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At least 73 records · Page 4

Lagged average forecasting, an alternative to Monte Carlo forecasting

A 'lagged average forecast' (LAF) model is developed for stochastic dynamic weather forecasting and used for predictions in comparison with the results of a Monte Carlo forecast (MCF). The technique involves the calculation of sample statistics from an ensemble of forecasts, with each ensemble member being an ordinary dynamical forecast (ODF). Initial conditions at a time lagging the start of the forecast period are used, with varying amounts of time for the lags. Forcing by asymmetric Newtonian heating of the lower layer is used in a two-layer, f-plane, highly truncated spectral model in a test forecasting run. Both the LAF and MCF are found to be more accurate than the ODF due to ensemble averaging with the MCF and the LAF. When a regression filter is introduced, all models become more accurate, with the LAF model giving the best results. The possibility of generating monthly or seasonal forecasts with the LAF is discussed.

Hoffman, R. N.↗

Flap-lag damping of an elastic rotor blade with torsion and dynamic inflow in hover from symbolically generated equations

A program written in FORTRAN IV and coded into subroutines for subsequent numerical study is used to derive symbolically the governing equations of motion of the elastic rotor blade and the dynamic inflow equations. By rearranging the coefficients of the equations, the blade and dynamic inflow equations are converted into equations in a multiblade coordinated system. The final multiblade equations can accommodate any number of elastic blade modes. It is noted that with a given data set, the entire process, from the derivation of the equations to the numerical calculations, is computerized and requires only limited user interface. To demonstrate the usefulness of the approach, damping data in hover with and without dynamic inflow effects are presented for various rotor blade models, including flap-lag, flap-lag-torsion, quasi-static torsion, and rigid blade lag-flap.

Reddy, T. S. R.↗

High-angle-of-attack pneumatic lag and upwash corrections for a hemispherical flow direction sensor

As part of the NASA F-14 high angle of attack flight test program, a nose mounted hemispherical flow direction sensor was calibrated against a fuselage mounted movable vane flow angle sensor. Significant discrepancies were found to exist in the angle of attack measurements. A two fold approach taken to resolve these discrepancies during subsonic flight is described. First, the sensing integrity of the isolated hemispherical sensor is established by wind tunnel data extending to an angle of attack of 60 deg. Second, two probable causes for the discrepancies, pneumatic lag and upwash, are examined. Methods of identifying and compensating for lag and upwash are presented. The wind tunnel data verify that the isolated hemispherical sensor is sufficiently accurate for static conditions with angles of attack up to 60 deg and angles of sideslip up to 30 deg. Analysis of flight data for two high angle of attack maneuvers establishes that pneumatic lag and upwash are highly correlated with the discrepancies between the hemispherical and vane type sensor measurements.

Whitmore, Stephen A.↗

Flap-lag stability data for a small-scale isolated hingeless rotor in forward flight

An isolated, hingeless rotor with discrete flap and lead-lag flexures and relatively rigid blades was tested in the Aeroflightdynamics Directorate's 7- by 10-Foot Wind Tunnel. The lead-lag stability of a structurally simple rotor configuration in forward flight was determined. The model tested had no cyclic pitch control, and was therefore operated untrimmed at several collective pitch angles, at shaft angles from 0 deg to -20 deg, and at advance ratios as high as 0.55. Two inplane natural frequencies, 0.61/rev and 0.72/rev, were tested for configuration both with and without structural flap lag coupling. Concomitant hover testing of the model was also conducted. Representative plots of the frequency and damping data are presented to show general trends, and complete tabular data and model properties information are included for use in detailed correlation exercises. The most prominent feature of the forward flight data is an abrupt increase in damping with advance ratio at certain high-speed, high shaft-angle conditions, with high flapping loads. The hover data are consistent with previous experimental and theoretical results for hingeless rotors without kinematic couplings. Overall, the data quality is very good and the data are expected to be useful in the development and validation of rotor aeroelastic stability analyses.

Mcnulty, Michael J.↗

A signal filter with zero phase lag

Rotorcraft and rotorcraft models are tested at the NASA Ames National Full-Scale Aerodynamics Complex (NFAC). The models tested in the NFAC wind tunnels are controlled by a remote control console located in a control room. Certain critical information must be displayed on the control console to monitor the rotor to insure that the rotor is within operational limits. The signal for these parameters is complex (with ac and dc components) and is derived from pitch and flapping transducers on the rotor head. The pitch and flapping cyclics are derived from resolver circuits that indicate the magnitude and phase of the cyclics. Conventional filter circuits used to separate the ac and dc components have a phase lag on the ac component, which will introduce an error in the cyclic vector. To overcome this error, a filter with zero phase lag needed to be developed. This paper discusses a rotorcraft circuit that was designed to have an ac/dc filter with zero phase lag over the frequency range.

Forsyth, T. J.↗

Lag Angle Compensation in a Space Borne Scanning Lidar

The so-called 'lag angle' is inherent in any spaceborne scanning lidar system. It is also important in systems where the scanning causes a significant pointing error during the laser interrogating pulse echo time. In a heterodyne lidar system, the lag angle, if uncompensated, will significantly reduce the signal-to-noise ratio. An investigation of lag angle is presented.

Wissinger, A. B.↗

Approximations for inclusion of rotor lag dynamics in helicopter flight dynamics models

Approximate forms are suggested for augmenting linear rotor/body response models to include rotor lag dynamics. Use of an analytically linearized rotor/body model has shown that the primary effect comes from the additional angular rate contributions of the lag inertial response. Addition of lag dynamics may be made assuming these dynamics are represented by an isolated rotor with no shaft motion. Implications of such an approximation are indicated through comparison with flight test data and sensitivity of stability levels with body rate feedback.

Mckillip, Robert, Jr.↗

Pressure Lag in Tubing Used in Flight Research

Tests described in this report were undertaken to obtain a quantitative measure of the pressure lag in typical pressure-tubing systems used by the Ames Aeronautical Laboratory in flight research investigations. Lag measurements were made with both single-direction and oscillating pressure changes. Single-direction pressure changes were investigated to determine if the lag in orifice-pressure lines and in the research airspeed and altitude measuring systems of pursuit-type airplane undergoing flight tests was sufficient to cause an appreciable error in the record of a sudden pressure change. Oscillating pressure changes were investigated with particular reference to the accuracy of pressure peaks in pressure-distribution measurements during the time of buffeting conditions as found in stalls. (author)

Turner, Howard L↗

An Investigation of the Effects of the Time Lag Due to Long Transmission Distances upon Remote Control: Tracking Experiments - Phase 1

A series of pursuit tracking tasks were performed incorporating a transport lag in the control loop. The target was a mixture of four sine waves, the fastest having a frequency of 16 cycles per minute at full speed. An attempt was made to design the experiments so that they would provide data applicable to remote control of a ground vehicle over long transmission distances. Three programs were run. In each the time lag was placed between the control and the display. In the first program a velocity control was used and the operator was told that his knob controlled a vehicle, the problem represented a road 9 and he was to drive his vehicle along the road 9 using the delayed vehicle position as feedback for whatever means he desired. The objective was not to match the display traces. In the second program a velocity control was used, and the operator was told that the problem trace represented a road and the delayed trace represented a vehicle and he was to keep them together. The objective was to match display traces. The third program was identical with the first, except that an acceleration control was used rather than a velocity control. Target speeds used were full speed, 1/2 speed, 1/4 speed, 1/8 speed, and 1/16 speed. Time lags were 1/4 second, l/2 second, 1 second, 1-1/2 second, 2 second, 3 second, and 6 seconds. The experimental results are presented in the last section of this report.

Adams, James L.↗

Hard X-Ray Lags in GRO J1719-24

We have used the Fourier cross spectra of GRO J1719-24. as obtained with BATSE, to estimate the phase lags between the X-ray flux variations in the 20-,50 and 50-100 keV energy bands as a function of Fourier frequency in the interval 0.002-0.488 Hz. Our analysis covers the entire approximately 80 day X-ray outburst of this black-hole candidate, following the first X-ray detection on 1993 September 25. The X-ray variations in the 50-100 keV band, lag those in the 20-50 keV energy band by an approximately constant phase difference of 0.072 +/- 0.010 rad in the frequency interval 0.02-0.20 Hz. The time lags of GRO J1719-24 decrease with frequency as a power law, with index 1.04 +/- 0.13 for frequencies >/= 0.01 Hz. These results are discussed together with those obtained in recent similar studies of the black-hole candidates Cyg X-1 and GRO J0422+32.

VanderHooft, Frank↗

Hard X-Ray Lags in GRO J1719--24

We have used the Fourier cross spectra of GRO J1719-24, obtained with BATSE, to estimate the phase lags between the X-ray flux variations in the 20 50 and 50-100 keV energy bands as a function of Fourier frequency in the interval 0.002-0.488 Hz. Our analysis covers the entire about 80 day X-ray outburst of this black hole candidate, following the first X-ray detection on 1993 September 25. The X-ray variations in the 50-100 keV band lag those in the 20-50 keV energy band by an approximately constant phase difference of 0.072 + 0.010 rad in the frequency interval 0.02-0.20 Hz. The peak phase lags in the interval 0.02-0.20 Hz are about twice those of Cyg X-1 and GRO J0422+32. These results are consistent with models for Comptonization regions composed of extended nonuniform clouds around the central source.

VanDerHooft, F.↗

Temporal Profiles and Spectral Lags of XRF 060218

The spectral and temporal properties of the nonthermal emission of the nearby XRF 060218 in the 0.3-150 keV band are studied. We show that both the spectral energy distribution and the light-curve properties suggest the same origin of the nonthermal emission detected by Swift BAT and XRT. This event has the longest pulse duration and spectral lag observed to date among the known GRBs. The pulse structure and its energy dependence are analogous to typical GRBs,. By extrapolating the observed spectral lag to the Compton Gamma Ray Observatory (CGRO) BATSE bands we find that the hypothesis that this event complies with the same luminosity-lag relation with bright GRBs cannot be ruled out at 2 sigma significance level. These intriguing facts, along with its compliance with the Amati relation, indicate that XRF 060218 shares the similar radiation physics as typical GRBs.

Liang, En-Wei↗

On the Nature of QPO Phase Lags in Black Hole Candidates

Observations of quasi-periodic oscillations (QPOs) in X-ray binaries hold a key to understanding many aspects of these enigmatic systems. Complex appearance of the Fourier phase lags related to QPOs is one of the most puzzling observational effects in accreting black holes. In this Letter we show that QPO properties, including phase lags, can be explained in a framework of a simple scenario, where the oscillating media provides a feedback on the emerging spectrum. We demonstrate that the QPO waveform is presented by the product of a perturbation and a time delayed response factors, where the response is energy dependent. The essential property of this effect is its non-linear and multiplicative nature. Our multiplicative reverberation model successfully describes the QPO components in energy dependent power spectra as well as the appearance of the phase lags between signal in different energy bands. We apply our model to QPOs observed by Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer in BH candidate XTE J1550-564. We briefly discuss the implications of the observed energy dependence of the QPO reverberation times and amplitudes to the nature of the power law spectral component and its variability.

Shaposhnikov, Nikolai↗

Simulated Time Lags of Hinode/XRT and SDO/AIA Lightcurves as an Indication of Loop Heating Scenario

The precise nature of the heating mechanism (location, duration) in coronal loops is still a matter of enormous research. We present results from a one-dimensional (1D) hydrodynamic loop simulation of a coronal loop which was run using different parameters such as loops length (50, 200 and 500 light-seconds), maximum temperature reached (3 million degrees Kelvin and 10 million degrees Kelvin), and abundances. For each scenario the model outputs were used to calculate the corresponding lightcurves as seen by X-ray telescope/Be-thin filter and various Extreme Ultra Violet Atmospheric Imaging Assembly channels. The lag time between the peak of these lightcurves was computed using cross-correlation and plotted as a function of loop length. Additional results were computed using the zero-dimensional Enthalpy-Based Thermal Evolution of Loops (EBTEL) code in order to test the compatibility of the two codes and to investigate additional loop lengths. Initial results indicate that the long (greater than 5000 seconds) lags observed in the approximately 100 light-seconds loops of active regions can only be reproduced using photospheric abundances and much longer loop lengths. This result suggests that the observed time lags cannot be completely explained by impulsive heating.

nanoflares↗

The dynamic synthesis time-lag control for the 1.3 GHz LCLS-II Cryomodule test at Fermilab

The 1.3GHz LCLS-II Cryomodule (CM) has 8 cavities and each cavity has 9 RF cells and 80W heater. The 1.3GHz LCLS-II CM is 12.2-meter-long and contains a total 241.3 liters (equivalent liquid) of liquid helium, which is filling up by the 4KW@2.0K cryogenic plant at the Fermilab Cryomodule Test Facility (CMTF). The dynamic synthesis 2K cryogenic control system is built to control the long time-lag, unstable CM cryogenic system, under different modes operations. A report on the results obtained from the dynamic synthesis long time-lag control in the CMTF 1.3GHz CM test will be presented.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

An Approach to Dependence Assessment in Human Reliability Analysis: Application of Lag and Linger Effects

Dependence assessment refers to an approach used in human reliability analysis (HRA) to adjust a human error probability (HEP) for the following action by considering the impact of the preceding action. It has been known to significantly affect the overall results of probabilistic safety assessment (PSA). If the dependence assessment is not adequate, the result could be unconvincing for explaining the operator failures in the context of PSA. To date, several methods and some recent research have identified suggestions for treating dependence issues in HRA; however, these are still exclusively based on the intrinsic approach of the Technique for Human Error Rate Prediction (THERP), an HRA method. THERP inevitably has a challenge with the subjectivity of expert evaluation as well as the requirement for PSA and HRA expertise with resource-intensive and time-consuming processes. This paper suggests an approach to dependence assessment that could not only minimize the influence of expert judgment, but also saves time to perform the analysis with reasonable manpower. It modifies existing HRA methods with considering lag and linger effects to apply dependence effects for them. Based on a representative HRA method, i.e., Standardized Plant Analysis Risk - HRA (SPAR-H), guidance for how to apply lag and linger effects for the HRA method is suggested. Then, an investigation is carried out to compare quantification results of the revised HRA method with that of the original approach based on experimental data.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Jet Lag, Sleep Timing, and Sleep Inertia

This chapter explores the causes, consequences, and countermeasures of jet lag, mistimed sleep, and sleep inertia. Jet lag can occur when rapidly crossing multiple time zones (e.g., trans-meridian travel for long-haul pilots). The desynchrony between the body’s biological clock, or circadian rhythm, and the new day-night cycle can lead to indigestion, sleep disturbances, fatigue, and cognitive impairments. Mistimed sleep can also occur within a time zone. In the case of night shiftwork, sleep is displaced to the daytime which leads to poor sleep and increased fatigue at night due to the combination of pressures from the two-process model of sleep regulation: sleep loss (homeostatic pressure); and being awake when the body is promoting sleep (circadian pressure). There is also a third process of sleep regulation called sleep inertia, which refers to the brief period of fatigue and impaired cognitive performance experienced after waking. Sleep inertia can be a fatigue risk for transportation workers who work on-call (e.g., emergency services) or who nap on shift (e.g., long-haul truck drivers) and are required to perform a safety-critical task soon after waking. For each of these fatigue risks, strategic exposure to bright light can be used to help realign sleep timing and to promote alertness.

sleep inertia↗

SMBH binary candidate PKS J2134−0153: possible multi-band periodic variability and inter-band time lags

ABSTRACT Studying the periodic flux-variation behaviour of blazars is vital for probing supermassive black hole binaries and the kinematics of relativistic jets. In this work, we report the detection of multi-band possible periodic variations of the blazar PKS J2134−0153, including infrared ($1.6(\pm 0.4)\times 10^3$ day) and optical ($1.8(\pm 1)\times 10^3$ day) wavelengths. The periods in the infrared and optical bands are statistically consistent with the period in the radio band ($P_{\mathrm{Radio}} = 1760\pm 33$ days, obtained from our previous work). Moreover, flux variations in different bands are correlated with evident inter-band time delays, and the time lags of infrared and optical emission with respect to radio emission are $(3.3\pm 2.3)\times 10^{2}$ days and $(3.0\pm 2.3)\times 10^{2}$ days, respectively. The cross-correlations indicate a common origin of radio, infrared, and optical emission. The relative positions between emission regions of infrared and optical emission and radio emission are estimated according to the time lags, i.e. $0.37\pm 0.26$ and $0.33\pm 0.26$ pc. The relative distances seem to be quantitatively consistent with the theoretical prediction.

Ren, Guo-Wei (ORCID:0000000214978371)↗