-established general guidelines to minimize unintended alteration of the surfaces to be analyzed, specific handling steps depend on the nature of the samples and information desired. Assessments of the validity and reliability of the results require adequate information about sampling, handling, and processing. ISO standard 20579 part 1 describes the information to be recorded and reported for samples that are prepared or submitted for surface analysis. This paper summarizes elements of the standard, which includes annexes that justify and inform the sample handling processes. Also included is a checklist of information that needs to be recorded and reported and an appendix containing an example of a form that might be used to report the information.
Failure analysis of a cooling pump using modal and vibration analysis
Four pumps redundantly supply cooling water to a system. All four pumps underwent maintenance during a recently scheduled downtime. During preliminary evaluation following maintenance, one pump, the subject of this document, exhibited higher vibration levels compared to the other three pumps. The pump underwent further performance testing to rule out potential damage resulting from the higher vibration. Vibration analysis and modal analysis including steady state spectrum, operational deflection shape, run up transients, and modal impact have been utilized to identify dynamic characteristics that could contribute to the increased vibration levels. This article will cover the testing setup, methodology, analysis results, and recommendations.
Analysis of Gaps in Techno-Economic Analysis to Advance Heliostat Technologies for Concentrating Solar-Thermal Power
The Heliostat Consortium (HelioCon) was launched in 2021 to advance heliostat technology. One of its first efforts was to do a detailed analysis of gaps in technology and capabilities in the heliostat industry and complete a roadmap study describing high-priority gaps. HelioCon gathered gaps through a series of outreach activities with representatives and experts from industries and research institutes. Here, this paper discusses the gap analysis for the techno-economic analysis (TEA) topic. One of the main objectives of the TEA topic is to relate the cost and performance of heliostats and heliostat components to the overall system performance. In this study, we limit the scope of this topic to the heliostat field, tower, and receiver and do not consider downstream applications or uses of thermal energy. We conducted a thorough review of existing models and compiled a list of the state of the art in open-source tools currently available to researchers. We collected an initial list of gaps for the TEA of heliostats from industry developers and experts. Each gap is briefly described, and the heliostat development cycle stages that the gap impacts are indicated. We ranked the initial list of TEA gaps into tiers depending on their potential impact. For TEA, most of the gaps identified are related to developing models or data. Strictly speaking, none of these gaps are essential for heliostat development, but all would aid in the heliostat development process.
Kepler Data Analysis: Non-Gaussian Noise and Fourier Gaussian Process Analysis of Stellar Variability
We develop a statistical analysis model of Kepler stellar flux data in the presence of planet transits, non-Gaussian noise, and stellar variability. We first develop a model for the Kepler noise probability distribution in the presence of outliers, which make the noise probability distribution non-Gaussian. We develop a signal likelihood analysis based on this probability distribution, in which we model the signal as a sum of the star variability and planetary transits. We argue that these components need to be modeled together if optimal signal is to be extracted from the data. For the stellar variability model we develop an optimal Gaussian process analysis using a Fourier-based Wiener filter approach, where the power spectrum is non-parametric and learned from the data. We develop high dimensional optimization of the objective function, where we jointly optimize all the model parameters, including thousands of star variability modes, and planet transit parameters. We apply the method to Kepler-90 data and show that it gives a better match to the stellar variability than the existing methods, and robustly handles noise outliers. As a consequence, the planet radii have a higher value than what the existing methods give, including splines and celerite.
Economic and Environmental Analysis to Evaluate the Potential Value of Co-Optima Diesel Bioblendstocks to Petroleum Refiners
The U.S. petroleum refining sector is undergoing a period of historic transformation, catalyzed by the decarbonization of the U.S. economy. Diesel-boiling-range bioblendstocks have gained traction, owing to their superior fuel properties and environmental performance as compared to traditional petroleum fuels. This work couples refinery linear programming models with life cycle assessment to quantify the potential economic and environmental benefits, and trade-offs, of blending diesel-boiling-range bioblendstocks at petroleum refineries. Linear programming models were developed in Aspen Process Industry Modeling Systems (PIMS) for three representative petroleum refinery configurations of differing complexity. Seven diesel-boiling-range bioblendstocks: 4-butoxyheptane, 5-ethyl-4-propylnonane, soy biodiesel, sludge hydrothermal liquefaction diesel, polyoxymethylene ethers, renewable diesel, and hexyl hexanoate, were investigated to identify key fuel properties that influence refineries' economics and to track the effect of adding bioblendstocks on refinery-wide cradle-to-gate greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions. These analyses considered blending levels from 10 to 30 vol% and fuel demand projections over the period 2040 to 2050. This analysis determines that bioblendstock sulfur content and cetane number are the primary fuel attributes with the potential to provide value to refiners. Life cycle assessment results indicate that the use of diesel-boiling-range bioblendstocks can reduce cradle-to-gate refinery GHG emissions by up to ~ 40 % relative to conventional refinery operations when considering carbon uptake in the supply chain of the bioblendstock. Refinery-wide marginal GHG abatement costs range from 120 to 3,600 USD2016/metric tons carbon dioxide equivalent avoided across the scenarios evaluated. Reducing the price of bioblendstocks is identified as a key to their adoption.
Causal mediation analysis in nested case-control studies using conditional logistic regression
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Techno-economic uncertainty analysis of wet waste-to-biocrude via hydrothermal liquefaction
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Tracking renewable carbon in bio-oil/crude co-processing with VGO through 13C/12C ratio analysis
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Exploratory analysis of machine learning techniques in the Nevada geothermal play fairway analysis
Play fairway analysis (PFA) is commonly used to generate geothermal potential maps and guide exploration studies, with a particular focus on locating and characterizing blind geothermal systems. This study evaluates the application of machine learning techniques to PFA in the Great Basin region of Nevada. Following the evaluation of various techniques, we identified two approaches to PFA that produced promising results, 1) supervised Bayesian probabilistic neural networks to generate geothermal potential maps with confidence intervals, and 2) unsupervised principal component analysis paired with k-means clustering to generate both cluster maps to help identify spatial patterns, as well as new combined feature inputs. We applied these techniques to perform a comparative analysis between two principal sets of geological and geophysical features related to permeability and heat and a set of positive (known geothermal resources) and negative training sites (known drill sites with unsuitable geothermal conditions). We found that these methods constrain previously unrecognized feature controls on geothermal favorability, many of which are spatially organized within the extent of cluster groups and the major structural-hydrologic domains of the study area. Furthermore, we utilized exploratory unsupervised modeling to highlight spatial relationships between input data and predictive output results of our supervised modeling. As a result, we demonstrate how our models compare to the previous Nevada PFA and how the rapid insights these machine learning techniques offer may support future assessments of both known and undiscovered blind geothermal systems in the Great Basin region of Nevada and beyond.