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DOE OSTI2025

A Unified Framework to Reconcile Different Approaches of Modeling Transpiration Response to Water Stress: Plant Hydraulics, Supply Demand Balance, and Empirical Soil Water Stress Function

Plant responses to water stress is a major uncertainty to predicting terrestrial ecosystem sensitivity to drought. Different approaches have been developed to represent plant water stress. Empirical approaches (the empirical soil water stress (or Beta) function and the supply-demand balance scheme) have been widely used for many decades; more mechanistic based approaches, that is, plant hydraulic models (PHMs), were increasingly adopted in the past decade. However, the relationships between them—and their underlying connections to physical processes—are not sufficiently understood. This limited understanding hinders informed decisions on the necessary complexities needed for different applications, with empirical approaches being mechanistically insufficient, and PHMs often being too complex to constrain. Here we introduce a unified framework for modeling transpiration responses to water stress, within which we demonstrate that empirical approaches are special cases of the full PHM, when the plant hydraulic parameters satisfy certain conditions. We further evaluate their response differences and identify the associated physical processes. Finally, we propose a methodology for assessing the necessity of added complexities of the PHM under various climatic conditions and ecosystem types, with case studies in three typical ecosystems: a humid Midwestern cropland, a semi-arid evergreen needleleaf forest, and an arid grassland. Notably, Beta function overestimates transpiration when VPD is high due to its lack of constraints from hydraulic transport and is therefore insufficient in high VPD environments. With the unified framework, we envision researchers can better understand the mechanistic bases of and the relationships between different approaches and make more informed choices.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Low Temperature CO 2 Hydrogenation on Unsupported Mo 2 C Catalysts

CO 2 hydrogenation to methanol, a key reaction for decarbonizing the fuel and chemical industries, requires catalyst formulations that hydrogenate CO 2 selectively to methanol at temperatures where methanol conversion is not significantly equilibrium limited (<423 K). Herein we report continuous CO 2 hydrogenation at low temperatures (348-408 K, H 2 /CO 2 = 0.1-50, 5-35 bar) with high selectivity to methanol (up to ca. 80%) over unsupported β-Mo 2 C catalysts. Active site density quantification via titration with trifluoroacetic acid at reaction temperatures enables an assessment of site-specific rates. Methanation and reverse water gas shift (RWGS) occur concurrently with methanol synthesis during CO 2 hydrogenation over Mo 2 C. Reaction pathway analysis, product cofeeds, and reversibility formalisms show that all products form through primary reaction pathways from CO 2 , but secondary reactions of CO contribute significantly to rates of methanation. Dependences of forward rates on reactant and product concentration determined by independently varying the CO 2 , H 2 , CO, H 2 O, CH 3 OH, and CH 4 pressure in conjunction with reversibility formalisms reveal that all products form through H-assisted CO 2 activation and involve partially hydrogenated CO 2 -derived intermediates. Here, these inferences were verified by quantitative agreement between measured site-time yields and site-time yields predicted by closed form kinetic rate expressions in an integral reactor model over widely varying conditions (85-2000 kPa H 2 , 80-1500 kPa CO 2 , 0-45 kPa H 2 O, 0-21 kPa CO, 0-25 kPa CH 3 OH, 0-75 kPa CH 4 , 5-87 mol Mo s s mol CO 2 -1 ). Coverages calculated based on the kinetic model reveal that the Mo 2 C surface is covered with bidentate CO- and CO 2 -derived intermediates of the stoichiometry H 2 CO 2 and H 2 CO, indicating that H 2 and CO x do not compete for surface occupancy but instead adsorb cooperatively to form partially hydrogenated intermediates. Hydrogenation of the CO-derived H 2 CO** intermediate favors methanation, while hydrogenation of CO 2 -derived H 2 CO 2 ** favors methanol synthesis. Together, these findings demonstrate the ability of unsupported Mo 2 C to catalyze the hydrogenation of CO 2 to methanol at low temperatures and provide insight into the reaction network and mechanisms involved in its formation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Subsurface hydrogen, curvature, and strain: lessons from electro-reduction of benzaldehyde on nano-structured Pd catalysts

The unique ability of palladium (Pd) to absorb hydrogen and form a bulk hydride is vital for chemical transformations that involve hydrogenation reactions. Nano-structured Pd catalysts offer a promise of tuning these reaction rates by exploiting variations of reactant binding energies depending on the surface structure and morphological constraints that result in inhomogeneous strain. However, the interplay between the nano-structure of Pd and the ability of Pd to adsorb (and absorb) hydrogen as well as other reactive species needs to be better understood for a rational understanding of competitive chemical transformations at Pd surfaces. We consider the effects of the surface corrugation, strain, and subsurface Pd hydride on the reduction of benzaldehyde to benzyl alcohol in two qualitatively different samples – Pd nanoparticles and Pd gels formed by quasi-one-dimensional chains of these nanoparticles. Our electrochemical measurements and computational modelling suggest that surface concave sites, inherent to Pd gels, facilitate hydrogen transfer to the Pd subsurface region, thus weakening benzaldehyde binding to the surface. This effect is further modulated by the strain, depending on the local coordination environment on the corrugated surface. Furthermore, these findings demonstrate how structurally complex samples in the form of gels provide degrees of freedom for controlling the behavior of metal catalysts that are not available in isolated nanoparticles, which paves the way for new approaches in the design of catalytic materials and synthesis of metal hydrides.

Padavala, Sri Krishna Murthy [University of Minnes↗

DOE OSTI2026

Precision Measurement of Neutrino Oscillation Parameters with 10 Years of Data from the NOvA Experiment

This Letter reports measurements of muon-neutrino disappearance and electron-neutrino appearance and the corresponding antineutrino processes between the two NOvA detectors in the NuMI neutrino beam. These measurements use a dataset with double the neutrino mode beam exposure that was previously analyzed, along with improved simulation and analysis techniques. A joint fit to these samples in the three-flavor paradigm results in the most precise single-experiment constraint on the atmospheric neutrino mass-splitting, $Δm^2_{32}= 2.431^{+0.036}_{-0.034} (-2.479^{+0.036}_{-0.036}) \times 10^{-3}$~eV$^2$ if the mass ordering is Normal (Inverted). In both orderings, a region close to maximal mixing with $\sin^2θ_{23}=0.55_{+0.06}^{-0.02}$ is preferred. The NOvA data show a mild preference for the Normal mass ordering with a Bayes factor of 2.4 (corresponding to 70% of the posterior probability), indicating that the Normal ordering is 2.4 times more probable than the Inverted ordering. When incorporating a 2D $Δm^2_{32}\textrm{--}\sin^2 2θ_{13}$ constraint based on Daya Bay data, this preference strengthens to a Bayes factor of 6.6 (87\%).

FOS: Physical sciences↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Panoramic View of MXenes via an Atomic Coordination‐Based Design Strategy

Two‐dimensional (2D) transition metal carbides and nitrides, known as MXenes, possess unique physical and chemical properties, enabling diverse applications in fields ranging from energy storage to communication, catalysis, sensing, healthcare, and beyond. Despite extensive research and notable advancements, a fundamental understanding of MXenes’ phase diversity and its connection to their hierarchical precursors, including the intermediate MAX phases and the ancestral bulk phases, remains limited. Here, in this study, it is hypothesized that the atomic coordination environments adopted by transition metal and nonmetallic atoms in their three‐dimensional (3D) bulk precursors may persist in 2D MXenes to govern their phase diversity. Using high‐throughput modeling based on first‐principles density functional theory, a wide range of MXene phases is unveiled and comprehensively evaluate their relative stabilities across a large chemical space. The key to the approach lies in considering various atomic coordination environments drawn from four types of ancestral bulk phases. Through this comprehensive structural library of MXenes, general guiding principles are uncovered, such as a close alignment between the phase stability of MXenes and that of their 3D precursors. These findings introduce a new design strategy in which the atomic coordination environments in bulk phases can serve as reliable predictors for accessing the diverse structural landscape of MXenes.

MXenes↗

DOE OSTI2024

Intrinsic and environmental drivers of pairwise cohesion in wild Canis social groups

Animals within social groups respond to costs and benefits of sociality by adjusting the proportion of time they spend in close proximity to other individuals in the group (cohesion). Variation in cohesion between individuals, in turn, shapes important group-level processes such as subgroup formation and fission–fusion dynamics. Although critical to animal sociality, a comprehensive understanding of the factors influencing cohesion remains a gap in our knowledge of cooperative behavior in animals. We tracked 574 individuals from six species within the genus Canis in 15 countries on four continents with GPS telemetry to estimate the time that pairs of individuals within social groups spent in close proximity and test hypotheses regarding drivers of cohesion. Pairs of social canids (Canis spp.) varied widely in the proportion of time they spent together (5%–100%) during seasonal monitoring periods relative to both intrinsic characteristics and environmental conditions. The majority of our data came from three species of wolves (gray wolves, eastern wolves, and red wolves) and coyotes. For these species, cohesion within social groups was greatest between breeding pairs and varied seasonally as the nature of cooperative activities changed relative to annual life history patterns. Across species, wolves were more cohesive than coyotes. For wolves, pairs were less cohesive in larger groups, and when suitable, small prey was present reflecting the constraints of food resources and intragroup competition on social associations. Pair cohesion in wolves declined with increased anthropogenic modification of the landscape and greater climatic variability, underscoring challenges for conserving social top predators in a changing world. We show that pairwise cohesion in social groups varies strongly both within and across Canis species, as individuals respond to changing ecological context defined by resources, competition, and anthropogenic disturbance. Our work highlights that cohesion is a highly plastic component of animal sociality that holds significant promise for elucidating ecological and evolutionary mechanisms underlying cooperative behavior.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Quantifying spatial and vertical variations in soil C:N relationships in permafrost-affected landscapes

Permafrost regions are experiencing rapid changes that affect carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) cycles, with implications for vegetation dynamics and gas exchanges with the atmosphere. Soil C:N ratio is a key indicator of organic matter quality, yet spatial estimates of N stocks and C:N ratios lag behind those for C. We used quantile regression forests to compare direct and indirect digital soil mapping approaches for predicting soil C:N ratios at 0–30, 30–60, and 60–100 cm depths across a latitudinal transect in Alaska. The indirect approach – deriving C:N from separately predicted C and N stocks – outperformed direct mapping for the surface layer (0–30 cm), while direct mapping was marginally better at greater depths. However, prediction accuracy decreased with depth for both methods. Temperature and topography were the most important predictors. Both approaches overestimated low and underestimated high C:N ratios, with direct mapping showing greater bias. Our results underscore the challenges of modeling C:N ratios in heterogeneous, data-sparse permafrost soils, but also suggest that indirect mapping holds promise if supported by more extensive datasets.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Physics-Informed Gaussian Process Inference of Liquid Structure from Scattering Data

We present a nonparametric Bayesian framework to infer radial distribution functions from experimental scattering measurements with uncertainty quantification using nonstationary Gaussian processes. The Gaussian process prior mean and kernel functions are designed to mitigate well-known numerical challenges with the Fourier transform, including discrete measurement binning and detector windowing, while encoding fundamental yet minimal physical knowledge of the liquid structure. We demonstrate uncertainty propagation of the Gaussian process posterior to unmeasured quantities of interest. Experimental radial distribution functions of liquid argon and water with uncertainty quantification are provided as both a proof of principle for the method and a benchmark for molecular models.

Chemical structure↗

DOE OSTI2026

Chirality Transfer to the Magnetic Sublattice in the Hybrid Perovskite (R)-/(S)-3-Fluoropyrrolidinium Copper(II) Chloride

Incorporating chiral organic cations into organic–inorganic hybrid materials has been shown to enable the inorganic sublattice to display chiroptical properties. We report a new two-dimensional magnetic (S = 1/2) chiral metal halide perovskite, (R)- and (S)-(C 4 H 9 FN) 2 CuCl 4 (where (C 4 H 9 FN) + is 3-fluoropyrrolidinium), which consists of Cu–Cl inorganic layers separated by (C 4 H 9 FN) + organic cations. The presence of the chiral (C 4 H 9 FN) + organic cation induces the formation of chiral magnetic order, even though the inorganic sublattice itself is nearly structurally centrosymmetric. We also report the racemic variant, containing an equal amount of (R)- and (S)- cations, which shows no evidence of chiral magnetic order. When the magnetic susceptibility is measured perpendicular to the inorganic Cu–Cl layer propagation direction, an antiferromagnetic phase transition at Néel temperature T N = 2.23 K is observed in both the chiral and racemic materials, and the existence of the magnetic phase transition is supported by specific heat capacity measurements. Field-induced magnetic chirality is observed through the existence of a second-order magnetoelectric effect in the chiral variant, while no magnetoelectric signal is observed for the racemic material, indicating the absence of magnetic chirality. Our findings demonstrate that materials exhibiting chiral magnetic order can be created through the incorporation of a chiral cation into an organic–inorganic hybrid magnetic material, potentially allowing for the design of tailored materials that combine chiral magnetism with other desirable optical and electronic properties that come from structural chirality.

Cations↗

DOE OSTI2026

Geologic stress modulates fluid mixing at fracture intersections

Fracture intersections are critical links that enable flow and transport in subsurface fracture networks, and their behavior strongly influences fluid mixing in a network. Although all subsurface fractures are subjected to geological stress, we lack a fundamental understanding of how fracture intersection geometry evolves under stress and how these changes influence fluid mixing. Here, we combine 3D printing, 3D X-ray tomographic imaging, and 3D pore-scale numerical simulations to reveal stress-induced changes in intersection geometry and their impact on mixing. Mixing is found to be strongly affected by partial closure of an intersection under stress. As an intersection closes, the void area for fluid flow and diffusion decreases leading to substantial deviations between conventional mixing models and full pore-scale modeling. To address this, we propose a modified mixing model that accounts for intersection deformation, which is essential for accurate modeling of solute transport and mixing through fracture networks.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

N 2 Onet: a global collaborative network facilitating advances in measurement, modeling, and mitigation of agricultural soil nitrous oxide emissions

Nitrogen (N) fertilizer supports global food production, but its use and overuse drive emissions of nitrous oxide (N 2 O), a potent and long-lived greenhouse gas. Understanding the drivers of N 2 O fluxes remains elusive, making it difficult to predict emissions in time and space and to develop and evaluate ways to lower emissions through management. Major scientific uncertainties underlying the understanding of the drivers of N 2 O fluxes identified in a workshop of N 2 O emissions experts include poor process-based understanding of controls on soil N 2 O emissions in the field; insufficient data to reduce uncertainty in N 2 O budgets from the field to regional scales, including N 2 O emission measurements and importantly, field-scale N balances; and high uncertainty in model predictions of soil N 2 O emissions across environmental and management conditions. To reduce these uncertainties, we present the concept of N 2 Onet, a global collaborative initiative to accelerate advances in N 2 O measurement, analyses, and mitigation. N 2 Onet will serve as an observational network of supersites with multi-scale measurements; a database hub for N 2 O flux and ancillary data; and a catalyst for community building, information sharing, and training. By coalescing and coordinating the global community of researchers, N 2 Onet will provide a roadmap for reducing N 2 O emissions from agriculture worldwide.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Synthesis of single-qutrit circuits from Clifford+𝑅 gates

Here, we present two deterministic compilation algorithms for single-qutrit unitaries with O ( log 1 / ɛ ) gate depth. Each algorithm selects a nearby approximation to the target unitary and then exactly synthesizes the approximation over the Clifford + R basis. The first algorithm exhaustively searches over the group; while the second algorithm searches only for Householder reflections. The exhaustive search algorithm yields an average R count of 2.193 ( 11 ) + 8.621 ( 7 ) log 10 ( 1 / ɛ ) , albeit with a time complexity of O ( ɛ − 4.4 ) . The Householder search algorithm results in a larger average R count of 3.20 ( 13 ) + 10.77 ( 3 ) log 10 ( 1 / ɛ ) at a reduced time complexity of O ( ɛ − 0.42 ) , greatly extending the reach in ɛ . These costs correspond asymptotically to 35% and 69% more non-Clifford gates compared with synthesizing the same unitary with two qubits. Such initial results are encouraging for using the R gate as the nontransversal gate for qutrit-based computation.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2026

Multi‐Model Ensembles in Ecosystem Modeling: Challenges and Best Practices for Decision‐Making

Ecosystem models are increasingly central to the decision-making for environmental policy, conservation planning, and climate-related investments. Yet, the growing reliance on Multi-Model Ensembles (MMEs) of ecosystem models by practitioners and policymakers, sometimes under tight timelines and imperfect information, has frequently outpaced the scientific rigor required to ensure ensemble reliability. Here, MMEs refer to approaches that combine targeted predictions from multiple models with the expectation of improving robustness and quantifying predictive uncertainty. Poorly designed MMEs may create a false sense of confidence and lead to suboptimal policy and market decisions. This perspective argues that robust decision-making-relevant MMEs must be grounded on two pillars: (1) rigorous Model Intercomparison Projects (MIPs), which identify inter-model agreement and disagreement, characterize model uncertainties, and evaluate robustness with observationally based benchmarks—MIPs' diagnostic evaluation is so critical that it must be needed to drive MME's decision in model selection and weighting, especially when only a limited number of models available; and (2) co-design by both stakeholders and scientists to ensure that scenarios, metrics and uncertainty requirements provide decision-relevant information. Building upon the past success and lessons from the existing MIPs-MMEs efforts (e.g., climate/Earth system/crop), we derived the theoretical basis for MMEs, addressed their specific challenges in ecosystem modeling, and highlighted proper consideration of model numbers and diversity, risk of model inter-dependence, effective calibration of model parameters, possible overdue of some ecosystem model development, critical roles of open benchmark data across a wide range of conditions, and suggested use of Artificial Intelligence to support MIPs-MMEs. We highlighted the under-recognized opportunity for MIPs and MMEs to drive scientific progress and innovation through identifying better performing models, systematic benchmarking, feedback loops, and targeted model improvement. By following actionable best practice guidelines, MMEs can evolve from ad hoc aggregation of models into a trusted backbone of environmental policy and decision-making.

ecosystem modeling↗

DOE OSTI2025

Neutrino interaction vertex reconstruction in DUNE with Pandora deep learning

The Pandora Software Development Kit and algorithm libraries perform reconstruction of neutrino interactions in liquid argon time projection chamber detectors. Pandora is the primary event reconstruction software used at the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment, which will operate four large-scale liquid argon time projection chambers at the far detector site in South Dakota, producing high-resolution images of charged particles emerging from neutrino interactions. While these high-resolution images provide excellent opportunities for physics, the complex topologies require sophisticated pattern recognition capabilities to interpret signals from the detectors as physically meaningful objects that form the inputs to physics analyses. A critical component is the identification of the neutrino interaction vertex. Subsequent reconstruction algorithms use this location to identify the individual primary particles and ensure they each result in a separate reconstructed particle. A new vertex-finding procedure described in this article integrates a U-ResNet neural network performing hit-level classification into the multi-algorithm approach used by Pandora to identify the neutrino interaction vertex. The machine learning solution is seamlessly integrated into a chain of pattern-recognition algorithms. The technique substantially outperforms the previous BDT-based solution, with a more than 20% increase in the efficiency of sub-1 cm vertex reconstruction across all neutrino flavours.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Data for Soil Oxygen Dynamics: A Key Mediator of Tile Drainage Impacts on Coupled Hydrological, Biogeochemical, and Crop Systems

Tile drainage removes excess water and is an essential, widely adopted management practice to enhance crop productivity in the US Midwest and throughout the world. Tile drainage has been shown to significantly change hydrological and biogeochemical cycles by lowering the water table and reducing the residence time of soil water, although examining the complex interactions and feedbacks in an integrated hydrology–biogeochemistry–crop system remains elusive. Oxygen dynamics are critical to unraveling these interactions and have been ignored or oversimplified in existing models. Understanding these impacts is essential, particularly so because tile drainage has been highlighted as an adaptation under projected wetter springs and drier summers in the changing climate in the US Midwest. We used the ecosys model that uniquely incorporates first-principle soil oxygen dynamics and crop oxygen uptake mechanisms to quantify the impacts of tile drainage on hydrological and biogeochemical cycles and crop growth in corn–soybean rotation fields. The model was validated with data from a multi-treatment, multi-year experiment in Washington, IA. The relative root mean square error (rRMSE) for the corn and soybean yield in validation is 5.66 % and 12.57 %, respectively. The Pearson coefficient (r) of the monthly tile flow during the growing season is 0.78. Plant oxygen stress turns out as an emergent property of the equilibrium between the soil oxygen supply and biological demand. The impact of tile drainage on the system is achieved through a series of coupled feedback mechanisms. The model results show that tile drainage reduces the soil water content and enhances soil oxygenation. It additionally increases the subsurface discharge and elevates inorganic nitrogen leaching, with seasonal variations influenced by climate and crop phenology. The improved aerobic condition alleviates crop oxygen stress during wet springs, thereby promoting crop root growth during the early growth stage. The development of greater root density, in turn, mitigates water stress during dry summers, leading to an overall increase in the crop yield by ∼6 %. These functions indicate the potential of tile drainage in bolstering crop resilience to climate change and the use of this modeling tool for large-scale assessments of tile drainage. The model reveals the underlying causal mechanisms that drive the agroecosystem response to drainage on the coupled hydrology, biogeochemistry, and crop system dynamics.

Modeling↗

DOE OSTI2025

Aggregated carbon dioxide flux and hydrometeorology data from an Amazonian palm swamp peatland in Peru: 2018, 2019, and 2022

This dataset contains eddy covariance carbon dioxide flux and hydrometeorological measurements made in an Amazonian palm swamp peatland near Iquitos, Peru. These data have been aggregated from half-hourly observations that are available from AmeriFlux (https://ameriflux.lbl.gov/; site PE-QFR). These data files are CSV (comma separated values) format and can be imported using Matlab, R, or Excel. Three full years of data are reported (2018, 2019 and 2022) during which time there were large differences in annual net ecosystem carbon dioxide exchange. The gap was caused by instrument malfunction and extended delays in repairs because of the Covid-19 pandemic. This research was conducted to better understand the carbon cycle of tropical peatlands, and was supported by the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science, Office of Biological and Environmental Research, Terrestrial Ecosystem Science Program, under Award Number DE-SC0020167.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Soil oxygen dynamics: a key mediator of tile drainage impacts on coupled hydrological, biogeochemical, and crop systems

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Floating Solar at Lima's Twin Lakes Reservoir

The City of Lima, Ohio is developing a floating photovoltaic (FPV) facility on the surface of Twin Lake Reservoir, adjacent to the City’s water treatment plant. The FPV array is designed with a capacity of 2 megawatts (MW) and will consist of approximately 3,500 solar panels spanning more than four acres of water surface. Based on regional solar conditions, the system will generate 2,000 megawatt-hours (MWh) of electricity annually. While the FPV system will interconnect to the electrical infrastructure serving the water treatment plant, power produced by the system will be net-metered through the utility grid, with energy credits applied to offset the plant’s overall electrical demand rather than directly supplying all plant loads in real time.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗