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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 73 records · Page 4
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Are better combinations of DERs more profitable?: Combinatorial optimization for aggregation of DERs in wholesale electricity markets

Recently, regulatory changes in various countries have enabled the participation of small-scale distributed energy resources (DERs) aggregated in virtual power plants (VPPs) in wholesale electricity markets. The inherent uncertainty and variability of resources comprising VPPs can lead to imbalances between forecasted and metered outputs, potentially resulting in the deficient settlement of generation under imbalance settlement rules. To address this challenge, it is essential to manage variability in the planning phase and uncertainty in the operation phase. Most current research focuses on managing forecasting errors in the operational phase, with insufficient attention given to the planning phase. Here, to bridge this gap, this paper proposes an optimal combination strategy for DERs to maximize the market participation revenue of VPPs by proactively managing variability in the planning phase. To estimate the expected revenue, we conducted analyses for homogeneous and heterogeneous DERs using Monte Carlo simulations and genetic algorithms. Remarkably, the proposed method demonstrated approximately 8 % higher revenue compared to the neighboring group case when considering diversity in DER set configuration with equal proportions of photovoltaics and wind.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2025

Hybrid data-driven cement-stabilized soil design: An integration of machine learning, multi-objective optimization, and life cycle assessment

Soil stabilization is crucial in geotechnical engineering, yet conventional methods are often time-consuming, resource-intensive, and environmentally unsustainable. Despite growing interest in Machine Learning (ML) and optimization tools for mix design, few studies integrate these methods with decision-making techniques and environmental assessment to support practical implementation. This study proposes a hybrid data-driven framework for predicting strength, optimizing mix compositions, and evaluating environmental impacts via life cycle assessment of cement-stabilized soft soils. Six ML models were evaluated, and the top-performing eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) model was further improved using the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO). The optimized XGB-GWO model, integrated with a polynomial cost function, served as the objective function in a multi-objective optimization problem solved via the Non-Dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II), with final mix selection guided by the entropy-weighted TOPSIS method. Validation through a case study produced mix designs offering superior strength-cost trade-offs, with the optimal mix achieving 2243.2 kPa unconfined compressive strength and a 16.07 % reduction in carbon emissions compared to the highest-cost design. In conclusion, this study offers a sustainable, scalable approach to soil stabilization and supports informed decision-making in construction.

Life cycle assessment↗
DOE OSTI2025

Parallel derivative-free optimization for simulation-based design of behind-the-meter energy systems

In this work, the integrated design and dispatch of behind-the-meter or distributed resources (e.g. stationary battery storage and solar PV generation) is considered. A simulation-based framework is employed, generating high-fidelity results with closed-loop predictive control at a fine resolution, at the expense of high computational cost (several minutes to a few hours per design point). To address this challenge, parallel derivative-free design methods are considered. Four methods are compared, including state-of-the-art surrogate-based methods (Radial-Basis Functions and Gaussian processes) and sampling strategies, an evolutionary-based method, and a simple sequential grid refinement method. As a case study, two types of design problem with increasing complexity are considered, namely, the design of behind-the-meter resources (three design variables) and the inclusion of grid capacity (four design variables). The second yields a constrained design problem for which violations can only be determined after solving the computationally expensive simulation. For the three-dimensional case, all methods present a good performance, achieving a solution within 1% of the optimum after the first iteration, with the sequential grid refinement exhibiting the fastest convergence and achieving the best final objective value. This indicates that the parallel evaluation of multiple sampling points may be more important than the choice of method for small decision spaces. For the four-dimensional constrained case, the Genetic Algorithm presents the best tradeoff between performance and computational effort, while the rough objective function terrain generated by constraint violation penalties reduces the performance of surrogate-based methods. Contour plots with flat regions indicate flexibility in the optimal design and highlight the importance of characterizing the solution space.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2026

Statorless mixed flow turbine for transonic pulsating inflow

Effective harvesting of power from high speed highly transient inflows such as the outflow of rotating detonation combustors (RDCs) is key to achieving their promised cycle efficiency step jump. To increase power density and efficiency simultaneously, a concept that can directly ingest transonic outflow, addressing the choking is needed, i.e. without additional transition elements. A new statorless design was assessed using a comprehensive approach to quantify all contributions to loss generation in transient flows, locally and globally. The turbine rotor was designed under steady flow conditions with a genetic algorithm. The comparison of power and loss generation between steady and unsteady flow results shows that a design methodology under steady-state conditions is suitable to characterize the performance of different designs. Three design families were further assessed under highly transient transonic conditions including traveling shock waves with a relative total pressure amplitude of 149.6% around the mean value and inflow angle variations from -26.5 deg to +51.8 deg. The oblique shock impinging on the pressure side (PS) of the turbine augments the shaft power extraction. When the oblique shock reflects between the pressure side and suction side (SS), its strength diminishes. This paper provides design guidelines on efficient turbine work extraction from the shocks emanating from detonation combustors.

rotating detonation engines↗
DOE OSTI2026

Hydrogen Production System Scaling Using a High-Fidelity Simulation-Optimization Framework

Proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyzers are widely used for hydrogen production, yet few validated, high-fidelity tools can reliably guide scale-up. Using measured performance from a 50-hour hardware-in-the-loop pilot test, a physics-based, plant-level model of a 1.25 MW PEM electrolyzer and its balance-of-plant (BoP) subsystems is developed and validated. The model couples electrochemistry and thermal/flow submodels and is calibrated against pilot test data via a genetic algorithm (GA) workflow. Validation yields a mean absolute percentage error (APE) of 0.43% for cell voltage and stack power. Two scale-out strategies are then benchmarked under a common 7-day wind-and-photovoltaic (PV) profile: (i) linear duplication of 1.25 MW blocks and (ii) shared-BoP architectures. Sharing BoP between stacks reduces BoP energy by 27% at 10 MW and 34% at 100 MW (vs. linear duplication) and improves system specific energy consumption (SEC) to 52.9 and 52.6 kWh/kg, respectively (from 54.0 kWh/kg with linear duplication). Partial-load studies (25-100% set-point) show that cumulative hydrogen production remains nearly constant down to 50% load because all cases use the same weekly renewable-energy input. Below 50%, the power cap limits how much energy can be used within 168 h, which reduces hydrogen output. The model further indicates that the practical operating optimum lies between 50% and 85% load, where efficiency gains begin to appear without significant loss in hydrogen output. Moreover, the efficiency gains at lower loads are offset by reduced production. The validated framework supports scenario-based engineering trade-off studies for large configurations (10-100 MW) and for operating policies under variable renewables.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2026

Optimizing fluvial flood mitigation strategies: A multi-objective approach for cost-effective and socially-aware infrastructure feasibility analysis

Effective levee planning must balance capital cost, risk reduction, and community priorities. These objectives are rarely optimized together. This study presents a feasibility phase, simulationin-the-loop framework that couples terrain-based flood modeling with a socially aware multiobjective optimizer. Flood risk is measured as Expected Annual Exposed Population (EAEP), obtained by integrating exposure over Annual Exceedance Probability (AEP) nodes, mirroring the Hydrologic Engineering Center's Flood Damage Reduction Analysis (HEC-FDA) expected-annual formulation but with people rather than dollars. Exposure per scenario is computed by overlaying binary inundation masks with a population surface at the tract level. Distributional fairness is encoded through a Group Benefit Share (GBS) constraint that requires high-SVI tracts to receive at least a baseline share of annualized benefits. Capital cost is represented by a height-dependent unit-cost model suitable for screening. This study addresses the two-objective problem, minimize cost and expected annual exposure subject to the GBS constraint, using Non-Dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) and leveraging Pareto front for feasibility phase decision making. Implemented with terrain-based flood modeling, GeoFlood, for rapid scenario evaluation, the framework is demonstrated in Southeast Texas. The results reveal clear trade-offs among cost, risk, and social benefits and identify non-dominated levee height configurations that satisfy the benefit-share floor. The contributions are a scalable decision support method that operationalizes expected annual population-based risk, embeds enforceable benefit-sharing guarantees, and uses lightweight simulation to explore large design spaces before higher fidelity design stages.

Flood mitigation↗
DOE OSTI2026

Nonlinear thermodynamic computing out of equilibrium

We present the design for a thermodynamic computer that can perform arbitrary nonlinear calculations in or out of equilibrium. Simple thermodynamic circuits, fluctuating degrees of freedom in contact with a thermal bath and confined by a quartic potential, display an activity that is a nonlinear function of their input. Such circuits can therefore be regarded as thermodynamic neurons, and can serve as the building blocks of networked structures that act as thermodynamic neural networks, universal function approximators whose operation is powered by thermal fluctuations. We simulate a digital model of a thermodynamic neural network, and show that its parameters can be adjusted by genetic algorithm to perform nonlinear calculations at specified observation times, regardless of whether the system has attained thermal equilibrium. This work expands the field of thermodynamic computing beyond the regime of thermal equilibrium, enabling fully nonlinear computations, analogous to those performed by classical neural networks, at specified observation times.

Whitelam, Stephen [Lawrence Berkeley National Labo↗
DOE OSTI2025

Rapid data acquisition and machine learning-assisted composition design of functionally graded alloys via wire arc additive manufacturing

Abstract The lack of high-quality datasets in materials science hinders artificial intelligence (AI)-driven alloy design. To address this challenge, wire arc additive manufacturing (WAAM) was employed to fabricate graded alloys, generating extensive data for machine learning (ML)-assisted property prediction. ML models were developed using high-throughput experiments, computational models, and genetic algorithm to optimize feature selection, successfully predicting hardness and porosity. The ML model demonstrated its efficacy by designing a gradient alloy with enhanced properties. However, scaling up revealed uncertainties in tensile property and porosity due to differences in size and thermal conditions between the designed alloy build and the gradient print used to construct the ML model. This underscores the need for uncertainty quantification and process optimization in WAAM-driven alloy design. Our work advances AI-integrated additive manufacturing, offering a rapid approach to exploring process–structure–property relationships and accelerating materials development.

Wang, Xin↗
DOE OSTI2026

Finding the Pareto front for high-entropy-alloy catalysts

Finding catalysts that have both high activity and high stability presents a long-standing challenge. Since optimizing activity and stability are conflicting objectives, the best one can do is find the Pareto front that yields optimal tradeoffs between these features. On the Pareto front, there is a trade-off where a portion of catalytic activity must be sacrificed to gain further stability and vice versa . Here, we provide a method to optimize the front by designing a multi-objective genetic algorithm that combines machine learning, graph neural network calculations, and density functional calculations. The application considered is the oxygen evolution reaction catalyzed by high-entropy alloys. We find that the Pareto front generally contains alloys with diverse elements, but that enhancing stability inevitably inflicts a toll on activity. We compare the general conclusions of our work to a survey of 545 experiments.

Zhang, Chengyi [Univ. of Auckland (New Zealand)]↗
DOE OSTI2024

A transferable classical force field to describe glyme based lithium solvate ionic liquids

A non-polarizable force field for lithium (Li + ) and bis(trifluoromethanesulfonyl)imide (TFSI – ) ions solvated in diglyme at around 0.2 mol fraction salt concentration was developed based on ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) simulations and a modified polymer consistent force field model. A force–torque matching based scheme, in conjunction with a genetic algorithm, was used to determine the Lennard-Jones (LJ) parameters of the ion–ion and ion–solvent interactions. This force field includes a partial charge scaling factor and a scaling factor for the 1–4 interactions. The resulting force field successfully reproduces the radial distribution function of the AIMD simulations and shows better agreement compared to the unmodified force field. The new force field was then used to simulate salt solutions with glymes of increasing chain lengths and different salt concentrations. The comparison of the MD simulations, using the new force field, with experimental data at different salt concentrations and AIMD simulations on equimolar concentrations of the triglyme system demonstrates the transferability of the force field parameters to longer glymes and higher salt concentrations. Furthermore, the force field appears to reproduce the features of the experimental x-ray structure factors, suggesting accuracy beyond the first solvation shell, for equimolar salt solutions using both triglyme and tetraglyme as the solvent. Altogether, the new force field was found to accurately reproduce the molecular descriptions of LiTFSI-glyme systems not only at various salt concentrations but also with glymes of different chain lengths. Thus, the new force field provides a useful and accurate tool to perform in silico studies of this family of systems at the atomistic level.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Enhancing Thomson scattering polychromator performance with multi-pass spectral filters

In photon-deficient, noncollective Thomson scattering diagnostics, filter polychromators are typically employed in the spectral analysis of Thomson-scattered signals to achieve acceptable signal-to-noise performance. Currently, the most common polychromator filter configuration employs a set of single-passband optical filters that define individual spectral channels. Here, we introduce a new spectral analysis method for Thomson scattering based on spectral filters with multiple passbands, referred to as Thomson scattering spectral multiplexing. Implementing multi-bandpass spectral filters on polychromators increases the achievable range of electron temperature measurement for a given number of filters employed. In addition, Thomson scattering spectral multiplexing reduces systematic measurement uncertainty, with fewer required spectral channels, thereby decreasing light loss from reduced optical element interactions. A multi-bandpass filter set, optimized by a genetic algorithm, has been successfully installed and tested on the Helically Symmetric eXperiment (HSX), demonstrating the benefits of the Thomson scattering spectral multiplexing method.

Instruments & Instrumentation↗
DOE OSTI2025

An experimentally informed design process for future inertial confinement fusion facilities

The achievement of ignition in the laboratory has renewed interest in defining the requirements for a future high-gain inertial confinement fusion (ICF) facility. Our best chance of predicting future ICF performance is with 3-D radiation hydrodynamic simulations that have been benchmarked against experimental data, but their high computational cost is prohibitive for use in practical design studies. We introduce a hierarchical approach where 3-D simulations are tuned to match experimental measurements and used to train 3-D degradation models in 1-D simulations allowing for accurate predictions over the entire OMEGA direct-drive database. A genetic algorithm was used in combination with the trained 1-D simulations to search for optimal direct-drive implosion designs at driver energies ranging from 20 kJ to 10 MJ. As the fidelity of 3-D codes improves, this approach will provide a viable experimentally informed tool for defining the next ICF facility.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Bridging material models across scales: An integrated approach to equation of state and molecular dynamics modeling of copper

New uncertainty-aware equation of state (EOS) and electrical conductivity (EC) models for copper have been developed. The multiphase EOS/EC models are fit to experimental solid/liquid EC isobar measurements as well as density-functional theory molecular dynamics (DFT-MD) EC calculations in both expanded and compressed regimes (0.1–16 g/ cm 3 ⁠). The liquid and solid EOS phases were fit to available experimental data along with additional DFT-MD data over the same range as the EC. Leveraging the DFT-MD data, a corresponding machine-learned interatomic potential (MLIAP) for copper was trained using genetic-algorithm optimization. The copper MLIAP was constrained by EOS shock points at high compressions. The final EOS bounded MLIAP proves to be stable over a large density range (approximately 0.1–20 g/ cm 3 ) with good agreement to an isothermal compression curve, shock Hugoniot, and liquid speed of sound measurements at high pressures (100s of GPa).

Acoustic measurements and instrumentation↗
DOE OSTI2026

Technoeconomic Design Optimization for Fast Reactors. Part I: Workflow Development and Case Study for Small LFR District Energy Application

The nuclear industry is developing small reactor designs that can target a variety of deployment locations and energy products. Smaller nuclear designs have traditionally struggled to handle the steep trade-offs between size and cost that have historically incentivized large reactors. This motivates computational optimization of small reactors to minimize costs and quantify the trade-off between size and cost. In this paper, the cost/size trade-off for a small fast reactor is derived using a multi-objective genetic algorithm optimization, with steady-state, transient, and cost analysis of the fast reactor being performed. Specifically, the method is demonstrated on a small 10- to 120-MW(thermal) U-Pu-Zr–fueled lead-cooled fast reactor with a 10-year core life for district energy applications, which can have a thermal load compatible with this range. The results reinforced that fast reactor cores at the lower end of this power range suffer cost penalties due to critical mass considerations. It was found that high power density cores with strong reactivity swings and many control rods were favored over designing to minimize reactivity swing. Furthermore, this contrasts with some traditional configurations designed using engineering judgment and demonstrates that optimizers can find nontraditional but realistic solutions, along with demonstrating the value of incorporating cost functions into whole-reactor design optimization.

Fast reactor↗
DOE OSTI2024

tonalli : an asexual genetic code to characterize APOGEE-2 stellar spectra. I. Validation with synthetic and solar spectra

ABSTRACT We present tonalli, a spectroscopic analysis python code that efficiently predicts effective temperature, stellar surface gravity, metallicity, $\alpha$-element abundance, and rotational and radial velocities for stars with effective temperatures between 3200 and 6250 K, observed with the Apache Point Observatory Galactic Evolution Experiment 2 (APOGEE-2). tonalli implements an asexual genetic algorithm to optimize the finding of the best comparison between a target spectrum and the continuum-normalized synthetic spectra library from the Model Atmospheres with a Radiative and Convective Scheme (MARCS), which is interpolated in each generation. Using simulated observed spectra and the APOGEE-2 solar spectrum of Vesta, we study the performance, limitations, accuracy, and precision of our tool. Finally, a Monte Carlo realization was implemented to estimate the uncertainties of each derived stellar parameter.

Adame, Lucía (ORCID:0000000263286099)↗
DOE OSTI2024

Compensating slice emittance growth in high brightness photoinjectors using sacrificial charge

Achieving maximum electron beam brightness in photoinjectors requires detailed control of the 3D bunch shape and precise tuning of the beam focusing. Even in state-of-the-art designs, slice emittance growth due to nonlinear space charge forces and partial nonlaminarity often remains non-negligible. In this work, we introduce a new means to linearize the transverse slice phase space: a sacrificial portion of the bunch’s own charge distribution, formed into a wavebroken shock front by highly nonlinear space charge forces within the gun, whose downstream purpose is to dynamically linearize the desired bunch core. We show that linearization of an appropriately prepared bunch can be achieved via strongly nonlaminar focusing of the sacrificial shock front, while the inner core focuses laminarly. This leads to a natural spatial separation of the two distributions: a dense core surrounded by a diffuse halo of sacrificial charge that can be collimated. Multiobjective genetic algorithm optimizations of the ultracompact x-ray free electron laser injector employ this concept, and we interpret it with an analytic model that agrees well with the simulations. In simulation, we demonstrate a final bunch charge of 100 pC, peak current ∼ 30 A, and a sacrificial charge of 150 pC (250 pC total emitted from cathode) with normalized emittance growth of < 20 nm rad due to space charge. This implies a maximum achievable brightness approximately an order of magnitude greater than existing free electron laser injector designs. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Machine learning-accelerated discovery of iron cobalt phosphides as rare-earth-free magnets

Here, the discovery of rare-earth-free permanent magnets has been a goal of scientists for decades. The absence of rare-earth elements will alleviate a pressing concern about the availability of rare-earth elements used in permanent magnets. These magnets are crucial for applications such as wind turbines, electric cars, and memory devices. Rare-earth magnets are special owing to a large magnetic anisotropy energy (K 1 ). In contrast, iron cobalt phosphides hold promise since doping P into cubic FeCo can induce anisotropy, leading to a large coercivity, without introducing rare-earth elements. We present a comprehensive search over the Fe-Co-P ternary space for magnets, utilizing recently developed adaptive machine learning feedback to efficiently screen over 850 000 structures. We focus on machine learning acceleration as a paradigm for materials design. Further adaptive genetic algorithm searches and first-principles calculations aid in the identification of 16 new structures below the known convex hull. Five of them possess high magnetic polarization (J s > 1 T). The structures with desirable magnetic properties center on (Fe,Co) 2⁢ P. This supports conventional wisdom, which focuses on the mixture of the two known end compounds: Fe 2 ⁢P and Co 2 ⁢P. Our work provides guidance for synthesis. We find Fe 7 ⁢CoP 4 shows the most promise (J s = 1.03T and K 1 = 0.83MJ/m 3 ).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Machine Learning to Select Experiments Driven by Fundamental Science and Applications for Targeted Nuclear Data Improvement

This work describes a blueprint for a process that accelerates progress in science by quantitatively answering the following question: What is the optimal combination of fundamental-science and application-driven experiments to maximally reduce pertinent data uncertainties? Answering this question entails solving a high-dimensional and complex optimization problem that is best solved with advanced statistic techniques often classified as machine learning. We apply this process within the framework of nuclear data with the aim to select an experiment combination that will reduce uncertainties in 239 Pu nuclear data for neutron energies between 1 and 600 keV. In this field, fundamental-physics driven data, called differential, look at one nuclear physics observable at a time. They are contrasted to application-driven, integral, data where one or few resulting values inform a broad set of nuclear data across several nuclides and energies. The candidates for integral experiments are criticality measurements that were refined by a genetic algorithm to be maximally sensitive to 239 Pu fission cross sections in the desired energy range. Twenty-three candidate differential experiments were investigated and span multiple nuclear physics observables (e.g., total, capture cross sections) for isotopes appearing in the integral experiments. The optimal combination among these candidate experiments was investigated via generalized least squares fitting, augmented with Gaussian processes to ameliorate statistical irregularities in data, and the D-optimality criterion. The latter evaluates for each pair of candidates the joint reduction in uncertainties of all 12200 nuclear data appearing in the integral experiments compared to the knowledge we have from 168 past experiments, theory, and nuclear data. We chose as differential measurements those that investigate 63 Cu and 239 Pu total cross sections, based on D-optimality rank and feasibility constraints. Two integral (criticality) experiments were selected: An experiment with Al 2 ⁢O 3 and graphite interleaved with Pu and a thick Cu reflector explores 1–30 keV, while we target the 30–600 keV range with an experiment that swaps boron in place of graphite with a different geometry.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗