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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 73 records · Page 4

Scalable Energy System Expansion Under Uncertainty Using Multi-Stage Stochastic Optimization

The intermittent nature of power from renewable energy sources poses new challenges for electrical grids. This is due to the variable and uncertain nature of the power output from these resources. These features of renewable generation are becoming more relevant to energy system planning as grids reach higher penetration levels of renewable energy. In this presentation we present approaches for energy system planning based on scalable computational approaches which enable the explicit consideration of operational uncertainties in the planning process. Using multi-stage stochastic programming and the progressive hedging algorithm, we compute energy system expansion decisions on modified versions of the RTS-GMLC test system augmented with large amounts of renewable generation.

MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Dopant levels in large nanocrystals using stochastic optimally tuned range-separated hybrid density functional theory

In this work, we apply a stochastic version of an optimally tuned range-separated hybrid functional to provide insight on the electronic properties of P- and B- doped Si nanocrystals of experimentally relevant sizes. We show that we can use the range-separation parameter for undoped systems to calculate accurate results for dopant activation energies. We apply this strategy for tuning functionals to study doped nanocrystals up to 2.5 nm in diameter at the hybrid functional level. In this confinement regime, the P- and B- dopants have large activation energies and have strongly localized states that lie deep within the energy gaps. Structural relaxation plays a greater role for B-substituted dopants and contributes to the increase in activation energy when the B dopant is near the nanocrystal surface.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Parallel and vector computation for stochastic optimal control applications

A general method for parallel and vector numerical solutions of stochastic dynamic programming problems is described for optimal control of general nonlinear, continuous time, multibody dynamical systems, perturbed by Poisson as well as Gaussian random white noise. Possible applications include lumped flight dynamics models for uncertain environments, such as large scale and background random atmospheric fluctuations. The numerical formulation is highly suitable for a vector multiprocessor or vectorizing supercomputer, and results exhibit high processor efficiency and numerical stability. Advanced computing techniques, data structures, and hardware help alleviate Bellman's curse of dimensionality in dynamic programming computations.

Hanson, F. B.↗

Scalable Transmission Expansion Under Uncertainty Using Three-Stage Stochastic Optimization

The intermittent nature of renewable energy poses new challenges for power grids due to its variable and uncertain power output. These features of renewable generation are becoming more relevant to transmission planning as grids reach higher penetration levels of renewable energy. In this paper we present an approach for transmission planning based on scalable computational approaches which enable the explicit consideration of operational uncertainties in the planning process. Using three-stage stochastic programming and the progressive hedging algorithm, we compute transmission expansion decisions on a modified RTS-GMLC test system. We augment the grid with large amounts of wind generation and consider many operational scenarios subject to wind uncertainty.

multi-stage stochastic optimization↗

Scalable Energy System Expansion Under Uncertainty Using Multi-Stage Stochastic Optimization

The intermittent nature of renewable energy sources poses challenges for electrical grids. This is due to the variable and uncertain nature of the power output from these resources. These features of renewable generation are more relevant to energy system planning as grids reach higher penetration levels of renewable energy. We present approaches for energy system planning based on scalable computational approaches which enable explicit consideration of operational uncertainties in the planning process. Using multi-stage stochastic programming and the progressive hedging algorithm, we compute energy system expansion decisions on modified versions of the RTS-GMLC test system.

electrical↗

On optimal stochastic midcourse guidance.

Feedback from observations introduced into midcourse guidance correction program, showing optimal random feedback solution obtained for deterministic optimal feedback control problems

FEEDBACK CONTROL SYSTEM↗

Application of stochastic optimal reduced state feedback gain computation procedures to the design of aircraft gust alleviation controllers

A stochastic linear model that accounts for process parameter and initial uncertainty, measurement noise, and a restricted number of measurable outputs was used to determine feedback gains useful for reducing the vertical acceleration which results from the presence of a vertical wind gust. Considered in the study were the influence of various feedback configurations, the effects of sensor noise, flight condition changes, and initialization procedures. Results showed that for sixth order linearized longitudinal motion, a controller with feedback on three states could be designed for effective gust alleviation taking into account both sensor noise and flight condition variation.

Sobel, K.↗

Stochastic optimization of cellulosic biofuel supply chain incorporating feedstock yield uncertainty

The global goal to reduce dependence on fossil fuels and to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions has resulted in research focused on environment friendly and socio-economically sustainable renewable energy sources. However, commercial production of bio-energy is constrained by biomass supply uncertainty and associated costs. This study presents an integrated approach to determining the optimal biofuel supply chain considering biomass yield uncertainty. A two-stage stochastic mixed integer linear programming is utilized to minimize the expected system cost while incorporating yield uncertainty in the strategic level decisions related to biomass production and biorefinery investment. Applicability of the stochastic model is illustrated through a case study of switchgrass-based biofuel in west Tennessee.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Stochastic Optimization with Risk Aversion for Virtual Power Plant Operations: A Rolling Horizon Control

While the concept of aggregating and controlling renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) to provide grid services is not new, increasing policy support of DER market participation has driven research and development in algorithms to pool DERs for economically viable market participation. Sandia National Laboratories recently undertook a three-year research program to create the components of a real-world virtual power plant (VPP) that can simultaneously participate in multiple markets. Our research extends current state-of-the-art rolling horizon control through the application of stochastic programming with risk aversion at various time resolutions. Our rolling horizon control consists of (1) day-ahead optimization to produce an hourly aggregate schedule for the VPP operator and (2) sub-hourly optimization for real-time dispatch of each VPP subresource. Both optimization routines leverage a two-stage stochastic program (SP) with risk aversion, and integrate the most up-to-date forecasts to generate probabilistic scenarios in real operating time. Our results demonstrate the benefits to the VPP operator of constructing a stochastic solution regardless of the weather. In more extreme weather, applying risk optimization strategies can dramatically increase the financial viability of the VPP. As a result, the methodologies presented here can be further tailored for optimal control of any VPP asset fleet and its operational requirements.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Towards sub-optimal stochastic control of partially observable stochastic systems

The paper deals with a class of multidimensional stochastic control problems with noisy data and bounded controls encountered in aerospace design. The emphasis is on suboptimal design, the optimality being taken in quadratic mean sense. To that effect the problem is viewed as a stochastic version of the Lurie problem known from nonlinear control theory. The main result is a separation theorem (involving a nonlinear Kalman-like filter) suitable for Lurie-type approximations. The theorem allows for discontinuous characteristics. As a byproduct the existence of strong solutions to a class of non-Lipschitzian stochastic differential equations in n dimensions is proved.

Ruzicka, G. J.↗

Towards sub-optimal stochastic control of partially observable stochastic systems

A class of multidimensional stochastic control problems with noisy data and bounded controls encountered in aerospace design is examined. The emphasis is on suboptimal design, the optimality being taken in quadratic mean sense. To that effect the problem is viewed as a stochastic version of the Lurie problem known from nonlinear control theory. The main result is a separation theorem (involving a nonlinear Kalman-like filter) suitable for Lurie-type approximations. The theorem allows for discontinuous characteristics. As a byproduct the existence of strong solutions to a class of non-Lipschitzian stochastic differential equations in dimensions is proven.

Ruzicka, G. J.↗

Tri-level hybrid interval-stochastic optimal scheduling for flexible residential loads under GAN-assisted multiple uncertainties

Various building loads, such as heating, ventilation, and air conditioners (HVACs), electric water heaters (EWHs), and electric vehicles (EVs), can introduce opportunities for improving the flexibility of electricity consumption while satisfying the needs of building owners as well as benefiting the resilience of distribution system. To utilize such flexibility, a tri-level distribution market framework is established, including residential consumers, load aggregators (LAs), and the distribution system operator (DSO). In this work, the uncertainties from all three levels are considered. The random consumption behavior at the consumer level is modeled as a Gaussian noise that is also aggregated and transmitted to the LA level. The weather temperature in the LA level is forecasted as an interval, and the photovoltaic (PV) power in the market-clearing level is modeled by a set of power scenarios generated by Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs). Then, a hybrid interval-stochastic programming is proposed to transform the uncertain problems in the first two levels into deterministic ones. For real-time implementations, a rolling horizon optimization (RHO) scheme is employed to continuously optimize the power consumption based on the latest operating information. Finally, case studies on a modified IEEE 69-bus system validate the effectiveness of the proposed uncertainty modeling strategies and the RHO scheme.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Distributed Stochastic Optimization of a Neural Representation Network for Time-Space Tomography Reconstruction

4D time-space reconstruction of dynamic events or deforming objects using X-ray computed tomography (CT) is an important inverse problem in non-destructive evaluation. Conventional back-projection based reconstruction methods assume that the object remains static for the duration of several tens or hundreds of X-ray projection measurement images (reconstruction of consecutive limited-angle CT scans). However, this is an unrealistic assumption for many in-situ experiments that causes spurious artifacts and inaccurate morphological reconstructions of the object. To solve this problem, we propose to perform a 4D time-space reconstruction using a distributed implicit neural representation (DINR) network that is trained using a novel distributed stochastic training algorithm. Our DINR network learns to reconstruct the object at its output by iterative optimization of its network parameters such that the measured projection images best match the output of the CT forward measurement model. Here, we use a forward measurement model that is a function of the DINR outputs at a sparsely sampled set of continuous valued 4D object coordinates. Unlike previous neural representation architectures that forward and back propagate through dense voxel grids that sample the object's entire time-space coordinates, we only propagate through the DINR at a small subset of object coordinates in each iteration resulting in an order-of-magnitude reduction in memory and compute for training. DINR leverages distributed computation across several compute nodes and GPUs to produce high-fidelity 4D time-space reconstructions. We use both simulated parallel-beam and experimental cone-beam X-ray CT datasets to demonstrate the superior performance of our approach.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A cloud computing approach to massively-parallel distributed stochastic optimization with application to geomechanical reservoir characterization

Many search strategies used to optimize parameters during hydrologic model calibration are inherently limited in that simulations must be performed sequentially in order for the algorithm to converge. As a result, the overall time required to reach a solution increases linearly with the number of steps necessary. In contrast, sampling strategies that attempt to approximate the posterior distribution of the parameters do not require the model simulations to be run in sequence and therefore invite the use of a massively parallel approach across heterogeneous computing environments. We apply a cloud computing methodology to this problem where a head node running on Amazon Web Services continuously produces candidate models that are distributed to arbitrary compute environments to run the simulation, in our case Clemson’s Palmetto cluster computer. Thus the time required to obtain a sufficient number of samples to produce an adequate approximation of the posterior distribution of the parameters is limited by the number of available compute sites. Monte Carlo sampling of the posterior space would be duplicative and inefficient, thus we combine Latin hypercube methods with genetic algorithms to ensure that no large regions of the parameter space are left unexplored, and that high probability regions are investigated thoroughly. We independently assess the fit to different types of data sets without the need to construct a single objective function. Sets of Pareto optimal models are particularly valuable when the quality and information content of data is poorly known or conceptual model errors exist in our simulation. We illustrate our approach for a problem where in situ strain data are used to calibrate the parameters of an oil reservoir in the Avant oil field in Oklahoma. We use well injection and shut-in to stress a deep (500m) confined formation, and observe the geomechanical response using borehole strainmeters installed in the shallow subsurface (30m). These data were then used to calibrate the poroelastic properties of the reservoir and caprock along with the geometry of an elliptic channel associated with the formation. Using our approach we are able to identify issues with model error as well as substantial tradeoffs that occur within the parameters.

inversion, stochastic, geomechanics, poroelastic, ↗