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DOE OSTI2020

Application of Detectability Analysis for Power System Dynamic State Estimation

To guide the measurement placement and selection for dynamic state estimation in power systems, it is important to determine the existence of an observer that can estimate the dynamic states. Past studies have been focused on observability analysis, which determines whether the initial states can be uniquely determined. In this paper, detectability analysis is proposed to determine whether the current states can be estimated as time involving. Through the proposed detectability analysis, the states of an unobservable system can be categorized into the detectable states and undetectable states. It is shown that if the eigenvalues corresponding to the unobservable states are stable, the states are detectable and their estimates will converge to the true ones asymptotically. The study can be used to guide measurement placement and selection.

Detectability, dynamic state estimation↗

DOE OSTI2018

A Multi-Step Adaptive Interpolation Approach to Mitigating the Impact of Nonlinearity on Dynamic State Estimation

Accurate estimation of dynamic states (such as synchronous machine rotor angle and speed) is critical for monitoring and controlling transient stability. Extended Kalman filter (EKF)--based approaches have been developed for estimating dynamic states. In order to improve the EKF's performance in estimating dynamic states of a synchronous machine, this paper proposes a multi-step adaptive interpolation (MSAI) approach to achieve balance between estimation accuracy and computational time. This approach consists of three major steps. First, two indexes are calculated to quantify the nonlinearity of the state transition function and measurement function, respectively. Second, based on the nonlinearity indexes, the interpolation factor is determined using a finite state machine model. And finally, to mitigate the negative impact of nonlinearity on the estimation accuracy, pseudo-measurements are added between consecutive measurements through linear interpolation. A simple example is used to validate the proposed nonlinear indexes. The two-area four-machine system and 16-machine 68-bus system are used to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed MSAI approach. It is shown through the Monte-Carlo method that the estimation accuracy can be improved through interpolation. In addition, a good trade-off between estimation accuracy and computational time can be achieved effectively through the proposed MSAI approach.

Dynamic State Estimation, extended Kalman filter (↗

DOE OSTI2023

Efficient Network Partitioning: Application for Decentralized State Estimation in Power Distribution Grids

Increase in the proliferation of distributed energy resources require real-time situational awareness for efficient grid operations. State estimation plays an important role for the real-time control and management of the power grid. As the sensing infrastructure grows, aggregating and handling high volumes of data at a centralized location is extremely difficult. To address this challenge, this paper first proposes a novel and efficient hier-archical spectral clustering-based network partitioning algorithm followed by a decentralized compressive sensing (DCS)-based state estimation. The applicability of the proposed network partitioning algorithm is tested on an IEEE 123-bus network, an IEEE 8,500-node system, and a 6,000+ node distribution network. The results shows that the proposed approach efficiently divides the network into multiple sub-networks with the minimum number of edge connections among the neighbors. Then, we perform DCS-based state estimation on the 6,000+ node distribution network after dividing the network into 18 optimal partitions. Simulation results show that the DCS-based state estimation recovers the system states with high accuracy and low complexity.

alternating direction method of multipliers↗

DOE OSTI2022

A General State Estimation Formulation for Three-Phase Unbalanced Power Systems

Almost all of the three-phase state estimation algorithms assume existence of a reference bus whose phase angles are perfectly balanced. This assumption is quite realistic for transmission systems, and also for most distribution systems that are connected to a strong transmission system where transmission side can modeled by a balanced reference bus. However, for distribution systems having high penetration of renewable sources or for microgrids operating in islanded mode, the assumption of a balanced reference bus will not be realistic. While there are recent publications focusing on this problem, formulation of the three-phase unbalanced state estimation problem with proper treatment of the reference bus remains unaddressed. In this paper, a new formulation will be described where an accurate state estimation solution can be obtained for any unbalanced threephase system irrespective of its operating conditions (balanced or highly unbalanced), configuration (isolated microgrid, connected to transmission system, etc.) and whether or not it contains any synchronous generators. Validation of the proposed formulation will be carried out via simulations.

State Estimation, Distribution System, Unbalanced ↗

DOE OSTI2020

A robust dynamic state estimation approach against model errors caused by load changes

Dynamic state estimation (DSE) plays an important role in power system security monitoring and online control. In practice, there are two approaches to implementing DSE. The first approach is distributed DSE, which is based on the assumption that the terminal bus of each generator can be measured by PMUs (phasor measurement units). The assumption cannot be satisfied currently, however, because PMUs usually are installed at important high-voltage buses such as 500-kV buses installed in portions of the grid overseen by the Western Electricity Coordinating Council. Another issue of this approach is that performance of DSE is vulnerable to bad measurement data. The reason for this vulnerability is that DSE is performed separately through measurements at each terminal bus, and measurements at terminal buses are the only measurement upon which DSE can rely. Therefore, important redundant measurements are not included in this approach. The second approach is centralized DSE. This approach does not have the requirement for PMU location, and redundant measurements can be considered fully. However, load changes and grid topology changes impact centralized DSE. In this paper, we propose a new approach for handling the impact of load changes on DSE. We have developed a new algorithm that includes two sequential steps. In the first step, errors caused by load changes are detected by analyzing the difference between prediction results and measured results. In the second step, once model error is detected, a model optimization procedure is run to correct the error so the state estimation error can be mitigated. Simulation results from the IEEE 68 bus system show that the proposed approach can effectively handle model errors caused by load changes.

robust dynamic state estimation, load change, powe↗

DOE OSTI2023

A Robust Parallel Distributed State Estimation for Large Scale Distribution Systems

The growing need and interest in real-time monitoring of large distribution networks motivated by the rapid population of renewable sources, EVs and etc. demand a computationally efficient state estimation framework. Furthermore, this paper presents an improved computational framework for implementing a robust state estimator using a multi-core processor. The main contribution of the paper is the proposed computational framework along with two partitioning strategies which enable fast and robust state estimation for large scale radial and/or meshed distribution systems. Formulation of the proposed method and its implementation are described in detail. Performance of the estimator is tested by simulations first using a small 84-bus radial distribution system. Then the method’s scalability is demonstrated by simulations on two very large scale distribution networks one configured radially and the other meshed each containing over 12,500 buses.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2015

Sub-second State Estimation Implementation and its Evaluation with Real Data

This paper describes the performance of a parallel state estimation (PSE) tool implemented using advanced computing techniques. The developed code is able to solve state estimation of large-size, practical power systems within one second. Benchmark tests against a commercial tool shows that the computational speed is 10 times faster. Benefits brought by the sub-second state estimation are also discussed.

EMS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Modified Eigen-Decomposition-based Interval Analysis (MEDIA) for Power System Dynamic State Estimation

The Bayesian approach has been used for the dynamic state estimation (DSE) of a power system. However, due to the complexity of noise resources, it is difficult to quantify measurement and process noise using probability density functions (PDFs). To overcome the difficulty, the authors of this paper propose a modified eigen-decomposition-based interval analysis (MEDIA) method, which employs bounds instead of PDFs to quantify the noise, and uses the eigen decomposition method to reduce the negative impact of the overestimation problem. Using the simulation data generated from IEEE 16-machine and IEEE 10-machine systems, it is shown that the proposed MEDIA method can estimate the hard boundaries of dynamic states in real time. Furthermore, comparison with the forward-backward propagation method and the extended set-membership filter also shows that the proposed MEDIA method performs better by providing narrower boundaries in the DSE.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2021

Joint Matrix Completion and Compressed Sensing for State Estimation in Low-observable Distribution System

Limited measurement availability at the distribution grid presents challenges for state estimation and situational awareness. This paper combines the advantages of two sparsity-based state estimation approaches (matrix completion and compressive sensing) that have been proposed recently to address the challenge of unobservability. The proposed approach exploits both the low rank structure and a suitable transform domain representation to leverage the correlation structure of the spatio-temporal data matrix while incorporating the powerflow constraints of the distribution grid. Simulations are carried out on three phase unbalanced IEEE 37 test system to verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The performance results reveal - (1) the superiority over traditional matrix completion and (2) very low state estimation errors for high compression ratios representing very low observability.

Dahale, Shweta↗

DOE OSTI2022

State Estimation for Distribution Networks with Asynchronous Sensors Using Stochastic Descent: Preprint

This paper investigates the problem of state estimation for distribution networks with asynchronous sensors comprising of a mix of smart meters and phasor measurement units (PMUs) with multiple sampling and reporting rates. We consider two independent scenarios of state estimation and tracking, with either voltages or currents as states. With these two sets, we investigate estimation under (a) full data, assuming all measurements are available and (b) limited data, where an online algorithmic approach is adopted to estimate the possibly time-varying states by processing measurements as and when available. The proposed algorithm, inspired by the classical Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) approach updates the states based on the previous estimate and the newly available measurements. Finally, we demonstrate the estimation and tracking efficacy through numerical simulations on the IEEE-37 test network, while also highlighting how estimation with currents as states leads to faster convergence.

asynchronous sensors↗

DOE OSTI2020

Matrix Completion Using Alternating Minimization for Distribution System State Estimation

This paper examines the problem of state estimation in power distribution systems under low-observability conditions. The recently proposed constrained matrix completion method which combines the standard matrix completion method and power flow constraints has been shown to be effective in estimating voltage phasors under low-observability conditions using single-snapshot information. However, the method requires solving a semidefinite programming (SDP) problem, which becomes computationally infeasible for large systems and if multiple-snapshot (time-series) information is used. This paper proposes an efficient algorithm to solve the constrained matrix completion problem with time-series data. This algorithm is based on reformulating the matrix completion problem as a bilinear (non-convex) optimization problem, and applying the alternating minimization algorithm to solve this problem. This paper proves the summable convergence of the proposed algorithm, and demonstrates its efficacy and scalability via IEEE 123-bus system and a real utility feeder system. This paper also explores the value of adding more data from the history in terms of computation time and estimation accuracy.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

DOE OSTI2016

Power system observability and dynamic state estimation for stability monitoring using synchrophasor measurements

Growing penetration of intermittent resources such as renewable generations increases the risk of instability in a power grid. This paper introduces the concept of observability and its computational algorithms for a power grid monitored by the wide-area measurement system (WAMS) based on synchrophasors, e.g. phasor measurement units (PMUs). The goal is to estimate real-time states of generators, especially for potentially unstable trajectories, the information that is critical for the detection of rotor angle instability of the grid. The paper studies the number and siting of synchrophasors in a power grid so that the state of the system can be accurately estimated in the presence of instability. An unscented Kalman filter (UKF) is adopted as a tool to estimate the dynamic states that are not directly measured by synchrophasors. The theory and its computational algorithms are illustrated in detail by using a 9-bus 3-generator power system model and then tested on a 140-bus 48-generator Northeast Power Coordinating Council power grid model. Case studies on those two systems demonstrate the performance of the proposed approach using a limited number of synchrophasors for dynamic state estimation for stability assessment and its robustness against moderate inaccuracies in model parameters.

Observability, Dynamic state estimation, Synchroph↗

DOE OSTI2020

Real-Time Modal Analysis of Electric Power Grids - The Need for Dynamic State Estimation

We articulate the reason why dynamic state estimation is needed to push the boundaries of the modal analysis of electric power grids in real-time operation. Then, we demonstrate how to unravel linear and nonlinear modes by using the extended dynamic mode decomposition along with estimates of the synchronous generators’ rotor angles and rotor speed deviations from nominal speed. The estimated modes are associated with electromechanical oscillations that take place continuously in electric power grids because of imbalances between power generation and demand. The numerical simulations are performed on a synthetic, albeit realistic, 2,000-bus network that was designed to resemble the electric power grid of Texas.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2018

Detecting False Data Injection Attacks Against Power System State Estimation With Fast Go-Decomposition Approach

State estimation is a fundamental function in modern energy management system, but its results may be vulnerable to false data injection attacks (FDIAs). FDIA is able to change the estimation results without being detected by the traditional bad data detection algorithms. In this paper, we propose an accurate and computational attractive approach for FDIA detection. In this work, we first rely on the low rank characteristic of the measurement matrix and the sparsity of the attack matrix to reformulate the FDIA detection as a matrix separation problem. Then, four algorithms that solve this problem are presented and compared, including the traditional augmented Lagrange multipliers (ALMs), double-noise-dual-problem (DNDP) ALM, the low rank matrix factorization, and the proposed new “Go Decomposition (GoDec).” Numerical simulation results show that our GoDec algorithm outperforms the other three alternatives and demonstrates a much higher computational efficiency. Furthermore, GoDec is shown to be able to handle measurement noise and applicable for large-scale attacks.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2019

Distribution System State Estimation: A Semidefinite Programming Approach

Distribution system state estimation (DSSE) is one of the vital components in the next-generation distribution management system which allows operators to monitor the entire system's operating conditions. Due to the lack of real-time measurements, DSSE has to process measurements whose quality varies significantly across different sources, which causes a convergence issue to the Gauss-Newton solver. In this paper, a semidefinite programming (SDP) framework is proposed to reformulate the DSSE problem into a rank- constrained SDP problem. One challenge of this technique is the nonconvex rank-one constraint, which is generally relaxed. However, the relaxed SDP-DSSE problem cannot guarantee a rank-one solution and hence loses optimality. Therefore, we propose two solution approaches to obtain rank-one solutions for the SDPDSSE problem: the rank reduction approach and the convex iteration approach. The model and the effectiveness of the proposed solution approaches are numerically demonstrated on the IEEE 13-bus, 34-bus, and 123-bus distribution systems.

convex iteration↗

DOE OSTI2024

Artificial Neural Network-based State Estimation for Low Observable, Unbalanced Microgrids for Microgrid Building Blocks

The microgrid building blocks (MBB) were proposed as microgrid components with combined sub-components with power conversion, communication, and microgrid control capability, or a subset of such sub-components. This work addresses the microgrid controller, present in an MBB, which requires accurate state estimation to perform its tasks, including for monitoring, power flow (dispatch), fault detection, etc. In this paper, an artificial neural network (ANN)-based framework for state estimation is proposed for an MBB, especially for unbalanced and low observable microgrids. To overcome the challenge of low observability in unbalanced systems, a concept of extended adjacent matrix is introduced to reduce the required number of measurements for state estimation. Addressing the challenges, a feed forward neural network (FNN) is utilized to enhance estimation accuracy and reliability with the reduced number of measurements. The proposed state estimation is validated through extensive simulations on a microgrid, which was achieved from the modified IEEE 34-bus distribution test feeder with multiple distributed energy resources (DERs) and demonstrated superior performance in estimation accuracy and low observability.

Choi, Jongchan↗

DOE OSTI2014

A Two-Stage Kalman Filter Approach for Robust and Real-Time Power System State Estimation

As electricity demand continues to grow and renewable energy increases its penetration in the power grid, realtime state estimation becomes essential for system monitoring and control. Recent development in phasor technology makes it possible with high-speed time-synchronized data provided by Phasor Measurement Units (PMU). In this paper we present a two-stage Kalman filter approach to estimate the static state of voltage magnitudes and phase angles, as well as the dynamic state of generator rotor angles and speeds. Kalman filters achieve optimal performance only when the system noise characteristics have known statistical properties (zero-mean, Gaussian, and spectrally white). However in practice the process and measurement noise models are usually difficult to obtain. Thus we have developed the Adaptive Kalman Filter with Inflatable Noise Variances (AKF with InNoVa), an algorithm that can efficiently identify and reduce the impact of incorrect system modeling and/or erroneous measurements. In stage one, we estimate the static state from raw PMU measurements using the AKF with InNoVa; then in stage two, the estimated static state is fed into an extended Kalman filter to estimate the dynamic state. Simulations demonstrate its robustness to sudden changes of system dynamics and erroneous measurements.

Zhang, Jinghe↗

DOE OSTI2020

Gradient-Based Multi-Area Distribution System State Estimation

The increasing distributed and renewable energy resources and controllable devices in distribution systems make fast distribution system state estimation (DSSE) crucial in system monitoring and control. We consider a large multi-phase distribution system and formulate DSSE as a weighted least squares (WLS) problem. We divide the large distribution system into smaller areas of subtree structure, and by jointly exploring the linearized power flow model and the network topology, we propose a gradient-based multi-area algorithm to exactly and efficiently solve the WLS problem. The proposed algorithm enables distributed and parallel computation of the state estimation problem without compromising any performance. Numerical results on a 4,521-node test feeder show that the designed algorithm features fast convergence and accurate estimation results. Comparison with traditional Gauss-Newton method shows that the proposed method has much better performance in distribution systems with a limited amount of reliable measurement. The real-time implementation of the algorithm tracks time-varying system states with high accuracy.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗