Sensitivity of predictions to chemical kinetics models in a temporally evolving turbulent non-premixed flame
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Suo Yang↗
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Results for “Temporal modeling”
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Temporal variations in regional models of the Sargasso Sea from GEOS-3 altimetry
The paper considers temporal variations in regional models of the Sargasso sea from GEOS-3 telemetry. The methods of regional models and the analysis of overlapping passes are utilized, and short-wave maxima and minima in the regional surface models are examined for correlations with surface and remote sensed infrared temperature data supplemented with subsurface expendable bathythermograph data (XBT). The analysis of overlapping passes provide a better picture of instanteneous sea surface height (SSH) variability through wavelengths greater than 30 km. Correlation studies with cyclonic and anticyclonic ocean eddies from infrared imagery and XBT data indicate satisfactory agreement with equivalent SSH features 98% of the time if the time varying factors are allowed for.
Mather, R. S.↗
Model interpretation of type III radio burst characteristics. II - Temporal aspects
A model of the radio emission region for kilometric type II bursts is used to interpret systematic variations observed in the temporal behavior of the burst parameters. The temporal behavior of the burst parameters observed by the ISEE-3 spacecraft is reviewed, and it is pointed out that the phase and modulation of the antenna signal vary in a systematic way with both time and observing frequency. The source azimuth is observed to drift with time, with the magnitude and sense of the drift depending on the location of the radio source relative to the observer. The modulation factor usually decreases uniformly with time and is frequently peaked near the burst onset. The model of the radio emission region is developed and used to obtain the intensity, phase, and modulation of the radio signal. Model results are used to show how the behavior of the burst parameters are related to attributes of the source region. It is shown that the temporal behavior of the radio parameters for an observed type II burst is well represented by the model.
Reiner, M. J.↗
Predicting Team Functioning in Long Term Space Missions Using Acoustic and Linguistic Measures
Maintaining optimal team functioning is critical for long-duration space exploration missions, yet traditional monitoring methods, such as self-reports and wearable sensors, often impose operational burdens or suffer from bias. This paper investigates a non-intrusive speech-based artificial intelligence (AI) framework to predict degradations in team functioning using data from the Human Exploration Research Analog (HERA) of the U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). Using acoustic features, linguistic descriptors, and semantic embeddings, we evaluate static non-linear and temporal machine learning models to predict both objective (task accuracy) and subjective (self-reported efficacy and cohesion) team functioning outcomes. Results indicate that temporal models outperform static approaches, with prediction of objective task accuracy in Team Interaction Battery (TIB) improving from near chance to 71%. Self-reported outcomes, including team efficacy and cohesion, are predicted more reliably than task performance, achieving balanced accuracies of up to 85.56% and 78.12%, respectively, and are found to be most strongly associated with acoustic features. In a second interdependent task, the MMSEV–EVA, accuracies of up to 78% are achieved using temporal models with acoustic features. Furthermore, incorporating just 1–2 days of team-specific historical data systematically improved performance, and acoustic markers from informal pre-task interactions provided modest predictive gains. Finally, while automated preprocessing yielded viable accuracy, humancorrected data provided moderate performance gains, though transcription error rates did not significantly correlate with model performance. These findings highlight the potential of speech as a passive, high-fidelity monitoring tool for autonomous habitats.
Temporal modeling↗
Numerical simulation of transition in boundary layers
Different implications of employment of the temporal or spatial model in direct numerical simulations of transition based on the complete Navier-Stokes equations are outlined, and it is noted that in situations where approximations are not justified, the temporal model cannot be employed. The discussion is then concentrated on developing numerical methods for solving the Navier-Stokes equations based on the spatial model that are applicable for realistic situations for which the temporal model would not be valid. It is concluded that in the future numerical simulations based on the spatial approach will replace, to a large extent, the temporal simulations.
Fasel, H.↗
The long winter model of Martian biology - A speculation.
A temporal microenvironment model is proposed for Martian biology that is based on an estimated mean thickness of nearly 1 km of frost in the Martian north polar cap summer remnant. If vaporized, this frost could yield not only 1 kg per sq cm of atmosphere, but also higher global temperatures through the greenhouse effect and a greatly increased likelihood of liquid water. Vaporization of such cap remnants may occur twice each equinoctial precession, and Martian organisms may now be in cryptobiotic repose awaiting the end of the long precessional winter. The Viking biology experiments might test this hypothesis.
Sagan, C.↗
Recent Advances on INSAR Temporal Decorrelation: Theory and Observations Using UAVSAR
We review our recent advances in understanding the role of temporal decorrelation in SAR interferometry and polarimetric SAR interferometry. We developed a physical model of temporal decorrelation based on Gaussian-statistic motion that varies along the vertical direction in forest canopies. Temporal decorrelation depends on structural parameters such as forest height, is sensitive to polarization and affects coherence amplitude and phase. A model of temporal-volume decorrelation valid for arbitrary spatial baseline is discussed. We tested the inversion of this model to estimate forest height from model simulations supported by JPL/UAVSAR data and lidar LVIS data. We found a general good agreement between forest height estimated from radar data and forest height estimated from lidar data.
polarimetric SAR interferometry↗
Single and Double ITCZ in Aqua-Planet Models with Globally and Temporally Uniform Sea Surface Temperature and Solar Insolation: An Interpretation
Previous studies (Chao 2000, Chao and Chen 2001, Kirtman and Schneider 2000, Sumi 1992) have shown that, by means of one of several model design changes, the structure of the ITCZ in an aqua-planet model with globally uniform SST and solar angle (U-SST-SA) can change between a single ITCZ at the equator and a double ITCZ straddling the equator. These model design changes include switching to a different cumulus parameterization scheme (e.g., from relaxed Arakawa Schubert scheme (RAS) to moist convective adjustment scheme (MCA)), changes within the cumulus parameterization scheme, and changes in other aspects of the model, such as horizontal resolution. Sometimes only one component of the double ITCZ shows up; but still this is an ITCZ away from the equator, quite distinct from a single ITCZ over the equator. Since these model results were obtained by different investigators using different models which have yielded reasonable general circulation, they are considered as reliable. Chao and Chen (2001; hereafter CC01) have made an initial attempt to interpret these findings based on the concept of rotational ITCZ attractors that they introduced. The purpose of this paper is to offer a more complete interpretation.
Chao, Winston C.↗
The Influence of Tungsten on the Chemical Composition of a Temporally Evolving Nanostructure of a Model Ni-Al-Cr Superalloy
The influence of W on the temporal evolution of gamma' precipitation toward equilibrium in a model Ni-Al-Cr alloy is investigated by three-dimensional atom-probe (3DAP) microscopy and transmission electron microscopy (TEM). We report on the alloys Ni-10 Al-8.5 Cr (at.%) and Ni-10 Al-8.5 Cr-2 W (at.%), which were aged isothermally in the gamma + gamma' two-phase field at 1073 K, for times ranging from 0.25 to 264 h. Spheroidal-shaped gamma' precipitates, 5-15 nm diameter, form during quenching from above the solvus temperature in both alloys at a high number density (approx. 10(exp 23/cu m). As gamma' precipitates grow with aging at 1073 K, a transition from spheriodal- to cuboidal-shaped precipitates is observed in both alloys. The elemental partitioning and spatially resolved concentration profiles across the gamma' precipitates are obtained as a function of aging time from three-dimensional atom-by-atom reconstructions. Proximity histogram concentration profiles of the quaternary alloy demonstrate that W concentration gradients exist in gamma' precipitates in the as-quenched and 0.25-h aging states, which disappear after 1 h of aging. The diffusion coefficient of W in gamma' is estimated to be 6.2 x 10(exp -20) sq m/s at 1073 K. The W addition decreases the coarsening rate constant, and leads to stronger partitioning of Al to gamma' and Cr to gamma.
Sudbrack, Chantal K.↗
Effects of Tantalum on the Temporal Evolution of a Model Ni-Al-Cr Superalloy During Phase Decomposition
The effects of a 2.0 at.% addition of Ta to a model Ni-10.0Al-8.5Cr (at.%) superalloy aged at 1073 K are assessed using scanning electron microscopy and atom-probe tomography. The gamma'(Ll2)-precipitate morphology that develops as a result of gamma-(fcc)matrix phase decomposition is found to evolve from a bimodal distribution of spheroidal precipitates, to {001}-faceted cuboids and parallelepipeds aligned along the elastically soft {001}-type directions. The phase compositions and the widths of the gamma'-precipitate/gamma-matrix heterophase interfaces evolve temporally as the Ni-Al-Cr-Ta alloy undergoes quasi-stationary state coarsening after 1 h of aging. Tantalum is observed to partition preferentially to the gamma'-precipitate phase, and suppresses the mobility of Ni in the gamma-matrix sufficiently to cause an accumulation of Ni on the gamma-matrix side of the gamma'/gamma interface. Additionally, computational modeling, employing Thermo-Calc, Dictra and PrecipiCalc, is employed to elucidate the kinetic pathways that lead to phase decomposition in this concentrated Ni-Al-Cr-Ta alloy.
Booth, Morrison, Christopher↗
The analysis of temporal variations in regional models of the Sargasso Sea from GEOS-3 altimetry
The dense coverage of short pulse mode GEOS-3 altimeter data in the western North Atlantic provides a basis for studying time variations in the sea surface heights in the Sargasso Sea. Two techniques are utilized: the method of regional models, and the analysis of overlapping passes. An 88 percent correlation is obtained between the location of cyclonic eddies obtained from infrared imagery and sea surface height minima in the altimeter models. This figure drops to 59 percent in the case of correlations with maxima and minima of surface temperature fields. The analysis of overlapping passes provides a better picture of instantaneous sea state through wavelengths greater than 30 km. The variability of the Sargasso Sea through wavelengths between 150 km and 5000 km is estimated at + or - 28 cm. This value is in reasonable agreement with oceanographic estimates and is compatible with the eddy kinetic energy of a wind driven circulation.
Mather, R. S.↗
The spatial-temporal ambiguity in auroral modeling
The paper examines the time-dependent models of the aurora which show that various ionospheric parameters respond to the onset of auroral ionization with different time histories. A pass of the Atmosphere Explorer C satellite over Poker Flat, Alaska, and ground based photometric and photographic observations have been used to resolve the time-space ambiguity of a specific auroral event. The density of the O(+), NO(+), O2(+), and N2(+) ions, the electron density, and the electron temperature observed at 280 km altitude in a 50 km wide segment of an auroral arc are predicted by the model if particle precipitation into the region commenced about 11 min prior to the overpass.
Rees, M. H.↗
A variational approach to the question of temporal stability of equilibrium models of solar prominences. I - The formal theory
A Lagrangian approach to the equations describing small amplitude departures from equilibrium of solar prominences is presented. Seven quantities are derived which, by analogy to the concepts of energy, momentum, and angular momentum, are conserved under conditions corresponding to ignorable coordinates of classical mechanics. It is expected that these conservation laws will be useful as criteria of accuracy in obtaining eigenfrequencies for the perturbation equations when numerical techniques are used. The method is capable of handling complicated spatial dependences and has internal criteria for assessing the accuracy of any given numerical convergence scheme.
Lerche, I.↗
Quantifying Dissolved Organic Carbon Dynamics Using a Three‐Dimensional Terrestrial Ecosystem Model at High Spatial‐Temporal Resolutions
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Chang Liao↗
Modeling Forest Biomass and Growth: Coupling Long-Term Inventory and Lidar Data
Combining spatially-explicit long-term forest inventory and remotely sensed information from Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) datasets through statistical models can be a powerful tool for predicting and mapping above-ground biomass (AGB) at a range of geographic scales. We present and examine a novel modeling approach to improve prediction of AGB and estimate AGB growth using LiDAR data. The proposed model accommodates temporal misalignment between field measurements and remotely sensed data-a problem pervasive in such settings-by including multiple time-indexed measurements at plot locations to estimate AGB growth. We pursue a Bayesian modeling framework that allows for appropriately complex parameter associations and uncertainty propagation through to prediction. Specifically, we identify a space-varying coefficients model to predict and map AGB and its associated growth simultaneously. The proposed model is assessed using LiDAR data acquired from NASA Goddard's LiDAR, Hyper-spectral & Thermal imager and field inventory data from the Penobscot Experimental Forest in Bradley, Maine. The proposed model outperformed the time-invariant counterpart models in predictive performance as indicated by a substantial reduction in root mean squared error. The proposed model adequately accounts for temporal misalignment through the estimation of forest AGB growth and accommodates residual spatial dependence. Results from this analysis suggest that future AGB models informed using remotely sensed data, such as LiDAR, may be improved by adapting traditional modeling frameworks to account for temporal misalignment and spatial dependence using random effects.
Babcock, Chad↗
Temporal Evolution of Nanostructures in a Model Nickel-Base Superalloy: Experiments and Simulations
The temporal evolution of the nanostructure of a model Ni-base superalloy (Ni-5.2 at.% Al-14.2 at.% Cr) is studied experimentally employing three-dimensional atom-probe (3DAP) microscopy in conjunction with kinetic Monte Carlo (KMC) simulations at 600 C. It is demonstrated that not only can the mean compositions of individual gamma' (Ni3Al with the Li2 structure) precipitates be measured but the Ni, Al, and Cr concentration profiles within the precipitates can also be determined for precipitates with a mean radius ( ) as small as 0.85 nm. The three asymptotic tinie dependencies of the Lifshitz-Slyzov-Wagner (LSW) theory of coarsening (Ostwald ripening) are measured and found to deviate from its theoretical predictions: possible explanations for these discrepancies are discussed. At 0.25 hr. there is 3DAP microscope evidence for the presence of precipitates of another nickel-rich phase. ="Ni3Cr" (Ni3Cr(1-x)Al(x)), which exhibits short-range order (SRO) and that is metastable with respect to Ni3Al. This metastable phase is also found by KMC simulations and has the composition Ni3Cr(1-x)Al(x), which is Ni-2.91 at.% Al-21.98 at.% Cr at 16 hours. Our results demonstrate that the decomposition of gamma the primary gamma (FCC) phase results in the concurrent formation of an ordered phase and a disordered phase by 0.25 hours.
Sudbrack, Chantal K.↗
Temporal Precedence Checking for Switched Models and its Application to a Parallel Landing Protocol
This paper presents an algorithm for checking temporal precedence properties of nonlinear switched systems. This class of properties subsume bounded safety and capture requirements about visiting a sequence of predicates within given time intervals. The algorithm handles nonlinear predicates that arise from dynamics-based predictions used in alerting protocols for state-of-the-art transportation systems. It is sound and complete for nonlinear switch systems that robustly satisfy the given property. The algorithm is implemented in the Compare Execute Check Engine (C2E2) using validated simulations. As a case study, a simplified model of an alerting system for closely spaced parallel runways is considered. The proposed approach is applied to this model to check safety properties of the alerting logic for different operating conditions such as initial velocities, bank angles, aircraft longitudinal separation, and runway separation.
Duggirala, Parasara Sridhar↗
A model of the spatial and temporal variation of the Uranus thermal structure
Seasonal variability of the temperature structure of Uranus is modeled for all latitudes in the .0004 to 2 bar pressure range in anticipation of the Voyager encounter in January 1986. Atmospheric heating in the model results on the one hand from an internal heat source and, on the other hand, from absorption of solar energy by methane and by non-conservative aerosols located between the 0.5 and 2 bar levels. Various cases for the behavior of the internal heat flux are investigated, such as constant with latitude or constrained to yield a time-averaged thermal emission independent of latitude. Meridional transport of heat in the stably stratified atmosphere is not taken into account. The results indicate that the Voyager encounter time, very small north-south temperature asymmetry should be expected. Moreover, the northern hemisphere, although not illuminated, should emit as much energy (within one percent) as the southern hemisphere at this date. At a given latitude, extreme temperatures are reached at the equinoxes. At the poles, seasonal amplitudes of about 10 K in the upper stratosphere and 6 K at the 0.6 bar level are predicted, and the variation with time of the emission to space is found to be at most 20 percent. The atmosphere of Uranus appears to be characterized by very long radiative response times (mainly due to its cold temperature) which inhibit the large seasonal variations that one could otherwise expect in view of the high obliquity of the planet and its long orbital period.
Bezard, B.↗