Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Cost Trends”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 73 records · Page 4

Array Phase Shifters: Theory and Technology

Phase shifters are linear one- or two-port devices for adjusting the reflection or insertion carrier phase of a band-limited signal, nominally from 0 to 2π radians. A perfect phase shifter would have: no insertion loss, a voltage standing wave ratio of 1:1, arbitrarily high power handling capability, linear phase-versus-frequency response, an arbitrarily small footprint, radiation immunity, no DC power consumption, and of course be free. Remarkably, real phase shifters can approach some of these idealized attributes. New processing techniques hold promise to significantly reduce manufacturing cost (see "Trends" at the end of this chapter).

Romanofsky, Robert R.↗

Limitations of Reliability for Long-Endurance Human Spaceflight

Long-endurance human spaceflight - such as missions to Mars or its moons - will present a never-before-seen maintenance logistics challenge. Crews will be in space for longer and be farther way from Earth than ever before. Resupply and abort options will be heavily constrained, and will have timescales much longer than current and past experience. Spare parts and/or redundant systems will have to be included to reduce risk. However, the high cost of transportation means that this risk reduction must be achieved while also minimizing mass. The concept of increasing system and component reliability is commonly discussed as a means to reduce risk and mass by reducing the probability that components will fail during a mission. While increased reliability can reduce maintenance logistics mass requirements, the rate of mass reduction decreases over time. In addition, reliability growth requires increased test time and cost. This paper assesses trends in test time requirements, cost, and maintenance logistics mass savings as a function of increase in Mean Time Between Failures (MTBF) for some or all of the components in a system. In general, reliability growth results in superlinear growth in test time requirements, exponential growth in cost, and sublinear benefits (in terms of logistics mass saved). These trends indicate that it is unlikely that reliability growth alone will be a cost-effective approach to maintenance logistics mass reduction and risk mitigation for long-endurance missions. This paper discusses these trends as well as other options to reduce logistics mass such as direct reduction of part mass, commonality, or In-Space Manufacturing (ISM). Overall, it is likely that some combination of all available options - including reliability growth - will be required to reduce mass and mitigate risk for future deep space missions.

Owens, Andrew C.↗

Low cost spacecraft computers: Oxymoron or future trend?

Over the last few decades, application of current terrestrial computer technology in embedded spacecraft control systems has been expensive and wrought with many technical challenges. These challenges have centered on overcoming the extreme environmental constraints (protons, neutrons, gamma radiation, cosmic rays, temperature, vibration, etc.) that often preclude direct use of commercial off-the-shelf computer technology. Reliability, fault tolerance and power have also greatly constrained the selection of spacecraft control system computers. More recently, new constraints are being felt, cost and mass in particular, that have again narrowed the degrees of freedom spacecraft designers once enjoyed. This paper discusses these challenges, how they were previously overcome, how future trends in commercial computer technology will simplify (or hinder) selection of computer technology for spacecraft control applications, and what spacecraft electronic system designers can do now to circumvent them.

Manning, Robert M.↗

Scaling trends for balance-of-system costs at land-based wind power plants: Opportunities for innovations in foundation and erection

Wind power plant sizes, hub heights, and turbine ratings have increased since 2008 to optimize the cost and performance of wind power; however, the limits of these economies of scale remain unclear. Here, we explore how the costs incurred to install turbines at a wind power plant—the balance-of-system (BOS) costs—scale with turbine rating, hub height, and plant size. We also investigate how these changes in BOS costs influence the levelized cost of energy (LCOE). We show that increasing the plant size from 150 to 400 MW could reduce the BOS costs by 21%. We also show that if the foundation costs decreased by 50%, building a wind power plant with 5-MW turbines (having rotor diameters of 166 m and hub heights of 120 m) could decrease the LCOE by 5%. These results could help inform future BOS cost-reduction opportunities and thereby reduce future capital costs for land-based wind power.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Low Cost Spacecraft Computers: Oxymoron or Future Trend?

This paper describes how future trends in commercial computer technology will simplify (or hinder) selection of computer technology for spacecraft control applications, and what spacecraft electronic system designers can do to circumvent design constraints.

spacecraft↗

Benefit-Cost Analysis for Utility-Facing Grid Modernization Investments: Trends, Challenges, and Considerations

In recent years, many electric utilities have submitted grid modernization plans for review by state public utility commissions. A central objective of these plans is to demonstrate that grid modernization investments will provide net benefits to customers, be reasonable and be in the public interest. The plans typically include some form of benefit-cost analysis, but the assumptions, methodologies and frameworks vary considerably between utilities. This report: -Describes utility-facing technologies and projects for modernizing distribution systems, including interdependencies of grid components -Highlights benefit-cost considerations related to grid modernization -Summarizes recent trends in benefit-cost analysis for grid modernization based on a review of 21 plans by U.S. electric utilities -Discusses challenges state public utility commissions face in reviewing utility plans and provides options for addressing challenges

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Cost study of solar cell space power systems

Historical costs for solar cell space power systems were evaluated. The study covered thirteen missions that represented a broad cross section of flight projects over the past decade. Fully burdened costs in terms of 1971 dollars are presented for the system and the solar array. The costs correlate reasonably well with array area and do not increase in proportion to array area. The trends for array costs support the contention that solar cell and module standardization reduce costs.

Bernatowicz, D. T.↗

Cost study of solar cell space power systems.

A study of historical costs for solar cell space power systems was made by a NASA ad hoc study group. The study covered thirteen missions that represented a broad cross-section of flight projects over the past decade. Fully burdened costs in terms of 1971 dollars are presented for the system and the solar array. The costs correlate reasonably well with array area and do not increase in proportion to array area. The trends for array costs support the contention that solar cell and module standardization would reduce costs.

Bernatowicz, D. T.↗

Heat-rejection design for large concentrating solar arrays

This paper considers the effect of heat rejection devices (radiators) on the performance and cost of large concentrating solar arrays for space application. Overall array characteristics are derived from the weight, cost, and performance of four major components; namely primary structure, optics/secondary structure, radiator, and solar panel. An ideal concentrator analysis is used to establish general cost and performance trends independent of specific array design. Both passive and heat-pipe radiation are evaluated, with an incremental cost-of-power approach used in the evaluation. Passive radiators are found to be more cost effective with silicon than with gallium arsenide (GaAs) arrays. Representative concentrating arrays have been evaluated for both near-term and advanced solar cell technology. Minimum cost of power is achieved at geometric concentration ratios in the range 2 to 6.

French, E. P.↗

Oxy-Combustion System Process Optimization

The overall objective of this work is to develop a new chemical absorbent-based, high pressure, CO 2 purification system to remove the residual oxygen that currently contaminates the recovered CO 2 , and to optimize the Pressurized Oxy-Combustion (POxC) process to minimize the Cost of Electricity (COE) generated in this advanced combustion process. TDA developed and validated the performance of the oxygen removal system for CO 2 purification. In collaboration with the Advanced Power & Energy Program (APEP) of University of California, Irvine (UCI), we optimized the POxC process, including thermal management, heat integration, and power cycle optimization using process design and modeling supported with Aspen Plus® process simulations. The techno-economic analysis results indicate that the pressurized oxycombustion coal power plant with Ion-transport membrane (ITM) air separation unit (ASU) (Case 2 – 30.55%) does not show an advantage over a cryogenic ASU (Case 1 – 31.24%) while TDA’s sorption-based ASU (Case 4 - 32.61%) shows a significant advantage over the cryogenic ASU (Case 1 – 331.24%). The specific plant costs show a wide range with a low of $2544/kW for Case 11C (TDA ASU, co-sequestering the SO x , and ultra-supercritical steam cycle) to a high of $2975/kW for Case 12A (cryogenic ASU and sCO 2 cycle). In general, the ITM ASU based cases have lower specific plant costs than the corresponding cryogenic ASU based cases while the TDA ASU based cases show the lowest specific plant costs. The main reason for lowering these costs is the higher overall plant thermal efficiency which decreases the plant cost on a $ per kW basis. Next comparing the cases with different power cycle working fluid conditions in terms of temperature and pressure while all utilizing steam, similar trends as the plant costs may be observed. However, with the supercritical CO 2 (sCO 2 ) cycle, the increase in thermal efficiency of the sCO 2 cycle was not able to offset its increase in plant cost making the plant costs higher than those of the corresponding steam cycle cases. The Cost of Electricity (COE) again shows similar trends as the specific plant costs. The COE for Case 11C at $110.1/MWh is also the lowest, but among all cases that do not co-sequester the SO x , Case 12C (TDA ASU and sCO 2 cycle) has the lowest COE at $\$$117.5/MWh while the highest is for Case 8A (cryogenic ASU and supercritical steam cycle) at $130.4/MWh.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Do photovoltaics have a future

There is major concern as to the economic practicality of widespread terrestrial use because of the high cost of the photovoltaic arrays themselves. Based on their high efficiency, photovoltaic collectors should be one of the cheapest forms of energy generators known. Present photovoltaic panels are violating the trend of lower costs with increasing efficiency due to their reliance on expensive materials. A medium technology solution should provide electricity competitive with the existing medium to high technology energy generators such as oil, coal, gas, and nuclear fission thermal plants. Programs to reduce the cost of silicon and develop reliable thin film materials have a realistic chance of producing cost effective photovoltaic panels.

Williams, B. F.↗

Energy and Water Management

Energy efficiency isn't just a good idea; it's a necessity, both for cost reasons and to meet federal regulatory requirements. First, rising energy unit costs continue to erode NASA's mission budget. NASA spent roughly $156M on facility energy in FY 2007. Although that represents less than one per cent of NASA's overall annual budget, the upward trend in energy costs concerns the agency. While NASA reduced consumption 13%, energy unit costs have risen 63%. Energy cost increases counteract the effects of energy conservation, which results in NASA buying less yet spending more. The second factor is federal energy legislation. The National Energy Conservation Policy Act, as amended by the Energy Policy Act of 2005, Executive Order (EO) 13423 (January, 2007), and the Energy Independence and Security Act (December, 2007), mandates energy/water conservation goals for all federal agencies, including NASA. There are also reporting requirements associated with this legislation. The Energy/Water Management Task was created to support NASA Headquarters Environmental Management Division (HO EMD) in meeting these requirements. With assistance from TEERM, HQ EMD compiled and submitted the NASA Annual Report to the Department of Energy FY 2007. The report contains information on how NASA is meeting federally mandated energy and water management goals. TEERM monitored input for timeliness, errors, and conformity to the new energy/water reporting guidelines and helped compile the information into the final report. TEERM also assists NASA Energy/Water Management with proposal and award calls, updates to the energy/water management database, and facilitating communication within the energy/water management community. TEERM is also supporting NASA and the Interagency Working Group (IWG) on Hydrogen and Fuel Cells. Established shortly after the President announced the Hydrogen Fuel Initiative in 2003, this IWG serves as the mechanism for collaboration among the Federal agencies involved in hydrogen-related research, development, and demonstration. TEERM developed a matrix showing all Hydrogen and Fuel Cell activities from the various NASA centers to be included in the Group's extensive hydrogen research taxonomy of past, present, and future hydrogen activities of the Federal government.

Valek, Susan E.↗

FBI fingerprint identification automation study. AIDS 3 evaluation report. Volume 2: Technical feasibility

The results of this effort are presented in a manner for use by both the AIDS 3 Operational and Economic Feasibility subtasks as well as the Development of Alternative subtask. The approach taken was to identify the major functions that appear in AIDS 3 and then to determine which technologies would be needed for support. The technologies were then examined from the point of view of reliability, throughput, security, availability, cost and possible future trends. Whenever possible graphs are given to indicate projected costs of rapidly changing technologies.

Mulhall, B. D. L.↗

Integrated Mode Choice, Small Aircraft Demand, and Airport Operations Model User's Guide

A mode choice model that generates on-demand air travel forecasts at a set of GA airports based on changes in economic characteristics, vehicle performance characteristics such as speed and cost, and demographic trends has been integrated with a model to generate itinerate aircraft operations by airplane category at a set of 3227 airports. Numerous intermediate outputs can be generated, such as the number of additional trips diverted from automobiles and schedule air by the improved performance and cost of on-demand air vehicles. The total number of transported passenger miles that are diverted is also available. From these results the number of new aircraft to service the increased demand can be calculated. Output from the models discussed is in the format to generate the origin and destination traffic flow between the 3227 airports based on solutions to a gravity model.

Yackovetsky, Robert E.↗

Simulated Fuel Usage for Drag Compensated Spacecraft in Low Earth Orbit

Atmospheric drag causes the greatest uncertainty in the spacecraft flight dynamics equation for spacecraft in Low Earth Orbit (LEO). The continuously varying atmospheric density levels require increased spacecraft tracking to accurately predict spacecraft location. In addition, periodic propulsive maneuvers must be designed and performed to counteract the effects of drag on the spacecraft orbit. If atmospheric drag effects can be continuously and autonomously counteracted through the use of a drag-free control system, they will essentially be eliminated from the spacecraft flight dynamics equation. The main perturbations on the spacecraft will then be those due to the Earth s gravitational field, which are easily predicted. Although theoretically beneficial from a flight dynamics perspective, the costs associated with drag-free control must be determined and weighed against those benefits before the feasibility of drag-free control of spacecraft in LEO can be determined. Through the use of a MATLAEV Satellite Tool Kit simulation, this paper attempts to quantify one such cost associated with drag-free control: the amount of fuel needed for continuous drag compensation as measured by cumulative orbital velocity changes, or AV. This AV cost can then be compared to the fuel required for more traditional, periodic orbit raising maneuvers of every two to four weeks. The simulation considers various sized spacecraft, as measured by the spacecraft ballistic coefficient, in circular orbits of various altitudes and inclinations. The time between orbit raising maneuvers is allowed to decrease until it approaches near continuous. In this manner, the trend in AV cost can be seen as drag compensation moves from periodic to near continuous.

Fleck, Melissa E.↗

Active control system trends

The active control concepts which achieve the benefit of improved mission performance and lower cost and generate system trends towards improved dynamic performance, more integration, and digital fly by wire mechanization are described. Analytical issues and implementation requirements and tools and approaches developed to address the analytical and implementation issues are briefly discussed.

Yore, E. E.↗

Risk/Requirements Trade-off Guidelines for Low Cost Satellite Systems

The accelerating trend toward faster, better, cheaper missions places increasing emphasis on the trade-offs between requirements and risk to reduce cost and development times, while still improving quality and reliability. The Risk/Requirement Trade-off Guidelines discussed in this paper are part of an integrated approach to address the main issues by focusing on the sum of prevention, analysis, control, or test (PACT) processes.

risk cost trade-offs failure modes↗

Techno-economic Analysis and Optimization of Point Source Solvent-Based Carbon Capture Systems at High CO2 Capture Levels for NGCC Power Plants

This poster was presented at the 2024 FECM / NETL Carbon Management Research Project Review Meeting held during Aug 5-9, 2024. It summarizes the research done as a part of CCSI2 for determining the optimal design and operating conditions of an MEA solvent-based carbon capture system connected to a commercial scale NGCC plant, operating at CO2 capture levels beyond 90%. The techno-economic optimization approach is outlined, along with the trends of key cost and performance indicators across high capture levels.

Deshpande, Anuja↗