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Lunar and Planetary Science XXXV: Impacts on Mars and Earth

The session "Impacts on Mars and Earth" included the following reports:A Timescale for Major Events in Early Mars Crustal Evolution; Impact Craters in Arabia Terra, Mars; Ancient Giant Basin/Aquifer System in the Arabia Region, Mars; Small Crater Morphology Within Gusev Crater and Isidis Planitia: Evidence for Widespread Secondaries on Mars; Martian Surface Properties: Inferences from Resolved Differences in Crater Geometries; Asymmetric Ramparts of Secondary Craters in Cerberus, Mars: Interpretation and Implications for Local Stratigraphy; Depth to Diameter Relationships of Craters in the High Latitudes (70 -80 ) of Mars: Implications for Geologic History of Those Areas; Impact Cratering on Mars: Search for Target Influence on Morphology; Starting Conditions for Hydrothermal Systems Underneath Martian Craters: Hydrocode Modeling; Impact-induced Hydrothermal System at the Sudbury Crater: Duration, Temperatures, Mechanics, and Biological Implications; Major and Trace Element Variations in Impact Crater Clay from Chicxulub, Lonar, and Mistastin, Implications for the Martian Soil; Stable Isotopes and Hydrothermal Fluid Source in the Yaxcopoil-1 Borehole, Chicxulub Impact Structure, Mexico; and Chicxulub Impact Melts: Geochemical Signatures of Target Lithology Mixing and Post-Impact Hydrothermal Fluid Processes.

Source record↗

Uncertainties in an Observation-Based Estimate of the Global Aerosol Direct Radiative Effect

Aerosols impact Earth’s radiation budget directly through interactions with radiation and indirectly via interactions with clouds. Aerosols have significant radiative impacts on Earth’s energy budget and represent the largest uncertainty in the radiative forcing of the current climate. Although the magnitude of the aerosol direct radiative effect (DRE) is estimated to be less than that of the indirect effect, uncertainties are large. While model-based estimates of aerosol radiative forcing are subject to uncertainties in modeled aerosol properties and uncertainties in simulated cloud cover and albedo, most observation-based studies of global aerosol DRE have their own difficulties with aerosol optical properties and have been limited to cloud-free skies in most cases. Estimates of the uncertainty of the aerosol DRE are themselves uncertain and have varied widely among different published studies. In this study we use the CERES-CALIPSO-CloudSat-MODIS (C3M) product to estimate the global clear-sky and all-sky aerosol DRE. C3M merges collocated data from CERES, CALIPSO, CloudSat, and MODIS with information from reanalysis and an aerosol transport model. With CALIOP observations of aerosol below optically thin clouds and above clouds, co-located with cloud albedo from MODIS, the C3M dataset allows a detailed exploration of observational uncertainties. By perturbing the aerosol properties used and comparing radiative effects in perturbed cases with the base case we characterize uncertainties in estimated aerosol DRE due to uncertainties in the aerosol properties involved. The results also provide a basis for determining measurement requirements to improve the accuracy of DRE estimates. We will describe the approach and present results.

Dave Winker↗

Observations of Planet Crossing Asteroids

The goals of this research were the physical and dynamical characterization of planet crossing asteroids (Earth crossers, Mars crossers, Centaurs, and Pluto crossers, meaning trans-Neptunian objects), including colorimetry, rotational studies, and astrometry. Highlights are listed as follows: 1) Produced one doctoral dissertation (R. J. Whiteley, A Compositional and Dynamical Survey of the Near-Earth Asteroids). A key result is the fraction of Q-type asteroids among the near-Earth population was found to be about one-third; 2) Had prediscovery image showing the binary nature of trans-Neptunian object 1998 WW31, which is the first TNO to have a satellite found in orbit around it; 3) Discovery of shortest known rotation period for any asteroid (2000 D08, rotation period 78 seconds); it is just one of several fast-rotating small asteroids observed during the course of this project; 4) Discovery of a Centaur asteroid (1998 QM107) with, at the time, the smallest known orbital eccentricity among the Centaurs (0.13) and nearly in a 1:1 resonance with Uranus (semimajor axis of 19.9 AU); 5) Discovery of Apollo-type asteroid 1999 OW3, with a surprisingly bright absolute magnitude of 14.6 (estimated diameter of 4.6 km), brightest Apollo found in that calendar year; 6) Discovery of Aten-type asteroid 2000 SG344, which has the highest cumulative Earth impact probability among the near-Earth asteroids and a very Earth-similar orbit; 7) Instrumental in repairing the orbit of a numbered near-Earth asteroid for which prediscovery observations had been mis-attributed to it (2000 VN2); 8) Second-opposition recovery of 30-meter diameter Apollo-type asteroid 1998 KY26 in early 2002 when it was at a favorable magnitude of 24.8; 9) Primary contributor of astrometric observations of the CONTOUR fragments to the CONTOUR project following the failure of the spacecraft s kick motor; and 10) Development of orbit and ephemeris computation code that handles short observational arcs, observations at small solar elongations where indeterminacy is a known problem, and a small number of observations (including just two). Starting in 2000 November, the Spaceguard Central Node began prioritizing near-Earth asteroids in need of astrometric observation. Our own follow-up efforts relied on these listings, with emphasis given to the faintest objects where the combination of a 2.2-m telescope and a site with subarcsecond seeing produces a limiting magnitude close to 25, which represents a unique and valuable capability. The attached table, last updated in August, demonstrates the arc-lengthening capabilities of a faint limiting magnitude. Tabulated are the arc lengths before and after our observation(s), whether our observation is the last one available for the object in question, and the approximate magnitude of the object at the time of the observation.

Tholen, David J.↗

PDC19 Impact Exercise: Probabilistic Asteroid Impact Risk Assessment

Probabilistic Asteroid Impact Risk (PAIR) - PDC (Planetary Defense Conference) 2019 Hypothetical Exercise, NASA Ames, Asteroid Threat Assessment Project (ATAP) - Characterization Summary and Updates: Assessment date: 19 April 2027; Impact date: 29 April 2027 (10 days); Earth impact probability: 100 percent, New York Area; Diameter (meters): 60 plus or minus 10 (1 minus sigma), range 26–93; Energy: mean 11 megatons, range 650 kilotons to 46 megatons; Type: S class, remaining chunk of disrupted contact binary. Risk Summary: Affected population: mean 2.4 million, range zero to 10.2 million; Likely airburst at approximately16 kilometers altitude (8 to 29 kilometers); Blast overpressure is primary hazard; Damage out to approximately 70 kilometers if larger, lower burst; Little-to-no damage if burst is small and high.

Wheeler, Lorien↗

Uniform Foam Crush Testing for Multi-Mission Earth Entry Vehicle Impact Attenuation

Multi-Mission Earth Entry Vehicles (MMEEVs) are blunt-body vehicles designed with the purpose of transporting payloads from outer space to the surface of the Earth. To achieve high-reliability and minimum weight, MMEEVs avoid use of limited-reliability systems, such as parachutes and retro-rockets, instead using built-in impact attenuators to absorb energy remaining at impact to meet landing loads requirements. The Multi-Mission Systems Analysis for Planetary Entry (M-SAPE) parametric design tool is used to facilitate the design of MMEEVs and develop the trade space. Testing was conducted to characterize the material properties of several candidate impact foam attenuators to enhance M-SAPE analysis. In the current effort, four different Rohacell foams are tested at three different, uniform, strain rates (approximately 0.17, approximately 100, approximately 13,600%/s). The primary data analysis method uses a global data smoothing technique in the frequency domain to remove noise and system natural frequencies. The results from the data indicate that the filter and smoothing technique are successful in identifying the foam crush event and removing aberrations. The effect of strain rate increases with increasing foam density. The 71-WF-HT foam may support Mars Sample Return requirements. Several recommendations to improve the drop tower test technique are identified.

Patterson, Byron W.↗

Traces of Catastrophe: A Handbook of Shock-Metamorphic Effects in Terrestrial Meteorite Impact Structures

This handbook of Shock-Metamorphic Effects in Terrestrial Meteorite Impact Structures emphasizes terrestrial impact structures, field geology, and particularly the recognition and petrographic study of shock-metamorphic effects in terrestrial rocks. Individual chapters include: 1) Landscapes with Craters: Meteorite Impacts, Earth, and the Solar System; 2) Target Earth: Present, Past and Future; 3) Formation of Impact Craters; 4) Shock-Metamorphic Effects in Rocks and Minerals; 5) Shock-Metamorphosed Rocks (Impactities) in Impact Structures; 6) Impact Melts; 7) How to Find Impact Structures; and 8) What Next? Current Problems and Future Investigations.

French, Bevan M.↗

Chemical consequences of major impact events on earth

Violent cometary or asteroidal impact events comparable to that which terminated the Cretaceous era must produce large amounts of nitrogen oxides, sufficient to provide NOx mole fractions much larger than 100 ppm over areas of millions of square kilometers. Rapid production of NO2, and subsequent rainout of HNO3 and other strong acids can acidify surface waters, selectively destroying CaCO3 shells. This scenario holds the promise of explaining both the scope of Cretaceous biological extinctions and their extraordinary selectivity.

Lewis, J. S.↗

Annihilation of ecosystems by large asteroid impacts on the early earth

Large asteroid impacts produced globally lethal conditions by evaporating large volumes of ocean water on the early earth. The earth may have been continuously habitable by ecosystems that did not depend on photosynthesis as early as 4.44 Gyr BP (before present). Only a brief interval after 3.8 Gyr exists between the time when obligate photosynthetic organisms could continuously evolve and the time when the palaeontological record indicates highly evolved photosynthetic ecosystems.

Sleep, Norman H.↗

Design of Spacecraft Missions to Test Kinetic Impact for Asteroid Deflection

There are currently over 8,000 known near-Earth asteroids (NEAs), and more are being discovered on a continual basis. More than 1,200 of these are classified as Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) because their Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance (MOID) with Earth's orbit is <= 0.05 AU and their estimated diameters are >= 150 m. To date, 178 Earth impact structures have been discovered, indicating that our planet has previously been struck with devastating force by NEAs and will be struck again. Such collisions are aperiodic events and can occur at any time. A variety of techniques have been proposed to defend our planet from NEA impacts by deflecting the incoming asteroid. However, none of these techniques have been tested. Unless rigorous testing is conducted to produce reliable asteroid deflection systems, we will be forced to deploy completely untested -- and therefore unreliable -- deflection missions when a sizable asteroid on a collision course with Earth is discovered. Such missions will have a high probability of failure. We propose to address this problem with a campaign of deflection technology test missions deployed to harmless NEAs. The objective of these missions is to safely evaluate and refine the mission concepts and asteroid deflection system designs. Our current research focuses on the kinetic impactor, one of the simplest proposed asteroid deflection techniques in which a spacecraft is sent to collide with an asteroid at high relative velocity. By deploying test missions in the near future, we can characterize the performance of this deflection technique and resolve any problems inherent to its execution before needing to rely upon it during a true emergency. In this paper we present the methodology and results of our survey, including lists of NEAs for which safe and effective kinetic impactor test missions may be conducted within the next decade. Full mission designs are also presented for the NEAs which offer the best mission opportunities.

Hernandez, Sonia↗

The Frequency of Giant Impacts on Earth-Like Worlds

The late stages of terrestrial planet formation are dominated by giant impacts that collectively influence the growth, composition, and habitability of any planets that form. Hitherto, numerical models designed to explore these late stage collisions have been limited by assuming that all collisions lead to perfect accretion, and many of these studies lack the large number of realizations needed to account for the chaotic nature of N-body systems. We improve on these limitations by performing 280 simulations of planet formation around a Sun-like star, half of which used an N-body algorithm that has recently been modified to include fragmentation and hit-and-run (bouncing) collisions. We find that when fragmentation is included, the final planets formed are comparable in terms of mass and number; however, their collision histories differ significantly and the accretion time approximately doubles. We explored impacts onto Earth-like planets, which we parameterized in terms of their specific impact energies. Only 15 of our 164 Earth-analogs experienced an impact that was energetic enough to strip an entire atmosphere. To strip about half of an atmosphere requires energies comparable to recent models of the Moon-forming giant impact. Almost all Earth-analogs received at least one impact that met this criteria during the 2 Gyr simulations and the median was three giant impacts. The median time of the final giant impact was 43 Myr after the start of the simulations, leading us to conclude that the time-frame of the Moon-forming impact is typical among planetary systems around Sun-like stars.

terrestrial planet formation↗

Dynamics of large scale impacts on Venus and Earth

Large scale impacts are a key aspect of the accretion and growth of the planets, the evolution of their atmospheres, and the viability of their life forms. We have performed an extensive series of numerical calculations that examined the mechanics of impacts over a broad range of conditions and are now extending these to account for the effects of the planetary atmosphere. We have examined the effects of large scale impacts in which the trapping and compression of an atmosphere during impact is a significant factor in the transfer of energy to the atmosphere. The various energy transfer regimes and where conventional drag and trapping and subsequent compression of atmosphere between the bolide and planetary surface are significant are shown.

Okeefe, John D.↗

A general theory of impacts and mass extinctions, and the consequences of large-body impact on the Earth

The theory that large-body impacts are the primary cause of mass extinctions of life on the Earth now has a sound theoretical and observational foundation. A convergence of evidence suggests that the biosphere may be a sensitive detector of large impact events, which result in the recorded global mass extinction pulses. The astronomically observed flux of asteroids and comets in the neighborhood of the Earth, and the threshold impact size calculated to produce a global environment catastrophe, can be used to predict a time history of large impact events and related mass extinctions of life that agrees well with the record of approx. 24 extinction events in the last 540 m.y.

Rampino, M. R.↗

Earth After the Moon Forming Impact

The Hadean Earth is widely and enduringly pictured as a world of exuberant volcanism, exploding meteors, huge craters, infernal heat, and billowing sulfurous steams; i.e., a world of fire and brimstone punctuated with blows to the head. In the background the Moon looms gigantic in the sky. The popular image has given it a name that celebrates our mythic roots. A hot early Earth is an inevitable consequence of accretion. The Moon-forming impact ensured that Earth as we know it emerged from a fog of silicate vapor. The impact separated the volatiles from the silicates. It took -100 years to condense and rain out the bulk of the vaporized silicates, although relatively volatile elements may have remained present in the atmosphere throughout the magma ocena stage. The magma ocean lasted approx. 2 Myr, its lifetime prolonged by tidal heating and thermal blanketing by a thick (CO2-rich steam atmosphere. Water oceans condensed quickly after the mantle solidified, but for some 10-100 Myr the surface would have stayed warm (approx. 500 K) until the CO2 was removed into the mantle. Thereafter the faint young Sun suggests that a lifeless Earth would always have been evolving toward a bitterly cold ice world, but the cooling trend was frequently interrupted by volcanic or impact induced thaws.

Zahnle, Kevin↗

Assessing the Altitude and Dispersion of Volcanic Plumes Using MISR Multi-angle Imaging from Space: Sixteen Years of Volcanic Activity in the Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia

Volcanic eruptions represent a significant source of atmospheric aerosols and can display local, regional and global effects, impacting earth systems and human populations. In order to assess the relative impacts of these events, accurate plume injection altitude measurements are needed. In this work, volcanic plumes generated from seven Kamchatka Peninsula volcanoes (Shiveluch, Kliuchevskoi, Bezymianny, Tolbachik, Kizimen, Karymsky and Zhupanovsky), were identified using over 16 years of Multi-angle Imaging SpectroRadimeter (MISR) measurements. Eighty-eight volcanic plumes were observed by MISR, capturing 3-25% of reported events at individual volcanoes. Retrievals were most successful where high intensity events persisted over a period of weeks to months. Compared with existing ground and airborne observations, and alternative satellite-based reports compiled by the Global Volcanism Program (GVP), MISR plume height retrievals showed general consistency; the comparison reports appear to be skewed towards the region of highest concentration observed in MISR-constrained vertical plume extent. The report observations display less discrepancy with MISR toward the end of the analysis period, with improvements in the suborbital data likely the result of the deployment of new instrumentation. Conversely, the general consistency of MISR plume heights with conventionally reported observations supports the use of MISR in the ongoing assessment of volcanic activity globally, especially where other types of volcanic plume observations are unavailable. Differences between the northern (Shiveluch, Kliuchevskoi, Bezymianny and Tolbachik) and southern (Kizimen, Karymsky and Zhupanovsky) volcanoes broadly correspond to the Central Kamchatka Depression (CKD) and Eastern Volcanic Front (EVF), respectively, geological sub-regions of Kamchatka distinguished by varying magma composition. For example, by comparison with reanalysis-model simulations of local meteorological conditions, CKD plumes generally were less constrained by mid-tropospheric (< 6 km) layers of vertical stability above the boundary layer, suggesting that these eruptions were more energetic than those in the EVF

Kamchatka↗

Volcanology from Space: Iceland

Volcanoes represent a significant source of airborne particles that can produce local, regional and global effects, impacting Earth systems and human health. Individual eruption characteristics influence their environmental impact. Satellite monitoring provides global observations even for remote volcanoes. Changes in volcanic emissions correspond to variations in the magma plumbing system. By tracking emissions we aim to help understand the processes occurring at depth.

Flower, Verity J. B.↗

Reactivity change in a fast-spectrum space power reactor due to a 328-meter-per-second (1075-ft/sec) impact

Application of nuclear reactors in space will present operational problems. One such problem is the possibility of an earth impact at velocities in excess of 305 m/sec (1000 ft/sec). This report shows the results of an impact against concrete at 328 m/sec (1075 ft/sec) and examines the deformed core to estimate the range of activity inserted as a result of the impact. The results of this examination are that the deformation of the reactor core within the containment vessel left only an estimated 2.7 percent void in the core and that the reactivity inserted due to this impact deformation could be from 4.0 to 10.25 dollars.

Peoples, J. A., Jr.↗

The Impact and Recovery of Asteroid 2018 LA

The June 2, 2018 impact of asteroid 2018 LA over Botswana is only the second asteroid detected in space prior to impacting over land. Here, we report on the successful recovery of meteorites. Additional astrometric data refine the approach orbit and define the spin period and shape of the asteroid. Video observations of the fireball constrain the asteroid's position in its orbit and were used to triangulate the location of the fireball's main flare over the Central Kalahari Game Reserve. Twenty-three meteorites were recovered. A consortium study of eight of these classifies Motopi Pan as an HED polymict breccia derived from howardite, cumulate and basaltic eucrite, and diogenite lithologies. Before impact, 2018 LA was a solid rock of ~156 cm diameter with high bulk density ~2.85 g cm^(−3), a relatively low albedo pV ~ 0.25, no significant opposition effect on the asteroid brightness, and an impact kinetic energy of ~0.2 kt. The orbit of 2018 LA is consistent with an origin at Vesta (or its Vestoids) and delivery into an Earth-impacting orbit via the ν6 resonance. The impact that ejected 2018 LA in an orbit toward Earth occurred 22.8 ± 3.8 Ma ago. Zircons record a concordant U-Pb age of 4563 ± 11 Ma and a consistent 207Pb/206Pb age of 4563 ± 6 Ma. A much younger Pb-Pb phosphate resetting age of 4234 ± 41 Ma was found. From this impact chronology, we discuss what is the possible source crater of Motopi Pan and the age of Vesta's Veneneia impact basin.

Peter Jenniskens↗

The Impact and Recovery of Asteroid 2018 LA

The June 2, 2018 impact of asteroid 2018 LA over Botswana is only the second asteroid detected in space prior to impacting over land. Here, we report on the successful recovery of meteorites. Additional astrometric data refine the approach orbit and define the spin period and shape of the asteroid. Video observations of the fireball constrain the asteroid’s position in its orbit and were used to triangulate the location of the fireball’s main flare over the Central Kalahari Game Reserve. Twenty-three meteorites were recovered. A consortium study of eight of these classifies Motopi Pan as an HED polymict breccia derived from howardite, cumulate and basaltic eucrite, and diogenite lithologies. Before impact, 2018 LA was a solid rock of ~156 cm diameter with high bulk density ~2.85 g cm(exp -3), a relatively low albedo p(sub v) ~0.25, no significant opposition effect on the asteroid brightness, and an impact kinetic energy of ~0.2 kt. The orbit of 2018 LA is consistent with an origin at Vesta (or its Vestoids) and delivery into an Earth-impacting orbit via the m6 resonance. The impact that ejected 2018 LA in an orbit toward Earth occurred 22.8 ± 3.8 Ma ago. Zircons record a concordant U-Pb age of 4563 ± 11 Ma and a consistent 207Pb/206Pb age of 4563 ± 6 Ma. A much younger Pb-Pb phosphate resetting age of 4234 ± 41 Ma was found. From this impact chronology, we discuss what is the possible source crater of Motopi Pan and the age of Vesta’s Veneneia impact basin.

Peter Jenniskens↗