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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 73 records · Page 4
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Deep decarbonization and U.S. biofuels production: a coordinated analysis with a detailed structural model and an integrated multisectoral model

Scenarios for deep decarbonization involve biomass for biofuels, biopower, and bioproducts, and they often include negative emissions via carbon capture and storage or utilization. However, critical questions remain about the feasibility of rapid growth to high levels of biomass utilization, given biomass and land availability as well as historical growth rates of the biofuel industry. We address these questions through a unique coordinated analysis and comparison of carbon pricing effects on biomass utilization growth in the United States using a multisectoral integrated assessment model, the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM), and a biomass-to-biofuels system dynamics model, the Bioenergy Scenario Model (BSM). We harmonized and varied key factors—such as carbon prices, vehicle electrification, and arable land availability—in the two models. We varied the rate of biorefinery construction, the fungibility of feedstock types across conversion processes, and policy incentives in BSM. The rate of growth in biomass deployment under a carbon price in both models is within the range of current literature. However, the reallocation of land to biomass feedstocks would need to overcome bottlenecks to achieve growth consistent with deep decarbonization scenarios. Investments as a result of near-term policy incentives can develop technology and expand capacity—reducing costs, enabling flexibility in feedstock use, and improving stability—but if biomass demand is high, these investments might not overcome land reallocation bottlenecks. Biomass utilization for deep decarbonization relies on extraordinary growth in biomass availability and industrial capacity. In this paper, we quantify and describe the potential challenges of this rapid change.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Bayesian characterization of uncertainties surrounding fluvial flood hazard estimates

Fluvial floods drive severe risk to riverine communities. There is strong evidence of increasing flood hazards in many regions around the world. The choice of methods and assumptions used in flood hazard estimates can impact the design of risk management strategies. In this study, we characterize the expected flood hazards conditioned on the uncertain model structures, model parameters, and prior distributions of the parameters. We construct a Bayesian framework for river stage return level estimation using a nonstationary statistical model that relies exclusively on the Indian Ocean Dipole Index. We show that ignoring uncertainties can lead to biased estimation of expected flood hazards. We find that the considered model parametric uncertainty is more influential than model structures and model priors. Our results highlight the importance of incorporating uncertainty in extreme flood stage estimates, and are of practical use for informing water infrastructure designs in a changing climate.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Efficient structure-factor modeling for crystals with multiple components

Diffraction intensities from a crystallographic experiment include contributions from the entire unit cell of the crystal: the macromolecule, the solvent around it and eventually other compounds. These contributions cannot typically be well described by an atomic model alone, i.e . using point scatterers. Indeed, entities such as disordered (bulk) solvent, semi-ordered solvent ( e.g. lipid belts in membrane proteins, ligands, ion channels) and disordered polymer loops require other types of modeling than a collection of individual atoms. This results in the model structure factors containing multiple contributions. Most macromolecular applications assume two-component structure factors: one component arising from the atomic model and the second one describing the bulk solvent. A more accurate and detailed modeling of the disordered regions of the crystal will naturally require more than two components in the structure factors, which presents algorithmic and computational challenges. Here an efficient solution of this problem is proposed. All algorithms described in this work have been implemented in the computational crystallography toolbox ( CCTBX ) and are also available within Phenix software. These algorithms are rather general and do not use any assumptions about molecule type or size nor about those of its components.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Summary of Development for Structural Component Modeling in Fiscal Year 2022

This report summarizes efforts performed during Fiscal Year 2022 to develop capabilities for modeling structural component degradation in support of the U.S. Department of Energy's Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation Program. These efforts were centered around development of capabilities for the Grizzly code. Efforts focused both on foundational engineering-scale analysis capabilities for damage and shell formulations and on material-scale tools for accounting for irradiation effects in Grade 91 steel. A major outcome of this effort was the development of a general-purpose tool for nonlocal averaging of material properties, which enabled nonlocal damage models. In addition, the applicability of the shell elements in MOOSE has been expanded to allow modeling a wider range of component geometries and using a wide variety of material models. For irradiation effects on materials, a previously developed cluster dynamics model for light water reactor pressure vessel steels has been adapted for application to Grade 91 alloy. This work builds on prior efforts to build a flexible, capable code for addressing a variety of aging and component performance issues in nuclear power plant structural components.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Modeling of Hidden Structures Using Sparse Chemical Shift Data from NMR Relaxation Dispersion

NMR relaxation dispersion measurements report on conformational changes occurring on the μs-ms timescale. Chemical shift information derived from relaxation dispersion can be used to generate structural models of weakly populated alternative conformational states. Current methods to obtain such models rely on determining the signs of chemical shift changes between the conformational states, which are difficult to obtain in many situations. Here, we use a “sample and select” method to generate relevant structural models of alternative conformations of the C-terminal-associated region of Escherichia coli dihydrofolate reductase (DHFR), using only unsigned chemical shift changes for backbone amides and carbonyls ( 1 H, 15 N, and 13 C'). We find that CS-Rosetta sampling with unsigned chemical shift changes generates a diversity of structures that are sufficient to characterize a minor conformational state of the C-terminal region of DHFR. The excited state differs from the ground state by a change in secondary structure, consistent with previous predictions from chemical shift hypersurfaces and validated by the x-ray structure of a partially humanized mutant of E. coli DHFR (N23PP/G51PEKN). The results demonstrate that the combination of fragment modeling with sparse chemical shift data can determine the structure of an alternative conformation of DHFR sampled on the μs-ms timescale. Such methods will be useful for characterizing alternative states, which can potentially be used for in silico drug screening, as well as contributing to understanding the role of minor states in biology and molecular evolution.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Graph-Based Similarity Metrics for Comparing Simulation Model Causal Structures

The causal structure of a simulation is a major determinant of both its character and behavior, yet most methods we use to compare simulations focus only on simulation outputs. We introduce a method that combines graphical representation with information theoretic metrics to quantitatively compare the causal structures of models. The method applies to agent-based simulations as well as system dynamics models and facilitates comparison within and between types. Comparing models based on their causal structures can illuminate differences in assumptions made by the models, allowing modelers to (1) better situate their models in the context of existing work, including highlighting novelty, (2) explicitly compare conceptual theory and assumptions to simulated theory and assumptions, and (3) investigate potential causal drivers of divergent behavior between models. We demonstrate the method by comparing two epidemiology models at different levels of aggregation.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

An Active Learning-Based Streaming Pipeline for Reduced Data Training of Structure Finding Models in Neutron Diffractometry

Structure determination workloads in neutron diffractometry are computationally expensive and routinely require several hours to many days to determine the structure of a material from its neutron diffraction patterns. The potential for machine learning models trained on simulated neutron scattering patterns to significantly speed up these tasks have been reported recently. However, the amount of simulated data needed to train these models grows exponentially with the number of structural parameters to be predicted and poses a significant computational challenge. To overcome this challenge, we introduce a novel batch-mode active learning (AL) policy that uses uncertainty sampling to simulate training data drawn from a probability distribution that prefers labelled examples about which the model is least certain. We confirm its efficacy in training the same models with ∼ 75% less training data while improving the accuracy. We then discuss the design of an efficient stream-based training workflow that uses this AL policy and present a performance study on two heterogeneous platforms to demonstrate that, compared with a conventional training workflow, the streaming workflow delivers ∼ 20% shorter training time without any loss of accuracy.

Wang, Tianle [Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL)↗
DOE OSTI2023

3D-equivariant graph neural networks for protein model quality assessment

Quality assessment (QA) of predicted protein tertiary structure models plays an important role in ranking and using them. With the recent development of deep learning end-to-end protein structure prediction techniques for generating highly confident tertiary structures for most proteins, it is important to explore corresponding QA strategies to evaluate and select the structural models predicted by them since these models have better quality and different properties than the models predicted by traditional tertiary structure prediction methods. We develop EnQA, a novel graph-based 3D-equivariant neural network method that is equivariant to rotation and translation of 3D objects to estimate the accuracy of protein structural models by leveraging the structural features acquired from the state-of-the-art tertiary structure prediction method—AlphaFold2. We train and test the method on both traditional model datasets (e.g. the datasets of the Critical Assessment of Techniques for Protein Structure Prediction) and a new dataset of high-quality structural models predicted only by AlphaFold2 for the proteins whose experimental structures were released recently. Our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance on protein structural models predicted by both traditional protein structure prediction methods and the latest end-to-end deep learning method—AlphaFold2. It performs even better than the model QA scores provided by AlphaFold2 itself. The results illustrate that the 3D-equivariant graph neural network is a promising approach to the evaluation of protein structural models. Integrating AlphaFold2 features with other complementary sequence and structural features is important for improving protein model QA.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Specification Document for OC6 Phase II: Verification of an Advanced Soil-Structure Interaction Model for Offshore Wind Turbines

The Norwegian Geotechnical Institute (NGI) has developed a new macro-element model that accounts for the soil-structure interaction in offshore wind turbines. This development was done as part of the REDWIN (REDucing cost of offshore WINd by integrated structural and geotechnical design) project. The focus of Phase II of the OC6 project was to integrate REDWIN’s new soil-structure modeling capability into the coupled modeling tools that are used to design fixed-bottom offshore wind systems. The integration was then verified through a series of load cases using an example monopile-based offshore wind system examined within the WAS-XL project. This document provides the details needed to model the system examined in OC6 Phase II, using the new REDWIN modeling approach, as well as other standard modeling approaches, including apparent fixity, distributed springs, and coupled springs.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Development of Algebraic and Topological-Based Structured Packing Model

Poster being presented at the 2024 annual AICHE meeting held from October 27-31, 2024. The poster focuses on developing an algebraic and topological model for designing structured packing for a CO2 absorption tower. The model can be optimized to determine an optimal packing structure.

Summits, Stephen↗
DOE OSTI2020

A critical examination of compound stability predictions from machine-learned formation energies

Machine learning has emerged as a novel tool for the efficient prediction of material properties, and claims have been made that machine-learned models for the formation energy of compounds can approach the accuracy of Density Functional Theory (DFT). The models tested in this work include five recently published compositional models, a baseline model using stoichiometry alone, and a structural model. By testing seven machine learning models for formation energy on stability predictions using the Materials Project database of DFT calculations for 85,014 unique chemical compositions, we show that while formation energies can indeed be predicted well, all compositional models perform poorly on predicting the stability of compounds, making them considerably less useful than DFT for the discovery and design of new solids. Most critically, in sparse chemical spaces where few stoichiometries have stable compounds, only the structural model is capable of efficiently detecting which materials are stable. The nonincremental improvement of structural models compared with compositional models is noteworthy and encourages the use of structural models for materials discovery, with the constraint that for any new composition, the ground-state structure is not known a priori. This work demonstrates that accurate predictions of formation energy do not imply accurate predictions of stability, emphasizing the importance of assessing model performance on stability predictions, for which we provide a set of publicly available tests.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗