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64 records · Page 4

pyTCR: A tropical cyclone rainfall model for python

pyTCR is a climatology software package developed in the Python programming language. It integrates the capabilities of several legacy physical models and increases computational efficiency to allow rapid estimation of tropical cyclone (TC) rainfall consistent with the large-scale environment. Specifically, pyTCR implements a horizontally distributed and vertically integrated model [Zhu et al., 2013] for simulating rainfall driven by TCs. Along storm tracks, rainfall is estimated by computing the cross-boundary-layer, upward water vapor transport caused by different mechanisms including frictional convergence, vortex stretching, large-scale baroclinic effect (i.e., wind shear), topographic forcing, and radiative cooling [Lu et al., 2018]. The package provides essential functionalities for modeling and interpreting spatio-temporal TC rainfall data. pyTCR requires a limited number of model input parameters, making it a convenient and useful tool for analyzing rainfall mechanisms driven by TCs. To sample rare (most intense) rainfall events that are often of great societal interest, pyTCR adapts and leverages outputs from a statistical-dynamical TC downscaling model [Lin et al., 2023] capable of rapidly generating a large number of synthetic TCs given a certain climate. As a result, pyTCR significantly reduces computational effort and improves the efficiency in capturing extreme TC rainfall events at the tail of the distributions from limited datasets. Furthermore, the TC downscaling model is forced entirely by large-scale environmental conditions from reanalysis data or coupled General Circulation Models (GCMs), simplifying the projection of TC-induced rainfall and wind speed under future climate using pyTCR. Finally, pyTCR can be coupled with hydrological and wind models to assess risks associated with independent and compound events (e.g., storm surges and freshwater flooding).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Metastability of stratified magnetohydrostatic equilibria and their relaxation

Motivated by explosive releases of energy in fusion, space and astrophysical plasmas, we consider the nonlinear stability of stratified magnetohydrodynamic equilibria against two-dimensional interchanges of straight magnetic-flux tubes. We demonstrate that, even within this restricted class of dynamics, the linear stability of an equilibrium does not guarantee its nonlinear stability: equilibria can be metastable. We show that the minimum-energy state accessible to a metastable equilibrium under non-diffusive two-dimensional dynamics can be found by solving a combinatorial optimisation problem. These minimum-energy states are, to good approximation, the final states reached by our simulations of destabilised metastable equilibria for which turbulent mixing is suppressed by viscosity. To predict the result of fully turbulent relaxation, we construct a statistical mechanical theory based on the maximisation of Boltzmann's mixing entropy. This theory is analogous to the Lynden-Bell statistical mechanics of collisionless stellar systems and plasma, and to the Robert–Sommeria–Miller theory of two-dimensional vortex turbulence. Our theory reproduces well the results of our numerical simulations for sufficiently large perturbations to the metastable equilibrium.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

Quantum turbulence, superfluidity, non-Markovian dynamics, and wave function thermalization

While quantum turbulence has been addressed both experimentally (predominantly for superfluid He 4 and He 3 ) and theoretically, the dynamics of various ensembles of quantized vortices has been followed in time only until the vortices have decayed into phonons. How this “thermalization” is achieved is still an unaddressed and thus an unelucidated question. The unitary Fermi gas (UFG) is a unique quantum system, which has no classical counterpart and is of relevance to neutron stars, cold atoms, condensed-matter and nuclear many-body systems. The non-Markovian evolution of an isolated UFG is put in evidence and its entire nonequilibrium evolution can be studied theoretically within a unified theoretical framework. The initial lattice of quantum vortices and antivortices evolves through a couple of vortex tangles and excitation of Kelvin waves, where vortices cross and reconnect, until very slowly thermalization sets in. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS

High resolution numerical simulations of methane pool fires using adaptive mesh refinement

The ability to accurately predict the structure and dynamics of pool fires using computational simulations is of great interest in a wide variety of applications, including accidental and wildland fires. However, the presence of physical processes spanning a broad range of spatial and temporal scales poses a significant challenge for simulations of such fires, particularly at conditions near the transition between laminar and turbulent flow. Here, in this study, we examine the transition to turbulence in methane pool fires using high-resolution simulations with multi-step finite rate chemistry, where adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) is used to directly resolve small-scale flow phenomena. We perform three simulations of methane pool fires, each with increasing diameter, corresponding to increasing inlet Reynolds and Richardson numbers. As the diameter increases, the flow transitions from organized vortex roll-up via the puffing instability to much more chaotic mixing associated with finger formation along the shear layer and core collapse near the inlet. These effects combine to create additional mixing close to the inlet, thereby enhancing fuel consumption and causing more rapid acceleration of the fluid above the pool. We also make comparisons between the transition to turbulence and core collapse in the present pool fires and in inert helium plumes, which are often used as surrogates for the study of buoyant reacting flows.

42 ENGINEERING

Near wake evolution of a tidal stream turbine due to asymmetric sheared turbulent inflow with different integral length scales

Tidal stream turbines deployed at highly energetic open water sites are subjected to sheared inflow in the rotor plane. The inflow shear is expected to cause asymmetric loading on the rotor blades and affect the downstream wake. In the current study, two different turbulent inflow conditions, static-high shear and dynamic shear, were generated via an active-grid turbulence generator. A 1:20 scaled three-bladed horizontal axis tidal turbine model was tested in those conditions. The results were compared to a quasi-laminar case with no imposed turbulence or shear. The results show that the high shear reduces the average performance, with a drop of up to 16% in the optimal power coefficient. Besides, the shear profiles increase torque fluctuations and induce significant differences in wake hydrodynamics between the high-speed (upper) and low-speed (lower) regions. The large integral length scales further enhance the load fluctuations perceived by the rotor but have a negligible effect on the mean wake field quantities and the wake recovery. The lower half region featured a faster breakdown of tip vortex structure and a rapid drop of swirl number, a phenomenon conjectured to be a consequence of the strong turbulence intensities and Reynolds stresses in the lower half region. Furthermore, the sheared turbulent inflow also results in a very intensive energy redistribution process towards large-scale, low-frequency motions, which is important to the downstream turbines.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER

Automated Operational Forecasting of Monsoon Low Pressure Systems

Monsoon low pressure systems (LPSs) are the dominant rain-bearing weather system of South Asia, often producing extreme precipitation and hydrological disasters in a region inhabited by nearly two billion people. Despite the importance of these storms, no operational system has automatically identified and tracked LPS in real time in numerical weather prediction model output; many commonly used vortex-tracking algorithms are ill suited for monsoon LPS because of the weak winds and cold cores of these systems. Here, we describe a new system that uses optimized algorithms to identify monsoon LPS in short- to medium-range forecasts from the U.S. Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) and a version of the deterministic Global Forecast System (GFS) adapted and used operationally by the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM). We also assess the historical performance of these models in forecasting South Asian monsoon LPS, comparing this with the performance of the Integrated Forecasting System of the ECMWF. We assess the accuracy of model predictions of LPS genesis, position, intensity, and precipitation rates for forecast lead times of 1–5 days, yielding quantitative information on model biases to guide operational forecasters and disaster managers. The system we introduce here could be extended to other low-latitude regions affected by dynamically weak, heavily precipitating atmospheric vortices that are often not included in tropical cyclone inventories.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Manipulating Ferroelectric Topological Polar Structures with Twisted Light

Abstract The dynamic control of non‐equilibrium states represents a central challenge in condensed matter physics. While intense terahertz fields drive metal‐insulator transitions and ferroelectricity via soft phonon modes, recent theory suggests that twisted light with orbital angular momentum (OAM) offers a distinct route to manipulate ferroelectric order and stabilize topological excitations including skyrmions, vortices, and Hopfions. Control of ferroelectric polarization in quasi‐2D CsBiNb 2 O 7 (CBNO) is demonstrated using non‐resonant twisted ultra‐violet (UV) light (375 nm, 800 THz). Combining in situ X‐ray Bragg coherent diffractive imaging (BCDI), twisted optical Raman spectroscopy, and density functional theory (DFT), three‐dimensional (3D) ionic displacements, strain fields, and polarization changes are resolved in single crystals. Operando measurements reveal light‐induced strain hysteresis under twisted light–a hallmark of nonlinear, history‐dependent ferroelastic switching driven by OAM. Discrete, irreversible domain transitions emerge as the topological charge ℓ is cycled, stabilizing non‐trivial domain textures including vortex‐antivortex pairs, Bloch/anti‐Bloch points, and merons. These persist after OAM removal, indicating a memory effect. Competing mechanisms are discussed, including multiphoton absorption, strain‐mediated polarization switching, and defect‐wall interactions. The findings establish structured light as a tool for deterministic, reversible control of ferroic states, enabling optically reconfigurable non‐volatile devices.

Chemistry

Entrainment, Detrainment, and Dilution of Dry and Moist Atmospheric Thermals

Here this study examines the entrainment, detrainment, and dilution of dry and moist (cloud) atmospheric thermals in large-eddy simulations. In a neutrally stable environment (with respect to dry dynamics), moist thermals have an increase in radius R with thermal height z t (α ≡ dR/dz t ) about 4 times smaller compared to dry thermals when density stratification is considered and ~2.4 times smaller without density stratification (i.e., applying the Boussinesq approximation). An analytic expression relating α to several dimensionless parameters is derived from the thermal impulse–circulation relation to clarify the factors impacting α. This expression shows that the difference in buoyancy structure between moist and dry thermals, with buoyancy concentrated in the central cores of moist thermals owing to latent heating, explains their smaller spreading rates. Individual contributions of entrainment and detrainment are analyzed using a direct parcel-based approach in the simulations. Moist thermals have similar fractional detrainment but much smaller fractional entrainment rates compared to dry thermals, consistent with the differences in α. Despite having smaller α, moist thermals are similarly dilute (quantified by a passive tracer) as dry thermals because of their greater mixing efficiency with the environment. Thus, moist thermals are substantially dilute but expand much less in size/volume as they rise compared to dry thermals. The α values for moist thermals in (dry) neutral and statically stable environments are similar, but fractional entrainment and especially detrainment rates are greater in the stable environment. Large detrainment rates are associated with a breakdown of the broader thermal vortex ring structure, especially with low environmental relative humidity, attributed in part to evaporation and buoyancy reversal.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Staircases of passive and active scalar concentration in cellular flow

This paper develops a unified model for staircase formation in both passive and active scalar systems, building upon prior numerical studies by offering new heuristic and physical insights. While prior studies primarily reported numerical results, they did not explore the underlying unifying physics that governs both types of scalar transport; this work addresses that gap by identifying shared mechanisms across both cases. Results of studies of passive and active scalar staircase formation in cellular flows are presented. Staircase formation in cellular flows occurs due to the interplay of fast mixing within cells and slow transport across the inter-cell boundary. The cell boundary emerges as a de facto transport barrier. Special attention is focused on the effects of cellular fluctuations and noise upon staircase structure. A forced, fluctuating vortex array model is used to drive the underlying flow structure. Cellular Peclet number and staircase profile curvature are identified as figures-of-merit to quantify the resiliency of layering. These are related to simple, multi-scatterer scalar random walk models. Results for Peclet number and curvature scaling with flow excitation are presented. We also study staircases of magnetic potential evolving in two-dimensional magnetohydrodynamics as examples of layering of active scalar concentration. Formation of magnetic potential staircases is indeed observed. Flux expulsion inhibits the intercellular transport of magnetic potential and strengthens staircase barriers. Magnetic staircases can be supported against resistive decay by magnetic potential noise forcing. Implications for staircase formation in magnetic confinement experiments are discussed.

Control theory

Kelvin–Helmholtz instability under stabilizing parallel magnetic field in nonhomogeneous compressible MHD flows

We study the Kelvin–Helmholtz instability (KHI) for the general case of a compressible, nonhomogeneous, magnetized plasma flow. The study is limited to a vortex sheet interface with an imposed parallel magnetic field. We introduce a new formalism based on a convective Mach number M c , a convective Alfvénic Mach number M Ac , and a total convective Mach number that combines the two. We derive an analytic expression of the KHI growth rate for a homogeneous flow (i.e., zero Atwood number, A=0) that converges toward both the expression for unmagnetized compressible flow and Chandrasekhar's expression for magnetized incompressible flow. Otherwise, the dispersion relation is solved numerically and allows deriving general stability diagrams of magnetized KHI for the triplet (A, M c , β −plasma) parameters. We show these parameters uniquely define all configurations for a parallel magnetic field. We also construct diagrams with respect to the convective Alfvénic Mach number, the β − plasma parameter, or the magnetic field showing which magnetic field strength is required for stabilizing a given shear flow. The theoretical growth rates are compared with 18 simulations made with the GAMERA code, currently used for 3D magnetospheric simulations. Finally, we apply our results to the analysis of a past KHI experiment performed at the OMEGA laser facility, showing linear theory succeeds to provide accurate estimates of the growth rate at early times. We further discuss how our results can inform future experiments in the high-Mach magnetized regime at the National Ignition Facility. Possible limitations of the study due to resistive, mixing, or turbulence effects are discussed.

compressible flows