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DOE OSTI2024

Multivariate degradation modeling using generalized cauchy process and application in life prediction of dye-sensitized solar cells

Recently, the Generalized Cauchy (GC) process has been applied to capture a Long Memory (LM) phenomenon in product degradation modeling and life prediction. Compared with the traditional fractional Brownian motion that captures the LM using a single Hurst parameter, the GC process has two free parameters (Hurst and fractal dimension parameters) that flexibly capture both global LM and local irregularity. However, all existing GC-based degradation models are for a single Degradation Characteristic (DC). In this article, motivated by a real degradation problem of dye-sensitized solar cells that jointly exhibits multiple DCs, global LM, local irregularity and DC-wise cross-correlation, we propose a novel GC-based Multivariate Degradation Model (GC-MDM) to simultaneously capture the aforementioned effects. A maximum likelihood estimation approach is developed to estimate parameters of the GC-MDM. Subsequently, product life prediction based on the GC-MDM is developed. The proposed GC-MDM is validated through a simulation study and a physical experiment of dye-sensitized solar cells. Furthermore, results show that the proposed GC-MDM fundamentally improves the life prediction accuracy in comparison with conventional degradation models which significantly misestimate the uncertainty of product life.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Next generation Arctic vegetation maps: Aboveground plant biomass and woody dominance mapped at 30 m resolution across the tundra biome

The Arctic is warming faster than anywhere else on Earth, placing tundra ecosystems at the forefront of global climate change. Plant biomass is a fundamental ecosystem attribute that is sensitive to changes in climate, closely tied to ecological function, and crucial for constraining ecosystem carbon dynamics. However, the amount, functional composition, and distribution of plant biomass are only coarsely quantified across the Arctic. Therefore, we developed the first moderate resolution (30 m) maps of live aboveground plant biomass (g m −2 ) and woody plant dominance (%) for the Arctic tundra biome, including the mountainous Oro Arctic. We modeled biomass for the year 2020 using a new synthesis dataset of field biomass harvest measurements, Landsat satellite seasonal synthetic composites, ancillary geospatial data, and machine learning models. Additionally, we quantified pixel-wise uncertainty in biomass predictions using Monte Carlo simulations and validated the models using a robust, spatially blocked and nested cross-validation procedure. Observed plant and woody plant biomass values ranged from 0 to ∼6000 g m −2 (mean ≈ 350 g m −2 ), while predicted values ranged from 0 to ∼4000 g m −2 (mean ≈ 275 g m −2 ), resulting in model validation root-mean-squared-error (RMSE) ≈ 400 g m −2 and R 2 ≈ 0.6. Our maps not only capture large-scale patterns of plant biomass and woody plant dominance across the Arctic that are linked to climatic variation (e.g., thawing degree days), but also illustrate how fine-scale patterns are shaped by local surface hydrology, topography, and past disturbance. By providing data on plant biomass across Arctic tundra ecosystems at the highest resolution to date, our maps can significantly advance research and inform decision-making on topics ranging from Arctic vegetation monitoring and wildlife conservation to carbon accounting and land surface modeling.

Climate change↗

DOE OSTI2025

Advancing Mn-Based Li-Ion Battery Cathodes via a Partially Cation-Disordered Zigzag-Type Li–Nb–Mn–O Framework

Mn-based Li-ion battery cathodes encompass a great variety of materials structures. Decades of research effort have proven that developing a Mn-based structure featuring a high redox activity, stable cycling, and cost-effectiveness is a longstanding challenge. Motivated by such a need and inspired by the structural diversity of Mn-based cathodes, we develop a partially cation-disordered lithium niobium manganese oxide with a zigzag structure, filling the knowledge gap between zigzag-ordered and fully disordered Li-Mn-based oxides. Electrochemically, the partially disordered cathode greatly unlocks the redox activity of the zigzag lattice and maintains the cycling stability. Mechanism-wise, the partial disordering suppresses the disproportionation reaction of Mn(III) and facilitates a disordered λ-MnO 2 -tetragonal cation-disordered rock salt structural transformation. Furthermore, the work suggests the substantial opportunity of using partial disordering as the key strategy to revive locked-up redox activities and realize new energy storage mechanisms, for the pursuit of high-performance cost-effective battery materials.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Statistical White-Line Analysis in High-Throughput TXM-XANES for Chemical State Quantification

The transmission X-ray microscopy (TXM) based X-ray absorption near-edge structure (XANES) technique provides three-dimensional mapping of element-specific chemical states at nanometer-scale spatial resolution and micrometer-scale fields of view. However, compared to conventional volume-averaged XANES (VA-XANES) measurements, the inherently small voxel size in TXM-XANES leads to a lower signal-to-noise ratio, making full-spectrum analysis computationally demanding and less robust. Here, we present the structural and compositional conditions for a statistical white-line analysis framework under which chemical state information can be directly extracted from the white-line peak position in voxel spectra without the need for voxel-wise background subtraction or normalization, under well-defined structural and compositional conditions. The method is validated on layered oxide cathode materials, where low-order polynomial fitting accurately reproduces white-line features, and the extracted energy distributions correlate strongly with VA-XANES results. This statistical approach enables high-throughput, dose-efficient, and noise-robust chemical state quantification in TXM-XANES, offering broad applicability to functional materials requiring nanoscale oxidation-state mapping.

TXM↗

DOE OSTI2024

Local and General Patterns of Terrestrial Water‐Carbon Coupling

Abstract Terrestrial carbon uptake and water availability have coupled feedbacks; specifically water uptake for plant growth and soil drying via transpiration. While we might expect this coupling over time at arid sites, climatic water availability also widely covaries geographically with biomass variables that control photosynthetic rates. Using eddy covariance data globally, we find convex, positively‐covarying relations between carbon uptake and a turbulent flux metric controlled by land surface moisture (r = 0.73 monthly across sites) at the site level. We estimate a general, empirical relationship based on site‐wise water‐carbon dynamics. Most sites, and the general relationship, show strong power‐law dependence, implicating the role of sub‐seasonal land‐cover dynamics. We also find that long‐term mean carbon/water states follow a similar convex relationship to the site‐specific temporal dynamics. We discuss opportunities and caveats for space‐for‐time frameworks of carbon/water feedback processes globally.

Geology↗

DOE OSTI2024

Computer vision models enable mixed linear modeling to predict arbuscular mycorrhizal fungal colonization using fungal morphology

Abstract The presence of Arbuscular Mycorrhizal Fungi (AMF) in vascular land plant roots is one of the most ancient of symbioses supporting nitrogen and phosphorus exchange for photosynthetically derived carbon. Here we provide a multi-scale modeling approach to predict AMF colonization of a worldwide crop from a Recombinant Inbred Line (RIL) population derived from Sorghum bicolor and S. propinquum . The high-throughput phenotyping methods of fungal structures here rely on a Mask Region-based Convolutional Neural Network (Mask R-CNN) in computer vision for pixel-wise fungal structure segmentations and mixed linear models to explore the relations of AMF colonization, root niche, and fungal structure allocation. Models proposed capture over 95% of the variation in AMF colonization as a function of root niche and relative abundance of fungal structures in each plant. Arbuscule allocation is a significant predictor of AMF colonization among sibling plants. Arbuscules and extraradical hyphae implicated in nutrient exchange predict highest AMF colonization in the top root section. Our work demonstrates that deep learning can be used by the community for the high-throughput phenotyping of AMF in plant roots. Mixed linear modeling provides a framework for testing hypotheses about AMF colonization phenotypes as a function of root niche and fungal structure allocations.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Alignments in the orientation of radio jets from AGN and their host galaxies

It is well established that active galactic nuclei (AGNs) play an important role in the evolution of galaxies. These AGNs can be linked to the accretion processes onto massive black holes and past merger events in their host galaxies, which may lead to different alignments of the jets with respect to the host galaxies. This paper presents a study of the position angle (PA) differences between radio and optical images of radio-AGNs based on the second data release (DR2) of the Low Frequency Array (LOFAR) Two-Meter Sky Survey (LoTSS), theKarl G. JanskyVery Large Array Faint Images of the Radio Sky at Twenty-Centimeters Survey (FIRST), the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) Legacy Imaging Surveys, and the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS). We assessed PA measurement biases in the data and classified the radio-AGNs based on the radio luminosity and infrared colour from the Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE). This resulted in the largest sample of radio AGNs with reliable radio and optical PA measurements published to date, with a total of 3682 AGNs. The PA difference (dPA) distributions for the radio-AGN sample show a prominent minor-axis alignment tendency. Based on some simple assumptions, we simulated the projection effect to estimate the intrinsic jet-galaxy alignment. The observed dPA distribution can be well described by a two-component jet-alignment model in which one component is more aligned with the minor axis of the host galaxy than the other. The fitting results indicate that the jet alignment is dependent on radio luminosity and the shape of the host galaxies, with the jets being more likely to be aligned with the minor axis of the galaxy for lower radio luminosity and for optically more elongated radio-AGNs. The minor-axis alignment of the entire sample may suggest a coherent accretion model present in most AGN host galaxies, while a considerable number of luminous radio-AGNs with massive host galaxies might have undergone accretion – according to the chaotic model – or past merger events.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

DOE OSTI2024

Nine lensed quasars and quasar pairs discovered through spatially extended variability in Pan-STARRS

We present the proof of concept of a method for finding strongly lensed quasars using their spatially extended photometric variability through difference imaging in cadenced imaging survey data. We applied the method to Pan-STARRS, starting with an initial selection of 14 107Gaiamultiplets with quasar-like infrared colours from WISE. We identified 229 candidates showing notable spatially extended variability during the Pan-STARRS survey period. These include 20 known lenses and an additional 12 promising candidates for which we obtained long-slit spectroscopy follow-up. This process resulted in the confirmation of four doubly lensed quasars, four unclassified quasar pairs, and one projected quasar pair. Only three are pairs of stars or quasar+star projections. The false-positive rate accordingly is 25%. The lens separations are between 0.81″ and 1.24″, and the source redshifts lie betweenz = 1.47 andz = 2.46. Three of the unclassified quasar pairs are promising dual-quasar candidates with separations ranging from 6.6 to 9.3 kpc. We expect that this technique is a particularly efficient way to select lensed variables in the upcomingRubin-LSST, which will be crucial given the expected limitations for spectroscopic follow-up.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

DOE OSTI2025

Derivation and verification of the direct-sampling method for simulating Monte Carlo flight paths in tetrahedral meshes with linear finite-element cross sections

This paper provides a derivation of a direct-sampling approach for modeling continuously varying cross sections in tetrahedral-mesh-based Monte Carlo codes. Specifically, cross sections are spatially approximated using linear nodal finite elements. A linearization strategy is provided for non-linearly varying cross sections. The method is verified against seven analytical pure-absorber test problems. These test problems also highlight the benefit of using linear finite elements over element-wise-constant cross sections.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Peeling-ballooning modes in spherical tokamaks: Multi-branch instabilities and effects beyond ideal MHD

A number of important physics effects on the stability of relatively high-n (n is the toroidal mode number) peeling-ballooning modes (PBMs) are investigated based on an equilibrium reconstructed from a NSTX discharge, utilizing extended magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) eigenvalue solvers. For a given toroidal mode number n, multiple branches of instabilities are computed, with the total number of unstable branches roughly linearly scaling with n. Most of the unstable branches are located in the plasma core region, but edge-localized branches, i.e., PBMs, are also identified at higher n-numbers. For the single-fluid-wise most unstable PBM with n = 19⁠, stabilizing/destabilizing effects due to various physics beyond ideal MHD are systematically investigated. Plasma toroidal flow is found to be weakly stabilizing. Local flow shear is generally stabilizing as well, with the degree of stabilization depending on the initial growth rate (without flow shear) of the mode. The plasma resistivity can strongly destabilize the PBM within the single-fluid framework. Anisotropic thermal transport, strong parallel sound wave damping, as well as two-fluid effects are all stabilizing to the mode. In particular, diamagnetic stabilization (within the two-fluid model) is found to be very strong for this mode.

Linear stability analysis↗

DOE OSTI2024

Review of nonflow estimation methods and uncertainties in relativistic heavy-ion collisions

Abstract Collective anisotropic flow, where particles are correlated over the entire event, is a prominent phenomenon in relativistic heavy-ion collisions and is sensitive to the properties of the matter created in those collisions. It is often measured by two- and multi-particle correlations and is therefore contaminated by nonflow, those genuine few-body correlations unrelated to the global event-wise correlations. Many methods have been devised to estimate nonflow contamination with various degrees of successes and difficulties. Here, we review those methods pedagogically, discussing the pros and cons of each method, and give examples of ballpark estimate of nonflow contamination and associated uncertainties in relativistic heavy-ion collisions. We hope such a review of the various nonflow estimation methods in a single place would prove helpful to future researches.

Feng, Yicheng (ORCID:0000000169010870)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Electromagnetic coil optimization for reduced Lorentz forces

Abstract The reduction of magnetic forces on electromagnetic coils is an important consideration in the design of high-field devices such as the stellarator or tokamak. Unfortunately, these forces may be too time-consuming to evaluate by conventional finite element modeling within an optimization loop. Although mutual forces can be computed rapidly by approximating large-bore coils as infinitely thin, this approximation does not hold for self-forces as it leads to an unphysical divergence. Recently, a novel reduced model for the self-field, self-force, and self-inductance of electromagnetic coils based on filamentary models was rigorously derived and demonstrated to be highly accurate and numerically efficient to evaluate (Hurwitz et al 2024 IEEE Trans. Magn. 60 7001614). In this paper, we present an implementation of the reduced self-force model employing automatic differentiation within the simsopt stellarator design software and use it in derivative-based coil optimization for a quasi-axisymmetric stellarator. We show that it is possible to significantly reduce point-wise forces throughout the coils, though this comes with trade-offs to fast particle losses and the minimum distance between coils and the plasma surface. The trade-off between magnetic forces and coil-surface distance is mediated by the minimum coil–coil distance for coils near the inboard side of the ‘bean’ cross-section of the plasma. The relationship between forces and fast particle losses is mediated by the normal field error. Coil forces can be lowered to a threshold with minimal deterioration to losses. Importantly, the magnet optimization approach here can be used also for tokamaks, other fusion concepts, and applications outside of fusion.

Hurwitz, Siena (ORCID:0000000166599659)↗

DOE OSTI2024

GALIC: hybrid multi-qubitwise pauli grouping for quantum computing measurement

Abstract Observable estimation is a core primitive in NISQ-era algorithms targeting quantum chemistry applications. To reduce the state preparation overhead required for accurate estimation, recent works have proposed various simultaneous measurement schemes to lower estimator variance. Two primary grouping schemes have been proposed: full commutativity (FC) and qubit-wise commutativity (QWC), with no compelling means of interpolation. In this work we propose a generalized framework for designing and analyzing context-aware hybrid FC/QWC commutativity relations. We use our framework to propose a noise-and-connectivity aware grouping strategy: Generalized backend-Aware pauLI Commutation (GALIC). We demonstrate how GALIC interpolates between FC and QWC, maintaining estimator accuracy in Hamiltonian estimation while lowering variance by an average of 20% compared to QWC. We also explore the design space of near-term quantum devices using the GALIC framework, specifically comparing device noise levels and connectivity. We find that error suppression has a more than 10 × larger impact on device-aware estimator variance than qubit connectivity with even larger correlation differences in estimator biases.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2024

Unpaired image translation to mitigate domain shift in liquid argon time projection chamber detector responses

Deep learning algorithms often are developed and trained on a training dataset and deployed on test datasets. Any systematic difference between the training and a test dataset may severely degrade the final algorithm performance on the test dataset—what is known as the domain shift problem . This issue is prevalent in many scientific domains where algorithms are trained on simulated data but applied to real-world datasets. Typically, the domain shift problem is solved through various domain adaptation (DA) methods. However, these methods are often tailored for a specific downstream task, such as classification or semantic segmentation, and may not easily generalize to different tasks. This work explores the feasibility of using an alternative way to solve the domain shift problem that is not specific to any downstream algorithm. The proposed approach relies on modern Unpaired Image-to-Image (UI2I) translation techniques, designed to find translations between different image domains in a fully unsupervised fashion. In this study, the approach is applied to a domain shift problem commonly encountered in Liquid Argon Time Projection Chamber (LArTPC) detector research when seeking a way to translate samples between two differently distributed LArTPC detector datasets deterministically. This translation allows for mapping real-world data into the simulated data domain where the downstream algorithms can be run with much less domain-shift-related performance degradation. Conversely, using the translation from the simulated data to a real-world domain can increase the realism of the simulated dataset and reduce the magnitude of any systematic uncertainties. To evaluate the quality of the translations, we use both pixel-wise metrics and a downstream task to measure the effectiveness of UI2I methods for mitigating the domain shift problem. We adapted several popular UI2I translation algorithms to work on scientific data and demonstrated the viability of these techniques for solving the domain shift problem with LArTPC detector data. To facilitate further development of DA techniques for scientific datasets, the ‘Simple Liquid-Argon Track Samples’ dataset used in this study is also published.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Simulation driven adaptive sampling for neutron-diffraction based strain mapping of additively manufactured parts

Neutron diffraction based strain mapping is a useful technique for measuring residual strains in additively manufactured (AM) metal parts. The measurement is traditionally done by scanning the sample in a point-wise raster pattern to extract the strain at each position. Since the overall scan can span several hours, adaptive sampling approaches using Bayesian optimization based on Gaussian process (BO-GP) regression have been introduced—demonstrating that even with a fraction of the typically made measurements the dominant strain patterns in the sample can be reconstructed. However, the parameters of the BO-GP algorithm have to be carefully chosen for best performance, and the movement time between arbitrary points can offset the time savings from a reduced number of measurement locations. In this paper, we propose algorithms to refine the BO-GP based methods by using simulations of strain patterns in AM parts based on the materials and the process used to print them. We demonstrate that the simulated strain patterns can be used to help choose better parameters for the BO-GP based framework—leading to low reconstruction error for the final strain pattern. Furthermore, we show that the strain mapping experiment can be initialized with a sampling pattern learnt from the simulation data and ordered to reduce movement time, dramatically enabling reduction in the overall time required to run the baseline BO-GP method.

Gaussian process regression↗

DOE OSTI2026

Crystal generation using the fully differentiable pipeline and latent space optimization

We present a materials generation framework that couples a symmetry-conditioned variational autoencoder with a differentiable SO(3) power spectrum objective to steer candidates toward a specified local environment under the crystallographic constraints. In particular, we implement a fully differentiable pipeline that performs batch-wise optimization on both direct and latent crystallographic representations. Using the GPU acceleration, the implementation achieves about fivefold speed compared to our previous CPU workflow, while yielding comparable outcomes. In addition, we introduce the optimization strategy that alternatively performs optimization on the direct and latent crystal representations. This dual-level relaxation approach can effectively escape local minima defined by different objective gradients, thus increasing the success rate of generating complex structures satisfying the target local environments. This framework can be extended to systems consisting of multi-components and multi-environments, providing a scalable route to generate material structures with the target local environment.

conditional VAE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Unveiling shared genetic regulators of plant architectural and biomass yield traits in the Sorghum Association Panel

Abstract Sorghum is emerging as an ideal genetic model for designing high-biomass bioenergy crops. Biomass yield, a complex trait influenced by various plant architectural characteristics, is typically regulated by numerous genes. This study aimed to dissect the genetic regulators underlying 14 plant architectural traits and 10 biomass yield traits in the Sorghum Association Panel across two growing seasons. We identified 321 associated loci through genome-wide association studies (GWAS), involving 234 264 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). These loci include genes with known associations to biomass traits, such as maturity, dwarfing (Dw), and leafbladeless1, as well as several uncharacterized loci not previously linked to these traits. We also identified 22 pleiotropic loci associated with variation in multiple phenotypes. Three of these loci, located on chromosomes 3 (S03_15463061), 6 (S06_42790178; Dw2), and 9 (S09_57005346; Dw1), exerted significant and consistent effects on multiple traits across both growing seasons. Additionally, we identified three genomic hotspots on chromosomes 6, 7, and 9, each containing multiple SNPs associated with variation in plant architecture and biomass yield traits. Chromosome-wise correlation analyses revealed multiple blocks of positively associated SNPs located near or within the same genomic regions. Finally, genome-wide correlation-based network analysis showed that loci associated with flowering, plant height, leaf traits, plant density, and tiller number per plant were highly interconnected with other genetic loci influencing plant architectural and biomass yield traits. The pyramiding of favorable alleles related to these traits holds promise for enhancing the future development of bioenergy sorghum crops.

Singh, Anuradha (ORCID:0000000197149095)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Radio AGN selection in LoTSS DR2

ABSTRACT The wide-area component of the LOFAR Two-Metre Sky Survey (LoTSS) is currently the largest radio survey ever carried out, and a large fraction of the 4.5 million radio sources it contains have been optically identified with galaxies or quasars with spectroscopic or photometric redshifts. Identification of radio-luminous active galactic nucleus (AGN) from this LoTSS source catalogue is not only important from the point of view of understanding the accretion history of the universe, but also enables a wide range of other science. However, at present the vast majority of the optical identifications lack spectroscopic information or well-sampled spectral energy distributions. We show that colour and absolute magnitude information from the Wide-Field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE) allows for the robust and efficient selection of radio AGN candidates, generating a radio AGN candidate sample of around 600 000 objects with flux density $> 1.1$ mJy, spanning 144-MHz luminosities between $10^{21}$ and $10^{29}$ W Hz$^{-1}$. We use the catalogue to constrain the total sky density of radio-luminous AGN and the evolution of their luminosity function between $z=0$ and $z\approx 1$, and show that the typical mass of their host galaxies, around $10^{11} {\rm M}_\odot$, is essentially independent of radio luminosity above around $L_{144} \approx 10^{24}$ W Hz$^{-1}$. Combining with Very Large Array Sky Survey (VLASS) data, we show that the core prominences, radio spectral indices and variability of extended sources from the sample are qualitatively consistent with the expectations from unified models. A catalogue of the radio AGN candidates is released with this paper.

Hardcastle, M. J. (ORCID:0000000342231117)↗