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Online thermal profile prediction for large format additive manufacturing: A hybrid CNN-LSTM based approach
Large format additive manufacturing (LFAM) is an advanced 3D printing technique that efficiently fabricates large-scale components through a layer-by-layer extrusion and deposition process. Accurate surface layer temperature monitoring is essential to prevent manufacturing failures and ensure final product quality. Traditional physics-based offline approaches for simulating thermal behavior are often inefficient and complex, posing challenges on real-time, in-situ monitoring. Here, to address this, we propose a data-driven hybrid CNN-LSTM model to predict sequential thermal images of arbitrary length using real-time infrared thermal imaging. In this approach, a Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) is trained offline to capture spatial features, reduce dimensional complexity, and enhance time efficiency, while a stacked Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is applied online to capture temporal information for improved prediction of future thermal behavior in subsequent printing layers. Model performance is evaluated using MSE, SSIM, and PSNR metrics and is benchmarked against stacked LSTM and convolutional LSTM models, demonstrating superior accuracy and applicability. Additionally, to mitigate noise from moving extruders and gantry backgrounds in thermal images, a fine-tuned semantic segmentation model is implemented offline to extract printing geometry, enabling precise temperature tracking along the tool path for further thermal analysis. The frameworks developed in this study significantly advance temperature monitoring, thermal analysis, and in-situ manufacturing control for LFAM, bridging the gap between theoretical modeling and practical application.
Resonance ultrasound prediction of residual stress within a hybrid layer for additively manufactured samples
Hybrid additive manufacturing (AM) involves secondary processes or energy sources to alter specified locations within the build volume. Each hybrid step can refine the grain size, increase dislocation density, or modify residual stresses. Typically, the changes in mechanical properties are not confined within a single layer but have a compounding effect on preceding layers. Existing methods of measuring AM residual stress are limited in terms of their sensitivity, or they are destructive measurements. We propose using resonant ultrasound spectroscopy (RUS) to measure the residual stress in hybrid-AM components noninvasively, based on changes to the resonances, compared to a stress-free component. In this paper, we use finite element models to simulate residual stress in hybrid-AM components and to examine the sensitivity of RUS measurements in terms of frequency shifts and mode shapes with respect to single hybrid layers. Then, the RUS results are used to predict stress for a layer at a known location with unknown stress. Here, the approach highlights the capabilities of RUS to address an AM characterization challenge.
Accelerated coupled Monte Carlo-Thermal hydraulic calculations using a hybrid GTF-diffusion-based prediction block: first results
Accurate predictions of spatial power and temperature distributions require the coupling of a neutron transport solver with a thermal-hydraulic (TH) feedback. Nowadays, Monte Carlo (MC) codes are widely coupled to TH solvers, typically via a Picard iteration (PI) method, due to the higher fidelity that such frameworks can produce. To speed up a PI, a prediction step can produce an improved initial guess for a source distribution and feed it to the MC code. Recent work investigated a prediction step that uses generalized transfer functions (GTFs) to predict the macroscopic cross sections' variations following a perturbation in TH properties, such as coolant density. The previous method also relied on first order perturbation (FOP) theory to predict perturbed power profiles, rather than using an expensive MC iterate. The implemented FOP method relied on generating a fission matrix from which the forward and adjoint Eigenmodes were extracted and later used to for power calculations. The generation of the fission matrix can introduce a significant computational overhead, therefore undermining the performance of the proposed hybrid technique when applied to high-dimensional problems, e.g., full core calculations. This work attempts to improve the GTF-FOP prediction step by replacing the FOP solver with a nodal diffusion solver, thus eliminating the need to calculate a fission matrix. The GTF-diffusion step was tested for various moderator density perturbations. In each case, the predicted power distribution showed good agreement with the reference case. The latter is attributed to the generally good prediction of most spatially distributed macroscopic cross sections, except the transport cross section, which will become the focus of future work. (authors)
Accelerated Coupled Monte Carlo-Thermal Hydraulic Calculations using a Hybrid GTF-Diffusion-based Prediction Block: First Results
Accurate predictions of spatial power and temperature distributions require the coupling of a neutron transport solver with a thermal-hydraulic (TH) feedback. Nowadays, Monte Carlo (MC) codes are widely coupled to TH solvers, typically via a Picard iteration (PI) method, due to the higher fidelity that such frameworks can produce. To speed up a PI, a prediction step can produce an improved initial guess for a source distribution and feed it to the MC code. Recent work [1, 2] investigated a prediction step that uses generalized transfer functions (GTFs) to predict the macroscopic cross sections’ variations following a perturbation in TH properties, such as coolant density. The previous method also relied on first order perturbation (FOP) theory to predict perturbed power profiles, rather than using an expensive MC iterate. The implemented FOP method relied on generating a fission matrix from which the forward and adjoint eigenmodes were extracted and later used to for power calculations. The generation of the fission matrix can introduce a significant computational overhead, therefore undermining the performance of the proposed hybrid technique when applied to high-dimensional problems, e.g., full core calculations. This work attempts to improve the GTF-FOP prediction step by replacing the FOP solver with a nodal diffusion solver, thus eliminating the need to calculate a fission matrix. The GTF-diffusion step was tested for various moderator density perturbations. In each case, the predicted power distribution showed good agreement with the reference case. The latter is attributed to the generally good prediction of most spatially distributed macroscopic cross sections, except the transport cross section, which will become the focus of future work.
Hybridizing Machine Learning and Physically-based Earth System Models to Improve Prediction of Multivariate Extreme Events (AI Exploration of Wildland Fire Prediction)
Focal Areas: This project responds to two focal areas identified in the DOE Call for AI4ESP White Papers: 1) Predictive modeling through the use of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques, and 2) insights gleaned from complex data using explainable AI and big data analytics. Science Challenge: Large wildland fires (hereafter wildfires) appearing as high-impact compound climate extreme events are closely related to hydroclimate and water cycle extremes that modulate surface fuel supply and combustibility. These compound events have multivariate climatic features (e.g., temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, wind, lightning) and societal drivers (e.g., forest management, land use change, human caused ignitions). Meanwhile, they induce strong feedbacks to the coupled atmosphere, biosphere, and hydrosphere by perturbing regional and global radiation budget as well as ecological, biogeochemical, and water cycles across multiple spatiotemporal scales. The nonlinear interactions between these natural and anthropogenic components of the Earth system are too complex to be completely and adequately represented in today’s Earth system models (ESMs). The inherent stochastic nature of fire activity at all scales further increases the difficulty of its prediction using ESMs that are usually developed from deterministic equations and parameterizations. Besides, concurrence of long-term (decadal to interdecadal) global climate change and fire regime shifts overlapping with short-term (intraseasonal to interannual) variations of regional fire weather and burning activity confound predictability of these compound extreme events. We propose to address the above scientific challenges by using machine learning (ML)-based data-driven modeling techniques to integrate observations and physically-based ESMs’ simulations in a computationally efficient hybrid prediction system. This prediction system is supposed to characterize the wildfire’s sensitivity to climate and exogenous drivers at high resolution (~ 0.25°) on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales providing improved predictability and explainability. We will use the system to help identify: (1) What are the computational elements of a hybrid system needed to predict compound climate extreme events such as global wildfires? (2) What are the key drivers (either natural or anthropogenic) that modulate short-term variations of multivariate fire weather and burning activity over different regions? How can one take advantage of those driver-response relationships to improve the predictability of large wildfires on S2S time scales? (3) What are the underlying physical mechanisms and sources of improved predictability? Which ML techniques are optimal in revealing and adapting these mechanisms?
A Virtual Space Vector Model Predictive Control for a Seven-Level Hybrid Multilevel Converter
This paper proposes a virtual space vector (VSV) model predictive control (MPC) for a three-phase seven-level (7L) hybrid multilevel converter (HMC), where each phase consists of an active-neutral-point-clamped converter with a floating H-bridge. To achieve the best current tracking, which is the primary goal of the proposed algorithm, a novel geometrical positioning approach is proposed to select the optimal voltage vector among all the realspace vectors and VSVs. Then, all the possible switching sequences that belong to the optimal voltage vector are evaluated to realize the dc capacitor voltage balancing and common-mode voltage reduction. Through an external modulator, the optimal voltage vector can be synthesized by using either one-, three-, or seven-segment switching sequence. Compared with the conventional MPC, the proposed VSV-MPC can reduce not only the computational burden but also the current THD. Both simulation and experimental results obtained on silicon carbide based 7L-HMC prototype are presented to validate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed VSVMPC strategy.
Hybrid CFD/CAA Modeling for Liftoff Acoustic Predictions
This paper presents development efforts at the NASA Marshall Space flight Center to establish a hybrid Computational Fluid Dynamics and Computational Aero-Acoustics (CFD/CAA) simulation system for launch vehicle liftoff acoustics environment analysis. Acoustic prediction engineering tools based on empirical jet acoustic strength and directivity models or scaled historical measurements are of limited value in efforts to proactively design and optimize launch vehicles and launch facility configurations for liftoff acoustics. CFD based modeling approaches are now able to capture the important details of vehicle specific plume flow environment, identifY the noise generation sources, and allow assessment of the influence of launch pad geometric details and sound mitigation measures such as water injection. However, CFD methodologies are numerically too dissipative to accurately capture the propagation of the acoustic waves in the large CFD models. The hybrid CFD/CAA approach combines the high-fidelity CFD analysis capable of identifYing the acoustic sources with a fast and efficient Boundary Element Method (BEM) that accurately propagates the acoustic field from the source locations. The BEM approach was chosen for its ability to properly account for reflections and scattering of acoustic waves from launch pad structures. The paper will present an overview of the technology components of the CFD/CAA framework and discuss plans for demonstration and validation against test data.
Evaluating the Impact of Off-Design CHP Performance on the Optimal Sizing and Dispatch on Hybrid Renewable-CHP Distributed Energy Resources
The maturation of distributed energy resources (DER) has prompted the exploration of their deployment in commercial building applications due to their potential to supply energy at lower costs and emissions rates compared to centralized generation. While several software tools exist for evaluating the techno-economic potential of integrated renewable energy and combined heat and power (CHP) systems for distributed generation applications, many suffer from poor accuracy in capturing off-design (part load and changes in ambient air temperature and pressure) performance characteristics of microturbines, combustion turbines, or internal combustion engines. Thus, this paper presents a methodology for integrating these off-design characteristics in the mixed-integer linear program within REopt, a hybrid DER screening tool. The economic impact of the CHP off-design performance is observed through several application studies of various hybrid system configurations in different climates. Each study indicates how CHP off-design performance influences optimal sizing and dispatch decisions and therefore overall system economic value. We observe through case studies that modeling without the off-design effects, depending on the CHP prime mover and site, can result in Net Present Value predictions of hybrid systems that can be overoptimistic in frequently hot climates (up to 52%), too conservative in frequently cold climates (up to 11%), or unaffected (+/-1%) in temperate climates. Cases also highlight several advantages of hybrid systems relative to non-hybrid systems such as total economic value and the systems' ability to mitigate potentially negative consequences attributed to off-design performance.
Direct modeling parameter signature analysis and failure mode prediction of physical systems using hybrid computer optimization
High speed automated identification and design of dynamic systems, both linear and nonlinear, are discussed. Special emphasis is placed on developing hardware and techniques which are applicable to practical problems. The basic modeling experiment and new results are described. Using the improvements developed successful identification of several systems, including a physical example as well as simulated systems, was obtained. The advantages of parameter signature analysis over signal signature analysis in go-no go testing of operational systems were demonstrated. The feasibility of using these ideas in failure mode prediction in operating systems was also investigated. An improved digital controlled nonlinear function generator was developed, de-bugged, and completely documented.
Resistive wall mode stability and resonant field amplification in MAST high beta plasma
The n=1 (n is the toroidal mode number) resistive wall mode (RWM) instability and the resonant field amplification (RFA) due to a stable RWM response are numerically investigated for a MAST high-pressure plasma scenario, utilizing the MARS-F (Liu Y.Q. et al 2000 Phys. Plasmas 7 3681) and MARS-K (Liu Y.Q. et al 2008 Phys. Plasmas 15 112503) codes, for the purpose of understanding the potential RWM behavior in MAST-U plasmas. Ideal kink stability analysis identifies a target plasma, with parameters similar to that of the reference equilibrium reconstructed from a MAST high-pressure discharge, that accesses the RWM regime. The unstable n=1 RWM for the target equilibrium is subject to strong damping by the plasma toroidal flow and/or the drift kinetic effects from thermal particles. As a result, the mode is found to be stable under the experimental flow conditions, or even without flow stabilization if drift kinetic stabilization is included. The stability prediction is robust against variation of the assumed resistive wall minor radius. Active magneto-hydrodynamic (MHD) spectroscopy modeling, using the magnetic coils designed for controlling the edge localized modes (ELMs) in MAST-U as the antenna, shows strong resonant field amplification due to a stable RWM response in the target plasma. Maximal amplification, of 6-7 times larger than the applied vacuum field within the plasma, is obtained assuming a coil phasing of 120-180 degrees between the upper and lower rows of the ELM control coils. The MHD-kinetic hybrid model predicts generally higher RFA than the fluid model, in particular near the low-field and high-field sides of the plasma boundary surface. Furthermore, the MARS-F/K modeling thus shows that the RWM in MAST-U is subject to strong flow and kinetic stabilization, but can nevertheless be detected by active MHD spectroscopy.
Modeling mesoscale fission gas behavior in UO2 by directly coupling the phase field method to spatially resolved cluster dynamics
Abstract Fission gas release within uranium dioxide nuclear fuel occurs as gas atoms diffuse through grains and arrive at grain boundary (GB) bubbles; these GB bubbles grow and interconnect with grain edge bubbles; and grain edge tunnels grow and connect to free surfaces. In this study, a hybrid multi-scale/multi-physics simulation approach is presented to investigate these mechanisms of fission gas release at the mesoscale. In this approach, fission gas production, diffusion, clustering to form intragranular bubbles, and re-solution within grains are included using spatially resolved cluster dynamics in the Xolotl code. GB migration and intergranular bubble growth and coalescence are included using the phase field method in the MARMOT code. This hybrid model couples Xolotl to MARMOT using the MultiApp and Transfer systems in the MOOSE framework, with Xolotl passing the arrival rate of gas atoms at GBs and intergranular bubble surfaces to MARMOT and MARMOT passing evolved GBs and bubble surface positions to Xolotl. The coupled approach performs well on the two-dimensional simulations performed in this work, producing similar results to the standard phase field model when Xolotl does not include fission gas clustering or re-solution. The hybrid model performs well computationally, with a negligible cost of coupling Xolotl and MARMOT and good parallel scalability. The hybrid model predicts that intragranular fission gas clustering and bubble formation results in up to 70% of the fission gas being trapped within grains, causing the increase in the intergranular bubble fraction to slow by a factor of six. Re-solution has a small impact on the fission gas behavior at 1800 K but it has a much larger impact at 1000 K, resulting in a twenty-times increase in the concentration of single gas atoms within grains. Due to the low diffusion rate, this increase in mobile gas atoms only results in a small acceleration in the growth of the intergranular bubble fraction. Finally, the hybrid model accounts for migrating GBs sweeping up gas atoms. This results in faster intergranular bubble growth with smaller initial grain sizes, since the additional GB migration results in more immobile gas clusters reaching GBs.
A Simplified Model Predictive Control Strategy for a Nine-Level Hybrid Multilevel Converter
This paper proposes a simplified model predictive control (SMPC) for a 9-level hybrid multilevel converter based on the active-neutral-point-clamped (ANPC) topology. The proposed SMPC firstly identifies the voltage vector that has optimal current tracking performance by a novel geometrical positioning approach in the complex plane, which can dramatically reduce the computational burden. Then it evaluates the switching states that are subject to the same voltage vector and selects the optimal switching state to balance the dc capacitor voltages. Both simulation and experimental results are carried out to validate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed control strategy.
Transport and optical properties of the chiral semiconductor Ag 3 AuSe 2
Previous band structure calculations predicted Ag 3 AuSe 2 to be a semiconductor with a band gap of approximately 1 eV. Here, we report single crystal growth of Ag 3 AuSe 2 and its transport and optical properties. Single crystals of Ag 3 AuSe 2 were synthesized by slow-cooling from the melt, and grain sizes were confirmed to be greater than 2 mm using electron backscatter diffraction. Optical and transport measurements reveal that Ag 3 AuSe 2 is a highly resistive semiconductor with a band gap and activation energy around 0.3 eV. Our first-principles calculations show that the experimentally determined band gap lies between the predicted band gaps from GGA and hybrid functionals. We predict band inversion to be possible by applying tensile strain. The sensitivity of the gap to Ag/Au ordering, chemical substitution, and heat treatment merit further investigation.
Hybrid machine learning/physics-based approach for predicting oxide glass-forming ability
Predicting the liquid compositions that will vitrify at experimentally accessible quench rates remains one of the grand challenges in the field of condensed matter physics. This glass-forming ability can be quantified as the critical quench rate needed to suppress crystallization. Knowledge of this critical quench rate also informs which glass composition could be used for new applications. There have been several physical and empirical models presented in the literature to predict the critical quench rate/glass forming ability. These models range from those theoretically derived to those quantified only through experimental characterization. In this work, we instead propose a new method to calculate the critical quench rate using the recently developed toy landscape model combined with machine learning. The toy landscape model accesses the underlying physics that control the vitrification behavior by directly simulating the liquid thermodynamics and kinetics. In conclusion, the results are discussed in terms of industrial impact, physical insights, and how the glass science community can develop improved predictions of glass-forming ability.
Fatigue life prediction of self-sensing hybrid FRP composites via electrical resistance monitoring and LSTM neural network
Not Available
Interfacial Electromechanics Predicts Phase Behavior of 2D Hybrid Halide Perovskites
Quasi-two-dimensional (2D) mixed-cation hybrid halide perovskites (A' 2 A N–1 M N X 3N+1 ; A' = large organic molecule with cationic group, A = [Cs + , CH 3 NH 3 + , HC(NH 2 ) 2 + ], M = [Pb, Sn, Ge], X = [I – , Br – , Cl – ]) have rapidly emerged as candidates to improve the structural stability and device lifetime of 3D perovskite semiconductor devices under operating conditions. The addition of the large A' cation to the traditional AMX 3 structure introduces several synthetic degrees of freedom and breaks M–X bonds, giving rise to peculiar critical phase behavior in the phase space of these complex materials. In this work, we propose a thermodynamic model parametrized by first-principles calculations to generate the phase diagram of 2D and quasi-2D perovskites (q-2DPKs) based on the mechanics and electrostatics of the interface between the A' cations and the metal halide octahedral network. Focusing on the most commonly studied methylammonium lead iodide system where A' is n-butylammonium (BA; CH 3 (CH 2 ) 3 NH 3 + ), we find that the apparent difficulty in synthesizing phase-pure samples with a stoichiometric index N > 5 can be attributed to the energetic competition between repulsion of opposing interfacial dipole layers and mechanical relaxation induced by interfacial stress. Our model shows quantitative agreement with experimental observations of the maximum phase-pure stoichiometric index (N crit ) and explains the nonmonotonic evolution of the lattice parameters with increasing stoichiometric index (N). This model is generalizable to the entire family of q-2DPKs and can guide the design of photovoltaic and optical materials that combine the structural stability of the q-2DPKs while retaining the charge carrier properties of their 3D counterparts.
Strongly facet-dependent activity of iron-doped β-nickel oxyhydroxide for the oxygen evolution reaction
Hybrid DFT predicts that Fe-doping of NiOOH changes the OER activity from insensitive to highly sensitive to crystal facet.