Systems Analysis for Carbon Dioxide Removal
Presentation at the 2023 Annual Carbon Management Review Meeting covering Strategic Systems Analysis and Engineering work on Carbon Dioxide Removal technologies.
Fout, Timothy↗
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The Los Angeles 100% Renewable Energy Study (LA100): Chapter 7. Distribution System Analysis
The City of Los Angeles has set ambitious goals to transform its electricity supply, aiming to achieve a 100% renewable energy power system by 2045, along with aggressive electrification targets for buildings and vehicles. To reach these goals, and assess the implications for jobs, electricity rates, the environment, and environmental justice, the Los Angeles City Council passed a series of motions directing the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP) to determine the technical feasibility and investment pathways of a 100% renewable energy portfolio standard. The Los Angeles 100% Renewable Energy Study (LA100) is a first-of-its-kind objective, rigorous, and science-based power systems analysis to determine what investments could be made to achieve these goals. The LA100 final report is presented as a collection of 12 chapters and an executive summary, each of which is available as an individual download. This chapter summarizes the growth in distribution-connected energy resources and provides a detailed review of impacts to the distribution grid of growth in customer electricity demand, solar, and storage, as well as required distribution grid upgrades and associated costs.
100% Renewable↗
Risk-Informed Systems Analysis (RISA) Dynamic Fire PRA Roadmap
Modeling and implementing fire safety for nuclear power plants is a costly activity. Because of the complexity of fire phenomenon and multiple operational procedures, it is difficult to computationally provide assurance that the mitigation methods are adequate for critical areas using current analysis methods. An economical method to provide more accurate modeling and optimize mitigation methods is needed to improve nuclear power viability. This report describes the initial investigation into modeling and simulation tools for application of fire as part of the Risk-Informed Systems Analysis (RISA), formerly Risk-Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC). The report provides a framework of how 3D modeling and simulation techniques could be combined with a dynamic Probabilistic Risk Analysis (PRA) to reduce compounding conservatism present in current Fire PRA methods. Electrical Power Research Institute has analyzed current Fire PRA practices and identified the most significant contributors to risk and areas for improving analysis. This framework describes how to apply dynamic PRA and simulation methods for key contributors/scenarios, credit missing factors of manual fire suppression, and applying conditional probabilities.
22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
Verification test suite for systems analysis tools
This report documents strategies and test problems to support Verification and Validation (V&V) of the systems analysis tools currently being developed under the Reactor Product Line (RPL) of DOE’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program. A suite of verification test cases has been developed. This test suite supports development of new codes as well as maintenance of existing codes. For advanced tools that are under development like RELAP-7 for light water reactor analysis [1] and the MOOSE based component models for SFR (M-SFR) analyses [2], verification of simulation results must be performed throughout the entire development phase. This test suite is also useful for established codes as part of automated testing to ensure that general code maintenance does not change existing results.
Sumner, T.↗
MORS Phalax Ad for Systems Analysis
At Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, applying cutting-edge science and technology to challenging security questions is an everyday thing. Systems Analysis is one way we solve problems—by bringing analytic rigor to missions like strategic deterrence and critical infrastructure defense. Working with the brightest minds in science, technology, and engineering, systems analysts at LLNL bring state-of-the-art analytic tools to bear on problems of national importance. From ensuring the safety, security, and effectiveness of our nation’s nuclear stockpile to shaping the future of inertial fusion energy—if you have a penchant for problem-solving using modeling and analysis tools—we have a place for you.
96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗
LANL MPCL Measurement System Analysis: AMPTEC 630ES Igniter Tester / Ohmmeter
This comprehensive analysis aimed to evaluate the measurement capability of the AMPTEC 630ES Explosive Safety Igniter Tester, a critical tool for organizations engaged in the measurement of High Explosive components and related Electro-Explosive devices. With a history of notable calibration issues involving specific model numbers, the Metrology Program and Calibration Laboratory (MPCL) initiated an extensive Measurement System Analysis. The analysis's primary focus was to thoroughly quantify the various sources of measurement variability intrinsic to the calibration process. It centered on two pivotal aspects: repeatability (the variation observed when the same operator uses the same instrument) and reproducibility (the variation seen when different operators perform measurements). A secondary objective was to determine whether equipment usage and age had any impact on the instrument's performance.
47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
Verification and validation plan for the SFR system analysis module
This report documents the Verification and Validation (V&V) Plan for software verification and validation of the SFR System Analysis Module (SAM), developed at Argonne National Laboratory for sodium fast reactor whole-plant transient analysis. SAM is developed under the DOE NEAMS program and is part of the Reactor Product Line toolkit. The SAM code, the phenomena and computational models of interest, the software quality assurance, and the verification and validation requirements and plans are discussed in this report.
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
Direct comparative study on the energy level alignments in unoccupied/occupied states of organic semiconductor/electrode interface by constructing in-situ photoemission spectroscopy and Ar gas cluster ion beam sputtering integrated analysis system
Through the installation of electron gun and photon detector, an in-situ photoemission and damage-free sputtering integrated analysis system is completely constructed. Therefore, this system enables to accurately characterize the energy level alignments including unoccupied/occupied molecular orbital (LUMO/HOMO) levels at interface region of organic semiconductor/electrode according to depth position. Based on Ultraviolet Photoemission Spectroscopy (UPS), Inverse Photoemission Spectroscopy (IPES), and reflective electron energy loss spectroscopy, the occupied/unoccupied state of in-situ deposited Tris[4-(carbazol-9-yl)phenyl]amine (TCTA) organic semiconductors on Au (E{sub LUMO}: 2.51 eV and E{sub HOMO}: 1.35 eV) and Ti (E{sub LUMO}: 2.19 eV and E{sub HOMO}: 1.69 eV) electrodes are investigated, and the variation of energy level alignments according to work function of electrode (Au: 4.81 eV and Ti: 4.19 eV) is clearly verified. Subsequently, under the same analysis condition, the unoccupied/occupied states at bulk region of TCTA/Au structures are characterized using different Ar gas cluster ion beam (Ar GCIB) and Ar ion sputtering processes, respectively. While the Ar ion sputtering process critically distorts both occupied and unoccupied states in UPS/IPES spectra, the Ar GCIB sputtering process does not give rise to damage on them. Therefore, we clearly confirm that the in-situ photoemission spectroscopy in combination with Ar GCIB sputtering allows of investigating accurate energy level alignments at bulk/interface region as well as surface region of organic semiconductor/electrode structure.
75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
Water Management for Power stems: Systems Analysis Tasks
This presentation was given at the 2023 U.S. Department of Energy National Energy Technology Laboratory Resource Sustainability Project Review Meeting. The presentation topics cover recent updates and current research directions for the Strategic Systems Analysis and Engineering Directorate in Water Management for Power Systems. The presentation includes preliminary results to meet objectives in reducing freshwater consumption and lowering the cost of treating effluent streams for energy production.
Fritz, Alison↗
Analysis of Monte Carlo accelerated iterative methods for sparse linear systems: Analysis of Monte Carlo accelerated iterative methods for sparse linear systems
Here, we consider hybrid deterministic-stochastic iterative algorithms for the solution of large, sparse linear systems. Starting from a convergent splitting of the coefficient matrix, we analyze various types of Monte Carlo acceleration schemes applied to the original preconditioned Richardson (stationary) iteration. We expect that these methods will have considerable potential for resiliency to faults when implemented on massively parallel machines. We also establish sufficient conditions for the convergence of the hybrid schemes, and we investigate different types of preconditioners including sparse approximate inverses. Numerical experiments on linear systems arising from the discretization of partial differential equations are presented.
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
The Next Generation System Analysis Model: Capabilities for Simulating a Waste Management System
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Joseph III, Robby↗
Status Report on NEAMS System Analysis Module Development
Under the Reactor Product Line (RPL) of DOE-NE’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program, an advanced SFR System Analysis Module (SAM) is being developed at Argonne National Laboratory. The goal of the SAM development is to provide fast-running, improved-fidelity, whole-plant transient analyses capabilities. SAM utilizes an object-oriented application framework MOOSE), and its underlying meshing and finite-element library libMesh, as well as linear and non-linear solvers PETSc, to leverage modern advanced software environments and numerical methods. It also incorporates advances in physical and empirical models and seeks closure models based on information from high-fidelity simulations and experiments. This report provides an update on the SAM development, and summarizes the activities performed in FY15 and the first quarter of FY16. The tasks include: (1) implement the support of 2nd-order finite elements in SAM components for improved accuracy and computational efficiency; (2) improve the conjugate heat transfer modeling and develop pseudo 3-D full-core reactor heat transfer capabilities; (3) perform verification and validation tests as well as demonstration simulations; (4) develop the coupling requirements for SAS4A/SASSYS-1 and SAM integration.
21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
GDSA Repository Systems Analysis Investigations in FY 2023
This report describes specific activities in the Fiscal Year (FY) 2023 associated with the Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) Repository Systems Analysis (RSA) work package funded by the Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy (DOE-NE), Office of Spent Fuel and Waste Disposition (SFWD).
12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
Direct hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicle cost analysis: System and high-volume manufacturing description, validation, and outlook
Here, direct hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) produce only water as a byproduct, thereby eliminating tailpipe carbon and criteria air pollutant emissions associated with internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs). However, in order to achieve economic parity with ICEVs, technological challenges must be overcome to lower system cost. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) monitors estimated fuel cell (FC) system cost and tracks progress towards milestones by techno-economic analysis based on demonstrated laboratory technologies for a next-generation 80 kWnet automotive FC stack for light-duty vehicles. The findings of the 2017 automotive FC system cost analysis are summarized, including the baseline system characteristics and specifications and the results of Design for Manufacture and Assembly (DFMA ® ) analysis of system manufacturing across a range of annual production rates. The highest volume predictions, for 100,000 and 500,000 units per year, result in a total system cost of 50/kWnet and 45/kWnet, respectively. The assumptions and methodology of the DFMA® analysis of the 2017 baseline FC system were validated by comparison with the FC system in the commercially available Toyota Mirai. One prospective pathway for decreasing system cost to 30/kW net needed for cost competitiveness with ICEVs is outlined.
33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
Used Nuclear Fuel Management Using the Next Generation System Analysis Model
The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) is leading the National effort to manage the back end of the nuclear fuel cycle, encompassing the safe transportation, storage/staging, and/or eventual disposal of used nuclear fuel (UNF) and high-level radioactive waste. The Next Generation System Analysis Model (NGSAM) is DOE’s discrete-event, agent-based simulation tool designed to model the full life cycle of UNF from reactor discharge to final disposal. NGSAM supports the DOE Office of Spent Fuel and High-Level Waste Disposition by enabling a detailed, scenario-based analysis of logistics, infrastructure, and shipping strategies. NGSAM replaces legacy models with a modern, flexible platform built on Repast Simphony and enhanced by the Process Analysis Tool. NGSAM simulates the movement and interaction of individual fuel assemblies with system components such as canisters, casks, railcars, and facilities. The model integrates with the Java Transportation Operations Model to plan and execute transportation scenarios, supporting both constrained and unconstrained resource allocation. Key features include customizable allocation and acceptance algorithms, detailed facility-level operations, and a Quick Edit tool for rapid scenario adjustments. NGSAM supports multimodal transportation modeling (e.g. rail, road, barge) and provides comprehensive cost, schedule, and infrastructure data. NGSAM utilizes data from sources such as DOE’s STANDARDS UNF database and DOE’s Stakeholder Tool for Assessing Radioactive Transportation, while also allowing user-defined inputs for scenario customization. NGSAM enables stakeholders to evaluate complex UNF management strategies, assess system performance under varying assumptions, and inform decision making for future infrastructure investments. Its modular architecture and integration with other Integrated Waste Management System tools make it a critical asset for planning the safe and efficient disposition of the Nation’s growing UNF inventory.
Craig, Brian [Argonne National Laboratory (ANL)]↗
Design of an ultrahigh vacuum transfer mechanism to interconnect an oxide molecular beam epitaxy growth chamber and an x-ray photoemission spectroscopy analysis system
We designed a mechanism and the accompanying sample holders to transfer between a VEECO 930 oxide molecular beam epitaxy (MBE) and a PHI Versa Probe X-ray photoemission spectroscopy (XPS) chamber within a multiple station growth, processing, and analysis system through ultrahigh vacuum (UHV). The mechanism consists of four parts: (1) a platen compatible with the MBE growth stage, (2) a platen compatible with the XPS analysis stage, (3) a sample coupon that is transferred between the two platens, and (4) the accompanying UHV transfer line. The mechanism offers a robust design that enables transfer back and forth between the growth chamber and the analysis chamber, and yet is flexible enough to allow transfer between standard sample holders for thin film growth and masked sample holders for making electrical contacts and Schottky junctions, all without breaking vacuum. We used this mechanism to transfer a barium strontium titanate thin film into the XPS analysis chamber and performed XPS measurements before and after exposing the sample to the air. After air exposure, a thin overlayer of carbon was found to form and a significant shift ({approx}1 eV) in the core level binding energies was observed.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
GDSA Repository Systems Analysis FY19 Update
The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy, Office of Spent Fuel and Waste Disposition (SFWD), has been conducting research and development on generic deep geologic disposal systems (i.e., geologic repositories). This report describes specific activities in the second half of Fiscal Year (FY) 2019 associated with the Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) Repository Systems Analysis (RSA) work package within the SFWST Campaign. The overall objective of the GDSA RSA work package is to develop generic deep geologic repository concepts and system performance assessment (PA) models in several host-rock environments, and to simulate and analyze these generic repository concepts and models using the GDSA Framework toolkit, and other tools as needed.
11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
GDSA Repository Systems Analysis Investigations (FY2020)
The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy, Office of Spent Fuel and Waste Disposition (SFWD), has been conducting research and development on generic deep geologic disposal systems (i.e., geologic repositories). This report describes specific activities in the Fiscal Year (FY) 2020 associated with the Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) Repository Systems Analysis (RSA) work package within the SFWST Campaign. The overall objective of the GDSA RSA work package is to develop generic deep geologic repository concepts and system performance assessment (PA) models in several host-rock environments, and to simulate and analyze these generic repository concepts and models using the GDSA Framework toolkit, and other tools as needed.
11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗