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At least 73 records · Page 4

Cost model validation: a technical and cultural approach

This paper summarizes how JPL's parametric mission cost model (PMCM) has been validated using both formal statistical methods and a variety of peer and management reviews in order to establish organizational acceptance of the cost model estimates.

cost model validation

TOPEX Microwave Radiometer - Thermal design verification test and analytical model validation

The testing of the TOPEX Microwave Radiometer (TMR) is described in terms of hardware development based on the modeling and thermal vacuum testing conducted. The TMR and the vacuum-test facility are described, and the thermal verification test includes a hot steady-state segment, a cold steady-state segment, and a cold survival mode segment totalling 65 hours. A graphic description is given of the test history which is related temperature tracking, and two multinode TMR test-chamber models are compared to the test results. Large discrepancies between the test data and the model predictions are attributed to contact conductance, effective emittance from the multilayer insulation, and heat leaks related to deviations from the flight configuration. The TMR thermal testing/modeling effort is shown to provide technical corrections for the procedure outlined, and the need for validating predictive models is underscored.

Lin, Edward I.

Selection and Ranking of Experiments from the Halden Database in support of Multiscale Model Validation

Validating fuel performance codes, such as BISON, requires an extensive amount of experiments covering a wide range of operating conditions and fuel types. Within the light-water reactor (LWR) space, there have been several international experimental programs that have contributed to the wealth of available experimental data available for use. One of those international programs, the Halden Reactor Project (HRP), began in 1958 and utilized the Halden Boiling Water Reactor to conduct many highly instrumented experiments until the reactor closed in 2018. Idaho National Laboratory, through the U.S. Department of Energy, has utilized several Halden experiments to perform the initial validation of the BISON code based upon their inclusion in international modeling and simulation benchmarks. Recently, the HRP has provided member organizations a complete copy of all available data, reports, and presentations since the HRP began. This report provides an initial exploration of the data available in the database for use in validating the multiscale models under development in the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program for LWR applications. Ranking tables that identify potential validation cases are provided for the high priority models of interest. It was found that some of the recommended high priority experiments correspond to additional rods in existing assemblies already available in the BISON validation suite. It is expected that several of these cases will be incorporated into future NEAMS milestones in the fuels technical area for increased validation of BISON.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS

In-Situ Scanning Electron Microscope Experiments for Microscale Mechanical Testing and Validated Modeling of Fiber Reinforced Thermoplastics

A novel, in-situ, scanning electron microscope (SEM) mechanical testing capability for materials at the microscale which provides experimental validation to a machine learning (ML) toolset for full-field validation of physics-based micromechanics models is being developed by researchers at NASA Glenn Research Center. These are enabling technologies for the integration of multiscale digital twins for materials into system level models which will result in the improved performance, material discovery, reduced production cost and time, rapid characterization, and prognostic structural health monitoring (SHM) for materials and structures for extreme environments in support of NASA space exploration missions. In order to bridge the material structure-to-system gap for digital twins, physics-based models must be experimentally validated at multiple length scales. Seminal microscale experiments, conducted at the Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL), were limited to transverse compression of single-layer, unidirectional thermoset polymer matrix composite (PMC) micropillar specimens [1]. The early phases of the current project followed those initial results and setup to reproduce the compression testing of PMC material on the custom-built piezoelectric actuated micromechanical testing rig built by MicroTesting Solutions LLC. In this work, samples of thermoplastic PMC material were first machined into 3 mm cubes, and then further machining and final milling was done using a Focused Ion Beam (FIB). The initial experiment was done on a pillar roughly 20 µm x 20 µm x 40 µm tall. Additional pillars were milled with final sizes ranging from 20 µm x 20 µm x 40 µm tall to 40 µm x 40 µm x 65 µm tall. A speckle pattern for in-situ full-field measurements using Digital Image Correlation (DIC) was applied with platinum, which was coated on the surface, and then the FIB was used to mill away some of the coating to produce an irregular pattern of Pt on the pillar surface. The samples were loaded into the custom testing rig and placed into the SEM and loaded under compression until failure. Images were collected in the SEM during testing. Post-processing of the images was conducted using DIC to obtain full-field displacement and strain measurements elucidating the role of the matrix as well as fiber-fiber interaction at the microscale within the composite subjected to compression loading well into the non-linear regime of the material. Moreover, the evolution of fiber-matrix debonding and matrix cracking is observed in-situ at the microscale. This data, along with images segmented with a newly developed ML toolset [2], was used to create and validate physics-based micromechanics models. An image of the failed micropillar is shown in Figure 1. The techniques developed in the initial compression experiment was tailored to the validation needs of the models and expanded to include different sized samples as well as possibly tension and fatigue.

Laura Wilson

GCR Environmental Models III: GCR Model Validation and Propagated Uncertainties in Effective Dose

This is the last of three papers focused on quantifying the uncertainty associated with galactic cosmic rays (GCR) models used for space radiation shielding applications. In the first paper, it was found that GCR ions with Z>2 and boundary energy below 500 MeV/nucleon induce less than 5% of the total effective dose behind shielding. This is an important finding since GCR model development and validation have been heavily biased toward Advanced Composition Explorer/Cosmic Ray Isotope Spectrometer measurements below 500 MeV/nucleon. Weights were also developed that quantify the relative contribution of defined GCR energy and charge groups to effective dose behind shielding. In the second paper, it was shown that these weights could be used to efficiently propagate GCR model uncertainties into effective dose behind shielding. In this work, uncertainties are quantified for a few commonly used GCR models. A validation metric is developed that accounts for measurements uncertainty, and the metric is coupled to the fast uncertainty propagation method. For this work, the Badhwar-O'Neill (BON) 2010 and 2011 and the Matthia GCR models are compared to an extensive measurement database. It is shown that BON2011 systematically overestimates heavy ion fluxes in the range 0.5-4 GeV/nucleon. The BON2010 and BON2011 also show moderate and large errors in reproducing past solar activity near the 2000 solar maximum and 2010 solar minimum. It is found that all three models induce relative errors in effective dose in the interval [-20%, 20%] at a 68% confidence level. The BON2010 and Matthia models are found to have similar overall uncertainty estimates and are preferred for space radiation shielding applications.

Slaba, Tony C.

Model validation and error attribution for a drifting qubit

Qubit performance is often reported in terms of a variety of single-value metrics, each providing a facet of the underlying noise mechanism limiting performance. However, the value of these metrics may drift over long timescales, and reporting a single number for qubit performance fails to account for the low-frequency noise processes that give rise to this drift. Here, in this work, we demonstrate how we can use the distribution of these values to validate or invalidate candidate noise models. We focus on the case of randomized benchmarking (RB), where typically a single error rate is reported but this error rate can drift over time when multiple passes of RB are performed. We show that using a statistical test as simple as the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic on the distribution of RB error rates can be used to rule out noise models, assuming the experiment is performed over a long enough time interval to capture relevant low frequency noise. With confidence in a noise model, we show how care must be exercised when performing error attribution using the distribution of drifting RB error rate.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND

CFD Jet Mixing Model Validation against Zero-Boil-Off Tank (ZBOT) Microgravity Experiment

The Zero-Boil-Off Tank (ZBOT) experiments are a series of small scale two-phase fluids physics experiments conducted aboard the International Space Station (ISS) in 2017. A goal of these experiments is to study various fundamental fluid flow, heat and mass transport, and phase change phenomena that control storage tank pressurization and pressure control in microgravity. In this paper, results of a state-of-the-art two-phase CFD storage tank model are presented and validated against jet mixing data provided by microgravity ZBOT experiments. Jet-ullage interaction was studied in the experiment for different jet speeds representing different flow regimes, and tank fill levels. Effects of various physical parameters, such as, jet angle, gravitational acceleration and surface tension value were investigated. Computational parameters, such as turbulence and surface tension models and interface capturing scheme, affecting jet-ullage interaction were also studied. Computational results were compared to experimental results for model validation.

Mixing

CFD Jet Mixing Model Validation Against Zero-Boil-Off Tank (ZBOT) Microgravity Experiment

The Zero-Boil-Off Tank (ZBOT) experiments are a series of small scale two-phase fluids physics experiments conducted aboard the International Space Station (ISS) in 2017. A goal of these experiments is to study various fundamental fluid flow, heat and mass transport, and phase change phenomena that control storage tank pressurization and pressure control in microgravity. In this paper, results of a state-of-the-art two-phase CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) storage tank model are presented and validated against jet mixing data provided by microgravity ZBOT experiments. Jet-ullage interaction was studied in the experiment for different jet speeds representing different flow regimes, and tank fill levels. Effects of various physical parameters, such as, jet angle, gravitational acceleration and surface tension value were investigated. Computational parameters, such as turbulence and surface tension models and interface capturing scheme, affecting jet-ullage interaction were also studied. Computational results were compared to experimental results for model validation.

Turbulence

Revisiting Turbulence Model Validation for High-Mach Number Axisymmetric Compression Corner Flows

Two axisymmetric shock-wave/boundary-layer interaction (SWBLI) cases are used to benchmark one- and two-equation Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) turbulence models. This validation exercise was executed in the philosophy of the NASA Turbulence Modeling Resource and the AIAA Turbulence Model Benchmarking Working Group. Both SWBLI cases are from the experiments of Kussoy and Horstman for axisymmetric compression corner geometries with SWBLI inducing flares of 20 and 30 degrees, respectively. The freestream Mach number was approximately 7. The RANS closures examined are the Spalart-Allmaras one-equation model and the Menter family of kappa − omega two equation models including the Baseline and Shear Stress Transport formulations. The Wind-US and CFL3D RANS solvers are employed to simulate the SWBLI cases. Comparisons of RANS solutions to experimental data are made for a boundary layer survey plane just upstream of the SWBLI region. In the SWBLI region, comparisons of surface pressure and heat transfer are made. The effects of inflow modeling strategy, grid resolution, grid orthogonality, turbulent Prandtl number, and code-to-code variations are also addressed.

Shock Wave

Radiative transfer model validations during the First ISLSCP Field Experiment

Two simple radiative transfer models, the 5S model based on Tanre et al. (1985, 1986) and the wide-band model of Morcrette (1984) are validated by comparing their outputs with results obtained during the First ISLSCP Field Experiment on concomitant radiosonde, aerosol turbidity, and radiation measurements and sky photographs. Results showed that the 5S model overestimates the short-wave irradiance by 13.2 W/sq m, whereas the Morcrette model underestimated the long-wave irradiance by 7.4 W/sq m.

Frouin, Robert

NASA Engineering and Safety Center Technical Bulletin No. 14-03: COPV Mechanical Model Validation

Global and local deformation measurements should be incorporated into the composite overwrapped pressure vessel (COPV) design and analysis process to allow correlation of these measurements with finite element analysis (FEA) models. This correlation improves understanding of liner, liner/overwrap interface, and composite deformation response in COPVs. The improved accuracy reduces error in subsequent analyses, such as fracture, fatigue, and stress rupture that are critical for COPV qualification.

Composite Overwrap Pressure Vehicle

Noninvasive assessment of mitral inertness: clinical results with numerical model validation

Inertial forces (Mdv/dt) are a significant component of transmitral flow, but cannot be measured with Doppler echo. We validated a method of estimating Mdv/dt. Ten patients had a dual sensor transmitral (TM) catheter placed during cardiac surgery. Doppler and 2D echo was performed while acquiring LA and LV pressures. Mdv/dt was determined from the Bernoulli equation using Doppler velocities and TM gradients. Results were compared with numerical modeling. TM gradients (range: 1.04-14.24 mmHg) consisted of 74.0 +/- 11.0% inertial forcers (range: 0.6-12.9 mmHg). Multivariate analysis predicted Mdv/dt = -4.171(S/D (RATIO)) + 0.063(LAvolume-max) + 5. Using this equation, a strong relationship was obtained for the clinical dataset (y=0.98x - 0.045, r=0.90) and the results of numerical modeling (y=0.96x - 0.16, r=0.84). TM gradients are mainly inertial and, as validated by modeling, can be estimated with echocardiography.

NASA Discipline Cardiopulmonary

SPHINX: An SEP Model Validation Infrastructure developed through Community Challenges and the SEP Scoreboards

Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events are interesting from a scientific perspective as they are the product of a broad set of physical processes from the corona out through the extent of the heliosphere, and provide insight into processes of particle acceleration and transport that are widely applicable in astrophysics. From the operations perspective, SEP events pose a radiation hazard for aviation, electronics in space, and human space exploration, in particular for missions outside of the Earth’s protective magnetosphere including to the Moon and Mars (Whitman et al 2022). For these reasons, SEP modelers have developed a rich and diverse set of models with a wide variety of aims. Some models probe the basic physics at the heart of particle acceleration and transport. Others produce fast statistical forecasts or employ disruptive new techniques like Machine Learning with the goal to assist end users in making operational decisions. To enable a consistent and quantitative understanding of SEP model performance, a generalized, automated validation infrastructure, called SPHINX, is being developed at NASA SRAG in close collaboration with NASA CCMC, NASA M2M, NOAA SWPC, and BIRA-IASB. This infrastructure has been built up through a multi-year community challenge. Starting in 2018 at the SHINE workshop, an effort was launched through SHINE, ISWAT, and ESWW to encourage quantitative, comprehensive, and consistent validation of SEP models. This effort has defined a set of challenge SEP events with the aim of generating quantitative comparisons between forecasts and observations and a set of challenge “non-events” to assess false alarms. In 2023, these challenge lists have been extended to statistically significant numbers with a prescribed set of rules for producing forecasts and supported through the dedicated SEPVAL working meetings. The participation of the research community has allowed the infrastructure to validate all the types of outputs being produced by SEP models. In parallel, the SPHINX code is being applied to real time forecasts submitted to the SEP Scoreboards, ensuring that the validation infrastructure can interpret forecasts produced in an operational scenario and provide metrics meaningful for operations. Upon completion, SPHINX and its interactive user interface, SPHINX-Web, will be made available for public use.

space weather

A Hardware Model Validation Tool for Use in Complex Space Systems

One of the many technological hurdles that must be overcome in future missions is the challenge of validating as-built systems against the models used for design. We propose a technique composed of intelligent parameter exploration in concert with automated failure analysis as a scalable method for the validation of complex space systems. The technique is impervious to discontinuities and linear dependencies in the data, and can handle dimensionalities consisting of hundreds of variables over tens of thousands of experiments.

Davies, Misty Dawn

NASA Engineering and Safety Center Technical Bulletin No. 14-02: Aerodynamic Reaction Control System (RCS) Orientation and Jet Interaction (JI) Model Validation

Careful consideration should be given to placement and orientation of RCS jet thrusters on hypersonic entry vehicles in order to minimize adverse RCS JI. Modern state-of-the-art computational fluid dynamics (CFD) tools should be able to predict the RCS effectiveness and JI accurately when coupled with verification and validation studies, including the use of appropriately designed experimental wind tunnel testing.

Aerodynamic Reaction Control System

Velocity Discontinuity Propagation Model Validation Using an Approximate Point Source in Motion

The classic geometric acoustic solution for propagation through a mean flow velocity discontinuity is evaluated experimentally using an approximate point source in motion. The geometric approximation of the pressure field in both the frequency and time domains is first revisited for arbitrary subsonic flow and source motion along the flow axis. The derivation, computed via the method of stationary phase, shows the expected Doppler behavior of the radiated acoustic field due to the source motion acting in conjunction with the convective amplification effect for a stationary source in flow. The model is validated with a minimally intrusive, approximate point source of heat in the Quiet Flow Facility at the NASA Langley Research Center. Within the limitations of the experiment in this open-jet wind tunnel, data generally show agreement with the model across a range of flow speeds and microphone positions for a broad range of frequencies. Where disagreement between measurement and theory is noted, possible causes are discussed.

wind tunnel testing