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Presentation to the LCA Institute on April 10, 2026, as part of the "Scoping an LCA" session. The slides walk through basic foundational information on LCA scope and definitions in order to set up other panelists' talks and discussion later in the session.
The set of visited sites and the number of visited sites are two basic properties of the random walk trajectory. Here, we consider two independent random walks on hyper-cubic lattices and study ordering probabilities associated with these characteristics. The first is the probability that during the time interval (0, t), the number of sites visited by a walker never exceeds that of another walker. The second is the probability that the sites visited by a walker remain a subset of the sites visited by another walker. Using numerical simulations, we investigate the leading asymptotic behaviors of the ordering probabilities in spatial dimensions d = 1, 2, 3, 4. We also study the time evolution of the number of ties between the number of visited sites. We show analytically that the average number of ties increases as a 1 ln t with a 1 = 0.970 508 in one dimension and as (ln t) 2 in two dimensions.
The Global Energy and Water Cycle Exchanges (GEWEX) project was created more than 30 years ago within the framework of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP). The aim of this initiative was to address major gaps in our understanding of Earth’s energy and water cycles given a lack of information about the basic fluxes and associated reservoirs of these cycles. GEWEX sought to acquire and set standards for climatological data on variables essential for quantifying water and energy fluxes and for closing budgets at the regional and global scales. In so doing, GEWEX activities led to a greatly improved understanding of processes and our ability to predict them. Such understanding was viewed then, as it remains today, essential for advancing weather and climate prediction from global to regional scales. GEWEX has also demonstrated over time the importance of a wider engagement of different communities and the necessity of international collaboration for making progress on understanding and on the monitoring of the changes in the energy and water cycles under ever increasing human pressures. Here, this paper reflects on the first 30 years of evolution and progress that has occurred within GEWEX. This evolution is presented in terms of three main phases of activity. Progress toward the main goals of GEWEX is highlighted by calling out a few achievements from each phase. A vision of the path forward for the coming decade, including the goals of GEWEX for the future, are also described.
Abstract A cloud’s life cycle determines how its mass flux translates into cloud cover, thereby setting Earth’s albedo. Here, an attempt is made to quantify the most basic aspects of the life cycle of a shallow cumulus cloud: the degree to which it is a bubble or a plume, and active or forced. Quantitative measures are proposed for these properties, which are then applied to hundreds of shallow cumulus clouds in Oklahoma using data from stereo cameras, a Doppler lidar, and large-eddy simulations. The observed clouds are intermediate between active and forced, but behave more like bubbles than plumes. The simulated clouds, on the other hand, are more active and plumelike, suggesting room for improvement in the modeling of shallow cumulus.
As computational power increases and systems with millions of red blood cells can be simulated, it is important to note that varying spatial distributions of cells may affect simulation outcomes. Since a single simulation may not represent the ensemble behavior, many different configurations may need to be sampled to adequately assess the entire collection of potential cell arrangements. In order to determine both the number of distributions needed and which ones to run, we must first establish methods to identify well-generated, randomly placed cell distributions and to quantify distinct cell configurations. We utilize metrics to assess (1) the presence of any underlying structure to the initial cell distribution and (2) similarity between cell configurations. We propose the use of the radial distribution function to identify long-range structure in a cell configuration and apply it to a randomly distributed and structured set of red blood cells. To quantify spatial similarity between two configurations, we make use of the Jaccard index, and characterize sets of red blood cell and sphere initializations. As an extension to our work submitted to the International Conference on Computational Science, we significantly increase our data set size from 72 to 1048 cells, include a similar set of studies using spheres, compare the effects of varying sphere size, and utilize the Jaccard index distribution to probe sets of extremely similar configurations. Our results show that the radial distribution function can be used as a metric to determine long-range structure in both distributions of spheres and RBCs. We determine that the ideal case of spheres within a cube versus bi-concave shaped cells within a cylinder affects the shape of the Jaccard index distributions, as well as the range of Jaccard values, showing that both the shape of particle and the domain may play a role. Furthermore, we also find that the distribution is able to capture very similar configurations through Jaccard index values greater than 95% when appending several nearly identical configurations into the data set.
Performing a variety of numerical computations efficiently and, at the same time, in a portable fashion requires both an overarching design followed by a number of implementation strategies. All of these are exemplified below as we present transitioning the PLASMA numerical library from relying on dependence-driven large tasks to achieving utilization of fine grain tasking and offload to hardware accelerators while keeping its core dependence sets: OpenMP source code pragmas and runtime for most system-level functionality and basic low-level numerical kernels provided directly by hardware vendors or open source projects with vendor contributions. We also present new algorithmic methods and their efficient parallel implementations including fine grained tasking for eigen-spectrum slicing and offload for mixed-precision eigenvalue refinement. We provide performance, scaling, and numerical results showing sizable gains over the available solutions from either the open source and vendor-provided packages.
Prebiotic processes required a reliable source of free energy and complex chemical mixtures that may have included sugars. The formose reaction is a potential source of those sugars. At moderate to elevated temperature and pH ranges, these sugars rapidly decay. Here it is shown that CaCO 3 -based chemical gardens catalyze the formose reaction to produce glucose, ribose, and other monosaccharides. These thin inorganic membranes are explored as analogs of hydrothermal vent materials—a possible place for the origin of life—and similarly exposed to very steep pH gradients. Supported by simulations of a simple reaction-diffusion model, this study shows that such gradients allow for the dynamic accumulation of sugars in specific layers of the thin membrane, effectively protecting formose sugar yields. Furthermore, the formose reaction may be a plausible prebiotic reaction in alkaline hydrothermal vent environments, possibly setting the stage for an RNA world.
Background: Machine learning (ML) based risk stratification models of Electronic Health records (EHR) data may help to optimize treatment of COVID-19 patients, but are often limited by their lack of clinical interpretability and cost of laboratory tests. We develop a ML based tool for predicting adverse outcomes based on EHR data to optimize clinical utility under a given cost structure. This cohort study was performed using deidentified EHR data from COVID-19 patients from ProMedica Healthcare in northwest Ohio and southeastern Michigan. Methods: We tested performance of various ML approaches for predicting either increasing ventilatory support or mortality and the set of model features under a budget constraint was optimized via exhaustive search across all combinations of features. Results: The optimal sets of features for predicting ventilation under any budget constraint included demographics and comorbidities (DCM), basic metabolic panel (BMP), D-dimer, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), CRP, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), and procalcitonin and for mortality included DCM, BMP, complete blood count, D-dimer, LDH, CRP, BNP, procalcitonin and ferritin. Conclusions: This study presents a quick, accurate and cost-effective method to evaluate risk of deterioration for patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection at the time of clinical evaluation.
Background, In early 2020, following the start of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, institutions of higher education (IHEs) across the United States rapidly pivoted to online learning to reduce the risk of on-campus virus transmission. We explored IHEs’ use of this and other nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) during the subsequent pandemic-affected academic year 2020–2021. Methods, From December 2020 to June 2021, we collected publicly available data from official webpages of 847 IHEs, including all public (n = 547) and a stratified random sample of private four-year institutions (n = 300). Abstracted data included NPIs deployed during the academic year such as changes to the calendar, learning environment, housing, common areas, and dining; COVID-19 testing; and facemask protocols. We performed weighted analysis to assess congruence with the October 29, 2020, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) guidance for IHEs. For IHEs offering ≥50% of courses in person, we used weighted multivariable linear regression to explore the association between IHE characteristics and the summated number of implemented NPIs. Results, Overall, 20% of IHEs implemented all CDC-recommended NPIs. The most frequently utilized NPI was learning environment changes (91%), practiced as one or more of the following modalities: distance or hybrid learning opportunities (98%), 6-ft spacing (60%), and reduced class sizes (51%). Additionally, 88% of IHEs specified facemask protocols, 78% physically changed common areas, and 67% offered COVID-19 testing. Among the 33% of IHEs offering ≥50% of courses in person, having < 1000 students was associated with having implemented fewer NPIs than IHEs with ≥ 1000 students. Conclusions, Only 1 in 5 IHEs implemented all CDC recommendations, while a majority implemented a subset, most commonly changes to the classroom, facemask protocols, and COVID-19 testing. IHE enrollment size and location were associated with degree of NPI implementation. Additional research is needed to assess adherence to NPI implementation in IHE settings.
Activation cross sections are an important input for evaluating results of radiochemical analyses, both for basic science and programmatic applications. We present an update on cross sections for a select set of Y and Zr target isotopes, including several isomers. This effort will focus on a methodology to obtain uncertainty quantified systematic trends for reaction model parameters and propagate them to cross sections. We discuss our results in the context of previous calculations.
Networks are one of the most common ways to represent biological systems as complex sets of binary interactions or relations between different bioentities. In this article, we discuss the basic graph theory concepts and the various graph types, as well as the available data structures for storing and reading graphs. In addition, we describe several network properties and we highlight some of the widely used network topological features. We briefly mention the network patterns, motifs and models, and we further comment on the types of biological and biomedical networks along with their corresponding computer- and human-readable file formats. Finally, we discuss a variety of algorithms and metrics for network analyses regarding graph drawing, clustering, visualization, link prediction, perturbation, and network alignment as well as the current state-of-the-art tools. We expect this review to reach a very broad spectrum of readers varying from experts to beginners while encouraging them to enhance the field further.
Nuclear power plants in the United States are increasingly challenged to compete in wholesale electricity markets due to the low electricity costs and increasingly dynamic grid conditions from competing generation sources. An alternative market for nuclear power is industrial facilities that can use the thermal and/or electrical power generated by a nuclear power plant to offset the economic losses incurred by electricity market challenges. A generic pressurized water reactor (PWR) simulator was used to show the results of a basic design for a generic thermal power extraction system and tests were run using a set of procedures to show what happens when a nuclear power plant transitions from full electrical power dispatch to 15% and 50% thermal power dispatch. This type of operation leads to losses in turbine performance efficiency due to the deviation from the design operating point, but because the thermal power is also used by the industry load without conversion losses, the combined thermal efficiency of the PWR increases. For the 15% case, the thermal efficiency increased from 32% to 41.9%, while for the 50% case, the efficiency increased up to 60.1%. In addition, for 50% thermal power dispatch, the power dissipated by the condenser decreased from approximately 2000 to approximately 1300 MW (thermal), indicating a substantially diminished impact on the environment in terms of releasing heat into the cooling water reservoir.
Infectious disease surveillance is crucial for early detection and situational awareness of disease outbreaks. Digital biosurveillance monitors large volumes of open-source data to flag potential health threats. This study investigates the potential of digital surveillance in the detection of the top five priority zoonotic diseases in Kenya: Rift Valley fever (RVF), anthrax, rabies, brucellosis, and trypanosomiasis. Open-source disease events reported between August 2016 and October 2020 were collected and key event-specific information was extracted using a newly developed disease event taxonomy. A total of 424 disease reports encompassing 55 unique events belonging to anthrax (43.6%), RVF (34.6%), and rabies (21.8%) were identified. Most events were first reported by news media (78.2%) followed by international health organizations (16.4%). News media reported the events 4.1 (±4.7) days faster than the official reports. There was a positive association between official reporting and RVF events (odds ratio (OR) 195.5, 95% confidence interval (CI); 24.01–4756.43, p < 0.001) and a negative association between official reporting and local media coverage of events (OR 0.03, 95% CI; 0.00–0.17, p = 0.030). This study highlights the usefulness of local news in the detection of potentially neglected zoonotic disease events and the importance of digital biosurveillance in resource-limited settings.
The ASCR basic research needs for Neuromorphic Computing for Science workshop was held in September 2024. The workshop brochure and report aim to inform and draft a set of grand challenges for advancing the field of neuromorphic computing and developing proof of principle neuromorphic circuits applicable for High Performance Computer (HPC) acceleration for scientific discovery, and brainstorm ideas needed for a successful, robust, and world leading basic research program. The resulting priority research directions are: (1) Neuromorphic computing circuit primitives; (2) Connectivity, communication, and hardware integration; (3) Neuroscience-derived dynamics and algorithms; and (4) Ecosystem for scalable neuromorphic co-design. Breakthroughs in understanding, designing, and prototyping the circuitry and simulation capabilities for a truly neuromorphic computer are essential to enable progress in the field.
The ASCR basic research needs for Neuromorphic Computing for Science workshop was held in September 2024. The workshop brochure and report aim to inform and draft a set of grand challenges for advancing the field of neuromorphic computing and developing proof of principle neuromorphic circuits applicable for High Performance Computer (HPC) acceleration for scientific discovery, and brainstorm ideas needed for a successful, robust, and world leading basic research program. The resulting priority research directions are: (1) Neuromorphic computing circuit primitives; (2) Connectivity, communication, and hardware integration; (3) Neuroscience-derived dynamics and algorithms; and (4) Ecosystem for scalable neuromorphic co-design. Breakthroughs in understanding, designing, and prototyping the circuitry and simulation capabilities for a truly neuromorphic computer are essential to enable progress in the field.
Conservation actions are urgently needed to tackle biodiversity loss in intensively managed agricultural landscapes. Production lands are usually heterogeneous and contain low-yield areas that can be set aside for biodiversity conservation without serious yield losses. Here, we introduce Ecologically-Informed Precision Conservation, a framework that integrates yield mapping and ecological theory to select the best areas to create new set-asides while ensuring high crop yields at the farm/landscape level. Long-term yield maps can be generated using globally available satellite data and basic information on field/farm crop yield from farmers. Ecological principles are then used to select the subset of areas with the highest potential for biodiversity conservation by prioritising those that increase connectivity, maximise habitat heterogeneity and decrease landscape grain size. Here, the created non-crop habitats can be permanent and thus ensure biodiversity support over time. In addition, agricultural management efficiency can be enhanced by improving field shapes. The framework provides the basis for a practical, user-friendly tool that informs all interested stakeholders on how to rationalise existing agricultural landscapes using already-existing farming systems and available technologies. High cost-effectiveness from an economic and conservation perspective, along with the creation of heterogeneous non-crop habitats, make our framework a promising solution to re-design agricultural landscapes.
Highlights: • Extensive experimental study on drying shrinkage, creep and microcracking of concrete • All specimens prepared from a single batch of ordinary-strength structural concrete • 1st year of measurements of (not only) non-uniformly drying beams with span up to 3-m • The database is downloadable from free-to-use research data repository • Modified MPS model for concrete creep used in blind prediction of all experiments The material models for creep and shrinkage operating on the material point level in FEM are usually intended for challenging complex applications and structures, where the average cross-sectional approach does not suffice. The identification of the growing number of material parameters induced by increasing model capabilities relies on very specific and narrow-oriented yet interconnected experiments which are scarce. The presented comprehensive experiments aim to provide a clearer image of the complicated interaction among the basic phenomena: drying, shrinkage, creep, and microcracking. The cornerstone of this ongoing research is a unique set of 30 partially-sealed unreinforced concrete beams with span 1.75–3.0 m subjected to drying. To minimize material variation, all specimens in this study were cast from a single batch of ordinary strength structural concrete with slag-blended binder. The resulting experimental database will be suitable both for validation and development of the constitutive models.
Nanotechnology is advancing exponentially, with novel discoveries and applications emerging every day across various fields, including environmental remediation, biomedicine, electronics, and textiles. Nanoparticles (NPs) are defined as particles with sizes ranging from 1 to 100 nm, and their properties are influenced by factors such as composition, phase, size, and shape. Single-source precursors (SSPs) offer a promising method for controlling the synthesis of phase-pure nanoparticles with the desired stoichiometry and have been successfully applied to prepare transition metal and lanthanide NPs. SSPs are molecular compounds that contain all the necessary components to form the final nanomaterial and decompose under mild conditions, such as heating, to create the solid-state product. The objective of this work was to garner a mechanistic understanding of cerium oxide NP formation from cerium SSPs. To achieve these goals, first, ligands with oxygen and sulfur donor atoms were synthesized; among the array of ligands synthesized, some were novel. These ligands were then chelated to cerium ions to synthesize cerium precursors. Initially, known cerium alkoxide precursors were synthesized. Subsequently, these basic cerium complexes were further manipulated through acid-base protonolysis reactions to install a diverse set of ligands. Within this body of work, 10 novel cerium precursors were successfully synthesized. The ligands and the SSPs were analyzed using nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) and thermogravimetric analysis coupled with differential scanning calorimetry (TGA-DSC). These SSPs were then introduced to a collision-induced dissociation mass spectrometer (CID-MS), and their dissociation pathways were studied.