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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 73 records · Page 4
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Electronic Structure Calculations of the Fundamental Interactions in Solvent Extraction Desalination

Solvent extraction desalination (SED) is a promising membrane-free desalination technology, but new solvents are still needed that can improve the molecular-level water selectivity, while minimizing solvent contamination in the aqueous phase. Improvements in solvent design for SED require a fundamental understanding of the molecular interactions governing solvation behavior. Herein, quantum chemical calculations are used to delineate different fundamental interactions in water-solvent systems involving 38 different solvents, with a particular focus on the role of the electrostatic potential characteristics. Furthermore, these interactions are rigorously analyzed using the independent gradient model based on Hirshfeld partition (IGMH), Symmetry-Adapted Perturbation Theory (SAPT), as well as the energy decomposition analysis based on force field (EDA-FF) to compare against a standard force field model. The solvation free energies and partition coefficients are also calculated to estimate water extraction performance in a bulk solvent system.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

QM Investigation of Rare Earth Ion Interactions with First Hydration Shell Waters and Protein-Based Coordination Models

Here, conventional methods for extracting rare earth metals (REMs) from mined mineral ores are inefficient, expensive, and environmentally damaging. Recent discovery of lanmodulin (LanM), a protein that coordinates REMs with high-affinity and selectivity over competing ions, provides inspiration for new REM refinement methods. Here, we used quantum mechanical (QM) methods to investigate trivalent lanthanide cation (Ln 3+ ) interactions with coordination systems representing bulk solvent water and protein binding sites. Energy decomposition analysis (EDA) showed differences in the energetic components of Ln 3+ interaction with representatives of solvent (water, H 2 O) and protein binding sites (acetate, CH 3 COO – ), highlighting the importance of accurate description of electrostatics and polarization in computational modeling of REM interactions with biological and bioinspired molecules. Relative binding free energies were obtained for Ln 3+ with coordination complexes originating from binding sites in PDB structures of a lanthanum binding peptide (PDB entry 7CCO) and LanM, with explicit consideration of the first hydration shell waters, according to quasi-chemical theory (QCT). Beyond the first shell, the bulk solvent environment was represented with an implicit continuum model. Ln 3+ interactions with (H 2 O) 9 and both binding site models became more favorable, moving down the periodic series. This trend was more pronounced with the protein binding site models than with water, resulting in affinity increasing with periodic number, except for the last REM, Lu 3+ , which bound less favorably than the preceding element, Yb 3+ . Using the truncated 7CCO binding site model, the magnitude and trend of the experimental Ln 3+ relative binding free energies for the whole 7CCO peptide were reproduced. Conversely, the previously reported experimental data for LanM show a preference for the earlier lanthanides; this is likely due to longer-range interactions and cooperative effects, which are not represented by the reduced models. Using the truncated 7CCO binding site model, the magnitude and trend of the experimental Ln 3+ relative binding free energies for the whole 7CCO peptide were reproduced. In contrast to the previously reported experimental data for LanM, the peptide preferentially binds the earlier lanthanides. This difference likely arises due to longer-range interactions and cooperative effects not represented by the peptide. Further investigation of Ln 3+ interactions with whole proteins using polarizable molecular mechanics models with explicit solvent is warranted to understand the influence of longer-ranged interactions, cooperativity, and bulk solvent. Nevertheless, the present work provides new insights into Ln 3+ interactions with biomolecules and presents an effective computational platform for designing specific single-site REM binding peptides more efficiently.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Mechanistic Studies of Ligand Substitution, Linkage Isomerism, and Insertion Reactions in Electron Rich Pd(II) Complexes of a Zwitterionic Diimine Ligand

We have prepared cationic palladium complexes possessing a new zwitterionic ligand bis-N,N’–1-(2,4,6-triphenylpyridyl) oxalamide [(N ^ N)Pd(Me)(L)] + [BArF] - , (BArF=3,5-(CF 3 ) 2 C 6 H 3 , L=NCMe, CO). The structure of [(N ^ N)Pd(Me)(CO)] + [BArF] - was determined by X-ray diffraction analysis. Energy Decomposition Analysis (EDA) indi-cates this N ^ N zwitterionic ligand is more electron-donating relative to bidentate diimine ligands. Low temperature NMR analysis shows the existence of linkage isomers with the N ^ N isomer the most stable. Structures were assigned using NMR and DFT analysis. Barriers to interconversion of isomers are ΔG ‡ = 10-12 kcal/mol. Kinetics of acetoni-trile displacement from [(N ^ N)Pd(Me)(NCCH 3 )] + [BArF] - by CD 3 CN, ethylene and t Bu 3 P were measured and mechanisms of exchange determined. The ethylene complex, [(N ^ N)Pd(Me)(C 2 H 4 )] + was generated at -45 °C, and the barrier of migrato-ry insertion determined at 0 °C (ΔG ‡ = 23.4 kcal/mol) and compared to related diimine complexes. The methyl carbonyl complex undergoes migratory insertion in the presence of CO at -70 to -55 °C (ΔG ‡ = ca. 15.7 kcal/mol) to yield the acyl carbonyl complex. Furthermore, the neutral bis-trimethylsilylmethyl complex [(N ^ N)Pd(CH 2 SiMe 3 ) 2 was prepared and characterized by X-ray diffraction analysis. It displays dynamic behavior at very low temperatures in the NMR spectrum (-90 °C, ΔG ‡ =7.9 kcal/mol) which, supported by DFT analysis, is ascribed to rotation of the bulky -CH 2 SiMe 3 groups.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Photoelectron spectroscopy and computational investigations of the electronic structures and noncovalent interactions of cyclodextrin-closo-dodecaborate anion complexes x-CD·B12X122- (x = a, ß, y; X = H, F)

We report a joint negative ion photoelectron spectroscopy (NIPES) and computational study on the electronic structures and noncovalent interactions of a series of cyclodextrin-closo-dodecaborate dianion complexes, ?-CD·B12X122- (? = a, ß, ?; X = H, F). The measured vertical / adiabatic detachment energies (VDEs / ADEs) are 1.15/0.93, 3.55/3.20, 3.90/3.60, and 3.85/3.60 eV for B12H122- and its a-, ß-, ?-CD complexes, respectively; while the corresponding values are 1.90/1.70, 4.00/3.60, 4.33/3.95, and 4.30/3.85 eV for the X = F case. These results show that the inclusion of B12X122- into the CD cavities greatly increase the electronic stability of the dianions. The effect of electronic stabilization for ß-CD is roughly the same as for ?-CD, both being considerably stronger than that for a-CD. Density functional theory (DFT) based geometry optimization reveals that B12X122- are inserted into CDs increasingly deeper from a-CD to ?-CD. The calculated VDEs and ADEs agree with the experiments well, particularly, reproducing the electron binding energy (EBE) trends. The molecular orbital analyses indicate that the most loosely bound photodetached electrons origin from the guest B12X122- moieties. In addition to a shift of all signals to larger EBE, significant changes in the signal patterns are observed. At low EBE, this is due to the splitting of highly degenerate B12X122- orbitals, while at high EBE, photodetachment from CD oxygens contributes to the new bands. The guest B12X122- and host CD nocovalent, size-specific interaction based on the independent gradient model (IGM) and energy decomposition analysis (EDA), is dominated by electrostatic interactions. The analysis further unravels unambiguiously the existence of dihydrogen bonding and how it affects the total energy that stabilizes the host-guest complexes of CDs·B12H122- compared to the general hydrogen bonding interaction in CDs·B12F122-. This work clearly exhibits strong influences on the electronic structures of dodecaborates upon clustering with CDs, with both size (a-, ß-, ?-) and molecular (X = H or F) specificities, thus providing critical molecular-level information on the cyclodextrin-closo-dodecaborate interactions of interest to medical applications, e.g. Boron neutron capature therapy. The NIPES experiments done at PNNL were supported by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Science, Office of Basic Energy Sciences, Division of Chemical Sciences, Geosciences and Bioscience (X.-B.W.) and was performed at the EMSL, a national scientific user facility sponsored by DOE’s Office of Biological and Environmental Research and located at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. H.S. and Z.S. acknowledge the funding support of National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos.11727810, 61720106009 and 21603074), the Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (Nos. 19JC1412200), and the Program of Introducing Talents of Discipline to Universities 111 project (B12024). Z. L. thanks the China Scholarship Council (CSC) for financial support. We acknowledge the ECNU Multifunctional Platform for Innovation (001) and HPC Research Computing Team for providing computational and storage resources. J.W. acknowledges support from the Alexander von Humboldt foundation (Feodor Lynen Fellowship and Rückkehrerstipendium), a Freigeist fellowship of the Volkswagenfoundation and Prof. Vladimir A. Azov for helpful discussions.

Li, Zhipeng↗
DOE OSTI2022

Chemical bonding in actinyl( V / VI ) dipyriamethyrin complexes for the actinide series from americium to californium: a computational investigation

The separation of minor actinides in their dioxocation (i.e., actinyl) form in high-valence oxidation states requires efficient ligands for their complexation. Here, in this work, we evaluate the complexation properties of actinyls including americyl, curyl, berkelyl, and californyl in their pentavalent and hexavalent oxidation states with the dipyriamethyrin ligand (L) using density functional theory calculations. The calculated bond parameters show shorter An&#x2550O yl bonds with covalent character and longer An–N bonds with ionic character. The bonding between the actinyl cation and the ligand anion shows a flow of charges from the ligand to actinyl in all [An V/VI O 2 –L] 1–/0 complexes. However, across the series, backdonation of charges from the metal to the ligand becomes prominent and stabilizes the complexes. The thermodynamic parameters in the gas phase and solution suggest that the complex formation reaction is spontaneous for [Cf V/VI O 2 –L] 1–/0 complexes and spontaneous at elevated temperatures (>298.15 K) for all other complexes. Spin–orbit corrections have a quantitative impact while the overall trend remains the same. Energy decomposition analysis (EDA) reveals that the interaction between actinyl and the ligand is mainly due to electrostatic contributions that decrease from Am to Cf along with an increase in orbital contributions due to the backdonation of charges from the actinyl metal center to the ligand that greatly stabilizes the Cf complex. The repulsive Pauli energy contribution is observed to increase in the case of [An V O 2 –L] 1– complexes from Am to Cf while a decrease is observed among [An VI O 2 –L] 0 complexes, showing minimum repulsion in [Cf VI O 2 –L] 0 complex formation. Overall, the hexavalent actinyl complexes show greater stability (increasing from Am to Cf) than their pentavalent counterparts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Unveiling the covalency of versatile Pu(iii)-N bonds in a unique plutonium(iii) complex

A trivalent plutonium–pyrazinyl–tetrazolate complex Na 2 [Pu(Hdtp)(dtp) 2 (H 2 O) 4 ]·9H 2 O (Pu_dtp, H 2 dtp = 2,3-di-1H-tetrazol-5-ylpyrazine) was synthesized through metathesis reaction of plutonium bromide and Na 2 (dtp)·2H 2 O in water. This structure is particularly notable among complexes formed by trivalent f-elements and the dtp 2− ligand in aqueous media. In contrast to other trivalent f-elements, including all Ln 3+ (with the exception of Pm 3+ ) and Cm 3+ , preferentially coordinated with eight water molecules rather than the nitrogen donors of the dtp 2− ligand, Pu 3+ exhibits a distinct affinity for nitrogen coordination. This observation provides strong evidence that the 5f electrons in Pu 3+ are more delocalized than other studied trivalent f-elements. In Pu_dtp, three distinct Pu(III)–N bonds are present: one Pu(III)–N5 from pyrazinyl, one Pu(III)–N4 from the least electronegative nitrogen in the tetrazolate, and three Pu(III)–N1/N2/N3 from the most electronegative nitrogens in the tetrazolate. Experimental Pu(III)–N bond lengths, Wiberg bond indices (WBI), natural localized molecular orbitals (NLMO), quantum theory of atoms in molecules (QTAIM), and energy decomposition analysis (EDA), reveal a covalency trend: Pu(III)–N from the most electronegative nitrogen in tetrazolate > Pu(III)–N from the least electronegative nitrogen in tetrazolate > Pu(III)–N from pyrazinyl. This trend arises from the increased negative charge on the most electronegative nitrogen atoms in the tetrazolate ring, enhancing electrostatic Pu–N1/N2/N3 interactions. These stronger electrostatic interactions lead to shorter bond lengths, thereby enhancing orbital overlap and greater covalency, compared to the less electronegative nitrogen in tetrazolate (Pu–N4) and the neutral pyrazinyl nitrogen (Pu–N5).

Bai, Zhuanling [Colorado School of Mines, Golden, ↗
DOE OSTI2021

Plasma performance and operational space without ELMs in DIII-D

A database of DIII-D plasmas without ELMs compares the operating space and plasma performance of stationary no-ELM regimes: RMP-ELM suppression, QH-mode, I-mode, EDA H-mode, L-mode, and negative triangularity L-mode (Neg-D). Here, operational space is documented in terms of engineering and physics parameters, revealing divergent constraints. Some operational space discriminants (like pedestal collisionality) are well known, while others, such as low torque & safety factor, or high power & density, are less commonly emphasized. Normalized performance (H-factor and betan) also discriminate the no-ELM regimes and favor regimes tolerant to power in DIII-D: RMP, QH, and Neg-D.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Experimental inference of neutral and impurity transport in Alcator C-Mod using high-resolution x-ray and ultra-violet spectra

We present experimental inferences of cross-field impurity transport coefficients for AlcatorC-Mod plasmas without edge-localized modes, leveraging a novel forward model for the entire Ca Kα spectrum, including satellite lines within the spectral range, to compare to high-resolution x-ray imaging crystal spectroscopy (XICS). These measurements are complemented by extreme ultra-violet (EUV) spectroscopy that constrains transport closer to the edge. Using new atomic data sets for both XICS and EUV analysis has enabled consideration of line ratios across both spectral ranges and has increased the accuracy of inferred transport coefficients. Inclusion of charge exchange between edge thermal neutrals and impurities is shown to be extremely important in C-Mod pedestals. Atomic D neutral densities from experimental D Lyα measurements at the midplane are compared to SOLPS-ITER simulations, finding good agreement. Bayesian inferences of impurity transport coefficients are presented for L-, EDA H-, and I-mode discharges, making use of the Aurora package for forward modeling and combining our spectroscopic constraints. Experimentally inferred diffusion profiles are found to match turbulent transport models at midradius within uncertainties, using both quasilinear gyro-fluid TGLF SAT-1 and nonlinear ion-scale gyrokinetic CGYRO simulations. Furthermore, significant discrepancies in convection are observed in some cases, suggesting difficulties in predictions of flat or hollow impurity profiles.

neutrals↗
DOE OSTI2023

LLNL/thicket

Thicket is a python-based toolkit for Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) of parallel performance data that enables performance optimization and understanding of applications’ performance on supercomputers. It bridges the performance tool gap between being able to consider only a single instance of a simulation run (e.g., single platform, single measurement tool, or single scale) and finding actionable insights in multi-dimensional, multi-scale, multi-architecture, and multi-tool performance datasets.

Brink, Stephanie Labasan↗
DOE OSTI2020

Encryption of Signal Pulses to Replace Tamper-indicating Conduit

In order to verify signal integrity and point of origin for TTL pulse data used in IAEA systems, and to avoid the need for expensive tamper-indicating conduit or electronic techniques, we propose the development of a signal pulse signing and encryption in-line device. In measurement applications in which the data acquisition electronics is separate from the enclosed, sealed detector, tamper-indicating techniques are required to protect raw TTL pulse streams between the detector and the data acquisition module, i.e UMSR. The goal of this proposed project is to design a rad-tolerant transmitter that would mount inside the sealed detector system and a receiver in the sealed electronics cabinet with the data acquisition instrument. This transmitter/receiver pair would digitally sign and encrypt the pulse stream data at the detector then transmit the data to the sealed cabinet where the receiver would decrypt the data and reproduce the original pulse stream. Existing tamper indicating techniques, such as LiveWire’s spread spectrum time domain reflectometry rely on detecting physical changes to the wiring system and can be blind to fast coupling of micro-second wide pulses. Digital signing and encryption techniques such as the Sandia Laboratories Enhanced Data Authentication System (EDAS) are capable of encrypting communications data, i.e. RS-232, but are not capable reproducing a critical time correlated data streams. Recent NA-241 Safeguards Technology supported developments have reduced the need for special conduit to transmit data via Ethernet by incorporating the IAEA RAINSTORM data encryption and authentication protocol, a tamper indicator is still required to protect raw pulse data from detectors to the acquisition electronics. Encrypting pulse data is especially complicated for radiation detection instruments due to the time correlation data analysis that is performed on this data stream. Any corruption in the timing information will produce errors in measurement values.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

China’s Bid To Lead Artificial Intelligence Chip Development within the Decade

In 2017, the Chinese government announced an ambitious, broad strategy to become the global leader in artificial intelligence (AI) theories, technologies, and applications by 2030 and indicated that China’s ability to indigenously produce cutting-edge AI chips would be integral to its success. China’s goal to become a dominant producer of AI hardware within a decade is a bold undertaking because China faces domestic chip production challenges and fierce competition from US chip producers. Our review of Chinese AI chip product lines shows various levels where Chinese companies compete with global firms in the production chain. China lacks a robust indigenous AI chip production infrastructure, and the United States and its allies are tightening controls on the supply of advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment (SME) and electronic design automation (EDA) software to China. In contrast to their Chinese counterparts, US companies operate in all areas of AI chip production and have consistently driven the development of new chip designs. AI chip production is a costly endeavor, and China’s chip producers currently lack the customer base to lead global AI chip development by the 2030 goal. An expanded customer base may help China attract the necessary expertise to bolster its AI chip production chain. This would also help Chinese producers make their investments in the requisite technology economically sustainable. Chinese researchers continue to pursue promising next-generation AI chip designs, such as neuromorphic computing-based architectures, which in the next five to ten years could position Chinese companies to make or contribute to key innovations in the field.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Exploring Explicit Uncertainty for Binary Analysis (EUBA)

Reverse engineering (RE) analysts struggle to address critical questions about the safety of binary code accurately and promptly, and their supporting program analysis tools are simply wrong sometimes. The analysis tools have to approximate in order to provide any information at all, but this means that they introduce uncertainty into their results. And those uncertainties chain from analysis to analysis. We hypothesize that exposing sources, impacts, and control of uncertainty to human binary analysts will allow the analysts to approach their hardest problems with high-powered analytic techniques that they know when to trust. Combining expertise in binary analysis algorithms, human cognition, uncertainty quantification, verification and validation, and visualization, we pursue research that should benefit binary software analysis efforts across the board. We find a strong analogy between RE and exploratory data analysis (EDA); we begin to characterize sources and types of uncertainty found in practice in RE (both in the process and in supporting analyses); we explore a domain-specific focus on uncertainty in pointer analysis, showing that more precise models do help analysts answer small information flow questions faster and more accurately; and we test a general population with domain-general sudoku problems, showing that adding "knobs" to an analysis does not significantly slow down performance. This document describes our explorations in uncertainty in binary analysis.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

AI-Enhanced Co-Design for Next-Generation Microelectronics: Innovating Innovation (Workshop Report)

On April 6-8, 2021, Sandia National Laboratories hosted a virtual workshop to explore the potential for developing AI-Enhanced Co-Design for Next-Generation Microelectronics (AICoM). The workshop brought together two themes. The first theme was articulated in the 2018 Department of Energy Office of Science (DOE SC) “Basic Research Needs for Microelectronics” (BRN) report, which called for a “fundamental rethinking” of the traditional design approach to microelectronics, in which subject matter experts (SMEs) in each microelectronics discipline (materials, devices, circuits, algorithms, etc.) work near-independently. Instead, the BRN called for a non-hierarchical, egalitarian vision of co-design, wherein “each scientific discipline informs and engages the others” in “parallel but intimately networked efforts to create radically new capabilities.” The second theme was the recognition of the continuing breakthroughs in artificial intelligence (AI) that are currently enhancing and accelerating the solution of traditional design problems in materials science, circuit design, and electronic design automation (EDA).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

AI-Enhanced Co-Design for Next-Generation Microelectronics: Innovating Innovation [Workshop Report]

In April 5-7, 2022, Sandia National Laboratories hosted a second virtual workshop to further explore the potential for developing AI-enhanced co-design for microelectronics (AICoM). This second piece in an ongoing workshop series again brought together two themes. The first theme, co-design for next generation microelectronics, was drawn from the 2018 Department of Energy Office of Science (DOE SC) “Basic Research Needs for Microelectronics” (BRN) report (DOE/SC, 2018, 2021), which called for a “fundamental rethinking” of the traditional design approach to microelectronics, in which subject matter experts (SMEs) in each microelectronics discipline (materials, devices, circuits, algorithms, etc.) work near-independently. Instead, the BRN called for a non-hierarchical, egalitarian vision of co-design, wherein “each scientific discipline informs and engages the others” in “parallel but intimately networked efforts to create radically new capabilities.” The second theme, exploiting and advancing artificial intelligence (AI) to support co-design for microelectronics, acknowledges the continuing breakthroughs in AI that are currently enhancing and accelerating solutions to traditional design problems in materials synthesis and processing, circuit design, and electronic design automation (EDA).

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Specifications and a Prototype Software to Demonstrate a Data Catalog for Hanford Datasets

Environmental management activities at the Hanford Site produce extensive data about site conditions, contaminants, and cleanup activities. Managing, archiving, and accessing that data requires a high degree of collaboration among site contractors and a high level of awareness by project managers and staff. The Hanford Site has a range of databases (e.g., Hanford Environmental Information System [HEIS]) and their associated user interfaces (e.g., Environmental Dashboard Application [EDA], Virtual Library [VL]), as well as other document management systems (e.g., Integrated Document Management System [IDMS]). However, Hanford lacks a single unified resource to find data (which itself comes in multiple formats) amongst the multiple disparate systems, not to mention ad hoc data not contained in an official repository/database.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Big Data Analytics for Long-Term Meteorological Observations at Hanford Site

A growing number of physical objects with embedded sensors with typically high volume and frequently updated data sets has accentuated the need to develop methodologies to extract useful information from big data for supporting decision making. This study applies a suite of data analytics and core principles of data science to characterize near real-time meteorological data with a focus on extreme weather events. To highlight the applicability of this work and make it more accessible from a risk management perspective, a foundation for a software platform with an intuitive Graphical User Interface (GUI) was developed to access and analyze data from a decommissioned nuclear production complex operated by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE, Richland, USA). Exploratory data analysis (EDA), involving classical non-parametric statistics, and machine learning (ML) techniques, were used to develop statistical summaries and learn characteristic features of key weather patterns and signatures. The new approach and GUI provide key insights into using big data and ML to assist site operation related to safety management strategies for extreme weather events. Specifically, this work offers a practical guide to analyzing long-term meteorological data and highlights the integration of ML and classical statistics to applied risk and decision science.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

A Probabilistic Approach to Load Modeling for Central HVAC Systems in Large Commercial Buildings for Retrofit Decisions Under Uncertainty

Retrofitting central HVAC systems in large commercial buildings with advanced technologies like heat recovery chillers (HRCs) offers a significant opportunity to enhance energy efficiency. However, analyzing these retrofits is challenging with traditional whole-building simulation tools, which require intensive calibration and struggle to model innovative system configurations and controls. To overcome these limitations, this study proposes a load profilebased retrofit analysis framework that provides better decisions under uncertainty. The main focus of this paper is the development of a probabilistic load profile model that can be used in the framework by using exploratory data analysis (EDA) of measured building data to properly quantify its inherent variability. A non-parametric Gaussian Process (GP) model was employed to capture the time- and weather-dependent characteristics of the heating load while explicitly modeling its uncertainty. The model's effectiveness is demonstrated through strong predictive performance on unseen data and physically interpretable insights into load behavior. This data-driven, probabilistic load profile serves as a robust and flexible input for subsequent system simulations, enabling a more confident and statistically sound analysis of retrofit potential.

Ham, S W↗