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At least 73 records · Page 4

Densely Connected G-invariant Deep Neural Networks with Signed Permutation Representations

We introduce and investigate, for finite groups G, G-invariant deep neural network (GDNN) architectures with ReLU activation that are densely connected- i.e., include all possible skip connections. In contrast to other G-invariant architectures in the literature, the preactivations of theG-DNNs presented here are able to transform by signed permutation representations (signed perm-reps) of G. Moreover, the individual layers of the G-DNNs are not required to be G-equivariant; instead, the preactivations are constrained to be G-equivariant functions of the network input in a way that couples weights across all layers. The result is a richer family of G-invariant architectures never seen previously. We derive an efficient implementation of G-DNNs after a reparameterization of weights, as well as necessary and sufficient conditions for an architecture to be "admissible"- i.e., nondegenerate and inequivalent to smaller architectures. We include code that allows a user to build a G-DNN interactively layer-by-layer, with the final architecture guaranteed to be admissible. We show that there are far more admissible G-DNN architectures than those accessible with the "concatenated ReLU" activation function from the literature. Finally, we apply G-DNNs to two example problems--(1) multiplication in --1, 1} (with theoretical guarantees) and (2) 3D object classification--finding that the inclusion of signed perm-reps significantly boosts predictive performance compared to baselines with only ordinary (i.e., unsigned) perm-reps.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Synthesis and dynamic characteristics of large structures with rotating substructures

The variational equations of motion of large structures with rotating substructures are derived by the substructure synthesis approach, whereby a discretization procedure akin to the Rayleigh-Ritz method is used to represent the elastic motion of every substructure by a suitable set of admissible functions. Using an inclusion principle for gyroscopic systems, the effects on the predicted system dynamic characteristics of truncating the number of admissible functions used for each substructure can be assessed. Criteria for rational selection of admissible functions are presented.

Meirovitch, L.↗

A crisis for the verification and validation of turbulence simulations

Three algorithms have been proposed for solution of the Rayleigh–Taylor turbulent mixing problem. They are based upon three different physical principles governing the Euler equations for fluid flow. The principles serve to select the physically relevant solution from among many nonunique solutions. The admissibility principle is in dispute. The three different algorithms, expressing the three physical admissibility principles can be formulated in terms of the three energy dissipation rates or the entropy production rates, as selected by the size of the sub grid scale coefficients. These have maximal values or less than maximal values. The resulting solutions are markedly different. We find strong validation evidence that supports the maximum rate principle, based on a review of prior results and on new results presented here. We review experimental data used for validation and sufficient to discriminate among the three. We present a new analysis of this data. We show that the hypothesized long wave length perturbations in the initial conditions are not significant, so that validation can be based on this data in a straight forward manner. One of the algorithms is labeled direct numerical simulation, but is not, and as a consequence, the two algorithms with less than maximal SGS coefficients are variants of one another. Finally recommendations for the numerical modeling of the deflagration to detonation transition in type Ia supernova are discussed.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Vanishing adsorption limit of Riemann problem solutions for the polymer model

Here we examine the vanishing adsorption limit of solutions of Riemann problems for the Glimm–Isaacson model of chemical flooding of a petroleum reservoir. A contact discontinuity is deemed admissible if it is the limit of traveling waves or rarefaction waves for an augmented system that accounts for weak chemical adsorption onto the rock. We prove that this criterion justifies the admissibility criteria adopted previously by Keyfitz–Kranzer, Isaacson–Temple and de Souza–Marchesin, provided that the fractional flow function depends monotonically on chemical concentration. We also demonstrate that the adsorption criterion selects the undercompressive contact discontinuities required to solve the general Riemann problem in an example model with non-monotone dependence.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A remapping scheme for history-dependent material state variables

Here, we present an interpolation scheme for use with material models involving history-dependent state variables. The interpolation scheme is based on the solution of a constrained optimization problem, to identify the smoothest monotone curve which produces an admissible solution. Unlike classical schemes used for transport equations, the proposed methodology accounts for the interdependence of the history variables and produces admissible interpolations of the material's state variables. After introducing a general solution scheme for the problem, a simplified and more computationally efficient method is derived. Finally, as a validation problem for the proposed methods, we consider the advection of internal state variables belonging to material models with highly nonlinear yield surfaces.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Agent-based simulation and child protection systems: Rationale, implementation, and verification

Simulation models are an important tool used in health care and other disciplines to support operational research and decision-making. In the child protection literature, simulation models are an under-utilized source of research evidence. Here, in this paper, we describe the rationale for and the development of an agent-based simulation of a child protection system in the US. Using the investigation, prevention service, and placement histories of 600,000 children served in an urban child welfare system, we walk the reader through the development of a prototype known as OSPEDALE. The governing equations built into OSPEDALE probabilistically simulate the onset of investigations. Then, drawing from empirical survival distributions, the governing equations trace the probability of subsequent interactions with the system (recurrence of maltreatment, service referrals, and placement) conditional on the characteristics of children, their assessed risk level, and prior child protection system involvement. As an initial test of OSPEDALE's utility, we compare empirical admission counts with counts generated from OSPEDALE. Though the verification step is admittedly simple, the comparison shows that OSPEDALE replicates the empirical count of new admissions closely enough to justify further investment in OSPEDALE. Management of public child protection systems is increasingly research evidence-dependent. The emphasis on research evidence as a decision-support tool has elevated evidence acquired through randomized clinical trials. Though important, the evidence from clinical trials represents only one type of research evidence. Properly specified, simulation models are another source of evidence with real-world relevance.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Design of COVID-19 staged alert systems to ensure healthcare capacity with minimal closures

Community mitigation strategies to combat COVID-19, ranging from healthy hygiene to shelter-in-place orders, exact substantial socioeconomic costs. Judicious implementation and relaxation of restrictions amplify their public health benefits while reducing costs. We derive optimal strategies for toggling between mitigation stages using daily COVID-19 hospital admissions. With public compliance, the policy triggers ensure adequate intensive care unit capacity with high probability while minimizing the duration of strict mitigation measures. In comparison, we show that other sensible COVID-19 staging policies, including France’s ICU-based thresholds and a widely adopted indicator for reopening schools and businesses, require overly restrictive measures or trigger strict stages too late to avert catastrophic surges. As proof-of-concept, we describe the optimization and maintenance of the staged alert system that has guided COVID-19 policy in a large US city (Austin, Texas) since May 2020. As cities worldwide face future pandemic waves, our findings provide a robust strategy for tracking COVID-19 hospital admissions as an early indicator of hospital surges and enacting staged measures to ensure integrity of the health system, safety of the health workforce, and public confidence.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Scaling of the mean transverse flow and Reynolds shear stress in turbulent plane jet

Here, proper scaling for the mean transverse flow and Reynolds shear stress in a turbulent plane jet is determined using a scaling patch approach. By seeking an admissible scaling, a key concept in the scaling patch approach, for the mean continuity equation, a proper scale for the mean transverse flow in a turbulent plane jet is found as V ref = –δdU ctr /dx, where δ is the jet half width and dU ctr /dx is the decay rate of the mean axial velocity at the jet centerline. By seeking an admissible scaling for the mean axial momentum equation, a proper scale for the kinematic Reynolds shear stress is found as R uv,ref =U ctr V ref , which is a mix of the velocity scales in the axial and transverse directions. Approximation functions for the scaled mean transverse flow and Reynolds shear stress are developed and found to agree well with experimental and numerical data. Similarities and differences between the scales of the mean transverse flow and Reynolds shear stress in turbulent plane jets and zero-pressure-gradient turbulent boundary layer flows are clarified.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Scaling patch analysis of planar turbulent wakes

In this work, a scaling patch approach is used to investigate the proper scales in planar turbulent wakes. A proper scale for the mean axial flow is the well-known maximum velocity deficit U ref = U ∞ –U ctr , where U ∞ is the free stream velocity and U ctr is the mean axial velocity at the wake centerline. From an admissible scaling of the mean continuity equation, a proper scale for the mean transverse flow is found as V ref = (dδ/dx)U ref , where dδ/dx is the growth rate of the wake width. From an admissible scaling of the mean momentum equation, a proper scale for the kinematic Reynolds shear stress is found as R uv,ref = U ∞ V ref , which is a mixed scale of the free stream velocity and the mean transverse flow scale. Expressions are derived for the scaled mean transverse velocity and Reynolds shear stress in the far field of planar turbulent wakes. Using a Gaussian function for the mean axial velocity deficit, approximate functions for the scaled mean transverse velocity and Reynolds shear stress are developed and found to agree well with experimental and simulation data. This work reveals that the mean transverse flow, despite its small magnitude, plays an important role in the scaling and understanding of the planar turbulent wake.

42 ENGINEERING↗

The Prediction Model of Risk Factors for COVID-19 Developing into Severe Illness Based on 1046 Patients with COVID-19

This study analyzed the risk factors for patients with COVID-19 developing severe illnesses and explored the value of applying the logistic model combined with ROC curve analysis to predict the risk of severe illnesses at COVID-19 patients’ admissions. The clinical data of 1046 COVID-19 patients admitted to a designated hospital in a certain city from July to September 2020 were retrospectively analyzed, the clinical characteristics of the patients were collected, and a multivariate unconditional logistic regression analysis was used to determine the risk factors for severe illnesses in COVID-19 patients during hospitalization. Based on the analysis results, a prediction model for severe conditions and the ROC curve were constructed, and the predictive value of the model was assessed. Logistic regression analysis showed that age (OR = 3.257, 95% CI 10.466–18.584), complications with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR = 7.337, 95% CI 0.227–87.021), cough (OR = 5517, 95% CI 0.258–65.024), and venous thrombosis (OR = 7322, 95% CI 0.278–95.020) were risk factors for COVID-19 patients developing severe conditions during hospitalization. When complications were not taken into consideration, COVID-19 patients’ ages, number of diseases, and underlying diseases were risk factors influencing the development of severe illnesses. The ROC curve analysis results showed that the AUC that predicted the severity of COVID-19 patients at admission was 0.943, the optimal threshold was −3.24, and the specificity was 0.824, while the sensitivity was 0.827. The changes in the condition of severe COVID-19 patients are related to many factors such as age, clinical symptoms, and underlying diseases. This study has a certain value in predicting COVID-19 patients that develop from mild to severe conditions, and this prediction model is a useful tool in the quick prediction of the changes in patients’ conditions and providing early intervention for those with risk factors.

Lian, Zhichuang↗

How New Mexico Leveraged a COVID-19 Case Forecasting Model to Preemptively Address the Healthcare Needs of the State: Quantitative Analysis

Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, US hospitals relied on static projections of future trends for long-term planning and were only beginning to consider forecasting methods for short-term planning of staffing and other resources. With the overwhelming burden imposed by COVID-19 on the health care system, an emergent need exists to accurately forecast hospitalization needs within an actionable timeframe. Our goal was to leverage an existing COVID-19 case and death forecasting tool to generate the expected number of concurrent hospitalizations, occupied intensive care unit (ICU) beds, and in-use ventilators 1 day to 4 weeks in the future for New Mexico and each of its five health regions. We developed a probabilistic model that took as input the number of new COVID-19 cases for New Mexico from Los Alamos National Laboratory’s COVID-19 Forecasts Using Fast Evaluations and Estimation tool, and we used the model to estimate the number of new daily hospital admissions 4 weeks into the future based on current statewide hospitalization rates. The model estimated the number of new admissions that would require an ICU bed or use of a ventilator and then projected the individual lengths of hospital stays based on the resource need. By tracking the lengths of stay through time, we captured the projected simultaneous need for inpatient beds, ICU beds, and ventilators. We used a postprocessing method to adjust the forecasts based on the differences between prior forecasts and the subsequent observed data. Thus, we ensured that our forecasts could reflect a dynamically changing situation on the ground. Forecasts made between September 1 and December 9, 2020, showed variable accuracy across time, health care resource needs, and forecast horizon. Forecasts made in October, when new COVID-19 cases were steadily increasing, had an average accuracy error of 20.0%, while the error in forecasts made in September, a month with low COVID-19 activity, was 39.7%. Across health care use categories, state-level forecasts were more accurate than those at the regional level. Although the accuracy declined as the forecast was projected further into the future, the stated uncertainty of the prediction improved. Forecasts were within 5% of their stated uncertainty at the 50% and 90% prediction intervals at the 3- to 4-week forecast horizon for state-level inpatient and ICU needs. However, uncertainty intervals were too narrow for forecasts of state-level ventilator need and all regional health care resource needs. Real-time forecasting of the burden imposed by a spreading infectious disease is a crucial component of decision support during a public health emergency. Our proposed methodology demonstrated utility in providing near-term forecasts, particularly at the state level. This tool can aid other stakeholders as they face COVID-19 population impacts now and in the future.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Genomic surveillance indicates clonal replacement of hypervirulent Klebsiella pneumoniae ST881 and ST29 lineage strains in vivo

The emergence of hypervirulent Klebsiella pneumoniae (hvKp) poses a significant public health threat, particularly regarding its carriage in the healthy population. However, the genomic epidemiological characteristics and population dynamics of hvKp within a single patient across distinct infection episodes remain largely unknown. This study aimed to investigate the clonal replacement of hvKp K2-ST881 and K54-ST29 lineage strains in a single patient experiencing multiple-site infections during two independent episodes. Two strains, designated EDhvKp-1 and EDhvKp-2, were obtained from blood and cerebrospinal fluid during the first admission, and the strain isolated from blood on the second admission was named EDhvKp-3. Whole-genome sequencing, utilizing both short-read Illumina and long-read Oxford Nanopore platforms, was conducted. In silico multilocus sequence typing (MLST), identification of antimicrobial resistance and virulence genes, and the phylogenetic relationship between our strains and other K. pneumoniae ST881 and ST29 genomes retrieved from the public database were performed. Virulence potentials were assessed through a mouse lethality assay. Our study indicated that the strains were highly susceptible to multiple antimicrobial agents. Plasmid sequence analysis confirmed that both virulence plasmids, pEDhvKp-1 (166,008 bp) and pEDhvKp-3 (210,948 bp), belonged to IncFIB type. Multiple virulence genes, including rmpA , rmpA2 , rmpC , rmpD , iroBCDN , iucABCD , and iutA , were identified. EDhvKp-1 and EDhvKp-2 showed the closest relationship to strain 502 (differing by 51 SNPs), while EDhvKp-3 exhibited 69 SNPs differences compared to strain TAKPN-1, which all recovered from Chinese patients in 2020. In the mouse infection experiment, both ST881 EDhvKp-1 and ST29 EDhvKp-3 displayed similar virulence traits, causing 90 and 100% of the mice to die within 72 h after intraperitoneal infection, respectively. Our study expands the spectrum of hvKp lineages and highlights genomic alterations associated with clonal switching between two distinct lineages of hvKP that successively replaced each other in vivo . The development of novel strategies for the surveillance, diagnosis, and treatment of high-risk hvKp is urgently needed.

Liu, Ning↗

Avalanche-diode oscillator circuit with tuning at multiple frequencies

Detailed theoretical analysis of three different modes or types of high efficiency oscillation in a PIN diode are presented. For the TRAPATT mode in a PIN diode, it is shown that a traveling avalanche zone is not necessary to generate a dense trapped plasma. An economical computer program for TRAPATT oscillations in a PIN diode is described. Typical results of diode power, dc-to-RF conversion efficiency, and required circuit impedances are presented for several different current waveforms. A semianalytical solution for a second type of high efficiency mode in a PIN diode is derived assuming a rectangular current waveform. A quasi-static approximation is employed to derive a semianalytical solution for the voltage across a PIN diode in a third mode, where avalanching occurs during a major portion of a half cycle. Calculations for this mode indicate that the power increases proportionally to the magnitude of the drive current with a small decrease in efficiency relative to the ordinary TRAPATT mode. An analytical solution is also given for a PIN diode, where it is assumed that the ionization coefficient is a step function. It is shown that the step-ionization approximation permits one to draw possible patterns of avalanche region in the depletion layer as a function of time. A rule governing admissible patterns is derived and an example solution given for one admissible pattern. Preliminary experimental results on the high-efficiency oscillations are presented and discussed. Two different experimental circuits, which used channel-dropping filters to provide independent harmonic tuning, are described. Simpler circuits used to produce high-efficiency oscillations are discussed. Results of experiments using inexpensive Fairchild FD300 diodes are given.

Parker, D.↗

A Rayleigh-Ritz approach to the synthesis of large structures with rotating flexible components

The equations of motion for large structures with rotating flexible components are derived by regarding the structure as an assemblage of substructures. Based on a stationarity principle for rotating structures, it is shown that each continuous or discrete substructure can be simulated by a suitable set of admissible functions or admissible vectors. This substructure synthesis approach provides a rational basis for truncating the number of degrees of freedom both of each substructure and of the assembled structure.

Meirovitch, L.↗

A Rayleigh-Ritz approach to the synthesis of large gyroscopic structures

The equations of motion for large structures with rotating flexible components are derived by regarding the structure as an assemblage of substructures. Based on a stationarity principle for rotating structures, it is shown that each continuous or discrete substructure can be simulated by a suitable set of admissible functions or admissible vectors. This substructure synthesis approach provides a rational basis for truncating the number of degrees of freedom both of each substructure and of the assembled structure.

Meirovitch, L.↗

On incorporating reliability considerations into control system designs

This paper considers reliability in designing control systems for large orbital structures that are expected to have appreciable flexibility. Reliability is considered for both the control configuration (i.e. selecting sensor and actuator locations over an admissible set) and the ultimate operation of the system. The approach presented is to construct a cost function that indicates the absolute goal of the system and, for a given structural design, to determine the lowest achievable costs conditioned on the failure states of the system (i.e. which actuators and sensors are operational). These costs are then weighted and summed to provide an overall system performance measure. This measure is then minimized over the set of admissible control configurations. The approach is illustrated using a beam that has four actuators with the goal of achieving a given parabolic shape.

Montgomery, R. C.↗

Simultaneous control and optimization for elastic systems

Studies are conducted to determine the dynamic response of beams and plates to loads which are extreme within a certain class of admissible loads. Two approaches to this problem are suggested. In approach one, Pontryagin's maximality principle is regarded as an additional constraint. The optimality of design is then determined by standard numerical techniques. The "adjoint variable approach' to sensitivity of structural design is applied for a given inhomogeneous term. The inhomogeneous term is an extremal element of admissible load vectors, which constitute a closed subspace of a Sobolev space. Again, the maximality principle is invoked. While only beam and plate theory problems are used as examples, generalizations are easy to perceive.

Komkov, V.↗

Reduction of satellite magnetic anomaly data

Analysis of global magnetic anomaly maps derived from satellite data is facilitated by inversion to the equivalent magnetization in a constant thickness magnetic crust or, equivalently, by reduction to the pole. Previous inversions have proven unstable near the geomagnetic equator. The instability results from magnetic moment distributions which are admissible in the inversion solution but which make only small contribution to the computed values of anomaly field. Their admissibility in the solution could result from noisy or incomplete data or from small poorly resolved anomalies. The resulting magnetic moments are unrealistically large and oscillatory. Application of the method of principal components (e.g. eigenvalue decomposition and selective elimination of less significant eigenvectors) is proposed as a way of overcoming the instability and the method is demonstrated by applying it to the region around the Bangui anomaly in Central Africa.

Slud, E. V.↗