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At least 73 records · Page 4

Solar-terrestrial predictions proceedings. Volume 4: Prediction of terrestrial effects of solar activity

Papers about prediction of ionospheric and radio propagation conditions based primarily on empirical or statistical relations is discussed. Predictions of sporadic E, spread F, and scintillations generally involve statistical or empirical predictions. The correlation between solar-activity and terrestrial seismic activity and the possible relation between solar activity and biological effects is discussed.

Donnelly, R. E.↗

Solar flare effects on the zodiacal light

Results are reported for an observational and theoretical study of possible solar-flare effects on the zodiacal light. A seven-year search for flare-induced brightness variations in the light is described which discovered no significant changes in either the level of brightness from night to night or the shape of the main zodiacal-light cone at elongations greater than 25 deg from the sun. Several possible dynamical effects of solar flares on the zodiacal dust cloud are investigated theoretically, including increased ion drag from a passing shock wave, possible rotational bursting of dust particles as a result of ion impacts, and fluorescence of the dust particles. It is found that the kinetic energy carried by shock-front ions is not sufficient to cause the dust to fluoresce, that increased ion drag may be significant only at heliocentric distances less than 0.1 AU, and that particles larger than 10 microns cannot attain bursting speeds at the appropriate distances. The question is considered of whether changes in the brightness of the polarized component as a result of variations in electron number density can be observed from earth or the Helios solar probe.

Misconi, N. Y.↗

A Change in the Solar He II EUV Global Network Structure as an Indicator of the Geo-Effectiveness of Solar Minima

Solar activity during 2007 - 2009 was very low, causing anomalously low thermospheric density. A comparison of solar extreme ultraviolet (EUV) irradiance in the He II spectral band (26 to 34 nm) from the Solar Extreme ultraviolet Monitor (SEM), one of instruments on the Charge Element and Isotope Analysis System (CELIAS) on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) for the two latest solar minima showed a decrease of the absolute irradiance of about 15 +/- 6 % during the solar minimum between Cycles 23 and 24 compared with the Cycle 22/23 minimum when a yearly running-mean filter was used. We found that some local, shorter-term minima including those with the same absolute EUV flux in the SEM spectral band show a higher concentration of spatial power in the global network structure from the 30.4 nm SOHO/Extreme ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) images for the local minimum of 1996 compared with the minima of 2008 - 2011.We interpret this higher concentration of spatial power in the transition region's global network structure as a larger number of larger-area features on the solar disk. These changes in the global network structure during solar minima may characterize, in part, the geo-effectiveness of the solar He II EUV irradiance in addition to the estimations based on its absolute levels.

Solar extreme ultraviolet irradiance↗

General overview of the solar activity effects on the lower ionosphere

Solar activity influences the ionospheric D region. That influence manifests itself both in the form of various solar induced disturbances and in the form of the D region dependence on solar activity parameters (UV-flux, interplanetary magnetic field, solar wind etc.) in quiet conditions. Relationship between solar activity and meteorological control of the D region behavior is considered in detail and examples of strong variations of aeronomical parameters due to solar or meteorological events are given.

Danilov, A. D.↗

The effect of solar cycle variations on the thermosphere

A review of current knowledge of the effect of solar activity on the thermosphere is presented. Data obtained by the Dynamics Explorer 2 spacecraft and model results from the NCAR Thermospheric GCM, which demonstrate the effect of increased solar and geomagnetic activity on composition, temperature and the dynamic structure of the upper atmosphere are discussed. It is shown how subtle change in the IMF can affect the form of the neutral gas circulation at high latitudes, with important implications for polar orbiting spacecraft.

Mccormac, F. G.↗

Large scale solar magnetic fields at the site of flares, the greatness of flares, and solar-terrestrial disturbances

Evidence is presented for an intrinsically solar effect which may dominate such solar-terrestrial correlations as that reported by Chertkov (1976), where large H-alpha flares during 1967-1972 in solar active regions with overlying fields on a 100,000 km scale and predominantly north-to-south orientation were more efficient in the production of geomagnetic disturbances than comparable flares in regions whose fields at the flare sites were directed south-to-north. In addition to being responsible for geomagnetic disturbance enhancements, this purely solar effect may cause solar wind velocity and solar flare proton flux enhancements. If the effect can be generalized to other portions of the solar cycle, it could improve present understanding of the flare mechanism and therefore prove useful in the prediction of solar-terrestrial disturbances.

Dodson, H. W.↗

The Effect of Solar Radiation Pressure on the Motion of an Artificial Satellite

The effects of solar radiation pressure on the motion of an artificial satellite are obtained, including the effects of the intermittent acceleration which results from the eclipsing of the satellite by the earth. Vectorial methods have been utilized to obtain the nonlinear equations describing the motion, and the method of Kryloff-Bogoliuboff has been applied in their solution.

Bryant, Robert W.↗

Effect of solar radiation disturbance on a flexible beam in orbit

The uncontrolled dynamics of an orbiting flexible beam in the presence of solar radiation pressure forces is considered. The effect of solar radiation forces and moments on the rigid and flexible modes of a free-free flexible beam is evaluated. It is found that moments result only from the flexible symmetric modal deformations. For small pitch amplitudes, and at near geosynchronous altitudes the solar radiation moments due to the deformations of the beam are seen to be greater than those due to the gravity-gradient. Within the linear range, simulated steady state dynamic responses show that the induced pitch amplitudes can be more significant than the induced amplitudes of the modal shape functions.

Krishna, R.↗

Comment on "Enhanced upper stratospheric ozone: Sign of recovery or solar cycle effect?"

[01] Steinbrecht et al. [2004] (hereinafter referred to as S4) have discussed the trend in upper stratospheric ozone at 35 -45-km altitude determined from their lidar measurements at Hohenpeissenberg (47.8degN, 11.0degE) from 1987 to 2003. They question the conclusion of Newchurch et al. [2003] (hereinafter referred to as N3) that after approximately 1997 the downward trend of upper stratospheric ozone at 35-45-km altitude has diminished significantly. They argue instead that recent ozone changes are associated with the recent solar maximum (i.e., the solar cycle effect on ozone). In this comment we question their procedure for identifying the solar cycle effect. Moreover, we argue that the solar cycle effect was appropriately accounted for in the N3 analysis, and we buttress our argument by demonstrating that the more extensive data set used by N3 shows that the trend in upper stratospheric ozone has diminished significantly since 1997 and that this is evidence of the first stage of ozone recovery.

Cunnold, D. M.↗