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At least 73 records · Page 4

Unique Temperature Trend Pattern Associated With Internally Driven Global Cooling and Arctic Warming During 1980–2022

Abstract Diagnosing the role of internal variability over recent decades is critically important for both model validation and projections of future warming. Recent research suggests that for 1980–2022 internal variability manifested as Global Cooling and Arctic Warming (i‐GCAW), leading to enhanced Arctic Amplification (AA), and suppressed global warming over this period. Here we show that such an i‐GCAW is rare in CMIP6 large ensembles, but simulations that do produce similar i‐GCAW exhibit a unique and robust internally driven global surface air temperature (SAT) trend pattern. This unique SAT trend pattern features enhanced warming in the Barents and Kara Sea and cooling in the Tropical Eastern Pacific and Southern Ocean. Given that these features are imprinted in the observed record over recent decades, this work suggests that internal variability makes a crucial contribution to the discrepancy between observations and model‐simulated forced SAT trend patterns.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Unraveling the Surface Termination and Evolution of Surface States for Electrocatalyst PtSn 4 in Alkaline HER

Semimetal PtSn 4 has been experimentally demonstrated as a promising topological electrocatalyst for the hydrogen evolution reaction (HER) under both acidic and alkaline conditions. While two possible mechanisms have been proposed to explain its activity, the role of its surface states in HER remains unclear. It is indeed in question how the surface states of this alloy evolve as HER proceeds. In this study, we investigate the surface termination that sustains conducting surface states on PtSn 4 , and we track their evolution during HER catalysis. We show that a reconstructed surface with a Sn-poor termination reproduces the scanning tunneling microscopy pattern observed in experiments and sustains a conducting surface. Through phase diagram and geometric structure analysis, we outline the HER profile following the Volmer–Heyrovsky mechanism. As hydrogen atoms adsorb onto the surface, the structure undergoes further reconstruction to an equilibrium phase with a coverage of two hydrides per unit cell. Meanwhile, the surface electronic bands evolve in response to interactions with the adsorbed hydrogen atoms. A hybridization diagram is further proposed for understanding the surface state evolution based on wave function and chemical bonding analyses. While the Pt atoms serve as conventional sites for hydrogen binding, the surface states of PtSn 4 are essential for stabilizing the hydrogen antibonding states via in-phase electronic interactions with the Sn components. This stabilization results in frontier surface bands that are responsible for driving the HER catalysis. Here, our findings provide a detailed description for the direct involvement of surface states on PtSn4 when employed as a catalyst for HER.

catalysts

Data-Driven Modeling and Control of Systems with Plasma-Surface Interactions (Final Technical Report)

This final technical report summarizes the activities and accomplishments in the period from February 2023 thru January 2026. The objective of the proposed research is to investigate the physical mechanisms and processes underlying the formation of structures and patterns in systems with plasma-surface interactions. In the past decades, there have been extensive studies on the interaction of glow discharges, dielectric barrier discharges, and arc discharges with confining or intervening surfaces. The advancement of the understanding of these phenomena is not only of fundamental scientific interest and relevance to the knowledge of the plasma state, but also with profound implications in various technological applications. The research will integrate theoretical, computational, and experimental work within an innovative framework of data assimilation, i.e., optimally combining model predictions with measurements. The scientific merit of this research has three aspects. Firstly, it extends the studies of plasma-surface interactions to systems with insulator surfaces and multi-layer systems, while existing studies are predominantly on electrode surfaces. Secondly, it expects to develop a novel data-driven modeling approach based on data assimilation to enhance the predictive and control capabilities, which could make transformative contributions to basic plasma research. Thirdly, it will shed new light on outstanding problems related to formation of patterns interfacing plasmas. This project also aims to launch an education and outreach initiative at Texas A&M University-Kingsville, a non-R1, minority-serving institution in South Texas. The initiative is structured as a four-tier pyramid. Tier one will be a webinar series for culture and capacity building to inform broader audience in the region about the research fields of plasma science and engineering. Tier two will be the creation and offering of an upper-level undergraduate course on introductory plasma physics, which will help with the recruitment for the upper tiers. On tier three, we will engage and mentor senior design students to conduct work toward the research goal of this project. There will also be a certificate program on general plasma science for undergrad and graduate students, part of which will be lab training at Princeton University. Tier four will be the supervision and mentoring of Ph.D. students. Therefore, this project will systematically expand the talent pipeline, broaden participation from communities historically and geographically underrepresented in DOE SC research portfolio, significantly improve the research and education capacity at the PI’s institution, and contribute to developing a diverse workforce in plasma science and engineering.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

Distinctive Pattern of Global Warming in Ocean Heat Content

Abstract Huge heat anomalies in the atmosphere and ocean in recent years are not yet explained. Strong characteristic patterns in temperatures for upper layers of the ocean occurred from 2000 to 2023 in the presence of global warming from increasing atmospheric greenhouse gases. Here, we show that the deep tropics are warming, although sharply modulated by El Niño–Southern Oscillation events, with strong heating in the extratropics near 40°N and 40°–45°S but little heating near 20°N and 25°–30°S. The heating is most clearly manifested in zonal-mean ocean heat content and is evident in sea surface temperatures. The strongest heating is in the Southern Hemisphere, where aerosol effects are small. Estimates are made of the contributions to heating of top-of-atmosphere (TOA) radiation, atmospheric energy transports, surface fluxes of energy, and redistribution of energy by surface winds and ocean currents. The patterns of change are not directly related to TOA radiation but are evident in net surface energy fluxes and inferred ocean heat transports, underscoring their coupled origin. Changes in the atmospheric circulation through a poleward shift in ocean jet streams and storm tracks are reflected in surface wind-driven ocean Ekman transports. As well as human-induced climate change, internal natural variability is likely in play. Hence, the atmosphere and ocean currents are systematically redistributing heat from global warming, profoundly affecting local climates. Significance Statement As the climate changes, it has been difficult to discern meaningful patterns. Distinctive patterns of change have occurred in the ocean when examined as zonal averages around latitude bands. Most excess heat from global warming resides in the ocean and, since 2005, has become focused into bands near 40°N and 40°S, with little net warming in the subtropics. The strongest warming is in the Southern Hemisphere, although sea surface temperatures have increased more in the Northern Hemisphere. Changes in the atmospheric circulation through a poleward shift in the jet stream and storm tracks are primarily responsible along with corresponding changes in ocean currents. These changes are linked through surface exchanges of energy via heat, moisture, and wind stress.

Trenberth, Kevin E. [National Center for Atmospher

Next generation Arctic vegetation maps: Aboveground plant biomass and woody dominance mapped at 30 m resolution across the tundra biome

The Arctic is warming faster than anywhere else on Earth, placing tundra ecosystems at the forefront of global climate change. Plant biomass is a fundamental ecosystem attribute that is sensitive to changes in climate, closely tied to ecological function, and crucial for constraining ecosystem carbon dynamics. However, the amount, functional composition, and distribution of plant biomass are only coarsely quantified across the Arctic. Therefore, we developed the first moderate resolution (30 m) maps of live aboveground plant biomass (g m −2 ) and woody plant dominance (%) for the Arctic tundra biome, including the mountainous Oro Arctic. We modeled biomass for the year 2020 using a new synthesis dataset of field biomass harvest measurements, Landsat satellite seasonal synthetic composites, ancillary geospatial data, and machine learning models. Additionally, we quantified pixel-wise uncertainty in biomass predictions using Monte Carlo simulations and validated the models using a robust, spatially blocked and nested cross-validation procedure. Observed plant and woody plant biomass values ranged from 0 to ∼6000 g m −2 (mean ≈ 350 g m −2 ), while predicted values ranged from 0 to ∼4000 g m −2 (mean ≈ 275 g m −2 ), resulting in model validation root-mean-squared-error (RMSE) ≈ 400 g m −2 and R 2 ≈ 0.6. Our maps not only capture large-scale patterns of plant biomass and woody plant dominance across the Arctic that are linked to climatic variation (e.g., thawing degree days), but also illustrate how fine-scale patterns are shaped by local surface hydrology, topography, and past disturbance. By providing data on plant biomass across Arctic tundra ecosystems at the highest resolution to date, our maps can significantly advance research and inform decision-making on topics ranging from Arctic vegetation monitoring and wildlife conservation to carbon accounting and land surface modeling.

Climate change

Approximation of ice phenology of Maine lakes using Aqua MODIS surface temperature data

Studies of lake ice phenology have historically relied on limited in situ data. Relatively few observations exist for ice out and fewer still for ice in, both of which are necessary to determine the temporal extent of ice cover. Satellite data provide an opportunity to better document patterns of ice phenology across landscapes and relate them to the climatological drivers behind changing ice phenology. We developed a model, the Cumulative Sum Method (CSM), that uses daytime and nighttime surface temperature observations from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor on board the Earth-observing Aqua satellite to approximate ice in (the onset of ice cover) and ice out from training datasets of 13 and 58 Maine lakes, respectively, during the 2002/2003 through 2017/2018 ice seasons. Ice in was signaled by reaching a threshold of cumulative negative degrees following the first day of the season below 0°C. Ice out was signaled by reaching a threshold of cumulative positive degrees following the first day of the year above 0°C. The comparison of observed and remotely sensed ice-in dates showed relative agreement with a correlation coefficient of 0.71 and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 9.8 days. Ice-out approximations had a correlation coefficient of 0.67 and an MAE of 8.8 days. Lakes smaller in surface area and nearer the Atlantic coast had the greatest error in approximation. Application of the CSM to 20 additional lakes in Maine produced a comparable ice-out MAE of 8.9 days. Ice-out model performance was weaker for the warmest years; there was a larger MAE of 12.0 days when the model was applied to the years 2019–2023 for the original 58 lakes. The development of this model, which utilizes daily satellite data, demonstrates the promise of remote sensing for quantifying ice phenology over short, temporal scales, and wider geographic regions than can be observed in situ, and allows exploration of the influence of surface temperature patterns on the process and timing of ice in and ice out.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Spatially Patterned Architectures to Modulate CO 2 Reduction Cascade Catalysis Kinetics

Electrochemical CO 2 reduction using renewable sources of electrical energy holds promise for converting CO 2 into fuels and chemicals. The complex interactions among chemical/electrochemical reactions and mass transport make it difficult to analyze the effect of an individual process on electrode performance based only on experimental methods. Here, we developed a generalized steady-state simulation to describe an electrode surface in which sequential cascade catalysts are patterned in a periodic trench design. If appropriately constructed, this trench geometry is hypothesized to be able to yield a higher net current density for a CO 2 reduction (CO 2 R) cascade reaction. We have used realistic experimental reaction kinetics to investigate the role of trench geometry in mass transport, local microenvironments, and selectivity for a model CO 2 R cascade reaction. The model considers local concentration gradients of bicarbonate species at quasi-equilibrium and catalytic surface reactions based on concentration-dependent Butler–Volmer kinetics. Our results suggest that varying the spatial distribution of active sites plays a significant role in facilitating effective mass transport between active sites, modulating selectivity for the cascade reaction, and enhancing the yield of desirable cascade products. Moreover, we observe that this trench geometry significantly alters the cascade reaction rate by affecting the local pH, which can cause inadvertent depletion of available aqueous CO 2 to limit the CO 2 R cascade kinetics and modest suppression of the hydrogen evolution reaction (HER). The results highlight the trade-offs between mass transport, pH, and reaction kinetics that become apparent only when considering the coupled physics of all processes at the electrode surface. Here, this model can thus serve as a primary tool to build more selective and efficient patterned architectures for the CO 2 R cascade catalysis.

CO2 reduction

Analysis of biofilm assembly by large area automated AFM

Biofilms are complex microbial communities critical in medical, industrial, and environmental contexts. Understanding their assembly, structure, genetic regulation, interspecies interactions, and environmental responses is key to developing effective control and mitigation strategies. While atomic force microscopy (AFM) offers critically important high-resolution insights on structural and functional properties at the cellular and even sub-cellular level, its limited scan range and labor-intensive nature restricts the ability to link these smaller scale features to the functional macroscale organization of the films. We begin to address this limitation by introducing an automated large area AFM approach capable of capturing high-resolution images over millimeter-scale areas, aided by machine learning for seamless image stitching, cell detection, and classification. Large area AFM is shown to provide a very detailed view of spatial heterogeneity and cellular morphology during the early stages of biofilm formation which were previously obscured. Using this approach, we examined the organization of Pantoea sp. YR343 on PFOTS-treated glass surfaces. Our findings reveal a preferred cellular orientation among surface-attached cells, forming a distinctive honeycomb pattern. Detailed mapping of flagella interactions suggests that flagellar coordination plays a role in biofilm assembly beyond initial attachment. Additionally, we use large-area AFM to characterize surface modifications on silicon substrates, observing a significant reduction in bacterial density. This highlights the potential of this method for studying surface modifications to better understand and control bacterial adhesion and biofilm formation.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Distilling the Evolving Contributions of Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases to Large‐Scale Low‐Frequency Surface Ocean Changes Over the Past Century

Abstract Anthropogenic aerosols (AER) and greenhouse gases (GHG)—the leading drivers of the forced historical change—produce different large‐scale climate response patterns, with correlations trending from negative to positive over the past century. To understand what caused the time‐evolving comparison between GHG and AER response patterns, we apply a low‐frequency component analysis to historical surface ocean changes from CESM1 single‐forcing large‐ensemble simulations. While GHG response is characterized by its first leading mode, AER response consists of two distinct modes. The first one, featuring long‐term global AER increase and global cooling, opposes GHG response patterns up to the mid‐twentieth century. The second one, featuring multidecadal variations in AER distributions and interhemispheric asymmetric surface ocean changes, appears to reinforce the GHG warming effect over recent decades. AER thus can have both competing and synergistic effects with GHG as their emissions change temporally and spatially.

Dong, Yue

Remote sensing of planetary boundary layer from ground and space: Structure, thermodynamics, and boundary layer clouds

The planetary boundary layer (PBL) is a critical interface between Earth's surface and atmosphere, influencing atmospheric convection, weather patterns, and air quality. Recognized by the 2017 National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Earth Science Decadal Survey as an Incubation Targeted Observable, high-quality and effective observation of the PBL has become a priority. This paper reviews surface-based and satellite remote sensing techniques for characterizing PBL features, including PBL height (PBLH), boundary layer thermodynamics, turbulence, and boundary layer clouds (BLCs). These elements are treated as interconnected aspects of the PBL system, while recognizing that different instruments retrieve different physical manifestations of the PBL. The review summarizes recent advances and limitations in Micro-Pulse Lidar (MPL), Doppler lidar, Raman lidar, Differential Absorption Lidar (DIAL), ceilometers, wind profilers, GNSS Radio Occultation, radar, and hyperspectral sounders. These observations help trace dynamic processes within the PBL and link PBL structure to broader weather and climate processes. The review also highlights persistent observational gaps over oceans, remote land, and polar regions, where continuous surface-based profiling is sparse. By comparing instrument capabilities, practical limitations, and interpretation issues, this review emphasizes the need for integrated remote sensing approaches and careful definition of the retrieved PBL quantities.

Boundary layer clouds

Combustion-assisted ink-jet printing of nuclear targets

Advances in target fabrication are critical to high-precision measurements in nuclear physics. This work details the preparation of patterned CeO 2 and ThO 2 architectures and thin-film targets via ink-jet deposition of combustible solutions. The produced targets were characterized by scanning electron microscopy (SEM), and by alpha-particle spectroscopy for radioactive targets to determine densities. Ink jet printing of the targets, used both ethanol and 2-methoxyethanol as solvents, with cerium or thorium nitrate as the oxidizer and acetylacetone as the fuel. Additionally, we found that the distance between each droplet dispersion (step size) played the most significant role in determining the final pattern uniformity and thickness. A 50 μm step size leads to relatively thick targets with a density of 350 μg/cm 2 . Significant overlap in droplet sizes leads to a heterogeneous target with an undesirable cracked surface structure. In contrast, 150 μm spacing yields thinner (20 μg/cm 2 ) patterned structures with excellent surface coverage. This method of Ink-jet printing provides a straightforward, scalable, and high-efficiency pathway to prepare custom made, high-quality targets for nuclear physics experiments.

CeO2

Tuning 3-D Nanomaterial Architectures Using Atomic Layer Deposition to Direct Solution Synthesis

The ability to synthesize nanoarchitected materials with tunable geometries provides a means to control their functional properties, with applications in biological, environmental, and energy fields. To this end, various bottom-up and top-down synthesis processes have been developed. However, many of these processes require prepatterning or etching steps, making them challenging to scale-up to complex, nonplanar substrates. Furthermore, the ability to integrate nanomaterials into hierarchical arrays with precise control of feature spacing and orientation remains a challenge. One approach to overcome these patterning challenges is the use of surface modification layers to guide the resulting geometry of nanomaterial architectures grown from the substrate. A powerful strategy to accomplish this is what we will refer to as “surface-directed assembly,” where the resulting geometric parameters (feature size, shape, orientation) are predetermined by the initial surface layer. In particular, the use of Atomic Layer Deposition (ALD) to form a surface layer, followed by solution-based growth processes, has the ability to synthesize architected structures with tunable geometries on complex, nonplanar surfaces. Over the past decade, we have reported a series of studies where surface-directed assembly is used to synthesize ZnO nanowires (NWs) on top of a variety of substrates. In this case, a thin film of ZnO is deposited onto the substrate using ALD, which can guide the NW diameter, spacing, and angular orientation with respect to the substrate by controlling epitaxial relationships. Furthermore, we have shown that by depositing a submonolayer overcoat of a secondary material (e.g., amorphous TiO 2 ), nucleation sites are partially blocked, which can further tune the spacing between nanowires while minimizing changes to their other geometric properties. This approach can be used to generate multilevel hierarchical structures, such as hyperbranched NW arrays with tunable control of each level of hierarchy using ALD. Finally, we have demonstrated that the tunable control of geometric parameters can be scaled-up to curved, nonplanar substrates. This highlights the power of ALD to conformally and uniformly deposit the seed layers on complex substrates with subnanometer precision. To complement these seeded hydrothermal approaches, we expanded this strategy to include conversion chemistry of the initial ALD seed layers. For example, by replacing ZnO with Al 2 O 3 as the seed layer without changing the hydrothermal growth conditions, Al–Zn layered-double hydroxide nanosheets can be formed instead of nanowires. In another example of conversion chemistry, a solution anion-exchange process was used to incorporate sulfur into ALD metal oxide films. In both of these conversion processes, the properties of the initial ALD film enabled tuning of the resulting nanostructure geometry. In this Account, we describe the use of ALD to guide the growth of diverse nanomaterial systems, with tunable control over their geometry and composition. We further show how these approaches can be used to tune functional properties for a range of applications, including superomniphobic surfaces, antibiofouling coatings, and photocatalysis. In conclusion, we conclude with an outlook on how the combination of ALD and solution synthesis can enable future directions in scalable nanomanufacturing to overcome the limitations of traditional top-down and bottom-up approaches.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Disentangling the Impacts of Microtopography and Shrub Distribution on Snow Depth in a Subarctic Watershed: Toward a Predictive Understanding of Snow Spatial Variability

Snow plays a critical role in carbon cycling, vegetation dynamics, and permafrost hydrology at high latitudes by influencing surface energy exchange. Predicting snow distribution patterns is essential for understanding the evolution of Arctic ecosystems, yet scaling process-level knowledge to landscape predictions remains challenging. Here, we analyze snow depth (2019 and 2022), terrain elevation, and vegetation height from a watershed on the Seward Peninsula, Alaska, to examine how topography and shrubs shape snow redistribution across spatial scales. We find that snow depth is strongly coupled to terrain at scales below ∼60 m but becomes increasingly decoupled at larger scales. The topographic model of snow depth variation, which transforms terrain data to align with these scale-dependent snow patterns, is well correlated with local snow depth variations (linear fit R 2 > 0.5 for 85% of 100-m patches). A machine learning reconstruction of shrub canopy snow trapping reveals a simple exponential relationship between canopy structure and snow accumulation ( R 2 = 0.59), highlighting the combined influence of topography and vegetation on snow distribution. Together, these empirical relationships capture much of the observed snow variability in the watershed ( R 2 = 0.49, root mean square error (RMSE) = 30 cm), though systematic limitations persist in areas of strong scour and at coarser scales where wind-terrain interactions are more complex. These findings provide a framework for more efficient snow depth prediction and offer insights to improve snow-vegetation feedback representation in Earth System Models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

From small changes to big gains: pyridinium-based tetralactam macrocycle for enhanced sugar recognition in water

The complex distribution of functional groups in carbohydrates, coupled with their strong solvation in water, makes them challenging targets for synthetic receptors. Despite extensive research into various molecular frameworks, most synthetic carbohydrate receptors have exhibited low affinities, and their interactions with sugars in aqueous environments remain poorly understood. In this work, we present a simple pyridinium-based hydrogen-bonding receptor derived from a subtle structural modification of a well-known tetralactam macrocycle. This small structural change resulted in a dramatic enhancement of glucose binding affinity, increasing from 56 M −1 to 3001 M −1 . Remarkably, the performance of our synthetic lectin surpasses that of the natural lectin, concanavalin A, by over fivefold. X-ray crystallography of the macrocycle–glucose complex reveals a distinctive hydrogen bonding pattern, which allows for a larger surface overlap between the receptor and glucose, contributing to the enhanced affinity. Furthermore, this receptor possesses allosteric binding sites, which involve chloride binding and trigger receptor aggregation. This unique allosteric process reveals the critical role of structural flexibility in this hydrogen-bonding receptor for the effective recognition of sugars. We also demonstrate the potential of this synthetic lectin as a highly sensitive glucose sensor in aqueous solutions.

Zhai, Canjia

Self-Organization of Plasma-Material Interfaces

The primary goals of the project are a) improve the understanding of transport processes, chemical reactions and plasma-driven self-organization such as stratification and filamentation, formation of anode spots, liquid droplets ejection from cathodes, and plasma electrolysis, b) utilize and share among the project participants computational tools developed by the participants to understand plasma-based surface functionalization and plasma-enabled pattern nucleation in a wide range of scales from nano- to millimeters, and c) use experimental methods and facilities available at the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH) and Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) to understand and control plasma processes, reaction pathways and the electric nature of self-organization of the plasma-exposed interface structures.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

Theoretical background for a fast flow liquid metal divertor experiment

Tokamak Energy has developed a liquid metal experiment featuring a lithium loop that circulates lithium through the HIDRA stellarator at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. The loop includes a replaceable divertor module, designed to demonstrate fast, steady, open-surface liquid metal flow. The first-generation divertor module was deliberately kept simple—an open-surface chute—to enable modelling validation and establish a benchmark for future design iterations. This paper presents the theoretical foundations of the experimental design. Specifically, we identify module overflooding as the primary challenge and determine the limits of fluid velocity and magnetic field strength necessary to prevent it. The steady-state flow patterns are expected to exhibit relatively slow surface velocities, which do not fully align with the fast-flow concept. Nevertheless, the experiment is designed to achieve controllable, continuous open-surface flow within an operational fusion device, representing a significant step toward the development of liquid metal divertor technology.

Experiment

Vegetation heterogeneity reflects soil thermal state and surface soil displacement in a thawing permafrost landscape

Thawing permafrost has the potential to dramatically alter the physical and ecological structure of northern landscapes. Warming of the Arctic and subsequent degradation of permafrost have created a need to assess the stability and movement of soils on hillslopes and the potential impacts on ecosystem structure. In this work, we explore the relationships among vegetation heterogeneity, soil temperature, and soil surface displacements observed from 2019 to 2022 in a watershed in the discontinuous permafrost region on the Seward Peninsula of Alaska. Vegetation heterogeneity was measured as the standard deviation (SD) of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) from 3 m PlanetScope satellite imagery around each soil temperature and active layer thickness observation. Locations of observations were clustered into three soil thermal groups, warm, intermediate, and cold, based on soil temperature and active layer thickness. Average annual horizontal surface displacements were significantly lower for soils within the warm thermal group (median = 0.033 m yr −1 ) compared to soils within the cold thermal group (median = 0.090 m yr −1 ; p < 0.001). Conversely, vegetation heterogeneity was significantly higher in the warm (median = 0.014 SD NDVI; p = 0.002) and intermediate (median = 0.015 SD NDVI; p = 0.002) groups compared with the cold thermal group (median = 0.012 SD NDVI), suggesting a warming-induced shift in vegetation community complexity. Because of the observed associations of ground surface displacement rates and vegetation heterogeneity with soil thermal state, we hypothesize that warming soil conditions induce changes in the rates and patterns of hillslope erosion due to an increase in surface movement as near-surface permafrost thaws, followed by a decrease as the permafrost table deepens and excess ice content diminishes. The transition to warm soils promotes surface ecosystem transformation, shifting the dominant vegetation at the site, given the warming climatic conditions of the region. We integrated our observations of soil temperature, vegetation heterogeneity, and soil surface displacements into a conceptual model that describes the co-evolution of hillslopes and vegetation in warming permafrost environments, which is currently unrepresented in earth system models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Surface orientation ambiguity for single molecules at dielectric interfaces

Fluorescent molecules emit light in a dipole radiation pattern that can be used to infer their orientation through defocused fluorescence microscopy. Proper measurement of the orientation requires mathematical modeling of the radiation pattern expected for a dipole in the geometry of interest and subsequent comparison against experimental data. We point out an ambiguity in common calculations of these patterns that appears to compromise orientation measurements for molecules that are especially near dielectric surfaces. This results in a rotation of the measured emission dipole toward the surface for near-interface molecules, which can be mistaken for a preferentially horizontal orientation among the emitters. The proper treatment for on-surface emitters requires consideration of finite-sized current elements between two dielectric media, and we show that the theoretical ambiguity can be lifted via finite-element modeling. A prescription is provided for correcting measured orientations at arbitrary interfaces.

Dey, E. [University of Texas, Arlington, TX (Unite