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At least 73 records · Page 4

Mitigating Impact Through Community-Engaged Flood Modeling

Urban pluvial flooding poses a growing threat to the city of Baltimore, driven by heavy rainfall, increased impervious area, and aging infrastructure. Adapting to the risks posed by pluvial flooding is critical for building greater climate resiliency in Baltimore's Inner Harbor Watershed. This study addresses these challenges through community-informed decision analysis, which uses hydrologic modeling and optimization tools to identify robust flooding adaptation pathways. We will collaborate with community partners to identify key concerns and objectives regarding flooding. These concerns have been purposefully built in to a combined surface-subsurface dynamic flow simulation model. Model outputs are used to identify flooding locations within the Inner Harbor, and to test adaptation methods. Machine learning will be used search for solutions which meet diverse environmental, financial, and social goals, and solution performance will be examined under a wide range of potential future climatic conditions and integrated with an adaptive planning approach. This novel set of adaptation pathways will enhance the City's capacity to respond to evolving pluvial flood risk.

climate resilience↗

Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise

The land ice contribution to global mean sea level rise has not yet been predicted using ice sheet and glacier models for the latest set of socio-economic scenarios, nor using coordinated exploration of uncertainties arising from the various computer models involved. Two recent international projects generated a large suite of projections using multiple models, but primarily used previous-generation scenarios and climate models, and could not fully explore known uncertainties. Here we estimate probability distributions for these projections under the new scenarios using statistical emulation of the ice sheet and glacier models. In this work, we find that limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius would halve the land ice contribution to twenty-first-century sea level rise, relative to current emissions pledges. The median decreases from 25 to 13 centimetres sea level equivalent (SLE) by 2100, with glaciers responsible for half the sea level contribution. The projected Antarctic contribution does not show a clear response to the emissions scenario, owing to uncertainties in the competing processes of increasing ice loss and snowfall accumulation in a warming climate. However, under risk-averse (pessimistic) assumptions, Antarctic ice loss could be five times higher, increasing the median land ice contribution to 42 centimetres SLE under current policies and pledges, with the 95th percentile projection exceeding half a metre even under 1.5 degrees Celsius warming. This would severely limit the possibility of mitigating future coastal flooding. Given this large range (between 13 centimetres SLE using the main projections under 1.5 degrees Celsius warming and 42 centimetres SLE using risk-averse projections under current pledges), adaptation planning for twenty-first-century sea level rise must account for a factor-of-three uncertainty in the land ice contribution until climate policies and the Antarctic response are further constrained.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

FFTSF: Revisiting Sub-Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting with Simple Feedforward Network

Accurate short-to-subseasonal streamflow forecasts are vital for water management, including flood preparedness, drought mitigation, hydropower scheduling, and ecosystem protection. However, extending a forecast beyond a few days remains challenging due to complexity of hydrological processes. While recent self-attention based transformer architectures such as iTransformer have gained traction in time-series forecasting, these models suffer from several critical limitations: (1) significant computational overhead that scales quadratically with sequence length, (2) vulnerability to overfitting on limited hydrological datasets, (3) degraded performance on long-horizon forecasts due to attention decay, and (4) excessive architectural complexity that hampers interpretability and operational deployment. In this study, we propose a simple Feedforward Time Series Forecasting (FFTSF) network that directly addresses these limitations through its lightweight architecture and long-range forecasting capabilities. We evaluate FFTSF across 178 USGS stream gauges spanning diverse climate regimes by forecasting lead times of 1-, 7-, 14-, and 30-days. Our results demonstrate that FFTSF achieves competitive performance at short lead times (NSE of 0.778 for 1-day forecasts) while substantially outperforming complex baselines at longer forecast period, achieving the highest NSE (0.271) at 30-day forecasts with greater robustness and stability. For 30-day forecasts, FFTSF achieves a 71% improvement over NLinear, 57% improvement over DLinear and 12% improvement over the computationally intensive iTransformer while requiring fewer computational resources. Our findings reveal that architectural complexity is not necessary for hydrological forecasting, demonstrating that well-designed simple models can outperform attention mechanisms for subseasonal streamflow forecasting. The computational efficiency and consistent long-range performance of FFTSF make it suitable for water management applications where reliable extended forecasts are essential.

Krishnan Kutty Ambika, Anukesh [ORNL] (ORCID:00000↗

Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise

The land ice contribution to global mean sea level rise has not yet been predicted1 using ice sheet and glacier models for the latest set of socio-economic scenarios, nor using coordinated exploration of uncertainties arising from the various computer models involved. Two recent international projects generated a large suite of projections using multiple models2,3,4,5,6,7,8, but primarily used previous-generation scenarios9 and climate models10, and could not fully explore known uncertainties. Here we estimate probability distributions for these projections under the new scenarios11,12 using statistical emulation of the ice sheet and glacier models. We find that limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius would halve the land ice contribution to twenty-first-century sea level rise, relative to current emissions pledges. The median decreases from 25 to 13 centimetres sea level equivalent (SLE) by 2100, with glaciers responsible for half the sea level contribution. The projected Antarctic contribution does not show a clear response to the emissions scenario, owing to uncertainties in the competing processes of increasing ice loss and snowfall accumulation in a warming climate. However, under risk-averse (pessimistic) assumptions, Antarctic ice loss could be five times higher, increasing the median land ice contribution to 42 centimetres SLE under current policies and pledges, with the 95th percentile projection exceeding half a metre even under 1.5 degrees Celsius warming. This would severely limit the possibility of mitigating future coastal flooding. Given this large range (between 13 centimetres SLE using the main projections under 1.5 degrees Celsius warming and 42 centimetres SLE using risk-averse projections under current pledges), adaptation planning for twenty-first-century sea level rise must account for a factor-of-three uncertainty in the land ice contribution until climate policies and the Antarctic response are further constrained.

Tamsin L. Edwards↗

Use of Remote Sensing Products for the SERVIR Project

The United Nations University (UNU) estimates that floods presently impacts greater than 520 million people per year worldwide, resulting in up to 25,000 annual deaths, extensive homelessness, disaster-induced disease, crop and livestock damage, famine, and other serious harm. Meanwhile, aid agencies such as the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) are increasingly seeking better information concerning flood hazards in order to plan for and help mitigate the effects of damaging floods. There is fertile ground to continue development of better remote sensing and modeling techniques to help manage flood related disasters. Disaster management and humanitarian aid organizations need accurate and timely information for making decisions regarding deployment of relief teams and emergency supplies during major floods. Flood maps based on the use of satellite data have proven extremely valuable to such organizations for identifying the location, extent, and severity of these events. However, despite extraordinary efforts on the part of remote sensing data providers to rapidly deliver such maps, there is typically a delay of several days or even weeks from the on-set of flooding until such maps are available to the disaster management community. This paper summarizes efforts at NASA to address this problem through development of an integrated and automated process of a) flood forecasting b) flood detection, c) satellite data acquisition, d) rapid flood mapping and distribution, and e) validation of flood forecasting and detection products.

Policelli, Frederick S.↗

Low-frequency electrochemical pulsing to manage flooding and salt precipitation in zero-gap CO 2 -to-ethylene electrolyzers

The electrochemical reduction of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) to ethylene presents a promising route for utilizing exhaust gases to produce value-added chemicals with broad manufacturing applications. While zero-gap electrolyzer architectures show great potential to enable commercial-scale CO 2 -to-ethylene conversion, their performance is often limited by failure within the first 100 hours. In this work, we demonstrate that a low-frequency electrochemical pulsing protocol effectively mitigates carbonate salt precipitation and flooding by managing water transport to and through the cathode gas diffusion electrode and associated flow fields. Operando neutron imaging further reveals the dynamics of water crossover and flooding, emphasizing the intricate interplay between electrochemical operation and ionic transport. By mitigating short-term flooding and salt precipitation failure modes, this study establishes a foundation for understanding long-term degradation mechanisms and advancing the practical viability of CO 2 electrolyzers for industrial-scale applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Multi-Mechanism Flood Hazard Assessment: Example Use Case Studies

Multi-mechanism flood (MMF) events are caused by the combined effects of more than one flooding mechanism. Although floods can result from the occurrence of individual flood mechanisms, they can (and often do) result from multiple flooding mechanisms. MMF events may be more severe than single mechanism events, or they may differ in characteristics. To facilitate comprehensive risk-informed decision-making to protect against and mitigate the effects of flood events, understanding the hazard contributions from MMFs is important. Nevertheless, conventional probabilistic flood hazard assessment approaches typically focus on individual flood hazard mechanisms. This report is part of a research project funded by the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) intended to assist NRC in developing the technical basis for guidance on developing probabilistic estimates of flood hazards for combinations of flood mechanisms. Specifically, the purpose of this report is to document two case studies to illustrate approaches for quantifying MMF hazards for inland and coastal flooding scenarios.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Central America Disasters: Using Earth Observations to Map Flooding for Disaster Monitoring, Inform Potential Risk, and Prepare for Possible Response

In November 2020, Hurricanes Eta and Iota hit Central America within weeks of each other, causing severe flooding, landslides, and widespread damage. NASA DEVELOP partnered with Comité Regional de Recursos Hidráulicos (CRRH), Centro de Coordinación para la Prevención de los Desastres en América Central y República Dominicana (CEPREDENAC), and Sistema de la Integración Centroamericana (SICA) to better understand how flooding throughout Central America has impacted and will continue to affect communities, focusing on sites in Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Belize, Nicaragua, western Panama, and eastern Costa Rica from January 2015 to October 2021. The team utilized surface reflectance data from Landsat 7 Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (ETM+), Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI), Sentinel-2 MultiSpectral Instrument (MSI), Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP) Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), and Terra Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). This project also utilized backscatter data from Sentinel-1 C-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (C-SAR) and elevation data from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM). Incorporating these Earth observations in NASA SERVIR’s Hydrologic Remote Sensing Analysis for Floods (HYDRAFloods) tool run on Google Earth Engine (GEE), the team produced historical surface water maps, a case study analysis of the two hurricanes, and a code tutorial. These results indicated that surface water increased in priority sites from 2015 to 2021, optical and SAR imagery detected similar flood patterns and extent after the hurricanes, and rainfall was concentrated on the east coast of the region. These products allow partners to make informed decisions around flooding preparation and disaster mitigation.

Caroline Williams↗

Optical and Physical Methods for Mapping Flooding with Satellite Imagery

Flood and surface water mapping is becoming increasingly necessary, as extreme flooding events worldwide can damage crop yields and contribute to billions of dollars economic damages as well as social effects including fatalities and destroyed communities (Xaio et al. 2004; Kwak et al. 2015; Mueller et al. 2016).Utilizing earth observing satellite data to map standing water from space is indispensable to flood mapping for disaster response, mitigation, prevention, and warning (McFeeters 1996; Brakenridge and Anderson 2006). Since the early 1970s(Landsat, USGS 2013), researchers have been able to remotely sense surface processes such as extreme flood events to help offset some of these problems. Researchers have demonstrated countless methods and modifications of those methods to help increase knowledge of areas at risk and areas that are flooded using remote sensing data from optical and radar systems, as well as free publically available and costly commercial datasets.

satellite imagery↗

Evaluating precipitation, streamflow, and inundation forecasting skills during extreme weather events: A case study for an urban watershed

Integrated forecasting systems for precipitation, streamflow, and floodplain inundation are of critical importance in mitigating the impacts of destructive floods caused by extreme weather events. However, the skills of streamflow and floodplain inundation forecasts derived from various Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF) require a greater level of understanding. In this paper, a set of QPF developed by the National Weather Service (NWS) were used to drive a flood modeling system obtained utilizing offline coupling of a physics-based distributed hydrological model, the Distributed Hydrology Soil and Vegetation Model (DHSVM), and a hydrodynamic model, the Two-dimensional Runoff Inundation Toolkit for Operational Needs (TRITON). This flood modeling system was used to produce forecasts of streamflow and floodplain inundation maps during three major flood events in the Brays Bayou Watershed (Houston, Texas, USA) for a range of QPF durations (6–72 h). Then, to investigate the effects of increasing QPF durations on the forecasts, the forecasting skills of precipitation, streamflow, and floodplain inundation were quantified. The results show that: 1) QPF skills for more intense and sustained events such as hurricanes and tropical storms are higher than for shorter, less intense events; 2) while QPF and streamflow forecasting skills decrease as QPF durations increase, inundation forecasts under longer QPF durations (24 or 72 h) show higher skills; 3) extending the maximum QPF duration in operational hydrologic modeling from 24 h (under normal circumstances) to 72 h (for extreme events) may increase the skills of long lead time forecasts for large-scale events like Hurricane Harvey.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Oxygen Isotopic Composition of Refractory Inclusions from the Miller Range (MIL) 090019 Carbonaceous Chondrite

Introduction: Primitive meteorites contain Calcium-Aluminum-rich Inclusions (CAIs)that preserve the records of the earliest times in the Solar System. CAIs record O isotopic variations with time and/or location from solar (16O-rich) to planetary (16O-poor) compositions [e.g., 1, 2].However, CAIs were also affected by parent body processing to varying degrees. The goal of this work was to identify the processes that resulted in the fine-scale spatial variations in oxygen isotopic compositions within the most ancient Solar System solids. We report oxygen isotopic composition of CAIs from MIL 090019 CO3.1 carbonaceous chondrite. MIL 090019 contains a high abundance of CAIs showing mineralogical as well as textural variations [3]. Methods: We analyzed 10 CAIs with different mineralogical assemblages, classified as corundum-bearing, grossite-bearing, hibonite-bearing, melilite-bearing, anorthite-bearing inclusions and amoeboid olivine aggregates(AOA’s). The mineralogical and petrological characterization of CAIs was performed using the JOEL Hyperprobe 8530 electron microprobe at NASA JSC. Oxygen isotopic imaging of the CAIs was done using the Cameca NanoSIMS 50L ion microprobe at NASA JSC. We followed the analytical protocol described in [4]. O-isotopic maps of the CAI were acquired by rastering a ~3 pA primary Cs+beam at 16 keVover an area of 20 ×20μm2over a period of ~7 hours. Negative secondary ions of 16O−, 17O−, 18O−, 28Si−, 24Mg16O−, 27Al16O−, and 40Ca16O−were simultaneously acquired using electron multiplier detectors at a mass resolving power sufficient to resolve the 16OH−interference from the 17O−peak, where the contribution of 16OH−was <0.1%.An electron flood gun was used to mitigate sample charging during the analyses. We used San Carlos olivine and Madagascar hibonite as isotopic standards to correct for the instrumental mass fractionation. The O-isotopic ratios were corrected for the quasi simultaneous arrival (QSA) effect and the detector dead time. All reported errors are 1 sigma. Results: The MIL 090019 carbonaceous chondrite hosts refractory inclusions varying in their mineralogies and textures[2, 3]. We found the oxygen isotopic compositions of mineral phases in MIL 090019 CAIs show large variations with Δ17O values varying from -27 to 0‰. A corundum-bearing inclusion records isotopic variations with corundum, melilite, perovskite, and anorthite showing Δ17Ovalues of -20 ±2.5, -10.2 ± 6.5, -10.7 ± 1.3,and -1.2 ± 3.2‰ respectively. A grossite-hibonite-bearing inclusion also records O-isotopic heterogeneity, where grossite, hibonite, Mg-rich spinel, and melilite show -3.7 ± 2.7, -22.9 ± 2.5, -21.4 ± 2.6, and -17.3 ± 2.8‰ respectively, whereas perovskite grains record a heterogenous isotopic composition ranging from -22.6 to -13.9‰. A hibonite-bearing inclusion shows average Δ17Ο values of -17.6 ± 5.3 ‰ and -15.1 ± 4.8 ‰ for hibonite and spinel respectively. The two perovskite grains also show relatively 16O-poor composition (Δ17Ο = -11.8 ± 6.4 ‰ and -8.6 ± 5.2 ‰). Anorthite has ~0.1 wt% Na2O and ~0.52 wt% FeO and a Δ17Ο value of -7.2 ± 5.0 ‰, whereas diopside records a Δ17Ο value of -3.5 ± 5.0 ‰. A hibonite-spinel-rich inclusion contains spinel and hibonite that are16O-rich (Δ17Οvalues -21.3 ± 2.8‰ and -19.4 ± 3.0‰, respectively). Melilite shows heterogenous oxygen isotopic composition, with an inner 16O-rich region and an outer 16O-poor region separated by a sharp boundary, with a bulk Δ17Ο= -16.2 ± 2.1‰, whereas two perovskite grains are relatively 16O-poor (Δ17Ο= -13.2 ± 3.7‰ and -7.1 ± 3.4‰).A spinel-rich inclusion contains perovskite grains with Δ17Οranging from -27.0 to -22.8 ‰and spinel with average Δ17Οvalue of -21.4 ± 2.8 ‰. In a melilite and spinel-rich CAI, perovskite, spinel, diopside, melilite, and Al-Ti-rich pyroxene record Δ17Ο values of-26.9 ± 4.6‰, -22.4 ± 4.3‰,-23.4 ± 4.9, -19.3 ± 3.4, and -19.0 ± 4.3 ‰ respectively. Olivine and spinel components of 2 AOA’s record a 16O-rich composition with Δ17O~-23‰. Discussion: The coexistence of 16O-rich and 16O-poor minerals within CAIs has been attributed to differing degrees of O isotopic exchange, reflecting a wide range of O diffusion rates[5]. However, the O isotopic heterogeneity observed in these CAIs cannot be explained by oxygen diffusion in nebular or parent body settings alone. The isotopic imaging of CAIs from the MIL 090019 meteorite shows variations in the O isotopic composition recorded in their mineral components, suggesting that these CAIs record the oxygen isotopic heterogeneity in the nebular gas from which they condensed. The coexistence of 16O-rich and 16O-poor mineral components in the CAI-forming region suggests that the gas in this region was not well-mixed and consisted of distinct 16O-rich and 16O-poor gaseous reservoirs.

P Mane↗

Role of underlying surface, rainstorm and antecedent wetness condition on flood responses in small and medium sized watersheds in the Yangtze River Delta region, China

Floods are becoming more frequent and are hard to control due to the shortage of water conservancy projects in small and medium sized basins, especially in developing regions. Understanding the hydrologic responses and estimated flood characteristics to storm events can help to predict flood disasters and form better effective mitigation and adaptation strategies. Here, using observations of several representative watersheds and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Principal Component Regression (PCR) models, we conducted data-driven analyses to examine the flood responding characteristics. We quantified the relative contributions of the influencing factors to the variation of each flood characteristic. Statistical analysis of the observations shows that the drainage area plays a key role in determining the distribution of lag time and peak discharge. Rainstorm variability has direct influence on floods, and typhoon-induced rainstorms with high total rainfall and rainfall intensity generate higher lag time, flood peak, unit discharge and runoff depth, but lower runoff coefficient. The ANN and PCR models accurately predicted the variations of flood features using the driving factors including physical geographical characteristics, rainstorm features, and antecedent condition. Physical geographic characteristics are key influential factors of lag time, flood peak and runoff coefficient, while the rainstorm features control the magnitude of unit discharge and runoff depth. These results indicate that floods are mainly affected by rainstorm features and physical geographic characteristics in the Yangtze River delta, and it might become more damaging with the increasing rainfall extremes and sprawling impervious surfaces in a changing environment.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluating Flood Forecasting System Performance in Cambodia During the 2019 Flood Season

Every year, Cambodia experiences both flash and prolonged riverine flooding as a result of monsoon rains and typhoons. Floods occur frequently in various parts of the region, and result in significant economic cost. Flood forecasting systems are designed to mitigate economic and social impacts, enabling people to prepare for extreme events. However, in order for forecasts to be used effectively, an assessment of the available forecasting systems is needed. In addition, following the onset of flooding, satellite imagery is used to generate flood maps to aid in response efforts. This study demonstrates the performance of regional and global flood forecasting systems over the 2019 flood season. To do this, we assess the flood forecast accuracy at different forecast lead times through a series of forecast verification metrics at gauge locations in Cambodia. We then compare the flood forecast performance to Sentinel 1 flood maps produced by the Hydrological Remote Sensing Analysis of Floods (HYDRAFloods) tool currently being co-developed by SERVIR-Mekong in collaboration with the Myanmar Department of Disaster Management. This assessment of the flood forecasting systems’ performance and comparison to generated flood maps helps provide context to forecasters and disaster managers as they make improvements to their models. Additionally, these results provide support to forecast users as they evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of different systems for taking action.

Nauman, Claire M.↗

Analyzing historical snow trends in interior Alaska

Study region The Chena River watershed in Interior Alaska, USA Study focus This study examines 40 years (water years 1982–2021) of snowpack characteristics to consider its hydrological implications in the 5350 km² Chena River basin. Using observations and a fine-scale physics model, we analyzed trends of snow water equivalent (SWE), snow onset and disappearance, and snow cover duration (SCD). New hydrological insights for the region Results indicate a decline in SWE across the modeled domain, averaging a decrease of 3 mm per decade, with larger decreases (up to 10 mm per decade) at lower elevations. While domain-averaged SWE trends were not statistically significant, observed SCD showed statistically significant decreases: −5.2, −5.0, and −4.4 days per decade at Teuchet Creek, Fairbanks F.O., and Little Chena Ridge, respectively. Notably, observations at SNOTEL stations and modeling revealed no statistically significant change in domain-averaged Rain-on-Snow (ROS) events over the 40-year period, contrasting some regional future estimates of increased ROS frequency. Peak streamflow did not consistently correlate with peak SWE levels, suggesting that other environmental factors such as ROS events and rapid temperature increases (e.g., a 10°C spike observed in 1992) are key drivers of hydrological outcomes. These findings improve understanding of complex subarctic hydrological processes impacting permafrost and highlight the need for adaptive water resource management to mitigate multi-factor risks like flooding and wildfire, requiring proactive planning.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Long-Term Chemical Analyses in Biota Collected Upstream of the Pajarito Canyon Flood Retention Structure and Los Alamos Canyon Weir at Los Alamos National Laboratory

The Cerro Grande wildfire was a major disaster that burned during the summer of 2000 in the Jemez Mountains and parts of Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL or Laboratory). As an immediate response to the fire, the United States Department of Energy generated a list of post-fire actions needed to mitigate the impacts of this disaster, including flooding and the potential for erosion. Two structures built post-fire include the Pajarito Canyon flood retention structure (FRS) and the Los Alamos Canyon weir. Environmental monitoring at these two structures has occurred since the early 2000s as part of ongoing efforts to evaluate impacts of the fire.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Unraveling the Noise: An Investigation Plan for Signal Interference in Hearing Aids

Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE) has revolutionized the performance of hearing aids with functionalities like seamless audio streaming and enhanced auditory functions. However, BLE operates within the highly congested 2.4 GHz frequency band, making it susceptible to signal interference that can degrade performance, reduce audio quality, and impact user experience. This paper documents interference patterns in BLE communication and introduces practical mitigation techniques aimed at improving the reliability of hearing aids. Attack vectors associated with Bluetooth enabled hearing aids include communication jamming, the interception of data between target devices, and GATT handle exploitation. Attackers could also use the vulnerabilities to block communications or intercept sensitive audio streams, posing significant security and privacy risks. These threats compromise two critical components of the CIA triad: (1) availability, by causing persistent connectivity issues, and (2) integrity, by enabling unauthorized data modifications. It is necessary to deal with these problems to ensure hearing aids work well and safely. This study investigates the impact of BLE signal interference on hearing aids, using tools such as HackRF [1], a Python tool to simulate interference scenarios, and Ubertooth [2] to sniff Bluetooth traffic between hearing aids and the device with the application. This paper investigates testing of BLE traffic in search of specific interference patterns that would impact the functionality of hearing aids, including jamming and flooding. This research focuses on developing robust mitigation techniques with the aim of securing BLE-enabled hearing aids against those vulnerabilities.

Baldwin, David [Savannah River National Laboratory↗

Groundwater and Terrestrial Water Storage

Most people think of groundwater as a resource, but it is also a useful indicator of climate variability and human impacts on the environment. Groundwater storage varies slowly relative to other non-frozen components of the water cycle, encapsulating long period variations and trends in surface meteorology. On seasonal to interannual timescales, groundwater is as dynamic as soil moisture, and it has been shown that groundwater storage changes have contributed to sea level variations. Groundwater monitoring well measurements are too sporadic and poorly assembled outside of the United States and a few other nations to permit direct global assessment of groundwater variability. However, observational estimates of terrestrial water storage (TWS) variations from the GRACE satellites largely represent groundwater storage variations on an interannual basis, save for high latitude/altitude (dominated by snow and ice) and wet tropical (surface water) regions. A figure maps changes in mean annual TWS from 2009 to 2010, based on GRACE, reflecting hydroclimatic conditions in 2010. Severe droughts impacted Russia and the Amazon, and drier than normal weather also affected the Indochinese peninsula, parts of central and southern Africa, and western Australia. Groundwater depletion continued in northern India, while heavy rains in California helped to replenish aquifers that have been depleted by drought and withdrawals for irrigation, though they are still below normal levels. Droughts in northern Argentina and western China similarly abated. Wet weather raised aquifer levels broadly across western Europe. Rains in eastern Australia caused flooding to the north and helped to mitigate a decade long drought in the south. Significant reductions in TWS seen in the coast of Alaska and the Patagonian Andes represent ongoing glacier melt, not groundwater depletion. Figures plot time series of zonal mean and global GRACE derived non-seasonal TWS anomalies (deviation from the mean of each month of the year) excluding Greenland and Antarctica. The two figures show that 2010 was the driest year since 2003. The drought in the Amazon was largely responsible, but an excess of water in 2009 seems to have buffered that drought to some extent. The drying trend in the 25-55 deg S zone is a combination of Patagonian glacier melt and drought in parts of Australia.

Rodell, Matthew↗