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At least 73 records · Page 4

Experimental confirmation of first-principles thermal conductivity in Zirconium-doped ThO 2

The degradation of thermal conductivity in advanced nuclear fuels due to the accumulation of fission products and irradiation-induced defects is inevitable, and must be considered as part of safety and efficiency analyses of nuclear reactors. Here, this study examines the thermal conductivity of a zirconium-doped ThO 2 crystal, synthesized via the hydrothermal method using a spatial domain thermoreflectance technique. Zirconium is one of the soluble fission products in oxide fuels that can effectively scatter heat-carrying phonons in the crystalline lattice of fuel. Thus, thermal property measurements of zirconium-doped ThO 2 single crystals provide insights into the effects of substitutional zirconium doping, isolated from extrinsic factors such as grain boundary scattering. The experimental results are compared with first-principles calculations of the lattice thermal conductivity of ThO 2 , employing an iterative solution of the Peierls-Boltzmann transport equation. Additionally, the non-perturbative Green's function methodology is utilized to compute phonon-point defect scattering rates, accounting for local distortions around point defects, including mass difference changes, interatomic force constants, and structural relaxation. The congruence between the predicted results from first-principles calculations and the measured temperature-dependent thermal conductivity validates the computational methodology. Furthermore, the methodologies employed in this study enable systematic investigations of thermal conductivity reduction by fission products, potentially leading to the development of more accurate fuel performance codes.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Steps Towards Efficiently Demonstrating Adequate MSR Safety

The substantial technical differences of liquid-salt fueled nuclear power plants from previously licensed reactors results in significant divergence in the evidence necessary to demonstrate adequate protection of the health and safety of the public and the environment. The US Government is supporting a diverse set of activities to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of molten salt reactor safety adequacy evaluation. Key current projects include developing a fuel salt thermophysical and thermochemical properties database and performing integral and separate effects experiments to validate accident progression models.

Holcomb, David↗

Coupled Thermal-Hydraulic Analysis and Species Mass Transport in a Versatile Experimental Salt Irradiation Loop (VESIL) using COBRA-TF

With the resurgence of interest in Molten Salt Reactor (MSR) technology among commercial and governmental agencies, there is a need for new experiments and new modelling capabilities to characterize the unique phenomena present in this fluid fuel system. A Versatile Experimental Salt Irradiation Loop (VESIL) is currently under investigation at Idaho National Laboratory. It is designed to be a dynamic fuel-bearing salt loop placed in the Advanced Test Reactor. One of the key phenomena this proposed experiment plans to elucidate is fission product speciation in the fuel-salt and the subsequent effects this can have on fuel-salt properties, fission product transport and interactions, source term generation, corrosion and redox potential control. Specifically, noble gases (Xe & Kr) will bubble out to a plenum or off-gas system and noble metals (Mo, Tc, Te etc.) will precipitate and deposit in specific zones in the loop. This work extends the mass transfer and species interaction models in the general species transport capability of COBRA-TF (CTF) and applies these models to give a preliminary estimation of fission product behavior in the proposed VESIL design.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Mobility assessment of the BCC and carbide phases in the C-Nb, C-U and Nb-U systems

Uranium carbides with refractory metal additions are considered for Gen IV nuclear reactors and nuclear thermal propulsion as fuels for their high-temperature and corrosion resistant properties. Understanding kinetic effects that dictate microstructural evolution during fabrication and operating conditions is essential to advance technological development of these fuels. This work presents the development of an atomic mobility database for C-Nb-U systems based off available experimental data supported with ab-initio methods. The mobility assessments and uncertainty quantification (using Markov chain Monte Carlo) were conducted in the Kawin software. Carbon diffusion is considered dominant, as metal diffusion is much slower, with niobium diffusion being even slower and rate limiting than uranium metal. We provide a comprehensive and self-consistent thermo-kinetic database that is validated by diffusion couple simulations through Kawin. In conclusion, this enables prediction of microstructural and phase evolution critical for the development and lifetime assessment of next generation nuclear fuels.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Recent developments in Pt–Co catalysts for proton-exchange membrane fuel cells

Development of Pt-based oxygen reduction reaction catalysts with high efficiency and high durability is central to the application of proton-exchange membrane fuel cell systems. Pt–Co bimetallic catalysts have drawn extensive attention owing to their capability of delivering high performance and long lifetime for fuel cell applications including light-duty and heavy-duty vehicles. However, further improvements in durability and performance are needed to meet market requirements. To fully exploit the potential of Pt–Co catalysts, new insights into the relationship between catalyst properties and fuel cell performance and durability are needed, and more effective methods to tailor the features of Pt–Co catalysts need to be developed. This review provides a summary and perspective on recent efforts, including work on customizing the Pt shell and Pt:Co ratio, tailoring the crystal structure, and improving carbon support properties, with a particular emphasis on mechanisms leading to enhancement of mass activity, power density, and durability in membrane electrode assembly testing.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Influence of Irradiation-induced Microstructural Defects on Thermal Transport in Single Crystal Thorium Dioxide

Microstructural defects formed as a result of fission fragment damage are known to drastically alter thermal conductivity, a fuel property that governs the efficiency of a nuclear reactor. A fundamental understanding of radiation-induced effects on thermal transport is critical for the development of advanced fuels. Ion-irradiation has widely been used to simulate the effects of neutron-irradiation by seeding atomic-to-nanoscale defects of controllable size and density. In this work, we investigate the influence of microstructural defects, induced by ion-irradiation, on the thermal properties of single crystal thorium dioxide samples grown using the hydrothermal technique. The samples were irradiated using 2 MeV protons at room temperature. A laser-based modulated thermoreflectance technique was used to measure the thermal diffusivity and conductivity within the damaged ThO2 region. The experimentally measured thermal properties were compared with Boltzmann Transport Equation predictions, to determine the impact of various defect types on the thermal properties of ThO2.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Effects of blending C3-C4 alcohols on motor gasoline properties and performance of spark ignition engines: A review

Supplementing petroleum fuels with sustainable and renewable alternatives is a good option for increasing the sustainability of transportation fuels. Alcohols are particularly attractive blendstocks for spark ignition engines, mainly due to their desirable fuel properties including high octane, evaporative cooling, and reduced sooting propensity. Although the use of SI engines is widespread around the world, predominately for light duty vehicles, concerns about CO2 emissions and other sustainability issues necessitate increased engine efficiencies, reduced tailpipe pollutants, and lower lifecycle carbon emissions. The intelligent blending of C2-C4 alcohols into motor gasoline is a viable method for achieving these goals. There are a multitude of ways to produce renewable alcohols such as through fermentation from first-generation feedstocks (sugar and corn) and second-generation feedstocks (lignocellulosic biomass), or by gasification and mixed alcohol fuel synthesis routes from lignocellulosic biomass. Currently ethanol is extensively used in motor gasoline fuels worldwide and although many have proposed the use of C3 and C4 alcohols in motor gasoline as an improvement over ethanol, the higher cost of production and lack of clear definition as to their benefit over ethanol when blended into motor gasoline have led to slow acceptance into the market. In this review, special emphasis is placed on the effects of blending C3 and C4 alcohols into motor gasoline in terms of physicochemical properties, volatility behavior, and engine performance when compared to ethanol blends. Furthermore, the impact of blending C3 and C4 alcohols with gasoline on emission (particulate matter, nitrogen oxides, carbon monoxide, hydrocarbons, and unregulated oxygenates) and combustion (volumetric efficiency, thermal efficiency, fuel consumption, and cold performance) characteristics is discussed. Although there are some disagreements in the literature over the effect of alcohols predominately around the type of SI engine, i.e., port fuel injected versus direct fuel injected and engine operating mode, generally it is stated that alcohols can potentially reduce soot, unburned hydrocarbons and CO emissions while increasing thermal efficiency when proper engine configuration/calibration is used. Lastly, research that must be conducted to find the optimum combination of alcohol blends and engine configurations is highlighted and discussed.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Microstructure, Thermal, and Mechanical Properties Relationships in U and UZr Alloys (Final Report)

Uranium-zirconium (U-Zr) alloys are candidate fuel systems for transmutation based reactors that can be used to burn long-lived minor actinides and fission products in fast spectrum reactors. Metallic fuels have also been gaining more recent attention for applications as accident tolerant fuels, as well as for use in small modular reactors. This research focused on a “science-based” approach to capture the connections between U and U-Zr alloys’ three-dimensional (3-D) microstructure, thermal properties, and mechanical properties through closely coordinated experiments and modeling efforts from the unirradiated to the irradiated fuels. Advanced characterization and modeling techniques were used to understand irradiation-induced microstructural evolution and its direct impact on the thermal and mechanical properties of U and U-Zr fuel. Closely coordinated experiments and modeling were performed to provide crucial data that does not currently exist. Overall, this research spanned multiple length and time scales within the models and experiments. The scope of the research encompassed the understanding of the irradiation effects in U and various U-Zr alloys with particular attention paid to three task areas: (1) microstructural evolution, (2) in-situ/ex-situ thermal and mechanical properties, and (3) multiscale modeling connections to microstructure, thermal, and mechanical properties. This research resulted in (1) the 3-D characterization of neutron irradiated U-Zr fuel in multiple phase regions to better understand fission gas swelling and constituent redistribution, (2) development of a microstructural model linking thermal and mechanical properties via in situ Raman and nanoindentation, (3) and mesoscale phase field modeling was coupled with the AEH method in the MOOSE framework was used to calculate the effective thermal conductivities of U-Zr fuels consisting of α-U and δ-UZr 2 heterogeneous microstructures.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Property Measurements of LiF-NaF-KF Molten Salts Doped with Corrosion Products and Oxygen

Measurements of thermophysical properties of molten salts are needed for modeling and simulation activities that support the development of molten salt reactor (MSR) technologies. Properties of interest including transition temperatures, phase behavior, heat capacity, density, volumetric thermal expansion, surface tension, viscosity, thermal diffusivity, thermal conductivity, and vapor pressure are being performed at Argonne. Results of these property measurements are suitable for use in evaluating reactor performance during startup and the early operating life of the reactor. Ingressions of oxygen and moisture into the fuel salt are expected to occur at different times during the operating life of the reactor due to system leaks, maintenance, and refueling activities. The presence of these environmental contaminants induces corrosion of structural materials. The introduction of corrosion-derived species, oxygen and moisture is expected to affect the physical and chemical properties of the salt and operation of the reactor. Previous work performed at Argonne evaluated the effects of fission product dopants on the thermal properties of eutectic LiF-NaF-KF (FLiNaK). Properties of FLiNaK are commonly used to represent those of fluoride-bearing fuel salts. Metallic corrosion products such as chromium and nickel ions together with dissolved oxygen are expected to affect system redox differently than the accumulation of fission products. Work summarized in this report was performed to measure the effects of corrosion products and dissolved oxygen on the phase transitions, and specific heat capacity of FLiNaK. Thermophysical property measurements were made using four salts that were prepared by doping aliquots of a eutectic mixture of FLiNaK with surrogate corrosion products. Controlled additions of CrF 3 and NiF 2 were used as surrogates for corrosion product contamination anticipated during extended reactor operations in which fuel salt is in contact with steel reactor components. Controlled additions of UF 4 from two sources containing known amounts of UO 2 at different concentrations were used to represent oxygen contamination. The phase transitions and specific heat capacities of the four salts were measured by using differential scanning calorimetry. Measurements were made at temperatures spanning the range of 500−900 °C, which is the expected operating range of MSRs. Measured property values were compared to values measured previously with eutectic FLiNaK without dopants. Differences between property values measured for the doped and non-doped salts were compared with the uncertainties of the measurements to determine the significance of the effect of corrosion products and oxygen on salt properties.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Considerations for Thermal Annealing of Zr-Alloy Cladding During Dry Storage

In January 2025, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) sponsored a technical workshop with fuel vendors that provided a forum for increased collaboration on backend fuel cycle research. The workshop reviewed observations of thermal annealing of irradiated zirconium alloys in simulated dry storage conditions and discussed implications to the industry’s interest in reducing wet storage to optimize operational flexibility and the expected trend of increasing discharge burnup (and decay heats), which could lead to an increase in dry storage temperatures. One approach to accommodate increased decay heats in dry storage is to increase the regulatory temperature limit during dry storage, which is now 400°C. However, this could lead to thermal annealing of the cladding, which will tend to increase creep rates, creep strains, and ductility while decreasing yield strength. These considerations are compounded by bonding between the pellet and cladding at high burnup, which results in the pellet carrying more load during fuel rod deformations, especially in bending, which is the dominant deformation phenomenon in canister drop analyses. Because the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) recommends yield strength as a primary failure criterion for accident analyses in storage and transportation, particularly for canister drop scenarios, the purpose of the workshop was to develop options for alternative failure criterion that could replace yield strength in canister drop analyses. Topics discussed were (1) the regulatory framework, (2) the effect of thermal annealing on microhardness and tensile properties of cladding materials, (3) the effect of thermal annealing on fuel rod failure during bending, bending fatigue, and pinch loading, and (4) an alternative failure criterion for canister drop analyses. This paper provides a summary of the key discussions and outcomes of the workshop

Cantonwine, Paul [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000522247033)↗

Advanced Engine and Fuel Technologies Annual Progress Report (FY2019)

On behalf of the Vehicle Technologies Office of the U.S. Department of Energy, we are pleased to introduce the Fiscal Year (FY) 2019 Annual Progress Report for the Advanced Engine and Fuel Technologies Program. In support of the Vehicle Technology Office’s goal for future U.S. economic growth, the Program focuses on early-stage research and development to improve understanding of combustion processes, fuel properties, and emissions control technologies, generating knowledge and insight necessary for industry to cost-effectively develop the next generation of engines and fuels. One of the most promising and cost-effective approaches to improving the fuel economy of the U.S. vehicle fleet is to introduce the next generation of higher-efficiency, very-low-emission combustion engines that meet future federal emissions regulations into the passenger and commercial vehicle markets. Advanced fuel formulations that can incorporate non-petroleum-based blending agents could further enhance engine efficiency, reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and provide fuel diversification. Also, innovations in combustion, fuels, emissions control, air control, turbomachinery, and energy recovery could potentially increase fuel economy considerably compared to today’s vehicles. The expected national economic, environmental, and energy security benefits from these next-generation engines and fuels would be significant inasmuch as the majority of vehicles sold over the next several decades will still include an engine. The Program has set the following goals for passenger and commercial vehicle fuel economy improvements. By 2030, increase light-duty engine efficiency to demonstrate 35% improvement in passenger vehicle fuel economy (25% improvement from engine efficiency and 10% from fuel co-optimization) relative to a 2015 baseline vehicle, while meeting the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Tier 3 Emission and Fuel Standards. By 2030, improve heavy-duty engine efficiency by 35% relative to a 2009 baseline vehicle and identify cost-effective high-performance fuels that can further increase efficiency up to an additional 4%, while meeting prevailing U.S. Environmental Protection Agency emissions standards. The Program utilized advanced combustion processes to increase engine efficiency, resulting in a modeled passenger vehicle fuel economy improvement of 19.4% (over a Model Year 2015 baseline) in FY 2019. This report highlights progress achieved by the Advanced Engine and Fuel Technologies Program during FY 2019. The nature, current focus, and recent progress of the Program are described together with summaries of National Laboratory, industry, and university projects that provide an overview of the exciting work being conducted to address critical technical barriers and challenges to commercializing the next generation of higher-efficiency engine, emissions control, and fuel technologies for passenger and commercial vehicles.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Reducing Sample Loss in Measurement of Heat of Vaporization of Ethanol/Gasoline Blends by Differential Scanning Calorimetry/Thermogravimetric Analysis

Higher gasoline Heat of Vaporization (HOV) can enable higher compression-ratio direct injection spark ignition engines by providing evaporative cooling that effectively increases fuel knock resistance. Methods to directly measure this fuel property in complex gasoline samples are not well developed. The objective of the present study was to further improve a Differential Scanning Calorimetry/Thermogravimetric Analyzer (DSC/TGA) method to measure the total and partial HOV of gasoline. Ten market gasoline samples were chosen to have a wide range of properties to assess the method's capability across the entire volatility range with an emphasis on understanding how well the method captures the initial 10 percent (%) of sample evaporation and how much sample is left unevaporated at the end of the experiment. Modifications to the sample preparation/introduction method as well as to the instrument itself were made to reduce initial sample losses which included measurements of the HOV at 10 degrees C and 5 degrees C (in a cold chamber) as well as under (uncontrolled) ambient conditions. Experimental results from the DSC/TGA were compared to calculated total HOV results based on Detailed Hydrocarbon Analysis (DHA). Results from the two methods agreed very well with the difference being 5% or less in almost every case. In addition, the repeatability of the method was investigated by analyzing samples in triplicate at the three temperatures investigated. One valuable conclusion from the study was that the lower temperatures of 10 degrees C and 5 degrees C enabled more reproducible measurements for both total and partial HOV. This improved precision may be caused by the fact that temperature control in the cold chamber was more reliable than the ambient laboratory temperature control. Additionally, cold chamber experiments, due to ergonomic limitations, did not allow for the use of a lid on the sample pan. The reproducibility of the evaporation rate was found to be highly dependent on the pan/lid fit which can vary significantly such that elimination of the lid improved measurement precision while operation at sub-ambient temperature slowed the evaporation rate. Results detailing sample preparation and instrument modifications as well as a detailed comparison of total and partial HOV results are presented.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,BIOMASS FUELS↗

Lignin-based jet fuel and its blending effect with conventional jet fuel

Sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) must demonstrate specific physical and chemical properties as well as material compatibility (i.e., seal swell) to be used as an aviation turbine fuel. Several alternative jet fuels incorporated in ASTM D7566 are comprised mainly of n/iso-alkanes and can only be blended up to 50 vol% due to material compatibility and density issues. Prior work illustrated the ability of cycloalkanes to replace aromatics’s role in material compatibility. Here, we report the first archival documentation of a feedstock and chemical process to yield a product composition able to complement existing SAF ASTM D7566 annexes. A lignin-based jet fuel (LJF) blend components is generated and composed of mostly C7-C18 mono, di, and tri-cycloalkanes. The neat LJF was blended with conventional jet fuel at 10 vol% (LJF blend) to simulate an ASTM “Fast Track” evaluation process. Fuel properties that are critical to engine operability (ATSM D4054 Tier 3 & 4) were either predicted or experimental tested based on the volume availability. All LJF blend’s critical properties fall within the experience range of conventional jet fuel, with o-ring swelling exceeding the typical range of conventional fuels. Here, these results in total support the potential use of this LJF pathway to complement other SAF pathways and achieve 100% drop-in SAF.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Contaminant Cation Effect on Oxygen Transport through the Ionomers of Polymer Electrolyte Membrane Fuel Cells

We characterized the effects of cobalt (Co 2+ ) and other cation contaminants on the oxygen (O 2 ) transport properties of the PFSA ionomer used in polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs) and gained insight into the mechanisms by which contaminant cations inhibit O 2 transport. Such cations can be released by alloy catalysts and environmental conditions and pose a significant challenge to maintaining high current density performance with low platinum (Pt) loadings. We used a test cell capable of isolating the ionomer from the membrane electrode assembly (MEA), allowing for O 2 transport resistance (R O2 ) measurements using a limiting current technique. We contaminated ionomer membranes with Li + , Na + , Ni 2+ , Co 2+ , and Ce 3+ and found a general increase in R O2 for increased contamination levels and decreased water activity. In addition, our Co 2+ results indicated distinct concentration-dependent regimes. The other cation-form ionomers allowed us to separate the impacts of ion pair strength, multivalency, and reduced water uptake. We believe that these factors cause a more compressed hydrophilic domain and tortuous O 2 diffusion path, and a commensurate increase in R O2 . Lastly, we studied the impact of Co 2+ on an operating PEMFC and found an increase in R O2 consistent with the results of our isolated membrane tests.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Numerical Study of PAHs and Soot Emissions from Gasoline–Methanol, Gasoline–Ethanol, and Gasoline– n -Butanol Blend Surrogates

Soot formation is an intricate phenomenon, and soot propensity of a fuel is interwoven with the fuel composition, physical and chemical properties, and combustion environment. Here, the present study examines the hypothesis that in addition to the chemical composition of the fuel, the sooting nature of the fuel is closely coupled with its chemical property known as octane sensitivity (S). With this motivation, the present study numerically investigates the effects of gasoline surrogate composition and its property, octane sensitivity (S), on polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and soot emissions. Four-component toluene primary reference fuel (TPRF)–alcohol blends, comprising iso-octane, n-heptane, toluene, and one of the three different alcohols- methanol, ethanol, and n-butanol, are used as gasoline surrogates. A total of 320 TPRF–alcohol mixtures, with S in the range of 1–10, are examined under laminar counterflow diffusion flame conditions. A detailed chemical mechanism coupled with a comprehensive soot model, which includes reactions for soot inception, surface growth, PAH condensation, and oxidation, is adopted. The analysis indicates that the toluene content in the fuel mixture has a prominent effect, while the alcohol content and octane sensitivity of the fuel have a weak correlation with the PAHs and soot. Thus, it is not clear if any of these three variables, namely, toluene content in the fuel, alcohol content in the fuel, and S, are individually sufficient to characterize the PAHs and soot across various blends. For this reason, a new variable (X CHO ) based on the elemental composition of the fuel mixture is identified and it is shown that X CHO along with S of the fuel characterize soot emissions satisfactorily. Further, a reaction path analysis indicates that the efficacy of alcohols in reducing soot emissions follows the order: methanol > ethanol > n-butanol.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Fuel Effects on Multimode Engine Operation (Sandia National Laboratories) (DOE VTO Annual Progress Report for FY21)

In total, light-duty vehicles in the United States travel on the order of 3 trillion miles annually, providing tremendous societal and personal benefits. However, the environmental burden is excessive, prompting Co-Optimization of Fuel and Engines (Co-Optima) program efforts to provide the science needed to increase engine efficiency and produce non-fossil fuels with reduced greenhouse gas emissions. Boosted spark-ignition (SI) engines provide high power density by offering high loads and engine speeds, making them light-weight and attractive for light-duty vehicles. Unfortunately, the engine efficiency drops off at lower loads and speeds, where the engine spends most time during typical driving. Multimode SI engines can use a more efficient advanced lean combustion mode at lower loads and speeds, while reverting to boosted SI under high-load conditions. Within Co-Optima, multiple advanced lean combustion modes have been explored; these include stratified-charge SI, pre-chamber lean SI, and advanced compression ignition (ACI) techniques such as spark-assisted compression ignition (SACI). For these combustion modes, focus has been on determining fuel properties that enable higher engine efficiency, clean and stable combustion, and effective exhaust aftertreatment. This report highlights recent efforts funded by the Vehicle Technologies Office at multiple National Laboratories that supported the multimode project in Co-Optima. It also includes a brief summary of biofuel production research funded by the Bioenergy Technologies Office.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Continuous hydrodeoxygenation of lignin to jet-range aromatic hydrocarbons

Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is essential to decrease the carbon footprint of the aviation industry. Although many strategies have been developed to provide the branched, aliphatic components of SAF, few viable strategies have been demonstrated to supply the aromatic and cycloalkane fraction of SAF at the necessary scale from bio-based feedstocks. Lignin is the largest natural source of renewable aromatic compounds, yet major challenges in deoxygenation have prevented its use as a feedstock for SAF. Here we report a continuous, two-stage catalytic process using molybdenum carbide to deoxygenate lignin from poplar into aromatic hydrocarbons with 87.5% selectivity towards aromatic hydrocarbons at 86% of the theoretical carbon recovery. This work demonstrates an effective approach to convert lignin into aromatic SAF blendstocks.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Integrating plant physiology into simulation of fire behavior and effects

Summary Wildfires are a global crisis, but current fire models fail to capture vegetation response to changing climate. With drought and elevated temperature increasing the importance of vegetation dynamics to fire behavior, and the advent of next generation models capable of capturing increasingly complex physical processes, we provide a renewed focus on representation of woody vegetation in fire models. Currently, the most advanced representations of fire behavior and biophysical fire effects are found in distinct classes of fine‐scale models and do not capture variation in live fuel (i.e. living plant) properties. We demonstrate that plant water and carbon dynamics, which influence combustion and heat transfer into the plant and often dictate plant survival, provide the mechanistic linkage between fire behavior and effects. Our conceptual framework linking remotely sensed estimates of plant water and carbon to fine‐scale models of fire behavior and effects could be a critical first step toward improving the fidelity of the coarse scale models that are now relied upon for global fire forecasting. This process‐based approach will be essential to capturing the influence of physiological responses to drought and warming on live fuel conditions, strengthening the science needed to guide fire managers in an uncertain future.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗